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Conquering the Supply Chain Effective Frontier
       A Handbook for the Value Chain Leader to Manage
         Trade-offs in Defining Supply Chain Excellence

                            9/20/2012




                                                By Lora Cecere
                                                 Founder and CEO

                                        Supply Chain Insights LLC
Contents
Research ................................................................................................................................... 2

Disclosure .................................................................................................................................. 2

Research Methodology and Overview ........................................................................................ 2

Executive Overview ................................................................................................................... 3

Why it Matters ............................................................................................................................ 4

What is Supply Chain Excellence? ............................................................................................. 4

Comparison of Methodologies.................................................................................................... 9

   Analyst Methodologies ........................................................................................................... 9

   Industry Benchmarking Data .................................................................................................10

Case Study On the Use of This Methodology ............................................................................ 11

   Cash-to-Cash Comparison to Gross Margin ..........................................................................12

   Inventory Turns versus Revenue/Employee ..........................................................................15

Recommendations ....................................................................................................................20

Appendix ...................................................................................................................................21

   Methodology ..........................................................................................................................21

About Supply Chain Insights LLC ..............................................................................................22

About Lora Cecere ....................................................................................................................22




Copyright © 2012                                     Supply Chain Insights LLC                                                       Page 1
Research
This independent research is 100% funded by Supply Chain Insights and is published using the
principle of Open Content research.

It is intended for you to read, share, and use to improve your decisions on the use of financial
data to benchmark with your peers. When you use it, all we ask for in return is attribution. We
publish under the Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike 3.0 United States Creative Commons
License and the citation policy can be found on the Supply Chain Insights website.



Disclosure
Your trust is important to us. As such, we are open and transparent about our financial
relationships and our research processes.



Research Methodology and Overview
This report is based on analysis of financial balance sheet data for the period of 1995-2012 and
qualitative discussions with supply chain leaders in supply chain strategy engagements. Detail
on the calculations of the financial metrics and ratios used in the analysis are listed in the
Methodology section in the Appendix.




Copyright © 2012                      Supply Chain Insights LLC                                  Page 2
Executive Overview
Supply chain practices are nearing their third decade of maturation. The term supply chain
excellence is bandied about by leaders, consultants and technology providers, but there is no
alignment on what it means.

Conventional systems of measurement for supply chain excellence are problematic. In this
report, we share insights gained during interviews with 75 supply chain pioneers. Based on their
feedback we created a new framework, that we define here as the Supply Chain Effective
Frontier, for supply chain leaders to use to determine supply chain excellence. This
methodology is based on publicly available financial balance sheet data grouped into four sets
of supply chain ratios: growth, profitability, cycle, and complexity.

We believe that supply chain excellence is best defined as the alignment of the supply chain
team to deliver results to meet and exceed the requirements of the business strategy. This
requires a clear vision and cross-functional coordination and alignment over a multi-year road
map. It needs to be holistic. A supply chain is a complex system with increasing business
complexity. The analysis needs to facilitate a clear understanding of trade-offs embedded in
day-to-day decision making. It is this clarity that we find missing in many teams that we work
with, and it is for this reason we wrote this report.

This framework is evolving. For the past four months, using these ratios, we have been plotting
industry peer groups to understand the evolution of supply chain excellence in the period of
1995-2012. Our learning curve has been steep, and the work has been intense.

In this report, we do not pretend to have all the answers; but we want to share the insights that
we have currently to help mature the methodology and advance the discussion of supply chain
excellence. In this report we share the methodology, our insights from the interviews, and apply
the concepts to an industry peer group.




Copyright © 2012                      Supply Chain Insights LLC                             Page 3
Why it Matters
Supply chain leaders want a yardstick. They seek a measurement system to judge how well
they are doing. There are two sources of data in the industry: analyst comparisons of Fortune
500 companies and benchmarking data. Both are problematic. In this report, we share how
supply chain leaders can use readily available financial data to benchmark their supply chain to
overcome these issues.



What is Supply Chain Excellence?
We believe that the definition of supply chain excellence is the alignment of source, make, sell
and deliver processes to maximize the business strategy. It starts with a clear definition of
supply chain strategy implemented over multiple years. It needs to be an end-to-end vision
measured by financial results.

       No real impact can be made in a supply chain in less than three years.
       It takes time.


       Marty Kisliuk, Director of Global Operations and Business Development,
       FMC Corporation Agricultural Products Group


It is easier said than done. Supply chains are complex systems with complex business
processes with increasing complexity. As a result, supply chain excellence needs to be viewed
as a set of trade-offs. Leaders make these consciously, while laggards let the supply chains
whip them around. These trade-offs form the effective frontier—defining supply chain potential—
for the supply chain team. Assuming that the goal of the team is profitable growth, figure 1
reflects the Supply Chain Effective Frontier.

In value chain design, these trade-offs need to be managed vertically and horizontally while
recognizing the supply chain as a complex system. In our work on supply chain strategy, we find
that most companies recognize increasing business complexity without recognizing the supply
chain as a complex system. The gap in understanding this fundamental concept is a barrier to
achieving supply chain excellence. In multiple quantitative surveys, we find that the executive
leadership team’s lack of understanding of supply chain fundamentals ranks as one of the top
three problems for supply chain teams today.




Copyright © 2012                     Supply Chain Insights LLC                                  Page 4
Figure 1. The Supply Chain Effective Frontier




Supply chains need to be fit for purpose. They need to be designed. Many are inherited. It starts
with goal clarity. The outcome cannot be broad-brushed in a simple maturity model. As shown in
the Supply Chain Effective Frontier framework it needs to recognize the impact of corporate
trade-offs, business investment strategies, supply chain trade-offs and the degree of complexity
in business policies. These together form the system definition of the Supply Chain Effective
Frontier.

While students of economics might caution that this is the efficient frontier, we have consciously
chosen not to define this as the “Efficient Frontier.” Companies have traditionally defined the
most efficient supply chain as the most effective supply chain with the lowest cost per unit. It is
our belief that the most effective supply chain is not always the most efficient. As outlined in
figure 2, and based on our study of 30 years of supply chain growth and evolution, we believe
that companies transition through five stages of maturity:



    •   Efficient Supply Chain. A singular focus on the lowest cost per unit by means of
        “sweating assets” and driving down costs/unit. Companies on this progression will
        quickly find that the supply chain is out of balance, and that this singular focus will drive
        up total organizational costs, increase working capital and decrease customer service
        reliability. Companies early in their understanding of supply chain management are
        largely in the Pharmaceutical and Retail industries.




Copyright © 2012                      Supply Chain Insights LLC                                Page 5
Figure 2. Definition of Supply Chain Excellence




   •   Reliable Supply Chain. In the definition of the reliable supply chain, asset utilization
       and supply chain costs are aligned with customer service goals to drive the processes to
       deliver the right product, at the right place at the right time while delivered at the right
       cost. For students of supply chain management, this constitutes the basic “Rs” of
       traditional supply chain management. Companies with this level of understanding are
       typically found in mid-market Food & Beverage, Wholesale Distribution, and Industrial
       Chemical.
   •   Resilient Supply Chain. In the design of the resilient supply chain, the network is
       configured to absorb demand and supply variability. This includes form and function of
       inventory, definition of supplier development relationships, postponement strategies,
       flexible manufacturing, and alternate modes of transportation. This is often seen as the
       adaptive supply chain. One that can deliver the same cost, quality and customer service
       given demand and supply fluctuations. Companies at this level of maturity are typically in
       Consumer Packaged Goods and High-tech and Electronics.
   •   Adaptive Supply Chain. The adaptive supply chain, often termed demand driven,
       senses channel fluctuations and translates these changes into market drivers through
       demand sensing and shaping. This requires the transformation of sales-driven or
       marketing-driven approaches to be more demand-driven to define business policies to
       focus on “selling through” versus “selling into” the channel. A focus on value based
       outcomes affects business policies for customer relationships. This understanding is only
       currently understood by a select few supply chain leaders. Examples include Cisco
       Systems, Samsung, and Procter & Gamble.



Copyright © 2012                      Supply Chain Insights LLC                                 Page 6
•   Aligned Supply Chain. The aligned supply chain is built on horizontal processes that
       can align the supply chain’s bidirectional shifts in both demand and supply. This requires
       the orchestration of demand and supply. Orchestration is the adoption of buy- and sell-
       side policies based on market drivers of demand, price and business strategy. This
       orchestration of policies affects demand shaping strategies and buy-side procurement
       strategies. This level of maturity is largely aspirational. The issues with rising commodity
       costs, and the evolution of new forms of predictive analytics, will push the definition of
       supply chain excellence toward market-driven value networks over the course of the
       next five years.

Each stage is a prerequisite for the next. As a result, a company cannot move from one stage to
the next without competency in the prior. However, in the progression, companies should
exercise caution. Most companies are still wrestling with the fundamentals of the reliable or
resilient supply chain, and as a result, should see the definition of demand-driven and market-
driven value chains as aspirational. Each company moves at its own pace.

Likewise, there is no one standard prescription for improvement. Each company is at a different
point of maturity and understanding. However, we find that few companies use financial balance
sheet data as a litmus test of supply chain excellence. It is the goal of this report to give supply
chain leaders a methodology to better use financial data to understand supply chain excellence
based on these frameworks.

It is our belief that best-in-class supply chains have five characteristics:

       •   Clarity of Supply Chain Strategy. When we talk to leaders, it is clear: Supply chain
           matters. There is a clear understanding of how supply chain drives the business
           strategy and how these decisions impact financial results. When we talk to supply
           chain laggards, and show them this methodology, they hang their heads and admit
           that they have not thought about it holistically. Many struggle to understand balance
           sheet metrics stating that they need a “refresher course.”
       •   Consistent Year-over-Year Improvements to Peer Group. A supply chain leader
           improves the supply chain with a focus on continuous improvements in driving year-
           over-year results. There is consistency in direction despite market factors while
           balancing trade-offs.
       •   Balance. It is our belief that supply chain leaders need to balance four factors:
           growth, profitability, cycles and business complexity. Through process improvement,
           a leader improves the capability and the performance of supply chain while




Copyright © 2012                      Supply Chain Insights LLC                                Page 7
maintaining balance. We believe that the financial ratios outlined in Table 1 are a
           good starting point for this analysis.
       •   Understanding of the Complex System. The ability to manage policy, rewards and
           measurement as a complex system with a focus on balance defines the supply chain
           leaders. These leaders can separate discussions on supply chain complexity from
           the drivers of business complexity. This holistic system thinking is a characteristic of
           supply chain leaders.
       •   Supply Chain is Business. For mature companies, the discussion of supply chain’s
           role in the business is not an issue. For laggards, there is a posturing for supply
           chain recognition and earning the right to have these discussions. In mature
           organizations, the supply chain is more than a cost center to squeeze. Instead, the
           supply chain is seen as a driver of business strategy. In these organizations, there is
           a close relationship between the supply chain finance team and the supply chain
           business leadership team to improve performance. Supply chain leaders are able to
           talk the language of business with a focus on serving the larger organization.

Table 1: Useful Supply Chain Ratios from Financial Balance Sheets




The use of financial ratios to evaluate supply chain performance eliminates the issues of
comparison due to company size and currency. They are readily available and well-defined.

We also believe that comparative financial balance sheet data is underutilized. It is hard to get.
To complete this analysis, Supply Chain Insights built a database of relevant financial ratios
outlined in Table 1 to be used in supply chain comparative analysis.



Copyright © 2012                     Supply Chain Insights LLC                               Page 8
Comparison of Methodologies
The development of the effective frontier methodology is the outcome of work with many clients
on supply chain benchmarking and watching the maturation of the market. There are currently
two methodologies to judge supply chain performance: analyst methodologies and peer
benchmarking. So, you might say, why create a third? It is our belief that there needs to be a
methodology to overcome the fundamental issues with the two existing methods in the market
today.


Analyst Methodologies
In the last five years, industry analysts have attempted to define methodologies to evaluate
supply chain excellence. The most widely known is the AMR Research Top 25 now owned by
Gartner and renamed the Gartner Top 25. It has now been refined through eight cycles of data.
It was a good starting point.

The Gartner Top 25 attempts to rate companies cross-industry based on a three-year
comparative analysis of growth, inventory and return on assets (ROA) augmented by peer
ratings and industry analyst insight. This analysis has three limitations:

   •     Limited View. It is an analysis of Fortune 500 and Global 2000 companies. As a result, it
         is an exclusive club. Mid-market and smaller companies want to know how they stack
         up. The methodology is not applicable to them.
   •     Benchmark Data. The study focuses on a three year weighted average of financial data
         and is augmented by peer group and analyst input. It is our belief that three years of
         performance data are just the tip of the iceberg. We believe that true supply chain
         excellence happens over many years.
   •     Peer Group. The fundamental flaw of this methodology is the peer group. Supply chain
         leaders just do not believe that putting all supply chains in a spreadsheet and shaking
         them up helps the industry at large. We do not believe that the comparison of a high-
         tech supply chain to a retail supply chain to a chemical supply chain is relevant. Each
         supply chain has different market drivers and the comparison of potential should be
         limited to the specific peer group.
   •     Bias. The methodology is biased to high-tech and electronics companies. Asset
         intensive supply chains will never measure up using this methodology. By definition, the
         methodology penalizes the in-sourcing of manufacturing and process-intensive
         industries.




Copyright © 2012                       Supply Chain Insights LLC                               Page 9
Industry Benchmarking Data
As companies mature, they want to know how their supply chain compares to others. They turn
to their friends in the industry to understand what is possible. They want to know whether they
are getting better or worse and what good looks like. They are hungry to know if they have
reached their supply chain potential. While this sounds simple, the answers to these questions
are not easy. The ability to get comparison data on supply chain performance is easier said than
done.

These services have primarily focused on the reporting of forecast accuracy, inventory data and
customer service performance. Companies in self-reported data have a tendency to overstate
performance, and there is a lack of consistent industry definitions to ensure apples-to-apples
reporting.

While there are many services in the market that have evolved to share benchmark data, there
are five fundamental flaws that cannot be overcome.

        •    Self-reported Data. The issue of overstating results is a monumental challenge for
             widely available benchmarking services.
        •    Consistent Definitions. When it comes to supply chain benchmarking, the basics
             matter. Definitions, granularity and frequency of the process need to align for the
             data to be relevant. Industry standard definitions do not exist.
        •    Common Data Model. To be useful in benchmark comparisons, the planning
             systems need to have similar data models. Few companies have implemented
             planning in a similar enough manner to facilitate peer group benchmarking. For most,
             this is overlooked.
        •    Timeliness. One of the issues with benchmarking is timeliness. Data gathered in
             inconsistent snapshots—once or twice a year—is not useful. There needs to be a
             regular, standardized system of reporting.
        •    Peer Group. An essential element to getting useful benchmark data is having a
             comparable peer group. In most systems, it is very difficult to get relevant data for a
             peer group.

After considering all the available options in the market, and judging them against these pitfalls,
we believe that the only source of reliable supply chain data with standardized reporting is
financial balance sheet ratios. It is for this reason we applied the supply chain financial ratios to
the Effective Frontier Framework in figure 1.




Copyright © 2012                       Supply Chain Insights LLC                             Page 10
Case Study On the Use of This Methodology
Since the graphing of these results can be complex and hard to read, we show how this
methodology can be applied by sharing two intersections of the data for consumer products
companies in a time-series analysis. The evaluation is of five companies Colgate, Kimberly
Clark, Kraft, Procter & Gamble and Unilever for the period of 2000-2012. The evaluation is
broken into time increments of:

       •   2000-2003: Dawn of Supply Chain Strategy. During this period, we saw the
           evolution of Supply Chain process teams, the automation of B2B processes, the
           beginning of global expansion and the building of global supply chain teams.
           Software systems were evolving and processes were in flux from recent
           implementations and the recovery from Y2K. This was the starting line for many
           companies in their journey on delivering supply chain excellence.
       •   2004-2007: Global Expansion. In this period, we saw the development of global
           teams, the maturation of modern trade policies in Europe and North American and
           the establishment of customer teams. This period also gave birth to global
           commodity buying practices and the establishment of teams to manage
           procurement through aggregate buying strategies. During this period, each
           company's network became more complex and products proliferated. Most were not
           ready for the shock wave of the Great Recession.
       •   2008-2012: Great Recession and Recovery. Starting in 2008, companies
           experienced the shock waves of the great recession and rebounded. This was also a
           time of transition. The first generation of supply chain talent passed the baton to the
           second and the focus moved to the definition of network relationships and the
           automation of the value network to align with corporate social responsibility
           initiatives.


       As shown in Table 2, the companies in this case study vary in size, number of
           employees and geographic location, but each of the companies built a global supply
           chain team and focused on serving the consumer products market with comparable
           products in the timeframe studied.




Copyright © 2012                    Supply Chain Insights LLC                              Page 11
Table 2: Comparison of Consumer Products Companies




Cash-to-Cash Comparison to Gross Margin
Ask any supply chain leader if they care about “cash-to-cash cycles” and “gross margin” and
you will get violent agreement that they both matter. But, if you ask them how they perform
against their peer group for year-over-year performance on the effective frontier, they just do not
know the information. Cash-to-Cash is a cycle metric while Gross Margin is a metric of
profitability. In this case study, we show how this comparison can help a supply chain team.

   1. Cash-to-Cash Cycle versus Gross Margin 2000-2003

At this point in the evolution of supply chain maturity, the five companies in this case study are
closely clustered with Colgate showing an advantage in gross margin performance. All of the
companies listed in figure 3 have gone through major implementations of Enterprise Resource
Planning (ERP) and Advanced Planning Systems (APS) technologies. Each has a similar
technology system. Only Procter & Gamble has improved cash-to-cash cycles through the
implementation of technology.




Copyright © 2012                     Supply Chain Insights LLC                              Page 12
Figure 3. Cash-to-Cash Cycle versus Gross Margin 2000-2003 for Consumer Product Leaders




   2. Cash-to-Cash Cycle versus Gross Margin 2004-2007

In this period, Colgate maintains a leadership advantage in gross margin with a strong focus on
maintaining gross margin while maintaining cash-to-cash cycles despite the proliferation of
products. P&G absorbs Gillette with a slight increase in cash-to-cash cycles. The cash-to-cash
cycles for Kraft improve slightly, but gross margin declines as Kraft begins the spin-off of the
company from Altria. Unilever redefines procurement practices and drives down cash-to-cash
cycles.

Figure 4. Cash-to-Cash Cycle versus Gross Margin 2004-2007 for Consumer Products Leaders




Copyright © 2012                     Supply Chain Insights LLC                              Page 13
3. Cash-to-Cash Cycle versus Gross Margin 2008-2012

In this period, Unilever is hit the hardest by the recession with a serious decline of gross margin.
Coordination of regional supply chains becomes more difficult with multiple changes in
leadership and direction. Kimberly Clark builds capabilities to improve cash-to-cash cycles with
a slight decline in gross margin, while P&G makes steady improvements in cash-to-cash cycles
while maintaining margin.




Figure 5. Cash-to-Cash Cycle versus Gross Margin 2008-2012 for Consumer Products Leaders




   4. Cash-to-Cash Cycle versus Gross Margin Summary

The summary of twelve years is shown below with averages indicated by diamonds. If only
looking at this intersection of financial metrics, you might reward Colgate or P&G as the best
supply chain, but before crowning the winner, we believe that it requires further analysis of the
Supply Chain Effective Frontier.




Copyright © 2012                     Supply Chain Insights LLC                              Page 14
Figure 6. Cash-to-Cash Cycle versus Gross Margin Summary Consumer Products Leaders




Inventory Turns versus Revenue/Employee
Inventory turns is a cycle metric while revenue/employee is a complexity ratio. While companies
have talked about the management of inventory, inventory turns for the consumer products
industry as a whole has stalled. Taking a look at performance at the intersection of these two
metrics, we see a very different story than the intersection of cash-to-cash cycles and gross
margin shown above.

   1. Inventory Turns versus Revenue/Employee 2000-2003

With the implementation of new systems and the establishment of the global footprint, P&G
takes an early lead in revenue/employee and continues this lead through the decade. While
Colgate shows early progress in inventory turns, they are unable to sustain a competitive
advantage. Kraft is unable to show steady progress against the goal, and Kimberly Clark
improves performance over the last two years.




Copyright © 2012                    Supply Chain Insights LLC                             Page 15
Figure 7. Inventory Turns versus Revenue/Employee 2000-2003 Consumer Products Leaders




   2. Inventory Turns versus Revenue/Employee 2004-2007

   With product proliferation, and the beginning downturn of the economy with the early impact
   of the recession, all companies are unable to maintain progress on working capital.
   Unilever’s definition of regional supply chains with high autonomy and the regional brand
   presence puts it at the bottom of the pack. Procter & Gamble’s acquisition of Gillette slows
   the company’s progress on inventory and working capital.




Copyright © 2012                   Supply Chain Insights LLC                             Page 16
Figure 8. Inventory Turns versus Revenue/Employee 2004-2007 for Consumer Products Leaders




   3. Inventory Turns versus Revenue/Employee 2008-2012

   In this period, Procter & Gamble was able to drive new levels of inventory turns through the
   implementation of demand sensing and advanced inventory optimization technologies.
   Kimberly Clark adopts similar strategies and drives similar results two years later. Kraft,
   while having the technologies, loses focus and attempts to absorb the Cadbury acquisition.
   The company goes through many changes in supply chain leadership with inconsistent
   progress. Colgate remains focused and makes small improvements.




Copyright © 2012                    Supply Chain Insights LLC                              Page 17
Figure 9. Inventory Turns versus Revenue/Employee 2008-2012 for Consumer Products Leaders




   4. Inventory Turns versus Revenue/Employee Summary

Procter & Gamble has the strongest year-over year performance out performing peer group at
this intersection of the Effective Frontier. Inventory turns push upward with a decline during the
absorption of the Gillette acquisition. Kraft makes year-over-year progress on inventory turns
and revenue/employee, but is not able to make as much progress as shown above in the gross
margin/cash-to-cash analysis. Colgate, while the leader in gross margin, is unable to improve
inventory turns or match the peer group on revenue/employee. Unilever lags the peer group
with a much lower performance in inventory turns and revenue/employee.




Copyright © 2012                     Supply Chain Insights LLC                             Page 18
Figure 10. Inventory Turns versus Revenue/Employee 2002-2011 for Consumer Products Leaders




So, in driving performance improvements at the intersection of the effective frontier, from the
analysis of balance sheet data, we believe that P&G outperforms their peer group over the
course of the last decade.

Through the use of this case study, it is our goal to give insights on how to use the methodology.
This methodology can be applied easily to your peer group by requesting the data at the Supply
Chain Insights Community.




Copyright © 2012                     Supply Chain Insights LLC                             Page 19
Recommendations
While we have discussed supply chain excellence for the last 30 years, the definition is not clear
and the current work in the market muddies the discussion. We believe that supply chain teams
need to become a better business partner through the use of financial data to benchmark supply
chain performance.

Using this methodology, push the team to improve year-over-year performance through a multi-
year phased plan. Use the Supply Chain Effective Frontier to guide the trade-off discussions
and judge success through the evaluation of financial metrics. Begin this activity, by identifying
the peer group and understanding your supply chain potential. Evaluate the ability of the supply
chain to withstand demand and supply shocks and learn from the patterns. Build a multi-year
road map to align the organization and help guide the supply chain team on how to best make
trade-offs on the Supply Chain Effective Frontier.




Copyright © 2012                     Supply Chain Insights LLC                             Page 20
Appendix

Methodology
Formulas used on the financial data and supply chain ratios in this report are listed in Table 3.

Table 3: Definitions of Supply Chain Ratios Readily Available from Financial Balance Sheets



Growth                     Profitability         Cycle                        Complexity
Cost of Goods Sold         Cost of Goods         Cash-to-Cash Cycle           Altman Z
to Revenue Ratio                1                Days of inventory + days     *8 variable equation for
                           Sold                  of sales outstanding         predicting corporate risk
(cost of goods sold)/
(revenue)                                        (receivables) - days of
                                                 payables outstanding
R & D Margin               Free Cash             Days of Inventory            Current Ratio
(1- (R & D                 Flow Ratio            (average inventory/cost of   (current assets)/ (current
spend/revenue))            (free cash flow)/     goods sold) * 365            liabilities)
                           (revenue)



R & D to COGS              Gross Margin          Days of Payables             Quick Ratio
Ratio                      (revenue-cost of      Outstanding                  (current assets - inventories)/
(R & D spend)/ (cost of    goods                 (accounts payable/ cost of   (current liabilities)
goods sold)                sold)/(revenue)       goods sold ) * 365
SGA Margin                 Net Income1           Days of Sales                Return on Assets
(sga)/ (revenue)                                 Outstanding                  net income/ total assets
                                                 (accounts receivable/
                                                 revenue) *365
SGA to COGS Ratio          Operating             Days of Payables             Return on Equity
(selling, general &        Margin                Outstanding to Days          (net income)/ (shareholder's
administrative             (operating income)/   of Sales                     equity)
costs)/(cost of goods      (revenue)
sold)
                                                 Outstanding
                                                 (days payables
                                                 outstanding)/ (days sales
                                                 outstanding)
Year-over-Year                                   Inventory Turns              Return on Invested
Sales Growth                                     (cost of goods sold)/        Capital
(revenue year y -                                (inventory)                  (net income- dividends) /(total
revenue year                                                                  capital)
x)/(revenue year x)
                                                                              Return on Net
                                                                              Assets(net income)/ (fixed
                                                                              assets + net working capital)
                                                                              Revenue per
                                                                              Employee(revenue)/
                                                                              (employee count)
1
Cost of Goods Sold and Net Income reported directly from the balance sheet.




Copyright © 2012                      Supply Chain Insights LLC                                Page 21
About Supply Chain Insights LLC
Supply Chain Insights LLC (SCI) is a research and advisory firm focused on reinventing the
analyst model. The services of the company are designed to help supply chain teams improve
value-based outcomes through research-based Advisory Services, a Dedicated Supply Chain
Community and Web-based Training. Formed in February 2012, the company is focused on
helping technology providers and users of technologies improve value in their supply chain
practices.



About Lora Cecere
                     Lora Cecere (twitter ID @lcecere) is the Founder of Supply Chain Insights
                     LLC and the author of popular enterprise software blog Supply Chain
                     Shaman currently read by 4500 supply chain professionals. Her book,
                     Bricks Matter, publishes in December 2012.

                     With over eight years as a research analyst with AMR Research,
                     Altimeter Group, Gartner Group and now as a Founder of Supply Chain
                     Insights, Lora understands supply chain. She has worked with over 600
                     companies on their supply chain strategy and speaks at over 50
conferences a year on the evolution of supply chain processes and technologies. Her research
is designed for the early adopter seeking first mover advantage.




Copyright © 2012                    Supply Chain Insights LLC                           Page 22

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Conquering the Supply Chain Effective Frontier

  • 1. Conquering the Supply Chain Effective Frontier A Handbook for the Value Chain Leader to Manage Trade-offs in Defining Supply Chain Excellence 9/20/2012 By Lora Cecere Founder and CEO Supply Chain Insights LLC
  • 2. Contents Research ................................................................................................................................... 2 Disclosure .................................................................................................................................. 2 Research Methodology and Overview ........................................................................................ 2 Executive Overview ................................................................................................................... 3 Why it Matters ............................................................................................................................ 4 What is Supply Chain Excellence? ............................................................................................. 4 Comparison of Methodologies.................................................................................................... 9 Analyst Methodologies ........................................................................................................... 9 Industry Benchmarking Data .................................................................................................10 Case Study On the Use of This Methodology ............................................................................ 11 Cash-to-Cash Comparison to Gross Margin ..........................................................................12 Inventory Turns versus Revenue/Employee ..........................................................................15 Recommendations ....................................................................................................................20 Appendix ...................................................................................................................................21 Methodology ..........................................................................................................................21 About Supply Chain Insights LLC ..............................................................................................22 About Lora Cecere ....................................................................................................................22 Copyright © 2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Page 1
  • 3. Research This independent research is 100% funded by Supply Chain Insights and is published using the principle of Open Content research. It is intended for you to read, share, and use to improve your decisions on the use of financial data to benchmark with your peers. When you use it, all we ask for in return is attribution. We publish under the Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike 3.0 United States Creative Commons License and the citation policy can be found on the Supply Chain Insights website. Disclosure Your trust is important to us. As such, we are open and transparent about our financial relationships and our research processes. Research Methodology and Overview This report is based on analysis of financial balance sheet data for the period of 1995-2012 and qualitative discussions with supply chain leaders in supply chain strategy engagements. Detail on the calculations of the financial metrics and ratios used in the analysis are listed in the Methodology section in the Appendix. Copyright © 2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Page 2
  • 4. Executive Overview Supply chain practices are nearing their third decade of maturation. The term supply chain excellence is bandied about by leaders, consultants and technology providers, but there is no alignment on what it means. Conventional systems of measurement for supply chain excellence are problematic. In this report, we share insights gained during interviews with 75 supply chain pioneers. Based on their feedback we created a new framework, that we define here as the Supply Chain Effective Frontier, for supply chain leaders to use to determine supply chain excellence. This methodology is based on publicly available financial balance sheet data grouped into four sets of supply chain ratios: growth, profitability, cycle, and complexity. We believe that supply chain excellence is best defined as the alignment of the supply chain team to deliver results to meet and exceed the requirements of the business strategy. This requires a clear vision and cross-functional coordination and alignment over a multi-year road map. It needs to be holistic. A supply chain is a complex system with increasing business complexity. The analysis needs to facilitate a clear understanding of trade-offs embedded in day-to-day decision making. It is this clarity that we find missing in many teams that we work with, and it is for this reason we wrote this report. This framework is evolving. For the past four months, using these ratios, we have been plotting industry peer groups to understand the evolution of supply chain excellence in the period of 1995-2012. Our learning curve has been steep, and the work has been intense. In this report, we do not pretend to have all the answers; but we want to share the insights that we have currently to help mature the methodology and advance the discussion of supply chain excellence. In this report we share the methodology, our insights from the interviews, and apply the concepts to an industry peer group. Copyright © 2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Page 3
  • 5. Why it Matters Supply chain leaders want a yardstick. They seek a measurement system to judge how well they are doing. There are two sources of data in the industry: analyst comparisons of Fortune 500 companies and benchmarking data. Both are problematic. In this report, we share how supply chain leaders can use readily available financial data to benchmark their supply chain to overcome these issues. What is Supply Chain Excellence? We believe that the definition of supply chain excellence is the alignment of source, make, sell and deliver processes to maximize the business strategy. It starts with a clear definition of supply chain strategy implemented over multiple years. It needs to be an end-to-end vision measured by financial results. No real impact can be made in a supply chain in less than three years. It takes time. Marty Kisliuk, Director of Global Operations and Business Development, FMC Corporation Agricultural Products Group It is easier said than done. Supply chains are complex systems with complex business processes with increasing complexity. As a result, supply chain excellence needs to be viewed as a set of trade-offs. Leaders make these consciously, while laggards let the supply chains whip them around. These trade-offs form the effective frontier—defining supply chain potential— for the supply chain team. Assuming that the goal of the team is profitable growth, figure 1 reflects the Supply Chain Effective Frontier. In value chain design, these trade-offs need to be managed vertically and horizontally while recognizing the supply chain as a complex system. In our work on supply chain strategy, we find that most companies recognize increasing business complexity without recognizing the supply chain as a complex system. The gap in understanding this fundamental concept is a barrier to achieving supply chain excellence. In multiple quantitative surveys, we find that the executive leadership team’s lack of understanding of supply chain fundamentals ranks as one of the top three problems for supply chain teams today. Copyright © 2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Page 4
  • 6. Figure 1. The Supply Chain Effective Frontier Supply chains need to be fit for purpose. They need to be designed. Many are inherited. It starts with goal clarity. The outcome cannot be broad-brushed in a simple maturity model. As shown in the Supply Chain Effective Frontier framework it needs to recognize the impact of corporate trade-offs, business investment strategies, supply chain trade-offs and the degree of complexity in business policies. These together form the system definition of the Supply Chain Effective Frontier. While students of economics might caution that this is the efficient frontier, we have consciously chosen not to define this as the “Efficient Frontier.” Companies have traditionally defined the most efficient supply chain as the most effective supply chain with the lowest cost per unit. It is our belief that the most effective supply chain is not always the most efficient. As outlined in figure 2, and based on our study of 30 years of supply chain growth and evolution, we believe that companies transition through five stages of maturity: • Efficient Supply Chain. A singular focus on the lowest cost per unit by means of “sweating assets” and driving down costs/unit. Companies on this progression will quickly find that the supply chain is out of balance, and that this singular focus will drive up total organizational costs, increase working capital and decrease customer service reliability. Companies early in their understanding of supply chain management are largely in the Pharmaceutical and Retail industries. Copyright © 2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Page 5
  • 7. Figure 2. Definition of Supply Chain Excellence • Reliable Supply Chain. In the definition of the reliable supply chain, asset utilization and supply chain costs are aligned with customer service goals to drive the processes to deliver the right product, at the right place at the right time while delivered at the right cost. For students of supply chain management, this constitutes the basic “Rs” of traditional supply chain management. Companies with this level of understanding are typically found in mid-market Food & Beverage, Wholesale Distribution, and Industrial Chemical. • Resilient Supply Chain. In the design of the resilient supply chain, the network is configured to absorb demand and supply variability. This includes form and function of inventory, definition of supplier development relationships, postponement strategies, flexible manufacturing, and alternate modes of transportation. This is often seen as the adaptive supply chain. One that can deliver the same cost, quality and customer service given demand and supply fluctuations. Companies at this level of maturity are typically in Consumer Packaged Goods and High-tech and Electronics. • Adaptive Supply Chain. The adaptive supply chain, often termed demand driven, senses channel fluctuations and translates these changes into market drivers through demand sensing and shaping. This requires the transformation of sales-driven or marketing-driven approaches to be more demand-driven to define business policies to focus on “selling through” versus “selling into” the channel. A focus on value based outcomes affects business policies for customer relationships. This understanding is only currently understood by a select few supply chain leaders. Examples include Cisco Systems, Samsung, and Procter & Gamble. Copyright © 2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Page 6
  • 8. Aligned Supply Chain. The aligned supply chain is built on horizontal processes that can align the supply chain’s bidirectional shifts in both demand and supply. This requires the orchestration of demand and supply. Orchestration is the adoption of buy- and sell- side policies based on market drivers of demand, price and business strategy. This orchestration of policies affects demand shaping strategies and buy-side procurement strategies. This level of maturity is largely aspirational. The issues with rising commodity costs, and the evolution of new forms of predictive analytics, will push the definition of supply chain excellence toward market-driven value networks over the course of the next five years. Each stage is a prerequisite for the next. As a result, a company cannot move from one stage to the next without competency in the prior. However, in the progression, companies should exercise caution. Most companies are still wrestling with the fundamentals of the reliable or resilient supply chain, and as a result, should see the definition of demand-driven and market- driven value chains as aspirational. Each company moves at its own pace. Likewise, there is no one standard prescription for improvement. Each company is at a different point of maturity and understanding. However, we find that few companies use financial balance sheet data as a litmus test of supply chain excellence. It is the goal of this report to give supply chain leaders a methodology to better use financial data to understand supply chain excellence based on these frameworks. It is our belief that best-in-class supply chains have five characteristics: • Clarity of Supply Chain Strategy. When we talk to leaders, it is clear: Supply chain matters. There is a clear understanding of how supply chain drives the business strategy and how these decisions impact financial results. When we talk to supply chain laggards, and show them this methodology, they hang their heads and admit that they have not thought about it holistically. Many struggle to understand balance sheet metrics stating that they need a “refresher course.” • Consistent Year-over-Year Improvements to Peer Group. A supply chain leader improves the supply chain with a focus on continuous improvements in driving year- over-year results. There is consistency in direction despite market factors while balancing trade-offs. • Balance. It is our belief that supply chain leaders need to balance four factors: growth, profitability, cycles and business complexity. Through process improvement, a leader improves the capability and the performance of supply chain while Copyright © 2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Page 7
  • 9. maintaining balance. We believe that the financial ratios outlined in Table 1 are a good starting point for this analysis. • Understanding of the Complex System. The ability to manage policy, rewards and measurement as a complex system with a focus on balance defines the supply chain leaders. These leaders can separate discussions on supply chain complexity from the drivers of business complexity. This holistic system thinking is a characteristic of supply chain leaders. • Supply Chain is Business. For mature companies, the discussion of supply chain’s role in the business is not an issue. For laggards, there is a posturing for supply chain recognition and earning the right to have these discussions. In mature organizations, the supply chain is more than a cost center to squeeze. Instead, the supply chain is seen as a driver of business strategy. In these organizations, there is a close relationship between the supply chain finance team and the supply chain business leadership team to improve performance. Supply chain leaders are able to talk the language of business with a focus on serving the larger organization. Table 1: Useful Supply Chain Ratios from Financial Balance Sheets The use of financial ratios to evaluate supply chain performance eliminates the issues of comparison due to company size and currency. They are readily available and well-defined. We also believe that comparative financial balance sheet data is underutilized. It is hard to get. To complete this analysis, Supply Chain Insights built a database of relevant financial ratios outlined in Table 1 to be used in supply chain comparative analysis. Copyright © 2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Page 8
  • 10. Comparison of Methodologies The development of the effective frontier methodology is the outcome of work with many clients on supply chain benchmarking and watching the maturation of the market. There are currently two methodologies to judge supply chain performance: analyst methodologies and peer benchmarking. So, you might say, why create a third? It is our belief that there needs to be a methodology to overcome the fundamental issues with the two existing methods in the market today. Analyst Methodologies In the last five years, industry analysts have attempted to define methodologies to evaluate supply chain excellence. The most widely known is the AMR Research Top 25 now owned by Gartner and renamed the Gartner Top 25. It has now been refined through eight cycles of data. It was a good starting point. The Gartner Top 25 attempts to rate companies cross-industry based on a three-year comparative analysis of growth, inventory and return on assets (ROA) augmented by peer ratings and industry analyst insight. This analysis has three limitations: • Limited View. It is an analysis of Fortune 500 and Global 2000 companies. As a result, it is an exclusive club. Mid-market and smaller companies want to know how they stack up. The methodology is not applicable to them. • Benchmark Data. The study focuses on a three year weighted average of financial data and is augmented by peer group and analyst input. It is our belief that three years of performance data are just the tip of the iceberg. We believe that true supply chain excellence happens over many years. • Peer Group. The fundamental flaw of this methodology is the peer group. Supply chain leaders just do not believe that putting all supply chains in a spreadsheet and shaking them up helps the industry at large. We do not believe that the comparison of a high- tech supply chain to a retail supply chain to a chemical supply chain is relevant. Each supply chain has different market drivers and the comparison of potential should be limited to the specific peer group. • Bias. The methodology is biased to high-tech and electronics companies. Asset intensive supply chains will never measure up using this methodology. By definition, the methodology penalizes the in-sourcing of manufacturing and process-intensive industries. Copyright © 2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Page 9
  • 11. Industry Benchmarking Data As companies mature, they want to know how their supply chain compares to others. They turn to their friends in the industry to understand what is possible. They want to know whether they are getting better or worse and what good looks like. They are hungry to know if they have reached their supply chain potential. While this sounds simple, the answers to these questions are not easy. The ability to get comparison data on supply chain performance is easier said than done. These services have primarily focused on the reporting of forecast accuracy, inventory data and customer service performance. Companies in self-reported data have a tendency to overstate performance, and there is a lack of consistent industry definitions to ensure apples-to-apples reporting. While there are many services in the market that have evolved to share benchmark data, there are five fundamental flaws that cannot be overcome. • Self-reported Data. The issue of overstating results is a monumental challenge for widely available benchmarking services. • Consistent Definitions. When it comes to supply chain benchmarking, the basics matter. Definitions, granularity and frequency of the process need to align for the data to be relevant. Industry standard definitions do not exist. • Common Data Model. To be useful in benchmark comparisons, the planning systems need to have similar data models. Few companies have implemented planning in a similar enough manner to facilitate peer group benchmarking. For most, this is overlooked. • Timeliness. One of the issues with benchmarking is timeliness. Data gathered in inconsistent snapshots—once or twice a year—is not useful. There needs to be a regular, standardized system of reporting. • Peer Group. An essential element to getting useful benchmark data is having a comparable peer group. In most systems, it is very difficult to get relevant data for a peer group. After considering all the available options in the market, and judging them against these pitfalls, we believe that the only source of reliable supply chain data with standardized reporting is financial balance sheet ratios. It is for this reason we applied the supply chain financial ratios to the Effective Frontier Framework in figure 1. Copyright © 2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Page 10
  • 12. Case Study On the Use of This Methodology Since the graphing of these results can be complex and hard to read, we show how this methodology can be applied by sharing two intersections of the data for consumer products companies in a time-series analysis. The evaluation is of five companies Colgate, Kimberly Clark, Kraft, Procter & Gamble and Unilever for the period of 2000-2012. The evaluation is broken into time increments of: • 2000-2003: Dawn of Supply Chain Strategy. During this period, we saw the evolution of Supply Chain process teams, the automation of B2B processes, the beginning of global expansion and the building of global supply chain teams. Software systems were evolving and processes were in flux from recent implementations and the recovery from Y2K. This was the starting line for many companies in their journey on delivering supply chain excellence. • 2004-2007: Global Expansion. In this period, we saw the development of global teams, the maturation of modern trade policies in Europe and North American and the establishment of customer teams. This period also gave birth to global commodity buying practices and the establishment of teams to manage procurement through aggregate buying strategies. During this period, each company's network became more complex and products proliferated. Most were not ready for the shock wave of the Great Recession. • 2008-2012: Great Recession and Recovery. Starting in 2008, companies experienced the shock waves of the great recession and rebounded. This was also a time of transition. The first generation of supply chain talent passed the baton to the second and the focus moved to the definition of network relationships and the automation of the value network to align with corporate social responsibility initiatives. As shown in Table 2, the companies in this case study vary in size, number of employees and geographic location, but each of the companies built a global supply chain team and focused on serving the consumer products market with comparable products in the timeframe studied. Copyright © 2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Page 11
  • 13. Table 2: Comparison of Consumer Products Companies Cash-to-Cash Comparison to Gross Margin Ask any supply chain leader if they care about “cash-to-cash cycles” and “gross margin” and you will get violent agreement that they both matter. But, if you ask them how they perform against their peer group for year-over-year performance on the effective frontier, they just do not know the information. Cash-to-Cash is a cycle metric while Gross Margin is a metric of profitability. In this case study, we show how this comparison can help a supply chain team. 1. Cash-to-Cash Cycle versus Gross Margin 2000-2003 At this point in the evolution of supply chain maturity, the five companies in this case study are closely clustered with Colgate showing an advantage in gross margin performance. All of the companies listed in figure 3 have gone through major implementations of Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) and Advanced Planning Systems (APS) technologies. Each has a similar technology system. Only Procter & Gamble has improved cash-to-cash cycles through the implementation of technology. Copyright © 2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Page 12
  • 14. Figure 3. Cash-to-Cash Cycle versus Gross Margin 2000-2003 for Consumer Product Leaders 2. Cash-to-Cash Cycle versus Gross Margin 2004-2007 In this period, Colgate maintains a leadership advantage in gross margin with a strong focus on maintaining gross margin while maintaining cash-to-cash cycles despite the proliferation of products. P&G absorbs Gillette with a slight increase in cash-to-cash cycles. The cash-to-cash cycles for Kraft improve slightly, but gross margin declines as Kraft begins the spin-off of the company from Altria. Unilever redefines procurement practices and drives down cash-to-cash cycles. Figure 4. Cash-to-Cash Cycle versus Gross Margin 2004-2007 for Consumer Products Leaders Copyright © 2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Page 13
  • 15. 3. Cash-to-Cash Cycle versus Gross Margin 2008-2012 In this period, Unilever is hit the hardest by the recession with a serious decline of gross margin. Coordination of regional supply chains becomes more difficult with multiple changes in leadership and direction. Kimberly Clark builds capabilities to improve cash-to-cash cycles with a slight decline in gross margin, while P&G makes steady improvements in cash-to-cash cycles while maintaining margin. Figure 5. Cash-to-Cash Cycle versus Gross Margin 2008-2012 for Consumer Products Leaders 4. Cash-to-Cash Cycle versus Gross Margin Summary The summary of twelve years is shown below with averages indicated by diamonds. If only looking at this intersection of financial metrics, you might reward Colgate or P&G as the best supply chain, but before crowning the winner, we believe that it requires further analysis of the Supply Chain Effective Frontier. Copyright © 2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Page 14
  • 16. Figure 6. Cash-to-Cash Cycle versus Gross Margin Summary Consumer Products Leaders Inventory Turns versus Revenue/Employee Inventory turns is a cycle metric while revenue/employee is a complexity ratio. While companies have talked about the management of inventory, inventory turns for the consumer products industry as a whole has stalled. Taking a look at performance at the intersection of these two metrics, we see a very different story than the intersection of cash-to-cash cycles and gross margin shown above. 1. Inventory Turns versus Revenue/Employee 2000-2003 With the implementation of new systems and the establishment of the global footprint, P&G takes an early lead in revenue/employee and continues this lead through the decade. While Colgate shows early progress in inventory turns, they are unable to sustain a competitive advantage. Kraft is unable to show steady progress against the goal, and Kimberly Clark improves performance over the last two years. Copyright © 2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Page 15
  • 17. Figure 7. Inventory Turns versus Revenue/Employee 2000-2003 Consumer Products Leaders 2. Inventory Turns versus Revenue/Employee 2004-2007 With product proliferation, and the beginning downturn of the economy with the early impact of the recession, all companies are unable to maintain progress on working capital. Unilever’s definition of regional supply chains with high autonomy and the regional brand presence puts it at the bottom of the pack. Procter & Gamble’s acquisition of Gillette slows the company’s progress on inventory and working capital. Copyright © 2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Page 16
  • 18. Figure 8. Inventory Turns versus Revenue/Employee 2004-2007 for Consumer Products Leaders 3. Inventory Turns versus Revenue/Employee 2008-2012 In this period, Procter & Gamble was able to drive new levels of inventory turns through the implementation of demand sensing and advanced inventory optimization technologies. Kimberly Clark adopts similar strategies and drives similar results two years later. Kraft, while having the technologies, loses focus and attempts to absorb the Cadbury acquisition. The company goes through many changes in supply chain leadership with inconsistent progress. Colgate remains focused and makes small improvements. Copyright © 2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Page 17
  • 19. Figure 9. Inventory Turns versus Revenue/Employee 2008-2012 for Consumer Products Leaders 4. Inventory Turns versus Revenue/Employee Summary Procter & Gamble has the strongest year-over year performance out performing peer group at this intersection of the Effective Frontier. Inventory turns push upward with a decline during the absorption of the Gillette acquisition. Kraft makes year-over-year progress on inventory turns and revenue/employee, but is not able to make as much progress as shown above in the gross margin/cash-to-cash analysis. Colgate, while the leader in gross margin, is unable to improve inventory turns or match the peer group on revenue/employee. Unilever lags the peer group with a much lower performance in inventory turns and revenue/employee. Copyright © 2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Page 18
  • 20. Figure 10. Inventory Turns versus Revenue/Employee 2002-2011 for Consumer Products Leaders So, in driving performance improvements at the intersection of the effective frontier, from the analysis of balance sheet data, we believe that P&G outperforms their peer group over the course of the last decade. Through the use of this case study, it is our goal to give insights on how to use the methodology. This methodology can be applied easily to your peer group by requesting the data at the Supply Chain Insights Community. Copyright © 2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Page 19
  • 21. Recommendations While we have discussed supply chain excellence for the last 30 years, the definition is not clear and the current work in the market muddies the discussion. We believe that supply chain teams need to become a better business partner through the use of financial data to benchmark supply chain performance. Using this methodology, push the team to improve year-over-year performance through a multi- year phased plan. Use the Supply Chain Effective Frontier to guide the trade-off discussions and judge success through the evaluation of financial metrics. Begin this activity, by identifying the peer group and understanding your supply chain potential. Evaluate the ability of the supply chain to withstand demand and supply shocks and learn from the patterns. Build a multi-year road map to align the organization and help guide the supply chain team on how to best make trade-offs on the Supply Chain Effective Frontier. Copyright © 2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Page 20
  • 22. Appendix Methodology Formulas used on the financial data and supply chain ratios in this report are listed in Table 3. Table 3: Definitions of Supply Chain Ratios Readily Available from Financial Balance Sheets Growth Profitability Cycle Complexity Cost of Goods Sold Cost of Goods Cash-to-Cash Cycle Altman Z to Revenue Ratio 1 Days of inventory + days *8 variable equation for Sold of sales outstanding predicting corporate risk (cost of goods sold)/ (revenue) (receivables) - days of payables outstanding R & D Margin Free Cash Days of Inventory Current Ratio (1- (R & D Flow Ratio (average inventory/cost of (current assets)/ (current spend/revenue)) (free cash flow)/ goods sold) * 365 liabilities) (revenue) R & D to COGS Gross Margin Days of Payables Quick Ratio Ratio (revenue-cost of Outstanding (current assets - inventories)/ (R & D spend)/ (cost of goods (accounts payable/ cost of (current liabilities) goods sold) sold)/(revenue) goods sold ) * 365 SGA Margin Net Income1 Days of Sales Return on Assets (sga)/ (revenue) Outstanding net income/ total assets (accounts receivable/ revenue) *365 SGA to COGS Ratio Operating Days of Payables Return on Equity (selling, general & Margin Outstanding to Days (net income)/ (shareholder's administrative (operating income)/ of Sales equity) costs)/(cost of goods (revenue) sold) Outstanding (days payables outstanding)/ (days sales outstanding) Year-over-Year Inventory Turns Return on Invested Sales Growth (cost of goods sold)/ Capital (revenue year y - (inventory) (net income- dividends) /(total revenue year capital) x)/(revenue year x) Return on Net Assets(net income)/ (fixed assets + net working capital) Revenue per Employee(revenue)/ (employee count) 1 Cost of Goods Sold and Net Income reported directly from the balance sheet. Copyright © 2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Page 21
  • 23. About Supply Chain Insights LLC Supply Chain Insights LLC (SCI) is a research and advisory firm focused on reinventing the analyst model. The services of the company are designed to help supply chain teams improve value-based outcomes through research-based Advisory Services, a Dedicated Supply Chain Community and Web-based Training. Formed in February 2012, the company is focused on helping technology providers and users of technologies improve value in their supply chain practices. About Lora Cecere Lora Cecere (twitter ID @lcecere) is the Founder of Supply Chain Insights LLC and the author of popular enterprise software blog Supply Chain Shaman currently read by 4500 supply chain professionals. Her book, Bricks Matter, publishes in December 2012. With over eight years as a research analyst with AMR Research, Altimeter Group, Gartner Group and now as a Founder of Supply Chain Insights, Lora understands supply chain. She has worked with over 600 companies on their supply chain strategy and speaks at over 50 conferences a year on the evolution of supply chain processes and technologies. Her research is designed for the early adopter seeking first mover advantage. Copyright © 2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Page 22