Lamar Van Dusen is explaining the Optimal Turnover Revisited and Levels Corresponding to the Highest Net Return. Lamar Van Dusan provides all financial solutions and he is so talented in his work.
In All About Factors, we cover the basics of what factors are, where we expect them to derive their excess returns from, their advantages and disadvantages and if there is indeed any merit to this approach or if it just another Wall Street marketing gimmick.
After covering the commonly accepted factors basics, we discuss expectations for factor investing, the theory as to why short-term pain must be present for long-term return, and some key considerations in moving from the academic research to creating investible portfolios.
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We generally assume the past is a good guide to the future, but well do we even know the past? What effect does this uncertainty when estimating inputs have on the notoriously unstable algorithms for portfolio optimization?
I explore this issue, look at some commonly used solutions, and also introduce some alternative methods.
In a lower expected return environment, should we just accept lower withdrawal rates?
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"Opportunities and Pitfalls in Momentum Investing" by Gary Antonacci, Author ...Quantopian
Presented at QuantCon Singapore 2016, Quantopian's quantitative finance and algorithmic trading conference, November 11th.
Gary will begin by explaining the origins and history of momentum investing. He will show why momentum is called “the premier anomaly.” He will describe the way momentum is most commonly used and why this may not be the best approach. He will discuss the hidden risks associated with momentum and other factor based investments.
Using easily understood examples and historical research findings, he will show how relative strength momentum can enhance investment returns, while trend-following absolute momentum can dramatically decrease risk exposure.
Gary will show which assets are best to use for momentum investing. Finally, he will describe the behavioral biases you must deal with and the mind set you need to become a successful momentum investor.
In this talk you will learn how to:
a) Spot the best momentum investment opportunities in any market environment.
b) Protect yourself from bear market risk exposure and behavioral biases.
c) Construct your own low-cost, rules-based dual momentum portfolio that is simple to understand and easy to maintain.
"Build Effective Risk Management on Top of Your Trading Strategy" by Danielle...Quantopian
Presented at QuantCon Singapore 2016, Quantopian's quantitative finance and algorithmic trading conference, November 11th.
Risk management is an essential but often overlooked prerequisite to success in trading. No one would like to see their substantial profits generated over his lifetime of trading just vanishing over a few bad trades.
In this talk, Danielle will discuss a quantitative understanding of risk. She will then share a few techniques in risk management, with a case study to show how a proper risk management system helps improve the overall performance of trading strategies.
How effective is your method of managing portfolio risk? We compare and contrast different approaches – including fixed income, managed futures, low volatility equities, and tactical – to explore the relative protection they can deliver versus the return drag they can create.
"Is Momentum Still Relevant for Today’s Markets?" by Anthony Ng, Senior LecturerQuantopian
Presented at QuantCon Singapore 2016, Quantopian's quantitative finance and algorithmic trading conference, November 11th.
Despite being ‘discovered’ over 20 years ago, there is still confusion on what a momentum strategy entails and people ‘invest in momentum’. There are two generally accepted definitions of momentum in academic literature. In the quantitative equity investment sphere, momentum is frequently referred to as across securities or assets (cross-sectional or relative) and typically traded in a long-short or hedged manner. In futures trading, momentum is often referred to the past return of the security (time-series) and normally traded in a directional fashion.
Following from the above, we conducted an analysis on the performance of a momentum strategy of different asset classes: equity, fixed income, futures, and currencies. The study showed that both types of momentum are prevalent and persistent across all asset classes. Furthermore, as the correlations between the two types of momentum strategies and amongst the asset classes are quite low, substantial diversification benefit can be derived by combining them.
Combining unconstrained and tactical investment strategies to seek hedging, equity-like, and absolute-return style investment exposure.
Explores how to combine tactical equity, minimum volatility, managed futures, risk parity, and other approaches.
Netwealth portfolio construction series - Why you should consider investing o...netwealthInvest
Julian Beaumont from Bennelong Australian Equity Partners presented a webinar session on how to invest outside of the top 20 ASX stocks, for Netwealth on May 26, 2016.
"A Framework-Based Approach to Building Quantitative Trading Systems" by Dr. ...Quantopian
Contrary to popular wisdom the difference between a retail quant trader and a professional portfolio manager is not in "having better trade entry and exit rules". Rather it is the difference in how each approaches the concepts of portfolio optimisation and risk management.
Both of these topics are synonymous with heavy math, which can be off-putting for beginner retail systematic traders. Hence, it can be extremely daunting for those without institutional experience to know how to turn a set of trading rules into a robust portfolio and risk management system.
In this talk, Mike will discuss how to take a typical retail quant strategy and place it in a professional quantitative trading framework, with proper position sizing and risk assessment, without resorting to pages of formulas or the need to have a PhD in statistics!
Information to help you and your family manage your inheritance questions, plan your retirement and ensure you have sustainable cash flow to see you through your twilight years.
If your company needs to submit a Investment Advice Proposal PowerPoint Presentation Slides look no further.Our researchers have analyzed thousands of proposals on this topic for effectiveness and conversion. Just download our template, add your company data and submit to your client for a positive response. http://bit.ly/39mhbnB
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Big Lots, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a home discount retailer in the United States. The company offers products under various merchandising categories, such as furniture category that includes upholstery, mattresses, case goods, and ready-to-assemble departments.
Based on the Big Lots Inc stock forecasts from 9 analysts, the average analyst target price for Big Lots Inc is USD 38.69 over the next 12 months. Big Lots Inc’s average analyst rating is Under-perform. Stock Target Advisor’s own stock analysis of Big Lots Inc is Neutral, which is based on 9 positive signals and 9 negative signals. At the last closing, Big Lots Inc’s stock price was USD 26.23. Big Lots Inc’s stock price has changed by -20.18% over the past week, -24.84% over the past month and -58.78% over the last year.
The Lovesac Company designs, manufactures, and sells furniture. It offers sactionals, such as seats and sides; sacs, including foam beanbag chairs; and accessories comprising drink holders, footsac blankets, decorative pillows, fitted seat tables, and ottomans.
Based on the The Lovesac Company stock forecasts from 5 analysts, the average analyst target price for The Lovesac Company is USD 105.29 over the next 12 months. The Lovesac Company’s average analyst rating is Strong Buy. Stock Target Advisor’s own stock analysis of The Lovesac Company is Bullish , which is based on 10 positive signals and 4 negative signals. At the last closing, The Lovesac Company’s stock price was USD 31.82. The Lovesac Company’s stock price has changed by -12.46% over the past week, -15.12% over the past month and -65.18% over the last year.
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2. 1
Capacity Analysis
Academic Definitions and Industry Practice
The dependence between portfolio performance and size of fund
The study of ways to increase AUM for a target level of return
Identification of optimal turnover for every level of AUM
How to expand fund size while ‘remaining efficient’
Current investment strategy will lose 15 places in its ranking by growing
to $5B
Based on a peer group of 746 names the fund will likely fall into the
second quartile by growing to $6B
Growing to $3.5B, while keeping within first quartile, might be possible
with careful liquidity planning
At a level of $2.5B, there is room to increase turnover
3. 2
An Alternative View of Portfolio Capacity Analysis
General themes
ex ante versus ex post
strategy space underlying
investment decisions
Fixed portfolio
strategy
Determination of
turnover and net
returns jointly
Capacity
Conclusions
Ex post analysis
Ex ante analysis
4. 3
Cost and Fixed Portfolio Strategies
Daily Market-Impact Costs for U.S. Indices Trade Lists up to $5 Billion
Comparative Market-Impact Costs
US Index Lists Trading One-Day VWAP $100M to $5B
(cost estimates as of August 31, 2006)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000
Dollar Volume Trading One-Day VWAP ($mil)
DailyMarket-ImpactCost(bps)
SP500 Equal Weight
SP500 Index Weight
R2000 Equal Weight
R2000 Index Weight
5. 4
Past is Prologue
“Optimal” Turnover
Optimal Turnover, Net Return Decrease with Higher AUM
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
10%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 110% 120% 130% 140% 150%
Monthly Turnover Rate
NetAnnualReturn
Net Return ($20B)
Net Return ($10B)
Net Return ($5B)
Net Return ($2B)
Paper Return
Optimal Turnover Rates for Different Levels of Assets Under Management
6. 5
An Efficient Frontier for Turnover
The Turnover Efficient Frontier
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 125% 150%
Monthly Turnover Rate
NetAnnualReturn
Net Return ($10B)
Net Return ($5B)
Net Return ($2B)
Turnover Efficient Frontier
Sub-Optimal turnover performance drag
(A) Optimal turnover $2B AUM
(C) Optimal turnover $5B
(B) Sub-Optimal turnover $5B AUM
7. 6
Regional Weights in a Tangent Portfolio
August 2008
$500 Million
39
46
3
7
42
31
16 16
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
North
Am.
Latin
Am.
Europe Asia
paper
100%
Source: Investment Technology Group, Inc.
10. 9
Optimal Turnover Revisited
Levels Corresponding to Highest Net Return
Optimal Turnover for a Given tau and Portfolio Wealth
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
250 500 1000 2000 5000
Portfolio wealth, $mln
Tunover,%permonth
-0.25%
-0.20%
-0.15%
-0.10%
-0.05%
0.00%
Return,%permonth
return optimal tau return tau=0 optimal turnover
turnover tau=0 turnover tau=50
11. 10
Removing Turnover Constraints
The envelope curve which traverses all possible turnover levels for a $500mln fund
and which passes through the highest net return
13. 12
Two Lessons from the Analysis
Previous focus on turnover as a choice variable, and on its role as
a proxy for implementation cost, is misplaced
• Considering stock-specific transaction costs at the portfolio construction
stage enables higher turnover levels
• Turnover levels are determined through the interaction of alpha predictions
and expected cost estimates
• Managing at higher turnover levels allows for faster processing of new
information, and in conjunction with cost control, leads to superior net return
Limiting the strategy space within which portfolio strategy is
formulated negatively impacts returns and reduces the capacity of
a fund
• Limiting that set of strategies also distorts capacity analysis and biases
capacity choice down, in general
• There is particular importance to adding trading strategy to the strategy space
underlying the investment decision
14. 13
Disclaimers
The information contained herein has been taken from trade and statistical services and other
sources we deem reliable but we do not represent that such information is accurate or
complete and it should not be relied upon as such. No guarantee or warranty is made as to the
reasonableness of the assumptions or the accuracy of the models or market data used by
Investment Technology Group, Inc. or the actual results that may be achieved. These materials
are for informational purposes only, and are not intended to be used for trading or investment
purposes or as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security or financial
product. These materials do not provide any form of advice (investment, tax or
legal). Investment Technology Group, Inc. is not a registered investment adviser and does not
provide investment advice or recommendations to buy or sell securities, to hire any
investment adviser or to pursue any investment or trading strategy.
Any opinions expressed herein reflect the judgment of the individual presenter as this date and
do not necessarily reflect the opinions of Investment Technology Group, Inc. All information,
analysis and terms set forth herein are indicative, based on, among other things, market
conditions as of the time of this presentation, and are subject to change without notice.