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Sound and proven philosophy
Lamar Van Dusen
Agenda
• Team, philosophy and process
• Performance drivers
• Investment outlook
• Q & A
Yoonjai Shin, CFA
Director
Fund/manager analysis
Asset allocations
Currency strategy
Fund selection
Project management
Andrew Ashworth
Analyst
Fund/manager analysis
Cash flow management
Performance reporting
Lewis Harkes, CFA
Senior Analyst
Fund/manager analysis
Performance reporting
Alfred Lam, CFA
VP & Portfolio Manager
Investment strategy / Asset allocations
Fund selection/ Currency strategy
Communications
Marchello Holditch, CFA
Senior Analyst
Fund/manager analysis
Investment Consulting team
Total return = Asset mix + Alpha + Market beta + Currency – Tax – Fees
Optimize
Maximize Manage
Manage/
reduce Minimize
Reduce
Total return equation
Depth and quality of portfolio management
teams
Attribution analysis of Evolution models
Please refer to the next page for full performance history
Multiple sources of added value
80i20e 70i30e 60i40e 50i50e 40i60e 30i70e 20i80e 100e
Total Return (net MER) Total Return 7.6% 10.2% 13.4% 15.8% 19.2% 22.1% 25.1% 31.2%
Blended Index (net MER)* Market Return (Beta) 1.8% 4.3% 6.9% 9.4% 12.0% 14.6% 17.1% 22.3%
Added Value Active Management 5.8% 5.9% 6.5% 6.3% 7.2% 7.6% 7.9% 8.9%
Asset mix 4.1% 3.9% 4.0% 3.0% 3.1% 2.7% 2.3% 1.9%
Currency (Total) -0.1% -0.1% -0.2% -0.2% -0.2% -0.3% -0.3% -0.3%
Currency model -0.6% -0.7% -0.9% -1.1% -1.3% -1.5% -1.6% -1.8%
Currency tactics 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 1.0% 1.2% 1.3% 1.5%
Security Selection 1.8% 2.2% 2.6% 3.6% 4.4% 5.1% 5.9% 7.3%
*Blended benchmark is a blended performance of the DEX Universe Bond Index for the income portion and a blend of 50% S&P/TSX Composite Index and
50% MSCI World Index C$ for the equity portion; the same MER charged to our portfolio was deducted from the index performance.
Performance of Evolution models
Standard models represent mix of pools and mutual funds recommended by CI Investment Consulting.
Returns are net of fees.
As of September 30, 2013 3m 6m YTD 1y 2y 3y 5y
Evolution 100i 0.7 -0.8 0.7 2.2 4.6 3.6 5.2
Evolution 80i20e 1.2 0.9 4.5 6.5 7.3 5.2 5.4
Evolution 70i30e 1.6 1.9 6.3 8.6 8.6 5.9 5.6
Evolution 60i40e 2.1 3.0 8.4 11.1 10.2 6.6 5.8
Evolution 50i50e 2.6 3.8 10.0 13.2 11.7 7.3 6.1
Evolution 40i60e 3.2 5.1 12.3 15.8 13.5 8.3 6.5
Evolution 30i70e 3.7 6.0 14.2 18.0 15.0 8.9 6.7
Evolution 20i80e 4.1 7.1 16.1 20.3 16.5 9.5 6.8
Evolution 100e 5.1 9.2 19.9 24.6 18.8 10.6 7.2
As of December 31, 2013 3m 6m YTD 1y 2y 3y 5y
Evolution 100i 1.8 2.4 2.5 2.5 4.4 4.4 5.3
Evolution 80i20e 3.0 4.2 7.6 7.6 7.5 5.7 6.9
Evolution 70i30e 3.7 5.4 10.2 10.2 9.2 6.3 7.5
Evolution 60i40e 4.6 6.8 13.4 13.4 11.0 7.1 8.0
Evolution 50i50e 5.3 8.0 15.8 15.8 12.7 7.7 8.9
Evolution 40i60e 6.2 9.5 19.2 19.2 14.7 8.6 10.1
Evolution 30i70e 7.0 10.9 22.1 22.1 16.5 9.2 10.8
Evolution 20i80e 7.7 12.1 25.1 25.1 18.2 9.9 11.4
Evolution 100e 9.4 15.0 31.2 31.2 21.3 11.0 12.5
Multiple sources of added value
14 out of 18 pools outperformed their
benchmarks
Portfolio Advisor
2013 Performance
(Class W) Out-performance
Out-performers:
United Canadian Equity Growth Pool Cambridge 48.6 35.6
United Canadian Equity Small Cap Pool QV Investors 36.6 28.8
United Canadian Equity Alpha Corporate Class QV Investors 30.0 17.0
United Canadian Equity Value Pool Tetrem 29.9 16.9
United International Equity Growth Pool Cambridge & PMAM 38.1 6.2
United US Equity Alpha Corporate Class Tetrem 46.6 4.9
United U.S. Equity Growth Pool Wellington 46.1 4.4
United Canadian Fixed Income Pool Signature & Lawrence Park 0.7 1.9
United International Equity Alpha Corporate Class PMAM 33.5 1.6
United U.S. Equity Value Pool Epoch 43.0 1.3
United Emerging Markets Pool Signature 5.5 1.0
United Real Estate Investment Pool Cohen & Steers 12.6 0.9
United Enhanced Income Pool Signature 10.2 0.8
United Cash Management Pool Signature 1.2 0.2
Under-performers:
United Short Term Income Pool Signature 1.5 -0.3
United International Equity Value Pool Altrinsic 31.3 -0.6
United Global Fixed Income Pool Signature 1.2 -1.0
United U.S. Equity Small Cap Pool Epoch 46.4 -2.1
Alpha funds have added alpha
As of December 31, 2013
1-Year 2-Year 3-Year 4-Year 5-Year Inception**
(Annualized) (Annualized) (Annualized) (Annualized) (Annualized)
Cdn Alpha 30.3% 22.8% 14.2% 14.6% 17.3% 11.4%
S&P/TSX Composite Index 13.0% 10.1% 3.4% 6.8% 11.9% 2.8%
US Alpha 46.8% 26.0% 14.9% 13.7% 16.9% 10.8%
S&P 500 Index (C$) 41.7% 26.6% 18.7% 16.2% 14.7% 9.5%
Intl Alpha 33.9% 25.7% 10.4% 11.0% 11.9% 6.7%
MSCI EAFE Index (C$) 31.9% 23.1% 11.0% 8.8% 9.9% 4.5%
Alpha: 1/3 Canada, 1/3 US, 1/3 Intl 37.0% 24.8% 13.2% 13.1% 15.4% 9.6%
Index: 1/3 TSX, 1/3 S&P 500, 1/3 EAFE 28.9% 19.9% 11.0% 10.6% 12.2% 5.6%
Added Value 8.1% 4.9% 2.1% 2.5% 3.2% 4.0%
*Note performances reported above are gross-of-fees
**Inception date was August 31, 2008
Source: Investment Consulting, Dexia, Bloomberg
Canadian dollar (US$)
0.70
0.80
0.90
1.00
1.10
Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13
Dynamic hedging introduced
12% cumulative return
$120 million added value
50% hedged
30% hedged
10% hedged
70% hedged
30% hedged
Source: Bloomberg, CI Investments
Currency management also sets us apart
Dynamic hedging introduced
Source: Bloomberg, CI Investments
Portfolio Series - Best Fund of Funds Award - 2011
Portfolio Series - Best Fund of Funds Award - 2012
Portfolio Series Income Fund - Best Global Fixed
Income Balanced Award - 2012
Portfolio Series Income Fund - Best Global Fixed
Income Balanced Award - 2013
Portfolio Select Series - Best Fund of Funds Award - 2013
Industry recognition
 Sound and proven philosophy
 Solid track record
 Industry recognition
 Strong net flows
To sum it up…
For illustration purposes only; there is no guarantee on results
Outlook: Return expectations
Equity Funds
6-8%
Balanced Funds
5-7%
Select Income
3-4%Bond Funds
0-1%
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
2013
expected range of returns actual returns in 2013
Source: TD Securities, CPMS, I/B/E/S
Outlook: Equity market
26 26
24 24
22 22
20 20
18 18
16 16
14 14
12 12
10 10
8 8
86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14
TSX
S&P 500
Forward Price to Earnings Multiples
Broad markets are reasonably priced; stock selection to matter more
5-Year Government of Canada bond yields
Source: Bank of Canada
Bonds remain challenged but volatility offers opportunities
Outlook: Bond market
1.00
1.25
1.50
1.75
2.00
2.25
Dec-11
Feb-12
Apr-12
Jun-12
Aug-12
Oct-12
Dec-12
Feb-13
Apr-13
Jun-13
Aug-13
Oct-13
Dec-13
Represented by Select Income Managed Corporate Class
Source: CI Investments
Weighting (%) 2011
Q4
2012
Q1
2012
Q2
2012
Q3
2012
Q4
2013
Q1
2013
Q2
2013
Q3
2013
Q4 Target
Cash 12 15 21 21 27 34 24 21 22 0%
Government &
IG corporate
49 44 41 41 36 31 44 48 44 60%
High yield
bonds
21 22 19 18 15 13 12 11 14 20%
High-dividend
Stocks
18 19 19 20 22 22 20 20 20 20%
Duration (yrs) 5.1 4.5 4.2 4.1 4.1 3.3 3.7 4.0 3.7
Dynamic income asset mix to achieve
superior risk-adjusted returns
FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY
Select Income Managed Corporate Class
Performance as of December 31, 2013
% 3Mth 6Mth YTD 1Yr 3Yr 5Yr
Since
Inception* Risk
Select Income Managed Corporate Class
(Class A)
1.7 2.6 4.0 4.0 4.4 6.1 3.9 2.3
DEX Universe Bond Index 0.4 0.5 -1.2 -1.2 3.9 4.8 n/a 3.1
*November 2005
Performance has met expectations
Total: 97 observations (months)
Select Income Managed Corporate Class
Monthly Return Distribution
6%
16%
57%
18%
3%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
<-1% -1% to 0% 0% to 1% 1% to 2% >2%
Monthly Return Ranges
Frequency
Controlled volatility
Thank you.

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Lamar Van Dusen | Sound and proven philosophy

  • 1. Sound and proven philosophy Lamar Van Dusen
  • 2. Agenda • Team, philosophy and process • Performance drivers • Investment outlook • Q & A
  • 3. Yoonjai Shin, CFA Director Fund/manager analysis Asset allocations Currency strategy Fund selection Project management Andrew Ashworth Analyst Fund/manager analysis Cash flow management Performance reporting Lewis Harkes, CFA Senior Analyst Fund/manager analysis Performance reporting Alfred Lam, CFA VP & Portfolio Manager Investment strategy / Asset allocations Fund selection/ Currency strategy Communications Marchello Holditch, CFA Senior Analyst Fund/manager analysis Investment Consulting team
  • 4. Total return = Asset mix + Alpha + Market beta + Currency – Tax – Fees Optimize Maximize Manage Manage/ reduce Minimize Reduce Total return equation
  • 5. Depth and quality of portfolio management teams
  • 6. Attribution analysis of Evolution models Please refer to the next page for full performance history Multiple sources of added value 80i20e 70i30e 60i40e 50i50e 40i60e 30i70e 20i80e 100e Total Return (net MER) Total Return 7.6% 10.2% 13.4% 15.8% 19.2% 22.1% 25.1% 31.2% Blended Index (net MER)* Market Return (Beta) 1.8% 4.3% 6.9% 9.4% 12.0% 14.6% 17.1% 22.3% Added Value Active Management 5.8% 5.9% 6.5% 6.3% 7.2% 7.6% 7.9% 8.9% Asset mix 4.1% 3.9% 4.0% 3.0% 3.1% 2.7% 2.3% 1.9% Currency (Total) -0.1% -0.1% -0.2% -0.2% -0.2% -0.3% -0.3% -0.3% Currency model -0.6% -0.7% -0.9% -1.1% -1.3% -1.5% -1.6% -1.8% Currency tactics 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 1.0% 1.2% 1.3% 1.5% Security Selection 1.8% 2.2% 2.6% 3.6% 4.4% 5.1% 5.9% 7.3% *Blended benchmark is a blended performance of the DEX Universe Bond Index for the income portion and a blend of 50% S&P/TSX Composite Index and 50% MSCI World Index C$ for the equity portion; the same MER charged to our portfolio was deducted from the index performance.
  • 7. Performance of Evolution models Standard models represent mix of pools and mutual funds recommended by CI Investment Consulting. Returns are net of fees. As of September 30, 2013 3m 6m YTD 1y 2y 3y 5y Evolution 100i 0.7 -0.8 0.7 2.2 4.6 3.6 5.2 Evolution 80i20e 1.2 0.9 4.5 6.5 7.3 5.2 5.4 Evolution 70i30e 1.6 1.9 6.3 8.6 8.6 5.9 5.6 Evolution 60i40e 2.1 3.0 8.4 11.1 10.2 6.6 5.8 Evolution 50i50e 2.6 3.8 10.0 13.2 11.7 7.3 6.1 Evolution 40i60e 3.2 5.1 12.3 15.8 13.5 8.3 6.5 Evolution 30i70e 3.7 6.0 14.2 18.0 15.0 8.9 6.7 Evolution 20i80e 4.1 7.1 16.1 20.3 16.5 9.5 6.8 Evolution 100e 5.1 9.2 19.9 24.6 18.8 10.6 7.2 As of December 31, 2013 3m 6m YTD 1y 2y 3y 5y Evolution 100i 1.8 2.4 2.5 2.5 4.4 4.4 5.3 Evolution 80i20e 3.0 4.2 7.6 7.6 7.5 5.7 6.9 Evolution 70i30e 3.7 5.4 10.2 10.2 9.2 6.3 7.5 Evolution 60i40e 4.6 6.8 13.4 13.4 11.0 7.1 8.0 Evolution 50i50e 5.3 8.0 15.8 15.8 12.7 7.7 8.9 Evolution 40i60e 6.2 9.5 19.2 19.2 14.7 8.6 10.1 Evolution 30i70e 7.0 10.9 22.1 22.1 16.5 9.2 10.8 Evolution 20i80e 7.7 12.1 25.1 25.1 18.2 9.9 11.4 Evolution 100e 9.4 15.0 31.2 31.2 21.3 11.0 12.5 Multiple sources of added value
  • 8. 14 out of 18 pools outperformed their benchmarks Portfolio Advisor 2013 Performance (Class W) Out-performance Out-performers: United Canadian Equity Growth Pool Cambridge 48.6 35.6 United Canadian Equity Small Cap Pool QV Investors 36.6 28.8 United Canadian Equity Alpha Corporate Class QV Investors 30.0 17.0 United Canadian Equity Value Pool Tetrem 29.9 16.9 United International Equity Growth Pool Cambridge & PMAM 38.1 6.2 United US Equity Alpha Corporate Class Tetrem 46.6 4.9 United U.S. Equity Growth Pool Wellington 46.1 4.4 United Canadian Fixed Income Pool Signature & Lawrence Park 0.7 1.9 United International Equity Alpha Corporate Class PMAM 33.5 1.6 United U.S. Equity Value Pool Epoch 43.0 1.3 United Emerging Markets Pool Signature 5.5 1.0 United Real Estate Investment Pool Cohen & Steers 12.6 0.9 United Enhanced Income Pool Signature 10.2 0.8 United Cash Management Pool Signature 1.2 0.2 Under-performers: United Short Term Income Pool Signature 1.5 -0.3 United International Equity Value Pool Altrinsic 31.3 -0.6 United Global Fixed Income Pool Signature 1.2 -1.0 United U.S. Equity Small Cap Pool Epoch 46.4 -2.1
  • 9. Alpha funds have added alpha As of December 31, 2013 1-Year 2-Year 3-Year 4-Year 5-Year Inception** (Annualized) (Annualized) (Annualized) (Annualized) (Annualized) Cdn Alpha 30.3% 22.8% 14.2% 14.6% 17.3% 11.4% S&P/TSX Composite Index 13.0% 10.1% 3.4% 6.8% 11.9% 2.8% US Alpha 46.8% 26.0% 14.9% 13.7% 16.9% 10.8% S&P 500 Index (C$) 41.7% 26.6% 18.7% 16.2% 14.7% 9.5% Intl Alpha 33.9% 25.7% 10.4% 11.0% 11.9% 6.7% MSCI EAFE Index (C$) 31.9% 23.1% 11.0% 8.8% 9.9% 4.5% Alpha: 1/3 Canada, 1/3 US, 1/3 Intl 37.0% 24.8% 13.2% 13.1% 15.4% 9.6% Index: 1/3 TSX, 1/3 S&P 500, 1/3 EAFE 28.9% 19.9% 11.0% 10.6% 12.2% 5.6% Added Value 8.1% 4.9% 2.1% 2.5% 3.2% 4.0% *Note performances reported above are gross-of-fees **Inception date was August 31, 2008 Source: Investment Consulting, Dexia, Bloomberg
  • 10. Canadian dollar (US$) 0.70 0.80 0.90 1.00 1.10 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Dynamic hedging introduced 12% cumulative return $120 million added value 50% hedged 30% hedged 10% hedged 70% hedged 30% hedged Source: Bloomberg, CI Investments Currency management also sets us apart Dynamic hedging introduced Source: Bloomberg, CI Investments
  • 11. Portfolio Series - Best Fund of Funds Award - 2011 Portfolio Series - Best Fund of Funds Award - 2012 Portfolio Series Income Fund - Best Global Fixed Income Balanced Award - 2012 Portfolio Series Income Fund - Best Global Fixed Income Balanced Award - 2013 Portfolio Select Series - Best Fund of Funds Award - 2013 Industry recognition
  • 12.  Sound and proven philosophy  Solid track record  Industry recognition  Strong net flows To sum it up…
  • 13. For illustration purposes only; there is no guarantee on results Outlook: Return expectations Equity Funds 6-8% Balanced Funds 5-7% Select Income 3-4%Bond Funds 0-1% -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 2013 expected range of returns actual returns in 2013
  • 14. Source: TD Securities, CPMS, I/B/E/S Outlook: Equity market 26 26 24 24 22 22 20 20 18 18 16 16 14 14 12 12 10 10 8 8 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 TSX S&P 500 Forward Price to Earnings Multiples Broad markets are reasonably priced; stock selection to matter more
  • 15. 5-Year Government of Canada bond yields Source: Bank of Canada Bonds remain challenged but volatility offers opportunities Outlook: Bond market 1.00 1.25 1.50 1.75 2.00 2.25 Dec-11 Feb-12 Apr-12 Jun-12 Aug-12 Oct-12 Dec-12 Feb-13 Apr-13 Jun-13 Aug-13 Oct-13 Dec-13
  • 16. Represented by Select Income Managed Corporate Class Source: CI Investments Weighting (%) 2011 Q4 2012 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2013 Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 Target Cash 12 15 21 21 27 34 24 21 22 0% Government & IG corporate 49 44 41 41 36 31 44 48 44 60% High yield bonds 21 22 19 18 15 13 12 11 14 20% High-dividend Stocks 18 19 19 20 22 22 20 20 20 20% Duration (yrs) 5.1 4.5 4.2 4.1 4.1 3.3 3.7 4.0 3.7 Dynamic income asset mix to achieve superior risk-adjusted returns
  • 17. FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY Select Income Managed Corporate Class Performance as of December 31, 2013 % 3Mth 6Mth YTD 1Yr 3Yr 5Yr Since Inception* Risk Select Income Managed Corporate Class (Class A) 1.7 2.6 4.0 4.0 4.4 6.1 3.9 2.3 DEX Universe Bond Index 0.4 0.5 -1.2 -1.2 3.9 4.8 n/a 3.1 *November 2005 Performance has met expectations
  • 18. Total: 97 observations (months) Select Income Managed Corporate Class Monthly Return Distribution 6% 16% 57% 18% 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% <-1% -1% to 0% 0% to 1% 1% to 2% >2% Monthly Return Ranges Frequency Controlled volatility