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Strategic financial management
                 Topic to be covered
1.   Financial strategy and planning
2.   Project planning and control
3.   Risk evaluation and capital budgeting
4.   Dividend and retention policies
5.   Valuation of business
6.   Analysis of risk and un certainty
7.   Business restructuring and industrial sickness
8.   Designing capital structure
9.   Operating and financial leverages
What is strategy?
   Strategy :- where the organization want to go to
    fulfill its purpose and achieve its mission , it provides
    a frame work for guiding choices which determine
    the organizational nature and direction and these
    choices relates to the organizations products or
    services , markets , key capabilities , growth , return
    on capital and allocation of resources
     in short it is declaration of intent of the
    organization
What is Strategic Planning?
   A systematic analytical approach which reviews the
    business as a whole in relation to its environment
    with the object of the following .
   Developing an integrated , coordinated and
    consistent view of the route the company wishes to
    follow
   Facilitating the adaptation of the organization to
    environmental changes
   Process to establish priorities on what you will
    accomplish in the future
    Forces you to make choices on what you will do
    and what you will not do
    Pulls the entire organization together around a
    single game plan for execution
    Broad outline on where resources will get allocated
Competitive forces for formulating and
       implementing business strategy :-

1. The threat of new entrant.
2. The threat of substitute product or services.

3. The rivalry amongst the existing players of
   industry.
4. The bargaining power of supplier.

5. The bargaining power of consumer.
Strategic planning Process
   Study the external and internal environments.
   Identify marketplace opportunities and threats.
   Determine how to use core competencies.
   Use strategic intent to leverage resources,
    capabilities and core competencies and win
    competitive battles.
   Integrate formulation and implementation of
    strategies.
   Seek feedback to improve strategies.
Strategic planning process
Strategic planning process of McDonald
Economic environment of the business
                    International factors
   Develop communities like European union
   Foreign exchange rates of countries
   Inflation, interest and wages rates
   Economic and trade agreement
   Entry barriers
   Globalization and liberalization of trade
   Double taxation relief agreements
   BOP and BOT
   Monetary and economic policy
   Personal and corporate tax rates
   Political situation
Internal factors
   Inflation rate
   GDP
   Personal and corporate tax rates
   BOP and BOT
   Foreign exchange rates of countries
   Monetary and economic policy
   Government policy and subsidy
   Fiscal deficit
   Entry and exit barriers
   Un employment rates
   Availability of technology
   Man power
Organizational factors
   Nature of business
   Size of business
   Expectation of market return
   Assets and liability structure of firm
   Efficiency of the firm
   Ownership pattern
   Age of the business
   Liquidity of the firm
   Technology adapted
   Efficiency of human resource
   ROI generated
Strategic financial management
   It is a long range in the scope and mainly
    focus on the organization on whole. the
    concept is based on the present scenario
    organization and setting up the target to
    achieving the context of an intelligent and
    knowledgeable anticipation of changes in
    the environment.
   It should enables the firm to allocation of
    funds, capitalizations of relative strength,
    mitigations      of     weakness,      early
    identification of shifts in environment
    counter action, reduction in financial cost.
    etc
What is Financial Forecasting?
      It is a Part of Planning process.
      They are inferences as to what the future may
       be.
      Extends over a time horizon.
      Based on:
i.     Economic assumptions (interest rate, inflation
       rate, growth rate and so on).
ii.    Sales forecast.
iii.   Pro forma statements of Income account and
       Balance sheet.
iv.    Asset requirements.
v.     Financing plan.
vi.    Cash Budget
Techniques of Financial forecasting .
   Performa Financial Statements.
:- Percent of Sales Method
:- days sales method
:- Income statements and balance sheet
   Cash Budgets. Operating Budgets. Sales
    Budget
   Simple linear Regression method
   Multiple regression method
   Projected fund flow
   cash flow method
Performa Financial
                Statements
 A comprehensive look at the likely future financial
. performance.
   Pro forma Income Statement. (Represents the
    operational plan for the whole organization.)

   Pro forma Balance sheet. (Reflects the cumulative
    impact of anticipated future decisions).
Preparation of Pro Forma Income
                Statements
             Percent of Sales Method
   Assumes that future relationship between various elements
    of cost to sales will be similar to their historical
    relationships.

   These cost ratios are generally based on the average of
    previous two or three years.

   For example, Cost of Goods sold may be expressed as a
    percentage of Sales.
Performa Financial Statements
              Day sales method
It is traditional method used to forecast the
sales by calculating the number of days
sales and established its relation with the
balance sheet items to arrive at the
forecasted balance sheet. Specially
emphasized on firms funs requirements
Pro forma Balance sheet
                   .
        Projections for Balance sheet can be made as
                                    under:
   .   Employ Percent of Sales method to project items on the
        asset side, except “Investments” and “Misc Exp &
        Losses”.
       Expected values for Investment and Misc exp can be
        estimated using specific information.
       Use Percent of sales method to project values of current
        liabilities and Provisions. (Also referred to as
        ‘spontaneous liabilities’)
       Projected values of R & S can be obtained by adding
        projected retained earnings from P&L Performa
        statement.
Continue …………
5.   Projected value for Equity and preferential capital can
     be set tentatively equal to their previous values.

6.   Projected values for loan funds will be tentatively equal
     to their previous level less repayments or retirements.

5.   Compare the total of asset side with that of liabilities
     side and determine the balancing figure. (If assets
     exceed liabilities, the balancing figure represents
     external funding requirement. If liabilities exceeds
     Assets, the balancing item represents ‘surplus
     available funds’ )
Cash budget, operating budget and sales
                   budget.
   A good example of short-term financial planning is
    the Cash Budget. The Cash Budget is an estimate
    of future cash inflows and outflows. Cash Budgets
    are often included with the Budgeted Balance
    Sheet. However, it should be noted that Cash
    Budgets are not widely used as a general
    forecasting tool since they are specific to one
    account, namely cash. Instead, Cash Budgets are
    often used by Cash Managers and Treasury
    personnel for managing cash.
Simple linear & Multiple regression method
   A statistical approach can be used for forecasting. We
    can rely on the average relationships between a
    dependent variable and an independent variable. Simple
    regressions look at one independent variable (such as
    sales pricing or advertising expenses) whereas multiple
    regressions consider two or more variables (such as
    sales pricing and advertising expenses together).
    Regression analysis is very popular for forecasting sales
    since it helps us find the right fit over a range of
    observations. For example, if we plot out the following
    observations, we can prepare a scatter graph and find
    the right fit:
Example of regression method
                                                            Scatter Graph for
                                                            Five Observations
Advertising Exp.   Sales
   Dollars
                                              $1,700
$ 100               $ 1,500                   $1,650
$ 150               $ 1,560                   $1,600




                              Sales Dollars
$ 180               $ 1,610                   $1,550
                                              $1,500
$ 220               $ 1,655
                                              $1,450
$ 270               $ 1,685                            $0   $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300
                                                                Advertising Dollars
Projected fund flow and cash flow.
   It is a detailed projected statements of
    income realized in a cash as well as credit
    income and expenditure of a firm. cash
    flow mainly focus on cash inflows and out
    flows of various details represents in
    balance sheet and income statements
   Fund flow mainly focus on working capital
    requirement and application of various
    sources of fund and utilization of that
    resources of the firm affecting balance
    sheet format.

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Strategic financial management

  • 1. Strategic financial management Topic to be covered 1. Financial strategy and planning 2. Project planning and control 3. Risk evaluation and capital budgeting 4. Dividend and retention policies 5. Valuation of business 6. Analysis of risk and un certainty 7. Business restructuring and industrial sickness 8. Designing capital structure 9. Operating and financial leverages
  • 2. What is strategy?  Strategy :- where the organization want to go to fulfill its purpose and achieve its mission , it provides a frame work for guiding choices which determine the organizational nature and direction and these choices relates to the organizations products or services , markets , key capabilities , growth , return on capital and allocation of resources  in short it is declaration of intent of the organization
  • 3. What is Strategic Planning?  A systematic analytical approach which reviews the business as a whole in relation to its environment with the object of the following .  Developing an integrated , coordinated and consistent view of the route the company wishes to follow  Facilitating the adaptation of the organization to environmental changes  Process to establish priorities on what you will accomplish in the future  Forces you to make choices on what you will do and what you will not do  Pulls the entire organization together around a single game plan for execution  Broad outline on where resources will get allocated
  • 4. Competitive forces for formulating and implementing business strategy :- 1. The threat of new entrant. 2. The threat of substitute product or services. 3. The rivalry amongst the existing players of industry. 4. The bargaining power of supplier. 5. The bargaining power of consumer.
  • 5. Strategic planning Process  Study the external and internal environments.  Identify marketplace opportunities and threats.  Determine how to use core competencies.  Use strategic intent to leverage resources, capabilities and core competencies and win competitive battles.  Integrate formulation and implementation of strategies.  Seek feedback to improve strategies.
  • 8. Economic environment of the business International factors  Develop communities like European union  Foreign exchange rates of countries  Inflation, interest and wages rates  Economic and trade agreement  Entry barriers  Globalization and liberalization of trade  Double taxation relief agreements  BOP and BOT  Monetary and economic policy  Personal and corporate tax rates  Political situation
  • 9. Internal factors  Inflation rate  GDP  Personal and corporate tax rates  BOP and BOT  Foreign exchange rates of countries  Monetary and economic policy  Government policy and subsidy  Fiscal deficit  Entry and exit barriers  Un employment rates  Availability of technology  Man power
  • 10. Organizational factors  Nature of business  Size of business  Expectation of market return  Assets and liability structure of firm  Efficiency of the firm  Ownership pattern  Age of the business  Liquidity of the firm  Technology adapted  Efficiency of human resource  ROI generated
  • 11. Strategic financial management  It is a long range in the scope and mainly focus on the organization on whole. the concept is based on the present scenario organization and setting up the target to achieving the context of an intelligent and knowledgeable anticipation of changes in the environment.  It should enables the firm to allocation of funds, capitalizations of relative strength, mitigations of weakness, early identification of shifts in environment counter action, reduction in financial cost. etc
  • 12. What is Financial Forecasting?  It is a Part of Planning process.  They are inferences as to what the future may be.  Extends over a time horizon.  Based on: i. Economic assumptions (interest rate, inflation rate, growth rate and so on). ii. Sales forecast. iii. Pro forma statements of Income account and Balance sheet. iv. Asset requirements. v. Financing plan. vi. Cash Budget
  • 13. Techniques of Financial forecasting .  Performa Financial Statements. :- Percent of Sales Method :- days sales method :- Income statements and balance sheet  Cash Budgets. Operating Budgets. Sales Budget  Simple linear Regression method  Multiple regression method  Projected fund flow  cash flow method
  • 14. Performa Financial Statements  A comprehensive look at the likely future financial . performance.  Pro forma Income Statement. (Represents the operational plan for the whole organization.)  Pro forma Balance sheet. (Reflects the cumulative impact of anticipated future decisions).
  • 15. Preparation of Pro Forma Income Statements Percent of Sales Method  Assumes that future relationship between various elements of cost to sales will be similar to their historical relationships.  These cost ratios are generally based on the average of previous two or three years.  For example, Cost of Goods sold may be expressed as a percentage of Sales.
  • 16. Performa Financial Statements  Day sales method It is traditional method used to forecast the sales by calculating the number of days sales and established its relation with the balance sheet items to arrive at the forecasted balance sheet. Specially emphasized on firms funs requirements
  • 17. Pro forma Balance sheet . Projections for Balance sheet can be made as under:  . Employ Percent of Sales method to project items on the asset side, except “Investments” and “Misc Exp & Losses”.  Expected values for Investment and Misc exp can be estimated using specific information.  Use Percent of sales method to project values of current liabilities and Provisions. (Also referred to as ‘spontaneous liabilities’)  Projected values of R & S can be obtained by adding projected retained earnings from P&L Performa statement.
  • 18. Continue ………… 5. Projected value for Equity and preferential capital can be set tentatively equal to their previous values. 6. Projected values for loan funds will be tentatively equal to their previous level less repayments or retirements. 5. Compare the total of asset side with that of liabilities side and determine the balancing figure. (If assets exceed liabilities, the balancing figure represents external funding requirement. If liabilities exceeds Assets, the balancing item represents ‘surplus available funds’ )
  • 19. Cash budget, operating budget and sales budget.  A good example of short-term financial planning is the Cash Budget. The Cash Budget is an estimate of future cash inflows and outflows. Cash Budgets are often included with the Budgeted Balance Sheet. However, it should be noted that Cash Budgets are not widely used as a general forecasting tool since they are specific to one account, namely cash. Instead, Cash Budgets are often used by Cash Managers and Treasury personnel for managing cash.
  • 20. Simple linear & Multiple regression method  A statistical approach can be used for forecasting. We can rely on the average relationships between a dependent variable and an independent variable. Simple regressions look at one independent variable (such as sales pricing or advertising expenses) whereas multiple regressions consider two or more variables (such as sales pricing and advertising expenses together). Regression analysis is very popular for forecasting sales since it helps us find the right fit over a range of observations. For example, if we plot out the following observations, we can prepare a scatter graph and find the right fit:
  • 21. Example of regression method Scatter Graph for Five Observations Advertising Exp. Sales Dollars $1,700 $ 100 $ 1,500 $1,650 $ 150 $ 1,560 $1,600 Sales Dollars $ 180 $ 1,610 $1,550 $1,500 $ 220 $ 1,655 $1,450 $ 270 $ 1,685 $0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 Advertising Dollars
  • 22. Projected fund flow and cash flow.  It is a detailed projected statements of income realized in a cash as well as credit income and expenditure of a firm. cash flow mainly focus on cash inflows and out flows of various details represents in balance sheet and income statements  Fund flow mainly focus on working capital requirement and application of various sources of fund and utilization of that resources of the firm affecting balance sheet format.