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The Economic Impact
                 of Texas A&M Home
                 Football Games



                                        Adam Sacks
                                          President
                                  Tourism Economics
                        An Oxford Economics Company



September 2012
About Oxford Economics
Oxford Economics

■ Oxford Economics is one of the world’s
  foremost independent providers of global
  economic research and consulting

■ Founded in 1981 as a joint venture with
  Templeton College in Oxford University

■ Team of 75 in-house economists

■ Forecasts for 190 countries, 100
  industries and 2,600 locations globally




   3
Our clients represent a global who’s who




 4
What do Texas A&M Football games mean to
           the local economy?
Majority see significant impact on business

    One-year impact:     Impact of games outside Brazos County
     66% state impact     Share of responses
     would be             35%
     significant or               One year
     catastrophic to      30%     Two years
     their businesses
                          25%
    Two-year impact:     20%
     74% significant or
     catastrophic         15%

                          10%

                           5%

                           0%
                                  No impact    Modest impact      Significant    Significant  Catastrophic
                                                               impact; profits impact; would impact; would
                                                                 would suffer post a loss but  go out of
                                                                but would still would survive  business
                                                                 be positive



66
Stakeholder comments: general impacts

    “The loss of sales during football season would be a ‘Double Whammy’. Visitors
     wouldn’t come and residents would leave.”

    Approximately 300 people attempt to start a new business each year in Bryan-College
     Station. Without home games, business loans will be more difficult to get.

    “Football season is our holiday season.”

    “The impact on our community would be devastating.”

    “80% of our profits are in the last 3-4 months of the year.”

    “Moving A&M home games would be a ‘self-induced recession’”

    “This would be our Hurricane Katrina and Oil Spill all in one.”

    Even after football returns, the impact will continue because some businesses will fail.




 7
Stakeholder comments: impact on students

 Many kids are working their way through college and depend on the
  jobs/gratuities generated by home games. The effect on student
  employment would place an additional burden on University financial
  aid.

 Moving games to Houston would pose a safety risk to students who
  would be driving on highways in large numbers.

 Home games are one of the best opportunities to recruit new
  students and players.

 One major grocery store sees a 30% increase in business on home
  game weekends. This store hires 140-160 students each year.




 8
Majority see significant impact on business

    The Oxford Economics      Increase in Student Employment During
     survey of businesses in   Football Season
     Brazos County found
                               70%
     that part time student
     employment increased      60%
     60% while full time       50%
     student employment
     increased 10% during      40%
     last football season.     30%

                               20%

                               10%

                               0%
                                          Part time           Full time




99
Stakeholder comments: finance and real estate

    The Exposition Complex could face default issues as its debt service is financed
     through 20% of the HOT tax.

    “Bank deposits are up significantly the Monday after home games.”

    “Most of our banking activity right now is related to game day real estate.”

    One condominium project is being developed with a $300,000 price point. Without
     home games, the units are not expected to sell.

    One business is planning a warehouse project that will be tabled if home games are
     moved.

    Independent School District (ISD) property taxes would suffer as assessments are
     based on income.




10
Quantifying the impact of Texas A&M home
              football games
Data intensive analysis

 Texas A&M Athletics Department - ticket and other revenue

 The Twelfth Man Foundation - ticket sales including
  geographic detail

 Survey of visitors to Brazos Valley conducted by DK Shifflet
  and Associates on behalf of the Office of the Governor,
  Economic Development and Tourism.

 Smith Travel Research data and bed tax collections

 Sales tax data

 Survey of local business



12
2011 Season: $120 million in spending

                                                     Spectator Spending by Origin
                                                     $ millions
                                                     100
                                                      90
   Texas A&M Home Football Game                       80
  Expenditure Sources, Brazos County                  70
            $ Thousand, 2011 Season
                                                      60
                           Total       Per Game
Spectators                  106,553         15,222    50
Media                          1,169           167    40
Team travel and catering         386            55
                                                      30
Hospitality events             5,000           714
Sponsorship                    6,000           857    20
Real Estate                      571            82    10
Total                       119,680         17,097
                                                        0
                                                                  Local             Out-of-town




13
..benefits to a broad range of industries

      Texas A&M Home Game Direct Spending
      $ millions

                         Tickets
             Food & Beverage
      Seat licenses / donations
                          Retail
                Transportation
                          Other
                    Sponsorship
             Accommodations
                                                (Dark blue = spectator
             Hospitality events
                                                      spending)
                          Media
                   Entertainment
                     Real estate
        Team travel & catering

                                   -   5   10       15      20       25   30




14
Hotel occupancy and rates spike

      Brazos County Hotel ADR & Occupancy, Fall 2011
      ADR, $                                          Occupancy, %
      200         ADR         Game Weekend         Occupancy
                                                                100

      180                                                       90
                                                                80
      160
                                                                70
      140                                                       60
      120                                                       50

      100                                                       40
                                                                30
      80
                                                                20
      60                                                        10
      40                                                        0
            Sep         Oct                  Nov



15
How spending generates impact
•    Visitors create direct economic value within a discreet group of sectors (e.g. recreation,
     transportation). This supports a relative proportion of jobs, wages, taxes, and GDP within
     each sector.
•    Each directly affected sector also purchases goods and services as inputs (e.g. food
     wholesalers, utilities) into production. These impacts are called indirect impacts.



                                                                 Lastly, the induced impact is
                                                                  generated when employees
                                                                  whose incomes are
                                                                  generated either directly or
                                                                  indirectly by travel, spend
                                                                  those incomes in the state
                                                                  economy.




    16
$177 million in business sales impacts

     A&M Home Game Sales Impacts
     $ thousand
     40,000
                                                        Induced
     35,000
                                                        Indirect
     30,000
                                                        Direct
     25,000

     20,000

     15,000

     10,000

      5,000

         0
                                                       FIRE
                                          Recreation
              F&B




                                                                                                     Lodging




                                                                                                                                            Comm.
                                                                                                               Education
                                                                                               Gas
                    Retail Trade




                                                                                                                           Transportation
                                   Gov.




                                                                              Personal Serv.
                                                              Bus. Services




17
Employment impact: 2,400 jobs
                  2011 A&M Home Game Employment Impacts
 Direct: 1,874
                  800

                  700
 Indirect and    600
                                                                                                  Induced

                                                                                                  Indirect
  Induced: 557    500
                                                                                                  Direct
                  400

                  300

                  200

                  100

                   0




                                                                                                                     FIRE
                        Recreation




                                                                                                                            Lodging




                                                                                                                                                  Comm.
                                     F&B




                                                                                                                                      Education
                                                                  Retail Trade




                                                                                                                                                          Gas
                                                                                                    Transportation
                                           Gov.




                                                                                 Personal Serv.
                                                  Bus. Services




 18
  18
Tax impact: $5.7 million in local taxes



                    Brazos County &
            Municipalities Tax Impact
                         $ Thousands, 2011
            Sales & Use Tax                  1,077
            Hotel Tax                          518
            Property Taxes                   4,029
            Other Taxes and Fees               137
            Total                            5,761




19
Upside potential in the SEC

       Impact of SEC Membership
       % above 2011
       25%


       20%


       15%


       10%


        5%


        0%
                      Spectators   Spending




20
What if home games were played outside the
              Brazos Valley?
Summary of losses: single season

      Summary of Losses if Home Games Leave Brazos County
                                         Single Season
                                     Direct        Indirect       Induced      Total
Business sales ($ thousand)              63,209          10,837       12,337       86,384
Personal income ($ thousand)             14,383           3,235        3,755       21,373
Employment (annual)                         744              95          116          955



         Brazos County &                                  $86 million in
Municipalities Potential Tax                               business sales
             Loss Impact
        $ Thousands, 7 Game Season                        $21 million in
 Sales & Use Tax                        478
 Hotel Tax                              456
                                                           household income
 Property Taxes                       1,786
 Other Taxes and Fees                    59
 Total                                2,778               955 jobs



 22
Conclusion
“Texas A&M should never consider taking away its main
attraction for the B/CS area—A&M football. It is the greatest
tradition of any university in the country. 90,000 fans, hotel
rooms, dinners, lunches, clothes, night life, cars, and yes
even mobile homes and RVs. The total commerce is
unbelievable. Don't give it to another city for any amount of
time.”

     - Survey respondent, August 2012




24
Q&A

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The Economic Impact of Texas A&M Home Football Games

  • 1. The Economic Impact of Texas A&M Home Football Games Adam Sacks President Tourism Economics An Oxford Economics Company September 2012
  • 3. Oxford Economics ■ Oxford Economics is one of the world’s foremost independent providers of global economic research and consulting ■ Founded in 1981 as a joint venture with Templeton College in Oxford University ■ Team of 75 in-house economists ■ Forecasts for 190 countries, 100 industries and 2,600 locations globally 3
  • 4. Our clients represent a global who’s who 4
  • 5. What do Texas A&M Football games mean to the local economy?
  • 6. Majority see significant impact on business  One-year impact: Impact of games outside Brazos County 66% state impact Share of responses would be 35% significant or One year catastrophic to 30% Two years their businesses 25%  Two-year impact: 20% 74% significant or catastrophic 15% 10% 5% 0% No impact Modest impact Significant Significant Catastrophic impact; profits impact; would impact; would would suffer post a loss but go out of but would still would survive business be positive 66
  • 7. Stakeholder comments: general impacts  “The loss of sales during football season would be a ‘Double Whammy’. Visitors wouldn’t come and residents would leave.”  Approximately 300 people attempt to start a new business each year in Bryan-College Station. Without home games, business loans will be more difficult to get.  “Football season is our holiday season.”  “The impact on our community would be devastating.”  “80% of our profits are in the last 3-4 months of the year.”  “Moving A&M home games would be a ‘self-induced recession’”  “This would be our Hurricane Katrina and Oil Spill all in one.”  Even after football returns, the impact will continue because some businesses will fail. 7
  • 8. Stakeholder comments: impact on students  Many kids are working their way through college and depend on the jobs/gratuities generated by home games. The effect on student employment would place an additional burden on University financial aid.  Moving games to Houston would pose a safety risk to students who would be driving on highways in large numbers.  Home games are one of the best opportunities to recruit new students and players.  One major grocery store sees a 30% increase in business on home game weekends. This store hires 140-160 students each year. 8
  • 9. Majority see significant impact on business  The Oxford Economics Increase in Student Employment During survey of businesses in Football Season Brazos County found 70% that part time student employment increased 60% 60% while full time 50% student employment increased 10% during 40% last football season. 30% 20% 10% 0% Part time Full time 99
  • 10. Stakeholder comments: finance and real estate  The Exposition Complex could face default issues as its debt service is financed through 20% of the HOT tax.  “Bank deposits are up significantly the Monday after home games.”  “Most of our banking activity right now is related to game day real estate.”  One condominium project is being developed with a $300,000 price point. Without home games, the units are not expected to sell.  One business is planning a warehouse project that will be tabled if home games are moved.  Independent School District (ISD) property taxes would suffer as assessments are based on income. 10
  • 11. Quantifying the impact of Texas A&M home football games
  • 12. Data intensive analysis  Texas A&M Athletics Department - ticket and other revenue  The Twelfth Man Foundation - ticket sales including geographic detail  Survey of visitors to Brazos Valley conducted by DK Shifflet and Associates on behalf of the Office of the Governor, Economic Development and Tourism.  Smith Travel Research data and bed tax collections  Sales tax data  Survey of local business 12
  • 13. 2011 Season: $120 million in spending Spectator Spending by Origin $ millions 100 90 Texas A&M Home Football Game 80 Expenditure Sources, Brazos County 70 $ Thousand, 2011 Season 60 Total Per Game Spectators 106,553 15,222 50 Media 1,169 167 40 Team travel and catering 386 55 30 Hospitality events 5,000 714 Sponsorship 6,000 857 20 Real Estate 571 82 10 Total 119,680 17,097 0 Local Out-of-town 13
  • 14. ..benefits to a broad range of industries Texas A&M Home Game Direct Spending $ millions Tickets Food & Beverage Seat licenses / donations Retail Transportation Other Sponsorship Accommodations (Dark blue = spectator Hospitality events spending) Media Entertainment Real estate Team travel & catering - 5 10 15 20 25 30 14
  • 15. Hotel occupancy and rates spike Brazos County Hotel ADR & Occupancy, Fall 2011 ADR, $ Occupancy, % 200 ADR Game Weekend Occupancy 100 180 90 80 160 70 140 60 120 50 100 40 30 80 20 60 10 40 0 Sep Oct Nov 15
  • 16. How spending generates impact • Visitors create direct economic value within a discreet group of sectors (e.g. recreation, transportation). This supports a relative proportion of jobs, wages, taxes, and GDP within each sector. • Each directly affected sector also purchases goods and services as inputs (e.g. food wholesalers, utilities) into production. These impacts are called indirect impacts.  Lastly, the induced impact is generated when employees whose incomes are generated either directly or indirectly by travel, spend those incomes in the state economy. 16
  • 17. $177 million in business sales impacts A&M Home Game Sales Impacts $ thousand 40,000 Induced 35,000 Indirect 30,000 Direct 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 FIRE Recreation F&B Lodging Comm. Education Gas Retail Trade Transportation Gov. Personal Serv. Bus. Services 17
  • 18. Employment impact: 2,400 jobs 2011 A&M Home Game Employment Impacts  Direct: 1,874 800 700  Indirect and 600 Induced Indirect Induced: 557 500 Direct 400 300 200 100 0 FIRE Recreation Lodging Comm. F&B Education Retail Trade Gas Transportation Gov. Personal Serv. Bus. Services 18 18
  • 19. Tax impact: $5.7 million in local taxes Brazos County & Municipalities Tax Impact $ Thousands, 2011 Sales & Use Tax 1,077 Hotel Tax 518 Property Taxes 4,029 Other Taxes and Fees 137 Total 5,761 19
  • 20. Upside potential in the SEC Impact of SEC Membership % above 2011 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Spectators Spending 20
  • 21. What if home games were played outside the Brazos Valley?
  • 22. Summary of losses: single season Summary of Losses if Home Games Leave Brazos County Single Season Direct Indirect Induced Total Business sales ($ thousand) 63,209 10,837 12,337 86,384 Personal income ($ thousand) 14,383 3,235 3,755 21,373 Employment (annual) 744 95 116 955 Brazos County &  $86 million in Municipalities Potential Tax business sales Loss Impact $ Thousands, 7 Game Season  $21 million in Sales & Use Tax 478 Hotel Tax 456 household income Property Taxes 1,786 Other Taxes and Fees 59 Total 2,778  955 jobs 22
  • 24. “Texas A&M should never consider taking away its main attraction for the B/CS area—A&M football. It is the greatest tradition of any university in the country. 90,000 fans, hotel rooms, dinners, lunches, clothes, night life, cars, and yes even mobile homes and RVs. The total commerce is unbelievable. Don't give it to another city for any amount of time.” - Survey respondent, August 2012 24
  • 25. Q&A