The document summarizes an investment analysis on a motion picture and television production company. It provides an overview of the company and industry, financial analysis, valuation, and risks. Key points include the company focusing on content creation, having a disciplined greenlighting process, generating most revenue from motion pictures, and trading at a higher target price than current price based on free cash flow valuation. Risks include uncertainty in content production and distributors becoming content creators.
2. • Industry
• Motion Picture and Television Production and Distribution
• Niche
• “Pure” Content Creator
• Concern
• Recent Underperformance post-Hunger Games
Company Summary
Market Profile
Closing Price (April 1, 2016) $21.13
52 Week High $41.41
52 Week Low $16.21
Average Volume (3M) 2,689,580
Diluted Shares Outstanding 159,412,000
Market Cap 3.03B
Dividend Yield 1.76%
Beta 1.01874
EV / Revenue 2.09
EV / EBITDA 68.72
Institutional Holdings 71.90%
Insider Holdings 29.01%
Business
Overview
Industry Outlook
& Competitive
Positioning
Financial
Analysis
Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
3. Investment Summary
Team Estimate
Target Price:
$14.97
Price as of (4/1/16):
$21.13
Drivers
• Motion Picture
Margins
• Home
Entertainment
Capitalization
• Television Strength
• Disciplined Strategy
Risks
• Uncertainty/Flaw in
Content Production
Results/Process
• Distributors
becoming Content
Creators
• “One-Trick Pony”
8.27%
8.39%
70.64%
12.71%
2012-2015 Box Office Market
Share
Lions Gate Paramount
Major Studios (5) Other Studios
Lionsgate: #7 Film Studio
Business
Overview
Industry Outlook
& Competitive
Positioning
Financial
Analysis
Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
4. Five-Forces Model
Bargaining Power of Buyers
• Ticket Sales
• Cinema venue
• Home Entertainment platforms
Threat of New Entrants
• Digital Distributors
Degree of Rivalry
• Competitive Industry
• Consolidations
0
1
2
3
4
5
Bargaining Power of
Supplier
Bargaining Power of
Buyers
Threat of
Substitution
Threat of New
Entrants
Degree of Rivalry
0 = No threat to LGF
5 = High Threat to LGF
Business
Overview
Industry Outlook
& Competitive
Positioning
Financial
Analysis
Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
5. Threat of Substitution
• Piracy
• Alternative Entertainment
Bargaining Power of Suppliers
• Talent Costs
• Production Costs
Business
Overview
Industry Outlook
& Competitive
Positioning
Financial
Analysis
Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
0
1
2
3
4
5
Bargaining Power of
Supplier
Bargaining Power of
Buyers
Threat of
Substitution
Threat of New
Entrants
Degree of Rivalry
0 = No threat to LGF
5 = High Threat to LGF
Five-Forces Model
7. Business
Overview
Industry Outlook
& Competitive
Positioning
Financial
Analysis
Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
7
Sources: National Association of
Theatre Owners
5400
5500
5600
5700
5800
5900
6000
6100
6200
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
36000
36500
37000
37500
38000
38500
39000
39500
40000
40500
Cinemas
Screens
Theatrical Exhibitors
Number of U.S. cinemas Number of U.S. screens
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
$-
$2.00
$4.00
$6.00
$8.00
$10.00
$12.00
Tickets
Axis Title
Box Office
Domestic Box Office ($B) Average Ticket Price ($)
Tickets (billion)
Theater
Macro Industry
8. Business
Overview
Industry Outlook
& Competitive
Positioning
Financial
Analysis
Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
8
Sources: National Association of
Theatre Owners
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
$-
$2.00
$4.00
$6.00
$8.00
$10.00
$12.00
Tickets
Axis Title
Box Office
Domestic Box Office ($B) Average Ticket Price ($)
Tickets (billion)
Theater
Macro Industry
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
3-D FIlm
3-D Screens 3-D Releases
9. 9
$-
$5,000.00
$10,000.00
$15,000.00
$20,000.00
$25,000.00
$30,000.00
$35,000.00
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
($billion)
Television
Basic Cable Networks Broadcast networks
Syndication International
Pay TV
Micro Industry
Business
Overview
Industry Outlook
& Competitive
Positioning
Financial
Analysis
Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
$-
$20,000.00
$40,000.00
$60,000.00
$80,000.00
$100,000.00
$120,000.00
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
($billions)
Total Filmed Entertainment
Film content revenue TV content revenue
Total Entertainment Revenues
Industry Revenue
Sources: SNL Kagan
10. 10
$-
$20,000.00
$40,000.00
$60,000.00
$80,000.00
$100,000.00
$120,000.00
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
($billions)
Total Filmed Entertainment
Film content revenue TV content revenue
Total Entertainment Revenues
Sources: SNL Kagan
Micro Industry
Business
Overview
Industry Outlook
& Competitive
Positioning
Financial
Analysis
Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
($billion)
Motion Picture
Domestic International
Industry Revenue
11. 11
$-
$5,000.00
$10,000.00
$15,000.00
$20,000.00
$25,000.00
$30,000.00
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
($billion
Motion Picture
Domestic International
$-
$2,000.00
$4,000.00
$6,000.00
$8,000.00
$10,000.00
$12,000.00
$14,000.00
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
($billion)
Motion Picture - Domestic
Theatrical rentals Basic cable (TV licensing)
Pay TV PPV/VOD
Home video
Industry Revenue
Business
Overview
Industry Outlook
& Competitive
Positioning
Financial
Analysis
Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
Micro Industry Sources: SNL Kagan
12. 12
Sources: Digital Entertainment Group, Euromonitor
International from trade sources/national statistics
-
2,000.00
4,000.00
6,000.00
8,000.00
10,000.00
12,000.00
14,000.00
16,000.00
18,000.00
20,000.00
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
($millions)
Home Entertainment
Total Home Entertainment Sell Through
Rental Digital
Internet Consumption
Micro Industry
Business
Overview
Industry Outlook
& Competitive
Positioning
Financial
Analysis
Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
13. Focus on content
• 16,000 Content Library
• Television
Diversification
• Distribution
• Partners/Affiliates
• Movie Genre
Disciplined Approach
• Greenlighting
• Productions and Acquisitions
Business Operation - Strategy
Business
Overview
Industry Outlook
& Competitive
Positioning
Financial
Analysis
Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
14. Submit
Project to
Committee
• Artistic
Merit
• Commercial
Viability
Revenue -
Cost
Projections
• Legal
Review
• Financing
Options
Committee
Decision
Final
Decision
Greenlighting Process
Disciplined Approach
• Greenlighting
• Productions and Acquisitions
Business
Overview
Industry Outlook
& Competitive
Positioning
Financial
Analysis
Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
16. Business Overview
Business
Overview
Industry Outlook
& Competitive
Positioning
Financial
Analysis
Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
16
Source: Lionsgate, 10-K
$1,320,012.00
$1,135,110.00
$433,546.00 $421,112.00
$1,753,558.00
$1,556,222.00
$-
$200,000.00
$400,000.00
$600,000.00
$800,000.00
$1,000,000.00
$1,200,000.00
$1,400,000.00
$1,600,000.00
$1,800,000.00
$2,000,000.00
($thousands)
Revenue
Nine Months ending Dec. 31
Motion Pictures Television Production Total Revenue
75.43%
24.57%
27.31%
2015
0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00% 70.00% 80.00%
Revenue
Nine Months Ending Dec. 31, 2015
Home Entertainment Television Production Motion Pictures
17. 2015 2014
Fiscal 2016 Theatrical Slate: Fiscal 2015 Theatrical Slate
Mockingjay - Part 2 Mockingjay - Part 1
Love the Coopers John Wick
The Last Witch Hunter Addicted*
Freeheld* The Expendables 3
Sicario** Step Up All In
Shaun the Sheep Movie The Quiet Ones
American Ultra Draft Day
The Age of Adaline
Child 44*
Fiscal 2015 Theatrical Slate: Fiscal 2014 Theatrical Slate
Insurgent Divergent
Mockingjay - Part 1 Catching Fire
Love & Mercy A Most Wanted Man
Un Gallo Con Muchos Huevos Cantinflas
*limited release
**limited release initially; wide release in Oct., 2015
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
2014 2015
($millions)
Motion Picture Subsegment
Revenues
Theatrical Home Entertainment Television
International Other
Motion Picture
Business
Overview
Industry Outlook
& Competitive
Positioning
Financial
Analysis
Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
18. Financial Analysis
Budget ($M) 28 90 160 140 110
Box Office 15.4 140.4 653 132.9 137.4
18
Source: 10-Q
Source: Box Office Mojo
-
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
2014 2015
($Thousands)
Gross Profit
Motion Pictures Television Production Total Gross Profit
-
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
2014 2015
($thousands)
Net Profit
Motion Pictures Television Production Total Profit
Business
Overview
Industry Outlook
& Competitive
Positioning
Financial
Analysis
Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
21. 2016 2017 2018 2019 Thereafter Total Dec. 31, 2015
Production loans 138,099.00 710,249.00 21,600.00 - - 869,948.00 869,948.00
Average Interest Rate 3.63 3.54 3.60 - -
5.25% Senior Notes - - - 225,000.00 - 225,000.00 231,750.00
Average Interest Rate - - - 5.25 -
Term Loan Due 2022 - - - - 400,000.00 400,000.00 396,500.00
Average Interest Rate - - - - 5.00
January 2012 4.00% Notes - 41,850.00 - - - 41,850.00 41,707.00
Average Interest Rate - 4.00 - - -
April 2013 1.25% Notes - - - 60,000.00 - 60,000.00 53,218.00
Average Interest Rate - - - 1.25 -
Debt/ year 138,099.00 752,099.00 21,600.00 285,000.00 400,000.00 1,596,798.00 1,593,123.00
Debt
22. Valuation
•Free Cash Flow
to Firm
Discounted
Cash Flow
•EV/EBITDA
Multiple
Relative
Valuation
Business
Overview
Industry Outlook
& Competitive
Positioning
Financial
Analysis
Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
22
18
• Quirky, diversified film slate
• Failed blockbuster films
• Young-Adult loss of appeal
Motion
Picture
• Diversified distribution strategy
• Box office-to-home
entertainment
Home
Entertainment
• Strong, diversified television
slate
• Pilgrim Studios
Television
23. Valuation
•Perpetuity
growth: 2.00%
Discounted
Cash Flow
•Industry avg.:
12.78%
Relative
Valuation
Business
Overview
Industry Outlook
& Competitive
Positioning
Financial
Analysis
Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
23
18
• Dependence on television
• Uncertain box-office
performance
Revenue
• Decreased expenses
• Demand from distributors
Margin
• Starz Entertainment
• Summit Entertainment, Pilgrim
Studios
Consolidation
24. 24
In Millions of Mar 11 A Mar 12 A Mar 13 A Mar 14 A Mar 15 A Mar 16 E Mar 17 E Mar 18 E Mar 19 E Mar 20 E Mar 21 E
Revenue 1582.72 1587.579 2708.141 2630.254 2399.64 2183.672 2489.387 2692.249 2789.163 2812.72 2954.13
% YoY Growth 0% 0% 71% -3% -9% -9% 14% 8% 4% 1% 5%
Gross Margins 51% 43% 50% 50% 46% 40% 45% 46% 47% 47% 47%
Operating
Margins
4% 2% 10% 10% 9% 1% 13% 12% 13% 11% 11%
Tax Rate 239% 0% 0% 23% 16% 25% 13% 15% 18% 18% 18%
WACC
2015-16
8.6%
Projections
25. 25
In Millions of Mar 11 A Mar 12 A Mar 13 A Mar 14 A Mar 15 A Mar 16 E Mar 17 E Mar 18 E Mar 19 E Mar 20 E Mar 21 E
Revenue 1582.72 1587.579 2708.141 2630.254 2399.64 2183.672 2489.387 2692.249 2789.163 2812.72 2954.13
% YoY Growth 0% 0% 71% -3% -9% -9% 14% 8% 4% 1% 5%
Gross Margins 51% 43% 50% 50% 46% 40% 45% 46% 47% 47% 47%
Operating
Margins
4% 2% 10% 10% 9% 1% 13% 12% 13% 11% 11%
Tax Rate 239% 0% 0% 23% 16% 25% 13% 15% 18% 18% 18%
Worst Case
• -2% yoy growth
• -1% perpetuity growth
• -2% operating margins
• Higher tax rate
Best Case
• +2-3% yoy growth
• -2% perpetuity growth
• +2% operating margins
• Same tax rate
Scenario
26. In Millions of Mar 11 A Mar 12 A Mar 13 A Mar 14 A Mar 15 A Mar 16 E Mar 17 E Mar 18 E Mar 19 E Mar 20 E Mar 21 E
Revenue 1582.72 1587.579 2708.141 2630.254 2399.64 2183.672 2489.387 2692.249 2789.163 2812.72 2954.13
% YoY Growth 0% 0% 71% -3% -9% -9% 14% 8% 4% 1% 5%
Gross Margins 51% 43% 50% 50% 46% 40% 45% 46% 47% 47% 47%
Operating
Margins
4% 2% 10% 10% 9% 1% 13% 12% 13% 11% 11%
Tax Rate 239% 0% 0% 23% 16% 25% 13% 15% 18% 18% 18%
26
NOPAT
(87) 34 273 201 186 15 282 273 284 255 267
Free Cash Flow
(225) 66 (91) 31 486
(2) 244
223 300 313 270
EBITDA 64 68 38 281 267 229 25 330 330 363 323
FCF
27. Valuation
DCF Analysis
• $18.71
Relative Valuation
•$17.71
Target Price
$18.21 Estimated Downside Potential:
Business
Overview
Industry Outlook
& Competitive
Positioning
Financial
Analysis
Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
27
22
30. • Affiliates
• Senior Management
• Board of Directors
• Board Committee
Structure
• Operating Activities
• Financing Activities
• Investing Activities
• Debt Table
• Total Debt
• Maturity Profile
• Bond
• Total Loans
• International Expansion
• Stakeholders
• Theatrical Slate
• Current Television Slate
• Conglomerate
• Merger and Acquisition
• Top 10 Shareholder
• Debt Analysis
• Sensitivity Analysis
30
Appendix
31. 42.72%
23.09%
60.96%
76.29%
13.81%
50.21%
50.31%
48.80%
26.30%
15.05%
0.00% 20.00% 40.00% 60.00% 80.00% 100.00%
Average
Dreamworks (B-)
Lionsgate (BB-)
Viacom (BBB-)
Sony (BBB-)
Time Warner (BBB)
21st Century Fox (BBB+)
Comcast (A-)
Disney (A)
MGM Holdings
Total Debt/ Book Cap
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
(TIMES)
Interest Coverage
EBITDA minus CAPEX/ Interest EBITDA/ Interest
Debt Analysis
32. Top 10 Stockholders
(as of April 1, 2016)
Holder Name % Ownership No. of Shares Held Institution Type
1. MHR FUND MANAGEMENT LLC 20.14% 30,213,805 Hedge Fund Manager
2. CAPITAL GROUP COMPANIES INC 10.94% 16,404,005 Investment Advisor
3. CAPITAL RESEARCH GLOBAL INVESTOR 10.94% 16,404,005 Investment Advisor
4. FIDELITY MANAGEMENT & RESEARCH 7.23% 10,840,751 Investment Advisor
5. JANA PARTNERS LLC 5.69% 8,527,645 Hedge Fund Manager
6. CAPITAL RESEARCH GLOBAL INVESTOR 4.37% 6,559,000 Investment Advisor
7. VANGUARD GROUP INC 4.24% 6,360,972 Investment Advisor
8. CAPITAL RESEARCH GLOBAL INVESTOR 3.95% 5,919,005 Investment Advisor
9. KORNITZER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC 2.97% 4,453,970 Investment Advisor
10. NAYA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT UK LTD 2.94% 4,414,250 Hedge Fund Manager
34. Senior Management
Jon Feltheimer
Chief Executive Officer & Director
Michael Burns
Vice Chairman & Director
James W Barge
Chief Financial Officer
Steven Beeks
Co-Chief Operating Officer
Co-President of Motion Picture Group
President of Lions Gate Entertainment, Inc.
Brian Goldsmith
Co-Chief Operating Officer
Wayne Levin
General Counsel & Chief Strategic Officer
34
35. Summary Executive Compensation
Name and Principal Year Salary Bonus Stock Awards
Option
Awards
Non-Euqity
Incentive Plan
Compensation
All Other
Compensatio
n
Total
Jon Feltheimer 2015 $1,500,000.00 $- $1,000,000.00 $- $4,050,000.00 $220,311.00 $6,770,311.00
Chief Executive Officer
2014 $1,465,428.00 $- $14,402,803.00 $41,513,029.00 $8,750,000.00 $197,201.00 $66,328,461.00
2013 $1,264,070.00 $6,000,000.00 $3,625,278.00 $- $1,500,000.00 $184,535.00 $12,573,883.00
Michael Burns* 2015 $1,000,000.00 $- $4,500,000.00 $- $3,000,000.00 $146,965.00 $8,646,965.00
Vice Chairman 2014 $1,000,000.00 $- $3,000,000.00 $- $4,400,000.00 $78,205.00 $8,478,205.00
2013 $970,962.00 $4,000,000.00 $7,900,172.00 $13,995,430.00 $1,300,000.00 $33,484.00 $28,200,048.00
James W. Barge 2015 $812,500.00 $- $1,212,000.00 $719,637.00 $450,000.00 $2,921.00 $3,197,058.00
Chief Financial Officer 2014 $381,538.00 $1,100,000.00 $936,250.00 $2,597,054.00 $- $477.00 $5,015,319.00
Steven Beeks 2015 $900,000.00 $- $1,285,500.00 $1,665,285.00 $371,250.00 $2,921.00 $4,224,956.00
Co-COO 2014 $900,000.00 $- $- $- $825,000.00 $3,657.00 $1,728,657.00
VP Motion Picture 2013 $900,000.00 $850,000.00 $- $- $- $5,960.00 $1,755,960.00
President of LGF
Wayne Levin 2015 $825,000.00 $- $1,987,680.00 $1,596,786.00 $471,250.00 $2,921.00 $4,883,637.00
General Counsel 2014 $825,000.00 $- $- $- $825,000.00 $2,932.00 $1,652,932.00
Chief Strategic Officer 2013 $751,442.00 $612,750.00 $1,896,000.00 $1,258,600.00 $187,500.00 $2,960.00 $4,709,252.00
36. Board of Director
Mark H Rachesky, M.D.
(Chairman of board,
member of the
Strategic Advisory
Committee and
Compensation
Committee)
Founder and
President of MHR
Fund Management
LLC
27.2% ownership
Michael Burns
(Vice Chairman)
Past Managing
Director and Head of
Office at Prudential
Securities Inc. of Los
Angeles Investment
Banking Office
2.4% ownership
Jon Feltheimer
(CEO and Director)
Founder and past
President of TriStar
Television and past
President of
Columbia TriStar
Television
2.6% ownership
Dr. John C. Malone
(Director)
Chairman of the
Board of Liberty
Media Corporation;
Director of Discovery
Communication, Inc.
3% ownership
Frank Giustra
(Current Director,
founded Lionsgate and
past Chairman, 1997-
2003)
CEO of Fiore
Financial Corporation
Harald Ludwig
(Director)
President and CEO of
Macluan Capital
Corporation
36
37. Board of Director
Hardwick Simmons
(Chairman of the
Strategic Advisory
Committee and
member of the Audit &
Risk Committee)
Past Chairman
and CEO of the
NASDAQ Stock
Market Inc.;
past President
and CEO of
Prudential
Securities Inc.
Arthur Evrensel
(Chairman of the
Compensation
Committee)
Founding
partner of the
law firm of
Michael,
Evrensel &
Pawar LLP
G. Scott Paterson
(Chairman of the Audit
& Risk Committee and
Financial Expert)
Past Chairman
& CEO of
Yorkton
Securities Inc.;
past Chairman
of the
Canadian
Venture Stock
Exchange and
Vice Chairman
of the Toronto
Stock Exchange
Daryl Simm
(Member of
Nominating and
Corporate Governance
Committee and
member of the
Compensation
Committee)
Chairman and
CEO of
Omnicorn
Media Group
Gordon Crawford
(Member of Strategic
Advisory Committee)
Past SVP at
Capital
Research and
Management
Phyllis Yaffe
(Member of the Audit
& Risk Committee and
member of the
Nominating and
Corporate Governance
Committee)
Past CEO and
director of
Alliance
Atlantis
Communicatio
ns; Lead
Director, the
Chair of the
Nominating
and
Governance
Committee of
Torstar
Corporation
37
39. Operating Activities
Operating Activities 2015 2014 Net Change
Operating income (loss) $ (4,843) $ 194,421 $ (199,264)
Amortization of films and television programs 655,288 639,472 15,816
Non-cash share-based compensation 47,399 48,691 (1,292)
Cash interest (32,561) (29,546) (3,015)
Current income tax provision (10,292) (19,622) 9,330
Other non-cash charges included in operating
activities 9,677 14,661 (4,984)
Cash flows from operations before changes in
operating assets and liabilities 664,668 848,077 (183,409)
Changes in operating assets and liabilities:
Accounts receivable, net (36,663) (94,803) 58,140
Investment in films and television programs (771,255) (815,469) 44,214
Other changes in operating assets and
liabilities 32,699 (100,846) 133,545
Changes in operating assets and liabilities (775,219) (1,011,118) 235,899
Net Cash Flows Used In Operating Activities $ (110,551) $ (163,041) $ 52,49039
40. Investing Activities
40
Investing Acitivies 2015 2014
Proceeds from the sale of equity method investees $ - $ 14,575
Investment in equity method investees (3,954) (14,750)
Purchase of Pilgrim Studios, net of cash acquired of $15,816 (126,892) -
Purchases of property and equipment (13,680) (11,293)
Other investing activities (750) (2,000)
Net Cash Flows Used In Investing Activities $ (145,276) $ (13,468)
41. Financing Activities
41
Financing Activities 2015 2014
Senior revolving credit facility - borrowings $ 238,000 $ 681,500
Senior revolving credit facility - repayments (238,000) (618,619)
Net proceeds from senior revolving credit facility - 62,881
Term Loans $ 24,036.00 $ -
Convertible senior subordinated notes - repurchases $ (5.00) $ (16.00)
Net proceeds from corporate debt $ 24,031.00 $ 62,865.00
Production loans - borrowings $ 509,569.00 $ 533,781.00
Production loans - repayments $ (240,565.00) $(261,868.00)
Net proceeds from production loans $ 269,004.00 $ 271,913.00
Repurchase of common shares $ - $(129,859.00)
Other financing activities $ (50,791.00) $ (27,304.00)
Net Cash Flows Provided By Financing Activities $ 242,244.00 $ 177,615.00
42. Debt Table
2016 2017 2018 2019 Thereafter Total Dec. 31, 2015
Production loans 138,099.00 710,249.00 21,600.00 - - 869,948.00 869,948.00
Average Interest Rate 3.63 3.54 3.60 - -
5.25% Senior Notes - - - 225,000.00 - 225,000.00 231,750.00
Average Interest Rate - - - 5.25 -
Term Loan Due 2022 - - - - 400,000.00 400,000.00 396,500.00
Average Interest Rate - - - - 5.00
January 2012 4.00% Notes - 41,850.00 - - - 41,850.00 41,707.00
Average Interest Rate - 4.00 - - -
April 2013 1.25% Notes - - - 60,000.00 - 60,000.00 53,218.00
Average Interest Rate - - - 1.25 -
Debt/ year 138,099.00 752,099.00 21,600.00285,000.00 400,000.001,596,798.00 1,593,123.00
43. Total Loans
Total Loans
Production loans(2) 5.25% Senior Notes(3)
Term Loan Due 2022(4) January 2012 4.00% Notes
April 2013 1.25% Notes
-
100,000.00
200,000.00
300,000.00
400,000.00
500,000.00
600,000.00
700,000.00
800,000.00
2016 2017 2018 2019 Thereafter
Debt Maturity
3.48
3.50
3.52
3.54
3.56
3.58
3.60
3.62
3.64
-
100,000.00
200,000.00
300,000.00
400,000.00
500,000.00
600,000.00
700,000.00
800,000.00
2016 2017 2018
Production Loan
Production loans(2) Average Interest Rate
Off-balance production loan
44. Expenses(Nine Months ending Dec. 31)
-
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
900,000
1,000,000
2014 2015
($THOUSANDS)
Direct Operating Expense
Motion Pictures Television Production Total Direct Operating Expense
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
2014 2015
($THOUSANDS)
General and Administration
Motion Pictures Television Production
-
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
2014 2015
($THOUSAND)
Distribution and Marketing
Motion Pictures Television Production
Total Distribution and Marketing
45. Maturity Profile
Date Total Bond Prin Term Loan Out Amount Avail
2016 208.3529 0 208.3529358 0
2017 41.85 41.85 0 800
2018 285 285 0 0
2022 400 0 400 0
46. Bond
Issuer Cpn Maturity Amt Out(M) Curr Mty Type Principal Due(M) Interest Due(M)
Lions Gate Entertainment Inc 401/11/2017 41850USD
CONVERTIB
LE 41850 818.4
Lions Gate Entertainment Inc 1.2504/15/2018 60000USD
CONVERTIB
LE 60000 375
Lions Gate Entertainment Corp 5.2508/01/2018 225000USD
AT
MATURITY 225000 5906.25
49. Current Television Slate
The Royals E!
Rocket Jump: The Show Hulu
Casual Hulu
Deadbeat Hulu
Nashville ABC
Orange is the New Black Netflix
49
50. Conglomerate
Conglomerate Studio Parent Major Film Unit Other Film Unit
Twenty-First Century Fox, Inc. Fox Filmed Entertainment 20th Century Fox Searchlight, Blue Sky
The Walt Disney Co. Walt Disney Studios Walt Disney Pictures
Pixar Animation, Lucasfilm, Marvel
Studios
Comcast Corp. NBCUniversal Universal Pictures Illumination, Focus Features
Time Warner Inc.
Warner Bros.
Entertainment Inc.
Warner Bros. Pictures DC Comics, New Line, Village Roadshow
Viacom Inc.
Paramount Motion
Pictures Group
Paramount Pictures
Sony Corp.
Sony Pictures
Entertainment
Columbia Pictures Sony Pictures, TriStar, Screen Gems
54. Summary Executive Compensation
Name and Principal Year Salary Bonus Stock Awards Option Awards
Non-Euqity
Incentive Plan
Compensation
All Other
Compensation
Total
Jon Feltheimer* 2015 $1,500,000.00 $- $1,000,000.00 $- $4,050,000.00 $220,311.00 $6,770,311.00
Chief Executive Officer 2014 $1,465,428.00 $- $14,402,803.00 $41,513,029.00 $8,750,000.00 $197,201.00 $66,328,461.00
2013 $1,264,070.00
$6,000,000.0
0 $3,625,278.00 $- $1,500,000.00 $184,535.00 $12,573,883.00
Michael Burns* 2015 $1,000,000.00 $- $4,500,000.00 $- $3,000,000.00 $146,965.00 $8,646,965.00
Vice Chairman 2014 $1,000,000.00 $- $3,000,000.00 $- $4,400,000.00 $78,205.00 $8,478,205.00
2013 $970,962.00
$4,000,000.0
0 $7,900,172.00 $13,995,430.00 $1,300,000.00 $33,484.00 $28,200,048.00
James W. Barge 2015 $812,500.00 $- $1,212,000.00 $719,637.00 $450,000.00 $2,921.00 $3,197,058.00
Chief Financial Officer 2014 $381,538.00
$1,100,000.0
0 $936,250.00 $2,597,054.00 $- $477.00 $5,015,319.00
Steven Beeks 2015 $900,000.00 $- $1,285,500.00 $1,665,285.00 $371,250.00 $2,921.00 $4,224,956.00
Co-Chief Operating 2014 $900,000.00 $- $- $- $825,000.00 $3,657.00 $1,728,657.00
Officer and Co-President, 2013 $900,000.00 $850,000.00 $- $- $- $5,960.00 $1,755,960.00
Motion Picture Group
Wayne Levin 2015 $825,000.00 $- $1,987,680.00 $1,596,786.00 $471,250.00 $2,921.00 $4,883,637.00
General Counsel and 2014 $825,000.00 $- $- $- $825,000.00 $2,932.00 $1,652,932.00
Chief Strategic Officer 2013 $751,442.00 $612,750.00 $1,896,000.00 $1,258,600.00 $187,500.00 $2,960.00 $4,709,252.00
55. Top 10 Stockholders
(as of April 7, 2016)
Holder Name
%
Ownership
No. of Shares Held Institution Type
1. MHR FUND MANAGEMENT LLC 20.14% 30,213,805 Hedge Fund Manager
2. CAPITAL GROUP COMPANIES INC 10.94% 16,404,005 Investment Advisor
3. CAPITAL RESEARCH GLOBAL
INVESTOR 10.94% 16,404,005 Investment Advisor
4. FIDELITY MANAGEMENT & RESEARCH 7.23% 10,840,751 Investment Advisor
5. JANA PARTNERS LLC 5.69% 8,527,645 Hedge Fund Manager
6. CAPITAL RESEARCH GLOBAL
INVESTOR 4.37% 6,559,000 Investment Advisor
7. VANGUARD GROUP INC 4.24% 6,360,972 Investment Advisor
8. CAPITAL RESEARCH GLOBAL
INVESTOR 3.95% 5,919,005 Investment Advisor
9. KORNITZER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
INC 2.97% 4,453,970 Investment Advisor
10. NAYA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT UK
LTD 2.94% 4,414,250 Hedge Fund Manager
59. Industry Outlook
5.53%
83.62%
10.85%
2015 Box Office Market Share
Lions Gate Major 6 Studio Other Studio
Lions Gate,
8.27%
Major 6
Studio,
79.02%
Other Studio,
12.71%
2012-2015 Box Office Market
Share
Lions Gate Major 6 Studio Other Studio
Business
Overview
Industry Outlook
& Competitive
Positioning
Financial
Analysis
Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
59
8
Source: Box-office Mojo
2015 Major
Studio
Market
Share
13.97%
20.71%
21.60%
12.70%
6.17%
8.47%
5.53%
60. Industry Outlook
0
10000
20000
30000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E2017E2018E2019E
INMILLIONSU.S.DOLLARS
U.S. Home Entertainment
Spending
Rental Digital Sell Through
• Producers will place greater
emphasis on distributing at-
home content
• Online streaming services
expected to exceed movie
ticket sales in 2017
$10,500.00
$11,000.00
$11,500.00
$12,000.00
$12,500.00
$13,000.00
INMILLIONSU.S.DOLLARS
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Industry Value Added
Industry Value Added
33000
33500
34000
34500
35000
2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E
INMILLIONSU.S.DOLLARS
Forecasted Industry
Revenue
Forecasted Industry Revenue
61. Financial Exposure
• Australian Tax Credit
• Distribution Rights
• Production Budget: $140 million
• LGF’s risk capital: under $10 million
• Domestic Box Office: $30.5 million
• International Box Office: $102.4 million
61Source: The Numbers
62. Financial Exposure
• Pittsburgh Tax Credit
• Talent Contracts
• Production Budget: $90 million
• LGF at risk: $10 million
• Domestic Box Office: $27.3 million
• International Box Office: $113 million
62
Source: Box Office Mojo
63. LGF’s International Expansion
• China's Hunan TV will incur 25%
of film production costs
• Alibaba provides an
International distribution
platform in China
• IDC distributes a portion of
LGF’s films in Latin America
63
64. Equity Method Investment
Nine Months ended Dec. 31: 2015 2014
(Ownership
Percentage)
(Amount in millions)
EPIX (31.20%) $ 34.10 $ 27.40
Pop (50.00%) 0.60 (4.70)
Other (Various) (5.30) 14.60
Total $ 29.40 $ 37.30
64
70. 37%
63%
Current Equity and Debt Structure
Equity = 955.4
Mil USD
Debt = 1620.10
Mil USD
40%
60%
2018E Equity and Debt Structure
Equity = 1097.15
Mil USD
Debt = 1617.93
Mil USD
Debt to Equity Ratio
Lions Gate 1.60
Industry Average 1.41
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E 2017E 2018E
Long Term Debt to AssetsFinancial Analysis
Debt Analysis
Business
Overview
Industry Outlook
& Competitive
Positioning
Financial
Analysis
Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
70
17
72. DCF Valuation
Perpetuity Growth Method - Value per Share
Free Cash Flow at Year 5 270
WACC 8.6%
Perpetuity Growth Rate 2.0%
Perpetuity Value at End of Year 5 4,179
Present Value of Perpetuity (@ 8.6% WACC) 2,766
(+) Present Value of Free Cash Flows (@ 8.6% WACC) 1,091
(=) Current Enterprise Value 3,857
Short Term Debt 826
(+) Long Term Debt 489
(-) Cash and Marketable Securities 265
(-) Current Net Debt 1,050
(-) Current Preferred and Minority Interest -
(=) Equity Value 2,807
Shares outstanding 150
Estimated Value per Share (USD) 18.71
Current Price (USD) 21.31 3/24/2016
Estimated Upside -12% 72
73. Relative Valuation
EBITDA Multiple Method - Value per Share
Terminal EBITDA at Year 5 339
WACC 8.6%
Exit Enterprise Value / EBITDA 11.6x
Terminal Value at End of Year 5 3,951
Present Value of Terminal Value (@ 8.6% WACC) 2,615
(+) Present Value of Free Cash Flows (@ 8.6% WACC) 1,091
(=) Current Enterprise Value 3,706.0
Short Term Debt 826
(+) Long Term Debt 489
(-) Cash and Marketable Securities 265
(-) Current Net Debt 1,050
(-) Current Preferred and Minority Interest -
(=) Equity Value 2,656
Shares outstanding 150
Estimated Value per Share (USD) 17.71
Current Price (USD) 21.31
Estimated Upside -17% 73
74. Valuation
Company
Market
Capitalization
Debt Cash Shares
Enterprise
Value
Current
Stock
Price
Relative
Stock
Price
Disney $148,700.00 $17,330.00 $4,269.00 1,600.00 $161,761.00 $98.82 $101.10
Twenty-First
Century Fox
$27,500.00 $7,262.00 $8,428.00 2,039.00 $26,334.00 $27.84 $12.92
Time Warner $50,800.00 $22,502.00 $1,170.00 283.20 $72,132.00 $194.43 $254.70
Viacom $11,200.00 $12,285.00 $506.00 346.50 $22,979.00 $39.02 $66.32
Lions gate $3,443.00 $1,595.00 $103.00 150.00 $4,292.00 $ 22.92 $28.61
Dream Works $1,600.00 $515.00 $34.00 78.10 $2,081.00 $25.79 $26.65
Comcast $117,700.00 $52,621.00 $2,295.00 2,100.00 $168,026.00 $59.92 $80.01
Sony $25,600.00 $9,336.12 $9,490.00 1,300.00 $25,446.12 $22.11 $19.57
Enterprise Valuation
Relative Premium of Est. Enterprise
Value over Stock Price
Disney 2.3%
Twenty First
Century Fox
-53.6%
Time Warner 40.0%%
Viacom 69.9%
Lions Gate 25.8%
DreamWorks 3.3%
Comcast 33.5%
Sony -11.5%
Source: Yahoo Finance In Billions
Business
Overview
Industry Outlook
& Competitive
Positioning
Financial
Analysis
Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
74
21
75. Relative Valuation – P/E
Projected EPS (Quarterly) P/E Ratio
Q1 2016E Q2 2016E Q3 2016E Q4 2016E FY 2016 2016E
Disney 1.43 1.55 1.22 1.6 5.8 15.84
Twenty First
Century Fox
.45 .45 .48 .59 1.97 14.43
Time Warner 1.74 1.84 1.8 2.1 7.48 24.04
Viacom 1.01 1.54 1.67 1.26 5.48 5.98
LionsGate .29 .53 .22 .32 1.36 30.41
DreamWorks .16 -.04 .02 .31 .45 42.57
Comcast .8 .86 .94 .94 3.54 15.79
Sony 1.72 11.78
Industry Average P/E
Motion Picture 16.7
Broadcast and Cable TV 21.8
Source:
Nasdaq
and
eTrade
Business
Overview
Industry Outlook
& Competitive
Positioning
Financial
Analysis
Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
75
20
76. Relative Valuation – EV/EBITDA
76
Ticker EV/EBITDA
STRZA 10.31
DWA 36.02
FOXA 10.72
MGMB 15.82
TWX 9.68
VIAB 8.90
CBS 11.25
DIS 12.16
CMCSA 7.74
SNE 5.21
Industry EV/EBITDA
Mean 12.78
Median 10.52
IQR 4.46
Up Limit 19.77
77. WACC
2015-16
8.6%
Weight Cost W x C
Cost of Equity 75.3% 10.8% 8.1%
Cost of Debt 24.7% 1.9% .5%
Cost of Equity 2015-16 2016-18
Risk Free Rate* 2.25% 2.75%
Adjusted Beta 1.10 1.10
MRP 7.75% 7.25%
Cost of Equity 10.80% 10.73%
Cost of Debt 2015-16 2016-18
Cost of Debt 1.9% 1.8%
* Expected 10-Year U.S. Treasury
Source: Morningstar
DCF Assumptions - WACC
Business
Overview
Industry Outlook
& Competitive
Positioning
Financial
Analysis
Valuation Risk Analysis Conclusion
77
19
Editor's Notes
Company
Director
Management
Strategy
Risk
Financial Analysis
Revenue
Debt
Ratio
Financial Highlight
Industry
5 forces
One trick pony
Valuation
Scenario analysis
Sensitivity
Investment Thesis
Industry Overview – 5 forces
Risk Factors
Company strategies based on the industry factors and risk
Risk Mitigation
Financial anaylsis – Revenue based on performance, Debt for company liquidity/core strength, ratio in comparison to peers and industry
Company Valuation
Stock price volatility creates opportunities
committee
Heads of our production, theatrical distribution, home entertainment, marketing, international distribution, legal and finance departments
Committee evaluates project for both artistic merit and commercial viability, considers script, talent, initial budget and story element for financial success
Head of domestic and international distribution prepare estimates of projected revenue and costs of marketing and distribution
Finance and legal professionals review projections and financing options
Committee decides project is worth pursuing by balancing risk and potentialFinal decision made by senior management team
CEO, Vice Chairman, Co-Chairs of Motion Picture Group
Pre-licensing of films to cover between 50% and 75% of LGF’s production costs: before a film is produced
Although this is great for mitigating risks it also hinders as it diminishes profits
Lionsgate mitigates financial exposure by minimizing risk through Co-Production ventures, Pre-Selling International Distribution Rights, and contractual agreements with talent enabling a reduced initial expenditure in exchange for a share of the box-office success. Additionally Lionsgate capitalizes on government-offered incentives.
Lionsgate mitigates financial exposure by minimizing risk through Co-Production ventures allowing for (cost and profit sharing.) Financial exposure is further reduced by Pre-Selling International Distribution Rights. Additionally Lionsgate capitalizes on government-offered incentives and contractual agreements with talent enabling a reduced initial expenditure in exchange for a share of the box-office success???.
Give them more info
Cost and profit sharing
Incentive programs
Tax
Talent
Reduces guaranteed pa
International distribution rights
Revenue prior to release
Lionsgate mitigates financial exposure by minimizing risk through Co-Production and Financing agreements, sharing costs and profits with its partners. Financial exposure is further reduced by Pre-Selling International Distribution Rights. Additionally Lionsgate capitalizes on government-offered incentives and contractual agreements with talent that provides a share of the box-office success for reduced upfront pay.
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Lionsgate mitigates financial risks by utilizing Co-Production and Financing agreements which provide for joint efforts and cost-sharing between LGF and one or more third-party production companies. Production exposure is further reduced by Pre-Selling International Distribution Rights- (licensing the rights to distribute a film in one or more media generally for a limited term and within a specific territory prior to the completion of the film.) Additionally Lionsgate capitalizes on government incentives more specifically tax incentives. Talent Contractual Agreements further reduce LGF’s financial exposure by allowing actors to participate in the financial success of the motion picture LGF minimizes their guaranteed payment.
Production exposure is reduced through financial contributions from broadcasters and distributors, tax credit programs, governments, industry programs, other studios and co-financiers. (PG 28)
Government Incentives---Tax incentives (sales tax refunds, transferable tax credits, refundable tax credits), Low interest loans, direct subsidies or cash rebates
based on the amount spent in the particular jurisdiction in connection with the production. (PG 16)
Co-Production/Co-Financing agreements which provide for joint efforts and cost-sharing between LGF and one or more third-party production companies.(PG 15)
Pre-Selling International Distribution Rights- licensing the rights to distribute a film in one or more media generally for a limited term and within a specific territory prior to the completion of the film
Talent Contractual Agreements- which reduce the guaranteed payment and allows for them to participate in the financial success of the motion picture
Similar approach for acquiring films for theatrical release
Whether to greenlight a film
Risk Category Source of Risk Mitigating Factors/ Risk Matrix/ Scenario Analysis
TV Production – 27%
Home Entertainment – 27.3%
For our valuation, we used the discounted cash flow and relative valuation method to incorporate our assumptions of the company.
Legitimate concerns regarding the lack of a blockbuster franchise surrounds the company.
Home Entertainment is a strong top line contributor, as we expect Lionsgate to maintain a strong box-office to home-entertainment conversion rate.
Lionsgate’s bright spot is television, and the acquisition of Pilgrim Studio diversifies Lionsgate’s strong tv slate. Television is expected to be the crutch for the company as they struggle to find an answer after hunger games.
Though the upcoming fiscal year is expected to have reduced production costs, the success of their future films will determine if they can continue to profit from pre-selling distribution rights internationally.
There is no expectation for a consolidation with Starz, as Lionsgate is known for horizontal mergers.
Upside or Downside
What happens if cost of capital rises 100 basis points?
Change numbers on DCF to give my price forecast
Lower left quadrant
In addition to macroeconomic risks Lionsgate’s business operations, competitors, and consumers may pose risk to Lionsgate’s value by potentially causing a decrease in profit. A decrease in profit is viable if Lionsgate fails to adequately execute business operations, an oversupply of content is released by their competitors, and LGF’s content fails to resonate with audience.
failure Decreased Revenues Leverage Problems which would/or could potentially interim limit strategic business opportunities growth= majority of growth through acquisitions constraints in content development
revenue stream
Risk factors formidable revenue stream
therefore
75.9% of Lionsgate’s revenue for the year ended in March 2015 was derived from motion pictures as motion pictures compose a major of LGF’s revenue stream.
films which fail to resonate with the audience decrease their major revenue source/stream. A decrease revenue would heighten LGFs financial exposure.
There are several factors that have an impact on LGF’s revenue stream, and the value of the business (business prospect): “business operations”, competitors, and consumers.
Lionsgate’s operations, competitors, and consumers are contributing factors to Lionsgate’s business prospect.
Lionsgate faces substantial competition from larger more diversified studios who's oversupply of films and concurrent/simultaneous release dates may adversely impact LGF
a substantial risk to Lionsgate as who’s film success may be detrimental to LGF minimize Lionsgate’s film success
Financing
market share and revenue. Release dates of others could limit the LGF’s revenue portion of the market share and further diversified
LGF’s Competitors pose
Cost incurred and when received revenue
Films may fail to resonate with audiences
Content which resonates with (target) audience
Expensive to produce and market motion pictures
Film Releases
Failure of new releases
Film exposure is minimized through joint ventures
Profitable franchises
75.9% of Lionsgate’s revenue for the year ended in March 2015 was derived from motion pictures therefore films which fail to resonate with the audience decrease their major revenue source/stream. A decrease revenue would heighten LGFs financial exposure.
The main concern for Lionsgate is in developing a blockbuster, especially with recent failed attempts.
It is hard to believe that their potential tentpoles in the pipeline, including, Power Rangers, Monopoly, and the Odyssey, will be able to outperform the blockbusters of major studios, as other studios are better connected with the audience.
As such, we believe Lionsgate has a higher likelihood of underperforming.
Although there is much to be appreciated regarding the company’s television segment and its well-positioned home entertainment strategy, motion picture is substantially bigger, and we expect this segment to drag down the company.
At the current price of $21.31, we issue a sell recommendation with a target price of $18.21.
Qualification:
Raising equity in media and entertainment industry
Investor in media and entertainment industry
Leading counsel in entertainment law, expert in international coproductions and bank financing in film industry
Top 5 Stakeholders comprising 16.8% of LGF’s revenue. Walmart has bargaining power of LGF as they only receive .05% of their revenue from LGF.
The Movie and Video Production industry is currently in the declining stage of its life cycle. During the 10 years to 2020, industry value added, which measures the industry’s contribution to the overall economy, is forecast to decline at an annualized rate of 0.3% although US GDP is expected to grow at 2.2%
Example of limited financial exposure
PERFORMANCE
Domestic Box Office $30,534,041 Details
International Box Office $102,400,000 Details
Worldwide Box Office $132,934,041
$36 million in China
Tax credit Australia, Presold theatrical rights and was under 10 million
Box office: 132.6 million USD
Conference Call
http://www.ausfilm.com.au/why-film-in-australia/financial-incentives/
Financial Incentives
Australia’s competitive Screen Production Incentives have enabled large budget feature films, TV shows and documentaries access to significant savings as well as Australia’s world class production services, crew, talent and versatile locations.
These incentives are tax based and provide a cash rebate to the producer on Qualifying Australian Production Expenditure (QAPE).
Australia has three federal government incentives:
16.5% Location Offset
30% Post, Digital and Visual Effects Offset (PDV)
40% Producer Offset, 40% films and 20% television (including official Co-Production treaties)
Total Lifetime Grosses
Domestic: $27,367,660 19.5%+ Foreign: $113,028,990 80.5%= Worldwide: $140,396,650
Box office Mojo
The Numbers
Domestic Box Office $27,367,660 Details
International Box Office $103,866,746 Details
Worldwide Box Office $131,234,406
Film production in Pittsburgh provided a tax credit of approximately $14 million
After the state awarded a film tax credit for the project last September, the Lionsgate movie called “The Last Witch Hunter” starring Vin Diesel is finally setting up to shoot in the region.
A new film production called “The Last Witch Hunter” set to star Vin Diesel has made a blockbuster-sized film tax credit application with the state of Pennsylvania, state records indicate.
The name of the applicant is LWH Productions LLC, which has sought a multi-year tax credit for $14,088,820.00 for “The Last Witch Hunter,” a production pledged to bring 600 jobs to Allegheny County, records indicate.
The project is attributed to Summit Entertainment on the Internet Movie Database and slated as a 2014 release.
http://www.bizjournals.com/pittsburgh/news/2014/06/26/sources-the-last-witch-hunter-film-production.html
http://www.bizjournals.com/pittsburgh/news/2013/09/30/vin-diesel-movie-may-shoot-in-pittsburgh.html
The size of the film tax credit “The Last Witch Hunter” has applied for suggests a production budget of more than $56 million.
Sources: 'The Last Witch Hunter' film production setting up in Pittsburgh
That’s based on a formula in which Pennsylvania’s film program offers a credit of 25 percent of a production’s value. To be eligible for the tax credit, a film project must spend at least 60 percent of its total project budget within the state of Pennsylvania, meaning the full budget for the project could be higher.
Example of limited financial exposure through Co-Production Ventures
Co-Production and Distribution
The Asian investment is expected to account for 25 percent of the film production costs incurred by the mini-studio in the next three years, with total budgets to run to $1.5 billion. Lionsgate last year partnered with Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba to launch a streaming service in China to distribute titles like Divergent and The Twilight Saga: Eclipse, and TV shows like Mad Men, Weeds and The Royals.
Increased investment in China
Alibaba: subscription and distribution
Theatrical, Home Entertainment, Television, and International
Joint ventures and partnership = lower production cost and diversification
Summit Entertainment, Roadside Attraction, Pantelion, Celestial Tiger Entertainment
Rely on domestic television, International and home entertainment
Diversify streams of revenue through partnership
Scripted - EPIX, Pop, Defy and Starz
Nonscripted - debmar-mercury, pilgrim studios
Scripted and non scripted
give examples on shows
Diversification
Television slate 40 shows to 80 shows earnings transcript