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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                                  9th September 2011

        Indices                Close       % Chg.      Mirroring the mix set of Asian market cues, the domestic
 BSE SENSEX                   17165.54      0.59       markets witnessed a flat opening. The overall trend remained
 S&P CNX NIFTY                 5153.25      0.56       range bound ahead of the inflation data. The markets moved
 NIFTY SEP. FUT.               5155.00      0.73       in a narrow range. Buying picked up in the afternoon session
 India VIX                      27.64       -0.78
                                                       as Nifty moved above the 5150 level. However, lack of follow
                                                       up buying support and profit taking at higher levels did not
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                 allow the markets to capitalize on gains. The markets ended
                    Level 1    Level 2     Level 3
                                                       the day with modest gains to close near the highs for the day.
                                                       The top gainers for the day were Cairn, Ranbaxy, ICICI Bank,
Support              4987       4757        4563
                                                       Cipla, Reliance, Tata Motors, Wipro, HUL, Infosys Tech. and
Resistance           5161       5200        5325
                                                        Rel. Infra.
             Volume (Lacs Shares)                      Technically, the market breadth remained positive amidst
                  08/09/11    07/09/11     % Chg.      lower volumes. The global market set of cues are mix.
BSE                 2912        2490        16.95      The domestic markets are likely to witness a flat opening.
NSE                 6511        7483        -12.99     As we had indicated the Nifty tested the 5150 level and
Total               9423        9973        -5.52      was able to sustain above it, which is a positive sign for
Source – BSE & NSE                                     the markets. The Stochastic, MACD, RSI and KST are
                                                       placed above their respective averages, which would
              Turnover ( ` Crores)
                                                       lead to further buying support. The –DI line continues to
                  08/09/11    07/09/11     % Chg.
                                                       move down, while the +DI line continues to move higher,
BSE                2699.05     2757.35      -2.11      indicating sellers have lost their upper hand. However, a
NSE               11358.75    12753.73      -10.94     few technical negatives continue to hold good and would
NSE F&O           90346.12    95862.67      -5.75      lead to intermediate bouts of profit taking and selling
Total             104403.92   111373.75     -6.26      pressure at higher levels. The Stochastic is placed in the
Source – BSE & NSE                                     over bought zone on the daily charts. The KST and
             Market Breadth (NSE)
                                                       MACD are placed in the negative territory. The Nifty
                                                       continues to trade below its 200-day SMA. Further the 50-
Advances                         894
                                                       day SMA remains placed below the 100-day SMA. Now, it
Declines                         567
                                                       is important that the markets witness follow up buying
Same                             61                    support at higher levels for the Nifty to test the 5200
Total                           1522                   resistance level. The markets will witness occasional
A/D Ratio                      1.58 : 1                bouts of profit taking and selling pressure at higher
Source – NSE                                           levels. In the meanwhile the markets would take cues
      Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                    from the global markets. The support levels for Nifty are
50 Day SMA                     5326.65
                                                       placed at 4987, 4757 and 4563. The Nifty faces resistance at
                                          ◄Negative    the 5161, 5200 and 5325 levels.
100 Day SMA                    5430.83
200 Day SMA                    5569.05    ◄Negative

                                                                 Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
        Indices               Close         Pivot Point         R1       R2         R3                 S1           S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                      17166                 17121     17254      17343          17565         17032        16899         16676
S&P CNX NIFTY                     5153                 5140      5182        5211          5282          5111          5069         4998
NIFTY SEP. FUT.                   5155                 5139      5190        5225          5310          5104          5053         4968


Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                   Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in


                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
             th
            4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                              www.keynotecapitals.com
Short Term Trading Ideas Based On Technical Analysis (5 - 7 Days)


                                                                                 Stop
                                                  Initiation       Stop          Loss                       Target
      Stock          Close        Action            Price         Loss *          (%)          Target        (%)           Remarks
APIL                  562.85     Buy Above                 567         552            2.65          600          5.82
Cairn                 287.35     Buy Above                 290         279            3.79          314          8.28
L&T                  1711.25     Buy Above               1723         1690            1.92         1795          4.18
* Stop Losses are to be considered on Closing basis only.




                                                             Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              th
          4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                           www.keynotecapitals.com
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This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report
is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or
solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal
recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its
accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability
arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own
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for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment
grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying
charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not
match with a report on a company’s fundamentals.
Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a
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                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
      th
     4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report 090911

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 9th September 2011 Indices Close % Chg. Mirroring the mix set of Asian market cues, the domestic BSE SENSEX 17165.54 0.59 markets witnessed a flat opening. The overall trend remained S&P CNX NIFTY 5153.25 0.56 range bound ahead of the inflation data. The markets moved NIFTY SEP. FUT. 5155.00 0.73 in a narrow range. Buying picked up in the afternoon session India VIX 27.64 -0.78 as Nifty moved above the 5150 level. However, lack of follow up buying support and profit taking at higher levels did not S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels allow the markets to capitalize on gains. The markets ended Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 the day with modest gains to close near the highs for the day. The top gainers for the day were Cairn, Ranbaxy, ICICI Bank, Support 4987 4757 4563 Cipla, Reliance, Tata Motors, Wipro, HUL, Infosys Tech. and Resistance 5161 5200 5325 Rel. Infra. Volume (Lacs Shares) Technically, the market breadth remained positive amidst 08/09/11 07/09/11 % Chg. lower volumes. The global market set of cues are mix. BSE 2912 2490 16.95 The domestic markets are likely to witness a flat opening. NSE 6511 7483 -12.99 As we had indicated the Nifty tested the 5150 level and Total 9423 9973 -5.52 was able to sustain above it, which is a positive sign for Source – BSE & NSE the markets. The Stochastic, MACD, RSI and KST are placed above their respective averages, which would Turnover ( ` Crores) lead to further buying support. The –DI line continues to 08/09/11 07/09/11 % Chg. move down, while the +DI line continues to move higher, BSE 2699.05 2757.35 -2.11 indicating sellers have lost their upper hand. However, a NSE 11358.75 12753.73 -10.94 few technical negatives continue to hold good and would NSE F&O 90346.12 95862.67 -5.75 lead to intermediate bouts of profit taking and selling Total 104403.92 111373.75 -6.26 pressure at higher levels. The Stochastic is placed in the Source – BSE & NSE over bought zone on the daily charts. The KST and Market Breadth (NSE) MACD are placed in the negative territory. The Nifty continues to trade below its 200-day SMA. Further the 50- Advances 894 day SMA remains placed below the 100-day SMA. Now, it Declines 567 is important that the markets witness follow up buying Same 61 support at higher levels for the Nifty to test the 5200 Total 1522 resistance level. The markets will witness occasional A/D Ratio 1.58 : 1 bouts of profit taking and selling pressure at higher Source – NSE levels. In the meanwhile the markets would take cues Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY from the global markets. The support levels for Nifty are 50 Day SMA 5326.65 placed at 4987, 4757 and 4563. The Nifty faces resistance at ◄Negative the 5161, 5200 and 5325 levels. 100 Day SMA 5430.83 200 Day SMA 5569.05 ◄Negative Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 17166 17121 17254 17343 17565 17032 16899 16676 S&P CNX NIFTY 5153 5140 5182 5211 5282 5111 5069 4998 NIFTY SEP. FUT. 5155 5139 5190 5225 5310 5104 5053 4968 Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Short Term Trading Ideas Based On Technical Analysis (5 - 7 Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks APIL 562.85 Buy Above 567 552 2.65 600 5.82 Cairn 287.35 Buy Above 290 279 3.79 314 8.28 L&T 1711.25 Buy Above 1723 1690 1.92 1795 4.18 * Stop Losses are to be considered on Closing basis only. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com