This document discusses thinking about and planning for the future. It outlines a presentation plan on drones that includes why we think about the future, how existing systems work, who is involved and what methodologies are used. It also discusses problems with thinking too far into the future and managing emerging technologies. The document provides context on Drones on Demand, a company founded in 2017 that provides drone services and was four years in development. The founder began flying drones as a hobby in 2013 and obtained commercial drone operator certification between 2014-2016.

1. Drones
Mudassar Hussain
Roll Number 22
MSC Morning
Session 2020-2022

2. Presentation Plan
•Why
•How – the existing system
•Who & methodologies
•Problems of thinking about the future
•Managing the mosaics: technology
•Socio-economic impacts of technology

3. WHY THINK ABOUT THE FUTURE?
 •We think about the future, because:–we are
naturally curious–it is useful (planning is a natural
element of our lives and we need to know the future
to plan)–particular future visions cause strong
emotions (fear, excitement), which causes us to
think about the future more–after some thinking we
come to a conclusionthat the future will be very
different/importantand make a rational decision to
think about it more

4. IMMEDIATE FUTURE
 Predictions for the next decade are actively used in
business
 This future is “more of the same”. Bigger screens,
cheaper phone calls, cleaner cars.
 There are marginal improvements, although a lot of
them are driven by qualitative improvements in
underlying technology. Some are even driven by small
revolutions in fields such as nanotech, biotech,
computing, etc.
 Examples – better textiles, shampoos, drugs, cars, etc.
 People easily accept this, but are not inspired. Early
adopters pick up the technology, the rest follows soon.

5. ADVANCED FUTURE
 The 2005-2030 stage is well thought out.
 It includes "traditional" technologies with low future
shock levels. Life doesn't change radically.
 The forecasts exist within the present-day framework:
–A democratic society with market capitalism.
–People remain largely human.
–Social problems are familiar
– many old, some new.
–The effects of disruptive technologies (AI,
immortality, intelligent robots, uploading,
abundance society) are not felt yet.
 It looks right to people, because it is familiar and
corresponds with present trends well. But it's wrong.

6. NTRODUCING DRONES ON DEMAND
 Originally born from an idea that surfaced whilst on
a Mountain Rescue callout, Drones on Demand was
founded in January 2017, but has been four years in
the making.
 I’ve been flying drones as a hobby since 2013,
testing the technology and getting much needed
flying experience.
 I started the journey to becoming a Commercial
Drone Operator by completing Ground School in late
2014 , the standard flight tests in early 2015 and
advanced flight tests in late 2015. The CAA granted
our first permission in early 2016 which is now
renewed annually.