The document discusses the impact of the Goods and Services Tax (GST) on India's logistics sector. It notes that GST will eliminate the tax-on-tax regime and make tax a non-factor in supply chain decisions. This will allow companies to consolidate warehouses across states, reducing costs. The logistics sector is estimated to see a 10-15% reduction in costs. Companies will need to redesign distribution networks and adapt pricing, warehousing, and purchasing strategies to take advantage of the opportunities presented by GST.

1. IMPACT OF GST ON THE LOGISTICS SECTOR
ZUBIN POONAWALLA
29th August, 2014

2. GST
• Stands for Goods & Service Tax
• Broad based, single, comprehensive tax levied on goods & services
consumed in an economy
• Seen as the panacea for removing the ill-effects of the tax-on-tax regime

3. LOGISTICS IN INDIA
• Interplay of infrastructure, technology & new types of service providers
• Rapidly Evolving
• Backbone for some key sectors like retail ,automobiles, pharmaceuticals etc.
• Contributes to around 13% of Indian GDP
• Top 10 Players in FY15:
DHL, Bluedart, UPS, FedEx,
DTDC ,Gati, Aegis, DelEx

5. GROWTH OF LOGISTICS OVER THE NEXT 5 YEARS
Lets assume the same CAGR rate of 9.9%
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
160.0
180.0
1
120.4 132.3
145.4
159.8
175.7
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
In Billion US$

6. THE NEW CHANGE

7. 1) CHANGING FOR THE GOOD
• Indirect taxes played a major role in deciding the supply chain structure of
each business as some of the tax cost had no input credit option.
• The GST precisely addresses this anomaly & therefore, going forward,
tax may not be a factor for deciding on the supply chain /distribution
channel of an organization

8. 2) WAREHOUSING
• Any large LSP, manufacturer or CPG player maintains warehouses in all
the states of operations
• With 33 states in India, that accounts to 25-40 small warehouses
(depending of regions & scale of operations) instead of 6-8 large
warehouses which would be needed for geography of this size
• Adding to this inefficiency is the fragmented structure in Indian Logistics
industry which results in extreme competition

9. WAREHOUSING
• Demand for warehousing is expected to grow at a CAGR of 18% in
the next 4 years - thanks to the incoming investment in the retail
sector & increasing import-export activity in India.
• So, warehouses have a lot to do with the growth of logistics sector.

10. • With the advent of GST & Zero CST :
The necessity of having a warehouse in each state to avoid CST &
paperwork will be eliminated in a GST regime & network decisions would
become purely cost & service driven.
• So now, we can revisit the supply chain network & identify opportunities
for consolidation of warehouses to gain from scale & save costs of double
handling
• We can club many of the small warehouses & have bigger + fewer
warehouses.

11. THE EXPECTED CHANGE !!

12. BENEFITS :
• The larger warehouses can benefit from technological sophistication by
deploying state-of-art planning & warehousing systems which are not
feasible in smaller, scattered warehouses
• IT costs of having ERPs deployed at many small warehouses can be
saved
• Transportation lot sizes will automatically increase, making way for more
efficient bigger trucks
• Lesser numbers of stocking points

13. 3)TRUE “HUB-&-SPOKE” SYSTEM
• Organizations will now be able to explore different distribution
models such as setting up mother warehouse & regional distribution
hubs .
• Thus, it can possibly step away from traditional C&F & distributor
based models currently adopted

14. 4) REDUCTION IN COST
.
I believe, with the introduction of GST,
logistics & distribution costs in India
could go down by 10% -15%.
Zubin Poonawalla

15. • Cost drop will increase Profit Before tax by 10-15 % in turn
increasing the PAT by around 7-11% .
• (Assuming tax to be around 30%)
• This means that GST will strengthen the bottom line for all the
logistic companies & thus, better margins.
• This also helps the company with better cash flows .

16. 5) TRANSIT TIME
• GST would also improve our transit & consequently, delivery times
because state border crossings would likely be uncomplicated.
• Less of paperwork is also a big benefit.

17. 6)FAIR PLAYING FIELD
• As a result of reduced tax liability, GST will reduce the share of the
unorganized sector in warehousing.
• Prices charged by the organized players will come down & reduce
the price advantage that the unorganized warehouses currently
enjoy.
• Thus, GST will level the playing field & create an equitable
development of the industry across India.

18. HOW CAN LOGISTICS ADAPT THIS NEW CHANGE
• This can be done in various ways –
• Designing a multi tiered distribution network where there is specialization
in certain functions (storage + inventory mgmt) & some functions
(software services, packaging, labelling) are outsourced.
• Another will be to partner with a 3PL logistics provider to ensure optimal
utilization of resources.
• They will need to take a fresh look at their supply chain to cater to existing
geography & should also look at the new business areas that this
impending legislation is due to bring.

19. HOW CAN LOGISTICS ADAPT THIS NEW CHANGE
• ERP System Changes
• Pricing Revision
• Revisiting Warehousing & Distribution Strategies
• Revisiting Purchasing & Marketing Strategy

20. CONCLUSION
• The impact or rather the opportunity is huge for both the logistic
companies & their customers to completely relook at their supply
chain.
• This essentially means a significant opportunity for Logistics
companies in India to revise their infrastructure to deliver as well as
reverse logistics for spares & replacements.

21. Thank You