Logistics is the fastest growing industry in India. It is the new frontier of corporate competitiveness. This presentation is based on a KPMG report on Logistics in India filed under Manish Saigal and Cyrus Guzder.

1. TV, Shreeharsha; Singh, Satyam Pratap; Kundan, Preetam;
R, Nithin; Ahmed, Ghufran
AIM, New Delhi
29th Aug, 2014

2.  Introduction
 What’s Changing the Status Quo?
 Sector Specificities
 Recommendations
 Conclusion

3.  India’s nominal GDP could grow to USD 3.6 trillion by
2020 at an annual growth rate of 9%.
 India’s crude steel production is expected to increase
by a factor of 4 by 2030,
 The demand for cement in the country is expected to
double by 2030.
 Agricultural output to grow by 42.5% by 2020.
 The Indian textiles industry is expected to triple to
US$220 billion by 2020.
 The share of organized retail is expected to increase to
24 percent by 2020.

4.  It is anticipated that more than
60 percent of India’s urban
population will be concentrated
in 20–25 urban clusters by 2030.
 logistics support infrastructure
in India’s metros is inadequate
for serving existing trade needs.
 The growth of urban centers in
size and number would
necessitate the need for a
proactive approach in logistics
planning to sustain growth.
Mega Cities: 13
Industrial Clusters: 27

5.  Growth in the domestic
manufacturing and retail segments
has given impetus to the demand
for efficient warehouse-management
services.
 Existing small warehouses need to
be replaced by large, modern
warehouses that incorporate global
standards.
 Existing infrastructure needs to be
upgraded to increase throughput.

6. Logistic costs in India

8.  Air Cargo is Vital in Linking International
Markets.
 The total volume of air cargo traffic
currently constitutes about 1 percent of total
trade and accounts percent of Total Trade
Value.
 The Open Sky policy adopted in the early
1990s, allowed carriers to operate both
scheduled and non-scheduled cargo services
between all airports in India.
 Between 2006 and 2012, air cargo traffic
handled at Indian airports increased at a
CAGR of 11.5 %
 Over the next decade, total air cargo traffic
is expected to grow at a CAGR of 10.3%

10.  India’s Ports facilitate 90% by volume and 70% by
value of India’s external trade via maritime traffic.
 India’s coastline spans across 7,500 Km with 13 major
ports and about 176 non-major ports.
 The Indian port market has witnessed significant
growth over the last decade, growing at 8.5%
 The Maritime Agenda 2010–2020 is aimed at
 Growth of Non-Major Ports,
 Increased Containerization, and
 Improvisation of East Coast ports.

11.  The GoI plans to invest INR2,870 billion in generating
total port capacity of 3,200 MMT.
 The public-private partnership is expected to play an
important role in the development of non-major ports.
 The EXIM container market in India has grown at a
CAGR of 12 percent in the past five years.
 The East coast contribution in India’s total trade is
expected to increase from 23% in 2010 to 34% in 2014.

12.  The demand for warehousing in India was estimated
at approximately Rs. 245–270 billion in 2011–12.
 The share of the industrial segment, is expected to
increase from about 86 percent in 2010–11 to around
90 percent in 2015–16.
 The highest growth is expected from engineering
goods, and IT, electronics and telecommunications
sectors, estimated to grow at CAGRs of about 8.6 and
8.2 percent.
 The share of modern warehousing is anticipated to
grow to 30% by 2015.

14.  Spanning 64,456 km with more
than 7,133 railway stations,
India’s rail network is the largest
in Asia.
 The Indian Railways operates
19,000 trains daily, transporting
2.65 MMT of freight everyday.
Rail freight has grown at around 7 percent over the
past five years, and is expected touch the 1 billion ton
mark in 2013.
As compared to global standards, India’s track length
per sq. km. is unfavorable at 44 km of track per 1,000 sq.
km. 137 km and 417 km in US and Germany.

15.  The project envisages the construction of two corridors,
one each on the west and east routes, spanning a total
length of about 3,300 km.
 Freight via the DFC would increase from 140 MMT in 2016–
17 to 182 MMT in 2021–22 at a CAGR of 5.4 percent.
 Container traffic on the Western DFC, is expected to grow
from 3.8 million TEUs in 2016–17 to 5.3 million TEUs in
2021–22.
 In a ‘No-DFC scenario’ freight would continue to move
along existing rail and road network resulting in gradual
saturation of the rail network over a period of time.

16.  Indian Roadways account for 60 percent of total
freight movement in the country.
 Over the next five-year period, road freight is expected
to grow at a CAGR of 9.6%
 Roads continue to lag behind world averages, with
road density at 2.83 km/1,000 people compared to the
world average of 6.7 Km/1000 people.
 India’s low average trucking speed of 30–40 Kmph as
against the global average of 60–80 kmph.

17.  The National Highways Development
Programme, aims to developing
50,000 km of National Highways by
2015 in seven phases with an
investment of Rs 3,000Bn.
 Investments in the road sector is
likely to double in the 12th Five year
plan.
 To encourage private players, the
Government has announced several
incentives such as:
 100 percent tax exemptions in any
consecutive 10 years.
 Duty free imports of certain identified
construction plants and equipment.
 FDI of up to 100%

18.  Water as a mode of cargo movement contributes only 8% by
volume of the India’s cargo movement.
 Fuel consumption for every ton-kilometer of freight shipped is
only 15 percent of that by road and 54 percent of that by rail.
 From a cost perspective, shipping costs 21 percent of that by road
and 42 percent of that by rail.
 Coastal shipping and inland waterways transportation are the
two significant modes of domestic shipping.

19.  Growing at 7.2% over the past five years, IWT cargo
traffic was estimated at 79 MMT in 2011–12.
 India is home to 14,500 km of navigable inland
waterways, of which 5,200 km of major rivers and 485
km of canals are conducive to the movement of
mechanized vessels.
 India has a vast coastline of 7,500 Km, and yet India’s
costal shipping potential remains significantly
underutilized.
 Coastal shipping is a feasible option for movement
between most ports on the west and east coasts .

21.  India is at a crossroads of Changing Paradigms and
Global Integration.
 New Trade requirements make it mandatory to
standardize and regularize the process and practices of
logistics in India.
 Freight Forwarding, Port Optimization, PPP, FDI,
DFC, and IWT are some key avenues that should be
taken into consideration for improvement of Indian
Logistics.

22.  Logistics is growing in India, so what?
 55593 Jobs for SCM executives
 56610 Jobs forMaterial management
 8000 Jobs inWarehousing
 Just Jobs?
 No, You can start your own Business.
 What if I’m not getting into Logistics?
Don’t get in, Invest in it. Buy Shares, Finance a Lorry etc
 What if I can’t do any of the above?
 Become a Logistics Teacher in a B school.

23.  The Report has brought out the key Game Changers
in Logistics and their effect in the Indian context.
 There are emerging trends that the world is following
and India should do its best to keep up with the
trends.
 Each sector finds its own usecases, each should receive
due attention and considerate action.
 Times are changing, so should you.