SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 26
Civil defence,
 civil protection
and sustainability



     David Alexander
     Global Risk Forum - Davos
Organisational    Political         Natural
systems:         systems:          systems:
management       decisions          function



 Hazard                         Vulnerability

                   Resilience
Social                            Technical
systems:                           systems:
behaviour                        malfunction
An evolutionary
 perspective
Technological,
economic and                  External
 social issues                hazards
          GOVERNMENT

Regulatory               Stewardship
   role                     role

             Management
                role


            Operational and
              policy risks
Mitigation                 Protection
    Hazard                     Threat


 Vulnerability                Exposure


                   Risk
Civil protection            Civil defence

                 Response
Armed aggression
 on the part of states       Natural disasters

   Civil defence           Civil protection




"Homeland security"      "Civil contingencies"
  (civil defence)             (resilience)
   Armed aggression
                           "Generic" disasters
     on the part of
  groups of dissidents
Military                       Civilian

Armed                Civil administration
forces          Volunteers (civil society)
                     Emergency services
(army)
                           [residual role]
Civil defence             Civil protection

Command and control       Co-ordination
                       and co-operation
Chain of command              Autonomy
Emergency management:
          an evolutionary approach
Civil defence...............Civil protection

  Proxy                  Participatory

Command and control        Collaboration
Vertical chain              Task forces
of command          Population consulted
Population excluded         and included
Law and order            Problem solving
Secrecy                        Openness
An organisational
  perspective
Command
       Locus of      function
        control      principle

Tension of                 Spectrum of
 opposites                 alternatives

       Locus of      Support
     collaboration   function
       (support)     principle
organisation




                                                              E
                                                              E
 Command




                                                          te me
                                                          te c me r
  function




                                                            c hn r ge
                                                              hn ge
                                                                  c a nc
                                                                iica nc y
                                                                     ll s y a
                                                                        s e r a nd
                                                                         e r v nd
                                                                             viic
                                                                                cees
                 P
                 P ub
                  ub
                     lliic
                         c
                    a a
                    an ad
                     nd dm
                        d p mn
                           p o iin s
                            olliit iis t
                                 t c t ra
    Policies/Ethics




                                  iiciia ra t
                                       a ns t ors
                                        ns ors
                                             Operations
                      Strategies




                                                             GGen
                                                               en
                                                             pu er
                                                             pu b er a
                                                                b a
                                                                 lliic ll
                                   Tactics



                                                          Results
                                                                     c

   O
   T
   S


   R
   E
   P
The command function (PESTOR)
       The command function (PESTOR)

••   based on command and control
     based on command and control

••   a clear division of responsibilities
     a clear division of responsibilities

••   a residual component of authoritarianism
     a residual component of authoritarianism

•• hierarchical decision-making processes
   hierarchical decision-making processes

•• possibly not compatible
   possibly not compatible
   with collaborative models..
    with collaborative models
The support function principle
    The support function principle
•• non hierarchical and based on networks
    non hierarchical and based on networks
•• encourages fllows and
    encourages fllows and
   cascades of information
    cascades of information
•• it is easy to identify the manager of a
    it is easy to identify the manager of a
   particular function in a different unit
    particular function in a different unit
•• difficult to apply the principle of
   difficult to apply the principle of
   command, which is poorly articulated
    command, which is poorly articulated
•• difficult or impossible to integrate
   difficult or impossible to integrate
   with command function-based systems..
    with command function-based systems
Communications
               Logistics
  Support
               Medical
  function
               Search & rescue
organisation
               Media liaison
               ...etc.
Command function principle:
         command and control
               model


Information                  Management
 technology                   decisions



       Support function principle:
      collaborative and cooperation
                  model
Hierarchical
   divisions:                   Geographical
   national,                    divisions:
   regional,                    catchments,
   local, etc.                  jurisdictions,
                                areas, etc.
                    Division
                      and
                  integration
Functional
divisions:                  Organisational
government,                 divisions:
healthcare,                 police, fire,
commerce, etc.              ambulance,
                            etc.
Top-down
 Evolving                                 Large
strategic                              technological
situation                                hazards
            Instability    Complex
             threats       hazards
                                         'Na-tech'
                 Civil Defence            (hybrid)
                Civil Protection          hazards
          Enhanced           Natural
       natural hazards       hazards
Evolving                                  Major
climate                                 geophysical
change                                    events
                     Bottom-up
Civil contingencies

        Civil
     protection

    management
     Resilience
The risk environment
Counter-terrorism activity

Organisation            Stockpiling
• procedures            • equipment
• event scenarios       • supplies
• emergency plans

Intelligence            Training
• collection            • plan dissemination
• interpretation        • exercises
• warning
                       Involvement of civil protection
Surveillance             Analysis
• automatic (CCTV)       • laboratory
• manual (personnel)     • forensic
Into the
 future
THE KNOWN



                             PROBABILITY
       Grey             (constrained uncertainty)
       area            Cause       Single, multiple
                          or cascading effects
PURE UNCERTAINTY
 Causal relationship
      unknown

              THE UNKNOWN
Indeterminacy     Climate
                  change

        Collateral       Cascading
       vulnerability      effects

       Interaction       Secondary
      between risks      disasters

                "Fat-tailed"
                distributions   Probability
                 of impacts
Hazards
                   and risks:
                    disaster
                  preparedness       Uncertain
                                       future:
Governance:
                                     long-term
 democratic        Livelihoods:
                                       trends
participation        diversity
                                       climate
 in decision       and security
                                       change
   making
                                      capacity
                                      to adapt
                  RESILIENCE:
                  managing risks
                adapting to change
                securing resources
SUSTAINABILITY
          disaster risk reduction


                  RISKS
daily: unemployment, poverty, disease, etc.
major disaster: floods, storms, quakes, etc.
 emerging risks: pandemics, climate change


           resource consumption
      stewardship of the environment
            economic activities
                 lifestyles
           SUSTAINABILITY
Sustainable
              development
             and livelihoods
Public and
                                Sustainable
 political
                                  funding
 support
               Sustainable
             civil protection
               programmes
emergency-planning.
              blogspot.com




            Thank you
           for listening!



www.slideshare.net/dealexander

More Related Content

More from Global Risk Forum GRFDavos

More from Global Risk Forum GRFDavos (20)

Disaster risk reduction and nursing - human science research the view of surv...
Disaster risk reduction and nursing - human science research the view of surv...Disaster risk reduction and nursing - human science research the view of surv...
Disaster risk reduction and nursing - human science research the view of surv...
 
Global alliance of disaster research institutes (GADRI) discussion session, A...
Global alliance of disaster research institutes (GADRI) discussion session, A...Global alliance of disaster research institutes (GADRI) discussion session, A...
Global alliance of disaster research institutes (GADRI) discussion session, A...
 
Towards a safe, secure and sustainable energy supply the role of resilience i...
Towards a safe, secure and sustainable energy supply the role of resilience i...Towards a safe, secure and sustainable energy supply the role of resilience i...
Towards a safe, secure and sustainable energy supply the role of resilience i...
 
Making Hard Choices An Analysis of Settlement Choices and Willingness to Retu...
Making Hard Choices An Analysis of Settlement Choices and Willingness to Retu...Making Hard Choices An Analysis of Settlement Choices and Willingness to Retu...
Making Hard Choices An Analysis of Settlement Choices and Willingness to Retu...
 
The Relocation Challenges in Coastal Urban Centers Options and Limitations, A...
The Relocation Challenges in Coastal Urban Centers Options and Limitations, A...The Relocation Challenges in Coastal Urban Centers Options and Limitations, A...
The Relocation Challenges in Coastal Urban Centers Options and Limitations, A...
 
C&A Save the Children Urban DRR Project, Ray KANCHARLA
C&A Save the Children Urban DRR Project, Ray KANCHARLAC&A Save the Children Urban DRR Project, Ray KANCHARLA
C&A Save the Children Urban DRR Project, Ray KANCHARLA
 
Involving the Mining Sector in Achieving Land Degradation Neutrality, Simone ...
Involving the Mining Sector in Achieving Land Degradation Neutrality, Simone ...Involving the Mining Sector in Achieving Land Degradation Neutrality, Simone ...
Involving the Mining Sector in Achieving Land Degradation Neutrality, Simone ...
 
Disaster Risk Reduction and Nursing - Human Science research the view of surv...
Disaster Risk Reduction and Nursing - Human Science research the view of surv...Disaster Risk Reduction and Nursing - Human Science research the view of surv...
Disaster Risk Reduction and Nursing - Human Science research the view of surv...
 
Training and awareness raising in Critical Infrastructure Protection & Resili...
Training and awareness raising in Critical Infrastructure Protection & Resili...Training and awareness raising in Critical Infrastructure Protection & Resili...
Training and awareness raising in Critical Infrastructure Protection & Resili...
 
IDRC Davos 2016 - Workshop Awareness Raising, Education and Training - Capaci...
IDRC Davos 2016 - Workshop Awareness Raising, Education and Training - Capaci...IDRC Davos 2016 - Workshop Awareness Raising, Education and Training - Capaci...
IDRC Davos 2016 - Workshop Awareness Raising, Education and Training - Capaci...
 
Global Alliance of Disaster Research Institutes - Hirokazu TATANO
Global Alliance of Disaster Research Institutes - Hirokazu TATANOGlobal Alliance of Disaster Research Institutes - Hirokazu TATANO
Global Alliance of Disaster Research Institutes - Hirokazu TATANO
 
Capacity Development for DRR, Beatrice PROGIDA
Capacity Development for DRR, Beatrice PROGIDACapacity Development for DRR, Beatrice PROGIDA
Capacity Development for DRR, Beatrice PROGIDA
 
Dynamic factors influencing the post-disaster resettlement success Lessons fr...
Dynamic factors influencing the post-disaster resettlement success Lessons fr...Dynamic factors influencing the post-disaster resettlement success Lessons fr...
Dynamic factors influencing the post-disaster resettlement success Lessons fr...
 
Consequences of the Armed Conflict as a Stressor of Climate Change in Colombi...
Consequences of the Armed Conflict as a Stressor of Climate Change in Colombi...Consequences of the Armed Conflict as a Stressor of Climate Change in Colombi...
Consequences of the Armed Conflict as a Stressor of Climate Change in Colombi...
 
Disaster Risk Perception in Cameroon and its Implications for the Rehabilitat...
Disaster Risk Perception in Cameroon and its Implications for the Rehabilitat...Disaster Risk Perception in Cameroon and its Implications for the Rehabilitat...
Disaster Risk Perception in Cameroon and its Implications for the Rehabilitat...
 
Systematic Knowledge Sharing of Natural Hazard Damages in Public-private Part...
Systematic Knowledge Sharing of Natural Hazard Damages in Public-private Part...Systematic Knowledge Sharing of Natural Hazard Damages in Public-private Part...
Systematic Knowledge Sharing of Natural Hazard Damages in Public-private Part...
 
Exploring the Effectiveness of Humanitarian NGO-Private Sector Collaborations...
Exploring the Effectiveness of Humanitarian NGO-Private Sector Collaborations...Exploring the Effectiveness of Humanitarian NGO-Private Sector Collaborations...
Exploring the Effectiveness of Humanitarian NGO-Private Sector Collaborations...
 
Can UK Water Service Providers Manage Risk and Resilience as Part of a Multi-...
Can UK Water Service Providers Manage Risk and Resilience as Part of a Multi-...Can UK Water Service Providers Manage Risk and Resilience as Part of a Multi-...
Can UK Water Service Providers Manage Risk and Resilience as Part of a Multi-...
 
A Holistic Approach Towards International Disaster Resilient Architecture by ...
A Holistic Approach Towards International Disaster Resilient Architecture by ...A Holistic Approach Towards International Disaster Resilient Architecture by ...
A Holistic Approach Towards International Disaster Resilient Architecture by ...
 
Architecture as a Catalyst for Sustainable Development, Anna HERINGER
Architecture as a Catalyst for Sustainable Development, Anna HERINGERArchitecture as a Catalyst for Sustainable Development, Anna HERINGER
Architecture as a Catalyst for Sustainable Development, Anna HERINGER
 

Recently uploaded

Salient Features of India constitution especially power and functions
Salient Features of India constitution especially power and functionsSalient Features of India constitution especially power and functions
Salient Features of India constitution especially power and functions
KarakKing
 

Recently uploaded (20)

Plant propagation: Sexual and Asexual propapagation.pptx
Plant propagation: Sexual and Asexual propapagation.pptxPlant propagation: Sexual and Asexual propapagation.pptx
Plant propagation: Sexual and Asexual propapagation.pptx
 
Salient Features of India constitution especially power and functions
Salient Features of India constitution especially power and functionsSalient Features of India constitution especially power and functions
Salient Features of India constitution especially power and functions
 
General Principles of Intellectual Property: Concepts of Intellectual Proper...
General Principles of Intellectual Property: Concepts of Intellectual  Proper...General Principles of Intellectual Property: Concepts of Intellectual  Proper...
General Principles of Intellectual Property: Concepts of Intellectual Proper...
 
REMIFENTANIL: An Ultra short acting opioid.pptx
REMIFENTANIL: An Ultra short acting opioid.pptxREMIFENTANIL: An Ultra short acting opioid.pptx
REMIFENTANIL: An Ultra short acting opioid.pptx
 
Exploring_the_Narrative_Style_of_Amitav_Ghoshs_Gun_Island.pptx
Exploring_the_Narrative_Style_of_Amitav_Ghoshs_Gun_Island.pptxExploring_the_Narrative_Style_of_Amitav_Ghoshs_Gun_Island.pptx
Exploring_the_Narrative_Style_of_Amitav_Ghoshs_Gun_Island.pptx
 
2024-NATIONAL-LEARNING-CAMP-AND-OTHER.pptx
2024-NATIONAL-LEARNING-CAMP-AND-OTHER.pptx2024-NATIONAL-LEARNING-CAMP-AND-OTHER.pptx
2024-NATIONAL-LEARNING-CAMP-AND-OTHER.pptx
 
How to Give a Domain for a Field in Odoo 17
How to Give a Domain for a Field in Odoo 17How to Give a Domain for a Field in Odoo 17
How to Give a Domain for a Field in Odoo 17
 
ICT Role in 21st Century Education & its Challenges.pptx
ICT Role in 21st Century Education & its Challenges.pptxICT Role in 21st Century Education & its Challenges.pptx
ICT Role in 21st Century Education & its Challenges.pptx
 
Mehran University Newsletter Vol-X, Issue-I, 2024
Mehran University Newsletter Vol-X, Issue-I, 2024Mehran University Newsletter Vol-X, Issue-I, 2024
Mehran University Newsletter Vol-X, Issue-I, 2024
 
Sociology 101 Demonstration of Learning Exhibit
Sociology 101 Demonstration of Learning ExhibitSociology 101 Demonstration of Learning Exhibit
Sociology 101 Demonstration of Learning Exhibit
 
Basic Civil Engineering first year Notes- Chapter 4 Building.pptx
Basic Civil Engineering first year Notes- Chapter 4 Building.pptxBasic Civil Engineering first year Notes- Chapter 4 Building.pptx
Basic Civil Engineering first year Notes- Chapter 4 Building.pptx
 
NO1 Top Black Magic Specialist In Lahore Black magic In Pakistan Kala Ilam Ex...
NO1 Top Black Magic Specialist In Lahore Black magic In Pakistan Kala Ilam Ex...NO1 Top Black Magic Specialist In Lahore Black magic In Pakistan Kala Ilam Ex...
NO1 Top Black Magic Specialist In Lahore Black magic In Pakistan Kala Ilam Ex...
 
UGC NET Paper 1 Mathematical Reasoning & Aptitude.pdf
UGC NET Paper 1 Mathematical Reasoning & Aptitude.pdfUGC NET Paper 1 Mathematical Reasoning & Aptitude.pdf
UGC NET Paper 1 Mathematical Reasoning & Aptitude.pdf
 
Wellbeing inclusion and digital dystopias.pptx
Wellbeing inclusion and digital dystopias.pptxWellbeing inclusion and digital dystopias.pptx
Wellbeing inclusion and digital dystopias.pptx
 
FSB Advising Checklist - Orientation 2024
FSB Advising Checklist - Orientation 2024FSB Advising Checklist - Orientation 2024
FSB Advising Checklist - Orientation 2024
 
Jamworks pilot and AI at Jisc (20/03/2024)
Jamworks pilot and AI at Jisc (20/03/2024)Jamworks pilot and AI at Jisc (20/03/2024)
Jamworks pilot and AI at Jisc (20/03/2024)
 
Accessible Digital Futures project (20/03/2024)
Accessible Digital Futures project (20/03/2024)Accessible Digital Futures project (20/03/2024)
Accessible Digital Futures project (20/03/2024)
 
Application orientated numerical on hev.ppt
Application orientated numerical on hev.pptApplication orientated numerical on hev.ppt
Application orientated numerical on hev.ppt
 
Understanding Accommodations and Modifications
Understanding  Accommodations and ModificationsUnderstanding  Accommodations and Modifications
Understanding Accommodations and Modifications
 
Sensory_Experience_and_Emotional_Resonance_in_Gabriel_Okaras_The_Piano_and_Th...
Sensory_Experience_and_Emotional_Resonance_in_Gabriel_Okaras_The_Piano_and_Th...Sensory_Experience_and_Emotional_Resonance_in_Gabriel_Okaras_The_Piano_and_Th...
Sensory_Experience_and_Emotional_Resonance_in_Gabriel_Okaras_The_Piano_and_Th...
 

Idrc david alexander

  • 1. Civil defence, civil protection and sustainability David Alexander Global Risk Forum - Davos
  • 2. Organisational Political Natural systems: systems: systems: management decisions function Hazard Vulnerability Resilience Social Technical systems: systems: behaviour malfunction
  • 4. Technological, economic and External social issues hazards GOVERNMENT Regulatory Stewardship role role Management role Operational and policy risks
  • 5. Mitigation Protection Hazard Threat Vulnerability Exposure Risk Civil protection Civil defence Response
  • 6. Armed aggression on the part of states Natural disasters Civil defence Civil protection "Homeland security" "Civil contingencies" (civil defence) (resilience) Armed aggression "Generic" disasters on the part of groups of dissidents
  • 7. Military Civilian Armed Civil administration forces Volunteers (civil society) Emergency services (army) [residual role] Civil defence Civil protection Command and control Co-ordination and co-operation Chain of command Autonomy
  • 8. Emergency management: an evolutionary approach Civil defence...............Civil protection Proxy Participatory Command and control Collaboration Vertical chain Task forces of command Population consulted Population excluded and included Law and order Problem solving Secrecy Openness
  • 9. An organisational perspective
  • 10. Command Locus of function control principle Tension of Spectrum of opposites alternatives Locus of Support collaboration function (support) principle
  • 11. organisation E E Command te me te c me r function c hn r ge hn ge c a nc iica nc y ll s y a s e r a nd e r v nd viic cees P P ub ub lliic c a a an ad nd dm d p mn p o iin s olliit iis t t c t ra Policies/Ethics iiciia ra t a ns t ors ns ors Operations Strategies GGen en pu er pu b er a b a lliic ll Tactics Results c O T S R E P
  • 12. The command function (PESTOR) The command function (PESTOR) •• based on command and control based on command and control •• a clear division of responsibilities a clear division of responsibilities •• a residual component of authoritarianism a residual component of authoritarianism •• hierarchical decision-making processes hierarchical decision-making processes •• possibly not compatible possibly not compatible with collaborative models.. with collaborative models
  • 13. The support function principle The support function principle •• non hierarchical and based on networks non hierarchical and based on networks •• encourages fllows and encourages fllows and cascades of information cascades of information •• it is easy to identify the manager of a it is easy to identify the manager of a particular function in a different unit particular function in a different unit •• difficult to apply the principle of difficult to apply the principle of command, which is poorly articulated command, which is poorly articulated •• difficult or impossible to integrate difficult or impossible to integrate with command function-based systems.. with command function-based systems
  • 14. Communications Logistics Support Medical function Search & rescue organisation Media liaison ...etc.
  • 15. Command function principle: command and control model Information Management technology decisions Support function principle: collaborative and cooperation model
  • 16. Hierarchical divisions: Geographical national, divisions: regional, catchments, local, etc. jurisdictions, areas, etc. Division and integration Functional divisions: Organisational government, divisions: healthcare, police, fire, commerce, etc. ambulance, etc.
  • 17. Top-down Evolving Large strategic technological situation hazards Instability Complex threats hazards 'Na-tech' Civil Defence (hybrid) Civil Protection hazards Enhanced Natural natural hazards hazards Evolving Major climate geophysical change events Bottom-up
  • 18. Civil contingencies Civil protection management Resilience The risk environment
  • 19. Counter-terrorism activity Organisation Stockpiling • procedures • equipment • event scenarios • supplies • emergency plans Intelligence Training • collection • plan dissemination • interpretation • exercises • warning Involvement of civil protection Surveillance Analysis • automatic (CCTV) • laboratory • manual (personnel) • forensic
  • 21. THE KNOWN PROBABILITY Grey (constrained uncertainty) area Cause Single, multiple or cascading effects PURE UNCERTAINTY Causal relationship unknown THE UNKNOWN
  • 22. Indeterminacy Climate change Collateral Cascading vulnerability effects Interaction Secondary between risks disasters "Fat-tailed" distributions Probability of impacts
  • 23. Hazards and risks: disaster preparedness Uncertain future: Governance: long-term democratic Livelihoods: trends participation diversity climate in decision and security change making capacity to adapt RESILIENCE: managing risks adapting to change securing resources
  • 24. SUSTAINABILITY disaster risk reduction RISKS daily: unemployment, poverty, disease, etc. major disaster: floods, storms, quakes, etc. emerging risks: pandemics, climate change resource consumption stewardship of the environment economic activities lifestyles SUSTAINABILITY
  • 25. Sustainable development and livelihoods Public and Sustainable political funding support Sustainable civil protection programmes
  • 26. emergency-planning. blogspot.com Thank you for listening! www.slideshare.net/dealexander