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The Pakistan Development Review 
42 : 4 Part II (Winter 2003) pp. 893–908 
Housing: Opportunity, Security, and 
Empowerment for the Poor 
HINA NAZLI and SOHAIL J. MALIK♣ 
I. BACKGROUND 
The Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper for Pakistan1 lays considerable 
emphasis on housing finance as a major intervention for poverty reduction. The 
national Housing Policy of 2001 has as its corner stone housing for the poor and 
needy. The Interim Poverty Reduction Strategy of Pakistan (IPRSP) completed in 
November 2001 explicitly recognised the importance of Housing for the poor. It 
stated that “housing is a fundamental human need as it provides physical, economic, 
and social security to the poor. However, depressed economic growth, rising 
population, and rapid urbanisation have resulted in an increased demand for housing 
infrastructure. It stated that the present backlog of housing units is more than 4 
million in the country with the result that millions are forced to live in Katchi Abadis 
or under-serviced slum settlements. Estimates for urban population living in Katchi 
Abadis range from 35-50 percent”. 
This paper highlight the importance of housing as an important dimension of 
poverty by examining the available literature that show the crucial contribution of 
adequate housing for ensuring opportunity, security and empowerment—the three 
pillars for poverty reduction. There is global consensus now that these three elements 
form the essential pillars of any poverty reduction strategy. This paper shows how 
inadequate housing creates a sense of insecurity and disempowerment among the 
poor. Housing poverty in Pakistan is described and an index of poverty based on 
housing inadequacy is adapted and applied to data for Pakistan from the PIHS 1998- 
99. It shows that the incidence of poverty based on housing inadequacy in Pakistan is 
much greater than that indicated by standard money-metric income/consumption 
based measures. 
This paper is divided into five sections. Following this background the second 
section is devoted to an examination of the multidimensional nature of poverty. The 
third section highlights the importance of housing dimension of poverty. The fourth 
Hina Nazli and Sohail J. Malik are respectively Research Economist (on leave), Pakistan Institute 
of Development Economics, Islamabad, and Chairman, Innovative Development Strategies (Pvt.) Ltd., 
House 5, Street 38, F-8/1, Islamabad. 
Authors’ Note: We are thankful to Dr G. M. Arif, Chief of Research, PIDE, for his valuable 
comments at the PSDE meetings. 
1Draft summarised version released in May 2003.
Nazli and Malik 
894 
sections looks at the situation in Pakistan. Some policy directions are listed in the 
Epilogue. 
II. POVERTY IS MULTIDIMENSIONAL 
There is increasing consensus that the measures of income poverty are 
inadequate to capture the many dimensions of poverty. Moreover they are inadequate 
in explaining how the poor themselves understand the significant aspects of their 
poverty. For example Chambers (1995) finds that the poor are quite concerned with 
their vulnerability to unemployment, to disease and to such contingencies of life that 
would undermine their security. So definitions of poverty in the available literature 
emphasise not only the issues related to income, consumption, health, nutrition and 
education, but also insecurity, and vulnerability. An example of this literature is the 
study by Baharoglu and Kessides (2001) which presents five dimensions for viewing 
poverty: income/consumption, health, education, security, and empowerment. Poverty 
is increasingly viewed as being characterised by cumulative deprivations where one 
dimension of poverty is often the cause of or contributor to another dimension. 
Figure 1 shows that the lack of access to employment opportunities, education and 
health facilities, adequate shelter and other public services create the sense of insecurity 
and disempowerment that is the significant obstacle in achieving a better living standard. 
Fig 1. One Dimension of Poverty Contributes to Another. 
Inability to afford 
adequate housing 
Lack of access to 
credit for business or 
house 
Lack of 
employment, regular 
income and social 
security 
Loss of tenure 
insecurity 
Sense of 
insecurity, 
disempowerment 
Poor health, poor 
education 
Unhygienic living 
conditions, low quality 
public services 
Source: Coudouel, Hentschel, and Wodon (2001). 
In the literature the generally accepted indicators being used to monitor the 
multi-dimensions of poverty clearly indicate the importance of adequate housing. 
Indicators for four dimensions of poverty being used by the World Bank presented in 
Table 1 illustrate this. Every dimension of poverty being monitored has some 
housing related indicator.
Housing for the Poor 895 
Table 1 
Dimensions of Poverty and Intermediate and Outcome Indicators 
to Track These Dimensions 
Poverty 
Dimension 
Intermediate Indicator Impact/Outcome Indicator 
Income • Access to credit 
• Shares of informal employment 
• Share of household expenditures on housing 
(especially lowest 2 quintiles) 
• Model shares of transport for work trips 
• Share of household expenditures on 
transport (especially lowest 2 quintiles) 
• Mean travel time to work 
• Access to electricity 
• Regulatory delays 
• Land development controls 
• Coverage of social assistance 
• Poverty headcount 
• Poverty gap 
• Extreme poverty incidence 
• Female headed households in 
poverty 
• Income inequality (Gini coefficient) 
• Quintile ratio of inequality 
• Unemployment rate 
• Housing price/income ratio 
Health • Share of household expenditures on potable 
water and sanitation 
• % Household connected to water/sewerage 
• Per capita consumption of water 
• % Wastewater treated 
• % Households with regular solid waste 
collection 
• % of solid waste safely disposed 
• Crowding (housing floor space per person) 
• Air pollution concentrations 
• Shares of sources of household energy 
• Access to primary health services 
• Access to nutritional safety net 
• Share of household expenditures on health 
care (lowest 2 quintiles) 
• Share of household expenditures on food 
(lowest 2 quintiles) 
• Infant and under-5 mortality 
• Maternal mortality rate 
• Life expectancy at birth 
• Female-male gap in health (under-5 
mortality rate by sex) 
• Malnutrition rate of children 
• Morbidity and mortality rates due to 
environment related diseases 
• Death rates by violence 
• Injury/death rates by transport 
accidents 
• Mortality rates by disaster 
Education • Primary and secondary school enrollment rates 
• Access to vocational training 
• Share of household expenditures on education 
(lowest 2 quintiles) 
• Literacy rate 
• School completion rates 
• Gender gap in education attainment 
• Child labour 
• Street children 
Security 
• Population in unauthorised housing 
• Population living in precarious zones 
• Scope of disaster prevention/mitigation 
measures 
• Access to police and legal system protections 
• % of households with secure tenure 
• Deaths from industrial or 
environmental disasters 
• Murder rates (and rates of other 
crimes such as: domestic violence, 
child abuse, robbery, etc.) 
Empowerment Extent of public consultation in local government 
budget decisions 
Participation of residents in political or 
community organisations 
Discrimination in access to services/jobs 
Access to telephones and internet 
Citizen involvement in major planning 
decisions 
Public access to information about local 
government decisions, services, and 
performance 
Satisfaction with city services 
Source: World Bank (2001).
Nazli and Malik 
896 
III. HOUSING POVERTY IS AN IMPORTANT DIMENSION 
Over time as population increases housing poverty will become an even more 
critical dimension of overall poverty. The growing demand for housing can be seen 
through the projected growth rates in the number of households. Table 2 indicates 
that sub-Saharan Africa is projected to have the largest population increase during 
the next decade, followed by India, while, the largest increase in number of 
households is expected in China. The growth rate of households in China is more 
than 2.5 times that of its population growth. The increase in the number of 
households in the industrialised countries is larger than its population increase. 
During the 1995–2000 period, 1.06 new households will be created for each person 
added to the population. This stands in contrast with the developing countries where 
the corresponding figure is 0.30. The reason for these striking differences is changes 
in household size. While average household sizes in sub-Saharan Africa and South 
Asia are expected to remain high during the next three decades, household sizes in 
the other regions will be reduced significantly. During the next decade (2000–2010) 
this figure will increase to 1.63 in industrial countries and 0.38 in developing 
countries. In the following decade (2010–2020) the figures are projected to reach 
1.87 and 0.40 respectively. One result of this is that although the absolute population 
growth is expected to be reduced slightly from an annual average of some 87 million 
a year during the 1995–2005 period to about 83 million during the 2015–2025 
period, the average annual increase in the number of households is projected to 
Table 2 
Population Growth Rates, Household Growth Rates, 
and Household Size, by Region(1995–2025) 
Average Annual Population 
Growth Rate (Percent) 
Average Annual Household 
Growth Rate (Percent) 
Average Number of 
Persons per Household 
Region 
1995– 
2005 
2005– 
2015 
2015– 
2025 
1995– 
2005 
2005– 
2015 
2015– 
2025 
1995 2025 
Latin America and 
Caribbean 1.59 1.43 1.28 2.70 2.55 2.37 4.31 3.32 
Sub-Saharan Africa 2.80 2.72 2.64 2.54 2.70 2.86 5.99 5.57 
North Africa and 
Middle East 2.23 2.10 1.90 2.86 2.84 2.74 5.59 4.72 
South Asia 2.54 2.27 2.06 2.66 2.60 2.41 6.58 6.13 
India 1.70 1.53 1.33 2.32 2.29 2.16 5.62 4.69 
East Asia and Pacific 1.55 1.36 1.20 2.55 2.38 2.22 4.48 3.54 
China 0.91 0.78 0.75 2.52 2.56 2.42 3.67 2.46 
Developing Countries 1.72 1.59 1.48 2.54 2.52 2.41 4.72 3.81 
Industrialised 
Countries 0.36 0.31 0.28 1.15 1.08 0.96 2.73 2.27 
World Total 1.44 1.34 1.25 2.09 2.08 1.98 4.07 3.43 
Source: UNCHS (2001).
Housing for the Poor 897 
increase from 32 million to 35 million. As most of this increase will occur in urban 
areas, the challenge in terms of urban housing supply is immense. The incidence of 
urban poverty and inadequate human settlement conditions are rising in the poorest 
regions of Asia and Africa where the rate of urbanisation is found highest. 
In most of the countries the number of households grow at a much higher rate 
than the population [see UNCHS (2001)]. This situation also prevails in the high-income 
industrial countries (see Table 2). For example, in United States, the poorest 
quarter of renter households numbered nearly eight million in 1991, however, fewer 
than three million dwellings were affordable to this group. This ‘affordability gap’ of 
five million in 1991 had widened by almost four million since 1970 [USA (1994)]. 
The growing number of households and shortage of affordable housing has 
resulted not only in slum and squatter settlements but also in homelessness in both 
developed as well as in developing countries. Because of the lack of basic in-house 
amenities, such as, adequate privacy and security, structural stability and 
durability; adequate lighting, heating and ventilation; adequate basic infrastructure, 
such as water-supply, sanitation and waste-management facilities; suitable 
environmental quality and health-related factors; increasing proportions of the 
global population are pushed into poverty and all that it signifies. Nearly 17 
percent of the world’s stock of housing was one-room units in 1990s; and, ¼th of 
all urban housing globally consisted of nonpermanent structures. The housing 
crisis in developing countries is considerably higher than the global averages. In 
many cases one-room dwellings have been split up into units in which several 
households live simultaneously. 
At the Worst End of Housing Poverty is Homelessness 
The number of homeless people globally is growing. Table 3 presents 
estimates of homelessness during the 1990s. Worldwide, the number of homeless 
people has been estimated at anywhere from 100 million to one billion or more, 
depending on how homelessness is defined. The estimate of 100 million applies to 
those who have no shelter at all. The estimate of one billion or more includes those 
living in inadequate shelter conditions. Several million people are homeless in 
Europe and North America. Using the most conservative definition of homelessness, 
nearly 2.5 million people were estimated to be homeless in the early 1990s within the 
then 12 countries of the European Union. If the people living in ‘seriously 
substandard accommodation’ are added, the total of homeless people in the European 
Union was estimated to be 18 million. In the United States, some 600,000 persons 
were estimated to be homeless on any given night between 1985 and 1990; while 
some seven million experienced homelessness at least once during the same period. 
In Canada, estimates for the number of homeless people based on the number using 
temporary night shelters and those living and sleeping outside suggest between 
130,000 and 250,000.
Nazli and Malik 
898 
Table 3 
Homelessness During 1990s 
Region/Country Year Homeless People 
Worldwide (without shelter) 1990s 100 million 
Worldwide (without shelter + without inadequate shelter) 1990s more than 1 billion 
European Union (without shelter) 1990s 2.5 million 
European Union (without shelter + without adequate shelter) 1990s 18 million 
Central Europe 1990s 135-625 thousand 
South Eastern Europe 1990s 400 thousand 
United States 1985-1990 600 thousand 
Canada mid-1990s 130-250 thousand 
Japan 1990s 19 thousand 
Russian Federation 1997 350 thousand 
Bangladesh 1996 155 thousand 
India (without shelter) 1991 1.2 million 
India (without shelter + without adequate shelter) 1991 45.7 million 
Source: UNCHS (2000). 
Rapid urbanisation results in homelessness, inadequate housing, and 
insecurity, especially in large cities. Thus, housing is the central aspect of urban 
poverty and its alleviation. The Global Report on Human Settlements (1996) 
describes the urban poor as “the individuals and households who lack safe, secure 
and healthy shelter with basic infrastructure such as piped water and adequate 
provision for sanitation, drainage and the removal of household wastes”. Housing 
poverty is closely related to the levels of income and supply and standard of 
available housing stock. In other words, it is the affordability that links income 
poverty to housing poverty. According to UNCHS (1996) “some 600 million urban 
residents in developing countries live in ‘life-and-health threatening homes’ and 
neighbourhoods because of the very poor housing and living conditions and the lack 
of adequate provision for safe, sufficient water supplies and provision for sanitation, 
drainage, the removal of garbage and health care”. 
According to the estimates of UNCHS (2001), a total of some 835-950 
million urban dwellers (representing 196-223 million households) in developing 
countries live in ‘housing poverty’. In order to meet the housing demand of 
increasing population in next 20 years, there is a need for 74 million housing units. 
In the first decade (2000-2010) more than 95,000 housing units per day are needed 
and during 2010-2020, this number will increase to 105,000 housing units per day. 
The total demand on national housing supply systems in urban areas is thus truly 
staggering. Roughly two-thirds (65 percent) of this increase is estimated to occur 
in the Asia and the Pacific region, some 16 percent in Latin America and the 
Caribbean, 11 percent in Sub-Saharan Africa and 8 percent in North Africa and the 
Middle East.
Housing for the Poor 899 
IV. THE SITUATION IN PAKISTAN 
The data from the population censuses reveal that total housing units in Pakistan 
increased from 7.8 million in 1960 to 12.6 million in 1981 and to 19.3 million in 1998. 
These 19.3 million housing units accommodated 131.5 million people in 1998. Table 3 
shows that population growth in Pakistan remained higher than the growth in housing 
stock. Housing stock has increased by 2.46 times, whereas population has increased 
three-folds during the four decades. Urban population grew more rapidly (3.76 percent) 
than the urban housing stock (3.36) during 1981–1998. 
Table 4 shows an overall increase of 53 percent in the housing stock during 
the intercensal period 1981–98. These data also show an increase in average 
household size that indicates more people per housing unit in 1998 as compared to 
1981. This increase was more pronounced in the urban areas (from 6.1 to 7.0). This 
indicates increasing congestion in a household resulting from the higher population 
growth, especially in the urban areas. Despite an increase in persons per housing 
unit, rooms per housing unit has increased slightly during 1981–98 that caused a 
decline in persons per rooms. This can be seen in Table 5 below. 
Table 4 
Growth Rates of Population and Housing Units (1981–1998) 
Population (000) 
Number of Housing 
Units (000) 
Average 
Household Size 
1981 1998 1981 1998 1981 1998 
Pakistan 84253 132352 (2.86) 12588 19212 (2.68) 6.7 6.8 
Urban 23841 43036 (3.76) 3554 6031 (3.36) 6.1 7 
Rural 60412 89316 (2.47) 9034 13180 (2.39) 5.6 6.8 
Source: Pakistan (1981 and 1998). 
Note: Figures in parenthesis are the compound growth rates between 1981–1998. 
Table 5 
Indices of Congestion in 1981 and 1998 
All Areas Rural Urban 
Index 1981 1998 1981 1998 1981 1998 
Persons per Housing Unit 5.7 6.2 6.6 6.8 7.0 7.0 
Persons per Room 3.5 3.2 3.6 3.2 3.2 2.9 
Rooms per Housing Unit 1.9 2.2 1.8 2.1 2.2 2.4 
Housing Units with One Room (%) 51.54 42.58 55.06 41.65 42.58 30.38 
Housing Units with 2–4 Rooms (%) 44.83 51.71 42.12 52.26 51.71 60.91 
Housing Units with 5 Rooms and 
more (%) 3.63 5.72 2.82 6.10 5.72 8.71 
Source: Pakistan (1981 and 1998).
Nazli and Malik 
900 
Some decline in the level of congestion is evident from the fact that while 
persons per housing unit have actually increased the persons per room have 
decreased when comparing the 1981 data with that for 1998. There is also a decrease 
in the percentage of one-room houses and an increase in percentage of housing units 
with more than one room both in rural as well as in urban areas. However, nearly 43 
percent of the housing units in Pakistan were still one-room units in 1998. 
Urbanisation in Pakistan 
A large part of the housing problem in Pakistan is connected to rapid 
urbanisation. Urban settlements occupy less than 0.75 percent of Pakistan’s land but 
contain 32.5 percent of its population. The data in Table 6 show that the share of 
urban population nearly doubled since 1947. Urban population increased from 5 
million to 40 million during 1947–1998. During the period 1981 to 1998 the total 
population increased by 55 percent whereas the urban and rural population have 
increased by 60 percent and 40 percent, respectively. The number of cities and towns 
increased from 208 to 468 during the 1951 to 1998 period. 
Table 6 
Percentage Share of Urban Population in Total Population 
Provinces 1951 1961 1972 1981 1998 
Pakistan 17.8 22.5 25.4 28.3 32.5 
Punjab 17.4 21.4 24.4 27.6 31.3 
Sindh 28.8 37.9 40.4 43.3 48.9 
NWFP 11.0 13.0 14.3 15.1 16.9 
Balochistan 12.0 16.9 16.5 15.6 23.3 
Islamabad – – 32.9 60.0 65.6 
Source: Butt (1994) and Arif and Ibrahim (1999). 
The urbanisation problem also has regional dimensions. According to data in 
Table 6, Sindh is the most urbanised province with 49 percent of its population 
residing in the urban areas. This proportion was 29 percent in 1951. The city of 
Karachi in this province contains 21 percent of the total urban population of Pakistan 
and more than 50 percent of total urban population of Sindh province. Punjab is the 
second most urbanised province. Its urban population has increased from 17 percent 
in 1951 to 31 percent in 1998. However the proportion of urban population in NWFP 
and Balochistan had not varied much until 1981. However, a significant increase in 
Balochistan’s urban population has been observed during 1981–98. This increase not 
only reflects the rural to urban migration due to an increase in public sector 
employment opportunities but also indicates the influx of Afghan refugees and their 
concentration mainly in Quetta in Balochistan.
Housing for the Poor 901 
Arif and Ibrahim (1999) noted that in 1981, there were only 3 cities (Karachi, 
Lahore and Faisalabad) with more than one million population. In 1998 this number 
had increased to 7 cities (Karachi, Lahore, Faisalabad, Rawalpindi, Multan, 
Hyderabad, and Gujranwala). These cities experienced a high population growth rate 
(3.3 percent) during 1981–98. The share in urban population of small and medium 
sized towns (with population less than 100000) was observed 27 percent, registered 
an annual growth rate of 3.7 during 1981–98. 
Rapidly increasing urbanisation caused not only the acute shortage of housing 
units but also gave rise to the fast growth of slums. Zaidi (1990) conducted a survey 
of Lahore’s Katchi Abadis. He found a higher dependency ratio and higher 
household size as compared to the rates of whole city. In 1988, there were 2322 
katchi abadis in Pakistan; among them 56 percent were in Sindh. Nearly 35-40 
percent population of Karachi and Lahore was residing in slum areas in early 1990s. 
There are 11 identified katchi abadis in Islamabad with 7,000 housing units. 
Urban land scarcity, its cost, and speculation by developers constitute major 
problems confronting the urban poor in their struggle for shelter. UNCHS (2001) 
pointed out that the ownership of urban land is highly skewed in the South Asian 
region. This has caused the price of land to rise considerably making it difficult for 
the majority of the population to purchase land. Increasing pressure of population in 
urban areas raises population density, reduces per capita living space and deteriorates 
environmental conditions. Limited access to police and legal system protections 
creates the sense of insecurity and increases vulnerability and disempowerment. 
In Pakistan continued migration into urban areas has created land shortages in 
the major cities, increased prices and encouraged land speculation [Malik (1994)]. On 
the basis of World Bank’s recommended occupancy rates of 6 persons per house, the 
total number of required housing units in the country would be roughly 24.8 million for 
a population of 146 million by the end of 2003. Every year nearly 20 million (10 
percent) houses are either destroyed, depleted or demolished and some 0.3 million new 
houses are added. According to National Housing Policy, the country needs an 
additional supply of 570,000 units per annum while the actual supply does not exceed 
300,000. Thus there is a net shortfall of 270,000 units per annum and the backlog is 
increasing every year [Pakistan Economic Survey (2002-03)]. 
The Characteristics of Housing Poverty in Pakistan 
According to the 1998 Population and Housing Census of Pakistan, of the total 
(19.3 million) housing units, nearly 15.6 million or 80.8 percent were owned, 1.7 
million or 9.0 percent rented, and 2.0 million or 10.2 percent rent free. The percentage 
of owned housing units were higher in the rural areas compared to urban areas. 
Similarly, percentage of rent free houses was higher in rural areas as compared to that 
in the urban areas. However, the percentage of rented houses was significantly higher 
at 23.2 in urban as compared to only 2.3 percent in the rural areas (see Table 7).
Nazli and Malik 
902 
Table 7 
Nature of Tenure, by Region (1981 and 1998) 
All Areas Rural Urban 
Tenure 1981 1998 1981 1998 1981 1998 
Owned 78.4 81.2 82.6 86.8 67.7 68.9 
Rented 7.7 8.6 2.2 2.2 21.9 22.7 
Rent Free 13.9 10.2 15.2 11.0 10.5 8.4 
Source: Pakistan (1981 and 1998). 
According to Household Integrated Economic Survey (1998-99), 21 percent 
of total expenditure of urban households goes to house rent and 7 percent to fuel and 
lighting (see Table 8). The share of expenditure on food was observed to be 41 
percent. This means that urban people spend 62 percent on food and housing and are 
left with very little money to spend on education, clothing, health, recreation, etc. 
The situation is much worse for the poorer households. 
Table 8 
Percentage Distribution of Monthly Consumption Expenditure 
on Housing, by Income Groups (1998-99) 
Avg Consumption Exp 
Per Month (Rs) 
Share of House Rent 
(%) 
Share of Fuel and Lighting 
Monthly Income (%) 
Groups (Rs) Pakistan Urban Rural Pakistan Urban Rural Pakistan Urban Rural 
All Groups 6419 8707 5443 13.92 21.45 8.78 6.98 6.52 7.3 
up to 1000 2926 3106 2901 6.45 10.03 6.12 7.55 9.43 7.38 
1001–1500 2343 2283 2351 8.70 13.68 8.03 7.99 10.22 7.69 
1501–2000 2737 2366 2786 8.83 14.23 8.23 7.87 7.79 7.88 
2001–2500 3051 2892 3069 9.25 13.8 8.77 7.70 8.14 7.65 
2501–3000 3445 3428 3448 9.26 13.92 8.4 7.95 8.88 7.78 
3001–3500 3903 3614 3977 9.05 14.24 7.84 7.98 8.52 7.85 
3501–4000 4344 4187 4390 9.75 14.91 8.32 7.79 8.26 7.66 
4001–5000 4896 4913 4890 10.24 15.54 8.33 7.79 7.97 7.72 
5001–6000 5689 5874 5604 10.70 16.74 7.79 7.44 7.34 7.49 
6001–7000 6477 6701 6369 11.25 16.95 8.38 7.51 7.32 7.61 
7001 and above 11173 13139 9371 17.69 23.85 9.76 6.27 5.96 6.66 
Source: Pakistan (1998-99). 
Although 81 percent of households in Pakistan own their house, a 
considerable proportion does not have adequate provision of toilet, bathroom and 
kitchen facility. In-house facilities such as kitchen, bathroom, latrine, water, 
electricity, gas for cooking, etc. measure the quality of life and living standard of the 
occupants. These are inadequate although a comparison of the intercensal changes 
reveals a considerable improvement in the provision of water and electricity. Nearly 
28 percent housing units have inside water and 70 percent are covered by electricity 
in 1998 as compared to 13 percent and 30 percent, respectively in 1981. Despite this
Housing for the Poor 903 
improvement, about 50 percent households still do not have kitchen, bathroom and 
latrine in Pakistan. This proportion is much higher in rural areas. In urban areas, 
however, sharing of these facilities is found to be common. Over 26 percent 
households share a kitchen, 37 percent a bathroom and 38 percent a latrine. In 
addition, 22 percent households in urban areas and 31 percent in rural areas live in 
one room. Table 9 shows that the majority of households whose income is between 
Rs 1001-1500 reside in one room housing unit. 
Table 9 
Percentage Distribution of Households Living in One Room, 
by Income Group and Region (1998-99) 
Income Groups Urban Rural 
All groups 22.40% 30.80% 
up to 1000 37.60% 33.90% 
1001-1500 51.10% 42.40% 
3501-4000 35.10% 29.50% 
7001 and above 5.40% 7.70% 
Source: Pakistan (1998-99). 
In addition, although main source of drinking water for most of the urban 
households is tap in house, but a large majority of poorer households depend on hand 
pumps. Improper drainage and poor system of garbage collection indicates 
unhygienic living conditions in urban areas. 
Housing Poverty Index 
In order to assess the poverty level of potential or new clients for Micro 
Finance Institutions, Hatch and Frederick (1998) computed a housing index that 
categorises clients who are very poor. This housing index is based on the hypothesis 
that the level of poverty of a client’s household will be reflected in the quality of his 
or her dwelling. This index is designed with eight housing variables: (1) size of the 
building; (2) number of stories; (3) structural condition; (4) roof material; (5) wall 
material; (6) electrical supply; (7) piped water supply; and (8) motorised vehicle (car 
or motorbike). Each indicator has an associated scoring criteria, (e.g., wall material: 
brick=2, cement=2, wood and brick=1.5, bamboo=0, a tap =0), with possible scores 
ranging from 4 to zero, and the total score per house from 2 to 24. Any house scoring 
less than the cut-off point (set arbitrarily at 10 points) is considered very poor. Based 
on the information in the PIHS (1998–99), this index can be adapted for Pakistan as 
follows:
Nazli and Malik 
904 
Indicator Score 
Room per person 0.5-1=3, <0.5=1 
Electricity Yes=2, Extension=1, No=0 
Gas connection Yes=2, Extension=1, No=0 
Telephone Yes=2, Extension=1, No=0 
Toilet Flush connected to sewerage=3 
Flush not connected to sewerage=2 
Other=1, No=0 
Sewerage system Underground and covered=2 
Open drain=1, No=0 
Garbage disposal Municipality or private system=2 
No=0 
A value of 7 or less indicates that the household has less than 1 room per 
person, and has at most 2 of the facilities of electricity, gas, phone and piped water. 
It does not have a proper toilet, sewerage and garbage disposal system. 
Applying this indicator for Pakistan shows that 61 percent households were 
poor according to the PIHS data for 1998–99. This proportion was 19 percent in urban 
areas and 84 percent in rural areas. Among the 19 percent urban households, 26 percent 
do not have electricity and piped water and more than 92 percent do not have gas and 
telephone connection. No toilet facility is available to 36 percent urban households. A 
proper sewerage system was available to only 37 percent households. This means that 
these 19 percent of urban households are chronically housing poor. They are living in 
extremely unhygienic conditions. This part of the population is most vulnerable and 
insecure. Despite living in urban localities, these households are deprived of basic in-house 
facilities. And for the rural areas this proportion of most insecure and vulnerable 
households is 84 percent. This highlights the importance of the problem for Pakistan. 
V. EPILOGUE 
Focusing on housing as a poverty alleviation strategy element opens up 
opportunity, and provides security and empowerment—three essential pillars for 
poverty reduction. 
Pakistan is increasingly recognising the importance of housing in addressing 
its poverty problems. Its policies are taking into account the needs of the extremely 
insecure and vulnerable households. Pakistan’s IPRSP describes the Government 
policy regarding Katchi Abadis. It states that the policy aims at regularisation of 
these settlements through the provision of basic services. In this connection, the 
framework announced by the government, calls for the granting of proprietary rights 
to residents of Katchi Abadis, which were in occupation up to 23rd March 1985. 
New Katchi Abadis established after 1985 would be regularised on a case-by-case 
basis by district governments. Occupants of Katchi Abadis in urban areas making
Housing for the Poor 905 
full payment of development charges in lump sum within a period of three months 
would get 50 percent concession on the said charges; while no charges will be 
recovered in respect of the land in Katchi Abadis under the occupation of widows, 
orphans and disabled persons. 
But that is not all. The strategy specifies that the government is further 
developing a systematic and comprehensive strategy based upon the principles of 
human dignity and respect for improving service delivery systems in existing Katchi 
Abadis, low/under-serviced settlements, and areas requiring urban renewal and 
upgrading. 
The strategy also focuses on housing for the rural poor. It states that to 
ameliorate the living conditions of the rural poor the government has decided to 
distribute ‘shamlat’ land around villages free of cost to the homeless. 
Furthermore, under the government’s housing policy it has also been decided 
that the Ministry of Housing and Works in coordination with the provincial 
governments would develop a package for improving living conditions in Kachi 
Abadis and slum settlements. The full PRSP draft summarised version released in 
May 2003 extends the policy support by elaborating a housing finance policy which 
simplifies procedures for access to credit for housing. These are all important steps. 
But what is really needed is some impetus to develop the housing finance market for 
the poor. While the State Bank and the SECP have been asked to jointly evolve a 
new regulatory framework for housing finance companies to encourage further 
investment in this industry, that is not enough. The Government should find a way of 
underwriting the risk associated with lending to the poor for housing, using the house 
itself as collateral. And it should find ways in which to package this housing finance 
with innovative employment generation to make the whole scheme viable. And the 
Provincial PRSPs need to build in the regional dimensions of housing poverty. 
The analysis presented in this paper indicates the following policy 
prescriptions: 
• Make housing an integral part of the poverty reduction strategy as adopted by 
the PRSP. 
• Ensure minimum standards and rent controls. 
• Make the housing poverty index an integral part of the poverty monitoring. 
• Provide regulatory facilitation and infrastructure for low cost housing. 
• Develop low-cost housing technology. 
• Provide access to credit and technology for housing. 
REFERENCES 
Arif, G. M., and Sabiha Ibrahim (1998) The Process of Urbanisation in Pakistan. The 
Pakistan Development Review 37:4, 507–522. 
Baharoglu, Deniz, and Christine Kessides (2001) Urban Poverty in PRSP Source 
Book. Washington, D. C.: The World Bank.
Nazli and Malik 
906 
Butt, M. Sabihuddin (1994) Prospects of Pakistan Urbanisation. Applied Economics 
Research Centre. Karachi. (Research Report No.101.) 
Chambers, R. (1995) Poverty and Livelihoods: Whose Reality Counts? Environment 
and Urbanisation 7:1, 173–204. 
Coudouel, A., J. Hentschel, and Q. Wodon (2001) Well-being Measurement and 
Analysis. In PRSP Source Book (2001). The World Bank, Washington, D.C. 
Hatch, John K., and Laura Frederick (1998) Poverty Assessment by Microfinance 
Institutions: A Review of Current Practice. FINCA International. 
Malik, T. H. (1994) Recent Developments in Housing Finance Policy in Pakistan. 
Paper submitted to the Second International Symposium on Housing for the 
Urban Poor, Birmingham, United Kingdom, April. 
Moser, C., M. Gatehouse, and H. Garcia (1996) Urban Poverty Research Sourcebook 
Module II: Indicators of Urban Poverty. UNDP/UNCHS (Habitat)/World Bank: 
Urban Management Programme. (Working Paper Series No. 5.) 
Pakistan, Government of (1981 and 1998) Population and Housing Census of 
Pakistan. 
Pakistan, Government of (1998-99) Household Integrated Economic Survey. 
Pakistan, Government of (2002-03) Pakistan Economic Survey. 
Pakistan, Government of (2003) Draft PRSP [Summarised Version]. 
UNCHS (2000) Strategies to Combat Homelessness. UNCHS (Habitat). 
UNCHS (2001) About Basic Facts on Urbanisation. UNCHS (Habitat). 
UNCHS (2001) About the Human Settlements Conditions of the World’s Urban 
Poor. UNCHS (Habitat). 
UNCHS(2001) About Basic Facts on Urbanisation. United Nations Centre for 
Human Settlements (Habitat). 
UNICEF (United Nations Children’s Fund) (1999) State of the World’s Children 
1999. 
USA (United States of America) (1994) Priority: Home! The Federal Plan to Break 
the Cycle of Homelessness. Washington, D. C. 
Werna, E., A. Dzikus, L. Ochola, and M. Kumararuriyar (1999) Implementing the 
Habitat Agenda: Towards Child-centred Human Settlements Development in 
Developing Countries. Ashgate. 
World Bank (2001) PRSP Source Book. Washington, D. C.: The World Bank. 
Zaidi, S. H. (1990) Low Income Housing in Pakistan: The Progressive Development 
of Policy and Practice in Lahore. PhD thesis. Centre for Urban and Regional 
Studies, University of Birmingham, U.K.

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Housing: Opportunity, Security, and Empowerment for the Poor

  • 1. The Pakistan Development Review 42 : 4 Part II (Winter 2003) pp. 893–908 Housing: Opportunity, Security, and Empowerment for the Poor HINA NAZLI and SOHAIL J. MALIK♣ I. BACKGROUND The Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper for Pakistan1 lays considerable emphasis on housing finance as a major intervention for poverty reduction. The national Housing Policy of 2001 has as its corner stone housing for the poor and needy. The Interim Poverty Reduction Strategy of Pakistan (IPRSP) completed in November 2001 explicitly recognised the importance of Housing for the poor. It stated that “housing is a fundamental human need as it provides physical, economic, and social security to the poor. However, depressed economic growth, rising population, and rapid urbanisation have resulted in an increased demand for housing infrastructure. It stated that the present backlog of housing units is more than 4 million in the country with the result that millions are forced to live in Katchi Abadis or under-serviced slum settlements. Estimates for urban population living in Katchi Abadis range from 35-50 percent”. This paper highlight the importance of housing as an important dimension of poverty by examining the available literature that show the crucial contribution of adequate housing for ensuring opportunity, security and empowerment—the three pillars for poverty reduction. There is global consensus now that these three elements form the essential pillars of any poverty reduction strategy. This paper shows how inadequate housing creates a sense of insecurity and disempowerment among the poor. Housing poverty in Pakistan is described and an index of poverty based on housing inadequacy is adapted and applied to data for Pakistan from the PIHS 1998- 99. It shows that the incidence of poverty based on housing inadequacy in Pakistan is much greater than that indicated by standard money-metric income/consumption based measures. This paper is divided into five sections. Following this background the second section is devoted to an examination of the multidimensional nature of poverty. The third section highlights the importance of housing dimension of poverty. The fourth Hina Nazli and Sohail J. Malik are respectively Research Economist (on leave), Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, Islamabad, and Chairman, Innovative Development Strategies (Pvt.) Ltd., House 5, Street 38, F-8/1, Islamabad. Authors’ Note: We are thankful to Dr G. M. Arif, Chief of Research, PIDE, for his valuable comments at the PSDE meetings. 1Draft summarised version released in May 2003.
  • 2. Nazli and Malik 894 sections looks at the situation in Pakistan. Some policy directions are listed in the Epilogue. II. POVERTY IS MULTIDIMENSIONAL There is increasing consensus that the measures of income poverty are inadequate to capture the many dimensions of poverty. Moreover they are inadequate in explaining how the poor themselves understand the significant aspects of their poverty. For example Chambers (1995) finds that the poor are quite concerned with their vulnerability to unemployment, to disease and to such contingencies of life that would undermine their security. So definitions of poverty in the available literature emphasise not only the issues related to income, consumption, health, nutrition and education, but also insecurity, and vulnerability. An example of this literature is the study by Baharoglu and Kessides (2001) which presents five dimensions for viewing poverty: income/consumption, health, education, security, and empowerment. Poverty is increasingly viewed as being characterised by cumulative deprivations where one dimension of poverty is often the cause of or contributor to another dimension. Figure 1 shows that the lack of access to employment opportunities, education and health facilities, adequate shelter and other public services create the sense of insecurity and disempowerment that is the significant obstacle in achieving a better living standard. Fig 1. One Dimension of Poverty Contributes to Another. Inability to afford adequate housing Lack of access to credit for business or house Lack of employment, regular income and social security Loss of tenure insecurity Sense of insecurity, disempowerment Poor health, poor education Unhygienic living conditions, low quality public services Source: Coudouel, Hentschel, and Wodon (2001). In the literature the generally accepted indicators being used to monitor the multi-dimensions of poverty clearly indicate the importance of adequate housing. Indicators for four dimensions of poverty being used by the World Bank presented in Table 1 illustrate this. Every dimension of poverty being monitored has some housing related indicator.
  • 3. Housing for the Poor 895 Table 1 Dimensions of Poverty and Intermediate and Outcome Indicators to Track These Dimensions Poverty Dimension Intermediate Indicator Impact/Outcome Indicator Income • Access to credit • Shares of informal employment • Share of household expenditures on housing (especially lowest 2 quintiles) • Model shares of transport for work trips • Share of household expenditures on transport (especially lowest 2 quintiles) • Mean travel time to work • Access to electricity • Regulatory delays • Land development controls • Coverage of social assistance • Poverty headcount • Poverty gap • Extreme poverty incidence • Female headed households in poverty • Income inequality (Gini coefficient) • Quintile ratio of inequality • Unemployment rate • Housing price/income ratio Health • Share of household expenditures on potable water and sanitation • % Household connected to water/sewerage • Per capita consumption of water • % Wastewater treated • % Households with regular solid waste collection • % of solid waste safely disposed • Crowding (housing floor space per person) • Air pollution concentrations • Shares of sources of household energy • Access to primary health services • Access to nutritional safety net • Share of household expenditures on health care (lowest 2 quintiles) • Share of household expenditures on food (lowest 2 quintiles) • Infant and under-5 mortality • Maternal mortality rate • Life expectancy at birth • Female-male gap in health (under-5 mortality rate by sex) • Malnutrition rate of children • Morbidity and mortality rates due to environment related diseases • Death rates by violence • Injury/death rates by transport accidents • Mortality rates by disaster Education • Primary and secondary school enrollment rates • Access to vocational training • Share of household expenditures on education (lowest 2 quintiles) • Literacy rate • School completion rates • Gender gap in education attainment • Child labour • Street children Security • Population in unauthorised housing • Population living in precarious zones • Scope of disaster prevention/mitigation measures • Access to police and legal system protections • % of households with secure tenure • Deaths from industrial or environmental disasters • Murder rates (and rates of other crimes such as: domestic violence, child abuse, robbery, etc.) Empowerment Extent of public consultation in local government budget decisions Participation of residents in political or community organisations Discrimination in access to services/jobs Access to telephones and internet Citizen involvement in major planning decisions Public access to information about local government decisions, services, and performance Satisfaction with city services Source: World Bank (2001).
  • 4. Nazli and Malik 896 III. HOUSING POVERTY IS AN IMPORTANT DIMENSION Over time as population increases housing poverty will become an even more critical dimension of overall poverty. The growing demand for housing can be seen through the projected growth rates in the number of households. Table 2 indicates that sub-Saharan Africa is projected to have the largest population increase during the next decade, followed by India, while, the largest increase in number of households is expected in China. The growth rate of households in China is more than 2.5 times that of its population growth. The increase in the number of households in the industrialised countries is larger than its population increase. During the 1995–2000 period, 1.06 new households will be created for each person added to the population. This stands in contrast with the developing countries where the corresponding figure is 0.30. The reason for these striking differences is changes in household size. While average household sizes in sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia are expected to remain high during the next three decades, household sizes in the other regions will be reduced significantly. During the next decade (2000–2010) this figure will increase to 1.63 in industrial countries and 0.38 in developing countries. In the following decade (2010–2020) the figures are projected to reach 1.87 and 0.40 respectively. One result of this is that although the absolute population growth is expected to be reduced slightly from an annual average of some 87 million a year during the 1995–2005 period to about 83 million during the 2015–2025 period, the average annual increase in the number of households is projected to Table 2 Population Growth Rates, Household Growth Rates, and Household Size, by Region(1995–2025) Average Annual Population Growth Rate (Percent) Average Annual Household Growth Rate (Percent) Average Number of Persons per Household Region 1995– 2005 2005– 2015 2015– 2025 1995– 2005 2005– 2015 2015– 2025 1995 2025 Latin America and Caribbean 1.59 1.43 1.28 2.70 2.55 2.37 4.31 3.32 Sub-Saharan Africa 2.80 2.72 2.64 2.54 2.70 2.86 5.99 5.57 North Africa and Middle East 2.23 2.10 1.90 2.86 2.84 2.74 5.59 4.72 South Asia 2.54 2.27 2.06 2.66 2.60 2.41 6.58 6.13 India 1.70 1.53 1.33 2.32 2.29 2.16 5.62 4.69 East Asia and Pacific 1.55 1.36 1.20 2.55 2.38 2.22 4.48 3.54 China 0.91 0.78 0.75 2.52 2.56 2.42 3.67 2.46 Developing Countries 1.72 1.59 1.48 2.54 2.52 2.41 4.72 3.81 Industrialised Countries 0.36 0.31 0.28 1.15 1.08 0.96 2.73 2.27 World Total 1.44 1.34 1.25 2.09 2.08 1.98 4.07 3.43 Source: UNCHS (2001).
  • 5. Housing for the Poor 897 increase from 32 million to 35 million. As most of this increase will occur in urban areas, the challenge in terms of urban housing supply is immense. The incidence of urban poverty and inadequate human settlement conditions are rising in the poorest regions of Asia and Africa where the rate of urbanisation is found highest. In most of the countries the number of households grow at a much higher rate than the population [see UNCHS (2001)]. This situation also prevails in the high-income industrial countries (see Table 2). For example, in United States, the poorest quarter of renter households numbered nearly eight million in 1991, however, fewer than three million dwellings were affordable to this group. This ‘affordability gap’ of five million in 1991 had widened by almost four million since 1970 [USA (1994)]. The growing number of households and shortage of affordable housing has resulted not only in slum and squatter settlements but also in homelessness in both developed as well as in developing countries. Because of the lack of basic in-house amenities, such as, adequate privacy and security, structural stability and durability; adequate lighting, heating and ventilation; adequate basic infrastructure, such as water-supply, sanitation and waste-management facilities; suitable environmental quality and health-related factors; increasing proportions of the global population are pushed into poverty and all that it signifies. Nearly 17 percent of the world’s stock of housing was one-room units in 1990s; and, ¼th of all urban housing globally consisted of nonpermanent structures. The housing crisis in developing countries is considerably higher than the global averages. In many cases one-room dwellings have been split up into units in which several households live simultaneously. At the Worst End of Housing Poverty is Homelessness The number of homeless people globally is growing. Table 3 presents estimates of homelessness during the 1990s. Worldwide, the number of homeless people has been estimated at anywhere from 100 million to one billion or more, depending on how homelessness is defined. The estimate of 100 million applies to those who have no shelter at all. The estimate of one billion or more includes those living in inadequate shelter conditions. Several million people are homeless in Europe and North America. Using the most conservative definition of homelessness, nearly 2.5 million people were estimated to be homeless in the early 1990s within the then 12 countries of the European Union. If the people living in ‘seriously substandard accommodation’ are added, the total of homeless people in the European Union was estimated to be 18 million. In the United States, some 600,000 persons were estimated to be homeless on any given night between 1985 and 1990; while some seven million experienced homelessness at least once during the same period. In Canada, estimates for the number of homeless people based on the number using temporary night shelters and those living and sleeping outside suggest between 130,000 and 250,000.
  • 6. Nazli and Malik 898 Table 3 Homelessness During 1990s Region/Country Year Homeless People Worldwide (without shelter) 1990s 100 million Worldwide (without shelter + without inadequate shelter) 1990s more than 1 billion European Union (without shelter) 1990s 2.5 million European Union (without shelter + without adequate shelter) 1990s 18 million Central Europe 1990s 135-625 thousand South Eastern Europe 1990s 400 thousand United States 1985-1990 600 thousand Canada mid-1990s 130-250 thousand Japan 1990s 19 thousand Russian Federation 1997 350 thousand Bangladesh 1996 155 thousand India (without shelter) 1991 1.2 million India (without shelter + without adequate shelter) 1991 45.7 million Source: UNCHS (2000). Rapid urbanisation results in homelessness, inadequate housing, and insecurity, especially in large cities. Thus, housing is the central aspect of urban poverty and its alleviation. The Global Report on Human Settlements (1996) describes the urban poor as “the individuals and households who lack safe, secure and healthy shelter with basic infrastructure such as piped water and adequate provision for sanitation, drainage and the removal of household wastes”. Housing poverty is closely related to the levels of income and supply and standard of available housing stock. In other words, it is the affordability that links income poverty to housing poverty. According to UNCHS (1996) “some 600 million urban residents in developing countries live in ‘life-and-health threatening homes’ and neighbourhoods because of the very poor housing and living conditions and the lack of adequate provision for safe, sufficient water supplies and provision for sanitation, drainage, the removal of garbage and health care”. According to the estimates of UNCHS (2001), a total of some 835-950 million urban dwellers (representing 196-223 million households) in developing countries live in ‘housing poverty’. In order to meet the housing demand of increasing population in next 20 years, there is a need for 74 million housing units. In the first decade (2000-2010) more than 95,000 housing units per day are needed and during 2010-2020, this number will increase to 105,000 housing units per day. The total demand on national housing supply systems in urban areas is thus truly staggering. Roughly two-thirds (65 percent) of this increase is estimated to occur in the Asia and the Pacific region, some 16 percent in Latin America and the Caribbean, 11 percent in Sub-Saharan Africa and 8 percent in North Africa and the Middle East.
  • 7. Housing for the Poor 899 IV. THE SITUATION IN PAKISTAN The data from the population censuses reveal that total housing units in Pakistan increased from 7.8 million in 1960 to 12.6 million in 1981 and to 19.3 million in 1998. These 19.3 million housing units accommodated 131.5 million people in 1998. Table 3 shows that population growth in Pakistan remained higher than the growth in housing stock. Housing stock has increased by 2.46 times, whereas population has increased three-folds during the four decades. Urban population grew more rapidly (3.76 percent) than the urban housing stock (3.36) during 1981–1998. Table 4 shows an overall increase of 53 percent in the housing stock during the intercensal period 1981–98. These data also show an increase in average household size that indicates more people per housing unit in 1998 as compared to 1981. This increase was more pronounced in the urban areas (from 6.1 to 7.0). This indicates increasing congestion in a household resulting from the higher population growth, especially in the urban areas. Despite an increase in persons per housing unit, rooms per housing unit has increased slightly during 1981–98 that caused a decline in persons per rooms. This can be seen in Table 5 below. Table 4 Growth Rates of Population and Housing Units (1981–1998) Population (000) Number of Housing Units (000) Average Household Size 1981 1998 1981 1998 1981 1998 Pakistan 84253 132352 (2.86) 12588 19212 (2.68) 6.7 6.8 Urban 23841 43036 (3.76) 3554 6031 (3.36) 6.1 7 Rural 60412 89316 (2.47) 9034 13180 (2.39) 5.6 6.8 Source: Pakistan (1981 and 1998). Note: Figures in parenthesis are the compound growth rates between 1981–1998. Table 5 Indices of Congestion in 1981 and 1998 All Areas Rural Urban Index 1981 1998 1981 1998 1981 1998 Persons per Housing Unit 5.7 6.2 6.6 6.8 7.0 7.0 Persons per Room 3.5 3.2 3.6 3.2 3.2 2.9 Rooms per Housing Unit 1.9 2.2 1.8 2.1 2.2 2.4 Housing Units with One Room (%) 51.54 42.58 55.06 41.65 42.58 30.38 Housing Units with 2–4 Rooms (%) 44.83 51.71 42.12 52.26 51.71 60.91 Housing Units with 5 Rooms and more (%) 3.63 5.72 2.82 6.10 5.72 8.71 Source: Pakistan (1981 and 1998).
  • 8. Nazli and Malik 900 Some decline in the level of congestion is evident from the fact that while persons per housing unit have actually increased the persons per room have decreased when comparing the 1981 data with that for 1998. There is also a decrease in the percentage of one-room houses and an increase in percentage of housing units with more than one room both in rural as well as in urban areas. However, nearly 43 percent of the housing units in Pakistan were still one-room units in 1998. Urbanisation in Pakistan A large part of the housing problem in Pakistan is connected to rapid urbanisation. Urban settlements occupy less than 0.75 percent of Pakistan’s land but contain 32.5 percent of its population. The data in Table 6 show that the share of urban population nearly doubled since 1947. Urban population increased from 5 million to 40 million during 1947–1998. During the period 1981 to 1998 the total population increased by 55 percent whereas the urban and rural population have increased by 60 percent and 40 percent, respectively. The number of cities and towns increased from 208 to 468 during the 1951 to 1998 period. Table 6 Percentage Share of Urban Population in Total Population Provinces 1951 1961 1972 1981 1998 Pakistan 17.8 22.5 25.4 28.3 32.5 Punjab 17.4 21.4 24.4 27.6 31.3 Sindh 28.8 37.9 40.4 43.3 48.9 NWFP 11.0 13.0 14.3 15.1 16.9 Balochistan 12.0 16.9 16.5 15.6 23.3 Islamabad – – 32.9 60.0 65.6 Source: Butt (1994) and Arif and Ibrahim (1999). The urbanisation problem also has regional dimensions. According to data in Table 6, Sindh is the most urbanised province with 49 percent of its population residing in the urban areas. This proportion was 29 percent in 1951. The city of Karachi in this province contains 21 percent of the total urban population of Pakistan and more than 50 percent of total urban population of Sindh province. Punjab is the second most urbanised province. Its urban population has increased from 17 percent in 1951 to 31 percent in 1998. However the proportion of urban population in NWFP and Balochistan had not varied much until 1981. However, a significant increase in Balochistan’s urban population has been observed during 1981–98. This increase not only reflects the rural to urban migration due to an increase in public sector employment opportunities but also indicates the influx of Afghan refugees and their concentration mainly in Quetta in Balochistan.
  • 9. Housing for the Poor 901 Arif and Ibrahim (1999) noted that in 1981, there were only 3 cities (Karachi, Lahore and Faisalabad) with more than one million population. In 1998 this number had increased to 7 cities (Karachi, Lahore, Faisalabad, Rawalpindi, Multan, Hyderabad, and Gujranwala). These cities experienced a high population growth rate (3.3 percent) during 1981–98. The share in urban population of small and medium sized towns (with population less than 100000) was observed 27 percent, registered an annual growth rate of 3.7 during 1981–98. Rapidly increasing urbanisation caused not only the acute shortage of housing units but also gave rise to the fast growth of slums. Zaidi (1990) conducted a survey of Lahore’s Katchi Abadis. He found a higher dependency ratio and higher household size as compared to the rates of whole city. In 1988, there were 2322 katchi abadis in Pakistan; among them 56 percent were in Sindh. Nearly 35-40 percent population of Karachi and Lahore was residing in slum areas in early 1990s. There are 11 identified katchi abadis in Islamabad with 7,000 housing units. Urban land scarcity, its cost, and speculation by developers constitute major problems confronting the urban poor in their struggle for shelter. UNCHS (2001) pointed out that the ownership of urban land is highly skewed in the South Asian region. This has caused the price of land to rise considerably making it difficult for the majority of the population to purchase land. Increasing pressure of population in urban areas raises population density, reduces per capita living space and deteriorates environmental conditions. Limited access to police and legal system protections creates the sense of insecurity and increases vulnerability and disempowerment. In Pakistan continued migration into urban areas has created land shortages in the major cities, increased prices and encouraged land speculation [Malik (1994)]. On the basis of World Bank’s recommended occupancy rates of 6 persons per house, the total number of required housing units in the country would be roughly 24.8 million for a population of 146 million by the end of 2003. Every year nearly 20 million (10 percent) houses are either destroyed, depleted or demolished and some 0.3 million new houses are added. According to National Housing Policy, the country needs an additional supply of 570,000 units per annum while the actual supply does not exceed 300,000. Thus there is a net shortfall of 270,000 units per annum and the backlog is increasing every year [Pakistan Economic Survey (2002-03)]. The Characteristics of Housing Poverty in Pakistan According to the 1998 Population and Housing Census of Pakistan, of the total (19.3 million) housing units, nearly 15.6 million or 80.8 percent were owned, 1.7 million or 9.0 percent rented, and 2.0 million or 10.2 percent rent free. The percentage of owned housing units were higher in the rural areas compared to urban areas. Similarly, percentage of rent free houses was higher in rural areas as compared to that in the urban areas. However, the percentage of rented houses was significantly higher at 23.2 in urban as compared to only 2.3 percent in the rural areas (see Table 7).
  • 10. Nazli and Malik 902 Table 7 Nature of Tenure, by Region (1981 and 1998) All Areas Rural Urban Tenure 1981 1998 1981 1998 1981 1998 Owned 78.4 81.2 82.6 86.8 67.7 68.9 Rented 7.7 8.6 2.2 2.2 21.9 22.7 Rent Free 13.9 10.2 15.2 11.0 10.5 8.4 Source: Pakistan (1981 and 1998). According to Household Integrated Economic Survey (1998-99), 21 percent of total expenditure of urban households goes to house rent and 7 percent to fuel and lighting (see Table 8). The share of expenditure on food was observed to be 41 percent. This means that urban people spend 62 percent on food and housing and are left with very little money to spend on education, clothing, health, recreation, etc. The situation is much worse for the poorer households. Table 8 Percentage Distribution of Monthly Consumption Expenditure on Housing, by Income Groups (1998-99) Avg Consumption Exp Per Month (Rs) Share of House Rent (%) Share of Fuel and Lighting Monthly Income (%) Groups (Rs) Pakistan Urban Rural Pakistan Urban Rural Pakistan Urban Rural All Groups 6419 8707 5443 13.92 21.45 8.78 6.98 6.52 7.3 up to 1000 2926 3106 2901 6.45 10.03 6.12 7.55 9.43 7.38 1001–1500 2343 2283 2351 8.70 13.68 8.03 7.99 10.22 7.69 1501–2000 2737 2366 2786 8.83 14.23 8.23 7.87 7.79 7.88 2001–2500 3051 2892 3069 9.25 13.8 8.77 7.70 8.14 7.65 2501–3000 3445 3428 3448 9.26 13.92 8.4 7.95 8.88 7.78 3001–3500 3903 3614 3977 9.05 14.24 7.84 7.98 8.52 7.85 3501–4000 4344 4187 4390 9.75 14.91 8.32 7.79 8.26 7.66 4001–5000 4896 4913 4890 10.24 15.54 8.33 7.79 7.97 7.72 5001–6000 5689 5874 5604 10.70 16.74 7.79 7.44 7.34 7.49 6001–7000 6477 6701 6369 11.25 16.95 8.38 7.51 7.32 7.61 7001 and above 11173 13139 9371 17.69 23.85 9.76 6.27 5.96 6.66 Source: Pakistan (1998-99). Although 81 percent of households in Pakistan own their house, a considerable proportion does not have adequate provision of toilet, bathroom and kitchen facility. In-house facilities such as kitchen, bathroom, latrine, water, electricity, gas for cooking, etc. measure the quality of life and living standard of the occupants. These are inadequate although a comparison of the intercensal changes reveals a considerable improvement in the provision of water and electricity. Nearly 28 percent housing units have inside water and 70 percent are covered by electricity in 1998 as compared to 13 percent and 30 percent, respectively in 1981. Despite this
  • 11. Housing for the Poor 903 improvement, about 50 percent households still do not have kitchen, bathroom and latrine in Pakistan. This proportion is much higher in rural areas. In urban areas, however, sharing of these facilities is found to be common. Over 26 percent households share a kitchen, 37 percent a bathroom and 38 percent a latrine. In addition, 22 percent households in urban areas and 31 percent in rural areas live in one room. Table 9 shows that the majority of households whose income is between Rs 1001-1500 reside in one room housing unit. Table 9 Percentage Distribution of Households Living in One Room, by Income Group and Region (1998-99) Income Groups Urban Rural All groups 22.40% 30.80% up to 1000 37.60% 33.90% 1001-1500 51.10% 42.40% 3501-4000 35.10% 29.50% 7001 and above 5.40% 7.70% Source: Pakistan (1998-99). In addition, although main source of drinking water for most of the urban households is tap in house, but a large majority of poorer households depend on hand pumps. Improper drainage and poor system of garbage collection indicates unhygienic living conditions in urban areas. Housing Poverty Index In order to assess the poverty level of potential or new clients for Micro Finance Institutions, Hatch and Frederick (1998) computed a housing index that categorises clients who are very poor. This housing index is based on the hypothesis that the level of poverty of a client’s household will be reflected in the quality of his or her dwelling. This index is designed with eight housing variables: (1) size of the building; (2) number of stories; (3) structural condition; (4) roof material; (5) wall material; (6) electrical supply; (7) piped water supply; and (8) motorised vehicle (car or motorbike). Each indicator has an associated scoring criteria, (e.g., wall material: brick=2, cement=2, wood and brick=1.5, bamboo=0, a tap =0), with possible scores ranging from 4 to zero, and the total score per house from 2 to 24. Any house scoring less than the cut-off point (set arbitrarily at 10 points) is considered very poor. Based on the information in the PIHS (1998–99), this index can be adapted for Pakistan as follows:
  • 12. Nazli and Malik 904 Indicator Score Room per person 0.5-1=3, <0.5=1 Electricity Yes=2, Extension=1, No=0 Gas connection Yes=2, Extension=1, No=0 Telephone Yes=2, Extension=1, No=0 Toilet Flush connected to sewerage=3 Flush not connected to sewerage=2 Other=1, No=0 Sewerage system Underground and covered=2 Open drain=1, No=0 Garbage disposal Municipality or private system=2 No=0 A value of 7 or less indicates that the household has less than 1 room per person, and has at most 2 of the facilities of electricity, gas, phone and piped water. It does not have a proper toilet, sewerage and garbage disposal system. Applying this indicator for Pakistan shows that 61 percent households were poor according to the PIHS data for 1998–99. This proportion was 19 percent in urban areas and 84 percent in rural areas. Among the 19 percent urban households, 26 percent do not have electricity and piped water and more than 92 percent do not have gas and telephone connection. No toilet facility is available to 36 percent urban households. A proper sewerage system was available to only 37 percent households. This means that these 19 percent of urban households are chronically housing poor. They are living in extremely unhygienic conditions. This part of the population is most vulnerable and insecure. Despite living in urban localities, these households are deprived of basic in-house facilities. And for the rural areas this proportion of most insecure and vulnerable households is 84 percent. This highlights the importance of the problem for Pakistan. V. EPILOGUE Focusing on housing as a poverty alleviation strategy element opens up opportunity, and provides security and empowerment—three essential pillars for poverty reduction. Pakistan is increasingly recognising the importance of housing in addressing its poverty problems. Its policies are taking into account the needs of the extremely insecure and vulnerable households. Pakistan’s IPRSP describes the Government policy regarding Katchi Abadis. It states that the policy aims at regularisation of these settlements through the provision of basic services. In this connection, the framework announced by the government, calls for the granting of proprietary rights to residents of Katchi Abadis, which were in occupation up to 23rd March 1985. New Katchi Abadis established after 1985 would be regularised on a case-by-case basis by district governments. Occupants of Katchi Abadis in urban areas making
  • 13. Housing for the Poor 905 full payment of development charges in lump sum within a period of three months would get 50 percent concession on the said charges; while no charges will be recovered in respect of the land in Katchi Abadis under the occupation of widows, orphans and disabled persons. But that is not all. The strategy specifies that the government is further developing a systematic and comprehensive strategy based upon the principles of human dignity and respect for improving service delivery systems in existing Katchi Abadis, low/under-serviced settlements, and areas requiring urban renewal and upgrading. The strategy also focuses on housing for the rural poor. It states that to ameliorate the living conditions of the rural poor the government has decided to distribute ‘shamlat’ land around villages free of cost to the homeless. Furthermore, under the government’s housing policy it has also been decided that the Ministry of Housing and Works in coordination with the provincial governments would develop a package for improving living conditions in Kachi Abadis and slum settlements. The full PRSP draft summarised version released in May 2003 extends the policy support by elaborating a housing finance policy which simplifies procedures for access to credit for housing. These are all important steps. But what is really needed is some impetus to develop the housing finance market for the poor. While the State Bank and the SECP have been asked to jointly evolve a new regulatory framework for housing finance companies to encourage further investment in this industry, that is not enough. The Government should find a way of underwriting the risk associated with lending to the poor for housing, using the house itself as collateral. And it should find ways in which to package this housing finance with innovative employment generation to make the whole scheme viable. And the Provincial PRSPs need to build in the regional dimensions of housing poverty. The analysis presented in this paper indicates the following policy prescriptions: • Make housing an integral part of the poverty reduction strategy as adopted by the PRSP. • Ensure minimum standards and rent controls. • Make the housing poverty index an integral part of the poverty monitoring. • Provide regulatory facilitation and infrastructure for low cost housing. • Develop low-cost housing technology. • Provide access to credit and technology for housing. REFERENCES Arif, G. M., and Sabiha Ibrahim (1998) The Process of Urbanisation in Pakistan. The Pakistan Development Review 37:4, 507–522. Baharoglu, Deniz, and Christine Kessides (2001) Urban Poverty in PRSP Source Book. Washington, D. C.: The World Bank.
  • 14. Nazli and Malik 906 Butt, M. Sabihuddin (1994) Prospects of Pakistan Urbanisation. Applied Economics Research Centre. Karachi. (Research Report No.101.) Chambers, R. (1995) Poverty and Livelihoods: Whose Reality Counts? Environment and Urbanisation 7:1, 173–204. Coudouel, A., J. Hentschel, and Q. Wodon (2001) Well-being Measurement and Analysis. In PRSP Source Book (2001). The World Bank, Washington, D.C. Hatch, John K., and Laura Frederick (1998) Poverty Assessment by Microfinance Institutions: A Review of Current Practice. FINCA International. Malik, T. H. (1994) Recent Developments in Housing Finance Policy in Pakistan. Paper submitted to the Second International Symposium on Housing for the Urban Poor, Birmingham, United Kingdom, April. Moser, C., M. Gatehouse, and H. Garcia (1996) Urban Poverty Research Sourcebook Module II: Indicators of Urban Poverty. UNDP/UNCHS (Habitat)/World Bank: Urban Management Programme. (Working Paper Series No. 5.) Pakistan, Government of (1981 and 1998) Population and Housing Census of Pakistan. Pakistan, Government of (1998-99) Household Integrated Economic Survey. Pakistan, Government of (2002-03) Pakistan Economic Survey. Pakistan, Government of (2003) Draft PRSP [Summarised Version]. UNCHS (2000) Strategies to Combat Homelessness. UNCHS (Habitat). UNCHS (2001) About Basic Facts on Urbanisation. UNCHS (Habitat). UNCHS (2001) About the Human Settlements Conditions of the World’s Urban Poor. UNCHS (Habitat). UNCHS(2001) About Basic Facts on Urbanisation. United Nations Centre for Human Settlements (Habitat). UNICEF (United Nations Children’s Fund) (1999) State of the World’s Children 1999. USA (United States of America) (1994) Priority: Home! The Federal Plan to Break the Cycle of Homelessness. Washington, D. C. Werna, E., A. Dzikus, L. Ochola, and M. Kumararuriyar (1999) Implementing the Habitat Agenda: Towards Child-centred Human Settlements Development in Developing Countries. Ashgate. World Bank (2001) PRSP Source Book. Washington, D. C.: The World Bank. Zaidi, S. H. (1990) Low Income Housing in Pakistan: The Progressive Development of Policy and Practice in Lahore. PhD thesis. Centre for Urban and Regional Studies, University of Birmingham, U.K.