Myriad Group

Helping operators address revenue
cannibalisation from OTT communication services

Mark Watts-Jones            @MWJ
Director of Social Mobile   +44 7073 963539


June 2012
Myriad Group has over 100 operator and 25 OEM
relationships globally




Developed Markets

Emerging Markets


2   @MWJ     #fwic
Fact: Consumers communications needs are
evolving leading to increased use of OTT services


                                                 Consumers
                                                 have greater
                                                choice for their
                                                communication
                                                   services
                       Smartphones increasing     impacting
                                                   operator
FROM:                                              revenues
    Basic devices
    Voice and text
    only
    Operator
    services
                       Data increasing

3      @MWJ    #fwic
Forecast: As OTT services gain a foothold
    operators core voice/text revenues are at risk
         OTT messaging starts to
            substitute SMS

                                                          Lower SMS use = lower SMS
1          Lower SMS revenue                              revenue

                                                          Lower demand for SMS = Lower
                                                          plan/tariff revenue as customers
2       Lower plan/tariff revenue                         move to lower value plans

                                                          Operators become „pipes‟ as
                                                          OTT services become primary
3      Lose customer relationship
                                                          means of communications


       Future voice, messaging and                        Operators cannot monetise their
           VAS revenues at risk                           position as trusted, mass market
                                                          consumer brands

                       Ref: Ovum, 2012, Counteracting the social
4     @MWJ    #fwic    messaging threat
Problem: As Bob Dylan said the times are a
changin’
             FROM                            TO
         Operator-centric              Service centric

       Own the
       network
                      Control the
                        device       “They‟re using our
      Own the         Provide the      network to do
      spectrum         services
                                       whaaattttt?!!!”
       Own the       Determine the
       brands            price

       Universal,    Compete with
    interconnected    each other




5    @MWJ    #fwic
…but OTT services aren’t playing the same
     game as mobile operators



USER PERCEPTION:          OPERATOR PERCEPTION:

       Cool, exciting             Fast, dynamic
       Creative, new              Challenging
       „Free‟                     Close to end users
       Very viral                 Don‟t care about operators
       The users friend           Performance or security
                                  issues tolerated
                                  Happy to pivot

 6    @MWJ   #fwic
Ok we hear you…




    …but what do we do?


7     @MWJ   #fwic
Well to start with operators have assets that
    OTT services can only dream of

      Millions of paying customers
      Cash
      Mass market consumer brands
      Customer relationships
      Ability to bundle
      Large (often IP) networks
      Cost advantage
      Skills, experience
      Distribution, support networks


8     @MWJ   #fwic
And plenty of possible strategies. For example
operators could do one or all of…
                                            Pricing
Operator assets
                                               Create extra consumer
  Focus on the network                         value
  Differentiate through                        Lower costs
  brand, marketing,
  distribution or support
                                            Customers
Services                                      Do what customers want!
  Partner with OTT                            Get them before your
  services                                    competitors do
  Create copycats            Technology       Target niches
  Innovate new services        Open up, work in new ecosystems
  Use all of that big data     Differentiate by QoS
                               Support industry initiatives e.g. RCS
9    @MWJ   #fwic
Erm, ok, but you’ve still not told us what to do.




 Well…that depends
 on…

10   @MWJ   #fwic
…what the most important people in all of this want
– the end users




 11   @MWJ   #fwic
Understand the needs of your customers. They’re
all different and all special!

                                    They‟re in
                                   different life
                                  stages, with
                                     different
                                experience, skills,
                                expectations and
                                willingness to do
                                       things




 12   @MWJ   #fwic
To illustrate this point




 …who here today…?


13   @MWJ   #fwic
Owns a Nokia?




14   @MWJ   #fwic
Has heard of Textfromdog.tumblr.com?




15   @MWJ   #fwic
Watched the OMG Cat?




16   @MWJ   #fwic   www.youtube.com/watch?v=C_S5cXbXe-4
Wears a suit?




17   @MWJ   #fwic
Any idea what icanhascheezburger.com is?




18   @MWJ   #fwic
Actually used Instagram.com? No, really.




19   @MWJ   #fwic
Or Pinterest.com?




20   @MWJ   #fwic
The answer is the ‘Do something’ scenario

     • Know your customer – who they are and what
       they need - and relentlessly target them
     • Do something, anything
     • Identify niches and grow with them
     • Be confident! Try, fail, try again
     • Increase value to offset the perceived benefit
       of OTT services
     • Engage customers early before they become
       OTT users


21   @MWJ   #fwic
Which could be summarised as…


     Be quick
     Be creative
     Be committed
     Be great for the end user



22   @MWJ   #fwic
23   29/06/2012   Confidential & Proprietary © Myriad Group AG 2012

Helping mobile operators address revenue cannibalisation from OTT communication services

  • 1.
    Myriad Group Helping operatorsaddress revenue cannibalisation from OTT communication services Mark Watts-Jones @MWJ Director of Social Mobile +44 7073 963539 June 2012
  • 2.
    Myriad Group hasover 100 operator and 25 OEM relationships globally Developed Markets Emerging Markets 2 @MWJ #fwic
  • 3.
    Fact: Consumers communicationsneeds are evolving leading to increased use of OTT services Consumers have greater choice for their communication services Smartphones increasing impacting operator FROM: revenues Basic devices Voice and text only Operator services Data increasing 3 @MWJ #fwic
  • 4.
    Forecast: As OTTservices gain a foothold operators core voice/text revenues are at risk OTT messaging starts to substitute SMS Lower SMS use = lower SMS 1 Lower SMS revenue revenue Lower demand for SMS = Lower plan/tariff revenue as customers 2 Lower plan/tariff revenue move to lower value plans Operators become „pipes‟ as OTT services become primary 3 Lose customer relationship means of communications Future voice, messaging and Operators cannot monetise their VAS revenues at risk position as trusted, mass market consumer brands Ref: Ovum, 2012, Counteracting the social 4 @MWJ #fwic messaging threat
  • 5.
    Problem: As BobDylan said the times are a changin’ FROM TO Operator-centric Service centric Own the network Control the device “They‟re using our Own the Provide the network to do spectrum services whaaattttt?!!!” Own the Determine the brands price Universal, Compete with interconnected each other 5 @MWJ #fwic
  • 6.
    …but OTT servicesaren’t playing the same game as mobile operators USER PERCEPTION: OPERATOR PERCEPTION: Cool, exciting Fast, dynamic Creative, new Challenging „Free‟ Close to end users Very viral Don‟t care about operators The users friend Performance or security issues tolerated Happy to pivot 6 @MWJ #fwic
  • 7.
    Ok we hearyou… …but what do we do? 7 @MWJ #fwic
  • 8.
    Well to startwith operators have assets that OTT services can only dream of Millions of paying customers Cash Mass market consumer brands Customer relationships Ability to bundle Large (often IP) networks Cost advantage Skills, experience Distribution, support networks 8 @MWJ #fwic
  • 9.
    And plenty ofpossible strategies. For example operators could do one or all of… Pricing Operator assets Create extra consumer Focus on the network value Differentiate through Lower costs brand, marketing, distribution or support Customers Services Do what customers want! Partner with OTT Get them before your services competitors do Create copycats Technology Target niches Innovate new services Open up, work in new ecosystems Use all of that big data Differentiate by QoS Support industry initiatives e.g. RCS 9 @MWJ #fwic
  • 10.
    Erm, ok, butyou’ve still not told us what to do. Well…that depends on… 10 @MWJ #fwic
  • 11.
    …what the mostimportant people in all of this want – the end users 11 @MWJ #fwic
  • 12.
    Understand the needsof your customers. They’re all different and all special! They‟re in different life stages, with different experience, skills, expectations and willingness to do things 12 @MWJ #fwic
  • 13.
    To illustrate thispoint …who here today…? 13 @MWJ #fwic
  • 14.
    Owns a Nokia? 14 @MWJ #fwic
  • 15.
    Has heard ofTextfromdog.tumblr.com? 15 @MWJ #fwic
  • 16.
    Watched the OMGCat? 16 @MWJ #fwic www.youtube.com/watch?v=C_S5cXbXe-4
  • 17.
    Wears a suit? 17 @MWJ #fwic
  • 18.
    Any idea whaticanhascheezburger.com is? 18 @MWJ #fwic
  • 19.
    Actually used Instagram.com?No, really. 19 @MWJ #fwic
  • 20.
  • 21.
    The answer isthe ‘Do something’ scenario • Know your customer – who they are and what they need - and relentlessly target them • Do something, anything • Identify niches and grow with them • Be confident! Try, fail, try again • Increase value to offset the perceived benefit of OTT services • Engage customers early before they become OTT users 21 @MWJ #fwic
  • 22.
    Which could besummarised as… Be quick Be creative Be committed Be great for the end user 22 @MWJ #fwic
  • 23.
    23 29/06/2012 Confidential & Proprietary © Myriad Group AG 2012

Editor's Notes

  • #4 2011 marked the first year since 1995 that consumer SMS volume droppedAs smartphone penetration rises, network effects are likely to accelerate take up of OTT servicesKPN and Telefonica reported drops in messaging revenue as a result of OTT servicesWhatsapp: 1b messages per day after 1 yearThe way in which we communicate with friends and colleagues is changing rapidly:Increased choiceIncreased flexibiity….but also …Increased fragmentationPoor user experience