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GDP
Q4 2016
Gross domestic product, 4th quarter 2016
Embargoed until: 7 March 2017, 11:30am
@StatsSA
#GDP
GDP
Q4 2016
GDP
Q4 2016
GDP (production)
GDP
Q4 2016
GDP
Q4 2016
Headline figure:
GDP (production)
GDP
Q4 2016
Quarter-on-quarter
-0,3%
in Q4 2016
Seasonally adjusted and annualised
Year-on-year
0,7%
in Q4 2016
Unadjusted
GDP increased by
0,3%
in 2016
(compared with 2015)
Constant 2010 prices
GDP
Q4 2016
Mining and manufacturing were the two major industries that contributed negatively to growth in Q4 2016
Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised
GDP growth rates
GDP
Q4 2016
The primary sector experienced a contraction in Q4 2016
Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised
-9,0%
-1,8%
1,6%
Growth rates in various sectors
GDP
Q4 2016
0,2
0,0
0,3
0,3
0,1
0,1
0,0
0,0
-0,4
-0,9
GDP
-0,3%
LHS: growth rates RHS: contributions
Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised
GDP
Q4 2016
Growth rates by sector
Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised, Q4 2016
Lower production was recorded for coal, gold and ‘other’ metal ores such as platinum and iron ore
Agriculture
0,1%9,0% 11,5%
PRIMARY
SECTOR
Mining
GDP
Q4 2016
Growth rates by sector
Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised, Q4 2016
The fall in manufacturing was a result of decreases in the production of food and beverages,
petroleum and chemicals, and transport equipment
Electricity
2,4%0,4%
Construction
1,8%
SECONDARY
SECTOR
Manufacturing
3,1%
GDP
Q4 2016
Growth rates by sector
Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised, Q4 2016
Increased activity was reported for financial intermediation, auxiliary activities and real estate services
Trade
2,1%
Transport
2,6%1,6%
TERTIARY
SECTOR
Finance
1,6%
Government
0,9%
Personal
services
1,0%
GDP
Q4 2016
Nominal GDP values for Q4 2016
GDP
Q4 2016
Nominal GDP estimated at R1 117 billion for Q4 2016, R23 billion
more than Q3: 2016
Trade expanded by R19 billion to R164 billion
Transport & communication expanded by R5 billion to R105 billion
Mining expanded by R5 billion to R84 billion
Electricity decreased by R7 billion to R30 billion
Agriculture decreased by R11 billion to R13 billion
GDP
Q4 2016
Shares of
nominal GDP
Q4 2016
GDP
Q4 2016
GDPp: revised and annual figures
GDP
Q4 2016
GDPp annual revisions
Constant 2010 prices Level of GDPp revised slightly upwards
GDP
Q4 2016
GDPp increased by
0,3%
in 2016
(compared with 2015)
Constant 2010 prices
GDP
Q4 2016
Annual GDP growth rates
Constant 2010 prices The declining trend continues in 2016
GDP
Q4 2016
GDP
0,3%
Industry
growth in
2016
0,4
0,2
0,2
0,1
0,0
0,1
0,0
-0,1
-0,4
-0,2
LHS: growth rates RHS: contributions
GDP
Q4 2016
GDP
Q3 2016
Expenditure on GDP
GDP
Q4 2016
GDP
Q4 2016
Expenditure on GDP
decreased by
0,1%
in Q4 2016
(quarter-on-quarter)
Seasonally adjusted and annualised
Expenditure on GDP
increased by
0,5%
in 2016
(compared with 2015)
Constant 2010 prices
GDP
Q4 2016
Changes in inventories contributed negatively to growth in Q4 2016
Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised
Expenditure	on	GDP	growth	rates
GDP
Q4 2016
3,4
-1,8
1,3
0,3
0,1
LHS: growth rates RHS: contributions
Change in inventories: -R16 402 million (contribution of -3,5 percentage points)
Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted, annualised
Expenditure
on GDP:
-0,1%
GDP
Q4 2016
Household final
consumption
expenditure (HFCE)
GDP
Q4 2016
Household final consumption
expenditure increased by
2,2%
in Q4 2016
(quarter-on-quarter)
Seasonally adjusted and annualised
GDP
Q4 2016
Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised
HFCE growth rates
Increased spending was reported for miscellaneous goods, food and beverages, and clothing and footwear items
GDP
Q4 2016
0,6
0,7
0,4
0,2
0,2
0,5
0,0
0,0
-0,6
0,2
0,0
0,0
LHS: growth rates RHS: contributions
2,2%
HFCE by
purpose
Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised
GDP
Q4 2016
0,6
1,4
0,0
LHS: growth rates RHS: contributions
2,2%
HFCE by
durability
Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised
0,1
GDP
Q4 2016
Government final
consumption
expenditure (GFCE)
GDP
Q4 2016
Government final consumption
expenditure increased by
0,3%
in Q4 2016
(quarter-on-quarter)
Seasonally adjusted and annualised
GDP
Q4 2016
An increase in employment numbers contributed to growth in Q4 2016
Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised
GFCE growth rates
GDP
Q4 2016
Gross fixed capital
formation (GFCF)
GDP
Q4 2016
Gross fixed capital formation
increased by
1,7%
in Q4 2016
(quarter-on-quarter)
Seasonally adjusted and annualised
GDP
Q4 2016
Construction works and transport equipment were the largest positive contributors in Q4 2016
Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised
GFCF growth rates
GDP
Q4 2016
0,2
0,7
0,5
1,2
-0,1
-0,3
-0,6
LHS: growth rates RHS: contributions
1,7%
GFCF by asset
type
Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised
GDP
Q4 2016
Change in inventories
GDP
Q4 2016
Change in inventories
(R million)
Large drawdowns were reported for the mining industry. These were partially offset by a build-up in the manufacturing industry.
Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised
GDP
Q4 2016
Exports and Imports
GDP
Q4 2016
Exports of goods
and services
12,5%
in Q4 2016
(quarter-on-quarter)
Imports of goods
and services
6,1%
in Q4 2016
(quarter-on-quarter)
Seasonally adjusted and annualised Seasonally adjusted and annualised
GDP
Q4 2016
Exports of precious metals and mineral products were largely responsible for the increase in Q4 2016
Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised
Exports growth rates
GDP
Q4 2016
Imports of machinery and equipment were largely responsible for the increase in Q4 2016
Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised
Imports growth rates
GDP
Q4 2016
GDPe: revised and annual figures
GDP
Q4 2016
GDPe annual revisions
Constant 2010 prices Level of GDPe revised slightly downwards
GDP
Q4 2016
Expenditure on GDP
increased by
0,5%
in 2016
(compared with 2015)
Constant 2010 prices
GDP
Q4 2016
Annual GDPe growth rates
Constant 2010 prices The declining trend continues in 2016
GDP
Q4 2016
Regional estimates
GDP
Q4 2016
GDP
Q4 2016
LP
1,9%
MP
-0,2%
KZN
0,8%
EC
0,7%
FS
-0,2%
NW
4,9%
NC
0,9%
WC
1,5%
GP
1,4%
South Africa
1,3%
Which provincial economies
grew in 2015?
Annual change: constant prices
GDP
Q4 2016
Provincial
contribution to
the national
economy
- 2015 -
GDP
Q4 2016
Percentage distribution of economic activity within each province (2015)
Current prices
25%
23%
20%
17%
18%
33%
25%
23% 27%
GDP
Q4 2016
Percentage distribution of industrial activity across provinces (2015)
Gauteng has the largest share of eight of the ten industries in South Africa. South African agriculture production is concentrated in
KwaZulu-Natal and Western Cape
Current prices
26%
28%
39%
30%
33%
31%
35%
42%
30%
40%
GDP
Q4 2016
Recap
GDP
Q4 2016
Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised
GDP and expenditure on GDP growth rates
GDP
Q4 2016
Quarter-on-quarter
-0,3%
in Q4 2016
Seasonally adjusted and annualised
Year-on-year
0,7%
in Q4 2016
Unadjusted
GDP increased by
0,3%
in 2016
(compared with 2015)
Constant 2010 prices

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