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Let’s Get Real:
                 How Much Digital Advertising
                 Is REALLY Out There?
August 8, 2012   Texas Association of Broadcasters Convention and Trade Show
About this presentation
The following presentation was made by CEO
Gordon Borrell at the Texas Association of
Broadcasters Convention and Trade Show at the
Renaissance Austin Hotel on Aug. 8, 2012



                 © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.
What You’re About to Witness…
 Advertising
    Online spending data: Info on 23 million advertisers
    Online revenue data: Info from 5,700 media companies
    Verification/Forecasting: Annual surveys of 40,000+ local businesses
 Consumer Usage
    Scarborough, Claritas
    Ongoing surveys of web users
 Media company strategies
    More than 1,100 clients
Benchmarking
 Annual Report
   • 10th year
   • 5,756 companies
 Specific reports for:
    • Arbitron
    • Television Bureau of Advertising
    • Local Media Association
    • Individual media companies
The Digital Stream: How Big?
Local Online: Stream of Dollars Keeps Flowing
                                 $30
                                                                                                                                            $27.9
                                                                                                                                    $26.6
                                                                                  $ in Billions
© 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.




                                                                                                                            $24.8
                                                                                                                    $22.7
                                                                                           +21%             $19.9

                                                                                                    $16.4

                                                                                            $13.6
                                                                                                                      11.2% CAGR
                                                                          $12.9     $13.4



                                                                   $8.2

                                                            $5.5
                                                     $4.2
                                       $2.0   $2.1
                                                                                                                            Mobile Ad $

                                  $-
                                       2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2008      2009    2010    2011    2012f   2013f   2014f   2015f   2016f
© 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.
Radio’s Online Performance
© 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.




                                                                                         +35%
                                                                                                                How $303 million stacks up
                                                                                                                  against $16.4b 2011




                                 Source: Borrell Associates Inc. Digital Sales AE Survey, Nov. 2011-Jan. 2012
TV’s Online Performance
© 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.




                                                                                         +35%
                                                                                                                How $2.0 billion stacks up
                                                                                                                  against $16.4b 2011




                                 Source: Borrell Associates Inc. Digital Sales AE Survey, Nov. 2011-Jan. 2012
‘Digital Ready’ Local Sales Forces
© 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.




                                 Source: Borrell Associates Inc. Digital Sales AE Survey, Nov. 2011-Jan. 2012
Gross Online Revenue Per Sales Rep
                                      Broadcast sites that have
© 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.




                                       a digital-only sales staff
                                       enjoy 2x to 3x digital ad
                                           revenue per rep.




                                        Source: Borrell Associates Inc. Digital Sales AE Survey, Nov. 2011-Jan. 2012
How Much Do Sites Make?
What         Three-fourths of
                                 Radio
© 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.




                                            radio clusters made
                                                < $500,000
                                 Clusters
                                 Made in
                                 2011




                                                             Source: Borrell Associates Inc.; Borrell/Arbitron Benchmarking Report, April 2012
Per-Cluster Revenue by Market Size
© 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.




                                 Source: Borrell Associates Inc.; Borrell/Arbitron Benchmarking Report, April 2012
What       More than two-thirds
© 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.




                                            of TV stations made
                                 TV Sites       < $1 million

                                 Made in
                                 2011




                                                              Source: Borrell Associates Inc.; Borrell/Arbitron Benchmarking Report, April 2012
TV Site Revenue by Market Size
© 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.




                                 Source: Borrell Associates Inc.; Borrell/Arbitron Benchmarking Report, April 2012
Share of Locally Spent Online Advertising for 5,700 Media Companies
© 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.
Share of Locally Spent Online Advertising for 5,700 Media Companies
© 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.
Share of Locally Spent Online Advertising for 5,700 Media Companies
© 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.
© 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.
© 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.
How Much is Out There?
Market: Austin
© 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.




                                          Online media buys now account
                                        $101 million in local ad spending in
                                        the Austin TMA. This 20.9% share
                                        now surpasses newspapers and all
                                                   other media.


                                               Competing Media Share Estimates:

                                           • A local daily newspaper: 5% -10% share.
                                              • A local TV station: 1% to 4% share.
                                                 • A local radio cluster: 1% share.
                                 Source: Borrell Associates Inc.; www.adspending.com
Market: Sherman
© 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.




                                          Online media buys now account
                                         $12 .3 million in local ad spending
                                          in the Sherman-Ada TMA. This
                                        18.5% share is the second highest
                                                  among all media.


                                               Competing Media Share Estimates:

                                            • A local daily newspaper: 1% -3% share.
                                               • A local TV station: 1% to 6% share.
                                                • A local radio cluster: <1% share.
                                 Source: Borrell Associates Inc.; www.adspending.com
Get Ready for Digital Marketing Regions (DMRs)
© 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.




                                                                                       Ad Spending in Texas DMRs




                                 Source: Borrell Associates Inc.; www.adspending.com                               $ in Millions
The Mass Media Mindset
Average daily time spent

                                           Television                                                                 4.67
© 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.




                                   Online Devices*                                               2.22

                                                 Radio                                 1.65
                                                                                                    (hours per day)
                                 Print Newspapers                  0.42

                                   Print Magazines               0.30

                                 Print Yellow Pages         0.02
                     * Includes non-work time spent using
                     computers, smart phones, or tablets.
                                                            Sources: Veronis Suhler Stevenson, eMarketer; 2012.
A minute of your time is worth…
                                             Radio         $0.31
© 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.




                                         Television        $0.35

                                   Online Devices*          $0.73                       Ad revenue per minute spent
                                                                                        with each medium—all adults
                                 Print Newspapers                       $2.25

                                   Print Magazines                      $2.29

                                 Print Yellow Pages                                                                      $12.48

* Includes non-work time spent using                  $0           $2           $4         $6         $8     $10   $12       $14
computers, smart phones, or tablets.                                                 In $ Thousands
                                                       Sources: Veronis Suhler Stevenson, eMarketer; 2012.
Top 20 Local
                                 Online Media
                                 Companies
© 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.




Source: SEC Documents, company statements, Inc. Magazine, B. Riley & Co., Borrell Associates Inc., 2011
Biggest Mistakes
 Chasing after shiny new things
 Thinking this is a mere brand extension
 Not knowing the size of the pie
 Comparing yourselves against other broadcasters
Questions?
Gordon Borrell, CEO
Phone: 757-221-6641
gborrell@borrellassociates.com

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Gordon Borrell's Address to Texas Assoc. of Broadcasters Aug. 8, 2012

  • 1. Let’s Get Real: How Much Digital Advertising Is REALLY Out There? August 8, 2012 Texas Association of Broadcasters Convention and Trade Show
  • 2. About this presentation The following presentation was made by CEO Gordon Borrell at the Texas Association of Broadcasters Convention and Trade Show at the Renaissance Austin Hotel on Aug. 8, 2012 © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.
  • 3. What You’re About to Witness…  Advertising  Online spending data: Info on 23 million advertisers  Online revenue data: Info from 5,700 media companies  Verification/Forecasting: Annual surveys of 40,000+ local businesses  Consumer Usage  Scarborough, Claritas  Ongoing surveys of web users  Media company strategies  More than 1,100 clients
  • 4. Benchmarking  Annual Report • 10th year • 5,756 companies  Specific reports for: • Arbitron • Television Bureau of Advertising • Local Media Association • Individual media companies
  • 6. Local Online: Stream of Dollars Keeps Flowing $30 $27.9 $26.6 $ in Billions © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc. $24.8 $22.7 +21% $19.9 $16.4 $13.6 11.2% CAGR $12.9 $13.4 $8.2 $5.5 $4.2 $2.0 $2.1 Mobile Ad $ $- 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012f 2013f 2014f 2015f 2016f
  • 7. © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.
  • 8. Radio’s Online Performance © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc. +35% How $303 million stacks up against $16.4b 2011 Source: Borrell Associates Inc. Digital Sales AE Survey, Nov. 2011-Jan. 2012
  • 9. TV’s Online Performance © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc. +35% How $2.0 billion stacks up against $16.4b 2011 Source: Borrell Associates Inc. Digital Sales AE Survey, Nov. 2011-Jan. 2012
  • 10. ‘Digital Ready’ Local Sales Forces © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc. Source: Borrell Associates Inc. Digital Sales AE Survey, Nov. 2011-Jan. 2012
  • 11. Gross Online Revenue Per Sales Rep Broadcast sites that have © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc. a digital-only sales staff enjoy 2x to 3x digital ad revenue per rep. Source: Borrell Associates Inc. Digital Sales AE Survey, Nov. 2011-Jan. 2012
  • 12. How Much Do Sites Make?
  • 13. What Three-fourths of Radio © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc. radio clusters made < $500,000 Clusters Made in 2011 Source: Borrell Associates Inc.; Borrell/Arbitron Benchmarking Report, April 2012
  • 14. Per-Cluster Revenue by Market Size © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc. Source: Borrell Associates Inc.; Borrell/Arbitron Benchmarking Report, April 2012
  • 15. What More than two-thirds © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc. of TV stations made TV Sites < $1 million Made in 2011 Source: Borrell Associates Inc.; Borrell/Arbitron Benchmarking Report, April 2012
  • 16. TV Site Revenue by Market Size © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc. Source: Borrell Associates Inc.; Borrell/Arbitron Benchmarking Report, April 2012
  • 17. Share of Locally Spent Online Advertising for 5,700 Media Companies © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.
  • 18. Share of Locally Spent Online Advertising for 5,700 Media Companies © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.
  • 19. Share of Locally Spent Online Advertising for 5,700 Media Companies © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.
  • 20. © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.
  • 21. © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.
  • 22. How Much is Out There?
  • 23. Market: Austin © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc. Online media buys now account $101 million in local ad spending in the Austin TMA. This 20.9% share now surpasses newspapers and all other media. Competing Media Share Estimates: • A local daily newspaper: 5% -10% share. • A local TV station: 1% to 4% share. • A local radio cluster: 1% share. Source: Borrell Associates Inc.; www.adspending.com
  • 24. Market: Sherman © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc. Online media buys now account $12 .3 million in local ad spending in the Sherman-Ada TMA. This 18.5% share is the second highest among all media. Competing Media Share Estimates: • A local daily newspaper: 1% -3% share. • A local TV station: 1% to 6% share. • A local radio cluster: <1% share. Source: Borrell Associates Inc.; www.adspending.com
  • 25. Get Ready for Digital Marketing Regions (DMRs) © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc. Ad Spending in Texas DMRs Source: Borrell Associates Inc.; www.adspending.com $ in Millions
  • 26. The Mass Media Mindset
  • 27. Average daily time spent Television 4.67 © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc. Online Devices* 2.22 Radio 1.65 (hours per day) Print Newspapers 0.42 Print Magazines 0.30 Print Yellow Pages 0.02 * Includes non-work time spent using computers, smart phones, or tablets. Sources: Veronis Suhler Stevenson, eMarketer; 2012.
  • 28. A minute of your time is worth… Radio $0.31 © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc. Television $0.35 Online Devices* $0.73 Ad revenue per minute spent with each medium—all adults Print Newspapers $2.25 Print Magazines $2.29 Print Yellow Pages $12.48 * Includes non-work time spent using $0 $2 $4 $6 $8 $10 $12 $14 computers, smart phones, or tablets. In $ Thousands Sources: Veronis Suhler Stevenson, eMarketer; 2012.
  • 29. Top 20 Local Online Media Companies © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc. Source: SEC Documents, company statements, Inc. Magazine, B. Riley & Co., Borrell Associates Inc., 2011
  • 30. Biggest Mistakes  Chasing after shiny new things  Thinking this is a mere brand extension  Not knowing the size of the pie  Comparing yourselves against other broadcasters
  • 31. Questions? Gordon Borrell, CEO Phone: 757-221-6641 gborrell@borrellassociates.com