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Where Newspaper Advertising Is Headed




             Oct. 4, 2012
For the narrative of this presentation,
   click “Save File” on the slide frame (above)
and download the presentation. See the narrative
          in the notes beneath each slide.
Newspaper Print Adv. Trends, 2000-2017
© 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.




                                 $ billions

                                                                          Not down…but not up much, either.




                                  Sources: NAA, Borrell Associates Inc.
Newspaper Print Ad Forecast
   0.5% growth in advertising in 2013
   1.7% growth in 2014
   1% to 1.5% annual growth beyond that
   Smaller newspapers grow by high single digits
   Metro papers decline for foreseeable future
Watch for Camel Hump. Preprints May Be OK

                                                      Hump
© 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.




                                                              Hump


                                                                         ?




                                 Sources: NAA, Borrell Associates Inc.
Digital Revenue Growth in 2012

                                            Local Online Ad Sales in 2013
© 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.




                                                                       Estimated     Average     Median      Highest
                                 Parent Media             # in Sample 2012 Growth   DMR Share   DMR Share   DMR Share
                                 Daily Newspapers             371        14.6%        5.93%       5.73%      65.96%
                                 TV Stations                  324        10.6%        1.93%       2.56%      63.26%
                                 Pureplay Internet Cos.       667        32.5%        4.09%       3.91%      58.85%
                                 Weekly Newspapers            127        13.0%        0.80%       0.48%      11.76%
                                 Cable Systems                137        15.9%        0.91%       1.43%      10.47%
                                 Radio Clusters               59*         9.5%        0.65%       0.60%       3.48%
                                 Total/Averages              1,685       21.4%        3.14%       2.17%      65.96%
Local Online Ad Sales in 2013
   30% overall growth in most local markets
   Untargeted banner sales decline -3%
   Targeted banner sales increase 105%
   Online video ad sales up 43%
   Little growth for “bundled” print+digital sales
Growth in 2013: Video & Targeted Banners

                                     Local Online Ad Sales in 2013
© 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.
The Future: It’s All About Targeting

                                      Local Online Ad Sales in 2013
© 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.
Don’t Miss This Event!



Join us for the largest gathering of local digital media executives. For information,
                Visit borrellassociates.com and click on “conference.”
Questions?

Gordon Borrell, CEO
Phone: 757-221-6641
Email: gborrell@borrellassociates.com
Website: www.borrellassociates.com
LinkedIn Group: Local Advertising & Marketing Trends

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Newspaper advertising forecast for 2013

  • 1. Where Newspaper Advertising Is Headed Oct. 4, 2012
  • 2. For the narrative of this presentation, click “Save File” on the slide frame (above) and download the presentation. See the narrative in the notes beneath each slide.
  • 3. Newspaper Print Adv. Trends, 2000-2017 © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc. $ billions Not down…but not up much, either. Sources: NAA, Borrell Associates Inc.
  • 4. Newspaper Print Ad Forecast  0.5% growth in advertising in 2013  1.7% growth in 2014  1% to 1.5% annual growth beyond that  Smaller newspapers grow by high single digits  Metro papers decline for foreseeable future
  • 5. Watch for Camel Hump. Preprints May Be OK Hump © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc. Hump ? Sources: NAA, Borrell Associates Inc.
  • 6. Digital Revenue Growth in 2012 Local Online Ad Sales in 2013 © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc. Estimated Average Median Highest Parent Media # in Sample 2012 Growth DMR Share DMR Share DMR Share Daily Newspapers 371 14.6% 5.93% 5.73% 65.96% TV Stations 324 10.6% 1.93% 2.56% 63.26% Pureplay Internet Cos. 667 32.5% 4.09% 3.91% 58.85% Weekly Newspapers 127 13.0% 0.80% 0.48% 11.76% Cable Systems 137 15.9% 0.91% 1.43% 10.47% Radio Clusters 59* 9.5% 0.65% 0.60% 3.48% Total/Averages 1,685 21.4% 3.14% 2.17% 65.96%
  • 7. Local Online Ad Sales in 2013  30% overall growth in most local markets  Untargeted banner sales decline -3%  Targeted banner sales increase 105%  Online video ad sales up 43%  Little growth for “bundled” print+digital sales
  • 8. Growth in 2013: Video & Targeted Banners Local Online Ad Sales in 2013 © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.
  • 9. The Future: It’s All About Targeting Local Online Ad Sales in 2013 © 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.
  • 10. Don’t Miss This Event! Join us for the largest gathering of local digital media executives. For information, Visit borrellassociates.com and click on “conference.”
  • 11. Questions? Gordon Borrell, CEO Phone: 757-221-6641 Email: gborrell@borrellassociates.com Website: www.borrellassociates.com LinkedIn Group: Local Advertising & Marketing Trends

Editor's Notes

  1. Kathy first question to Gordon: Gordon Borrell I’ve seen forecasts of newspaper revenue falling again next year, yet you’re seeing smaller and medium sized publishers generating revenue increases. What’s Borrell’s forecast for the industry in 2013?
  2. Kathy first question to Gordon: Gordon Borrell I’ve seen forecasts of newspaper revenue falling again next year, yet you’re seeing smaller and medium sized publishers generating revenue increases. What’s Borrell’s forecast for the industry in 2013?