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GGSD 2019 Forum - Session 2 - Keynote presentation
1. IEA 2019. All rights reserved.
Accelerating Clean Technology Innovation
in Industry
2019 GGSD Forum, Greening heavy and extractive industries
27th November, Paris
Mechthild Wörsdörfer, Director, Sustainability, Technology and Outlooks, IEA
5. IEA 2019. All rights reserved.
Energy-related CO2 emissions hit a record high in 2018
Higher demand for fossil fuels drove up global CO2 emissions for a second year in a row;
Increases in efficiency, renewables, coal-to-gas switching and nuclear avoided 640 Mt of CO2 emissions
Annual change in global energy-related CO2 emissions, 2014-2018
- 200
0
200
400
600
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
MtCO2
6. IEA 2019. All rights reserved.
Current CO2 emissions’ trajectory is far from being on track
Global energy-related CO2 emissions
A wide variety of technologies are necessary to meet sustainability goals, notably energy and material
efficiency, renewables, CCUS and nuclear.
10
20
30
40
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Gt CO2
Sustainable Development Scenario
Current Trends
Efficiency
Renewables
Fuel switch, CCUS
and other
Stated Policies Scenario
7. IEA 2019. All rights reserved.
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2018 2030 SDS 2040 SDS 2050 SDS
Industry
Transport
Power generation
Buildings
Agriculture
Other energy sector
Industrial CO2 emissions are difficult to abate…
As other sectors advance faster in reducing CO2 emissions, direct industrial emissions gain share of
total emissions in the SDS, reaching 30% in 2050.
Energy-related emissions breakdown, SDS
7
8. IEA 2019. All rights reserved.
Tracking Clean Energy Progress
Power
Renewable power
Solar PV
Onshore wind
Offshore wind
Hydropower
Bioenergy
Geothermal
CSP
Ocean
Nuclear power
Gas-fired power
Coal-fired power
CCUS in power
Fuel supply
Methane emissions from oil and gas
Flaring emissions
Industry
Chemicals
Iron and steel
Cement
Pulp and paper
Aluminium
CCUS in industry &
transformation
Transport
Electric vehicles
Fuel economy
Trucks & buses
Transport biofuels
Aviation
Shipping
Rail
Buildings
Building envelopes
Heating
Heat pumps
Cooling
Lighting
Appliances &
equipment
Data centres and
networks
Energy storage
Hydrogen
Smart grids
Demand response
Energy integration
9. IEA 2019. All rights reserved.
IEA’s new “innovation gaps” analysis
1. The innovation challenge: 100
technologies across all sectors that
need further efforts in RD&D
2. What solutions are needed, and how
far along they are today?
3. Who is currently doing what?
Government R&D, demonstration
projects, etc.
4. What more needs to be done?
Opportunities over near & longer term
Energy Integration
(23 technologies)
Transport
(23 technologies)
Renewables
(30 technologies)
Buildings
(23 technologies)
Industry
(25 technologies)
Power
(21 technologies)
Scaling upPrototype / DemoIdea
10. IEA 2019. All rights reserved.
Key innovation gaps analysed in the cement sector
Cement
11. IEA 2019. All rights reserved.
Key innovation gaps analysed in the iron & steel sector
Iron and steel
12. IEA 2019. All rights reserved.
Key innovation gaps analysed in the chemicals sector
Chemicals
13. IEA 2019. All rights reserved.
Industry-related IEA Clean Energy Transitions analysis
upcoming
Global
Iron and
Steel
Roadmap
Global
Cement
Roadmap
2013 2018
Regional
Cement
(India)
Roadmap
Global
Chemicals
Roadmap
2020
Status review
Cement (India)
Roadmap
Upcoming
Global
Nitrogen
Fertilisers
Roadmap
2020/21
Future of
Petrochemicals
2019
Material
Efficiency
CCUS in
Industry
14. IEA 2019. All rights reserved.
Greater RD&D efforts on clean energy technologies area needed
Public RD&D spending in IEA member countries reached 19.6 billion USD in 2018, a similar level than
back in 1978. Low-carbon technologies accounted for 94% of that public energy RD&D budget.
IEA Members public RD&D spending
14
15. IEA 2019. All rights reserved.
ETP 2020: A “world’s guidebook on clean energy technologies”
• The IEA’s Energy Technology Perspectives (ETP) series has contributed to global energy
and environmental policy-making since 2006. The series will be revamped and relaunched
in June 2020.
• Objective: help decision-makers in governments and industry to better understand future
technology needs and opportunities.
• Core themes for 2020:
- What are the cost-effective technology choices to enhance energy security and
reach net-zero emissions?
- How can innovation and RD&D in critical clean energy technologies be accelerated?
- Establishing milestones for the deployment of carbon capture, utilisation and
storage (CCUS) and hydrogen.
16. IEA 2019. All rights reserved.
Conclusions
• We are not on track to meet Paris Agreement’s goal. There is a growing disconnect between
political ambitions and real-world energy trends.
• There are some encouraging signs of progress but clean technologies remain strongly
dependent on supportive policy and market frameworks.
• There is no silver bullet. New technologies will be key but not the only piece of solution:
material and energy efficiency remain critical.
• There is a wide portfolio of promising clean energy technologies but needs to be
demonstrated, brought into markets and meaningfully scaled.
• Stable policy support to de-risk investment in sustainable innovation and close collaboration
with industry are key to accelerate the transition.