Blog – Geopolitical Events and Risks – Canada and the World The world continues to face many geopolitical risks and threats. Healthcare systems are at a breaking point More innovation is required to address issues with healthcare delivery model More needs to be done to mitigate the threat of future pandemics.

1. GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS – VIRUSES
MANAGEMENT – WORLD HEALTH
ORGANIZATION AND WORLD
GOVERNMENTS
Paul Young CPA CGA
July 29, 2022

2. PAUL YOUNG - BIO
Contact information email: Paul_Young_CGA@hotmail.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/paul-young-055632b/
SlideShare - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga
Twitter: https://twitter.com/paulyoungcpa
YouTube - https://www.youtube.com/user/youngercga1968/videos
CPA, CGA (1996)
Academia (PF1, FA4, FN2, MU1. and MS2)
SME – Customer Success Management
SME – Risk Management
SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting
SME – Public Policy
SME – Emerging Technology
SME – Business Process Change
SME – Financial Solutions
SME – Macro/Micro Indicators
SME – Supply Chain Management
SME – Data, AI, Security, and Platform
SME – Internal Controls and Auditing

3. AGENDA
• Inflation
• Stock Market
• Wealth
• Cases
• Deaths
• Vaccinations by country
• Vaccinations / Delivery
• Vaccines / Approval
• Vaccinations / Procurement
• Employment – January 2021 (USA vs Canada)
• Unemployment (Canada vs OECD and G7)
• Stock Market
• Global GDP / Forecast
• Blog – Crisis Management
• Blog – New Normal
• Blog – Supply Chain
• Summary
• Training/Development

4. TOP GEOPOLITICAL THREATS
Source - https://www.ey.com/en_jo/geostrategy/when-political-disruption-surrounds-you-whats-your-next-strategic-
move
1. A two-tiered world
2. Evolving great power relationships
3. Middle powers on the global stage
4. Rise of cyber piracy
5. Climate change political nexus
6. Green mineral nationalism
7. Increase intervention supply chain
8. Technology nationalization
9. Expansion of the Brussels effect
10. Inequality and push for redistribution

5. SUMMARY
PRESENTATION TITLE 5
Summary
• Concerns over housing debt and affordable housing are driving down markets
• Access to critical metals has become a growing concerns for countries trying to shift to cleaner economic policies
• Lack of focus on systemic issues with inflation
• Supply chain disruptions continue to plague global supply chains
• High inflation is challenge for global central banks
• Threat of recession continues to rise each week
• Bear market could lead to issues with pension solvency
Blog – Stock Market WE July 29, 2022
WestpacWeekly.pdf Two Sides to Every
Equity Market.pdf
BottomLine_20220729
.pdf
globalweekahead202
20729.pdf
weekly-economic-wat
ch.pdf
Stock Market
Stocks rallied this past week as investors bet that the Federal Reserve has reached peak
hawkishness. That’s wishful thinking.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA +0.97% rose 3%, the S&P 500 SPX +1.42% index
added 4.3%, and the Nasdaq Composite COMP +1.88% surged 4.7%. All three had their best
months since 2020. Even the premium paid for high-yield bonds over Treasuries narrowed
considerably
Source - https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-news-dow-nasdaq-sp500-
51659132219?tesla=y
Higher Debt Leaves
Sovereigns Tough Choices as Recession Risks Rise Hellenic Shipping News Worldwide.pdf
Global inflation
tracker see how your country compares on rising prices Financial Times.pdf
The World Food
Shortage Is Getting Worse. These Companies Have Solutions. Barron's.pdf
The Stock Market
Had a Great July. Why August Could Be Tougher. Barron's.pdf
BottomLine_20220729
.pdf
globalweekahead202
20729.pdf
weekly-economic-wat
ch.pdf
WestpacWeekly.pdf Stocks Stage
Comeback With Best Month Since 2020 Markets Wrap.pdf
Top 10
Best-Performing Commodities – Forbes Advisor UK.pdf
The 5 global
economic stories you should read this week World Economic Forum.pdf
Canada Q2 GDP set
to grow more than expected, big Sept rate hike seen Reuters.pdf
Taiwan GDP Economy
Joins Global Slowdown With Weakest Growth Since 2020 - Bloomberg.pdf
One chart shows why
an official recession call isn't coming anytime soon.pdf
geopolitical-risk-dash
board-july-2022.pdf
What is driving
global volatility Geopolitical constellations IHS Markit.pdf
IT Sustainability Think
Tank Hitting ESG targets relies on the power of partnerships.pdf
1. Stock Market - https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/us-futures-jump-earnings-cooling-
223402389.html
2. Commodities - https://www.forbes.com/uk/advisor/investing/best-performing-commodities/
3. GDP - https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/canada-q2-annualized-gdp-most-likely-grew-
46-higher-than-boc-forecast-2022-07-29/
4. GDP - https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-29/taiwan-adds-to-economic-
warnings-with-weakest-growth-since-2020#xj4y7vzkg
5. GDP - https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/recession-economy-chart-explains-july-2022-
153839171.html
6. Geopolitical - https://ihsmarkit.com/research-analysis/global-volatility-geopolitical-
constellations.html
7. ESG - https://www.computerweekly.com/opinion/IT-Sustainability-Think-Tank-Hitting-ESG-
targets-relies-on-the-power-of-partnerships
8. Debt - https://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/higher-debt-leaves-sovereigns-tough-choices-as-
recession-risks-rise/
9. Inflation - https://www.ft.com/content/088d3368-bb8b-4ff3-9df7-a7680d4d81b2

6. OECD AND INFLATION

7. GDP PER CAPITA

8. BMO – CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
Source – BMO - https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/c8a3a857-a963-
4582-8aa6-2e730b652b2c/
Source –
https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/73bff
f0d-5833-4e0d-bf16-70dcd961be68/
CPI = Cannonading
Price Increases.pdf
U.S. CPI Just Keeps
on Peaking.pdf
CPI Behind the 8.1
Ball.pdf

9. WEALTH global-wealth-report-
2015.pdf
At $514 trillion, China
overtakes US in terms of amassing the biggest net worth, World News wionews.com.pdf
The rapid growth in
global wealth McKinsey.pdf

10. KEY METRICS AND COST OF LIVING

11. HOSPITALIZATION

12. COVID
Source -
https://graphics.reuters.co
m/world-coronavirus-
tracker-and-
maps/countries-and-
territories/canada/
https://www.nytimes.com/in
teractive/2021/world/covid-
cases.html
Canada

13. COVID
Source -
https://graphics.reuters.co
m/world-coronavirus-
tracker-and-
maps/countries-and-
territories/canada/
https://www.nytimes.com/in
teractive/2021/world/covid-
cases.html

14. COVID
Source -
https://graphics.reuters.co
m/world-coronavirus-
tracker-and-
maps/countries-and-
territories/canada/
https://www.nytimes.com/in
teractive/2021/world/covid-
cases.html

15. COVID
Source -
https://graphics.reuters.co
m/world-coronavirus-
tracker-and-
maps/countries-and-
territories/canada/
https://www.nytimes.com/in
teractive/2021/world/covid-
cases.html

16. VACCINES
APPROVAL
Source -
https://www.nytimes.com/inter
active/2020/science/coronaviru
s-vaccine-tracker.html

17. PROCUREMENT
/
VACCINATIONS
Source -
https://launchandscalefaster.or
g/COVID-19

18. VACCINATION
DOSAGE
Source -
https://www.economist.co
m/graphic-
detail/tracking-
coronavirus-across-the-
world

19. USA VS CANADA EMPLOYMENT
U.S. Payrolls Still
Popping.pdf
June Jobs Jumble.pdf

20. GDP – CANADA VS USA
Source - https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/5d512b38-d983-47d7-
b6e9-a343cbe5c8a7/ or https://www2.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/economy/us-
economic-forecast/united-states-outlook-analysis.html MSM never mentioned how GDP went from 3.0% in 2017 to 1.6 in 2019. Trudeau
also never mentioned how inflation.
16 https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2016-november-2016-gdp-gross-
domestic-product-canada
18 https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/gdp-canada-the-real-truth
Oct/21 https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/gdp-canada-analysis-and-
commentary-october-2021
Source - https://www.aa.com.tr/en/economy/atlanta-feds-gdp-
model-indicates-us-economy-in-recession/2628418

21. USA / OVERALL RETAIL SALES
USA Retail Sales.pdf

22. USA VS CANADA – RETAIL SALES
U.S. Retail Sales Not
'Materially' Strong.pdf

23. LATEST FORECAST
PRESENTATI, ON TITLE 23
Global Forecast -
BNS - 20222207.pdf

24. BLOG – CRISIS MANAGEMENT
There are emergency management
depts for a reason. So, why has
emergency management not been
subjected to annual audits as part of
scrutinization when it comes to
geopolitical events?
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcg
a/crisis-and-emergency-management-
how-best-to-manage-risk

25. AUDIT REPORT / CANADA PANDEMIC
Crisis Management
Auditor/Report
Despite nearly two decades of warnings, planning and government spending, the
Public Health Agency of Canada was not ready for the global pandemic and did not
appreciate the threat it posed in its early stages, Canada's auditor general says.
In a hard-hitting review released today, Auditor General Karen Hogan took the
country's primary pandemic response agency to task for failures in early warning,
surveillance, risk assessments, data-sharing with the provinces and follow-up on
Canadian travelers who were ordered into quarantine.
"The agency was not adequately prepared to respond to the pandemic, and it
underestimated the potential impact of the virus at the onset of the pandemic," said
the AG's review — one of three that looked at the Liberal government's management
of the COVID-19 crisis, which as of Thursday had killed 22,780 Canadians and
brought the country's economy to its knees.
https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/auditor-general-pandemic-covid-phac-1.5963895
Here is my work on crisis management -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/why-there-needs-to-be-audited-reports-of-
crisis-emergency-management-policies-and-procedures

26. NEW NORMAL
Here are many links on great work by Mckinsey Group - https://www.mckinsey.com/featured-insights/coronavirus-
leading-through-the-crisis?cid=other-eml-nsl-mip-
mck&hlkid=e220291424cb421991e4e6a3b37ecb2d&hctky=11493232&hdpid=b812b692-ed48-496d-a1e4-
9eb133561e6b#
I can add a bit more color in terms of what needs to transpire:
1. Careers in demand are those that are in areas like skills trades or healthcare or Information technology.
2. World continues to grow public sector employment at higher rate than the goods-producing sector.
3. Targeting policies that will support the reshoring of key parts of the supply chain.
4. Better balance between regulations when it comes to supporting getting goods to market.
5. More targeted focus of customers on areas like customer success to better help drive transformation of both the
public and private sectors.
6. Information technology will play a key role in terms of transforming the economy.
7. Fixing issues with global trade including the elimination of protectionism policies.
8. Reforming taxation including transforming tax acts as well as closing-down tax havens.
9. Reforming the housing market to ensure it is more affordable.
10. Reforming the size of government as part of moving to a digital model
Source - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/new-normal-canada-and-the-world-february-2021-242414576

27. SUPPLY CHAIN
https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/china-s-trade-unexpectedly-surges-despite-virus-outbreaks-
1.1648671?taid=61373efe2b6d260001ced600&utm_campaign=trueAnthem+Manual&utm_medium=trueAnthem&utm_sour
ce=twitter
There are enormous issues with ports, rails, and other parts of the infrastructure's ability to move goods to the end consumer.
https://ibm.box.com/s/bqy9mr0ktlgi64sbf49o4rg5d9w0rqkn
Blog – How to build a resilient Supply Chain using Data and AI
https://ibm.box.com/s/bqy9mr0ktlgi64sbf49o4rg5d9w0rqkn

28. SUPPLY CHAIN
Blog – Ecommerce and Retail – Container Shortage and Risks to Supply Chain
Ship-building companies continue to work on building ever larger container vessels, and there’s little
evidence this trend will stop anytime soon.
Today, an estimated 90% of the world’s goods are transported by sea, with 60% of that – including virtually
all your imported fruits, gadgets and appliances – packed in large steel containers. The rest is mainly
commodities like oil or grains that are poured directly into the hull. In total, about US$14 trillion of the
world’s goods spend some time inside a big metal box.
In short, without the standardized container, the global supply chain that society depends upon – and that I
study – would not exist.
A recent shortage of these containers is raising costs and snarling supply chains of thousands of products
across the world. The situation highlights the importance of the simple yet essential cargo containers that,
from a distance, resemble Lego blocks floating on the sea.
https://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/features/global-shortage-of-shipping-containers-highlights-their-importance-
in-getting-goods-to-amazon-warehouses-store-shelves-and-your-door-in-time-for-christmas/

29. NEXT PANDEMIC
Source - https://www.newswire.ca/news-releases/g20-leaders-urged-at-
global-health-summit-to-take-bold-action-to-prevent-future-pandemics-
868068233.html
TORONTO, May 21, 2021 /CNW/ - As G20 leaders meet for a Global Health Summit, the global
charity World Animal Protection is urging them to prioritize pandemic prevention and to curb the
global commercial wildlife trade due to its role in this pandemic and previous epidemics.
How come you never demand performance audits from @WHO
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/the-importance-of-
value-for-money-and-perfomance-based-audits

30. RISK MANAGEMENT
Blog – Managing Data as part of Mitigating Geopolitical Risks –
Private and Public Sector
• This ties nicely into my many blogs around how best to
managed data as it relates to geopolitical events:
• Audit and Risk Analytics
https://ibm.ent.box.com/folder/116292560123
• Crisis and Emergency Management -
https://ibm.box.com/s/rsp6p9tez8uru9fo0wu5d13bxt7rtrr0

31. OTHER GEOPOLITICAL RISKS
Source - https://globalriskinsights.com/
1. Chile Election
2. Sudan political instability
3. EMEA dependence on Russia Natural Gas
4. South Africa political instability
5. Future Pandemic outbreak
6. China and Taiwan
7. Ukraine and Russia Conflict
8. Military coups in Africa
9. Iran nuclear weapons
10. Hamas and Hezbollah

32. IMPROVING IMMUNE SYSTEMS
• Improving the immune system - https://www.houstonmethodist.org/blog/articles/2020/mar/5-ways-to-boost-
your-immune-system/
• Food and immune system - https://www.healthline.com/health/food-nutrition/foods-that-boost-the-immune-
system
• Startups - https://www.medicalstartups.org/top/immunotherapy/
• Gene and cell therapy = https://www.drugtargetreview.com/article/100201/highlights-from-drug-target-
reviews-cell-gene-therapy-advancements-online-summit/

33. BOOSTER SHOTS
Source - https://fortune.com/2022/01/19/covid-19-
boosters-block-immunity-omicron-study-finds/
COVID boosters do
not provide protection against Omicron, study finds Fortune - Heatlhcare.pdf

34. FOOD COSTS
1. Trucker shortage
2. Factor labor shortage
3. Rising warehouse costs
4. Food scarcity
5. Supply chain delays
https://www.thomasnet.com/insights/5-reasons-why-groceries-are-so-expensive-right-now/?ecms_id=6176bbf5-ba66-
4d82-89f1-df3e9ceb9969&ecms_short=ART6517&doc_type=ted_article&sponsored=&acct=&parent_id=d2286731-
fef9-4f48-8a45-
df0f64c043f9&utm_content=featuredstory&position=2&linktype=title&channel=email&campaign_type=thomas_ind
ustry_update&campaign_name=tiu220204&utm_campaign=tiu220204&utm_medium=email&utm_source=thomas_i
ndustry_update&tinid=221763045
Here is my work - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/transportation-sector-analysis-and-commentary-
december-2021

35. HEALTHCARE REFORM
• Moving to private / public healthcare model as part of reducing wait times
• Revising insurance payout including single pay system (This will require alignment with various systems through a
better automation model)
• Building up critical medical supplies including annual audits of supplies
• Mandatory risk and crisis management for all hospitals, medical centers, and long-term care facilities
• Expanding spots at long-term care facilities including more oversight
• Addressing issues with drug costs
• Fixing the delivery model for healthcare including more digitalization, elimination of layers of management, etc.
• Putting the focus on patient care
• Adopting more automation through use of technology
• Increasing seats at medical and nursing schools
• Addressing issues with foreign credentials
• Mandatory reporting by hospitals, medical centers, and long-term care facilities into the government. Audit
Analytics and Ministry of health can then set up triggers as part managing the data including outcomes.
• Here is my work on healthcare - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/global-healthcare-crisis-pptx

36. SUMMARY
• More and more countries are lifting vaccine mandates.
• Supply chain continues to face many challenges.
• Immune and gene therapy continue to explore at different ways to treat diseases.
• Little has been said about the need for all levels of government to have better crisis and risk
management policies and procedures.
• WHO governance model needs to have more audits as part ensuring steps are taking to
mitigate future pandemics.
Blog – Geopolitical Events and Risks – Canada and the World
The world continues to face many geopolitical risks and threats.
Healthcare systems are at a breaking point
More innovation is required to address issues with healthcare delivery model
More needs to be done to mitigate the threat of future pandemics.
Global inflation
forecast to rise to 7.5_ by the end of 2022, driven by food, fuel, energy, and supply chain disruption, observes GlobalData - GlobalData.pdf
How the problem of
hiring healthcare staff has become a fertile ground for startups.pdf
GSK To Equip 12
European Nations For Likely Future Pandemic World Pharma Today.pdf
US Pandemic
Revamp Raises Worry of ‘More Cooks in the Kitchen’.pdf
Pandemic spurs
growth of patents in pharmaceuticals and biotech, EPO says Science Business.pdf
Sarepta to seek early
FDA approval for gene therapy to treat Duchenne.pdf
Blood-based tumour
mutation index act as prognostic predictor for immunotherapy and chemotherapy in non-small cell lung cancer patients Biomarker Research Full Text.pdf
COVID U.S. rules out
summer boosters to focus on fall campaign CTV News.pdf
World entering
'dangerous new age' of threats, says UK's top national security adviser.pdf
Asian companies
view cybersecurity threat as 'top risk' – report Insurance Business Asia.pdf
1. Pandemics https://www.worldpharmatoday.com/news/gsk-to-equip-12-european-nations-for-
likely-future-pandemic/
2. USA - https://news.bloomberglaw.com/pharma-and-life-sciences/us-pandemic-revamp-raises-
worry-of-more-cooks-in-the-kitchen
3. Patents - https://sciencebusiness.net/covid-19/news-byte/pandemic-spurs-growth-patents-
pharmaceuticals-and-biotech-epo-says
4. Gene Therapy - https://www.statnews.com/2022/07/29/sarepta-to-seek-early-fda-approval-for-
gene-therapy-to-treat-duchenne-muscular-dystrophy/
5. Immune - https://biomarkerres.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s40364-022-00400-5
6. Flu - https://www.ctvnews.ca/health/coronavirus/u-s-rules-out-summer-covid-boosters-to-
focus-on-fall-campaign-1.6007856
7. Threats https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/world-entering-dangerous-age-threats-
151300749.html
8. Risks - https://www.insurancebusinessmag.com/asia/news/breaking-news/asian-companies-
view-cybersecurity-threat-as-top-risk--report-415078.aspx
9. Global inflation - https://www.globaldata.com/media/business-fundamentals/global-inflation-
forecast-rise-7-5-end-2022-driven-food-fuel-energy-supply-chain-disruption-observes-
globaldata/
10. Healthcare - https://ca.style.yahoo.com/problem-hiring-healthcare-staff-become-
153140318.html

37. TRAINING AND DEVELOPMENT
• If you like to learn more
about trade and/or other
subjects as part of your
professional learning, and
development then feel
free to review my material
on
https://www.udemy.com/
(search Paul Young CPA
CGA)
• These subjects address
how to fixed issues with
housing and/or systemic
issues related to economy
including government
policies