Summary: World continues to face many challenges with a broken healthcare system. More needs to be done to mitigate the future impact of variants and pandemics.

1. GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS – VIRUSES
MANAGEMENT – WORLD HEALTH
ORGANIZATION AND WORLD
GOVERNMENTS
Paul Young CPA CGA
August 7, 2022

2. PAUL YOUNG - BIO
Contact information email: Paul_Young_CGA@hotmail.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/paul-young-055632b/
SlideShare - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga
Twitter: https://twitter.com/paulyoungcpa
YouTube - https://www.youtube.com/user/youngercga1968/videos
CPA, CGA (1996)
Academia (PF1, FA4, FN2, MU1. and MS2)
SME – Customer Success Management
SME – Risk Management
SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting
SME – Public Policy
SME – Emerging Technology
SME – Business Process Change
SME – Financial Solutions
SME – Macro/Micro Indicators
SME – Supply Chain Management
SME – Data, AI, Security, and Platform
SME – Internal Controls and Auditing

3. AGENDA
• Inflation
• Stock Market
• Wealth
• Cases
• Deaths
• Vaccinations by country
• Vaccinations / Delivery
• Vaccines / Approval
• Vaccinations / Procurement
• Employment – January 2021 (USA vs Canada)
• Unemployment (Canada vs OECD and G7)
• Stock Market
• Global GDP / Forecast
• Blog – Crisis Management
• Blog – New Normal
• Blog – Supply Chain
• Summary
• Training/Development

4. TOP GEOPOLITICAL THREATS
Source - https://www.ey.com/en_jo/geostrategy/when-political-disruption-surrounds-you-whats-your-next-strategic-
move
1. A two-tiered world
2. Evolving great power relationships
3. Middle powers on the global stage
4. Rise of cyber piracy
5. Climate change political nexus
6. Green mineral nationalism
7. Increase intervention supply chain
8. Technology nationalization
9. Expansion of the Brussels effect
10. Inequality and push for redistribution

5. SUMMARY
PRESENTATION TITLE 5
Summary
• Concerns over housing debt and affordable housing are driving down markets
• Access to critical metals has become a growing concerns for countries trying to shift to cleaner economic policies
• Lack of focus on systemic issues with inflation
• Supply chain disruptions continue to plague global supply chains
• High inflation is challenge for global central banks
• Threat of recession continues to rise each week
• Bear market could lead to issues with pension solvency
Blog – Stock Market for WE August 5, 2022
Stock Market - WE
August 5, 2022.pdf
WestpacWeekly.pdf BottomLine_20220805
.pdf
globalweekahead202
20805.pdf
weekly-economic-wat
ch.pdf
What are lithium-ion
batteries and why do they cause fires .pdf
Chinese investment in
Afghanistan’s lithium sector A long shot in the short term.pdf
Company scraps
lithium project in Oregon’s Alvord Desert - OPB.pdf
Geopolitical News
Analysis and Forecasting Geopolitical Monitor.pdf
Grain Prices Have
Chance to Move Higher After Months of Speculative Selling.pdf
Why the jobs report
could tank the stock market, according to a big Wall Street bear.pdf
Oil output to see
small hike to ease energy prices Hellenic Shipping News Worldwide.pdf
Freeport LNG Set to
Restore Production at Key LNG Export Facility in October, Earlier Than Anticipated.pdf
UN food price index
dropped in July for fourth month - ABC News.pdf
Bears to dominate
global commodities market well into 2023 - The Hindu BusinessLine.pdf
The global economy
is 'past peak inflation', says Tesla CEO Elon Musk Business Standard News.pdf
Moelis Sees Peril for
Companies That Gorged on Debt - Bloomberg.pdf
Small business
owners expect success in latter half of 2022 - Canadian Manufacturing.pdf
Summary:
The July jobs report was so out-of-the-blue hot on Friday — coming in at more than double
expectations — that it may spur the Federal Reserve to be way more aggressive on interest rate
hikes than market goers thought just one day earlier.
If so, would that set the table for a potential swift downdraft in stocks?
"I think it does at the S&P level for the index," Wall Street's biggest bear strategist Mike Wilson
of Morgan Stanley told Yahoo Finance (video above) when asked if on if the jobs report is a sell-
the-news type of event.
Wilson added that the overall conditions — ranging from slowing corporate earnings growth to
rising rates to bruising inflation — are in place for the S&P 500 to take out the June lows
sometime by the fall.
Such a move predicted would see the S&P 500 lose at least 8% from current levels.
Wilson continues to guide clients into more defensive areas of the market and isn't opposed to
holding more cash than normal. If the sell-off happens, according to Wilson, we could witness
the start of a new bull market in 2023.
In any case, investors will have to endure trying to figure out otherwise confusing economic data
and what it means to Fed policy.
The U.S. economy added 528,000 jobs in the month of July, the Bureau of Labor Statistics
reported today, amid expectations of 250,000 jobs added. This staggering increase in jobs
completes a milestone for the U.S. economy in that pre-pandemic employment is now fully
restored.

6. OECD AND INFLATION

7. GDP PER CAPITA

8. BMO – CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
Source – BMO - https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/c8a3a857-a963-
4582-8aa6-2e730b652b2c/
Source –
https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/73bff
f0d-5833-4e0d-bf16-70dcd961be68/
CPI = Cannonading
Price Increases.pdf
U.S. CPI Just Keeps
on Peaking.pdf
CPI Behind the 8.1
Ball.pdf

9. WEALTH global-wealth-report-
2015.pdf
At $514 trillion, China
overtakes US in terms of amassing the biggest net worth, World News wionews.com.pdf
The rapid growth in
global wealth McKinsey.pdf

10. KEY METRICS AND COST OF LIVING

11. HOSPITALIZATION

12. COVID
Source -
https://graphics.reuters.co
m/world-coronavirus-
tracker-and-
maps/countries-and-
territories/canada/
https://www.nytimes.com/in
teractive/2021/world/covid-
cases.html
Canada

13. COVID
Source -
https://graphics.reuters.co
m/world-coronavirus-
tracker-and-
maps/countries-and-
territories/canada/
https://www.nytimes.com/in
teractive/2021/world/covid-
cases.html

14. COVID
Source -
https://graphics.reuters.co
m/world-coronavirus-
tracker-and-
maps/countries-and-
territories/canada/
https://www.nytimes.com/in
teractive/2021/world/covid-
cases.html

15. COVID
Source -
https://graphics.reuters.co
m/world-coronavirus-
tracker-and-
maps/countries-and-
territories/canada/
https://www.nytimes.com/in
teractive/2021/world/covid-
cases.html

16. VACCINES
APPROVAL
Source -
https://www.nytimes.com/inter
active/2020/science/coronaviru
s-vaccine-tracker.html

17. PROCUREMENT
/
VACCINATIONS
Source -
https://launchandscalefaster.or
g/COVID-19

18. VACCINATION
DOSAGE
Source -
https://www.economist.co
m/graphic-
detail/tracking-
coronavirus-across-the-
world

19. USA VS CANADA EMPLOYMENT BMO - Employment -
Canada - July 2022.pdf
U.S. Nonfarm
Payrolls (July) — Conquering the Peak.pdf

20. GDP – CANADA VS USA
Source - https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/5d512b38-d983-47d7-
b6e9-a343cbe5c8a7/ or https://www2.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/economy/us-
economic-forecast/united-states-outlook-analysis.html MSM never mentioned how GDP went from 3.0% in 2017 to 1.6 in 2019. Trudeau
also never mentioned how inflation.
16 https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2016-november-2016-gdp-gross-
domestic-product-canada
18 https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/gdp-canada-the-real-truth
Oct/21 https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/gdp-canada-analysis-and-
commentary-october-2021
Source - https://www.aa.com.tr/en/economy/atlanta-feds-gdp-
model-indicates-us-economy-in-recession/2628418

21. USA / OVERALL RETAIL SALES
USA Retail Sales.pdf

22. USA VS CANADA – RETAIL SALES
U.S. Retail Sales Not
'Materially' Strong.pdf

23. LATEST FORECAST
PRESENTATI, ON TITLE 23
Global Forecast -
BNS - 20222207.pdf

24. BLOG – CRISIS MANAGEMENT
There are emergency management
depts for a reason. So, why has
emergency management not been
subjected to annual audits as part of
scrutinization when it comes to
geopolitical events?
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcg
a/crisis-and-emergency-management-
how-best-to-manage-risk

25. AUDIT REPORT / CANADA PANDEMIC
Crisis Management
Auditor/Report
Despite nearly two decades of warnings, planning and government spending, the
Public Health Agency of Canada was not ready for the global pandemic and did not
appreciate the threat it posed in its early stages, Canada's auditor general says.
In a hard-hitting review released today, Auditor General Karen Hogan took the
country's primary pandemic response agency to task for failures in early warning,
surveillance, risk assessments, data-sharing with the provinces and follow-up on
Canadian travelers who were ordered into quarantine.
"The agency was not adequately prepared to respond to the pandemic, and it
underestimated the potential impact of the virus at the onset of the pandemic," said
the AG's review — one of three that looked at the Liberal government's management
of the COVID-19 crisis, which as of Thursday had killed 22,780 Canadians and
brought the country's economy to its knees.
https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/auditor-general-pandemic-covid-phac-1.5963895
Here is my work on crisis management -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/why-there-needs-to-be-audited-reports-of-
crisis-emergency-management-policies-and-procedures

26. NEW NORMAL
Here are many links on great work by Mckinsey Group - https://www.mckinsey.com/featured-insights/coronavirus-
leading-through-the-crisis?cid=other-eml-nsl-mip-
mck&hlkid=e220291424cb421991e4e6a3b37ecb2d&hctky=11493232&hdpid=b812b692-ed48-496d-a1e4-
9eb133561e6b#
I can add a bit more color in terms of what needs to transpire:
1. Careers in demand are those that are in areas like skills trades or healthcare or Information technology.
2. World continues to grow public sector employment at higher rate than the goods-producing sector.
3. Targeting policies that will support the reshoring of key parts of the supply chain.
4. Better balance between regulations when it comes to supporting getting goods to market.
5. More targeted focus of customers on areas like customer success to better help drive transformation of both the
public and private sectors.
6. Information technology will play a key role in terms of transforming the economy.
7. Fixing issues with global trade including the elimination of protectionism policies.
8. Reforming taxation including transforming tax acts as well as closing-down tax havens.
9. Reforming the housing market to ensure it is more affordable.
10. Reforming the size of government as part of moving to a digital model
Source - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/new-normal-canada-and-the-world-february-2021-242414576

27. SUPPLY CHAIN
https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/china-s-trade-unexpectedly-surges-despite-virus-outbreaks-
1.1648671?taid=61373efe2b6d260001ced600&utm_campaign=trueAnthem+Manual&utm_medium=trueAnthem&utm_sour
ce=twitter
There are enormous issues with ports, rails, and other parts of the infrastructure's ability to move goods to the end consumer.
https://ibm.box.com/s/bqy9mr0ktlgi64sbf49o4rg5d9w0rqkn
Blog – How to build a resilient Supply Chain using Data and AI
https://ibm.box.com/s/bqy9mr0ktlgi64sbf49o4rg5d9w0rqkn

28. SUPPLY CHAIN
Blog – Ecommerce and Retail – Container Shortage and Risks to Supply Chain
Ship-building companies continue to work on building ever larger container vessels, and there’s little
evidence this trend will stop anytime soon.
Today, an estimated 90% of the world’s goods are transported by sea, with 60% of that – including virtually
all your imported fruits, gadgets and appliances – packed in large steel containers. The rest is mainly
commodities like oil or grains that are poured directly into the hull. In total, about US$14 trillion of the
world’s goods spend some time inside a big metal box.
In short, without the standardized container, the global supply chain that society depends upon – and that I
study – would not exist.
A recent shortage of these containers is raising costs and snarling supply chains of thousands of products
across the world. The situation highlights the importance of the simple yet essential cargo containers that,
from a distance, resemble Lego blocks floating on the sea.
https://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/features/global-shortage-of-shipping-containers-highlights-their-importance-
in-getting-goods-to-amazon-warehouses-store-shelves-and-your-door-in-time-for-christmas/

29. NEXT PANDEMIC
Source - https://www.newswire.ca/news-releases/g20-leaders-urged-at-
global-health-summit-to-take-bold-action-to-prevent-future-pandemics-
868068233.html
TORONTO, May 21, 2021 /CNW/ - As G20 leaders meet for a Global Health Summit, the global
charity World Animal Protection is urging them to prioritize pandemic prevention and to curb the
global commercial wildlife trade due to its role in this pandemic and previous epidemics.
How come you never demand performance audits from @WHO
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/the-importance-of-
value-for-money-and-perfomance-based-audits

30. RISK MANAGEMENT
Blog – Managing Data as part of Mitigating Geopolitical Risks –
Private and Public Sector
• This ties nicely into my many blogs around how best to
managed data as it relates to geopolitical events:
• Audit and Risk Analytics
https://ibm.ent.box.com/folder/116292560123
• Crisis and Emergency Management -
https://ibm.box.com/s/rsp6p9tez8uru9fo0wu5d13bxt7rtrr0

31. OTHER GEOPOLITICAL RISKS
Source - https://globalriskinsights.com/
1. Chile Election
2. Sudan political instability
3. EMEA dependence on Russia Natural Gas
4. South Africa political instability
5. Future Pandemic outbreak
6. China and Taiwan
7. Ukraine and Russia Conflict
8. Military coups in Africa
9. Iran nuclear weapons
10. Hamas and Hezbollah

32. IMPROVING IMMUNE SYSTEMS
• Improving the immune system - https://www.houstonmethodist.org/blog/articles/2020/mar/5-ways-to-boost-
your-immune-system/
• Food and immune system - https://www.healthline.com/health/food-nutrition/foods-that-boost-the-immune-
system
• Startups - https://www.medicalstartups.org/top/immunotherapy/
• Gene and cell therapy = https://www.drugtargetreview.com/article/100201/highlights-from-drug-target-
reviews-cell-gene-therapy-advancements-online-summit/

33. BOOSTER SHOTS
Source - https://fortune.com/2022/01/19/covid-19-
boosters-block-immunity-omicron-study-finds/
COVID boosters do
not provide protection against Omicron, study finds Fortune - Heatlhcare.pdf

34. FOOD COSTS
1. Trucker shortage
2. Factor labor shortage
3. Rising warehouse costs
4. Food scarcity
5. Supply chain delays
https://www.thomasnet.com/insights/5-reasons-why-groceries-are-so-expensive-right-now/?ecms_id=6176bbf5-ba66-
4d82-89f1-df3e9ceb9969&ecms_short=ART6517&doc_type=ted_article&sponsored=&acct=&parent_id=d2286731-
fef9-4f48-8a45-
df0f64c043f9&utm_content=featuredstory&position=2&linktype=title&channel=email&campaign_type=thomas_ind
ustry_update&campaign_name=tiu220204&utm_campaign=tiu220204&utm_medium=email&utm_source=thomas_i
ndustry_update&tinid=221763045
Here is my work - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/transportation-sector-analysis-and-commentary-
december-2021

35. HEALTHCARE REFORM
• Moving to private / public healthcare model as part of reducing wait times
• Revising insurance payout including single pay system (This will require alignment with various systems through a
better automation model)
• Building up critical medical supplies including annual audits of supplies
• Mandatory risk and crisis management for all hospitals, medical centers, and long-term care facilities
• Expanding spots at long-term care facilities including more oversight
• Addressing issues with drug costs
• Fixing the delivery model for healthcare including more digitalization, elimination of layers of management, etc.
• Putting the focus on patient care
• Adopting more automation through use of technology
• Increasing seats at medical and nursing schools
• Addressing issues with foreign credentials
• Mandatory reporting by hospitals, medical centers, and long-term care facilities into the government. Audit
Analytics and Ministry of health can then set up triggers as part managing the data including outcomes.
• Here is my work on healthcare - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/global-healthcare-crisis-pptx

36. SUMMARY
• More and more countries are lifting vaccine mandates.
• Supply chain continues to face many challenges.
• Immune and gene therapy continue to explore at different ways to treat diseases.
• Little has been said about the need for all levels of government to have better crisis and risk
management policies and procedures.
• WHO governance model needs to have more audits as part ensuring steps are taking to
mitigate future pandemics.
Blog – Geopolitics – Future Pandemics and Disease Management – August 7, 2022
Summary:
World continues to face many challenges with a broken healthcare system. More needs to be done to
mitigate the future impact of variants and pandemics.
The boom in private
healthcare a two-tier system The Week UK.pdf
Getting ready for
digital healthcare trends - HMA.pdf
Hospital staffing
strain 'unprecedented,' could peak soon Ontario Health executive CityNews Toronto.pdf
The Future of Health
Deloitte US.pdf
What It Takes to
Manufacture a Vaccine NAM.pdf
Harvard Scientist’s
Breakthrough Could Make Humans Resistant to All Viruses - leaps.org.pdf
Immune Health Is a
Top Wellness Trend for 2022, Per Survey Club Industry.pdf
Guest column Fixing
health-care crisis means more private access or increased federal support Windsor Star.pdf
1. Vaccine production - https://www.nam.org/what-it-takes-to-manufacture-a-vaccine-
13131/?stream=series-news
2. Breakthrough - https://leaps.org/harvard-scientists-breakthrough-could-make-humans-
resistant-to-all-viruses/
3. Health & wellness - https://www.clubindustry.com/fitness-studies/immune-health-top-
wellness-trend-2022-survey
4. Healthcare - https://windsorstar.com/opinion/letters/guest-column-fixing-health-care-crisis-
means-more-private-access-or-increased-federal-support
5. Miss management - https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/hospitals-health-systems/u-s-hospitals-
wasting-about-25-4-billion-supply-chain-a-year
6. Private healthcare - https://www.theweek.co.uk/news/science-health/957438/how-nhs-
waiting-lists-could-create-two-tier-system-healthcare
7. Adequate - https://uis.unesco.org/en/blog/mitigate-impact-covid-19-schools-need-adequate-
facilities
8. Digital - https://www.hospitalmanagementasia.com/tech-innovation/getting-ready-for-digital-
healthcare-trends/
9. Healthcare shortage - https://toronto.citynews.ca/2022/08/05/ontario-hospitals-staffing-strain/
10. Healthcare - https://www2.deloitte.com/us/en/pages/life-sciences-and-health-
care/articles/future-of-health.html

37. TRAINING AND DEVELOPMENT
• If you like to learn more
about trade and/or other
subjects as part of your
professional learning, and
development then feel
free to review my material
on
https://www.udemy.com/
(search Paul Young CPA
CGA)
• These subjects address
how to fixed issues with
housing and/or systemic
issues related to economy
including government
policies