Blog – How to Mitigate threats of Geopolitical Events and Risks – (Future Pandemic) – October 17, 2022 Summary The world continues to face many challenges related to geopolitical events and risks. Global healthcare systems continue to face many challenges with their delivery model More and more people want private homecare vs institutional healthcare. Digital healthcare adoption continues to expand around the world All levels of government need to have audited emergency and risk management plans. These plans should be tested on a quarterly basis as part of safeguarding assets and the protection of human lives.

1. GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS – VIRUSES
MANAGEMENT – WORLD HEALTH
ORGANIZATION AND WORLD GOVERNMENTS
Paul Young CPA CGA
October 17, 2022

2. PAUL YOUNG - BIO
Contact information email: Paul_Young_CGA@hotmail.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/paul-young-055632b/
SlideShare - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga
Twitter: https://twitter.com/paulyoungcpa
YouTube - https://www.youtube.com/user/youngercga1968/videos
CPA, CGA (1996)
Academia (PF1, FA4, FN2, MU1. and MS2)
SME – Customer Success Management
SME – Risk Management
SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting
SME – Public Policy
SME – Emerging Technology
SME – Business Process Change
SME – Financial Solutions
SME – Macro/Micro Indicators
SME – Supply Chain Management
SME – Data, AI, Security, and Platform
SME – Internal Controls and Auditing

3. AGENDA
• Inflation
• Stock Market
• Wealth
• Cases
• Deaths
• Vaccinations by country
• Vaccinations / Delivery
• Vaccines / Approval
• Vaccinations / Procurement
• Employment – January 2021 (USA vs Canada)
• Unemployment (Canada vs OECD and G7)
• Stock Market
• Global GDP / Forecast
• Blog – Crisis Management
• Blog – New Normal
• Blog – Supply Chain
• Summary
• Training/Development

4. TOP GEOPOLITICAL THREATS
Source - https://www.ey.com/en_jo/geostrategy/when-political-disruption-surrounds-you-whats-your-next-strategic-
move
1. A two-tiered world
2. Evolving great power relationships
3. Middle powers on the global stage
4. Rise of cyber piracy
5. Climate change political nexus
6. Green mineral nationalism
7. Increase intervention supply chain
8. Technology nationalization
9. Expansion of the Brussels effect
10. Inequality and push for redistribution

5. SUMMARY
PRESENTATION TITLE 5
Summary
• Concerns over housing debt and affordable housing are driving down markets
• Access to critical metals has become a growing concerns for countries trying to shift to cleaner economic policies
• Lack of focus on systemic issues with inflation
• Supply chain disruptions continue to plague global supply chains
• High inflation is challenge for global central banks
• Threat of recession continues to rise each week
• Bear market could lead to issues with pension solvency
Source - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-up-with-the-
stock-market-for-we-october-14-2022pptx
Blog – Stock Market – WE October 14, 2022
commoditiesoutlook.
pdf
The Core Issue
Persists.pdf
USBottomLine_2022
1014.pdf
weekly-economic-wa
tch.pdf
BNS_Housing.pdf WestpacWeekly2022
1017.pdf
Summary:
US stocks slumped on Friday, giving up early gains and failing to build on the sharp rally that
occurred in the previous session.
Wall Street's major indexes locked in losses for the volatile week of trade that ended with mixed
earnings results from top banks.
Meanwhile, the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment survey showed inflation
expectations rose for the first time in seven months — despite a string of aggressive rate hikes
from the Federal Reserve. The 10-year Treasury yield hit 4%, as a worsening inflation outlook
likely keeps the Fed on its run of big and fast rate hikes.
Source - https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-news-dow-nasdaq-inflation-
fed-sp500-bank-earnings-2022-10
What to Watch in
Commodities as China Heads for Pivotal Week Financial Post.pdf
U.S. stocks upended
by inflation survey's sobering view - BNN Bloomberg.pdf
Top 5 Technology
Trends for 2023 – BearingPoint Survey - Business Wire - Tech Me Now.pdf
Stock Market News
S&P 500 Ends Volatile Week in the Red.pdf
weekly-economic-wa
tch.pdf
BNS_Housing.pdf
WestpacWeekly2022
1017.pdf
stock-market-has-mo
re-swings-drug-stock-gains-on-upgrade.pdf
10 Best LNG and
LNG Shipping Stocks to Buy Now.pdf
Canada would back
'economically viable' new LNG terminals -finmin Reuters.pdf
OPEC cuts 2022,
2023 oil demand growth view as economy slows Reuters.pdf
10 of the Biggest
Geopolitical Risks by Likelihood and Impact Kroll.pdf
Toronto Is The
Biggest Real Estate Bubble In The World, Vancouver 6th UBS - Better Dwelling.pdf
Supply Chain
Disruptions Necessitate Better Contracting Practices Use of AI to Add Efficiency Foley & Lardner LLP - JDSupra.pdf
1. Stock Market / Closing - https://www.investors.com/market-trend/stock-market-today/stock-
market-has-more-swings-drug-stock-gains-on-upgrade/
2. LNG - https://finance.yahoo.com/news/10-best-lng-lng-shipping-135939721.html or
https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/canada-would-back-economically-viable-new-
lng-terminals-energy-transition-2022-10-14/
3. Oil production - https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/opec-cuts-2022-2023-oil-demand-
growth-view-economy-slows-2022-10-12/
4. Critical metals - https://aheadoftheherd.com/even-the-so-called-experts-are-wrong-about-
critical-metals-supply-richard-mills/
5. Geopolitical risks- https://www.kroll.com/en/insights/publications/10-biggest-geopolitical-risks-
by-likelihood-and-impact

6. SUMMARY
PRESENTATION TITLE 6
Summary
• Concerns over housing debt and affordable housing are driving down markets
• Access to critical metals has become a growing concerns for countries trying to shift to cleaner economic policies
• Lack of focus on systemic issues with inflation
• Supply chain disruptions continue to plague global supply chains
• High inflation is challenge for global central banks
• Threat of recession continues to rise each week
• Bear market could lead to issues with pension solvency

7. OECD AND INFLATION

8. OECD AND GDP

9. GDP PER CAPITA

10. BMO – CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
Source –
https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/ae97550
d-8a18-46fc-bb31-ca013cee5f45/
BMO - Inflation - CPI
- Canada - July 2022.pdf
Canadian CPI (Aug.)
— Another Step Down a Long Road.pdf
U.S. CPI Stubbornly
Sticky.pdf

11. WEALTH global-wealth-report-
2015.pdf
At $514 trillion, China
overtakes US in terms of amassing the biggest net worth, World News wionews.com.pdf
The rapid growth in
global wealth McKinsey.pdf

12. G7

13. HOSPITALIZATION

14. COVID
Source -
https://graphics.reuters.co
m/world-coronavirus-
tracker-and-
maps/countries-and-
territories/canada/
https://www.nytimes.com/in
teractive/2021/world/covid-
cases.html
Canada

15. COVID
Source -
https://graphics.reuters.co
m/world-coronavirus-
tracker-and-
maps/countries-and-
territories/canada/
https://www.nytimes.com/in
teractive/2021/world/covid-
cases.html

16. COVID
Source -
https://graphics.reuters.co
m/world-coronavirus-
tracker-and-
maps/countries-and-
territories/canada/
https://www.nytimes.com/in
teractive/2021/world/covid-
cases.html

17. COVID
Source -
https://graphics.reuters.co
m/world-coronavirus-
tracker-and-
maps/countries-and-
territories/canada/
https://www.nytimes.com/in
teractive/2021/world/covid-
cases.html

18. VACCINES
APPROVAL
Source -
https://www.nytimes.com/inter
active/2020/science/coronaviru
s-vaccine-tracker.html

19. PROCUREMENT
/
VACCINATIONS
Source -
https://launchandscalefaster.or
g/COVID-19

20. VACCINATION
DOSAGE
Source -
https://www.economist.co
m/graphic-
detail/tracking-
coronavirus-across-the-
world

21. USA VS CANADA EMPLOYMENT Canadian Jobs Back
in School.pdf
U.S. Labour Market
Tight As It Ever Was.pdf

22. GDP – CANADA VS USA
Source - https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/5d512b38-d983-47d7-
b6e9-a343cbe5c8a7/ or https://www2.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/economy/us-
economic-forecast/united-states-outlook-analysis.html MSM never mentioned how GDP went from 3.0% in 2017 to 1.6 in 2019. Trudeau
also never mentioned how inflation.
16 https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2016-november-2016-gdp-gross-
domestic-product-canada
18 https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/gdp-canada-the-real-truth
Oct/21 https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/gdp-canada-analysis-and-
commentary-october-2021
Source - https://www.aa.com.tr/en/economy/atlanta-feds-gdp-
model-indicates-us-economy-in-recession/2628418

23. USA / OVERALL RETAIL SALES Retail Sales - United
States - September 2022.pdf

24. • Source – USA government
USA RETAIL SALES BY KEY SEGMENT
Retail Sales - United
States - September 2022.pdf

25. LATEST FORECAST
PRESENTATI, ON TITLE 25

26. BLOG – CRISIS MANAGEMENT
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/crisis-and-emergency-
management-how-best-to-manage-risk
All Levels of government need to have audited emergency management plans for all their
departments, GBEs, and agencies

27. AUDIT REPORT / CANADA PANDEMIC
Crisis Management
Auditor/Report
Despite nearly two decades of warnings, planning and government spending, the
Public Health Agency of Canada was not ready for the global pandemic and did not
appreciate the threat it posed in its early stages, Canada's auditor general says.
In a hard-hitting review released today, Auditor General Karen Hogan took the
country's primary pandemic response agency to task for failures in early warning,
surveillance, risk assessments, data-sharing with the provinces and follow-up on
Canadian travelers who were ordered into quarantine.
"The agency was not adequately prepared to respond to the pandemic, and it
underestimated the potential impact of the virus at the onset of the pandemic," said
the AG's review — one of three that looked at the Liberal government's management
of the COVID-19 crisis, which as of Thursday had killed 22,780 Canadians and
brought the country's economy to its knees.
https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/auditor-general-pandemic-covid-phac-1.5963895
Here is my work on crisis management -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/why-there-needs-to-be-audited-reports-of-
crisis-emergency-management-policies-and-procedures

28. NEW NORMAL
Here are many links on great work by Mckinsey Group - https://www.mckinsey.com/featured-insights/coronavirus-
leading-through-the-crisis?cid=other-eml-nsl-mip-
mck&hlkid=e220291424cb421991e4e6a3b37ecb2d&hctky=11493232&hdpid=b812b692-ed48-496d-a1e4-
9eb133561e6b#
I can add a bit more color in terms of what needs to transpire:
1. Careers in demand are those that are in areas like skills trades or healthcare or Information technology.
2. World continues to grow public sector employment at higher rate than the goods-producing sector.
3. Targeting policies that will support the reshoring of key parts of the supply chain.
4. Better balance between regulations when it comes to supporting getting goods to market.
5. More targeted focus of customers on areas like customer success to better help drive transformation of both the
public and private sectors.
6. Information technology will play a key role in terms of transforming the economy.
7. Fixing issues with global trade including the elimination of protectionism policies.
8. Reforming taxation including transforming tax acts as well as closing-down tax havens.
9. Reforming the housing market to ensure it is more affordable.
10. Reforming the size of government as part of moving to a digital model
Source - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/new-normal-canada-and-the-world-february-2021-242414576

29. SUPPLY CHAIN
https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/china-s-trade-unexpectedly-surges-despite-virus-outbreaks-
1.1648671?taid=61373efe2b6d260001ced600&utm_campaign=trueAnthem+Manual&utm_medium=trueAnthem&utm_sour
ce=twitter
There are enormous issues with ports, rails, and other parts of the infrastructure's ability to move goods to the end consumer.
https://ibm.box.com/s/bqy9mr0ktlgi64sbf49o4rg5d9w0rqkn
Blog – How to build a resilient Supply Chain using Data and AI
https://ibm.box.com/s/bqy9mr0ktlgi64sbf49o4rg5d9w0rqkn

30. SUPPLY CHAIN
Blog – Ecommerce and Retail – Container Shortage and Risks to Supply Chain
Ship-building companies continue to work on building ever larger container vessels, and there’s little
evidence this trend will stop anytime soon.
Today, an estimated 90% of the world’s goods are transported by sea, with 60% of that – including virtually
all your imported fruits, gadgets and appliances – packed in large steel containers. The rest is mainly
commodities like oil or grains that are poured directly into the hull. In total, about US$14 trillion of the
world’s goods spend some time inside a big metal box.
In short, without the standardized container, the global supply chain that society depends upon – and that I
study – would not exist.
A recent shortage of these containers is raising costs and snarling supply chains of thousands of products
across the world. The situation highlights the importance of the simple yet essential cargo containers that,
from a distance, resemble Lego blocks floating on the sea.
https://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/features/global-shortage-of-shipping-containers-highlights-their-importance-
in-getting-goods-to-amazon-warehouses-store-shelves-and-your-door-in-time-for-christmas/

31. RISK MANAGEMENT
Blog – Managing Data as part of Mitigating Geopolitical Risks –
Private and Public Sector
• This ties nicely into my many blogs around how best to
managed data as it relates to geopolitical events:
• Audit and Risk Analytics
https://ibm.ent.box.com/folder/116292560123
• Crisis and Emergency Management -
https://ibm.box.com/s/rsp6p9tez8uru9fo0wu5d13bxt7rtrr0

32. OTHER GEOPOLITICAL RISKS
Source - https://globalriskinsights.com/
1. Chile Election
2. Sudan political instability
3. EMEA dependence on Russia Natural Gas
4. South Africa political instability
5. Future Pandemic outbreak
6. China and Taiwan
7. Ukraine and Russia Conflict
8. Military coups in Africa
9. Iran nuclear weapons
10. Hamas and Hezbollah

33. IMPROVING IMMUNE SYSTEMS
• Improving the immune system - https://www.houstonmethodist.org/blog/articles/2020/mar/5-ways-to-boost-
your-immune-system/
• Food and immune system - https://www.healthline.com/health/food-nutrition/foods-that-boost-the-immune-
system
• Startups - https://www.medicalstartups.org/top/immunotherapy/
• Gene and cell therapy = https://www.drugtargetreview.com/article/100201/highlights-from-drug-target-
reviews-cell-gene-therapy-advancements-online-summit/

34. BOOSTER SHOTS
Source - https://fortune.com/2022/01/19/covid-19-
boosters-block-immunity-omicron-study-finds/
COVID boosters do
not provide protection against Omicron, study finds Fortune - Heatlhcare.pdf

35. FOOD COSTS
1. Trucker shortage
2. Factor labor shortage
3. Rising warehouse costs
4. Food scarcity
5. Supply chain delays
https://www.thomasnet.com/insights/5-reasons-why-groceries-are-so-expensive-right-now/?ecms_id=6176bbf5-ba66-
4d82-89f1-df3e9ceb9969&ecms_short=ART6517&doc_type=ted_article&sponsored=&acct=&parent_id=d2286731-
fef9-4f48-8a45-
df0f64c043f9&utm_content=featuredstory&position=2&linktype=title&channel=email&campaign_type=thomas_ind
ustry_update&campaign_name=tiu220204&utm_campaign=tiu220204&utm_medium=email&utm_source=thomas_i
ndustry_update&tinid=221763045
Here is my work - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/logistics-warehousing-distribution-and-transportation-
sector-september-2022pptx

36. HEALTHCARE REFORM
• Moving to private / public healthcare model as part of reducing wait times
• Revising insurance payout including single pay system (This will require alignment with various systems through a
better automation model)
• Building up critical medical supplies including annual audits of supplies
• Mandatory risk and crisis management for all hospitals, medical centers, and long-term care facilities
• Expanding spots at long-term care facilities including more oversight
• Addressing issues with drug costs
• Fixing the delivery model for healthcare including more digitalization, elimination of layers of management, etc.
• Putting the focus on patient care
• Adopting more automation through use of technology
• Increasing seats at medical and nursing schools
• Addressing issues with foreign credentials
• Mandatory reporting by hospitals, medical centers, and long-term care facilities into the government. Audit
Analytics and Ministry of health can then set up triggers as part managing the data including outcomes.
• Here is my work on healthcare - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/global-healthcare-crisis-pptx

37. SUMMARY
• Healthcare models around the world continue
to face pressure to delivery healthcare to
patient
• More focus needs to be on all levels of
government have audited emergency and risk
management plans
• More needs to be done to mitigate the future
impact of pandemics through healthier living,
vaccines, gene and immune therapy
• All levels of government need to do a better job
on safeguarding their assets
Blog – How to Mitigate threats of Geopolitical Events and Risks – (Future Pandemic) – October 17, 2022
Summary
The world continues to face many challenges related to geopolitical events and risks.
Global healthcare systems continue to face many challenges with their delivery model
More and more people want private homecare vs institutional healthcare.
Digital healthcare adoption continues to expand around the world
All levels of government need to have audited emergency and risk management plans. These plans
should be tested on a quarterly basis as part of safeguarding assets and the protection of human lives.
Global Inflation Fight
Stirs Risks for Australia, Treasurer Says - BNN Bloomberg.pdf
Global Short-term
Risks that Will Impact Your Business.pdf
Science Will Win
Pfizer.pdf
LumaBridge inks deal
with PICI to expand immunotherapy development.pdf
Cat allergen
immunotherapy works better and more quickly when combined with monoclonal antibody.pdf
Wasteful
administrative costs tied to high US health spending Healthcare Dive.pdf
Digital Health Market
to Hit $1.5 Trillion by 2030 Grand View Research, Inc. - Bloomberg.pdf
Home care over
long-term care preferred by seniors • Troy Media.pdf
Prescription For The
Future Acute Home Care Is The Best Medicine For US Hospitals.pdf
Survey Reveals
Employees Cutting Spending on Wellness & Necessary Healthcare Impacting 2023 Benefits Decisions.pdf
The global economy
is in chaos. Nobody’s coming to the rescue. - POLITICO.pdf
1. Gene therapy breakthroughs - https://www.pfizer.com/stories/podcasts/science-will-win
2. Immune therapy breakthroughs - https://www.news-medical.net/news/20221011/Cat-allergen-
immunotherapy-works-better-and-more-quickly-when-combined-with-monoclonal-
antibody.aspx
3. Healthcare management - https://www.healthcaredive.com/news/Health-Affairs-
administrative-spending-wasteful/633774/
4. Digital healthcare - https://www.bloomberg.com/press-releases/2022-10-14/digital-health-
market-to-hit-1-5-trillion-by-2030-grand-view-research-inc
5. Homecare - https://troymedia.com/health/seniors-prefer-home-care-over-institutionalization/
6. Drug cost - https://www.benefitscanada.com/news/bencan/new-app-helps-canadians-
compare-drug-costs-find-alternatives/
7. Health and wellness - https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/survey-reveals-employees-
cutting-spending-on-wellness--necessary-healthcare-impacting-2023-benefits-decisions-
301646693.html
8. Inflation - https://www.politico.com/news/2022/10/15/domestic-inflation-global-recession-
00061927
9. Global inflation - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/global-inflation-fight-stirs-risks-for-australia-
treasurer-says-1.1833402
10. Geopolitical threats and risks - https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/news/global-short-term-risks-
impact-
103900115.html?guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbS8&guce_r
eferrer_sig=AQAAAMF7IcY1aY1ZYq8IMEoY0xH_rtMsYWGIONn1bBnLkuiXE9ag3cIO1htHADycxX
OQCdjL-