Blog – Geopolitical Risks and Events – Canada and the World – WE September 16, 2022 More needs to be done to address the 40,000 bed shortages for long-term care. This may include looking at ways to better implement homecare within a patient’s home. Health and wellness programs can play a critical role with the mitigation of viruses. Healthcare needs to move to digital model as part of revamping its delivery model.

1. GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS – VIRUSES
MANAGEMENT – WORLD HEALTH
ORGANIZATION AND WORLD GOVERNMENTS
Paul Young CPA CGA
September 18, 2022

2. PAUL YOUNG - BIO
Contact information email: Paul_Young_CGA@hotmail.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/paul-young-055632b/
SlideShare - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga
Twitter: https://twitter.com/paulyoungcpa
YouTube - https://www.youtube.com/user/youngercga1968/videos
CPA, CGA (1996)
Academia (PF1, FA4, FN2, MU1. and MS2)
SME – Customer Success Management
SME – Risk Management
SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting
SME – Public Policy
SME – Emerging Technology
SME – Business Process Change
SME – Financial Solutions
SME – Macro/Micro Indicators
SME – Supply Chain Management
SME – Data, AI, Security, and Platform
SME – Internal Controls and Auditing

3. AGENDA
• Inflation
• Stock Market
• Wealth
• Cases
• Deaths
• Vaccinations by country
• Vaccinations / Delivery
• Vaccines / Approval
• Vaccinations / Procurement
• Employment – January 2021 (USA vs Canada)
• Unemployment (Canada vs OECD and G7)
• Stock Market
• Global GDP / Forecast
• Blog – Crisis Management
• Blog – New Normal
• Blog – Supply Chain
• Summary
• Training/Development

4. TOP GEOPOLITICAL THREATS
Source - https://www.ey.com/en_jo/geostrategy/when-political-disruption-surrounds-you-whats-your-next-strategic-
move
1. A two-tiered world
2. Evolving great power relationships
3. Middle powers on the global stage
4. Rise of cyber piracy
5. Climate change political nexus
6. Green mineral nationalism
7. Increase intervention supply chain
8. Technology nationalization
9. Expansion of the Brussels effect
10. Inequality and push for redistribution

5. SUMMARY
PRESENTATION TITLE 5
Summary
• Concerns over housing debt and affordable housing are driving down markets
• Access to critical metals has become a growing concerns for countries trying to shift to cleaner economic policies
• Lack of focus on systemic issues with inflation
• Supply chain disruptions continue to plague global supply chains
• High inflation is challenge for global central banks
• Threat of recession continues to rise each week
• Bear market could lead to issues with pension solvency
Blog – What is up with the Stock Market – September 16, 2022
Australia and
Commodities Prices.pdf
WestpacWeekly2022
0919.pdf
U of M Inflation
Expectations Slide Further.pdf
CIBC Inflation
Tracker.pdf
Forecast -CIBC.pdf BottomLine_2022091
6.pdf
dailypoints_2022-09-
16.pdf
weekly-economic-wa
tch.pdf
Equity - BMO -
2022.pdf
Summary:
A too-hot-to-handle market is making life impossible for would-be timers, beset with divergent
views on how to play the cycle. One study from Bank of America Corp. shows an investor can
count on the Federal Reserve’s rate cuts as a sure sign for a market bottom, while another from
Ned Davis Research suggests timing your entry according to the first easing is a sucker’s bet.
“Macro trends come and go. And I don’t think there’s more than a handful of people who can
actually claim to predict that,” said Brad McMillan, chief investment officer at Commonwealth
Financial Network. “I admire the intent behind it, but I do question the utility.”
Increasingly, the world’s largest stock market is behaving like one giant trade whose direction is
intractable on a day-to-day basis. Tuesday’s carnage, the worst in two years, was sparked by a
hotter-than-expected inflation reading. It followed two straight sessions where more than 400
stocks in the S&P 500 rose.
Down 4.8% over five days to 3,873, the S&P 500 erased all the gains from the previous week. It
has now moved in opposite directions by at least 3% for three straight weeks -- a stretch of
volatility not seen since December 2018.
Underpinning the whiplash are fast-moving narratives. The latest emphasized downside risk,
especially after FedEx Corp. withdrew its earnings forecast on worsening business conditions, a
potentially worrying sign for the global economy.
Source - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/all-or-nothing-stock-churn-exacts-harsh-toll-on-would-be-
market-timers-1.1819946
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-up-
with-the-stock-market-for-we-september-16-
2022pptx

6. OECD AND INFLATION

7. GDP PER CAPITA

8. BMO – CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
Source –
https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/ae97550
d-8a18-46fc-bb31-ca013cee5f45/
BMO - Inflation - CPI
- Canada - July 2022.pdf
Canada -
https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/d
etail/c8a3a857-a963-4582-8aa6-
2e730b652b2c/

9. WEALTH global-wealth-report-
2015.pdf
At $514 trillion, China
overtakes US in terms of amassing the biggest net worth, World News wionews.com.pdf
The rapid growth in
global wealth McKinsey.pdf

10. KEY METRICS AND COST OF LIVING

11. G7

12. G7

13. HOSPITALIZATION

14. COVID
Source -
https://graphics.reuters.co
m/world-coronavirus-
tracker-and-
maps/countries-and-
territories/canada/
https://www.nytimes.com/in
teractive/2021/world/covid-
cases.html
Canada

15. COVID
Source -
https://graphics.reuters.co
m/world-coronavirus-
tracker-and-
maps/countries-and-
territories/canada/
https://www.nytimes.com/in
teractive/2021/world/covid-
cases.html

16. COVID
Source -
https://graphics.reuters.co
m/world-coronavirus-
tracker-and-
maps/countries-and-
territories/canada/
https://www.nytimes.com/in
teractive/2021/world/covid-
cases.html

17. COVID
Source -
https://graphics.reuters.co
m/world-coronavirus-
tracker-and-
maps/countries-and-
territories/canada/
https://www.nytimes.com/in
teractive/2021/world/covid-
cases.html

18. VACCINES
APPROVAL
Source -
https://www.nytimes.com/inter
active/2020/science/coronaviru
s-vaccine-tracker.html

19. PROCUREMENT
/
VACCINATIONS
Source -
https://launchandscalefaster.or
g/COVID-19

20. VACCINATION
DOSAGE
Source -
https://www.economist.co
m/graphic-
detail/tracking-
coronavirus-across-the-
world

21. USA VS CANADA EMPLOYMENT Steady Growth In
Payrolls ... As It Was.pdf
Canadian Jobs
Summer of Discontent.pdf

22. GDP – CANADA VS USA
Source - https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/5d512b38-d983-47d7-
b6e9-a343cbe5c8a7/ or https://www2.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/economy/us-
economic-forecast/united-states-outlook-analysis.html MSM never mentioned how GDP went from 3.0% in 2017 to 1.6 in 2019. Trudeau
also never mentioned how inflation.
16 https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2016-november-2016-gdp-gross-
domestic-product-canada
18 https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/gdp-canada-the-real-truth
Oct/21 https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/gdp-canada-analysis-and-
commentary-october-2021
Source - https://www.aa.com.tr/en/economy/atlanta-feds-gdp-
model-indicates-us-economy-in-recession/2628418

23. RETAIL SALES –
THE UNITED
STATES
Paul Young CPA CGA
September 15, 2022

24. USA / OVERALL RETAIL SALES
USA Retail Sales -
August 2022.pdf

25. USA VS CANADA – RETAIL SALES
BMO -
https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail
/28fc76ba-ec67-4139-b7be-89b1a2a53ca8/
BMO -
https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/f64
b2abe-0b26-4399-a1d3-7cd4fb861bae/
BMO - Retail Sales -
Canada - June 2022.pdf
U.S. Retail Sales No
Gas.pdf

26. LATEST FORECAST
PRESENTATI, ON TITLE 26

27. BLOG – CRISIS MANAGEMENT
There are emergency management
depts for a reason. So, why has
emergency management not been
subjected to annual audits as part of
scrutinization when it comes to
geopolitical events?
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcg
a/crisis-and-emergency-management-
how-best-to-manage-risk

28. AUDIT REPORT / CANADA PANDEMIC
Crisis Management
Auditor/Report
Despite nearly two decades of warnings, planning and government spending, the
Public Health Agency of Canada was not ready for the global pandemic and did not
appreciate the threat it posed in its early stages, Canada's auditor general says.
In a hard-hitting review released today, Auditor General Karen Hogan took the
country's primary pandemic response agency to task for failures in early warning,
surveillance, risk assessments, data-sharing with the provinces and follow-up on
Canadian travelers who were ordered into quarantine.
"The agency was not adequately prepared to respond to the pandemic, and it
underestimated the potential impact of the virus at the onset of the pandemic," said
the AG's review — one of three that looked at the Liberal government's management
of the COVID-19 crisis, which as of Thursday had killed 22,780 Canadians and
brought the country's economy to its knees.
https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/auditor-general-pandemic-covid-phac-1.5963895
Here is my work on crisis management -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/why-there-needs-to-be-audited-reports-of-
crisis-emergency-management-policies-and-procedures

29. NEW NORMAL
Here are many links on great work by Mckinsey Group - https://www.mckinsey.com/featured-insights/coronavirus-
leading-through-the-crisis?cid=other-eml-nsl-mip-
mck&hlkid=e220291424cb421991e4e6a3b37ecb2d&hctky=11493232&hdpid=b812b692-ed48-496d-a1e4-
9eb133561e6b#
I can add a bit more color in terms of what needs to transpire:
1. Careers in demand are those that are in areas like skills trades or healthcare or Information technology.
2. World continues to grow public sector employment at higher rate than the goods-producing sector.
3. Targeting policies that will support the reshoring of key parts of the supply chain.
4. Better balance between regulations when it comes to supporting getting goods to market.
5. More targeted focus of customers on areas like customer success to better help drive transformation of both the
public and private sectors.
6. Information technology will play a key role in terms of transforming the economy.
7. Fixing issues with global trade including the elimination of protectionism policies.
8. Reforming taxation including transforming tax acts as well as closing-down tax havens.
9. Reforming the housing market to ensure it is more affordable.
10. Reforming the size of government as part of moving to a digital model
Source - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/new-normal-canada-and-the-world-february-2021-242414576

30. SUPPLY CHAIN
https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/china-s-trade-unexpectedly-surges-despite-virus-outbreaks-
1.1648671?taid=61373efe2b6d260001ced600&utm_campaign=trueAnthem+Manual&utm_medium=trueAnthem&utm_sour
ce=twitter
There are enormous issues with ports, rails, and other parts of the infrastructure's ability to move goods to the end consumer.
https://ibm.box.com/s/bqy9mr0ktlgi64sbf49o4rg5d9w0rqkn
Blog – How to build a resilient Supply Chain using Data and AI
https://ibm.box.com/s/bqy9mr0ktlgi64sbf49o4rg5d9w0rqkn

31. SUPPLY CHAIN
Blog – Ecommerce and Retail – Container Shortage and Risks to Supply Chain
Ship-building companies continue to work on building ever larger container vessels, and there’s little
evidence this trend will stop anytime soon.
Today, an estimated 90% of the world’s goods are transported by sea, with 60% of that – including virtually
all your imported fruits, gadgets and appliances – packed in large steel containers. The rest is mainly
commodities like oil or grains that are poured directly into the hull. In total, about US$14 trillion of the
world’s goods spend some time inside a big metal box.
In short, without the standardized container, the global supply chain that society depends upon – and that I
study – would not exist.
A recent shortage of these containers is raising costs and snarling supply chains of thousands of products
across the world. The situation highlights the importance of the simple yet essential cargo containers that,
from a distance, resemble Lego blocks floating on the sea.
https://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/features/global-shortage-of-shipping-containers-highlights-their-importance-
in-getting-goods-to-amazon-warehouses-store-shelves-and-your-door-in-time-for-christmas/

32. NEXT PANDEMIC
Source - https://www.newswire.ca/news-releases/g20-leaders-urged-at-
global-health-summit-to-take-bold-action-to-prevent-future-pandemics-
868068233.html
TORONTO, May 21, 2021 /CNW/ - As G20 leaders meet for a Global Health Summit, the global
charity World Animal Protection is urging them to prioritize pandemic prevention and to curb the
global commercial wildlife trade due to its role in this pandemic and previous epidemics.
How come you never demand performance audits from @WHO
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/the-importance-of-
value-for-money-and-perfomance-based-audits

33. RISK MANAGEMENT
Blog – Managing Data as part of Mitigating Geopolitical Risks –
Private and Public Sector
• This ties nicely into my many blogs around how best to
managed data as it relates to geopolitical events:
• Audit and Risk Analytics
https://ibm.ent.box.com/folder/116292560123
• Crisis and Emergency Management -
https://ibm.box.com/s/rsp6p9tez8uru9fo0wu5d13bxt7rtrr0

34. OTHER GEOPOLITICAL RISKS
Source - https://globalriskinsights.com/
1. Chile Election
2. Sudan political instability
3. EMEA dependence on Russia Natural Gas
4. South Africa political instability
5. Future Pandemic outbreak
6. China and Taiwan
7. Ukraine and Russia Conflict
8. Military coups in Africa
9. Iran nuclear weapons
10. Hamas and Hezbollah

35. IMPROVING IMMUNE SYSTEMS
• Improving the immune system - https://www.houstonmethodist.org/blog/articles/2020/mar/5-ways-to-boost-
your-immune-system/
• Food and immune system - https://www.healthline.com/health/food-nutrition/foods-that-boost-the-immune-
system
• Startups - https://www.medicalstartups.org/top/immunotherapy/
• Gene and cell therapy = https://www.drugtargetreview.com/article/100201/highlights-from-drug-target-
reviews-cell-gene-therapy-advancements-online-summit/

36. BOOSTER SHOTS
Source - https://fortune.com/2022/01/19/covid-19-
boosters-block-immunity-omicron-study-finds/
COVID boosters do
not provide protection against Omicron, study finds Fortune - Heatlhcare.pdf

37. FOOD COSTS
1. Trucker shortage
2. Factor labor shortage
3. Rising warehouse costs
4. Food scarcity
5. Supply chain delays
https://www.thomasnet.com/insights/5-reasons-why-groceries-are-so-expensive-right-now/?ecms_id=6176bbf5-ba66-
4d82-89f1-df3e9ceb9969&ecms_short=ART6517&doc_type=ted_article&sponsored=&acct=&parent_id=d2286731-
fef9-4f48-8a45-
df0f64c043f9&utm_content=featuredstory&position=2&linktype=title&channel=email&campaign_type=thomas_ind
ustry_update&campaign_name=tiu220204&utm_campaign=tiu220204&utm_medium=email&utm_source=thomas_i
ndustry_update&tinid=221763045
Here is my work - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/transportation-sector-analysis-and-commentary-
december-2021

38. HEALTHCARE REFORM
• Moving to private / public healthcare model as part of reducing wait times
• Revising insurance payout including single pay system (This will require alignment with various systems through a
better automation model)
• Building up critical medical supplies including annual audits of supplies
• Mandatory risk and crisis management for all hospitals, medical centers, and long-term care facilities
• Expanding spots at long-term care facilities including more oversight
• Addressing issues with drug costs
• Fixing the delivery model for healthcare including more digitalization, elimination of layers of management, etc.
• Putting the focus on patient care
• Adopting more automation through use of technology
• Increasing seats at medical and nursing schools
• Addressing issues with foreign credentials
• Mandatory reporting by hospitals, medical centers, and long-term care facilities into the government. Audit
Analytics and Ministry of health can then set up triggers as part managing the data including outcomes.
• Here is my work on healthcare - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/global-healthcare-crisis-pptx

39. SUMMARY
• More and more countries are lifting vaccine
mandates.
• Supply chain continues to face many challenges.
• Immune and gene therapy continue to explore at
different ways to treat diseases.
• Little has been said about the need for all levels of
government to have better crisis and risk
management policies and procedures.
• WHO governance model needs to have more
audits as part ensuring steps are taking to mitigate
future pandemics.
• Healthcare systems continue to struggle with their
operational model
Blog – Geopolitical Risks and Events – Canada and the World – WE September 16, 2022
More needs to be done to address the 40,000 bed shortages for long-term care. This may include
looking at ways to better implement homecare within a patient’s home.
Health and wellness programs can play a critical role with the mitigation of viruses.
Healthcare needs to move to digital model as part of revamping its delivery model.
8 things you should
know about where gene therapy is heading World Economic Forum.pdf
Deep learning reveals
predictive sequence concepts within immune repertoires to immunotherapy Science Advances.pdf
Domestic vaccine
manufacturing pays off.pdf
The 12 Global
Economic Indicators to Watch.pdf
The World Bank
warns the risk of a ‘global recession’ is rising as central banks raise rates Fortune.pdf
Cost of Growing
Food in US Is Set to Rise By Most Ever in 2022 - BNN Bloomberg.pdf
What Ontario's new
long-term care rules will (and won't) do for hospitals CBC News.pdf
Ontario doctors offer
immediate solutions to health care crisis - Sudbury News.pdf
Humana Home
Health Business Key To Value-Based Care Strategy - Home Health Care News.pdf
8 Everyday Health
and Wellness Habits Linked With a Longer Life Everyday Health.pdf
The future of AI drug
discovery & development in immunology and GPCR research -.pdf
sustainability-14-116
98.pdf
Physician adoption of
digital – Healthcare Economist Penileclinic.com.pdf
1. Gene Therapy – https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2022/09/8-things-you-should-know-about-
gene-therapy/
2. Data and AI - https://pharmaphorum.com/digital/the-future-of-ai-drug-discovery-development-
in-immunology-and-gpcr-research/
3. Digital adoption - https://penileclinic.com/physician-adoption-of-digital-healthcare-
economist/53089/
4. Immune Therapy - https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.abq5089
5. Vaccine production - https://pandem-ic.com/domestic-vaccine-manufacturing-pays-off/
6. Global GDP - https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/world-economic-indicators-
dashboard/?leadSource=uverify%20wall
7. Global recession - https://fortune.com/2022/09/16/world-bank-warns-global-recession-central-
banks-raise-rates-in-unison/
8. Food - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/cost-of-growing-food-in-us-is-set-to-rise-by-most-ever-
in-2022-1.1813589
9. Assisted living - https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ontario-hospitals-long-term-care-
1.6584322
10. Healthcare - https://www.sudbury.com/local-news/ontario-doctors-offer-immediate-solutions-
to-health-care-crisis-5833041
11. Homecare - https://homehealthcarenews.com/2022/09/humana-home-health-business-key-to-
value-based-care-strategy/
12. Health and wellness - https://www.everydayhealth.com/longevity/everyday-health-and-
wellness-habits-linked-with-a-longer-life/

40. TRAINING AND DEVELOPMENT
• If you like to learn more
about trade and/or other
subjects as part of your
professional learning, and
development then feel
free to review my material
on
https://www.udemy.com/
(search Paul Young CPA
CGA)
• These subjects address
how to fixed issues with
housing and/or systemic
issues related to economy
including government
policies