This document discusses geopolitical events related to viruses and pandemics, and management of pandemics by organizations like the World Health Organization and world governments. It provides an agenda on topics like inflation, stock markets, wealth, COVID cases and deaths, vaccinations, employment, GDP forecasts. It also includes blogs on crisis management, supply chains, and preparing for future pandemics. Risk management strategies and improving immune systems are discussed. The document calls for better auditing of crisis management policies and procedures to help mitigate future global health threats.

1. GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS – VIRUSES
MANAGEMENT – WORLD HEALTH
ORGANIZATION AND WORLD
GOVERNMENTS
Paul Young CPA CGA
May 14, 2022

2. PAUL YOUNG - BIO
Contact information email: Paul_Young_CGA@hotmail.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/paul-young-055632b/
SlideShare - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga
Twitter: https://twitter.com/paulyoungcpa
YouTube - https://www.youtube.com/user/youngercga1968/videos
CPA, CGA (1996)
Academia (PF1, FA4, FN2, MU1. and MS2)
SME – Customer Success Management
SME – Risk Management
SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting
SME – Public Policy
SME – Emerging Technology
SME – Business Process Change
SME – Financial Solutions
SME – Macro/Micro Indicators
SME – Supply Chain Management
SME – Data, AI, Security, and Platform
SME – Internal Controls and Auditing

3. AGENDA
• Inflation
• Stock Market
• Wealth
• Cases
• Deaths
• Vaccinations by country
• Vaccinations / Delivery
• Vaccines / Approval
• Vaccinations / Procurement
• Employment – January 2021 (USA vs Canada)
• Unemployment (Canada vs OECD and G7)
• Stock Market
• Global GDP / Forecast
• Blog – Crisis Management
• Blog – New Normal
• Blog – Supply Chain
• Summary
• Training/Development

4. TOP GEOPOLITICAL THREATS
Source - https://www.ey.com/en_jo/geostrategy/when-political-disruption-surrounds-you-whats-your-next-strategic-
move
1. A two-tiered world
2. Evolving great power relationships
3. Middle powers on the global stage
4. Rise of cyber piracy
5. Climate change political nexus
6. Green mineral nationalism
7. Increase intervention supply chain
8. Technology nationalization
9. Expansion of the Brussels effect
10. Inequality and push for redistribution

5. SUMMARY
PRESENTATION TITLE 5
Summary:
For a moment this past week, the stock market felt like it was already there. On Thursday morning, the S&P 500 SPX +2.39%
index, down 19.6% from its closing high, was inches from entering a bear market. The Nasdaq Composite COMP +3.82% ,
home to tech stocks that had driven the bull market, was plunging. Even Bitcoin BTCUSD –2.60% joined the pity party by
breaking $29,000 and falling to near $25,000. Everything seemed on the verge of collapse.
But the market didn’t collapse. Instead, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell seemed to acknowledge that maybe the
Fed wouldn’t be able to engineer a soft or soft-ish landing, as he had so confidently claimed after the May 4 policy meeting.
Instead, he said that a recession was possible and largely out of the Fed’s control. For a Fed that was thought to be singularly
focused on inflation—economic growth be damned—it was a small, if nuanced, shift, which traders seized on. From
Thursday’s low through Friday’s close, the S&P 500 gained 4.3%, and even the ARK Innovation ARKK +11.82% exchange-
traded fund (ticker: ARKK), home to so many beaten-down tech stocks, rallied 24%.
Source - https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-nearly-entered-a-bear-market-what-history-says-happens-next-
51652488484 and We could be hitting a bear market for stocks and bonds - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-
up-with-the-stock-market-may-14-2022pptx

6. OECD AND INFLATION

7. BMO – CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
Source -
https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/
d0fee10a-93f7-4a89-957e-6e235056f623/
Source – BMO - https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/f3043170-c659-40f3-
b37f-14ca75272422/
Canadian Inflation
Six-point-Seven Degrees of Separation.pdf
U.S. CPI The Core Is
No Bore.pdf

8. WEALTH global-wealth-report-
2015.pdf
At $514 trillion, China
overtakes US in terms of amassing the biggest net worth, World News wionews.com.pdf
The rapid growth in
global wealth McKinsey.pdf

9. HOSPITALIZATION

10. CASES
Source -
https://www.nbc.ca/en/rates-
and-analysis/economic-
analysis.html
covid19-weekly-monit
or.pdf

11. DEATHS
Source -
https://www.nbc.ca/en/rates-
and-analysis/economic-
analysis.html

12. HOSPITALIZATION
Source -
https://www.nbc.ca/en/rates
-and-analysis/economic-
analysis.html

13. BACK TO
NORMAL
Source -
https://www.nbc.ca/en/rat
es-and-
analysis/economic-
analysis.html

14. VACCINES
APPROVAL
Source -
https://www.nytimes.com/inter
active/2020/science/coronaviru
s-vaccine-tracker.html

15. PROCUREMENT
/
VACCINATIONS
Source -
https://launchandscalefaster.or
g/COVID-19

16. VACCINATION
DOSAGE
Source -
https://www.economist.co
m/graphic-
detail/tracking-
coronavirus-across-the-
world

17. BMO – CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
Source -
https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/
d0fee10a-93f7-4a89-957e-6e235056f623/
Source – BMO - https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/f3043170-c659-40f3-
b37f-14ca75272422/
Canadian Inflation
Six-point-Seven Degrees of Separation.pdf
U.S. CPI The Core Is
No Bore.pdf

18. USA VS CANADA EMPLOYMENT

19. USA VS CANADA EMPLOYMENT Cdn Jobs Silver
Lining in Reopening Playbook.pdf
BMO - USA
Employment - 202203.pdf
Canadian Jobless
Rate Going Low.pdf

20. GDP – CANADA VS USA
Source - https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/5d512b38-d983-47d7-
b6e9-a343cbe5c8a7/ or https://www2.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/economy/us-
economic-forecast/united-states-outlook-analysis.html MSM never mentioned how GDP went from 3.0% in 2017 to 1.6 in 2019. Trudeau
also never mentioned how inflation.
16 https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2016-november-2016-gdp-gross-
domestic-product-canada
18 https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/gdp-canada-the-real-truth
Oct/21 https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/gdp-canada-analysis-and-
commentary-october-2021

21. USA VS CANADA – RETAIL SALES
BMO -
https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/a853fd96-
0cca-432a-b7aa-2ebe705ff650/
https://economics.bmo.com/en/publicati
ons/detail/6f2cf917-a368-482e-8c45-
6cdd63a6020b/
U.S. Retail Sales
Deflating.pdf

22. GDP FORECAST
Source – Scotiabank
BNS_Forecast.pdf

23. BLOG – CRISIS MANAGEMENT
There are emergency management
depts for a reason. So, why has
emergency management not been
subjected to annual audits as part of
scrutinization when it comes to
geopolitical events?
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcg
a/crisis-and-emergency-management-
how-best-to-manage-risk

24. AUDIT REPORT / CANADA PANDEMIC
Crisis Management
Auditor/Report
Despite nearly two decades of warnings, planning and government spending, the
Public Health Agency of Canada was not ready for the global pandemic and did not
appreciate the threat it posed in its early stages, Canada's auditor general says.
In a hard-hitting review released today, Auditor General Karen Hogan took the
country's primary pandemic response agency to task for failures in early warning,
surveillance, risk assessments, data-sharing with the provinces and follow-up on
Canadian travelers who were ordered into quarantine.
"The agency was not adequately prepared to respond to the pandemic, and it
underestimated the potential impact of the virus at the onset of the pandemic," said
the AG's review — one of three that looked at the Liberal government's management
of the COVID-19 crisis, which as of Thursday had killed 22,780 Canadians and
brought the country's economy to its knees.
https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/auditor-general-pandemic-covid-phac-1.5963895
Here is my work on crisis management -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/why-there-needs-to-be-audited-reports-of-
crisis-emergency-management-policies-and-procedures

25. NEW NORMAL
Here are many links on great work by Mckinsey Group - https://www.mckinsey.com/featured-insights/coronavirus-
leading-through-the-crisis?cid=other-eml-nsl-mip-
mck&hlkid=e220291424cb421991e4e6a3b37ecb2d&hctky=11493232&hdpid=b812b692-ed48-496d-a1e4-
9eb133561e6b#
I can add a bit more color in terms of what needs to transpire:
1. Careers in demand are those that are in areas like skills trades or healthcare or Information technology.
2. World continues to grow public sector employment at higher rate than the goods-producing sector.
3. Targeting policies that will support the reshoring of key parts of the supply chain.
4. Better balance between regulations when it comes to supporting getting goods to market.
5. More targeted focus of customers on areas like customer success to better help drive transformation of both the
public and private sectors.
6. Information technology will play a key role in terms of transforming the economy.
7. Fixing issues with global trade including the elimination of protectionism policies.
8. Reforming taxation including transforming tax acts as well as closing-down tax havens.
9. Reforming the housing market to ensure it is more affordable.
10. Reforming the size of government as part of moving to a digital model
Source - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/new-normal-canada-and-the-world-february-2021-242414576

26. SUPPLY CHAIN
https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/china-s-trade-unexpectedly-surges-despite-virus-outbreaks-
1.1648671?taid=61373efe2b6d260001ced600&utm_campaign=trueAnthem+Manual&utm_medium=trueAnthem&utm_sour
ce=twitter
There are enormous issues with ports, rails, and other parts of the infrastructure's ability to move goods to the end consumer.
https://ibm.box.com/s/bqy9mr0ktlgi64sbf49o4rg5d9w0rqkn
Blog – How to build a resilient Supply Chain using Data and AI
https://ibm.box.com/s/bqy9mr0ktlgi64sbf49o4rg5d9w0rqkn

27. SUPPLY CHAIN
Blog – Ecommerce and Retail – Container Shortage and Risks to Supply Chain
Ship-building companies continue to work on building ever larger container vessels, and there’s little
evidence this trend will stop anytime soon.
Today, an estimated 90% of the world’s goods are transported by sea, with 60% of that – including virtually
all your imported fruits, gadgets and appliances – packed in large steel containers. The rest is mainly
commodities like oil or grains that are poured directly into the hull. In total, about US$14 trillion of the
world’s goods spend some time inside a big metal box.
In short, without the standardized container, the global supply chain that society depends upon – and that I
study – would not exist.
A recent shortage of these containers is raising costs and snarling supply chains of thousands of products
across the world. The situation highlights the importance of the simple yet essential cargo containers that,
from a distance, resemble Lego blocks floating on the sea.
https://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/features/global-shortage-of-shipping-containers-highlights-their-importance-
in-getting-goods-to-amazon-warehouses-store-shelves-and-your-door-in-time-for-christmas/

28. NEXT PANDEMIC
Source - https://www.newswire.ca/news-releases/g20-leaders-urged-at-
global-health-summit-to-take-bold-action-to-prevent-future-pandemics-
868068233.html
TORONTO, May 21, 2021 /CNW/ - As G20 leaders meet for a Global Health Summit, the global
charity World Animal Protection is urging them to prioritize pandemic prevention and to curb the
global commercial wildlife trade due to its role in this pandemic and previous epidemics.
How come you never demand performance audits from @WHO
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/the-importance-of-
value-for-money-and-perfomance-based-audits

29. RISK MANAGEMENT
Blog – Managing Data as part of Mitigating Geopolitical Risks –
Private and Public Sector
• This ties nicely into my many blogs around how best to
managed data as it relates to geopolitical events:
• Audit and Risk Analytics
https://ibm.ent.box.com/folder/116292560123
• Crisis and Emergency Management -
https://ibm.box.com/s/rsp6p9tez8uru9fo0wu5d13bxt7rtrr0

30. OTHER GEOPOLITICAL RISKS
Source - https://globalriskinsights.com/
1. Chile Election
2. Sudan political instability
3. EMEA dependence on Russia Natural Gas
4. South Africa political instability
5. Future Pandemic outbreak
6. China and Taiwan
7. Ukraine and Russia Conflict
8. Military coups in Africa
9. Iran nuclear weapons
10. Hamas and Hezbollah

31. IMPROVING IMMUNE SYSTEMS
• Improving the immune system - https://www.houstonmethodist.org/blog/articles/2020/mar/5-ways-to-boost-
your-immune-system/
• Food and immune system - https://www.healthline.com/health/food-nutrition/foods-that-boost-the-immune-
system
• Startups - https://www.medicalstartups.org/top/immunotherapy/
• Gene and cell therapy = https://www.drugtargetreview.com/article/100201/highlights-from-drug-target-
reviews-cell-gene-therapy-advancements-online-summit/

32. BOOSTER SHOTS
Source - https://fortune.com/2022/01/19/covid-19-
boosters-block-immunity-omicron-study-finds/
COVID boosters do
not provide protection against Omicron, study finds Fortune - Heatlhcare.pdf

33. FOOD COSTS
1. Trucker shortage
2. Factor labor shortage
3. Rising warehouse costs
4. Food scarcity
5. Supply chain delays
https://www.thomasnet.com/insights/5-reasons-why-groceries-are-so-expensive-right-now/?ecms_id=6176bbf5-ba66-
4d82-89f1-df3e9ceb9969&ecms_short=ART6517&doc_type=ted_article&sponsored=&acct=&parent_id=d2286731-
fef9-4f48-8a45-
df0f64c043f9&utm_content=featuredstory&position=2&linktype=title&channel=email&campaign_type=thomas_ind
ustry_update&campaign_name=tiu220204&utm_campaign=tiu220204&utm_medium=email&utm_source=thomas_i
ndustry_update&tinid=221763045
Here is my work - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/transportation-sector-analysis-and-commentary-
december-2021

34. SUMMARY
• More and more countries are lifting vaccine mandates.
• Supply chain continues to face many challenges.
• Immune and gene therapy continue to explore at different ways to treat diseases.
• Little has been said about the need for all levels of government to have better crisis and risk
management policies and procedures.
• WHO governance model needs to have more audits as part ensuring steps are taking to
mitigate future pandemics.
Blog – Geopolitical Risks and Threats – COVID and other Variants
covid19-weekly-monit
or.pdf
How employers are
maximizing health-care spending and wellness accounts Benefits Canada.com.pdf
Recent Article on
Hospital Prices Omits Many Key Points AHA News.pdf
As the pandemic
wanes, challenges abound for U.S. healthcare systems - MedCity News.pdf
COP15 Global GDP
could gain $140 trillion a year,.pdf
Who Warns Of New
Covid Variants; Says ‘can't Take Eyes Of The Virus’ Mint.pdf
What's needed for
cell and gene therapies to become the new standard of care .pdf
Merck's Keytruda
scores key NICE sign-off for first-line NSCLC indication Fierce Pharma.pdf
Geopolitical News
Analysis and Forecasting Geopolitical Monitor.pdf
Why are stocks
falling What you need to know about bear markets, stagflation and crypto chaos - MarketWatch.pdf
Opinion It’s time for
therapy to be included in Canada’s universal health care system - The Globe and Mail.pdf
Summary:
The world continues to face many challenges including the handling of future variants.
The stock market is heading for a bear market
Taming global inflations continues to be a challenge for governments around the world
1. Healthcare - https://www.benefitscanada.com/archives_/benefits-canada-archive/how-
employers-are-maximizing-health-care-spending-and-wellness-accounts/
2. Healthcare - https://www.aha.org/news/blog/2022-05-13-recent-article-hospital-prices-omits-
many-key-points
3. Healthcare - https://medcitynews.com/2022/05/as-the-pandemic-wanes-challenges-abound-
for-u-s-healthcare-systems/
4. GDP - https://ffnews.com/newsarticle/cop15-global-gdp-could-gain-140-trillion-a-year-if-we-
achieve-the-objectives-of-the-un-convention-to-combat-desertification/
5. Variants - https://www.livemint.com/news/world/who-warns-of-new-covid-variants-says-can-t-
take-eyes-of-the-virus-11652527134163.html
6. Gene Therapy -
https://www.scienceboard.net/index.aspx?sec=rca&sub=isct_2022&pag=dis&itemid=4263
7. Immune - https://www.fiercepharma.com/pharma/not-just-another-approval-for-merck-s-
keytruda-as-nice-signs-off-first-line-nsclc-indication
8. Geopolitical risks - https://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com/
9. Stagflation - https://www.marketwatch.com/story/bottom-or-bear-market-what-stock-market-
investors-need-to-know-about-stagflation-and-the-fed-11652524767
10. Mental Health - https://www.theglobeandmail.com/opinion/article-mental-health-care-
therapy-coverage/

35. TRAINING AND DEVELOPMENT
• If you like to learn more
about trade and/or other
subjects as part of your
professional learning, and
development then feel
free to review my material
on
https://www.udemy.com/
(search Paul Young CPA
CGA)
• These subjects address
how to fixed issues with
housing and/or systemic
issues related to economy
including government
policies