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Future Shock - Labor Force Displacement:
Knowledge workers, automation, Internet of Things, AIs, self service
kiosks and robots
Prepared for the IPMA
Rob Eby
Enterprise Infrastructure and Technology Architect
Enterprise Architecture Office Supervisor
Labor and Industries
May, 2016
Past
 Industrial Revolution: People were
cheap, technology was expensive and
scarce
Past
 Communications technology was
expensive and primitive. Special skills
and training were required
 Post Industrial: People are expensive,
technology is cheap and abundant
Present
 Communications technology is cheap,
disposable. Easy to use and purchase
Present
 Globalization: Where technology, world
labor and business collide. ‘The Fourth
Industrial Revolution’
Future
 Knowledge workers with multiple skill
sets combined with high tech tools
Future
 High tech materials, technology that
didn’t exist just a few years ago
Future
Factors
 Businesses competing with other
businesses, lowest cost possible
 Globalism - not a level playing field for
the worker – fierce competition
 Automation, Artificial Intelligence (AI),
Self service kiosks, ‘Internet of Things’
and …
Robots!!!
Factors
 Worker displacement via technology
 Communications technology is shrinking
the world – ‘tech without borders’
 New industries that haven’t been
created or in infancy using new
technology
GeoCommunications
Factors
 Staff to have a combination of multiple
skillsets and knowledge
 A Developer with robotics engineering
classes, CAD design background with a
science degree
 A Business Analyst with accounting
principles, global trade background with
a degree in Organizational Leadership
Education and Learning
Factors
 Technologies and trends will
integrate/blend into society.
Normalization will occur
 New jobs will be created but what’s the
replacement ratio?? 1:1, 1:20, 1:100??
 What are the uncharted factors?
opportunities …
Future Society
What to do?
 Research latest business and
technology trends – creative and
emotion jobs are hard to automate
 Staff from a ‘traditional worker’ to a
‘knowledge worker’ role with multiple
skillsets and disciplines
 Upgrade or obtain new knowledge and
skills. Look for the ‘competitive edge’
Nikola Tesla
What to do?
 Get out, walk around. Watch what
others are doing
 Networking is still important
 Make a plan…
 Then do it!!! Take that CAD design,
Organizational Leadership, business
process or robotics engineering class!!!
Thank You!
Contact: robert.eby@lni.wa.gov

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Future Shock - Labor Force Displacement IPMA May 2016

  • 1. Future Shock - Labor Force Displacement: Knowledge workers, automation, Internet of Things, AIs, self service kiosks and robots Prepared for the IPMA Rob Eby Enterprise Infrastructure and Technology Architect Enterprise Architecture Office Supervisor Labor and Industries May, 2016
  • 2. Past  Industrial Revolution: People were cheap, technology was expensive and scarce
  • 3. Past  Communications technology was expensive and primitive. Special skills and training were required
  • 4.  Post Industrial: People are expensive, technology is cheap and abundant Present
  • 5.  Communications technology is cheap, disposable. Easy to use and purchase Present
  • 6.  Globalization: Where technology, world labor and business collide. ‘The Fourth Industrial Revolution’ Future
  • 7.  Knowledge workers with multiple skill sets combined with high tech tools Future
  • 8.  High tech materials, technology that didn’t exist just a few years ago Future
  • 9. Factors  Businesses competing with other businesses, lowest cost possible  Globalism - not a level playing field for the worker – fierce competition  Automation, Artificial Intelligence (AI), Self service kiosks, ‘Internet of Things’ and …
  • 11. Factors  Worker displacement via technology  Communications technology is shrinking the world – ‘tech without borders’  New industries that haven’t been created or in infancy using new technology
  • 13. Factors  Staff to have a combination of multiple skillsets and knowledge  A Developer with robotics engineering classes, CAD design background with a science degree  A Business Analyst with accounting principles, global trade background with a degree in Organizational Leadership
  • 15. Factors  Technologies and trends will integrate/blend into society. Normalization will occur  New jobs will be created but what’s the replacement ratio?? 1:1, 1:20, 1:100??  What are the uncharted factors? opportunities …
  • 17. What to do?  Research latest business and technology trends – creative and emotion jobs are hard to automate  Staff from a ‘traditional worker’ to a ‘knowledge worker’ role with multiple skillsets and disciplines  Upgrade or obtain new knowledge and skills. Look for the ‘competitive edge’
  • 19. What to do?  Get out, walk around. Watch what others are doing  Networking is still important  Make a plan…  Then do it!!! Take that CAD design, Organizational Leadership, business process or robotics engineering class!!!

Editor's Notes

  1. Introductions, who I am, where do I work
  2. Left: Ford assembly plant 1920s; Center: Car assembly plant; 1920s Right: Car assembly plant, GM 1967 Camaro
  3. Left: Telegraph operator civil war reenactment, telegraph key (get for keyboard); Center: phone operators early 1900s Right: Early wireless radio, frequency
  4. Left: Amazon robots on tracks; Center: GM assembly plant 2014 Camaro; Right: 3D printer for about $700 printing multiple parts not needing hand assembly
  5. Left: Car systems and entertainment; Disposable Trac phone under $50 get from a automated kiosk at a cheap price then when done recycle the product at automated kiosk
  6. Left: Global call center, you order your house; Center: Drafter designs your house; Right: 3D printer using concrete to build your house
  7. Left: Wearable computer on eye; cell phone with slide out keyboard projecting screen on wall; integrated transparent systems linked to Internet of Things
  8. Left: ALON –Transparent Aluminum from Surmet, Nanotubes, carbon fiber 3D printer filament, NASA quantum computer chip, QuBit – Schumuacher compression- a bit both zero and 1/ off and on
  9. Left: Warbots, Humanoids, assembly robots, drones, robots assisting humans… robots in labor (top banner), HAL 9000 running the infrastructure (top left).. Note: 12 robots including HAL and drone and 5 humans on this slide
  10. High speed GeoCommunications without borders
  11. Multi-pathing in the education system, multi facet integration, pathways to multiple skill sets, elements and disciplines
  12. Robots and machines working and living together with humans circa 2030s
  13. Nikola Tesla, Inventor, Engineer, Futurist, humanitarian, wireless AC lighting and electricity via Tesla coil
  14. We’ve explored labor force displacements via technology, some factors and solutions, you have some homework. Research and dig into the coming trends and technologies, educate and mentor staff, family and friends