This presentation was prepared and presented for the "future Study Committee of Digital Health" on the Iran Health Ministry. This event was held on June 19th 2018.

1. Masoud Zamani
Future of Digital Health

2. Lessons from History

4. 66 Millions years ago…

5. 420
‫زتاژول‬
!!!!

6. Mementos from
Paper and chemistry

7. 1878
George Eastman
Eastman Dry Plate

8. Weight: 5 Kg
0.01 MP
24-36 B/W Photos

10. Bad News

11. Large parts of our understanding of world
made by trends and facts that in the near
future would not be the same…
Bad News

12. Heavier than air flying machines impossible…
Lord Kelvin , 1880

13. I think there is a world market for maybe five computers.
Thomas Watson, president of IBM, 1943

14. Who the hell wants to hear actors talk?
Harry Warner,
Warner Brothers, 1927.

15. It will be years, not in my time, before a woman will become Prime Minister.
Margaret Thatcher, 1974

17. Biased Thinking

18. Biased
Thinking

20. ‫نمایی‬ ‫دنیای‬
Exponential World

21. 2017
Approx. 1 Minute
2015
Approx. 3 Minutes
2013
Each 10 Minutes
2010
Each 2 days
2003
5 Exobytes = 5 Billion Gigabytes

22. Moore’s Law
Exponential
Growth
Independent
of side events

23. Previous World
(
Local & Linear
)
Todays World:
(
Global & Exponential
)

24. Linear & Exponential

25. 30 Steps
1,073,741,824
26 times
around
the
WORLD!

26. 40,000$ (2017) – 65$ (2018)
3D Printers
615 times in 10 Years
Plastics, Glass, Titanium and Cells!

27. 500,000$ (2008) – 12,000$ (2018)
Robots
42 time in 10 years

28. 100,000$ (2007) – 150$ (2018)
Drones
660 times in 11 Years

29. Until 2020 more than 92% of enterprises will take
their IT process to cloud.
Iaas , PaaS, SaaS

30. 20,000$ (2009) – 80$ (2017)
Sensors( 3D LIDAR)
250 times in 8 years

31. 4,000$ (2006) – 35$ (2017)
Neurotech
110 times in 10 years
NeuroSky
Emotiv

32. Production cost will be 90% less in 2020
Nanotechnology
(Graphene)
Most expensive Material ever!
100,000,000 $/cm2
350 $/cm2

33. 10,000,000$ (2007) – 130$ (2017)
Biotechnology
(
DNA Sequencing
)
50,000 times in 10 years!!!

34. Even beats the
Moore's Law…

35. 30$ for 1kWH (1984)
0.11$ for 1kWH (2018)
Solar Energy
250 times in 33 years

36. Energy
80 Minutes of Sun’s Energy is enough for world
Solar cells efficiency is twofold every year
In Less than 14 Years total
energy of world will come
from Sun.
Perovskite

37. 19 Billion transistors
21 Millions transistors

40. Solar Energy
0.04 for a kWH
perovskite
Smart Grid
In the last 20 years, the
cost of batteries has
been 10 times lower
and their power has
doubled.
Batteries
Tesla
Panasonic
Wind Energy
AI
IoE
Advanced Materials
0.03$ for a kWH

41. "The Stone Age did not end for lack of stone,
and the Oil Age will end long before the world
runs out of oil"
Sheikh Zaki Yamani

43. 6 D’s of
Exponential
Technologies

44. Digitized
‫شدن‬ ‫دیجیتالی‬
Democratize
‫شد‬ ‫دموکراتیزه‬
‫ن‬
Dematerilize
‫دادن‬ ‫دست‬ ‫از‬
‫مادی‬ ‫هویت‬
Demonetize
‫شدن‬ ‫زدایی‬‫پول‬
Disruptive
‫زننده‬ ‫برهم‬
‫شدن‬
Deceptive
‫شدن‬ ‫فریبنده‬

46. Our friends
Our Teachers
Our fathers
Our doctors
Our board of
directors
Our managers
Our politicians
Our government
All the
technologies
Tension /
Opportunity
caused by
Disruption
It’s up to us...

47. ‫از‬ ‫کارها‬ ‫و‬ ‫کسب‬ ‫بودن‬ ‫رقابتی‬ ‫عمر‬ ‫میانگین‬
30
‫سال‬
‫سال‬ ‫در‬
1984
‫به‬
4.5
‫سال‬
‫سال‬ ‫در‬
2016
‫است‬ ‫یافته‬ ‫تقلیل‬
90
‫درصد‬
‫های‬‫شرکت‬ ‫از‬
Fortune 500
‫سال‬ ‫در‬
1995
‫لیست‬ ‫در‬ ‫دیگر‬
2015
‫ندارند‬ ‫حضور‬
‫های‬‫شرکت‬ ‫میانگین‬ ‫عمر‬ ‫دوره‬
S&P 500
‫از‬
67
‫سال‬
‫در‬
1920
‫به‬
15
‫سال‬
‫است‬ ‫یافته‬ ‫تقلیل‬
‫در‬
10
‫سال‬
‫آینده‬
40
‫درصد‬
‫های‬‫شرکت‬
S&P
500
‫شد‬ ‫خواهند‬ ‫حذف‬ ‫لیست‬ ‫این‬ ‫از‬
.

48. Future of Health
Healthcare or Illnesscare
Healthcare or Sickcare

49. Dead people teach the living ones…

50. Technology teach the living ones…

51. Do not use the Old Maps

52. ‫تطبیق‬‫و‬‫تغییر‬،‫نوآوری‬
...

53. Artificial
Intelligence

54. Cloud Connected and for everyone…
Just ask the right Question.
AI

58. Jarvis

59. Sensors (IoE)

63. Everyone, always, everywhere
Connected to network

64. AR / VR / MR

65. Microsoft HoloLens

67. Genomics

68. Genomics Revelotion
Reading
Writing
Editing (Hacking!!)

69. CRISPR

70. 3D & 4D Printing

71. Robotics

73. UW’s Raven II robot
Ender’s Game

74. Neurotechnology

75. China Brain Project
Google Brain

76. Converging Technologies
Cognitive Science

77. Machine Learning / Deep Learning

79. Startups

80. Wind of Change…
Customized
Diagnostics
Customized
Medicine
Customized
Care

81. Changes in Ecosystem
Hospitals and Medical centers
Drugstores
Skill and Job revolution
Relation of physician/patient/nurse
New Players from other sectors
So many other thing that I don’t know

82. Earth Sun
Physician patient
Sun Earth
Patient Experts

83. ‫منزل‬ ‫در‬
21
%
‫مطب‬ ‫در‬
2
%
‫بیمارستان‬ ‫در‬
10
%
‫جا‬‫همه‬
!
67
%
‫در‬ ‫درمانی‬ ‫و‬ ‫بهداشتی‬ ‫خدمات‬ ‫ارائه‬ ‫محل‬
10
‫آینده‬ ‫سال‬

84. ‫آموزش‬‫در‬‫تغییرات‬
‫های‬‫سرفصل‬
‫آموزشی‬ ‫نوین‬
‫نوین‬ ‫های‬‫مهارت‬ ‫نوین‬ ‫های‬‫کالس‬ ‫نوین‬ ‫های‬‫پلتفرم‬

85. Learning without BORDER

86. …I realized that my beloved
profession was being turned upside
down by technology.

87. Technologica
l Innovations

88. EHR Adoption

89. http://dbmi.hms.harvard.edu/person/faculty/zak-kohane
Complexity of
gathering and
organizing just
Hospital Data

90. Vast amount of data
generated outside of
hospitals.
Nutritions
Living place
Habits
Sweating
Sleep
Movements
and activities
Contaminations
Food
Feces
Pains
...
And unfortunately we don’t
know how to sum it up and
analyze it!

91. Vision Skills Incentives Resources
Action
Plan
‫تحول‬
Vision Skills Incentives Resources
Action
Plan
Confusion
Vision Skills Incentives Resources
Action
Plan
Anxiety
Vision Skills Incentives Resources Action Plan Resistance
Vision Skills Incentives Resources Action Plan Frustration
Vision Skills Incentives Resources
Action
Plan
False
Starts
Change
Management
Knoster Model for Managing Complex Change

93. Patrick Soon-Shiong
Healthcare Transformation Institute (HTI)

94. The digitization strategy does not mean
digitizing our current work.
Digitization means rebuilding everything from scratch.

97. Technology is Just a Tool,
Not our Goal…

98. Uber Yourself, before
getting Kodak’ed…

99. Thanks

100. Karanjoo.com

101. @masoud_zamani
https://telegram.me/MasoudSharings
http://masoudz.com
https://ir.linkedin.com/in/masoudz