Recently, I began thinking about the rapidity of technological progress. After researching where we currently are technologically I discovered many things that truly amaze me.
2. 3D PRINTING & SCANNING
Desktop Manufacturing
Tools
Eyeglass Frames
Coffee Cups
Yarn
Moving Parts
Food
Etc…
Medicine*
Organs
Models (neurons, living tumors, etc.)
Construction
Homes (10 per day) and more…
3. INTERNET OF THINGS (IOT)
Lamps
Thermostats
Appliances
Vehicles
Garage Door Openers
Baby Blankets
Arduino
IFTTT
Belkin WeMo
Nest
SmartThings
Jawbone*
Philips Hue
Samsung
4. VIRTUAL & AUGMENTED REALITY (VR/AR)
Google Glass/Cardboard
PlayStation VR
Microsoft HoloLens
Oculus Rift
HTC Vive
Audio
OLED
Windows
Displays
Virtual Keyboards
5. NEW MATERIALS
Graphene / Carbon Nanotubes = Nanotech
One Atom Thick Yet 2000x Stronger Than Steel
Ideal Semiconductor (better than silicon)
Transparent, Conductive, & Flexible
Advanced Battery Technology
Advanced Solar Technology
Advanced Display Technology
Quantum Properties
6. SOLAR ENERGY & BATTERY TECHNOLOGY
Silicon solar cell technology has been maxed out
for 15yrs at 25% efficiency
Soon perovskite cells will be way more efficient
New materials used in battery technology
Sodium
Aluminum
Zinc
7. MORE NEW MATERIALS
Metamaterials = Cloaking Tech
Materials With Properties Not Found In Nature
Negative Refraction
Quantum Properties
Nano-gecko-adhesive (4x4” supports 660lbs.)
Aerogel = Light, Insulating & Strong
Melts @ 1292 F / 39x More Insulating (than fiberglass) / Support
2000x It’s Own Weight
8. MILITARY TECHNOLOGY
Directed Energy Weapons
LaWS (Laser Weapon System)
100kW? = CLASSIFIED
Range / Firing Rate = CLASSIFIED
Railguns
23lb? to Mach 7.5 = 5000mph
200mi Range? / Firing Rate = CLASSIFIED
Kinetic Energy (33+ Megajoules = CLASSIFIED)
Robots
Air, Land & Sea Based
Atlas
Exoskeletons
Autonomous*
Ethics?
Robots May Replace ¼ Of U.S. Combat Soldiers By 2030 – Gen. Robert Cone (doctrine)
http://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2011/12/drone-ethics-briefing-what-a-leading-robot-expert-told-the-
cia/250060/
9. ROBOTS
Bionics
Drones (much more than Amazon)
Artificial Intelligence (AI)*
Next Gen AI = Autonomy
Self-Driving Vehicles (2020)
Atlas
Baxter
Jibo
NASA’s Robonaut
IBM's Watson
The Singularity!
Kurzweil – 2029/2045
Moore’s Law
Nearly half of American jobs today could be automated in "a decade or two," according to new research. The
question is: Which half?
http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2014/01/what-jobs-will-the-robots-take/283239/
10. THE SINGULARITY
Ray Kurzweil
Seven Books / The Singularity Is Near
A point in the future (2045), when a greater-than-human intelligence irreversibly changes the
arc of humanity's future. The theory predicts an artificially intelligent machine that's so smart,
people cannot even comprehend its abilities. Some call this, “our final invention,” and say it will
be the harbinger of “the post-Human era.”
Invented Flatbed Scanner
Invented Optical Character Recognition (OCR)
Invented Text-To-Speech & Print To Speech Synthesizers
Invented Piano Synthesizer
Awarded National Medal Of Technology By Pres. Clinton
20 Honorary Doctorates
PBS Selected Him As One Of 16 “Revolutionaries Who Made
America” For His Work In Pattern Recognition (AI)
A prodigy from Queens created hardware and software to help blind people read and
musicians make music. His inventions, writings, and influential thinking have explored and
exploited technology in many ways, and helped shape ongoing work in artificial intelligence.
Currently Director Of Engineering @ Google
11. QUANTUM COMPUTING
Entanglement / Superposition (Einstein’s, “Spooky Action”)
Faster Than Light
Indeterminate State
Qbits
D-Wave Systems
Schrodinger’s Cat: If you put a cat in a box, add poison gas activated by the decay of a radioactive atom and
seal the box, it is impossible to determine the state of the cat until the box is opened. Until opening the cat is in a
state of superposition, both dead and alive at once.
http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2013/08/130812-physics-schrodinger-erwin-google-doodle-cat-paradox-
science/
Editor's Notes
Hello everyone / We live in amazing times
Tipping point: have we reached the knee of the curve? Moore's Law
Timeframes until maturity: 3-5yrs / 10-15yrs / 25-30yrs / Lots of overlap
Our first step into the future
Presentation centers on electronics technology / Medicine = whole presentation by itself: cryonics, nanotech, genetics, synthetic biology / DNA = software
Scenarios: Turn onto your street and your garage door automatically opens, then your heat or AC kicks in, and your door unlocks. Step through the door and the lights and music turn on.
Or, your wake alarm goes off and triggers heat, lights and coffee pot to start. When you turn the coffee pot off your car starts, etc…
Also, quantified self
Eureka! Carbon nano-materials / Carbon is the only element that can form a molecule with itself
Moore's Law maxes out in 2020
Next gen electronics tech / Wearable tech / Physics Nobel Prize 2010 / EU allocated $670 million for research / Strongest substance known to Man / Space elevator
DARPA / Anything that propagates as a wave can be cloaked / Repeating metallic nano structures resonate at certain wavelengths
Aerogel: Lightest solid known to Man / Oil spill cleanup / $23k per pound to manufacture
Also self-healing materials
DARPA mandate: create & prevent strategic surprise / Laser cannon = Directed energy weapon / Magnetic firing
It was SHOCKING to discover what our current level of robotics & AI is / Autonomous convoys by 2025
Autonomous drones patrol Korean DMZ
Also Navy now has ability to convert water to fuel by separating hydrogen
DEKA arm, Second Sight, & ReWalk / Hospital, farm, & security drones / Google car (700k+ mi w/o crash) now recognizes cyclists hand signals / LIDAR, GPS, algorithms, machine learning (pattern recognition) / Baxter is what a PC is to a mainframe for robotics
AI’s current problem: “Time Flies Like an Arrow; Fruit Flies Like a Banana”
Around 2025 we will fully reverse engineer the Human brain while at the same time processing power = human brain / Intersection of this knowledge and our level of AI at that time will usher in the Technological Singularity - Theory
His predictions have been 86% correct over the last 30yrs / Moore’s Law / During the 21st Century we won't experience 100yrs of tech progress but 20k yrs! / Progress seems slower than it is (exponential curve). Human Genome Project had 15yr goal. By about 10th year had around 10% mapped, remainder all in last 3yrs (done in 13) / We will have 40yrs of progress in the next 10yrs, 140 in 15yrs (2029)
The Singularity Is Near (2005) / How To Create a Mind (2012)
Many scientists insist this will happen, 50% say by 2050 / Colleges offering courses so at least a few people won't be blindsided
Concerns: Hawking, Joy, Kaczinski (pets to bots), etc... / "Great Filter?"
Parrellelism / Optimization problems (traveling salesman) / NASA-Google & USC-Lockheed / Researchers discovered that consciousness is quantum based (neurons) / Also neuromorphic & photonic processors
Arthur C. Clarke once said that, "any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic." The future will be far more surprising than most people realize. Thank you for coming!