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Fundamental Analysis 2
Dr Venkatesh Karthikeyan
Content
• Financial ratios
• Categories of Financial ratios
• Generating stock ideas
• The Due diligence – Checklist
• Equity Research
Financial Ratios
• The best way to analyze the financial
statements is by studying the ‘Financial Ratios’
• Financial ratios help in interpreting the results,
and allows comparison with previous years
and other companies in the same industry.
Financial Ratios
• Financial Ratios on its own is quite mute.
• The ratio makes sense only when you
compare the ratio with another company of a
similar size or when you look into the trend of
the financial ratio.
Categories of Financial Ratios
1. Profitability Ratios
2. Leverage Ratios
3. Valuation Ratios
4. Operating Ratios
Categories of Financial Ratios
Profitability Ratio
• The Profitability ratios help the analyst
measure the profitability of the company.
• The ratios convey how well the company is
able to perform in terms of generating profits.
Categories of Financial Ratios
Leverage Ratio
• AKA solvency ratios/ gearing ratios
• It measures the company’s ability (in the long
term) to sustain its day to day operations.
• It measures the extent to which the company
uses the debt to finance growth.
• Solvency ratios help us understand the
company’s long term sustainability, keeping its
obligation in perspective.
Categories of Financial Ratios
Valuation Ratio
• It compares the stock price of the company
with either the profitability of the company or
the overall value of company to get a sense of
how cheap or expensive the stock is trading.
• It compares the cost of a security with the
perks of owning the stock.
Categories of Financial Ratios
Valuation Ratio
• AKA ‘Activity Ratios’/ Management ratios -
measures the efficiency at which a business
can convert its assets (both current and non
current) into revenues.
• This ratio helps us understand how efficient
the management of the company is.
Categories of Financial Ratios
Profitability Ratio
1. EBITDA Margin (Operating Profit Margin)
• EBITDA Growth (CAGR)
2. PAT Margin
• PAT Growth (CAGR)
3. Return on Equity (ROE)
4. Return on Asset (ROA)
5. Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
Categories of Financial Ratios
Profitability Ratio
EBITDA
• The Earnings before Interest Tax Depreciation
& Amortization (EBITDA) Margin
• It indicates the efficiency of the management.
And how efficient the company’s operating
model is.
• EBITDA margin tells us how profitable the
company is at an operating level
Categories of Financial Ratios
Profitability Ratio
EBITDA
• What does an EBITDA of Rs.560 Crs and an EBITDA
margin of 16.3% indicate? (Operating revenue = 3436
crores)
• An EBITDA of Rs.560 Crs means that the company has
retained Rs.560 Crs from its operating revenue of
Rs.3436 Crs. This also means out of Rs.3436 Crs the
company spent Rs.2876 Crs towards its expenses.
• In percentage terms, the company spent 83.7% of its
revenue towards its expenses and retained 16.3% of
the revenue at the operating level, for its operations.
Categories of Financial Ratios
Profitability Ratio
EBITDA
• EBITDA margin is increasing means that this is
a good sign as it shows consistency and
efficiency in the management’s operational
capabilities
Categories of Financial Ratios
Profitability Ratio
PAT
• Profit After Tax (PAT) margin is calculated at
the final profitability level.
• When we calculate the PAT margin, all
expenses are deducted from the Total
Revenues of the company to identify the
overall profitability of the company.
Categories of Financial Ratios
Profitability Ratio
ROE
• Return on Equity (RoE) - helps the investor
assess the return the shareholder earns for
every unit of capital invested.
• RoE measures the entity’s ability to generate
profits from the shareholders investments.
• A higher ROE indicates a higher level of
management performance.
• A high RoE is great, but certainly not at the
cost of high debt
Categories of Financial Ratios
Profitability Ratio
ROA
• Return on Assets (RoA) - evaluates the
effectiveness of the entity’s ability to use the
assets to create profits.
• A well managed entity limits investments in
non productive assets.
• Hence RoA indicates the management’s
efficiency at deploying its assets.
• Higher the RoA, the better it is.
Categories of Financial Ratios
Profitability Ratio
ROCE
• Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
• Indicates the profitability of the company
taking into consideration the overall capital it
employs.
• Overall capital includes both equity and debt
(both long term and short term).
Categories of Financial Ratios
Leverage Ratio
• It measures the extent to which the company
uses the debt to finance growth.
• there is a very thin line that separates the
good and the bad debt.
• Leverage ratios mainly deal with the overall
extent of the company’s debt, and help us
understand the company’s financial leverage
better.
Categories of Financial Ratios
Leverage Ratio
1. Interest Coverage Ratio
2. Debt to Equity Ratio
3. Debt to Asset Ratio
4. Financial Leverage Ratio
Categories of Financial Ratios
Leverage Ratio
Interest Coverage Ratio
• AKA debt service ratio or the debt service
coverage ratio
• This ratio helps us interpret how easily a
company can pay its interest payments
• However a low interest coverage ratio could
mean a higher debt burden and a greater
possibility of bankruptcy or default.
Categories of Financial Ratios
Leverage Ratio
Debt to Equity Ratio
• It measures the amount of the total debt
capital with respect to the total equity capital.
• A value of 1 on this ratio indicates an equal
amount of debt and equity capital.
• Higher debt to equity (more than 1) indicates
higher leverage and hence one needs to be
careful.
Categories of Financial Ratios
Leverage Ratio
Debt to Asset Ratio
• It conveys to us how much of the total assets
are financed through debt capital.
• Higher the percentage , the more concerned
the investor would be as it indicates higher
leverage and risk.
Categories of Financial Ratios
Leverage Ratio
Financial Leverage Ratio
• The financial leverage ratio gives us an
indication, to what extent the assets are
supported by equity.
• The formula to calculate the Financial
Leverage Ratio is = Average Total Asset /
Average Total Equity
• Higher the number, higher is the company’s
leverage and the more careful the investor
needs to be.
Categories of Financial Ratios
1. Profitability Ratios
2. Leverage Ratios
3. Operating Ratios
4. Valuation Ratios
Categories of Financial Ratios
Operating Ratio
• AKA ‘Activity ratios’ or ‘Management ratios’
• Indicate the efficiency of the company’s
operational activity.
• Reveal the management’s efficiency as well.
• These ratios are called the Asset Management
Ratios, as these ratios indicate the efficiency
with which the assets of the company are
utilized
Categories of Financial Ratios
Operating Ratios
1. Fixed Assets Turnover Ratio
2. Working Capital Turnover Ratio
3. Total Assets Turnover Ratio
4. Inventory Turnover Ratio
5. Inventory Number of Days
6. Receivable Turnover Ratio
7. Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)
Categories of Financial Ratios
Operating Ratios
Fixed assets turnover
• The ratio measures the extent of the revenue
generated in comparison to its investment in
fixed assets.
• It tells us how effectively the company uses its
plant and equipment.
• Higher the ratio, it means the company is
effectively and efficiently managing its fixed
assets.
Categories of Financial Ratios
Operating Ratios
Working Capital turnover
• Working capital refers to the capital required
by the firm to run its day to day operations
• Working Capital = Current Assets – Current
Liabilities
• If the working capital is negative, it means the
company has a working capital deficit.
• Usually if the company has a working capital
deficit, they seek a working capital loan from
their bankers.
Categories of Financial Ratios
Operating Ratios
Total Assets Turnover
• It indicates the company’s capability to
generate revenues with the given amount of
assets.
• Here the assets include both the fixed assets
as well as current assets.
• Total Asset Turnover = Operating Revenue /
Average Total Assets
Categories of Financial Ratios
Operating Ratios
Inventory Turnover Ratio
• Inventory refers to the finished goods that a
company maintains in its store or showroom
• If a company is selling popular products, then the
goods in the inventory gets cleared rapidly, and
the company has to replenish the inventory time
and again. This is called the ‘Inventory turnover’.
• Inventory Turnover = [Cost of Goods Sold /
Average Inventory]
• Tells us how many times the company
‘replenishes’ their inventory
Categories of Financial Ratios
Operating Ratios
Inventory Number of days
• Gives a sense of how much time the company
takes to convert its inventory into cash.
• Lesser the number of days, the better it is.
• A short inventory number of day’s number
implies, the company’s products are fast
moving
Categories of Financial Ratios
Operating Ratios
Inventory Number of days
• High inventory turnover ratio signifies that the
company is replenishing its inventory quickly, which is
excellent.
• Along with the high inventory turnover, a low inventory
number of days indicate that the company is quickly
able to convert its goods into cash.
• Again, this is a sign of great inventory management.
• Whenever you see impressive inventory numbers,
always ensure to double check the production details
as well.
Categories of Financial Ratios
Operating Ratios
Accounts Receivable Turnover Ratio
• Tells how many times in a given period the
company receives money/cash from its
debtors and customers.
• Naturally a high number indicates that the
company collects cash more frequently.
Categories of Financial Ratios
Operating Ratios
Days Sales Outstanding
• AKA Average Collection Period orDay Sales in
Receivables
• Illustrates the average cash collection period
i.e the time lag between billing and collection.
• This calculation shows the efficiency of the
company’s collection department.
• Quicker/faster the cash is collected from the
creditors, faster the cash can be used for other
activities.
Categories of Financial Ratios
1. Profitability Ratios
2. Leverage Ratios
3. Operating Ratios
4. Valuation Ratios
Categories of Financial Ratios
Valuation Ratios
• Valuations dictate the price you pay to acquire
a business.
• Sometimes, a mediocre business at a
ridiculously cheap valuation may be a great
investment option as opposed to an exciting
business with an extremely high valuation.
Categories of Financial Ratios
Valuation Ratios
• The valuation ratios help us develop a sense
on how the stock price is valued by the market
participants.
• These ratios help us understand the
attractiveness of the stock price from an
investment perspective.
Categories of Financial Ratios
Valuation Ratios
1. Price to Sales (P/S) Ratio
2. Price to Book Value (P/BV) Ratio and
3. Price to Earnings (P/E) Ratio
Categories of Financial Ratios
Valuation Ratios
Price to Sales (P/S) Ratio
• Price to sales ratio = Current Share Price /
Sales per Share
• Sales per share = Total Revenues / Total
number of shares
• Higher the P/S ratio, higher is the valuation of
the firm.
• One has to compare the P/S ratio with its
competitors in the industry to get a fair sense
of how expensive or cheap the stock is.
Categories of Financial Ratios
Valuation Ratios
Price to Book Value (P/BV) Ratio
• “Book Value” of a firm is simply the amount of
money left on table after the company pays
off its obligations.
• Usually the book value is expressed on a per
share basis.
• For example, if the book value per share is
Rs.60, then Rs.60 per share is what the
shareholder can expect in case the company
decides to liquidate.
Categories of Financial Ratios
Valuation Ratios
Price to Book Value (P/BV) Ratio
• If we divide the current market price of the stock
by the book value per share, we will get the price
to the book value of the firm.
• The P/BV indicates how many times the stock is
trading over and above the book value of the
firm.
• Clearly the higher the ratio, the more expensive
the stock is.
• A high ratio could indicate the firm is overvalued
relative to the equity/ book value of the company
Categories of Financial Ratios
Valuation Ratios
Price to Earning Ratio
• AKA ‘Financial ratio superstar’.
• Calculated by dividing the current stock price
by the Earning Per share(EPS).
• EPS measures the profitability of a company
on a per share basis.
Categories of Financial Ratios
Valuation Ratios
Price to Earning Ratio
• Measures the willingness of the market
participants to pay for the stock, for every
rupee of profit that the company generates.
• For example if the P/E of a certain firm is 15,
then it simply means that for every unit of
profit the company earns, the market
participants are willing to pay 15 times.
Categories of Financial Ratios
Valuation Ratios
Price to Earning Ratio
• P/E indicates how expensive or cheap the
stock is trading at. Never buy stocks that are
trading at high valuations.
• Do not like to buy stocks that are trading
beyond 25 or at the most 30 times its
earnings, irrespective of the company and the
sector it belongs to.
• The denominator in P/E ratio is the ‘Earnings’,
and the earnings can be manipulated
Categories of Financial Ratios
Valuation Ratios
Price to Earning Ratio
• Make sure the company is not changing its
accounting policy too often – this is one of the
ways the company tries to manipulate its
earnings.
• Pay attention to the way depreciation is treated.
Provision for lesser depreciation can boost
earnings
• If the company’s earnings are increasing but not
its cash flows and sales, then clearly something is
not right
Categories of Financial Ratios
Valuation Ratios
Index valuation
• Just like a stock, the stock market indices such
as the BSE Sensex and the CNX Nifty 50 have
their valuations which can be measured by the
P/E ,P/B and Dividend Yield ratios.
• The Index valuation is usually published by the
stock exchanges on a daily basis.
• The index valuations give us a sense of how
cheap or expensive the market is trading at.
Categories of Financial Ratios
Valuation Ratios
Index valuation
• One has to be cautious while investing in
stocks when the market’s P/E valuations is
above 22x
• Historically the best time to invest in the
markets is when the valuations are around
16x or below.
• Find out Index P/E valuation on a daily basis
by visiting the National Stock Exchange (NSE)
website.
Generating stock idea
• The process of investing requires us to first
select a stock that looks interesting.
• After selecting the stock we must subject it to
the checklist (Created by our own) to figure
out if the stock matches all the checklist
criteria, if it does we invest, else we look for
other opportunities
Generating stock idea
Selection done on the basis of
• General observation
• Stock screener
• Macro trends
• Sectoral trends
• Special situation
• Circle of competence
Generating stock idea
General observation
• Keep your eyes and ears open and observe the
economic activity around you.
• Observe what people are buying and selling,
see what products are being consumed, keep
an eye on the neighborhood to see what
people are talking about.
Generating stock idea
Stock screener
• Stock screener helps to screen for stocks
based on the parameters you define and
therefore helps investors perform quality
stock analysis.
• Very helpful tool when you want to shortlist a
handful of investment ideas from a big basket
of stocks
• E.g : Google finance’s stock screener and
screener.in.
Generating stock idea
Macro Trends
• Keeping a general tab on the macroeconomic
trend is a great way of identifying good stocks.
• Example : Currently India is preferring
infrastructure projects – consider buying
cement stocks
Generating stock idea
Sectoral Trends
• One needs to track sectors to identify
emerging trends and companies within the
sector that can benefit from it
• Example : Non alcoholic beverages market –
tea, coffee, water --> energy drink
Generating stock idea
Special Situation
• One has to follow companies, company
related news, company events etc to generate
an idea based on special situation.
Generating stock idea
Circle of Competence
• This method requires you to identify stocks
within your professional domain.
• For example, if you are a medical professional
your circle of competence would be the
healthcare industry.
Investment due diligence
• After selecting a stock, one has to run the
checklist to investigate the stock further. This
is called the “Investment due diligence”.
• The due diligence process is very critical and
one has to ensure maximum attention is paid
to each and every aspect of this exercise.
Economic moat
• Refers to the company’s competitive
advantage (over its competitors).
• A company with a strong moat, ensures the
company’s long term profits are safeguarded.
• Always invest in companies which have wider
economic moats.
The Due Diligence - Stages
1. Understanding the business – requires
reading the annual reports
2. Application of the checklist
3. Valuation – to estimate the intrinsic value of
the business – done by “Discounted Cash
Flow (DCF) Analysis”.
The Due Diligence – The checklist
The Due Diligence – The checklist
Equity Research
Steps
1. Understanding the Business
2. Application of the checklist
3. Intrinsic Value estimation (Valuation) to
understand the fair price of the stock
Equity Research
Step 1 – Understanding the business
• During bear markets, the prices react and not the
business fundamentals
• Study at least the last 5 year annual report to understand
how the company is evolving across business cycles
• Stage 1 of equity research i.e Understanding the
business/company takes about 15 hours.
• After going through this process, try to summarize your
thoughts on a single sheet of paper which would encapsulate
all the important things that you have discovered about the
company.
Equity Research
Step 2 – Application of checklist
• Company may differ but the equity research framework
remains the same.
• This step help us comprehend the numbers and actually
evaluate if both the nature of the business and the
financial performance of the business complement each
other.
Equity Research
Step 2 – Application of checklist
• Prefer to invest in companies that are growing (Revenue and PAT)
over and above 15% on a CAGR(Compounded Annual Growth
Rate) basis
• The EPS (Earnings Per Share) and PAT (Profit After Tax) growing at
a similar rate indicates that the company is not diluting the earnings
by issuing new shares, which is good for the existing shareholders.
One can think of this as a reflection of the company’s management’s
capabilities.
• The checklist mandates a minimum GPM (Gross Profit Margin) of 20%.
• One of the most important line item that we need to look at on the
Balance Sheet is the Debt. An increasingly high level of debt indicates a
high degree of financial leverag
Equity Research
Step 2 – Application of checklist
• Return on Equity (ROE) measures in percentage the
return generated by the company keeping the
shareholders equity in perspective
• ROE measures how successful the promoters of the
company are for having invested their own funds in
the company
• Invest in companies that have a ROE of over 20%.
Equity Research
Step 3 – DCF Model
• Stage 3 deals with the stock price valuation.
• The price of a stock can be estimated by a valuation
technique.
• Valuation per say helps you determine the ‘intrinsic
value’ of the company.
• We use a valuation technique called the “Discounted
Cash Flow (DCF)” method to calculate the intrinsic
value of the company.
• The intrinsic value as per the DCF method is the
evaluation of the ‘perceived stock price’ of a company,
keeping all the future cash flows in perspective.
Equity Research
Step 3 – DCF Model
• Time value of money plays an extremely crucial role
in finance.
• Future Value of money is the estimation of the value
of money we have today at some point in the future
• Present value of money is the estimation of the value
of money receivable in the future in terms of value
• The Net Present Value (NPV) of money is the sum of
all the present values of the future cash flows
Equity Research
Step 3 – DCF Model
• The free cash flow is basically the excess operating cash that
the company generates after accounting for capital
expenditures such as buying land, building and equipment
• The mark of a healthy business eventually depends on how
much free cash it can generate.
• FCF = Cash from Operating Activities – Capital Expenditures
• The best way to predict the future free cash flow is by
estimating the historical average free cash flow and then
sequentially growing the free cash flow by a certain rate.
Equity Research
Step 3 – DCF Model
• The rate at which the free cash flow grows
beyond 10 years (2024 onwards) is called the
Terminal Growth .
• Usually the terminal growth rate is considered
to be less than 5%.
Equity Research
Step 3 – DCF Model – Share price
• Net Debt = Current Year Total Debt – Cash &
Cash Balance
• A negative sign indicates that the company has
more cash than debt.
• Share Price = Total Present Value
of Free Cash flow / Total Number of
shares
Equity Research
Step 3 – DCF Model – Share price
• If the stock price is below the lower intrinsic
value band, then we consider the stock to be
undervalued, hence one should look at buying
the stock
Reference:
zerodha.com/varsity

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Fundamental analysis of stock market - 2

  • 1. Fundamental Analysis 2 Dr Venkatesh Karthikeyan
  • 2. Content • Financial ratios • Categories of Financial ratios • Generating stock ideas • The Due diligence – Checklist • Equity Research
  • 3. Financial Ratios • The best way to analyze the financial statements is by studying the ‘Financial Ratios’ • Financial ratios help in interpreting the results, and allows comparison with previous years and other companies in the same industry.
  • 4. Financial Ratios • Financial Ratios on its own is quite mute. • The ratio makes sense only when you compare the ratio with another company of a similar size or when you look into the trend of the financial ratio.
  • 5. Categories of Financial Ratios 1. Profitability Ratios 2. Leverage Ratios 3. Valuation Ratios 4. Operating Ratios
  • 6. Categories of Financial Ratios Profitability Ratio • The Profitability ratios help the analyst measure the profitability of the company. • The ratios convey how well the company is able to perform in terms of generating profits.
  • 7. Categories of Financial Ratios Leverage Ratio • AKA solvency ratios/ gearing ratios • It measures the company’s ability (in the long term) to sustain its day to day operations. • It measures the extent to which the company uses the debt to finance growth. • Solvency ratios help us understand the company’s long term sustainability, keeping its obligation in perspective.
  • 8. Categories of Financial Ratios Valuation Ratio • It compares the stock price of the company with either the profitability of the company or the overall value of company to get a sense of how cheap or expensive the stock is trading. • It compares the cost of a security with the perks of owning the stock.
  • 9. Categories of Financial Ratios Valuation Ratio • AKA ‘Activity Ratios’/ Management ratios - measures the efficiency at which a business can convert its assets (both current and non current) into revenues. • This ratio helps us understand how efficient the management of the company is.
  • 10. Categories of Financial Ratios Profitability Ratio 1. EBITDA Margin (Operating Profit Margin) • EBITDA Growth (CAGR) 2. PAT Margin • PAT Growth (CAGR) 3. Return on Equity (ROE) 4. Return on Asset (ROA) 5. Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
  • 11. Categories of Financial Ratios Profitability Ratio EBITDA • The Earnings before Interest Tax Depreciation & Amortization (EBITDA) Margin • It indicates the efficiency of the management. And how efficient the company’s operating model is. • EBITDA margin tells us how profitable the company is at an operating level
  • 12. Categories of Financial Ratios Profitability Ratio EBITDA • What does an EBITDA of Rs.560 Crs and an EBITDA margin of 16.3% indicate? (Operating revenue = 3436 crores) • An EBITDA of Rs.560 Crs means that the company has retained Rs.560 Crs from its operating revenue of Rs.3436 Crs. This also means out of Rs.3436 Crs the company spent Rs.2876 Crs towards its expenses. • In percentage terms, the company spent 83.7% of its revenue towards its expenses and retained 16.3% of the revenue at the operating level, for its operations.
  • 13. Categories of Financial Ratios Profitability Ratio EBITDA • EBITDA margin is increasing means that this is a good sign as it shows consistency and efficiency in the management’s operational capabilities
  • 14. Categories of Financial Ratios Profitability Ratio PAT • Profit After Tax (PAT) margin is calculated at the final profitability level. • When we calculate the PAT margin, all expenses are deducted from the Total Revenues of the company to identify the overall profitability of the company.
  • 15. Categories of Financial Ratios Profitability Ratio ROE • Return on Equity (RoE) - helps the investor assess the return the shareholder earns for every unit of capital invested. • RoE measures the entity’s ability to generate profits from the shareholders investments. • A higher ROE indicates a higher level of management performance. • A high RoE is great, but certainly not at the cost of high debt
  • 16. Categories of Financial Ratios Profitability Ratio ROA • Return on Assets (RoA) - evaluates the effectiveness of the entity’s ability to use the assets to create profits. • A well managed entity limits investments in non productive assets. • Hence RoA indicates the management’s efficiency at deploying its assets. • Higher the RoA, the better it is.
  • 17. Categories of Financial Ratios Profitability Ratio ROCE • Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) • Indicates the profitability of the company taking into consideration the overall capital it employs. • Overall capital includes both equity and debt (both long term and short term).
  • 18. Categories of Financial Ratios Leverage Ratio • It measures the extent to which the company uses the debt to finance growth. • there is a very thin line that separates the good and the bad debt. • Leverage ratios mainly deal with the overall extent of the company’s debt, and help us understand the company’s financial leverage better.
  • 19. Categories of Financial Ratios Leverage Ratio 1. Interest Coverage Ratio 2. Debt to Equity Ratio 3. Debt to Asset Ratio 4. Financial Leverage Ratio
  • 20. Categories of Financial Ratios Leverage Ratio Interest Coverage Ratio • AKA debt service ratio or the debt service coverage ratio • This ratio helps us interpret how easily a company can pay its interest payments • However a low interest coverage ratio could mean a higher debt burden and a greater possibility of bankruptcy or default.
  • 21. Categories of Financial Ratios Leverage Ratio Debt to Equity Ratio • It measures the amount of the total debt capital with respect to the total equity capital. • A value of 1 on this ratio indicates an equal amount of debt and equity capital. • Higher debt to equity (more than 1) indicates higher leverage and hence one needs to be careful.
  • 22. Categories of Financial Ratios Leverage Ratio Debt to Asset Ratio • It conveys to us how much of the total assets are financed through debt capital. • Higher the percentage , the more concerned the investor would be as it indicates higher leverage and risk.
  • 23. Categories of Financial Ratios Leverage Ratio Financial Leverage Ratio • The financial leverage ratio gives us an indication, to what extent the assets are supported by equity. • The formula to calculate the Financial Leverage Ratio is = Average Total Asset / Average Total Equity • Higher the number, higher is the company’s leverage and the more careful the investor needs to be.
  • 24. Categories of Financial Ratios 1. Profitability Ratios 2. Leverage Ratios 3. Operating Ratios 4. Valuation Ratios
  • 25. Categories of Financial Ratios Operating Ratio • AKA ‘Activity ratios’ or ‘Management ratios’ • Indicate the efficiency of the company’s operational activity. • Reveal the management’s efficiency as well. • These ratios are called the Asset Management Ratios, as these ratios indicate the efficiency with which the assets of the company are utilized
  • 26. Categories of Financial Ratios Operating Ratios 1. Fixed Assets Turnover Ratio 2. Working Capital Turnover Ratio 3. Total Assets Turnover Ratio 4. Inventory Turnover Ratio 5. Inventory Number of Days 6. Receivable Turnover Ratio 7. Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)
  • 27. Categories of Financial Ratios Operating Ratios Fixed assets turnover • The ratio measures the extent of the revenue generated in comparison to its investment in fixed assets. • It tells us how effectively the company uses its plant and equipment. • Higher the ratio, it means the company is effectively and efficiently managing its fixed assets.
  • 28. Categories of Financial Ratios Operating Ratios Working Capital turnover • Working capital refers to the capital required by the firm to run its day to day operations • Working Capital = Current Assets – Current Liabilities • If the working capital is negative, it means the company has a working capital deficit. • Usually if the company has a working capital deficit, they seek a working capital loan from their bankers.
  • 29. Categories of Financial Ratios Operating Ratios Total Assets Turnover • It indicates the company’s capability to generate revenues with the given amount of assets. • Here the assets include both the fixed assets as well as current assets. • Total Asset Turnover = Operating Revenue / Average Total Assets
  • 30. Categories of Financial Ratios Operating Ratios Inventory Turnover Ratio • Inventory refers to the finished goods that a company maintains in its store or showroom • If a company is selling popular products, then the goods in the inventory gets cleared rapidly, and the company has to replenish the inventory time and again. This is called the ‘Inventory turnover’. • Inventory Turnover = [Cost of Goods Sold / Average Inventory] • Tells us how many times the company ‘replenishes’ their inventory
  • 31. Categories of Financial Ratios Operating Ratios Inventory Number of days • Gives a sense of how much time the company takes to convert its inventory into cash. • Lesser the number of days, the better it is. • A short inventory number of day’s number implies, the company’s products are fast moving
  • 32. Categories of Financial Ratios Operating Ratios Inventory Number of days • High inventory turnover ratio signifies that the company is replenishing its inventory quickly, which is excellent. • Along with the high inventory turnover, a low inventory number of days indicate that the company is quickly able to convert its goods into cash. • Again, this is a sign of great inventory management. • Whenever you see impressive inventory numbers, always ensure to double check the production details as well.
  • 33. Categories of Financial Ratios Operating Ratios Accounts Receivable Turnover Ratio • Tells how many times in a given period the company receives money/cash from its debtors and customers. • Naturally a high number indicates that the company collects cash more frequently.
  • 34. Categories of Financial Ratios Operating Ratios Days Sales Outstanding • AKA Average Collection Period orDay Sales in Receivables • Illustrates the average cash collection period i.e the time lag between billing and collection. • This calculation shows the efficiency of the company’s collection department. • Quicker/faster the cash is collected from the creditors, faster the cash can be used for other activities.
  • 35. Categories of Financial Ratios 1. Profitability Ratios 2. Leverage Ratios 3. Operating Ratios 4. Valuation Ratios
  • 36. Categories of Financial Ratios Valuation Ratios • Valuations dictate the price you pay to acquire a business. • Sometimes, a mediocre business at a ridiculously cheap valuation may be a great investment option as opposed to an exciting business with an extremely high valuation.
  • 37. Categories of Financial Ratios Valuation Ratios • The valuation ratios help us develop a sense on how the stock price is valued by the market participants. • These ratios help us understand the attractiveness of the stock price from an investment perspective.
  • 38. Categories of Financial Ratios Valuation Ratios 1. Price to Sales (P/S) Ratio 2. Price to Book Value (P/BV) Ratio and 3. Price to Earnings (P/E) Ratio
  • 39. Categories of Financial Ratios Valuation Ratios Price to Sales (P/S) Ratio • Price to sales ratio = Current Share Price / Sales per Share • Sales per share = Total Revenues / Total number of shares • Higher the P/S ratio, higher is the valuation of the firm. • One has to compare the P/S ratio with its competitors in the industry to get a fair sense of how expensive or cheap the stock is.
  • 40. Categories of Financial Ratios Valuation Ratios Price to Book Value (P/BV) Ratio • “Book Value” of a firm is simply the amount of money left on table after the company pays off its obligations. • Usually the book value is expressed on a per share basis. • For example, if the book value per share is Rs.60, then Rs.60 per share is what the shareholder can expect in case the company decides to liquidate.
  • 41. Categories of Financial Ratios Valuation Ratios Price to Book Value (P/BV) Ratio • If we divide the current market price of the stock by the book value per share, we will get the price to the book value of the firm. • The P/BV indicates how many times the stock is trading over and above the book value of the firm. • Clearly the higher the ratio, the more expensive the stock is. • A high ratio could indicate the firm is overvalued relative to the equity/ book value of the company
  • 42. Categories of Financial Ratios Valuation Ratios Price to Earning Ratio • AKA ‘Financial ratio superstar’. • Calculated by dividing the current stock price by the Earning Per share(EPS). • EPS measures the profitability of a company on a per share basis.
  • 43. Categories of Financial Ratios Valuation Ratios Price to Earning Ratio • Measures the willingness of the market participants to pay for the stock, for every rupee of profit that the company generates. • For example if the P/E of a certain firm is 15, then it simply means that for every unit of profit the company earns, the market participants are willing to pay 15 times.
  • 44. Categories of Financial Ratios Valuation Ratios Price to Earning Ratio • P/E indicates how expensive or cheap the stock is trading at. Never buy stocks that are trading at high valuations. • Do not like to buy stocks that are trading beyond 25 or at the most 30 times its earnings, irrespective of the company and the sector it belongs to. • The denominator in P/E ratio is the ‘Earnings’, and the earnings can be manipulated
  • 45. Categories of Financial Ratios Valuation Ratios Price to Earning Ratio • Make sure the company is not changing its accounting policy too often – this is one of the ways the company tries to manipulate its earnings. • Pay attention to the way depreciation is treated. Provision for lesser depreciation can boost earnings • If the company’s earnings are increasing but not its cash flows and sales, then clearly something is not right
  • 46. Categories of Financial Ratios Valuation Ratios Index valuation • Just like a stock, the stock market indices such as the BSE Sensex and the CNX Nifty 50 have their valuations which can be measured by the P/E ,P/B and Dividend Yield ratios. • The Index valuation is usually published by the stock exchanges on a daily basis. • The index valuations give us a sense of how cheap or expensive the market is trading at.
  • 47. Categories of Financial Ratios Valuation Ratios Index valuation • One has to be cautious while investing in stocks when the market’s P/E valuations is above 22x • Historically the best time to invest in the markets is when the valuations are around 16x or below. • Find out Index P/E valuation on a daily basis by visiting the National Stock Exchange (NSE) website.
  • 48. Generating stock idea • The process of investing requires us to first select a stock that looks interesting. • After selecting the stock we must subject it to the checklist (Created by our own) to figure out if the stock matches all the checklist criteria, if it does we invest, else we look for other opportunities
  • 49. Generating stock idea Selection done on the basis of • General observation • Stock screener • Macro trends • Sectoral trends • Special situation • Circle of competence
  • 50. Generating stock idea General observation • Keep your eyes and ears open and observe the economic activity around you. • Observe what people are buying and selling, see what products are being consumed, keep an eye on the neighborhood to see what people are talking about.
  • 51. Generating stock idea Stock screener • Stock screener helps to screen for stocks based on the parameters you define and therefore helps investors perform quality stock analysis. • Very helpful tool when you want to shortlist a handful of investment ideas from a big basket of stocks • E.g : Google finance’s stock screener and screener.in.
  • 52. Generating stock idea Macro Trends • Keeping a general tab on the macroeconomic trend is a great way of identifying good stocks. • Example : Currently India is preferring infrastructure projects – consider buying cement stocks
  • 53. Generating stock idea Sectoral Trends • One needs to track sectors to identify emerging trends and companies within the sector that can benefit from it • Example : Non alcoholic beverages market – tea, coffee, water --> energy drink
  • 54. Generating stock idea Special Situation • One has to follow companies, company related news, company events etc to generate an idea based on special situation.
  • 55. Generating stock idea Circle of Competence • This method requires you to identify stocks within your professional domain. • For example, if you are a medical professional your circle of competence would be the healthcare industry.
  • 56. Investment due diligence • After selecting a stock, one has to run the checklist to investigate the stock further. This is called the “Investment due diligence”. • The due diligence process is very critical and one has to ensure maximum attention is paid to each and every aspect of this exercise.
  • 57. Economic moat • Refers to the company’s competitive advantage (over its competitors). • A company with a strong moat, ensures the company’s long term profits are safeguarded. • Always invest in companies which have wider economic moats.
  • 58. The Due Diligence - Stages 1. Understanding the business – requires reading the annual reports 2. Application of the checklist 3. Valuation – to estimate the intrinsic value of the business – done by “Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis”.
  • 59. The Due Diligence – The checklist
  • 60. The Due Diligence – The checklist
  • 61. Equity Research Steps 1. Understanding the Business 2. Application of the checklist 3. Intrinsic Value estimation (Valuation) to understand the fair price of the stock
  • 62. Equity Research Step 1 – Understanding the business • During bear markets, the prices react and not the business fundamentals • Study at least the last 5 year annual report to understand how the company is evolving across business cycles • Stage 1 of equity research i.e Understanding the business/company takes about 15 hours. • After going through this process, try to summarize your thoughts on a single sheet of paper which would encapsulate all the important things that you have discovered about the company.
  • 63. Equity Research Step 2 – Application of checklist • Company may differ but the equity research framework remains the same. • This step help us comprehend the numbers and actually evaluate if both the nature of the business and the financial performance of the business complement each other.
  • 64.
  • 65. Equity Research Step 2 – Application of checklist • Prefer to invest in companies that are growing (Revenue and PAT) over and above 15% on a CAGR(Compounded Annual Growth Rate) basis • The EPS (Earnings Per Share) and PAT (Profit After Tax) growing at a similar rate indicates that the company is not diluting the earnings by issuing new shares, which is good for the existing shareholders. One can think of this as a reflection of the company’s management’s capabilities. • The checklist mandates a minimum GPM (Gross Profit Margin) of 20%. • One of the most important line item that we need to look at on the Balance Sheet is the Debt. An increasingly high level of debt indicates a high degree of financial leverag
  • 66. Equity Research Step 2 – Application of checklist • Return on Equity (ROE) measures in percentage the return generated by the company keeping the shareholders equity in perspective • ROE measures how successful the promoters of the company are for having invested their own funds in the company • Invest in companies that have a ROE of over 20%.
  • 67. Equity Research Step 3 – DCF Model • Stage 3 deals with the stock price valuation. • The price of a stock can be estimated by a valuation technique. • Valuation per say helps you determine the ‘intrinsic value’ of the company. • We use a valuation technique called the “Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)” method to calculate the intrinsic value of the company. • The intrinsic value as per the DCF method is the evaluation of the ‘perceived stock price’ of a company, keeping all the future cash flows in perspective.
  • 68. Equity Research Step 3 – DCF Model • Time value of money plays an extremely crucial role in finance. • Future Value of money is the estimation of the value of money we have today at some point in the future • Present value of money is the estimation of the value of money receivable in the future in terms of value • The Net Present Value (NPV) of money is the sum of all the present values of the future cash flows
  • 69. Equity Research Step 3 – DCF Model • The free cash flow is basically the excess operating cash that the company generates after accounting for capital expenditures such as buying land, building and equipment • The mark of a healthy business eventually depends on how much free cash it can generate. • FCF = Cash from Operating Activities – Capital Expenditures • The best way to predict the future free cash flow is by estimating the historical average free cash flow and then sequentially growing the free cash flow by a certain rate.
  • 70. Equity Research Step 3 – DCF Model • The rate at which the free cash flow grows beyond 10 years (2024 onwards) is called the Terminal Growth . • Usually the terminal growth rate is considered to be less than 5%.
  • 71. Equity Research Step 3 – DCF Model – Share price • Net Debt = Current Year Total Debt – Cash & Cash Balance • A negative sign indicates that the company has more cash than debt. • Share Price = Total Present Value of Free Cash flow / Total Number of shares
  • 72. Equity Research Step 3 – DCF Model – Share price • If the stock price is below the lower intrinsic value band, then we consider the stock to be undervalued, hence one should look at buying the stock