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Shri Sunshine Group of Education 
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Declaration 
I hereby declare that I had a good learning experience in doing this project titled 
“Foreign Exchange Risk Management” at Rolex Rings Pvt. Ltd., Rajkot submitted in 
partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of MBA program of Gujarat 
University. 
I hereby declare that the project done by me is true to knowledge. The project 
duration was of weeks. The content of this report is based on the information 
collected from different sources and the company itself. 
I further declare that this project report has not been submitted to any other 
university or institute for the award of any degree or diploma. 
Date: Vishal Sitapara 
Place: Rajkot
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Acknowledgement: 
I take this opportunity to express my heartfelt gratitude to all the people who 
have extended their assistance and provided me the information during the 
tenure of the project. I am greatly indebted to them for their guidance and 
support throughout the project and for sparing their valuable time with me. 
I earnestly express to Mr. Manish Madeka for giving me this opportunity to work 
with Rolex Rings Pvt. Ltd. and also to Mr. HirenDoshi and other staff members of 
the firm for their invaluable guidance, cooperation and support during my 
internship tenure. 
I would also like to thank the Director of my college, Dr. SarlaAchuthan and 
project guide Dr. PrateekKanchan for giving the opportunity to carry out the 
project in the real world. 
Thanking You, 
Vishal Sitapara
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Table of Contents: 
1) Executive Summary 
2) Objectives and Scope 
a) Objectives 
b) Scope 
3) Company Profile 
a) Introduction 
b) History 
c) Management Team 
d) Product Profile 
e) Quality Policy 
f) Environment 
g) Bank Affiliation 
4) Research Methodology 
a) Type of Study 
b) Secondary Data 
c) Limitations 
5) Introduction to FOREX Market 
a) Introduction 
b) Foreign Exchange Meaning 
c) Requisites for FOREX Deals 
d) Need for FOREX
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e) What does Foreign Exchange provide? 
6) Foreign Exchange Market in India 
a) Introduction 
b) History 
c) Modified LERMS 
d) Exchange Rate Systems 
e) Exchange Rate Systems in India 
f) Factors affecting Exchange Rate 
g) Factors affecting Indian Rupee 
7) Foreign Exchange Exposure and Risk 
a) Foreign Exchange Exposure 
b) Foreign Exchange Risk 
c) Differentiation of Exposure with Risk 
8) FOREX Risk Management & Hedging Tools 
a) FOREX Risk Management 
b) Foreign Exchange Risk Management Framework 
c) Determinants of Hedging Decisions 
d) Hedging Tools 
e) Risk Management Tools Available in India 
f) Other Hedging Instruments 
9) FOREX Risk Management at ROLEX RINGS 
10) Findings & Conclusion 
11) Bibliography
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Executive Summary 
This project is based on the study of Foreign Exchange Risk Management at Rolex 
Rings Pvt. Ltd. 
Foreign Exchange, in common parlance, is the exchange of one currency for 
another. This exchange is done at a particular rate called the exchange rate or the 
FX rate. The FX rate is the price of one currency in terms of another. As is true 
with rates, FX rate too is for a pre-determined settlement date i.e. the date on 
which the actual exchange of the currencies involved would take place. 
The Liberalized Exchange Rate Management System (LERMS) was introduced in 
March 1992, and as a result, the foreign exchange market in India effectively 
became a two-tier one, with a dual exchange rate system in force. One rate was 
the administered one at which specified type or proportion was determined by 
demand and supply in the market and applied to the remaining transactions. In 
March 1993, this system was abolished and now a single market determined rate 
is applicable for all transactions. 
The volatility of exchange rates can’t be traced to a single reason and 
consequently, it becomes very difficult to precisely define the factors that affect 
exchange rates. The foreign exchange risk is related to the variability of the 
domestic currency, values of assets, liabilities or operating income due to 
unanticipated changes in exchange rates, whereas foreign exchange exposure is 
what is at risk. FOREX risk is the variability in the profit due to change in foreign 
exchange rate. 
Business firms/companies like Rolex Rings have internationalized their activities 
considerably. This trend has manifested itself not only in increased involvement in 
international trade and foreign operations, but also in the fact that even firms 
without explicit international transactions have become subject to the direct and 
indirect effects of foreign competition to a much larger extent than in the past.
Thus, the impact of exchange rate changes on business operations tends to be 
pervasive; the concern is not limited to specific financial functions such as 
corporate treasury. 
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Objectives and Scope 
Objectives of the Study: 
Main objectives of the study are as under: 
1. To ascertain the FERM practices and product usage of Rolex Rings. 
2. To know the attitudes, perceptions and concerns of the firm towards FERM. 
3. To understand the level of awareness of derivatives and their uses, with Rolex 
Rings. 
4. To ascertain the organization structure, policymaking and control process 
adopted by the firm, which use derivatives, in managing foreign exchange 
exposure. 
Scope: 
The scope of this study is limited to the Foreign Exchange Risk Management and 
the way Rolex Rings manages it. It has nothing to do with any kind of forecasts 
about the currency movements.
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Company Profile
Introduction: 
Established in 1980, Rolex Rings is the single largest manufacturer of hot forged 
rolled rings in India and an emerging strong contender in the automotive 
components space, catering to an array of multi-national companies across 
countries such as Italy, France, Poland, Germany, Spain, USA, Mexico, China and 
India. Rooted in the fertile grounds of hard beginnings and humble origins, Rolex 
Rings, have survived and surpassed competitors and have become the leading 
manufacturer of hot forged rolled rings along-with finished machining through 
CNC route. 
Today the company stands for engineering capability, customized solutions and 
consolidated growth orientation. Its values of commitment to hard work and their 
innate sense of responsibility towards providing the society with superior 
products is the moving force behind their success saga. 
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History: 
The history of Rolex Rings since the day of its inception has been described as 
under: 
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Management Team:
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Product Profile:
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Quality Policy: 
Pushing ahead with grueling schedules, punishing deadlines and a raging desire to 
be beyond competition roles sets the bar high for quality standards at the 
company. 
Each stage of manufacturing at Rolex Rings reflects a profound presence of 
excellence in quality. To meet the most exacting requirements of the most 
demanding client, we have an array of sophisticated technology to ensure the 
best of quality. High precision measuring instruments such as spectrometer, 
electronic microscope, CMM, Contour measuring, Machine Profile Projector, 
surface roughness tester etc. lay down the foundation for the quality of our 
products. 
Quality assurance activities for the manufacture of all the products of our plants 
are closely coordinated at the following stages. 
1. Raw Material 
2. Statistical process control at the will press/machining 
3. Acceptance test of forgings 
4. Process and product quality audits 
5. Packing 
6. Transportation 
Our employees contribute to the zero defect strategy. 
Environment: 
For any company in order to carry out its operations in the society, it becomes 
very important on part of the company to take certain steps that protects the 
environment and the society as a whole. 
At Rolex Rings, we follow the following principles:
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 Healthy working environment for the employees. 
 Continuous control of the raw material and energy consumption to save 
resources. 
 Continuously trying to reducing the waste. 
 Installation of precautionary steps against accidents that may have negative 
effects for the environment. 
Our environmental policy targets to a continuous improvement of the companies 
environmental pollution control. 
Rolex Rings has green power technology of 8.75 MW, which helps us to save the 
environment and also be more competitive. 
At Rolex, we believe that our responsibilities to the environment do not end with 
developing Green power technology. As our global footprint grows and we 
become more a part of the world around us, we are taking every step necessary 
to ensure that our activities, processes & services ensure minimal adverse 
impact on the environment. We are committed to pollution control and use every 
opportunity to conserve energy. 
Bank Affiliation: 
Rolex Rings Pvt. Ltd. has its accounts in the following banks: 
1) Corporation Bank 
2) Oriental Bank of Commerce 
3) Union Bank of India 
4) Bank of Baroda 
5) Indian Overseas Bank
Research Methodology 
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Introduction 
This study aims to delineate the methodology, employed to undertake this study. 
Research is a common parlance, which refers to a search for knowledge. One can 
define research as scientific and systematic search for pertinent. 
Research is of a great importance to find out the nature, extent and cause of the 
research issue under study. Research methodology is the process in which various 
steps generally adopted by a researcher are outlined. 
Type of the study: 
This is a descriptive study; analysis is made on the basis of the secondary data. 
Secondary Data: 
1) Publications 
2) Articles 
3) Websites 
In this report, I have used the secondary data, most of which was obtained 
from the internal records of the company. Data has also been gathered 
from websites of RBI, X-Rates, NSE, FEDAI and Rolex Rings. 
Limitations: 
1) Lack of practical exposure in the area of Risk Management 
2) Lack of formal sources of data
Introduction to Foreign 
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Exchange Market
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Introduction: 
The international currency market – the foreign exchange, is a special kind of the 
world financial market. The Foreign exchange, also referred to as the “FOREX” or 
“Spot FX” market, is the largest financial market in the world, with over $3.5 
trillion changing hands every single day. 
What is traded on the Foreign Exchange? The answer is money. FOREX trading is 
where the currency of one nation is traded for that of another. A trader’s purpose 
on this market is to get profit as the result of foreign currencies purchase and 
sale in accordance with a known principle ‘Buy cheaper – Sell higher” and to 
convert profits made in foreign currencies, buy or sell products or services in a 
foreign country, into their domestic currency.FOREX trading is always traded in 
pairs. The most commonly traded currency pairs are traded againstthe US Dollar 
(USD). They are called ‘the majors’. The major currency pairs are the Euro Dollar 
(EUR/USD), the British Pound (GBP/USD), the Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) and the 
Swiss Franc (USD/CHF). As there is no central exchange for the FOREX market, 
these pairs and their crosses are traded over the telephone and online through a 
global network of banks, multinational corporations, importers and exporters, 
brokers and currency traders, i.e. the FX market is considered as an Over The 
Counter or ‘inter-bank’ market. 
FOREX is different compared to all other sectors of the world financial system, 
thanks to its heightened sensibility to a large and continuously changing number 
of factors, accessibility to all individual and corporate traders, exclusively high 
trade turnover which creates an ensured liquidity of traded currencies and the 
round the clock business hours which enable traders to deal after normal hours or 
during national holidays in their country finding markets abroad open. Also, just 
as on any other market, the trading on FOREX along with an exclusively high 
potential profitability, is essentially a risk bearing one. 
Foreign Exchange – Meaning:
Foreign Exchange is the purchase or sale of a currency against the sale or 
purchase of another, i.e. the exchange of one currency for another. This exchange 
is done at a particular rate called the exchange rate or the FX rate. The FX rate is 
the price of one currency in terms of another. As is true for rates, FX rate too is a 
pre-determined settlement date, i.e. the date on which the actual exchange of 
currencies involved would take place. 
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Requisites for Foreign Exchange Deals: 
 Exchange of two currencies 
 At an agreed exchange rate 
 For a specified settlement date 
 Settlement instructions for receipt and payment 
 Confidence that the terms of the trade will be adhered to 
Need for Foreign Exchange: 
In this global village, which has almost as many currencies as countries, business 
activity would come to near standstill if each country insisted on dealing on its 
own currency and none other. With the growing importance of international 
trade and maturity in financial markets, the major international trade participants 
have come to accept certain currencies as the “traded currencies” or “major 
currencies”. These currencies are termed as such based on the strength of their 
economies and their financial markets, the political backing of the countries, 
international acceptability, liquidity and depth of their markets, economic and 
political stability. The World Bank, leading international agencies and world 
bodies have given a further boost to these currencies, using in their dealings too. 
A country’s external reserves are denominated in these currencies. This is what 
necessitates the Foreign Exchange.
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What does Foreign Exchange provide? 
 The method or mechanism to conduct and settle the proceeds of 
International Trade 
 The means to obtain/provide technology, expertise and the sharing of 
information 
 The means to minimize the risks of currency fluctuations - primarily 
through the use of various tools and financial instruments 
 Trading opportunities to generate incremental income
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Foreign Exchange 
Market in India
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Introduction: 
The Foreign Exchange business in India is regulated closely by the RBI. With 
Exchange Control Regulations, the RBI ensures that involvement in the Foreign 
Exchange business is restricted to certain sections of the business community 
only. 
Main Participants: 
 Corporate: Importers, Exporters and Customers for genuine trades or 
merchant transactions 
 Banks: Banks in India are permitted to buy and sell currencies abroad in 
cover of customer requirements. They have also been permitted to initiate 
positions abroad too. Overseas banks call banks in India to cover their 
Indian rupee requirements. 
 Overseas Traders: One authorized dealer dealing with another to generate 
profit or cover its open exposure 
 Authorized Dealers v/s RBI: This occurs only when the RBI intervenes in the 
market and not in the normal course 
RBI restrictions in terms of participation in foreign currencies are as under: 
Corporate: 
 Individuals as per the Exchange Control Manual (Retail) 
 Importers, Exporters and Borrowers of Foreign Currencies (Wholesale) 
Banks/Others: 
 Money Changers (RMC’s and FFMC’s) licensed by the RBI to buy/sell 
Foreign Currency Notes and Travelers Cheques from individuals (Retail) 
 Banks licensed by the RBI to carry out foreign exchange business on a 
commercial wholesale level, called the Authorized Dealers
Brokers: Brokers are permitted to bring together buyers and sellers but cannot 
trade for their own account. This means they have to strike thedeal with the 
buyers and sellers simultaneously. 
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History of FOREX Market in India: 
Until the early seventies, given the fixed rate regime, the foreign exchange market 
was perceived as a mechanism merely to put through merchant transactions. 
With the collapse of the Bretton Woods agreement and the floatation of major 
currencies, the conduct of exchange rate policy posed a great challenge to central 
banks as currency fluctuations opened up tremendous opportunities for market 
players to trade in currency volatilities in a borderless market. 
The market in India, however, remained insulated as exchange rate controls 
inhibited capital movements and the banks were required to undertake cover 
operations and maintain a square position at all times. 
Slowly a demand began to build up that banks in India be permitted to trade in 
FOREX. In response to this demand the RBI, as a first step, permitted banks to 
undertake intraday trade in FOREX in 1978. As a consequence, the stipulation of 
maintaining square or near square position was to be complied with only at the 
close of business each day. 
As the opportunities to make profit began to emerge, the major banks started 
quoting two-way prices against the Rupee as well as in cross currencies (Non- 
Rupee) and gradually, trading volumes began to increase. This was enabled by a 
major change in the exchange rate regime in 1975 whereby the Rupee was 
delinked from the Pound Sterling ad under a managed floating arrangement, the 
external value of the Rupee was determined by the RBI in terms of weighted 
basket of currencies of India’s major trading partners. Given the RBI’s obligation 
to buy and sell unlimited amounts of Pound Sterling (the intervention currency), 
arising from the bank’s merchant trades, and its quotes for buying/selling 
effectively became the fulcrum around which the market moved.
As the volumes increased, the appetite for profits was found to lead the 
observance of widely different practices dictated largely by the size of the players, 
their location, expertise of the dealing staff and availability of communications 
facilities, it was thought necessary to draw up a comprehensive set of guidelines 
covering the entire gamut of dealing operations to be observed by banks engaged 
in FOREX business. Accordingly, in 1981 the “Guidelines for Internal Control over 
Foreign Exchange Business” was framed for adoption by banks. 
During the eighties, deterioration in the macro-economic situation set in, 
ultimately warranting a structural change in the exchange rate regime, which in 
turn had an impact on the FOREX market. Large and persistent external 
imbalances were reflected in rising level of internal indebtedness. The graduated 
depreciation of the Rupee could not compensate for the widening inflation 
differentials between India and the rest of the world and the exchange rate of the 
Rupee was getting increasingly overvalued. The Gulf problems of August 1990, 
given the fragile state of the economy, triggered off an unprecedented crisis of 
liquidity and confidence. This unprecedented crisis called for the adoption of 
exceptional corrective steps. The country simultaneously embarked upon the 
measures of adjustment to stabilize the economy and got in motion structural 
reforms to generate renewed impetus for stable growth. 
As a first step in this direction, the RBI effected a two-step downward adjustment 
of the Rupee in July 1991. Simultaneously, in order to provide a closer alignment 
between exports and imports, the EXIM scrip scheme was introduced. The 
scheme provided a boost to exports and with the experience gained in the 
working of the scheme, it was thought prudent to institutionalize the incentive 
component and convey it through the price mechanism, while simultaneously 
insulating essential imports from currency fluctuations. Therefore, with effect 
from March 1, 1992, RBI instituted a system of dual exchange rates under the 
Liberalized Exchange Rate Management System (LERMS). Under this, 40% of the 
exchange earnings had to be surrendered at a rate determined by the RBI and the 
RBI was obliged to sell foreign exchange only for imports of essential commodities 
such as oil, fertilizers, life-saving drugs etc., besides the government’s debt 
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servicing. The balance could be converted at rates determined by the market. The 
scheme worked satisfactorily preparing the market for its emerging role and the 
Rupee remained fairly stable with the spread between the official and the market 
rate hovering around 17%. 
Even though the dual exchange rate system worked well, it however, implied an 
implicit tax on exporters and remittances. Moreover, it distorted the efficient 
allocation of resources. The LERMS was essentially a transitional mechanism and 
in March 1993, the two legs of the exchange rates were unified and christened 
Modified LERMS. It stipulated that from March 2, 1993, all FOREX receipts could 
be converted at market determined rates of exchange. Over the next eighteen 
months, restrictions on a number of other current account transactions were 
relaxed and on August 20, 1994, the Rupee was made fully convertible for all 
current account transactions and the country formally accepted the obligations 
under Article VIII of the IMF’s article of agreement. 
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Changes that took place: 
 1966 – The rupee was devalued by 57.5% on June 6 
 1967 – Rupee-Sterling parity change as a result of devaluation of the 
Sterling 
 1971 – Bretton Woods system broke down in August. Rupee briefly pegged 
to the USD @ Rs. 7.5 before reneging to Sterling at Rs. 18.87 with a 2.25% 
margin on either side 
 1972 – Sterling floated on June 23. Rupee-Sterling parity revalued to Rs. 
18.95 and then in October to Rs. 18.80 
 1975 – Rupee pegged to an undisclosed basket with a margin of 2.25% on 
either side. Sterling, the intervention currency with a central bank rate of 
Rs. 18.31 
 1979 – Margins around basket parity widened to 5% on each side in January 
 1991 – Rupee devalued by 19.5% in July 1st and Rupee-Dollar rates 
depreciated from Rs. 21.20 to Rs. 25.80. A version of dual exchange rate
introduced through EXIM scrip scheme, given exporters freely tradable 
import entitlements equivalent to 30-40% of export earnings. 
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 1992 – LERMS introduced with a 40-60 dual rate converting export 
proceeds, market determined rates or all but specified imports and market 
rate for approved capital transaction. US Dollar became the intervention 
currency from March 4th. EXIM scrip abolished. 
 1993 – Unified market determined exchange rate introduced for all 
transactions. RBI would buy/sell US Dollars for specified purposes. It will 
not buy/sell Dollar Forwards though it will enter into Dollar Swaps. 
 1994 – Rupee made fully convertible on current account from August 20th 
 1998 – Foreign Exchange Management Act – FEM Bill 1998 which was 
placed in the Parliament to replace FERA 
 1999 – Implication of FEMA starts 
Modified Liberalized Exchange Rate Management System: 
The process of liberalization continued further and it was decided to make the 
Rupee fully floating with effect from March 1, 1993. This new arrangement is 
called Modified LERMS. Its salient features are as under: 
Effective from March 1, 1993, all foreign exchange transactions, receipts and 
payments, both under current and capital accounts of Balance of Payments are 
being put through by authorized dealers at market determined exchange rates. 
Foreign exchange receipts and payments, however, continued to be governed by 
the Exchange Control Regulations. Foreign exchange receipts are to be 
surrendered to the authorized dealers except in cases where the residents have 
been permitted by the RBI to retain them either with the banks in India or abroad. 
Authorized dealers are free to retain the entire foreign exchange surrendered to 
them for being sold for permissible transactions and are not required to surrender 
to the Reserve Bank any portion of such receipts.
Reserve Bank of India, under section 40 of RBI Act 1934, was obliged to buy and 
sell foreign exchange to authorized dealers. Reserve Bank is now required to sell 
any authorized person at its offices/branches US Dollars for meeting foreign 
exchange payments at its exchange rates based on the market rate only for such 
purposes as are approved by the Central Government. The RBI buys spot US 
Dollars from authorized dealers at its exchange rate. Reserve Bank does not 
ordinarily buy spot Pound Sterling, Deutsche Mark and Japanese Yen. It does not 
buy any forward currency. The exchange rate at which the RBI buys and sells 
foreign exchange is in the +5/-5% band of the market rate. Also, the RBI 
announces the reference rate at 12:00 hours which is the rate at which 
transactions with IMF, IBRD etc. are undertaken. 
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Advantages of the New System: 
 The system seeks to ensure equilibrium between demand and supply with 
respect to a fairly large subset of external transactions. 
 It has facilitated removal of several trade restrictions and granted 
relaxation in exchange control (under current account transactions). 
 It is a step towards full convertibility of current account transactions in 
order to achieve the full benefits of integrating the Indian economy with 
the world economic system. 
 The incentives to exporters will be higher and more particularly to those 
whose exports are not highly import intensive. Exporters of agricultural 
products will find exports attractive. 
 A large number of expatriates, who are hitherto denied any advantages on 
their remittances to India in line with the earnings of the exporters, are 
now eligible for market rate for the full amount of remittances being in 
nature of capital inflows. 
 This system, coupled with the Exchange Control Relaxation in certain areas, 
and the abolition of travel tax is expected to make the havala route less 
tempting. In this context, it needs to be remembered that smaller the gap 
between the average rate received by the exporters and other earners of
foreign exchange and the market rate, the lesser will be the temptation to 
continue using illegal channels for remittances. 
 In the fiscal area, customs revenue is likely to be higher, other things being 
the same, to the extent the valuation of imports would be based on the 
market exchange rate. It is, however, necessary to ensure that the tariff 
rates together with higher input values do not result in a sharp increase in 
import costs. 
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Exchange Rate System: 
Countries of the world have been exchanging goods and services amongst 
themselves. This has been going on since time immemorial. The world has come a 
long way from the days of Barter trade. With the invention of money, the figures 
and problems of barter trade have disappeared. 
Different countries have adopted different exchange rate systems at different 
times. Following are the exchange rate systems followed by various countries: 
 The Gold Standard, 1816-1933: 
The 'gold standard' used the physical weight of gold as the standard value 
for the money and making it directly exchangeable in the form of the 
precious metal. In 1816 for instance, the pound sterling was defined as 
123.27 grains of gold on its way to becoming the foremost reserve currency 
and was the principal component of the international capital market. This 
led to the expression 'as good as gold' when applied to the Sterling, as the 
Bank of England at the time gained stability and prestige as the premier 
monetary authority. Before the First World War, most Central banks 
supported their currencies with convertibility to gold. Paper money could 
always be exchanged for gold. For this type of gold exchange, a central 
bank coverage backing up the government’s currency reserves was not
necessarily needed. When a group mindset fostered a disastrous notion of 
converting back to gold in mass, panic resulted in so-called "Run on banks”. 
The US dollar adopted the gold standard late in 1879 and became the 
standard-bearer replacing the British Pound when Britain and the other 
European countries came off the system with the outbreak of World War I 
in 1914. Eventually, though, the worsening international depression lead 
even the dollar off the gold standard by 1933 marking the period of 
collapse in international trade and financial flows prior to World War II. 
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 Purchasing Power Parity: 
Professor Gustav Cassel, a Swedish Economist, introduced this system. The 
theory to put in simple terms states that the currencies are valued for what 
they can buy. Thus if 135 JPY buy a fountain pen and the same fountain pen 
can be bought for USD 1, it can be inferred that since 1 USD or 135 JPY can 
buy the same fountain pen, therefore, 1 USD = 135 JPY. 
For example, if country A had a higher rate of inflation as compared to 
country B, then the goods produced in country A would become costlier as 
compared to goods produced in country B. This would induce imports into 
country A and also the goods produced in country A being costlier, would 
lose in international competition to goods produced in country B. This 
decrease in exports of country A as compared to exports from country B 
would lead to demand for the currency of country B and excess supply of 
currency of country A. This in turn, causes currency of country A to 
depreciate in comparison of country B which is having relatively higher 
exports. 
 The Bretton Woods System, 1944-73: 
The Gold Standard partly, fixing the USD at $35.00 per ounce of Gold and 
fixing the other main currencies to the dollar, initially intended to be on a 
permanent basis. The Bretton Woods system formalized the role of the US 
dollar as the new 'global' reserve currency with its value fixed into gold and 
the US assuming the responsibility of ensuring convertibility while other 
currencies were pegged to the dollar.
In Asia, the lack of sustainability of fixed foreign exchange rates has gained 
new relevance with the events in the latter part of 1997, where currencies 
were forced to float. Currency after currency was devalued against the US 
dollar. The devaluation of currencies continued to plague the currency 
trading markets, and confidence in the open market of FOREX trading was 
not sustained. Leaving other fixed exchange rates in particular in South 
America also looking very vulnerable. While commercial companies have 
had to face a much more volatile currency environment in recent years, 
investors and financial institutions have discovered a new playground. The 
size of the FOREX market now dwarfs any other investment market. 
The last few decades have seen foreign exchange trading develop into the 
world’s largest global market. Restrictions on capital flows have been 
removed in most countries, leaving the market forces free to adjust foreign 
exchange rates according to their perceived values. In the 1980s, cross-border 
capital movements accelerated with the advent of computers and 
technology, extending market continuum through Asian, European and 
American time zones. Transactions in foreign exchange rocketed from 
about $70 billion a day in the 1980s, to more than $1.5 trillion a day two 
decades later. 
The collapse of PPP System brought the Bretton Woods System, and after 
its collapse, the Smithsonian Agreement. At present, the Floating Rate 
System is used in almost all the countries. 
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Exchange Rate System in India: 
The Rupee was historically linked i.e. pegged to the Pound Sterling. Earlier, during 
the British regime and till late sixties, most of India’s trade transactions were 
dominated by Pound Sterling. Under Bretton Woods System, as a member of IMF, 
India declared its par value of Rupee in terms of gold. The corresponding Rupee - 
Sterling rate was fixed at 1 GBP = Rs. 18. 
When Bretton Woods System bore down in August 1971, the Rupee was delinked 
from US Dollar and the exchange rate was fixed at 1 USD = Rs. 7.5. Reserve Bank 
of India, however, kept the Pound Sterling as the currency of intervention. The 
USD and Rupee pegging was used to arrive at Rupee-Sterling parity. After 
Smithsonian Agreement in December 1971, the Rupee was delinked from USD 
and again linked to Pound Sterling. This parity was maintained with a band of 
2.25%. Due to poor fundamentals, Pound got depreciated by 20% which in turn 
caused the Rupee to depreciate. 
To be not dependent on a single currency, Pound Sterling, on September 25, 
1975, Rupee was delinked from it and was linked to the basket of currencies with 
their relative weights kept as a secret so that the speculators didn’t get the wind 
of the direction of the movement of exchange rate of Rupee. 
From January 1, 1984 the Sterling rate schedule was abolished. The interest 
element which was hitherto in building the exchange rate was also delinked. The 
interest rate was to be recovered from the customers separately. This not only 
allowed transparency in the exchange rate quotations but also was in tune with 
international practice in this regard. FEDAI issued guidelines for calculation of 
merchant rates. 
The liquidity crunch in 1990 and 1991 on FOREX front only hastened the process. 
On March 1, 1992, Reserve Bank of India announced a new system of exchange 
rates known as the Liberalized Exchange Rate Management System. 
LERMS was to make balance of payments sustainable on ongoing basis allowing 
the market force to play a greater role in determining the exchange rate of Rupee. 
Under LERMS, the Rupee became convertible for all approved external 
transactions. The exporters of goods and services and those who received 
remittances from abroad were allowed to sell bulk of their FOREX receipts. 
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Similarly, those who needed foreign exchange to import and travel abroad were 
to buy foreign exchange from market determined rate. 
From March 1, 1993 Modified LERMS under which all the FOREX transactions, 
under current and capital account, are being put through by Authorized Dealers at 
market determined exchange rate. 
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Factors Affecting Exchange Rates: 
Various economic variables impact the movement in exchange rates. Interest 
rates, inflation figures, GDP are the main variables; however other economic 
indicators that provide direction regarding the state of the economy also have 
a significant impact on the movement of a currency. These would include 
employment reports, balance of payment figures, manufacturing indices, 
consumer prices and retail sales amongst others. Indicators which suggest that 
the economy is strengthening are positively correlated with a strong currency 
and would result in the currency strengthening and vice versa. 
Currency trader should be aware of government policies and the central bank 
stance as indicated by them from time to time, either by policy action or 
market intervention. Government structures its policies in a manner such that 
its long term objectives on employment and growth are met. In trying to 
achieve these objectives, it sometimes has to work around the economic 
variables and hence policy directives and the economic variables are entwined 
and have an impact on exchange rate movements. 
Factors Affecting Indian Rupee: 
As we know that FOREX market for Indian currency is highly volatile where one 
cannot forecast the exchange rates easily as there is a mechanism which works 
behind the determination of exchange rate. One of the most important factors 
which affect the exchange rate is the demand and supply of the domestic and
foreign currency. There are some other factors also which are having major 
impact on the exchange rate determination. These are: 
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 Market Situation: 
India follows the “Floating Rate System” for determining the exchange rate. 
In this system, market situation also is pivot for determining exchange rate. 
As we know that 90% of the FOREX market is between the banks and so 
how the banks are taking the decision for settling out their different 
exposures in the domestic or foreign currency is impacting the exchange 
rate. Apart from the banks, transactions of exporters and importers are 
having impact on this market. So in the day-to-day FOREX market, on the 
basis of the bank and trader’s transactions, the demand and supply of the 
currencies increase or decrease and that is deciding the exchange rate. 
 Economic Factors: 
In the FOREX market, economic factors of the country play an important 
role. The growth and development of any country depends on how stable 
its economy is. Herein, there are two types of economic factors which 
affect the exchange rate: 
1. Internal Factors: 
(a) Fiscal Deficit of the country 
(b) GDP and GNP of the country 
(c) Inflation Rate 
(d) Agricultural Growth and Production 
(e) Infrastructure 
(f) Policies like EXIM policy, Credit Policy as well as the reforms 
undertaken in the yearly budget 
(g) Foreign Exchange Reserves 
2. External Factors: 
(a) Export – Import trade with foreign countries 
(b) Relationship with foreign countries 
(c) International Oil and Gold prices 
(d) Foreign Direct Investment, Portfolio investment 
(e) Loan sanction by World Bank and IMF
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 Political Factors: 
Political factors also play an important role in determining the exchange 
rate. The party forming the Government after winning the elections held 
every five years also play a pivot role. Political stability helps improving the 
exchange rates whereas on the other hand, political uncertainty leads to 
the depreciation of the currency. The instability in the year 1999 led to the 
depreciation of Rupee by 30 paise in April.
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Foreign Exchange 
Exposure and Risk:
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Foreign Exchange Exposure: 
Description: 
Foreign exchange risk is related to the variability of the domestic currency values 
of assets, liabilities or operating income due to unanticipated changes in 
exchange rates, whereas foreign exchange exposure is what is at risk. 
Foreign currency exposures and the attendant risk arise whenever a company has 
an income or expenditure or an asset or liability in a currency other than that of 
the balance-sheet currency. Indeed exposures can arise even for companies with 
no income, expenditure, asset or liability in a currency different from the balance-sheet 
currency. 
When there is a condition prevalent where the exchange rates become extremely 
volatile, the exchange rate movements destabilize the cash flows of a business 
significantly. Such destabilization of cash flows that affects the profitability of the 
business is the risk from foreign currency exposures. 
Classification of Exposures: 
Financial economists distinguish between three types of currency exposures – 
Transaction Exposures, Translation Exposures and Economic Exposures. All three 
affect the bottom-line of the business. 
 Transaction Exposure: 
The transaction exposure component of the foreign exchange rates is also 
referred to as a short-term economic exposure. This relates to the risk 
attached to specific contracts in which the company has already entered 
that result in foreign exchange exposures. A company may have a 
transaction exposure if it is either on the buy side or sell side of a business 
transaction. Any transaction that leads to an inflow or outflow of a foreign 
currency results in a transaction exposure. 
For example, Company A located in the United States has a contract for 
purchasing raw material from Company B located in the United Kingdom 
for the next two years at a product price fixed today. In this case, Company
A is the foreign exchange payer and is exposed to a transaction risk from 
movements in the pound rate relative to dollar. If the pound sterling 
depreciates, Company A has to make a smaller payment in dollar terms, but 
if the pound appreciates, Company A has to pay a larger amount in dollar 
terms leading to foreign currency exposure. 
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Transaction exposure arises from: 
 Purchasing or selling on credit goods or services whose prices are stated in 
foreign currencies. 
 Borrowing or lending funds when repayment is to be made in a foreign 
currency. 
 Being a party to an unperformed foreign exchange forward contract. 
 Otherwise acquiring assets or incurring liabilities denominated in foreign 
currencies. 
Strategy to manage Transaction Exposure: 
 Hedging through invoice currency: 
The firm can shift, share or diversify exchange risk by appropriately 
choosing the currency of invoice. Firms can avoid exchange rate risk by 
invoicing in domestic currency, thereby shifting the exchange rate risk on 
buyer. 
As a practical matter, however, the firm may not be able to use risk shifting 
or sharing as much as it wishes to for fear of losing sales to competitors. 
Only an exporter with substantial market power can use this approach. 
Also, if the currencies of both the importer and exporter are not suitable 
for settling international trade, neither party can resort to risk shifting to 
deal with exchange exposure. 
 Hedging via lead and lag: 
To “lead” means to pay or collect early, whereas “lag” means to pay or 
collect late. The firm would like to lead soft currency receivables and lag 
hard currency receivables to avoid the loss from depreciation of the soft 
currency and benefit from the appreciation of the hard currency. For the
same reason, the firm will attempt to lead the hard currency payables and 
lag soft currency payables. To the extent that the firm can effectively 
implement the lead/lag strategy, the transaction exposure the firm faces 
can be reduced. 
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 Translation Exposure: 
Translation exposure of foreign exchange is of an accounting nature and is 
related to a gain or loss arising from the conversion or translation of the 
financial statements of a subsidiary located in another country. 
A company such as General Motors may sell cars in about 200 countries 
and manufacture those cars in as many as 50 different countries. Such a 
company owns subsidiaries or operations in foreign countries and is 
exposed to translation risk. At the end of the financial year the company is 
required to report all its combined operations in the domestic currency 
terms leading to a loss or gain resulting from the movement in various 
foreign currencies. 
 Economic Exposure: 
Economic exposure is a rather long-term effect of the transaction exposure. 
If a firm is continuously affected by an unavoidable exposure to foreign 
exchange over the long-term, it is said to have an economic exposure. Such 
exposure to foreign exchange results in an impact on the market value of 
the company as the risk is inherent to the company and impacts its 
profitability over the years. 
A beer manufacturer in Argentina that has its market concentration in the 
United States is continuously exposed to the movements in the dollar rate 
and is said to have an economic foreign exchange exposure. 
Economic exposure consists of mainly two types of exposures. They are: 
1) Asset Exposure 
2) Operating Exposure 
Economic risk is difficult to quantify but a favored strategy to manage it is 
to diversify internationally, in terms of sales, location of production
facilities, raw materials and financing. Such diversification is likely to 
significantly reduce the impact of economic exposure relative to a purely 
domestic company, and provide much greater flexibility to react to real 
exchange rate changes. 
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Foreign Exchange Risk: 
Nature of Foreign Exchange Risk: 
Foreign Exchange dealing is a business that one get involved in, primarily to 
obtain protection against adverse rate movements on their core international 
business. Foreign Exchange dealing is essentially a risk-reward business where 
profit potential is substantial but it is extremely risky too. 
Foreign exchange business has the certain peculiarities that make it a very risky 
business. These would include: 
 FOREX deals are across country borders and therefore, often foreign 
currency prices are subject to controls and restrictions imposed by foreign 
authorities. Needless to say, these controls and restrictions are invariably 
dictated by their own domestic factors and economy. 
 FOREX deals involve two currencies and therefore, rates are influenced by 
domestic as well as international factors. 
 The FOREX market is a 24-hour global market and overseas developments 
can affect rates significantly. 
 The FOREX market has great depth and numerous players shifting vast 
sums of money. FOREX rates therefore, can move considerably, especially 
when speculation against a currency rises. 
 FOREX markets are characterized by advanced technology, communications 
and speed. Decision-making has to be instantaneous. 
Description of Foreign Exchange Risk 
In simple word FOREX risk is the variability in the profit due to change in foreign 
exchange rate. Suppose the company is exporting goods to foreign company then
it gets the payment after month or so then change in exchange rate may effect in 
the inflows of the fund. If rupee value depreciated he may lose some money. 
Similarly if rupees value appreciated against foreign currency then it may gain 
more rupees. Hence there is risk involved in it. 
Classification of Foreign Exchange Risk 
 Position Risk 
 Gap or Maturity or Mismatch Risk 
 Translation Risk 
 Operational Risk 
 Credit Risk 
1. Position Risk 
The exchange risk on the net open FOREXposition is called the position risk. The 
position can be a long/overbought position or it could be a short/oversold 
position. The excess of foreign currency assets over liabilities is called a net long 
position whereas the excess of foreign currency liabilities over assets is called a 
net short position. Since all purchases and sales are at a rate, the net position too 
is at a net/average rate. Any adverse movement in market rates would result in a 
loss on the net currency position. 
For example, where a net long position is in a currency whose value is 
depreciating, the conversion of the currency will result in a lower amount of the 
corresponding currency resulting in a loss, whereas a net long position in an 
appreciating currency would result in a profit. Given the volatility 
in FOREX markets and external factors that affect FX rates, it is prudent to have 
controls and limits that can minimize losses and ensure a reasonable profit. 
The most popular controls/limits on open position risks are: 
 Daylight Limit: Refers to the maximum net open position that can be built up a 
trader during the course of the working day. This limit is set currency-wise and 
the overall position of all currencies as well. 
 Overnight Limit: Refers to the net open position that a trader can leave 
overnight – to be carried forward for the next working day. This limit too is set 
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currency-wise and the overall overnight limit for all currencies. Generally, 
overnight limits are about 15% of the daylight limits. 
2. Mismatch Risk/Gap Risk 
Where a foreign currency is bought and sold for different value dates, it creates 
no net position i.e. there is no FX risk. But due to the different value dates 
involved there is a “mismatch” i.e. the purchase/sale dates do not match. These 
mismatches, or gaps as they are often called, result in an uneven cash flow. If the 
forward rates move adversely, such mismatches would result in losses. 
Mismatches expose one to risks of exchange losses that arise out of adverse 
movement in the forward points and therefore, controls need to be initiated. 
The limits on Gap risks are: 
 Individual Gap Limit: This determines the maximum mismatch for any 
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calendar month; currency-wise. 
 Aggregate Gap Limit: Is the limit fixed for all gaps, for a currency, irrespective 
of their being long or short. This is worked out by adding the absolute values of 
all overbought and all oversold positions for the various months, i.e. the total 
of the individual gaps, ignoring the signs. This limit, too, is fixed currency-wise. 
 Total Aggregate Gap Limit: Is the limit fixed for all aggregate gap limits in all 
currencies. 
3. Translation Risk 
Translation risk refers to the risk of adverse rate movement on foreign currency 
assets and liabilities funded out of domestic currency. 
There cannot be a limit on translation risk but it can be managed by: 
1. Funding of Foreign Currency Assets/Liabilities through money markets i.e. 
borrowing or lending of foreign currencies 
2. Funding through FX swaps 
3. Hedging the risk by means of Currency Options 
4. Funding through Multi Currency Interest Rate Swaps 
4. Operational Risk
The operational risks refer to risks associated with systems, procedures, frauds 
and human errors. It is necessary to recognize these risks and put adequate 
controls in place, in advance. It is important to remember that in most of these 
cases corrective action needs to be taken post-event too. The following areas 
need to be addressed and controls need to be initiated. 
 Segregation of trading and accounting functions: The execution of deals is a 
function quite distinct from the dealing function. The two have to be kept 
separate to ensure a proper check on trading activities, to ensure all deals are 
accounted for, that no positions are hidden and no delay occurs. 
 Follow-up and Confirmation: Quite often deals are transacted over the phone 
directly or through brokers. Every oral deal has to be followed up immediately by 
written confirmations; both by the dealing departments and by back-office or 
support staff. This would ensure that errors are detected and rectified 
immediately. 
 Settlement of funds: Timely settlement of funds is necessary not only to avoid 
delayed payment interest penalty but also to avoid embarrassment and loss of 
credibility. 
 Overdue contracts: Care should be taken to monitor outstanding contracts and to 
ensure proper settlements. This will avoid unnecessary swap costs, excessive 
credit balances and overdrawn Nostro accounts. 
 Float transactions: Often retail departments and other areas are authorized to 
create exposures. Proper measures should be taken to make sure that such 
departments and areas inform the authorized persons/departments of these 
exposures, in time. A proper system of maximum amount trading authorities 
should be installed. Any amount in excess of such maximum should be transacted 
only after proper approvals and rate. 
5. Credit Risk 
Credit risk refers to risks dealing with counter parties. The credit is contingent 
upon the performance of its part of the contract by the counter party. The risk is 
not only due to non-performance but also at times, the inability to perform by the 
counter party. 
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The credit risk can be: 
 Contract risk: Where the counter party fails prior to the value date. In such 
a case, the FOREX deal would have to be replaced in the market, to 
liquidate the FOREX exposure. If there has been an adverse rate movement, 
this would result in an exchange loss. A contract limit is set counter party-wise 
to manage this risk. 
 Clean risk: Where the counter party fails on the value date i.e. it fails to 
deliver the currency, while you have already paid up. Here the risk is of the 
capital amount and the loss can be substantial. Fixing a daily settlement 
limit as well as a total outstanding limit, counter party-wise can control 
such a risk. 
 Sovereign Risk: refers to risks associated with dealing into another country. 
These risks would be an account of exchange control regulations, political 
instability etc. Country limits are set to counter this risk. 
Differentiation of Exposure with Risk 
Even though foreign exchange risk and exposure have been the central issues of 
International Financial Management for many years, a considerable degree of 
confusion remains about their nature and measurement. 
For instance, it is not uncommon to hear the term “Foreign Exchange Exposure” 
used interchangeably with the term ‘Foreign Exchange Risk” when in fact they 
conceptually completely different. Foreign Exchange Risk is related to the 
variability of domestic currency of assets, liabilities or operating incomes due to 
unanticipated changes in exchange rates whereas Foreign Exchange Exposure is 
what is at risk.
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Foreign Exchange Risk 
Management and Hedging 
Tools
FOREX Risk Management: 
Description: 
As a business engaged in the buying and selling of goods/services overseas, a 
company is exposed to foreign exchange risks. These risks arise from the 
fluctuations in the currency market, which will impact outgoing payments for 
imports or incoming funds from exports. Changes in the exchange rate between 
two currencies will translate into additional profits or losses to the payables or 
receivables. The amount of risk depends on factors such as the volatilities of the 
currencies involved and the value of the contract. 
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Objectives of Risk Management: 
 To minimize costs 
 To maximize revenue 
 To stabilize margins in the future 
Understanding the Risk: 
 Identify your exposure: 
Risk is not just limited to imports and exports. It can exist for any area of a 
business that has an international component and requires foreign funds. 
For example, these can include: 
i) Goods and services for import/export 
ii) Company assets that are purchased from a supplier abroad 
iii) Operational costs for overseas offices or factories (such as rent, 
equipment, payroll etc.) 
iv) Staff’s global travel expenses 
 Calculate your exposure: 
Figure out the sum value of all the components of business that are 
exposed to foreign exchange risk. Then calculate as to what would happen 
if one currency falls or rises by a certain amount against another currency. 
Also consider the timeframe for payables or receivables, and the 
corresponding profits or losses over 30-60-90 days. 
 Confirm your company’s foreign exchange objectives:
Each company will have a different approach to foreign exchange that is 
based upon their industry, trade volumes, geographical markets etc. To 
develop one’s own company’s strategy, it is important to understand 
whether or not a company is risk-adverse, the level of risks for the 
currencies you deal with and how sophisticated your knowledge is 
regarding financial services. 
Foreign Exchange Risk Management Framework 
Once a firm recognizes its exposure, it then has to deploy resources in managing 
it. A heuristic for firms to manage this risk effectively is presented below which 
can be modified to suit firm-specific needs i.e. some or all the following tools 
could be used. 
1. Forecasts: After determining its exposure, the first step for a firm is to develop 
a forecast on the market trends and what the main direction/trend is going to be 
on the foreign exchange rates. The period for forecasts is typically 6 months. It is 
important to base the forecasts on valid assumptions. Along with identifying 
trends, a probability should be estimated for the forecast coming true as well as 
how much the change would be. 
2. Risk Estimation: Based on the forecast, a measure of the Value at Risk (the 
actual profit or loss for a move in rates according to the forecast) and the 
probability of this risk should be ascertained. The risk that a transaction would fail 
due to market-specific problems should be taken into account. Finally, the 
Systems Risk that can arise due to inadequacies such as reporting gaps and 
implementation gaps in the firms’ exposure management system should be 
estimated. 
3. Benchmarking: Given the exposures and the risk estimates, the firm has to set 
its limits for handling foreign exchange exposure. The firm also has to decide 
whether to manage its exposures on a cost center or profit center basis. A cost 
center approach is a defensive one and the main aim is ensure that cash flows of 
a firm are not adversely affected beyond a point. A profit center approach on the 
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other hand is a more aggressive approach where the firm decides to generate a 
net profit on its exposure over time. 
4. Hedging: Based on the limits a firm set for itself to manage exposure, the firms 
then decides an appropriate hedging strategy. There are various financial 
instruments available for the firm to choose from: futures, forwards, options and 
swaps and issue of foreign debt. 
Hedging strategies and instruments are explored in a section. 
5. Stop Loss: The firms risk management decisions are based on forecasts which 
are but estimates of reasonably unpredictable trends. It is imperative to have stop 
loss arrangements in order to rescue the firm if the forecasts turn out wrong. For 
this, there should be certain monitoring systems in place to detect critical levels in 
the foreign exchange rates for appropriate measure to be taken. 
6. Reporting and Review: Risk management policies are typically subjected to 
review based on periodic reporting. The reports mainly include profit/ loss status 
on open contracts after marking to market, the actual exchange/ interest rate 
achieved on each exposure and profitability vis-à-vis the benchmark and the 
expected changes in overall exposure due to forecasted exchange/ interest rate 
movements. The review analyses whether the benchmarks set are valid and 
effective in controlling the exposures, what the market trends are and finally 
whether the overall strategy is working or needs change. 
Determinants of Hedging Decisions: 
The management of foreign exchange risk, as has been established so far, is a 
fairly complicated process. A firm, exposed to foreign exchange risk, needs to 
formulate a strategy to manage it, choosing from multiple alternatives. This 
section explores what factors firms take into consideration when formulating 
these strategies. 
I. Production and Trade vs. Hedging Decisions 
An important issue for multinational firms is the allocation of capital among 
different countries production and sales and at the same time hedging their 
exposure to the varying exchange rates. Research in this area suggests that the 
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elements of exchange rate uncertainty and the attitude toward risk are irrelevant 
to the multinational firm's sales and production decisions (Broll, 1993). Only the 
revenue function and cost of production are to be assessed, and, the production 
and trade decisions in multiple countries are independent of the hedging 
decision. The implication of this independence is that the presence of markets for 
hedging instruments greatly reduces the complexity involved in a firm’s decision 
making as it can separate production and sales functions from the finance 
function. The firm avoids the need to form expectations about future exchange 
rates and formulation of risk preferences which entails high information costs. 
II. Cost of Hedging 
Hedging can be done through the derivatives market or through money markets 
(foreign debt). In either case the cost of hedging should be the difference 
between value received from a hedged position and the value received if the firm 
did not hedge. In the presence of efficient markets, the cost of hedging in the 
forward market is the difference between the future spot rate and current 
forward rate plus any transactions cost associated with the forward contract. 
Similarly, the expected costs of hedging in the money market are the transactions 
cost plus the difference between the interest rate differential and the expected 
value of the difference between the current and future spot rates. In efficient 
markets, both types of hedging should produce similar results at the same costs, 
because interest rates and forward and spot exchange rates are determined 
simultaneously. The costs of hedging, assuming efficiency in foreign exchange 
markets result in pure transaction costs. The three main elements of these 
transaction costs are brokerage or service fees charged by dealers, information 
costs such as subscription to Reuter reports and news channels and 
administrative costs of exposure management. 
III. Factors affecting the decision to hedge foreign currency risk 
Research in the area of determinants of hedging separates the decision of a firm 
to hedge from that of how much to hedge. There is conclusive evidence to 
suggest that firms with larger size, R&D expenditure and exposure to exchange 
rates through foreign sales and foreign trade are more likely to use derivatives. 
(Allayanis and Ofek, 2001) 
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First, the following section describes the factors that affect the decision to hedge 
and then the factors affecting the degree of hedging are considered. 
 Firm size: Firm size acts as a proxy for the cost of hedging or economies of 
scale. Risk management involves fixed costs of setting up of computer 
systems and training/hiring of personnel in foreign exchange management. 
Moreover, large firms might be considered as more creditworthy 
counterparties for forward or swap transactions, thus further reducing their 
cost of hedging. The book valueof assets is used as a measure of firm size. 
 Leverage: According to the risk management literature, firms with high 
leverage have greater incentive to engage in hedging because doing so 
reduces the probability, and thus the expected cost of financial distress. 
Highly levered firms avoid foreign debt as a means to hedge and use 
derivatives. 
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 Liquidity and profitability: Firms with highly liquid assets or high 
profitability have less incentive to engage in hedging because they are 
exposed to a lower probability of financial distress. Liquidity is measured by 
the quick ratio, i.e. quickassets divided by current liabilities). Profitability is 
measured as EBIT divided bybook assets. 
 Sales growth: Sales growth is a factor determining decision to hedge as 
opportunities are more likely to be affected by the underinvestment 
problem. For these firms, hedging will reduce the probability of having to 
rely on external financing, which is costly for information asymmetry 
reasons, and thus enable them to enjoy uninterrupted high growth. The 
measure of sales growth isobtained using the 3-year geometric average of 
yearly sales growth rates.
Hedging Tools: 
Hedging means reducing or controlling risk. This is done by taking a position in the 
futures market that is opposite to the one in the physical market with the 
objective of reducing or limiting risks associated with price changes. 
It is a two-step process. A gain or loss in the cash position due to changes in price 
levels will be countered by changes in the value of a futures position. 
To Hedge or Not To Hedge? 
Hedging has come into existence because of the prevalence of risks in every 
business. These risks could be physical, operating and investment and credit risks. 
Some of the risks such as the movements in commodity markets may be beyond 
our control. 
Hedging provides a means of managing such risks. The need to manage external 
risk is thus one pillar of the derivative market. Parties wishing to manage their 
risks are called hedgers. 
Some people and businesses are in the business of taking risks to make money i.e. 
the possibility of a reward. These parties represent another pillar of derivative 
market and are known as speculators. 
Some derivative market participants look for pricing differences and market’s 
mistakes and takes advantage of these. These mistakes thus eventually disappear 
and never become too large. Such participants are known as arbitrageurs. 
By covering the currency commitment by derivative contracts, exporter/importer 
needs no longer worry about the exchange risk element in the foreign 
transactions. 
Numerous studies have found that managing this risk can successfully reduce 
your company’s foreign exchange exposure. Managing foreign exchange risk 
provides the following benefits to many Canadian companies: 
 minimize the effects of exchange rate movements on profit margins 
 increase the predictability of future cash flows 
 eliminate the need to accurately forecast the future direction of exchange 
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rates 
 facilitate the pricing of products sold on export markets
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 protect, temporarily, a company’s competitiveness if the value of the 
Rupee rises (thereby buying time for the company to improve productivity) 
Hedging Tools (Derivatives) 
Introduction 
The gradual liberalization of Indian economy has resulted in substantial inflow of 
foreign capital into India. Simultaneously dismantling of trade barriers has also 
facilitated the integration of domestic economy with world economy. With the 
globalization of trade and relatively free movement of financial assets, risk 
management through derivatives products has become a necessity in India also, 
like in other developed and developing countries. As Indian businesses become 
more global in their approach, evolution of a broad based, active and liquid 
FOREX derivatives markets is required to provide them with a spectrum of 
hedging products for effectively managing their foreign exchange exposures. 
The global market for derivatives has grown substantially in the recent past. The 
Foreign Exchange and Derivatives Market Activity survey conducted by Bank for 
International Settlements (BIS) points to this increased activity. The total 
estimated notional amount of outstanding OTC contracts increasing to $150 
trillion at end−December 2009 from $94 trillion at end−June 2000. This growth in 
the derivatives segment is even more substantial when viewed in the light of 
declining activity in the spot foreign exchange markets. The turnover in traditional 
foreign exchange markets declined substantially between 1998 and 2009. In April 
2001, average daily turnover was $1,200 billion,compared to $1,490 billion in 
April 1998, a 14% decline when volumes are measured at constant exchange 
rates. Whereas the global daily turnover during the same period in foreign 
exchange and interest rate derivative contracts, including what are considered to 
be "traditional" foreign exchange derivative instruments, increased by an 
estimated 10% to $1.4 trillion. 
Evolution of the FOREX derivatives market in India: 
This tremendous growth in global derivative markets can be attributed to a 
number of factors. They reallocate risk among financial market participants, help
to make financial markets more complete, and provide valuable information to 
investors about economic fundamentals. Derivatives also provide an important 
function of efficient price discovery and make unbundling of risk easier. In India, 
the economic liberalization in the early nineties provided the economic rationale 
for the introduction of FX derivatives. Business houses started actively 
approaching foreign markets not only with their products but also as a source of 
capital and direct investment opportunities. With limited convertibility on the 
trade account being introduced in 1993, the environment became even more 
conducive for the introduction of these hedge products. 
Hence, the development in the Indian FOREX derivatives market should be seen 
along with the steps taken to gradually reform the Indian financial markets. As 
these steps were largely instrumental in the integration of the Indian financial 
markets with the global markets, the Indian economy saw a sea change in the 
year 1999 whereby it ceased to be a closed and protected economy, and adopted 
the globalization route, to become a part of the world economy. In the pre-liberalization 
era, marked by State dominated, tightly regulated foreign exchange 
regime, the only risk management tool available for corporate enterprises was, 
‘lobbying for government intervention’. With the advent of LERMS (Liberalized 
Exchange Rate Mechanism System) in India, in 1992, the market forces started to 
present a regime with steady price volatility as against the earlier trend of long 
periods of constant prices followed by sudden, large price movements. 
The unified exchange rate phase has witnessed improvement in informational and 
operationalefficiency of the foreign exchange market, though at a halting pace. In 
the corporate finance literature, research on risk management has focused on the 
question of why firms should hedge a given risk. 
The literature makes the important point that measuring risk exposures is an 
essential component of a firm's risk management strategy. Without knowledge of 
the primitive risk exposures of a firm, it is not possible to test whether firms are 
altering their exposures in a manner consistent with theory. Recent product 
innovations in the financial markets and the use of these products by the 
corporate sector are also examined. In addition to the traditional "physical" 
products, such as spot and forward exchange rates, the new "synthetic" or 
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derivative products, including options, futures and swaps, and their use by the 
corporate sector is considered. These synthetic products have their market value 
determined by the value of a specific, underlying, physical product. The spurts in 
foreign investments in India have led to substantial increase in the quantum of 
inflows and outflows in different currencies, with varying maturities. Corporate 
enterprises have had to face the challenges of the shift from low risk to high risk 
operations involving foreign exchange. There was increasing awareness of the 
need for introduction of financial derivatives in order to enable hedging against 
market risk in a cost effective way. Earlier, the Indian companies had been 
entering into forward contracts with banks, which were the Authorized Dealers 
(AD) in foreign exchange. But many firms preferred to keep their risk exposures 
un-hedged as they found the forward contracts to be very costly. In the current 
formative phase of the development of the foreign exchange market, it will be 
worthwhile to take stock of the initiatives taken by corporate enterprises in 
identifying and managing foreign exchange risk. 
Risk Management Tools Available in India: 
A derivative is a financial contract whose value is derived from the value of some 
other financial asset, such as a stock price, a commodity price, an exchange rate, 
an interest rate, or even an index of prices. The main role of derivatives is that 
they reallocate risk among financial market participants,help to make financial 
markets more complete. This section outlines the hedging strategies using 
derivatives with foreign exchange being the only risk assumed. The FOREX 
derivative products that are available in the Indian financial market are as follows: 
 Forwards: A forward is a made-to-measure agreement between two 
parties to buy/sell aspecified amount of a currency at a specified rate on 
a particular date in the future. Thedepreciation of the receivable 
currency is hedged against by selling a currency forward. If therisk is that 
of a currency appreciation (if the firm has to buy that currency in future 
say forimport), it can hedge by buying the currency forward. E.g. if RIL 
Shri Sunshine Group of Education 
Page54
wants to buy crude oil in USdollars six months hence, it can enter into a 
forward contract to pay INR and buy USD and lockin a fixed exchange 
rate for INR-USD to be paid after 6 months regardless of the actual INR 
Dollarrate at the time. In this example the downside is an appreciation 
of Dollar which isprotected by a fixed forward contract. The main 
advantage of a forward is that it can be tailoredto the specific needs of 
the firm and an exact hedge can be obtained. On the downside, these 
contracts are not marketable; they can’t be sold to another party when 
they are no longerrequired and are binding. 
Shri Sunshine Group of Education 
Page55 
Generally there are two types of Forward Contracts: 
 Fixed Forward Contract: 
The forward contract under which the delivery of foreign exchange 
should take place on a specified future date is known as a fixed forward 
contract. 
It is further sub-divided into two: 
1) Rupee Forward Contract 
2) Cross Currency Forward Contract 
 Option Forward Contract: 
With a view to eliminate the difficulty in fixing the exact date for 
delivery of foreign exchange, the customer may be given a choice of 
delivering the foreign exchange during a given period of days. 
“An arrangement whereby the customer can sell/buy from the bank 
foreign exchange on any day during a given period of time at a 
predetermined rate of exchange is known as an Option Forward 
Contract.” 
 Futures: A futures contract is similar to the forward contract but is more 
liquid because it istraded in an organized exchange i.e. the futures 
market. Depreciation of a currency can behedged by selling futures and 
appreciation can be hedged by buying futures. Advantages offutures are
that there is a central market for futures which eliminates the problem 
of doublecoincidence. Futures require a small initial outlay (a proportion 
of the value of the future) withwhich significant amounts of money can 
be gained or lost with the actual forwards pricefluctuations. This 
provides a sort of leverage.The previous example for a forward contract 
for RIL applies here also just that RIL will have togo to a USD futures 
exchange to purchase standardized dollar futures equal to the amount 
tobe hedged as the risk is that of appreciation of the dollar. As 
mentioned earlier, the tailor abilityof the futures contract is limited i.e. 
only standard denominations of money can be boughtinstead of the 
exact amounts that are bought in forward contracts.In India, Currency 
Futures in INR is not available otherwise in world FOREX market; all 
major currency futures are available. Currency futures are traded on 
futures exchange and the most popular exchanges are the ones where 
the contracts are transferable freely. The Singapore International 
Monetary Exchange (SIMEX) and the International Monetary Marker, 
Chicago (IMM) are the most popular futures exchanges. The main 
currencies traded on the exchanges are Japanese Yen, Pound Sterling, 
Swiss Franc, Australian Dollar and Canadian Dollar. 
Shri Sunshine Group of Education 
Page56 
 Options: A Currency Option is a contract giving the right, not the 
obligation, to buy or sell aspecific quantity of one foreign currency in 
exchange for another at a fixed price; called theExercise Price or Strike 
Price. The fixed nature of the exercise price reduces the uncertainty 
ofexchange rate changes and limits the losses of open currency 
positions. Options areparticularly suited as a hedging tool for contingent 
cash flows, as is the case in biddingprocesses. Call Options are used if 
the risk is an upward trend in price (of the currency), whilePut Options 
are used if the risk is a downward trend. Again taking the example of RIL 
whichneeds to purchase crude oil in USD in 6 months, if RIL buys a Call 
option (as the risk is anupward trend in dollar rate), i.e. the right to buy 
a specified amount of dollars at a fixed rate ona specified date, there are
two scenarios. If the exchange rate movement is favorable i.e. thedollar 
depreciates, then RIL can buy them at the spot rate as they have 
become cheaper. Inthe other case, if the dollar appreciates compared to 
today’s spot rate, RIL can exercise theoption to purchase it at the agreed 
strike price. In either case RIL benefits by paying the lowerprice to 
purchase the dollar. 
Generally, there are two types of Options: 
(1) Cross Currency Options: 
The RBI has permitted authorized dealers to offer cross currency options to 
the corporate clients and other interbank counter parties to hedge their 
foreign currency exposures. Before the introduction of these options, the 
corporate were permitted to hedge their foreign currency exposures only 
through forwards and swaps route. Forwards and swaps do remove the 
uncertainty by hedging the exposure but they also result in the elimination 
of potential extraordinary gains from the currency position. Currency 
options provide a way of availing of the upside from any currency exposure 
while being protected from the downside for the payment of an upfront 
premium. 
Shri Sunshine Group of Education 
Page57 
(2) Rupee Currency Options: 
Introduction of USD-INR options would enable Indian FOREX market 
participants manage their exposures better by hedging the Dollar-Rupee 
risk. The advantages of currency options in Dollar-Rupee would be as 
follows: 
 The nature of the instrument makes its use possible as a hedge 
against uncertainty of cash flows. Option structures can be used to 
hedge the volatility along-with the non-linear nature of pay-offs. 
 Hedge for currency exposures to protect the downside while 
retaining the upside by laying a premium upfront. This would be a big 
advantage for importers, exporters as well as businesses with 
exposures to international prices. 
 Swaps: A swap is a foreign currency contract whereby the buyer and 
seller exchange equalinitial principal amounts of two different
currencies at the spot rate. The buyer and seller exchange fixed or 
floating rate interest payments in their respective swapped currencies 
overthe term of the contract. At maturity, the principal amount is 
effectively re-swapped at apredetermined exchange rate so that the 
parties end up with their original currencies. Theadvantages of swaps 
are that firms with limited appetite for exchange rate risk may move to 
apartially or completely hedged position through the mechanism of 
foreign currency swaps,while leaving the underlying borrowing intact. 
Apart from covering the exchange rate risk,swaps also allow firms to 
hedge the floating interest rate risk. Consider an export 
orientedcompany that has entered into a swap for a notional principal 
of USD 1 million at an exchangerate of 42/dollar.The company pays US 
6months LIBOR to the bank and receives 11.00% p.a. every 6 monthson 
1st January & 1st July, till 5 years. Such a company would have earnings 
in Dollars and canuse the same to pay interest for this kind of borrowing 
(in dollars rather than in Rupee) thushedging its exposures. 
Shri Sunshine Group of Education 
Page58 
 Foreign Debt: Foreign debt can be used to hedge foreign exchange 
exposure by takingadvantage of the International Fischer Effect 
relationship. This is demonstrated with theexample of an exporter who 
has to receive a fixed amount of dollars in a few months frompresent. 
The exporter stands to lose if the domestic currency appreciates against 
that currencyin the meanwhile so, to hedge this; he could take a loan in 
the foreign currency for the sametime period and convert the same into 
domestic currency at the current exchange rate. Thetheory assures that 
the gain realized by investing the proceeds from the loan would match 
theinterest rate payment (in the foreign currency) for the loan.
Other Hedging Instruments: 
Hedging FX exposure is possible with a range of internal and external methods. 
– Internal methods can be utilized to manage FX risk from within the company 
or between related companies without the use of external market 
instruments→ operating and financial hedges (also natural hedge). 
Internal methods: 
Shri Sunshine Group of Education 
Page59 
 Invoice in home currency 
One easy way is to insist that all foreign customers pay in your home 
currency and that your company pays for all imports in your home 
currency. 
However the exchange-rate risk has not gone away, it has just been 
passed onto the customer. Your customer may not be too happy with 
your strategy and simply look for an alternative supplier. 
Achievable if you are in a monopoly position, however in a competitive 
environment this is an unrealistic approach. 
 Leading and lagging 
If an importer (payment) expects that the currency it is due to pay will 
depreciate, it may attempt to delay payment. This may be achieved by 
agreement or by exceeding credit terms. 
If an exporter (receipt) expects that the currency it is due to receive will 
depreciate over the next three months it may try to obtain payment 
immediately. This may be achieved by offering a discount for immediate 
payment. The problem lies in guessing which way the exchange rate will 
move. 
 Matching 
When a company has receipts and payments in the same foreign 
currency due at the same time, it can simply match them against each 
other. 
It is then only necessary to deal on the FOREX markets for the 
unmatched portion of the total transactions. An extension of the 
matching idea is setting up a foreign currency bank account.
Shri Sunshine Group of Education 
Page60 
 Decide to do nothing? 
The company would "win some, lose some". Theory suggests that, in the 
long run, gains and losses net off to leave a similar result to that if 
hedged. 
In the short run, however, losses may be significant. One additional 
advantage of this policy is the savings in transaction costs. 
– External methods refer to hedging methods available to the company 
externally (on the market) in the form of specialized hedging instruments→ 
contractual hedges. 
External methods: 
 Short Term Borrowing 
Debt-borrowing in the currency to which the firm is exposed or investing 
in interest bearing assets to offset a foreign currency payment is a 
widely used hedging tool that serves much the same purpose as forward 
contracts. The cost of this money market hedge is the interest 
differentials between the two countries. The money market hedge suits 
many companies because they have to borrow anyway, so it is simply a 
matter of denominating the company’s debt in the currency to which it 
is exposed. 
 Discounting 
Discounting can be used to cover only the export receivables. It cannot 
be used to cover foreign currency payables or to hedge a translation 
exposure. Where an export receivable is to be settled by bill of 
exchange, the exporter can discount the bill any time and receive the 
payment before the receivable settlement date. The bill may be 
discounted either with the foreign bank in the customer’s country in 
which case the foreign currency proceeds can be repatriated 
immediately or with the exporter’s country bank at the currency spot 
rate. 
 Factoring
Factoring can only be used as a means of covering export receivables. 
When the export receivable is to be settled on open account, rather 
than by bill of exchange, the receivables can be assigned as collateral for 
selected bank financing. Under most circumstances, such service will 
give protection against rate changes, though during unsettled periods in 
the foreign exchange markets, appropriate variations may be made in 
the factoring agreement. 
Shri Sunshine Group of Education 
Page61 
 Government Exchange Risk Guarantees 
To encourage exports, government agencies in many countries offer 
their exporters insurance against export, credit risk and special export 
financing schemes.
Shri Sunshine Group of Education 
Page62 
Foreign Exchange Risk Management at Rolex: 
Rolex Rings Pvt. Ltd. being the largest producer of hot forged rolled rings in India 
along-with finished machining through CNC route is bound to have a good 
amount of import-export of its own. According to the company sources, out of 
the total sales of the company, 70% comprises that of the exports and the 
remaining 30% is that of the domestic sales. 
The company in order to carry out its production activity does import a part of its 
raw materials from the foreign countries. It also has a set of huge imported 
machineries purchased from countries like Japan, Germany etc. Some of the 
specialized services too are being imported by the firm for its facilitation. 
So in order to manage these kinds of transactions, a company like Rolex Rings is 
bound to have a proper FOREX management system so as to generate profits. The 
absence of this kind of a system will ultimately lead to losses which will affect the 
company in many different ways. 
At Rolex Rings, the firm uses the following techniques for the imports and 
exports: 
For Exports: 
 Discounting the Bill of Exchange: 
A non-interest-bearing written order used primarily in international 
trade that binds one party to pay a fixed sum of money to another party 
at a predetermined future date. 
Bills of exchange are similar to checks and promissory notes. They can 
be drawn by individuals or banks and are generally transferable by 
endorsements. The difference between a promissory note and a bill of 
exchange is that this product is transferable and can bind one party to 
pay a third party that was not involved in its creation. If these bills are 
issued by a bank, they can be referred to as bank drafts. If they are 
issued by individuals, they can be referred to as trade drafts.
As soon as the bill of exchange is accepted by the concerned party, the 
bill is discounted by Rolex Rings from the bank. The bank is then liable to 
pay the amount of export order to the firm based on the spot rate of the 
currency in exchange market. After this, at the time of the maturity of 
the bill, the bank will then collect the same amount of foreign currency 
from the importer. However, though the amount of the foreign currency 
will be the same, the rate of the same in INR at that point of time may 
be different i.e. high or low. 
Let us take an example to understand this in a better way. 
Suppose on Jan 1, 2013 Rolex Rings received the bill of exchange of an 
export order of amount 100000$ having a maturity period of 3 months. 
Now for Rolex, it can wait till 3 months or else it can get it discounted. 
So the firm goes with the discounting from the bank. On that particular 
day, the spot rate of the USD/INR = Rs.50. thus, the bank will now pay 
the firm with 100000*50= Rs.5000000. 
Now on Mar 31, 2013 i.e. the maturity date, the bank will collect the 
100000$ from the importer. Turns out that the USD/INR rate on that day 
was Rs.52. As a result, the bank will be receiving 100000*52 = 
Rs.5200000 from the importer. There can be altogether a completely 
opposite situation too, whereby the bank might have to bear some loss 
because of the reduced USD/INR rate. 
Rolex Rings has its deals with two types of currencies in its export orders. They 
are: 
Shri Sunshine Group of Education 
Page63 
1) US Dollar 
2) Euro 
For Imports: 
Import of Raw Materials and Components 
 Forward Contracts:
Forward exchange contract is a device which can afford adequate 
protection to an importer or an exporter against exchange risk. Forward 
currency contracts are most widely used tools for foreign exchange risk 
management. 
Rolex Rings uses the forward contracts in the import of its raw materials. 
In this case, during the time of purchase a specific payment rate is fixed 
which the firm will be liable to pay at time of final payment. This rate is 
known as the forward rate. Generally they will be having a time period 
of 1, 2 or 3 months. The rate fixed at present day will be the rate that 
the firm will be paying at time of maturity. If at the time of maturity, 
there arises a difference in the pre-determined value and the current 
value, then also the firm will be giving the pre-determined rate only. 
Thus, for an import order of 100000$ with a maturity date of 1 month 
and the forward rate of Rs.52, even though at the time of maturity the 
spot rate turns out to be Rs.53, Rolex Rings will be liable to pay 
100000*52= Rs.5200000 only and not 100000*53 = Rs.5300000. 
Shri Sunshine Group of Education 
Page64 
Import of Services 
 Spot Rates: 
Now as far as the imports of services are concerned, the amount that 
Rolex Rings is liable to pay is based on the spot rate and not the forward 
rate. Herein, as soon as the bill is received by the firm, based on that 
taking into accounts the current market rates, the payment is carried 
out to the exporter. 
Rolex Rings has its deals with the following currencies in the import orders: 
1) US Dollar 
2) Japanese Yen 
3) Canadian Dollar
Shri Sunshine Group of Education 
Page65 
4) Swish Franc 
Here is the table showing the details of the import, export and consumption of 
Rolex Rings for years 2010-11, 2011-12 and 2012-13. 
(Rs. In Million) 
Year 
2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 
Imports Purchase 
Raw Materials 929.19 1263.84 1258.61 
Spare Parts 23.57 27.02 3.22 
Capital Goods 429.04 265.48 37.77 
Consumption 
Imported 
Raw Materials 730.75 1599.15 1465.73 
Components 27.79 28.6 25.39 
Indigenous 
Raw Materials 1233.92 980.13 1363.06 
Components 199.56 411.41 301.06 
Sales 
Export 1679.99 2230.63 2481.31 
Domestic 1456.96 1918.489 1691.06 
Scrap 176.394 366.22 324.635
Findings - Conclusion: 
With reference to the study undertaken with help of the secondary data, some of 
the key findings and conclusion related to that of the Rolex Rings are as follows: 
 The firm is having an effective FOREX management system. 
 The firm is satisfied with the bill discounting it follows for the exports 
Shri Sunshine Group of Education 
Page66 
and forward contracting for imports. 
 The firm being a medium scale industry, it faces transaction exposure. 
 There are no problems as such in the collection and payment of 
amounts. 
 The firm is not interested in adapting any other technique for the 
import-exports. 
 The firm is also flexible in different currency dealings in case of imports. 
 Also, the firm does not believe in speculation as it is the most risky 
technique and least favored by others too.
Shri Sunshine Group of Education 
Page67 
Bibliography: 
 Book: 
Foreign Exchange and Risk Management, C.Jeevanandam – Sultan Chand & 
Sons 
 Newspapers: 
The Economic Times 
Business Standard 
 Research Article: 
Hedging of Foreign Exchange Risk by Corporate in India, Dr. HirenManiar 
 Websites: 
www.rbi.org.in 
www.fedai.org.in 
www.x-rates.com 
www.nseindia.com 
www.rolexrings.com

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“Foreign Exchange Risk Management” at Rolex Rings Pvt. Ltd., Rajkot

  • 1. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page1 Declaration I hereby declare that I had a good learning experience in doing this project titled “Foreign Exchange Risk Management” at Rolex Rings Pvt. Ltd., Rajkot submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of MBA program of Gujarat University. I hereby declare that the project done by me is true to knowledge. The project duration was of weeks. The content of this report is based on the information collected from different sources and the company itself. I further declare that this project report has not been submitted to any other university or institute for the award of any degree or diploma. Date: Vishal Sitapara Place: Rajkot
  • 2. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page2 Acknowledgement: I take this opportunity to express my heartfelt gratitude to all the people who have extended their assistance and provided me the information during the tenure of the project. I am greatly indebted to them for their guidance and support throughout the project and for sparing their valuable time with me. I earnestly express to Mr. Manish Madeka for giving me this opportunity to work with Rolex Rings Pvt. Ltd. and also to Mr. HirenDoshi and other staff members of the firm for their invaluable guidance, cooperation and support during my internship tenure. I would also like to thank the Director of my college, Dr. SarlaAchuthan and project guide Dr. PrateekKanchan for giving the opportunity to carry out the project in the real world. Thanking You, Vishal Sitapara
  • 3. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page3 Table of Contents: 1) Executive Summary 2) Objectives and Scope a) Objectives b) Scope 3) Company Profile a) Introduction b) History c) Management Team d) Product Profile e) Quality Policy f) Environment g) Bank Affiliation 4) Research Methodology a) Type of Study b) Secondary Data c) Limitations 5) Introduction to FOREX Market a) Introduction b) Foreign Exchange Meaning c) Requisites for FOREX Deals d) Need for FOREX
  • 4. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page4 e) What does Foreign Exchange provide? 6) Foreign Exchange Market in India a) Introduction b) History c) Modified LERMS d) Exchange Rate Systems e) Exchange Rate Systems in India f) Factors affecting Exchange Rate g) Factors affecting Indian Rupee 7) Foreign Exchange Exposure and Risk a) Foreign Exchange Exposure b) Foreign Exchange Risk c) Differentiation of Exposure with Risk 8) FOREX Risk Management & Hedging Tools a) FOREX Risk Management b) Foreign Exchange Risk Management Framework c) Determinants of Hedging Decisions d) Hedging Tools e) Risk Management Tools Available in India f) Other Hedging Instruments 9) FOREX Risk Management at ROLEX RINGS 10) Findings & Conclusion 11) Bibliography
  • 5. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page5 Executive Summary This project is based on the study of Foreign Exchange Risk Management at Rolex Rings Pvt. Ltd. Foreign Exchange, in common parlance, is the exchange of one currency for another. This exchange is done at a particular rate called the exchange rate or the FX rate. The FX rate is the price of one currency in terms of another. As is true with rates, FX rate too is for a pre-determined settlement date i.e. the date on which the actual exchange of the currencies involved would take place. The Liberalized Exchange Rate Management System (LERMS) was introduced in March 1992, and as a result, the foreign exchange market in India effectively became a two-tier one, with a dual exchange rate system in force. One rate was the administered one at which specified type or proportion was determined by demand and supply in the market and applied to the remaining transactions. In March 1993, this system was abolished and now a single market determined rate is applicable for all transactions. The volatility of exchange rates can’t be traced to a single reason and consequently, it becomes very difficult to precisely define the factors that affect exchange rates. The foreign exchange risk is related to the variability of the domestic currency, values of assets, liabilities or operating income due to unanticipated changes in exchange rates, whereas foreign exchange exposure is what is at risk. FOREX risk is the variability in the profit due to change in foreign exchange rate. Business firms/companies like Rolex Rings have internationalized their activities considerably. This trend has manifested itself not only in increased involvement in international trade and foreign operations, but also in the fact that even firms without explicit international transactions have become subject to the direct and indirect effects of foreign competition to a much larger extent than in the past.
  • 6. Thus, the impact of exchange rate changes on business operations tends to be pervasive; the concern is not limited to specific financial functions such as corporate treasury. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page6
  • 7. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page7 Objectives and Scope Objectives of the Study: Main objectives of the study are as under: 1. To ascertain the FERM practices and product usage of Rolex Rings. 2. To know the attitudes, perceptions and concerns of the firm towards FERM. 3. To understand the level of awareness of derivatives and their uses, with Rolex Rings. 4. To ascertain the organization structure, policymaking and control process adopted by the firm, which use derivatives, in managing foreign exchange exposure. Scope: The scope of this study is limited to the Foreign Exchange Risk Management and the way Rolex Rings manages it. It has nothing to do with any kind of forecasts about the currency movements.
  • 8. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page8 Company Profile
  • 9. Introduction: Established in 1980, Rolex Rings is the single largest manufacturer of hot forged rolled rings in India and an emerging strong contender in the automotive components space, catering to an array of multi-national companies across countries such as Italy, France, Poland, Germany, Spain, USA, Mexico, China and India. Rooted in the fertile grounds of hard beginnings and humble origins, Rolex Rings, have survived and surpassed competitors and have become the leading manufacturer of hot forged rolled rings along-with finished machining through CNC route. Today the company stands for engineering capability, customized solutions and consolidated growth orientation. Its values of commitment to hard work and their innate sense of responsibility towards providing the society with superior products is the moving force behind their success saga. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page9
  • 10. History: The history of Rolex Rings since the day of its inception has been described as under: Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page10 Management Team:
  • 11. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page11
  • 12. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page12 Product Profile:
  • 13. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page13
  • 14. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page14 Quality Policy: Pushing ahead with grueling schedules, punishing deadlines and a raging desire to be beyond competition roles sets the bar high for quality standards at the company. Each stage of manufacturing at Rolex Rings reflects a profound presence of excellence in quality. To meet the most exacting requirements of the most demanding client, we have an array of sophisticated technology to ensure the best of quality. High precision measuring instruments such as spectrometer, electronic microscope, CMM, Contour measuring, Machine Profile Projector, surface roughness tester etc. lay down the foundation for the quality of our products. Quality assurance activities for the manufacture of all the products of our plants are closely coordinated at the following stages. 1. Raw Material 2. Statistical process control at the will press/machining 3. Acceptance test of forgings 4. Process and product quality audits 5. Packing 6. Transportation Our employees contribute to the zero defect strategy. Environment: For any company in order to carry out its operations in the society, it becomes very important on part of the company to take certain steps that protects the environment and the society as a whole. At Rolex Rings, we follow the following principles:
  • 15. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page15  Healthy working environment for the employees.  Continuous control of the raw material and energy consumption to save resources.  Continuously trying to reducing the waste.  Installation of precautionary steps against accidents that may have negative effects for the environment. Our environmental policy targets to a continuous improvement of the companies environmental pollution control. Rolex Rings has green power technology of 8.75 MW, which helps us to save the environment and also be more competitive. At Rolex, we believe that our responsibilities to the environment do not end with developing Green power technology. As our global footprint grows and we become more a part of the world around us, we are taking every step necessary to ensure that our activities, processes & services ensure minimal adverse impact on the environment. We are committed to pollution control and use every opportunity to conserve energy. Bank Affiliation: Rolex Rings Pvt. Ltd. has its accounts in the following banks: 1) Corporation Bank 2) Oriental Bank of Commerce 3) Union Bank of India 4) Bank of Baroda 5) Indian Overseas Bank
  • 16. Research Methodology Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page16
  • 17. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page17 Introduction This study aims to delineate the methodology, employed to undertake this study. Research is a common parlance, which refers to a search for knowledge. One can define research as scientific and systematic search for pertinent. Research is of a great importance to find out the nature, extent and cause of the research issue under study. Research methodology is the process in which various steps generally adopted by a researcher are outlined. Type of the study: This is a descriptive study; analysis is made on the basis of the secondary data. Secondary Data: 1) Publications 2) Articles 3) Websites In this report, I have used the secondary data, most of which was obtained from the internal records of the company. Data has also been gathered from websites of RBI, X-Rates, NSE, FEDAI and Rolex Rings. Limitations: 1) Lack of practical exposure in the area of Risk Management 2) Lack of formal sources of data
  • 18. Introduction to Foreign Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page18 Exchange Market
  • 19. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page19 Introduction: The international currency market – the foreign exchange, is a special kind of the world financial market. The Foreign exchange, also referred to as the “FOREX” or “Spot FX” market, is the largest financial market in the world, with over $3.5 trillion changing hands every single day. What is traded on the Foreign Exchange? The answer is money. FOREX trading is where the currency of one nation is traded for that of another. A trader’s purpose on this market is to get profit as the result of foreign currencies purchase and sale in accordance with a known principle ‘Buy cheaper – Sell higher” and to convert profits made in foreign currencies, buy or sell products or services in a foreign country, into their domestic currency.FOREX trading is always traded in pairs. The most commonly traded currency pairs are traded againstthe US Dollar (USD). They are called ‘the majors’. The major currency pairs are the Euro Dollar (EUR/USD), the British Pound (GBP/USD), the Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) and the Swiss Franc (USD/CHF). As there is no central exchange for the FOREX market, these pairs and their crosses are traded over the telephone and online through a global network of banks, multinational corporations, importers and exporters, brokers and currency traders, i.e. the FX market is considered as an Over The Counter or ‘inter-bank’ market. FOREX is different compared to all other sectors of the world financial system, thanks to its heightened sensibility to a large and continuously changing number of factors, accessibility to all individual and corporate traders, exclusively high trade turnover which creates an ensured liquidity of traded currencies and the round the clock business hours which enable traders to deal after normal hours or during national holidays in their country finding markets abroad open. Also, just as on any other market, the trading on FOREX along with an exclusively high potential profitability, is essentially a risk bearing one. Foreign Exchange – Meaning:
  • 20. Foreign Exchange is the purchase or sale of a currency against the sale or purchase of another, i.e. the exchange of one currency for another. This exchange is done at a particular rate called the exchange rate or the FX rate. The FX rate is the price of one currency in terms of another. As is true for rates, FX rate too is a pre-determined settlement date, i.e. the date on which the actual exchange of currencies involved would take place. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page20 Requisites for Foreign Exchange Deals:  Exchange of two currencies  At an agreed exchange rate  For a specified settlement date  Settlement instructions for receipt and payment  Confidence that the terms of the trade will be adhered to Need for Foreign Exchange: In this global village, which has almost as many currencies as countries, business activity would come to near standstill if each country insisted on dealing on its own currency and none other. With the growing importance of international trade and maturity in financial markets, the major international trade participants have come to accept certain currencies as the “traded currencies” or “major currencies”. These currencies are termed as such based on the strength of their economies and their financial markets, the political backing of the countries, international acceptability, liquidity and depth of their markets, economic and political stability. The World Bank, leading international agencies and world bodies have given a further boost to these currencies, using in their dealings too. A country’s external reserves are denominated in these currencies. This is what necessitates the Foreign Exchange.
  • 21. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page21 What does Foreign Exchange provide?  The method or mechanism to conduct and settle the proceeds of International Trade  The means to obtain/provide technology, expertise and the sharing of information  The means to minimize the risks of currency fluctuations - primarily through the use of various tools and financial instruments  Trading opportunities to generate incremental income
  • 22. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page22 Foreign Exchange Market in India
  • 23. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page23 Introduction: The Foreign Exchange business in India is regulated closely by the RBI. With Exchange Control Regulations, the RBI ensures that involvement in the Foreign Exchange business is restricted to certain sections of the business community only. Main Participants:  Corporate: Importers, Exporters and Customers for genuine trades or merchant transactions  Banks: Banks in India are permitted to buy and sell currencies abroad in cover of customer requirements. They have also been permitted to initiate positions abroad too. Overseas banks call banks in India to cover their Indian rupee requirements.  Overseas Traders: One authorized dealer dealing with another to generate profit or cover its open exposure  Authorized Dealers v/s RBI: This occurs only when the RBI intervenes in the market and not in the normal course RBI restrictions in terms of participation in foreign currencies are as under: Corporate:  Individuals as per the Exchange Control Manual (Retail)  Importers, Exporters and Borrowers of Foreign Currencies (Wholesale) Banks/Others:  Money Changers (RMC’s and FFMC’s) licensed by the RBI to buy/sell Foreign Currency Notes and Travelers Cheques from individuals (Retail)  Banks licensed by the RBI to carry out foreign exchange business on a commercial wholesale level, called the Authorized Dealers
  • 24. Brokers: Brokers are permitted to bring together buyers and sellers but cannot trade for their own account. This means they have to strike thedeal with the buyers and sellers simultaneously. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page24 History of FOREX Market in India: Until the early seventies, given the fixed rate regime, the foreign exchange market was perceived as a mechanism merely to put through merchant transactions. With the collapse of the Bretton Woods agreement and the floatation of major currencies, the conduct of exchange rate policy posed a great challenge to central banks as currency fluctuations opened up tremendous opportunities for market players to trade in currency volatilities in a borderless market. The market in India, however, remained insulated as exchange rate controls inhibited capital movements and the banks were required to undertake cover operations and maintain a square position at all times. Slowly a demand began to build up that banks in India be permitted to trade in FOREX. In response to this demand the RBI, as a first step, permitted banks to undertake intraday trade in FOREX in 1978. As a consequence, the stipulation of maintaining square or near square position was to be complied with only at the close of business each day. As the opportunities to make profit began to emerge, the major banks started quoting two-way prices against the Rupee as well as in cross currencies (Non- Rupee) and gradually, trading volumes began to increase. This was enabled by a major change in the exchange rate regime in 1975 whereby the Rupee was delinked from the Pound Sterling ad under a managed floating arrangement, the external value of the Rupee was determined by the RBI in terms of weighted basket of currencies of India’s major trading partners. Given the RBI’s obligation to buy and sell unlimited amounts of Pound Sterling (the intervention currency), arising from the bank’s merchant trades, and its quotes for buying/selling effectively became the fulcrum around which the market moved.
  • 25. As the volumes increased, the appetite for profits was found to lead the observance of widely different practices dictated largely by the size of the players, their location, expertise of the dealing staff and availability of communications facilities, it was thought necessary to draw up a comprehensive set of guidelines covering the entire gamut of dealing operations to be observed by banks engaged in FOREX business. Accordingly, in 1981 the “Guidelines for Internal Control over Foreign Exchange Business” was framed for adoption by banks. During the eighties, deterioration in the macro-economic situation set in, ultimately warranting a structural change in the exchange rate regime, which in turn had an impact on the FOREX market. Large and persistent external imbalances were reflected in rising level of internal indebtedness. The graduated depreciation of the Rupee could not compensate for the widening inflation differentials between India and the rest of the world and the exchange rate of the Rupee was getting increasingly overvalued. The Gulf problems of August 1990, given the fragile state of the economy, triggered off an unprecedented crisis of liquidity and confidence. This unprecedented crisis called for the adoption of exceptional corrective steps. The country simultaneously embarked upon the measures of adjustment to stabilize the economy and got in motion structural reforms to generate renewed impetus for stable growth. As a first step in this direction, the RBI effected a two-step downward adjustment of the Rupee in July 1991. Simultaneously, in order to provide a closer alignment between exports and imports, the EXIM scrip scheme was introduced. The scheme provided a boost to exports and with the experience gained in the working of the scheme, it was thought prudent to institutionalize the incentive component and convey it through the price mechanism, while simultaneously insulating essential imports from currency fluctuations. Therefore, with effect from March 1, 1992, RBI instituted a system of dual exchange rates under the Liberalized Exchange Rate Management System (LERMS). Under this, 40% of the exchange earnings had to be surrendered at a rate determined by the RBI and the RBI was obliged to sell foreign exchange only for imports of essential commodities such as oil, fertilizers, life-saving drugs etc., besides the government’s debt Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page25
  • 26. servicing. The balance could be converted at rates determined by the market. The scheme worked satisfactorily preparing the market for its emerging role and the Rupee remained fairly stable with the spread between the official and the market rate hovering around 17%. Even though the dual exchange rate system worked well, it however, implied an implicit tax on exporters and remittances. Moreover, it distorted the efficient allocation of resources. The LERMS was essentially a transitional mechanism and in March 1993, the two legs of the exchange rates were unified and christened Modified LERMS. It stipulated that from March 2, 1993, all FOREX receipts could be converted at market determined rates of exchange. Over the next eighteen months, restrictions on a number of other current account transactions were relaxed and on August 20, 1994, the Rupee was made fully convertible for all current account transactions and the country formally accepted the obligations under Article VIII of the IMF’s article of agreement. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page26 Changes that took place:  1966 – The rupee was devalued by 57.5% on June 6  1967 – Rupee-Sterling parity change as a result of devaluation of the Sterling  1971 – Bretton Woods system broke down in August. Rupee briefly pegged to the USD @ Rs. 7.5 before reneging to Sterling at Rs. 18.87 with a 2.25% margin on either side  1972 – Sterling floated on June 23. Rupee-Sterling parity revalued to Rs. 18.95 and then in October to Rs. 18.80  1975 – Rupee pegged to an undisclosed basket with a margin of 2.25% on either side. Sterling, the intervention currency with a central bank rate of Rs. 18.31  1979 – Margins around basket parity widened to 5% on each side in January  1991 – Rupee devalued by 19.5% in July 1st and Rupee-Dollar rates depreciated from Rs. 21.20 to Rs. 25.80. A version of dual exchange rate
  • 27. introduced through EXIM scrip scheme, given exporters freely tradable import entitlements equivalent to 30-40% of export earnings. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page27  1992 – LERMS introduced with a 40-60 dual rate converting export proceeds, market determined rates or all but specified imports and market rate for approved capital transaction. US Dollar became the intervention currency from March 4th. EXIM scrip abolished.  1993 – Unified market determined exchange rate introduced for all transactions. RBI would buy/sell US Dollars for specified purposes. It will not buy/sell Dollar Forwards though it will enter into Dollar Swaps.  1994 – Rupee made fully convertible on current account from August 20th  1998 – Foreign Exchange Management Act – FEM Bill 1998 which was placed in the Parliament to replace FERA  1999 – Implication of FEMA starts Modified Liberalized Exchange Rate Management System: The process of liberalization continued further and it was decided to make the Rupee fully floating with effect from March 1, 1993. This new arrangement is called Modified LERMS. Its salient features are as under: Effective from March 1, 1993, all foreign exchange transactions, receipts and payments, both under current and capital accounts of Balance of Payments are being put through by authorized dealers at market determined exchange rates. Foreign exchange receipts and payments, however, continued to be governed by the Exchange Control Regulations. Foreign exchange receipts are to be surrendered to the authorized dealers except in cases where the residents have been permitted by the RBI to retain them either with the banks in India or abroad. Authorized dealers are free to retain the entire foreign exchange surrendered to them for being sold for permissible transactions and are not required to surrender to the Reserve Bank any portion of such receipts.
  • 28. Reserve Bank of India, under section 40 of RBI Act 1934, was obliged to buy and sell foreign exchange to authorized dealers. Reserve Bank is now required to sell any authorized person at its offices/branches US Dollars for meeting foreign exchange payments at its exchange rates based on the market rate only for such purposes as are approved by the Central Government. The RBI buys spot US Dollars from authorized dealers at its exchange rate. Reserve Bank does not ordinarily buy spot Pound Sterling, Deutsche Mark and Japanese Yen. It does not buy any forward currency. The exchange rate at which the RBI buys and sells foreign exchange is in the +5/-5% band of the market rate. Also, the RBI announces the reference rate at 12:00 hours which is the rate at which transactions with IMF, IBRD etc. are undertaken. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page28 Advantages of the New System:  The system seeks to ensure equilibrium between demand and supply with respect to a fairly large subset of external transactions.  It has facilitated removal of several trade restrictions and granted relaxation in exchange control (under current account transactions).  It is a step towards full convertibility of current account transactions in order to achieve the full benefits of integrating the Indian economy with the world economic system.  The incentives to exporters will be higher and more particularly to those whose exports are not highly import intensive. Exporters of agricultural products will find exports attractive.  A large number of expatriates, who are hitherto denied any advantages on their remittances to India in line with the earnings of the exporters, are now eligible for market rate for the full amount of remittances being in nature of capital inflows.  This system, coupled with the Exchange Control Relaxation in certain areas, and the abolition of travel tax is expected to make the havala route less tempting. In this context, it needs to be remembered that smaller the gap between the average rate received by the exporters and other earners of
  • 29. foreign exchange and the market rate, the lesser will be the temptation to continue using illegal channels for remittances.  In the fiscal area, customs revenue is likely to be higher, other things being the same, to the extent the valuation of imports would be based on the market exchange rate. It is, however, necessary to ensure that the tariff rates together with higher input values do not result in a sharp increase in import costs. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page29 Exchange Rate System: Countries of the world have been exchanging goods and services amongst themselves. This has been going on since time immemorial. The world has come a long way from the days of Barter trade. With the invention of money, the figures and problems of barter trade have disappeared. Different countries have adopted different exchange rate systems at different times. Following are the exchange rate systems followed by various countries:  The Gold Standard, 1816-1933: The 'gold standard' used the physical weight of gold as the standard value for the money and making it directly exchangeable in the form of the precious metal. In 1816 for instance, the pound sterling was defined as 123.27 grains of gold on its way to becoming the foremost reserve currency and was the principal component of the international capital market. This led to the expression 'as good as gold' when applied to the Sterling, as the Bank of England at the time gained stability and prestige as the premier monetary authority. Before the First World War, most Central banks supported their currencies with convertibility to gold. Paper money could always be exchanged for gold. For this type of gold exchange, a central bank coverage backing up the government’s currency reserves was not
  • 30. necessarily needed. When a group mindset fostered a disastrous notion of converting back to gold in mass, panic resulted in so-called "Run on banks”. The US dollar adopted the gold standard late in 1879 and became the standard-bearer replacing the British Pound when Britain and the other European countries came off the system with the outbreak of World War I in 1914. Eventually, though, the worsening international depression lead even the dollar off the gold standard by 1933 marking the period of collapse in international trade and financial flows prior to World War II. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page30  Purchasing Power Parity: Professor Gustav Cassel, a Swedish Economist, introduced this system. The theory to put in simple terms states that the currencies are valued for what they can buy. Thus if 135 JPY buy a fountain pen and the same fountain pen can be bought for USD 1, it can be inferred that since 1 USD or 135 JPY can buy the same fountain pen, therefore, 1 USD = 135 JPY. For example, if country A had a higher rate of inflation as compared to country B, then the goods produced in country A would become costlier as compared to goods produced in country B. This would induce imports into country A and also the goods produced in country A being costlier, would lose in international competition to goods produced in country B. This decrease in exports of country A as compared to exports from country B would lead to demand for the currency of country B and excess supply of currency of country A. This in turn, causes currency of country A to depreciate in comparison of country B which is having relatively higher exports.  The Bretton Woods System, 1944-73: The Gold Standard partly, fixing the USD at $35.00 per ounce of Gold and fixing the other main currencies to the dollar, initially intended to be on a permanent basis. The Bretton Woods system formalized the role of the US dollar as the new 'global' reserve currency with its value fixed into gold and the US assuming the responsibility of ensuring convertibility while other currencies were pegged to the dollar.
  • 31. In Asia, the lack of sustainability of fixed foreign exchange rates has gained new relevance with the events in the latter part of 1997, where currencies were forced to float. Currency after currency was devalued against the US dollar. The devaluation of currencies continued to plague the currency trading markets, and confidence in the open market of FOREX trading was not sustained. Leaving other fixed exchange rates in particular in South America also looking very vulnerable. While commercial companies have had to face a much more volatile currency environment in recent years, investors and financial institutions have discovered a new playground. The size of the FOREX market now dwarfs any other investment market. The last few decades have seen foreign exchange trading develop into the world’s largest global market. Restrictions on capital flows have been removed in most countries, leaving the market forces free to adjust foreign exchange rates according to their perceived values. In the 1980s, cross-border capital movements accelerated with the advent of computers and technology, extending market continuum through Asian, European and American time zones. Transactions in foreign exchange rocketed from about $70 billion a day in the 1980s, to more than $1.5 trillion a day two decades later. The collapse of PPP System brought the Bretton Woods System, and after its collapse, the Smithsonian Agreement. At present, the Floating Rate System is used in almost all the countries. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page31
  • 32. Exchange Rate System in India: The Rupee was historically linked i.e. pegged to the Pound Sterling. Earlier, during the British regime and till late sixties, most of India’s trade transactions were dominated by Pound Sterling. Under Bretton Woods System, as a member of IMF, India declared its par value of Rupee in terms of gold. The corresponding Rupee - Sterling rate was fixed at 1 GBP = Rs. 18. When Bretton Woods System bore down in August 1971, the Rupee was delinked from US Dollar and the exchange rate was fixed at 1 USD = Rs. 7.5. Reserve Bank of India, however, kept the Pound Sterling as the currency of intervention. The USD and Rupee pegging was used to arrive at Rupee-Sterling parity. After Smithsonian Agreement in December 1971, the Rupee was delinked from USD and again linked to Pound Sterling. This parity was maintained with a band of 2.25%. Due to poor fundamentals, Pound got depreciated by 20% which in turn caused the Rupee to depreciate. To be not dependent on a single currency, Pound Sterling, on September 25, 1975, Rupee was delinked from it and was linked to the basket of currencies with their relative weights kept as a secret so that the speculators didn’t get the wind of the direction of the movement of exchange rate of Rupee. From January 1, 1984 the Sterling rate schedule was abolished. The interest element which was hitherto in building the exchange rate was also delinked. The interest rate was to be recovered from the customers separately. This not only allowed transparency in the exchange rate quotations but also was in tune with international practice in this regard. FEDAI issued guidelines for calculation of merchant rates. The liquidity crunch in 1990 and 1991 on FOREX front only hastened the process. On March 1, 1992, Reserve Bank of India announced a new system of exchange rates known as the Liberalized Exchange Rate Management System. LERMS was to make balance of payments sustainable on ongoing basis allowing the market force to play a greater role in determining the exchange rate of Rupee. Under LERMS, the Rupee became convertible for all approved external transactions. The exporters of goods and services and those who received remittances from abroad were allowed to sell bulk of their FOREX receipts. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page32
  • 33. Similarly, those who needed foreign exchange to import and travel abroad were to buy foreign exchange from market determined rate. From March 1, 1993 Modified LERMS under which all the FOREX transactions, under current and capital account, are being put through by Authorized Dealers at market determined exchange rate. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page33 Factors Affecting Exchange Rates: Various economic variables impact the movement in exchange rates. Interest rates, inflation figures, GDP are the main variables; however other economic indicators that provide direction regarding the state of the economy also have a significant impact on the movement of a currency. These would include employment reports, balance of payment figures, manufacturing indices, consumer prices and retail sales amongst others. Indicators which suggest that the economy is strengthening are positively correlated with a strong currency and would result in the currency strengthening and vice versa. Currency trader should be aware of government policies and the central bank stance as indicated by them from time to time, either by policy action or market intervention. Government structures its policies in a manner such that its long term objectives on employment and growth are met. In trying to achieve these objectives, it sometimes has to work around the economic variables and hence policy directives and the economic variables are entwined and have an impact on exchange rate movements. Factors Affecting Indian Rupee: As we know that FOREX market for Indian currency is highly volatile where one cannot forecast the exchange rates easily as there is a mechanism which works behind the determination of exchange rate. One of the most important factors which affect the exchange rate is the demand and supply of the domestic and
  • 34. foreign currency. There are some other factors also which are having major impact on the exchange rate determination. These are: Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page34  Market Situation: India follows the “Floating Rate System” for determining the exchange rate. In this system, market situation also is pivot for determining exchange rate. As we know that 90% of the FOREX market is between the banks and so how the banks are taking the decision for settling out their different exposures in the domestic or foreign currency is impacting the exchange rate. Apart from the banks, transactions of exporters and importers are having impact on this market. So in the day-to-day FOREX market, on the basis of the bank and trader’s transactions, the demand and supply of the currencies increase or decrease and that is deciding the exchange rate.  Economic Factors: In the FOREX market, economic factors of the country play an important role. The growth and development of any country depends on how stable its economy is. Herein, there are two types of economic factors which affect the exchange rate: 1. Internal Factors: (a) Fiscal Deficit of the country (b) GDP and GNP of the country (c) Inflation Rate (d) Agricultural Growth and Production (e) Infrastructure (f) Policies like EXIM policy, Credit Policy as well as the reforms undertaken in the yearly budget (g) Foreign Exchange Reserves 2. External Factors: (a) Export – Import trade with foreign countries (b) Relationship with foreign countries (c) International Oil and Gold prices (d) Foreign Direct Investment, Portfolio investment (e) Loan sanction by World Bank and IMF
  • 35. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page35  Political Factors: Political factors also play an important role in determining the exchange rate. The party forming the Government after winning the elections held every five years also play a pivot role. Political stability helps improving the exchange rates whereas on the other hand, political uncertainty leads to the depreciation of the currency. The instability in the year 1999 led to the depreciation of Rupee by 30 paise in April.
  • 36. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page36 Foreign Exchange Exposure and Risk:
  • 37. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page37 Foreign Exchange Exposure: Description: Foreign exchange risk is related to the variability of the domestic currency values of assets, liabilities or operating income due to unanticipated changes in exchange rates, whereas foreign exchange exposure is what is at risk. Foreign currency exposures and the attendant risk arise whenever a company has an income or expenditure or an asset or liability in a currency other than that of the balance-sheet currency. Indeed exposures can arise even for companies with no income, expenditure, asset or liability in a currency different from the balance-sheet currency. When there is a condition prevalent where the exchange rates become extremely volatile, the exchange rate movements destabilize the cash flows of a business significantly. Such destabilization of cash flows that affects the profitability of the business is the risk from foreign currency exposures. Classification of Exposures: Financial economists distinguish between three types of currency exposures – Transaction Exposures, Translation Exposures and Economic Exposures. All three affect the bottom-line of the business.  Transaction Exposure: The transaction exposure component of the foreign exchange rates is also referred to as a short-term economic exposure. This relates to the risk attached to specific contracts in which the company has already entered that result in foreign exchange exposures. A company may have a transaction exposure if it is either on the buy side or sell side of a business transaction. Any transaction that leads to an inflow or outflow of a foreign currency results in a transaction exposure. For example, Company A located in the United States has a contract for purchasing raw material from Company B located in the United Kingdom for the next two years at a product price fixed today. In this case, Company
  • 38. A is the foreign exchange payer and is exposed to a transaction risk from movements in the pound rate relative to dollar. If the pound sterling depreciates, Company A has to make a smaller payment in dollar terms, but if the pound appreciates, Company A has to pay a larger amount in dollar terms leading to foreign currency exposure. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page38 Transaction exposure arises from:  Purchasing or selling on credit goods or services whose prices are stated in foreign currencies.  Borrowing or lending funds when repayment is to be made in a foreign currency.  Being a party to an unperformed foreign exchange forward contract.  Otherwise acquiring assets or incurring liabilities denominated in foreign currencies. Strategy to manage Transaction Exposure:  Hedging through invoice currency: The firm can shift, share or diversify exchange risk by appropriately choosing the currency of invoice. Firms can avoid exchange rate risk by invoicing in domestic currency, thereby shifting the exchange rate risk on buyer. As a practical matter, however, the firm may not be able to use risk shifting or sharing as much as it wishes to for fear of losing sales to competitors. Only an exporter with substantial market power can use this approach. Also, if the currencies of both the importer and exporter are not suitable for settling international trade, neither party can resort to risk shifting to deal with exchange exposure.  Hedging via lead and lag: To “lead” means to pay or collect early, whereas “lag” means to pay or collect late. The firm would like to lead soft currency receivables and lag hard currency receivables to avoid the loss from depreciation of the soft currency and benefit from the appreciation of the hard currency. For the
  • 39. same reason, the firm will attempt to lead the hard currency payables and lag soft currency payables. To the extent that the firm can effectively implement the lead/lag strategy, the transaction exposure the firm faces can be reduced. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page39  Translation Exposure: Translation exposure of foreign exchange is of an accounting nature and is related to a gain or loss arising from the conversion or translation of the financial statements of a subsidiary located in another country. A company such as General Motors may sell cars in about 200 countries and manufacture those cars in as many as 50 different countries. Such a company owns subsidiaries or operations in foreign countries and is exposed to translation risk. At the end of the financial year the company is required to report all its combined operations in the domestic currency terms leading to a loss or gain resulting from the movement in various foreign currencies.  Economic Exposure: Economic exposure is a rather long-term effect of the transaction exposure. If a firm is continuously affected by an unavoidable exposure to foreign exchange over the long-term, it is said to have an economic exposure. Such exposure to foreign exchange results in an impact on the market value of the company as the risk is inherent to the company and impacts its profitability over the years. A beer manufacturer in Argentina that has its market concentration in the United States is continuously exposed to the movements in the dollar rate and is said to have an economic foreign exchange exposure. Economic exposure consists of mainly two types of exposures. They are: 1) Asset Exposure 2) Operating Exposure Economic risk is difficult to quantify but a favored strategy to manage it is to diversify internationally, in terms of sales, location of production
  • 40. facilities, raw materials and financing. Such diversification is likely to significantly reduce the impact of economic exposure relative to a purely domestic company, and provide much greater flexibility to react to real exchange rate changes. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page40 Foreign Exchange Risk: Nature of Foreign Exchange Risk: Foreign Exchange dealing is a business that one get involved in, primarily to obtain protection against adverse rate movements on their core international business. Foreign Exchange dealing is essentially a risk-reward business where profit potential is substantial but it is extremely risky too. Foreign exchange business has the certain peculiarities that make it a very risky business. These would include:  FOREX deals are across country borders and therefore, often foreign currency prices are subject to controls and restrictions imposed by foreign authorities. Needless to say, these controls and restrictions are invariably dictated by their own domestic factors and economy.  FOREX deals involve two currencies and therefore, rates are influenced by domestic as well as international factors.  The FOREX market is a 24-hour global market and overseas developments can affect rates significantly.  The FOREX market has great depth and numerous players shifting vast sums of money. FOREX rates therefore, can move considerably, especially when speculation against a currency rises.  FOREX markets are characterized by advanced technology, communications and speed. Decision-making has to be instantaneous. Description of Foreign Exchange Risk In simple word FOREX risk is the variability in the profit due to change in foreign exchange rate. Suppose the company is exporting goods to foreign company then
  • 41. it gets the payment after month or so then change in exchange rate may effect in the inflows of the fund. If rupee value depreciated he may lose some money. Similarly if rupees value appreciated against foreign currency then it may gain more rupees. Hence there is risk involved in it. Classification of Foreign Exchange Risk  Position Risk  Gap or Maturity or Mismatch Risk  Translation Risk  Operational Risk  Credit Risk 1. Position Risk The exchange risk on the net open FOREXposition is called the position risk. The position can be a long/overbought position or it could be a short/oversold position. The excess of foreign currency assets over liabilities is called a net long position whereas the excess of foreign currency liabilities over assets is called a net short position. Since all purchases and sales are at a rate, the net position too is at a net/average rate. Any adverse movement in market rates would result in a loss on the net currency position. For example, where a net long position is in a currency whose value is depreciating, the conversion of the currency will result in a lower amount of the corresponding currency resulting in a loss, whereas a net long position in an appreciating currency would result in a profit. Given the volatility in FOREX markets and external factors that affect FX rates, it is prudent to have controls and limits that can minimize losses and ensure a reasonable profit. The most popular controls/limits on open position risks are:  Daylight Limit: Refers to the maximum net open position that can be built up a trader during the course of the working day. This limit is set currency-wise and the overall position of all currencies as well.  Overnight Limit: Refers to the net open position that a trader can leave overnight – to be carried forward for the next working day. This limit too is set Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page41
  • 42. currency-wise and the overall overnight limit for all currencies. Generally, overnight limits are about 15% of the daylight limits. 2. Mismatch Risk/Gap Risk Where a foreign currency is bought and sold for different value dates, it creates no net position i.e. there is no FX risk. But due to the different value dates involved there is a “mismatch” i.e. the purchase/sale dates do not match. These mismatches, or gaps as they are often called, result in an uneven cash flow. If the forward rates move adversely, such mismatches would result in losses. Mismatches expose one to risks of exchange losses that arise out of adverse movement in the forward points and therefore, controls need to be initiated. The limits on Gap risks are:  Individual Gap Limit: This determines the maximum mismatch for any Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page42 calendar month; currency-wise.  Aggregate Gap Limit: Is the limit fixed for all gaps, for a currency, irrespective of their being long or short. This is worked out by adding the absolute values of all overbought and all oversold positions for the various months, i.e. the total of the individual gaps, ignoring the signs. This limit, too, is fixed currency-wise.  Total Aggregate Gap Limit: Is the limit fixed for all aggregate gap limits in all currencies. 3. Translation Risk Translation risk refers to the risk of adverse rate movement on foreign currency assets and liabilities funded out of domestic currency. There cannot be a limit on translation risk but it can be managed by: 1. Funding of Foreign Currency Assets/Liabilities through money markets i.e. borrowing or lending of foreign currencies 2. Funding through FX swaps 3. Hedging the risk by means of Currency Options 4. Funding through Multi Currency Interest Rate Swaps 4. Operational Risk
  • 43. The operational risks refer to risks associated with systems, procedures, frauds and human errors. It is necessary to recognize these risks and put adequate controls in place, in advance. It is important to remember that in most of these cases corrective action needs to be taken post-event too. The following areas need to be addressed and controls need to be initiated.  Segregation of trading and accounting functions: The execution of deals is a function quite distinct from the dealing function. The two have to be kept separate to ensure a proper check on trading activities, to ensure all deals are accounted for, that no positions are hidden and no delay occurs.  Follow-up and Confirmation: Quite often deals are transacted over the phone directly or through brokers. Every oral deal has to be followed up immediately by written confirmations; both by the dealing departments and by back-office or support staff. This would ensure that errors are detected and rectified immediately.  Settlement of funds: Timely settlement of funds is necessary not only to avoid delayed payment interest penalty but also to avoid embarrassment and loss of credibility.  Overdue contracts: Care should be taken to monitor outstanding contracts and to ensure proper settlements. This will avoid unnecessary swap costs, excessive credit balances and overdrawn Nostro accounts.  Float transactions: Often retail departments and other areas are authorized to create exposures. Proper measures should be taken to make sure that such departments and areas inform the authorized persons/departments of these exposures, in time. A proper system of maximum amount trading authorities should be installed. Any amount in excess of such maximum should be transacted only after proper approvals and rate. 5. Credit Risk Credit risk refers to risks dealing with counter parties. The credit is contingent upon the performance of its part of the contract by the counter party. The risk is not only due to non-performance but also at times, the inability to perform by the counter party. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page43
  • 44. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page44 The credit risk can be:  Contract risk: Where the counter party fails prior to the value date. In such a case, the FOREX deal would have to be replaced in the market, to liquidate the FOREX exposure. If there has been an adverse rate movement, this would result in an exchange loss. A contract limit is set counter party-wise to manage this risk.  Clean risk: Where the counter party fails on the value date i.e. it fails to deliver the currency, while you have already paid up. Here the risk is of the capital amount and the loss can be substantial. Fixing a daily settlement limit as well as a total outstanding limit, counter party-wise can control such a risk.  Sovereign Risk: refers to risks associated with dealing into another country. These risks would be an account of exchange control regulations, political instability etc. Country limits are set to counter this risk. Differentiation of Exposure with Risk Even though foreign exchange risk and exposure have been the central issues of International Financial Management for many years, a considerable degree of confusion remains about their nature and measurement. For instance, it is not uncommon to hear the term “Foreign Exchange Exposure” used interchangeably with the term ‘Foreign Exchange Risk” when in fact they conceptually completely different. Foreign Exchange Risk is related to the variability of domestic currency of assets, liabilities or operating incomes due to unanticipated changes in exchange rates whereas Foreign Exchange Exposure is what is at risk.
  • 45. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page45 Foreign Exchange Risk Management and Hedging Tools
  • 46. FOREX Risk Management: Description: As a business engaged in the buying and selling of goods/services overseas, a company is exposed to foreign exchange risks. These risks arise from the fluctuations in the currency market, which will impact outgoing payments for imports or incoming funds from exports. Changes in the exchange rate between two currencies will translate into additional profits or losses to the payables or receivables. The amount of risk depends on factors such as the volatilities of the currencies involved and the value of the contract. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page46 Objectives of Risk Management:  To minimize costs  To maximize revenue  To stabilize margins in the future Understanding the Risk:  Identify your exposure: Risk is not just limited to imports and exports. It can exist for any area of a business that has an international component and requires foreign funds. For example, these can include: i) Goods and services for import/export ii) Company assets that are purchased from a supplier abroad iii) Operational costs for overseas offices or factories (such as rent, equipment, payroll etc.) iv) Staff’s global travel expenses  Calculate your exposure: Figure out the sum value of all the components of business that are exposed to foreign exchange risk. Then calculate as to what would happen if one currency falls or rises by a certain amount against another currency. Also consider the timeframe for payables or receivables, and the corresponding profits or losses over 30-60-90 days.  Confirm your company’s foreign exchange objectives:
  • 47. Each company will have a different approach to foreign exchange that is based upon their industry, trade volumes, geographical markets etc. To develop one’s own company’s strategy, it is important to understand whether or not a company is risk-adverse, the level of risks for the currencies you deal with and how sophisticated your knowledge is regarding financial services. Foreign Exchange Risk Management Framework Once a firm recognizes its exposure, it then has to deploy resources in managing it. A heuristic for firms to manage this risk effectively is presented below which can be modified to suit firm-specific needs i.e. some or all the following tools could be used. 1. Forecasts: After determining its exposure, the first step for a firm is to develop a forecast on the market trends and what the main direction/trend is going to be on the foreign exchange rates. The period for forecasts is typically 6 months. It is important to base the forecasts on valid assumptions. Along with identifying trends, a probability should be estimated for the forecast coming true as well as how much the change would be. 2. Risk Estimation: Based on the forecast, a measure of the Value at Risk (the actual profit or loss for a move in rates according to the forecast) and the probability of this risk should be ascertained. The risk that a transaction would fail due to market-specific problems should be taken into account. Finally, the Systems Risk that can arise due to inadequacies such as reporting gaps and implementation gaps in the firms’ exposure management system should be estimated. 3. Benchmarking: Given the exposures and the risk estimates, the firm has to set its limits for handling foreign exchange exposure. The firm also has to decide whether to manage its exposures on a cost center or profit center basis. A cost center approach is a defensive one and the main aim is ensure that cash flows of a firm are not adversely affected beyond a point. A profit center approach on the Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page47
  • 48. other hand is a more aggressive approach where the firm decides to generate a net profit on its exposure over time. 4. Hedging: Based on the limits a firm set for itself to manage exposure, the firms then decides an appropriate hedging strategy. There are various financial instruments available for the firm to choose from: futures, forwards, options and swaps and issue of foreign debt. Hedging strategies and instruments are explored in a section. 5. Stop Loss: The firms risk management decisions are based on forecasts which are but estimates of reasonably unpredictable trends. It is imperative to have stop loss arrangements in order to rescue the firm if the forecasts turn out wrong. For this, there should be certain monitoring systems in place to detect critical levels in the foreign exchange rates for appropriate measure to be taken. 6. Reporting and Review: Risk management policies are typically subjected to review based on periodic reporting. The reports mainly include profit/ loss status on open contracts after marking to market, the actual exchange/ interest rate achieved on each exposure and profitability vis-à-vis the benchmark and the expected changes in overall exposure due to forecasted exchange/ interest rate movements. The review analyses whether the benchmarks set are valid and effective in controlling the exposures, what the market trends are and finally whether the overall strategy is working or needs change. Determinants of Hedging Decisions: The management of foreign exchange risk, as has been established so far, is a fairly complicated process. A firm, exposed to foreign exchange risk, needs to formulate a strategy to manage it, choosing from multiple alternatives. This section explores what factors firms take into consideration when formulating these strategies. I. Production and Trade vs. Hedging Decisions An important issue for multinational firms is the allocation of capital among different countries production and sales and at the same time hedging their exposure to the varying exchange rates. Research in this area suggests that the Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page48
  • 49. elements of exchange rate uncertainty and the attitude toward risk are irrelevant to the multinational firm's sales and production decisions (Broll, 1993). Only the revenue function and cost of production are to be assessed, and, the production and trade decisions in multiple countries are independent of the hedging decision. The implication of this independence is that the presence of markets for hedging instruments greatly reduces the complexity involved in a firm’s decision making as it can separate production and sales functions from the finance function. The firm avoids the need to form expectations about future exchange rates and formulation of risk preferences which entails high information costs. II. Cost of Hedging Hedging can be done through the derivatives market or through money markets (foreign debt). In either case the cost of hedging should be the difference between value received from a hedged position and the value received if the firm did not hedge. In the presence of efficient markets, the cost of hedging in the forward market is the difference between the future spot rate and current forward rate plus any transactions cost associated with the forward contract. Similarly, the expected costs of hedging in the money market are the transactions cost plus the difference between the interest rate differential and the expected value of the difference between the current and future spot rates. In efficient markets, both types of hedging should produce similar results at the same costs, because interest rates and forward and spot exchange rates are determined simultaneously. The costs of hedging, assuming efficiency in foreign exchange markets result in pure transaction costs. The three main elements of these transaction costs are brokerage or service fees charged by dealers, information costs such as subscription to Reuter reports and news channels and administrative costs of exposure management. III. Factors affecting the decision to hedge foreign currency risk Research in the area of determinants of hedging separates the decision of a firm to hedge from that of how much to hedge. There is conclusive evidence to suggest that firms with larger size, R&D expenditure and exposure to exchange rates through foreign sales and foreign trade are more likely to use derivatives. (Allayanis and Ofek, 2001) Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page49
  • 50. First, the following section describes the factors that affect the decision to hedge and then the factors affecting the degree of hedging are considered.  Firm size: Firm size acts as a proxy for the cost of hedging or economies of scale. Risk management involves fixed costs of setting up of computer systems and training/hiring of personnel in foreign exchange management. Moreover, large firms might be considered as more creditworthy counterparties for forward or swap transactions, thus further reducing their cost of hedging. The book valueof assets is used as a measure of firm size.  Leverage: According to the risk management literature, firms with high leverage have greater incentive to engage in hedging because doing so reduces the probability, and thus the expected cost of financial distress. Highly levered firms avoid foreign debt as a means to hedge and use derivatives. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page50  Liquidity and profitability: Firms with highly liquid assets or high profitability have less incentive to engage in hedging because they are exposed to a lower probability of financial distress. Liquidity is measured by the quick ratio, i.e. quickassets divided by current liabilities). Profitability is measured as EBIT divided bybook assets.  Sales growth: Sales growth is a factor determining decision to hedge as opportunities are more likely to be affected by the underinvestment problem. For these firms, hedging will reduce the probability of having to rely on external financing, which is costly for information asymmetry reasons, and thus enable them to enjoy uninterrupted high growth. The measure of sales growth isobtained using the 3-year geometric average of yearly sales growth rates.
  • 51. Hedging Tools: Hedging means reducing or controlling risk. This is done by taking a position in the futures market that is opposite to the one in the physical market with the objective of reducing or limiting risks associated with price changes. It is a two-step process. A gain or loss in the cash position due to changes in price levels will be countered by changes in the value of a futures position. To Hedge or Not To Hedge? Hedging has come into existence because of the prevalence of risks in every business. These risks could be physical, operating and investment and credit risks. Some of the risks such as the movements in commodity markets may be beyond our control. Hedging provides a means of managing such risks. The need to manage external risk is thus one pillar of the derivative market. Parties wishing to manage their risks are called hedgers. Some people and businesses are in the business of taking risks to make money i.e. the possibility of a reward. These parties represent another pillar of derivative market and are known as speculators. Some derivative market participants look for pricing differences and market’s mistakes and takes advantage of these. These mistakes thus eventually disappear and never become too large. Such participants are known as arbitrageurs. By covering the currency commitment by derivative contracts, exporter/importer needs no longer worry about the exchange risk element in the foreign transactions. Numerous studies have found that managing this risk can successfully reduce your company’s foreign exchange exposure. Managing foreign exchange risk provides the following benefits to many Canadian companies:  minimize the effects of exchange rate movements on profit margins  increase the predictability of future cash flows  eliminate the need to accurately forecast the future direction of exchange Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page51 rates  facilitate the pricing of products sold on export markets
  • 52. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page52  protect, temporarily, a company’s competitiveness if the value of the Rupee rises (thereby buying time for the company to improve productivity) Hedging Tools (Derivatives) Introduction The gradual liberalization of Indian economy has resulted in substantial inflow of foreign capital into India. Simultaneously dismantling of trade barriers has also facilitated the integration of domestic economy with world economy. With the globalization of trade and relatively free movement of financial assets, risk management through derivatives products has become a necessity in India also, like in other developed and developing countries. As Indian businesses become more global in their approach, evolution of a broad based, active and liquid FOREX derivatives markets is required to provide them with a spectrum of hedging products for effectively managing their foreign exchange exposures. The global market for derivatives has grown substantially in the recent past. The Foreign Exchange and Derivatives Market Activity survey conducted by Bank for International Settlements (BIS) points to this increased activity. The total estimated notional amount of outstanding OTC contracts increasing to $150 trillion at end−December 2009 from $94 trillion at end−June 2000. This growth in the derivatives segment is even more substantial when viewed in the light of declining activity in the spot foreign exchange markets. The turnover in traditional foreign exchange markets declined substantially between 1998 and 2009. In April 2001, average daily turnover was $1,200 billion,compared to $1,490 billion in April 1998, a 14% decline when volumes are measured at constant exchange rates. Whereas the global daily turnover during the same period in foreign exchange and interest rate derivative contracts, including what are considered to be "traditional" foreign exchange derivative instruments, increased by an estimated 10% to $1.4 trillion. Evolution of the FOREX derivatives market in India: This tremendous growth in global derivative markets can be attributed to a number of factors. They reallocate risk among financial market participants, help
  • 53. to make financial markets more complete, and provide valuable information to investors about economic fundamentals. Derivatives also provide an important function of efficient price discovery and make unbundling of risk easier. In India, the economic liberalization in the early nineties provided the economic rationale for the introduction of FX derivatives. Business houses started actively approaching foreign markets not only with their products but also as a source of capital and direct investment opportunities. With limited convertibility on the trade account being introduced in 1993, the environment became even more conducive for the introduction of these hedge products. Hence, the development in the Indian FOREX derivatives market should be seen along with the steps taken to gradually reform the Indian financial markets. As these steps were largely instrumental in the integration of the Indian financial markets with the global markets, the Indian economy saw a sea change in the year 1999 whereby it ceased to be a closed and protected economy, and adopted the globalization route, to become a part of the world economy. In the pre-liberalization era, marked by State dominated, tightly regulated foreign exchange regime, the only risk management tool available for corporate enterprises was, ‘lobbying for government intervention’. With the advent of LERMS (Liberalized Exchange Rate Mechanism System) in India, in 1992, the market forces started to present a regime with steady price volatility as against the earlier trend of long periods of constant prices followed by sudden, large price movements. The unified exchange rate phase has witnessed improvement in informational and operationalefficiency of the foreign exchange market, though at a halting pace. In the corporate finance literature, research on risk management has focused on the question of why firms should hedge a given risk. The literature makes the important point that measuring risk exposures is an essential component of a firm's risk management strategy. Without knowledge of the primitive risk exposures of a firm, it is not possible to test whether firms are altering their exposures in a manner consistent with theory. Recent product innovations in the financial markets and the use of these products by the corporate sector are also examined. In addition to the traditional "physical" products, such as spot and forward exchange rates, the new "synthetic" or Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page53
  • 54. derivative products, including options, futures and swaps, and their use by the corporate sector is considered. These synthetic products have their market value determined by the value of a specific, underlying, physical product. The spurts in foreign investments in India have led to substantial increase in the quantum of inflows and outflows in different currencies, with varying maturities. Corporate enterprises have had to face the challenges of the shift from low risk to high risk operations involving foreign exchange. There was increasing awareness of the need for introduction of financial derivatives in order to enable hedging against market risk in a cost effective way. Earlier, the Indian companies had been entering into forward contracts with banks, which were the Authorized Dealers (AD) in foreign exchange. But many firms preferred to keep their risk exposures un-hedged as they found the forward contracts to be very costly. In the current formative phase of the development of the foreign exchange market, it will be worthwhile to take stock of the initiatives taken by corporate enterprises in identifying and managing foreign exchange risk. Risk Management Tools Available in India: A derivative is a financial contract whose value is derived from the value of some other financial asset, such as a stock price, a commodity price, an exchange rate, an interest rate, or even an index of prices. The main role of derivatives is that they reallocate risk among financial market participants,help to make financial markets more complete. This section outlines the hedging strategies using derivatives with foreign exchange being the only risk assumed. The FOREX derivative products that are available in the Indian financial market are as follows:  Forwards: A forward is a made-to-measure agreement between two parties to buy/sell aspecified amount of a currency at a specified rate on a particular date in the future. Thedepreciation of the receivable currency is hedged against by selling a currency forward. If therisk is that of a currency appreciation (if the firm has to buy that currency in future say forimport), it can hedge by buying the currency forward. E.g. if RIL Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page54
  • 55. wants to buy crude oil in USdollars six months hence, it can enter into a forward contract to pay INR and buy USD and lockin a fixed exchange rate for INR-USD to be paid after 6 months regardless of the actual INR Dollarrate at the time. In this example the downside is an appreciation of Dollar which isprotected by a fixed forward contract. The main advantage of a forward is that it can be tailoredto the specific needs of the firm and an exact hedge can be obtained. On the downside, these contracts are not marketable; they can’t be sold to another party when they are no longerrequired and are binding. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page55 Generally there are two types of Forward Contracts:  Fixed Forward Contract: The forward contract under which the delivery of foreign exchange should take place on a specified future date is known as a fixed forward contract. It is further sub-divided into two: 1) Rupee Forward Contract 2) Cross Currency Forward Contract  Option Forward Contract: With a view to eliminate the difficulty in fixing the exact date for delivery of foreign exchange, the customer may be given a choice of delivering the foreign exchange during a given period of days. “An arrangement whereby the customer can sell/buy from the bank foreign exchange on any day during a given period of time at a predetermined rate of exchange is known as an Option Forward Contract.”  Futures: A futures contract is similar to the forward contract but is more liquid because it istraded in an organized exchange i.e. the futures market. Depreciation of a currency can behedged by selling futures and appreciation can be hedged by buying futures. Advantages offutures are
  • 56. that there is a central market for futures which eliminates the problem of doublecoincidence. Futures require a small initial outlay (a proportion of the value of the future) withwhich significant amounts of money can be gained or lost with the actual forwards pricefluctuations. This provides a sort of leverage.The previous example for a forward contract for RIL applies here also just that RIL will have togo to a USD futures exchange to purchase standardized dollar futures equal to the amount tobe hedged as the risk is that of appreciation of the dollar. As mentioned earlier, the tailor abilityof the futures contract is limited i.e. only standard denominations of money can be boughtinstead of the exact amounts that are bought in forward contracts.In India, Currency Futures in INR is not available otherwise in world FOREX market; all major currency futures are available. Currency futures are traded on futures exchange and the most popular exchanges are the ones where the contracts are transferable freely. The Singapore International Monetary Exchange (SIMEX) and the International Monetary Marker, Chicago (IMM) are the most popular futures exchanges. The main currencies traded on the exchanges are Japanese Yen, Pound Sterling, Swiss Franc, Australian Dollar and Canadian Dollar. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page56  Options: A Currency Option is a contract giving the right, not the obligation, to buy or sell aspecific quantity of one foreign currency in exchange for another at a fixed price; called theExercise Price or Strike Price. The fixed nature of the exercise price reduces the uncertainty ofexchange rate changes and limits the losses of open currency positions. Options areparticularly suited as a hedging tool for contingent cash flows, as is the case in biddingprocesses. Call Options are used if the risk is an upward trend in price (of the currency), whilePut Options are used if the risk is a downward trend. Again taking the example of RIL whichneeds to purchase crude oil in USD in 6 months, if RIL buys a Call option (as the risk is anupward trend in dollar rate), i.e. the right to buy a specified amount of dollars at a fixed rate ona specified date, there are
  • 57. two scenarios. If the exchange rate movement is favorable i.e. thedollar depreciates, then RIL can buy them at the spot rate as they have become cheaper. Inthe other case, if the dollar appreciates compared to today’s spot rate, RIL can exercise theoption to purchase it at the agreed strike price. In either case RIL benefits by paying the lowerprice to purchase the dollar. Generally, there are two types of Options: (1) Cross Currency Options: The RBI has permitted authorized dealers to offer cross currency options to the corporate clients and other interbank counter parties to hedge their foreign currency exposures. Before the introduction of these options, the corporate were permitted to hedge their foreign currency exposures only through forwards and swaps route. Forwards and swaps do remove the uncertainty by hedging the exposure but they also result in the elimination of potential extraordinary gains from the currency position. Currency options provide a way of availing of the upside from any currency exposure while being protected from the downside for the payment of an upfront premium. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page57 (2) Rupee Currency Options: Introduction of USD-INR options would enable Indian FOREX market participants manage their exposures better by hedging the Dollar-Rupee risk. The advantages of currency options in Dollar-Rupee would be as follows:  The nature of the instrument makes its use possible as a hedge against uncertainty of cash flows. Option structures can be used to hedge the volatility along-with the non-linear nature of pay-offs.  Hedge for currency exposures to protect the downside while retaining the upside by laying a premium upfront. This would be a big advantage for importers, exporters as well as businesses with exposures to international prices.  Swaps: A swap is a foreign currency contract whereby the buyer and seller exchange equalinitial principal amounts of two different
  • 58. currencies at the spot rate. The buyer and seller exchange fixed or floating rate interest payments in their respective swapped currencies overthe term of the contract. At maturity, the principal amount is effectively re-swapped at apredetermined exchange rate so that the parties end up with their original currencies. Theadvantages of swaps are that firms with limited appetite for exchange rate risk may move to apartially or completely hedged position through the mechanism of foreign currency swaps,while leaving the underlying borrowing intact. Apart from covering the exchange rate risk,swaps also allow firms to hedge the floating interest rate risk. Consider an export orientedcompany that has entered into a swap for a notional principal of USD 1 million at an exchangerate of 42/dollar.The company pays US 6months LIBOR to the bank and receives 11.00% p.a. every 6 monthson 1st January & 1st July, till 5 years. Such a company would have earnings in Dollars and canuse the same to pay interest for this kind of borrowing (in dollars rather than in Rupee) thushedging its exposures. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page58  Foreign Debt: Foreign debt can be used to hedge foreign exchange exposure by takingadvantage of the International Fischer Effect relationship. This is demonstrated with theexample of an exporter who has to receive a fixed amount of dollars in a few months frompresent. The exporter stands to lose if the domestic currency appreciates against that currencyin the meanwhile so, to hedge this; he could take a loan in the foreign currency for the sametime period and convert the same into domestic currency at the current exchange rate. Thetheory assures that the gain realized by investing the proceeds from the loan would match theinterest rate payment (in the foreign currency) for the loan.
  • 59. Other Hedging Instruments: Hedging FX exposure is possible with a range of internal and external methods. – Internal methods can be utilized to manage FX risk from within the company or between related companies without the use of external market instruments→ operating and financial hedges (also natural hedge). Internal methods: Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page59  Invoice in home currency One easy way is to insist that all foreign customers pay in your home currency and that your company pays for all imports in your home currency. However the exchange-rate risk has not gone away, it has just been passed onto the customer. Your customer may not be too happy with your strategy and simply look for an alternative supplier. Achievable if you are in a monopoly position, however in a competitive environment this is an unrealistic approach.  Leading and lagging If an importer (payment) expects that the currency it is due to pay will depreciate, it may attempt to delay payment. This may be achieved by agreement or by exceeding credit terms. If an exporter (receipt) expects that the currency it is due to receive will depreciate over the next three months it may try to obtain payment immediately. This may be achieved by offering a discount for immediate payment. The problem lies in guessing which way the exchange rate will move.  Matching When a company has receipts and payments in the same foreign currency due at the same time, it can simply match them against each other. It is then only necessary to deal on the FOREX markets for the unmatched portion of the total transactions. An extension of the matching idea is setting up a foreign currency bank account.
  • 60. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page60  Decide to do nothing? The company would "win some, lose some". Theory suggests that, in the long run, gains and losses net off to leave a similar result to that if hedged. In the short run, however, losses may be significant. One additional advantage of this policy is the savings in transaction costs. – External methods refer to hedging methods available to the company externally (on the market) in the form of specialized hedging instruments→ contractual hedges. External methods:  Short Term Borrowing Debt-borrowing in the currency to which the firm is exposed or investing in interest bearing assets to offset a foreign currency payment is a widely used hedging tool that serves much the same purpose as forward contracts. The cost of this money market hedge is the interest differentials between the two countries. The money market hedge suits many companies because they have to borrow anyway, so it is simply a matter of denominating the company’s debt in the currency to which it is exposed.  Discounting Discounting can be used to cover only the export receivables. It cannot be used to cover foreign currency payables or to hedge a translation exposure. Where an export receivable is to be settled by bill of exchange, the exporter can discount the bill any time and receive the payment before the receivable settlement date. The bill may be discounted either with the foreign bank in the customer’s country in which case the foreign currency proceeds can be repatriated immediately or with the exporter’s country bank at the currency spot rate.  Factoring
  • 61. Factoring can only be used as a means of covering export receivables. When the export receivable is to be settled on open account, rather than by bill of exchange, the receivables can be assigned as collateral for selected bank financing. Under most circumstances, such service will give protection against rate changes, though during unsettled periods in the foreign exchange markets, appropriate variations may be made in the factoring agreement. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page61  Government Exchange Risk Guarantees To encourage exports, government agencies in many countries offer their exporters insurance against export, credit risk and special export financing schemes.
  • 62. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page62 Foreign Exchange Risk Management at Rolex: Rolex Rings Pvt. Ltd. being the largest producer of hot forged rolled rings in India along-with finished machining through CNC route is bound to have a good amount of import-export of its own. According to the company sources, out of the total sales of the company, 70% comprises that of the exports and the remaining 30% is that of the domestic sales. The company in order to carry out its production activity does import a part of its raw materials from the foreign countries. It also has a set of huge imported machineries purchased from countries like Japan, Germany etc. Some of the specialized services too are being imported by the firm for its facilitation. So in order to manage these kinds of transactions, a company like Rolex Rings is bound to have a proper FOREX management system so as to generate profits. The absence of this kind of a system will ultimately lead to losses which will affect the company in many different ways. At Rolex Rings, the firm uses the following techniques for the imports and exports: For Exports:  Discounting the Bill of Exchange: A non-interest-bearing written order used primarily in international trade that binds one party to pay a fixed sum of money to another party at a predetermined future date. Bills of exchange are similar to checks and promissory notes. They can be drawn by individuals or banks and are generally transferable by endorsements. The difference between a promissory note and a bill of exchange is that this product is transferable and can bind one party to pay a third party that was not involved in its creation. If these bills are issued by a bank, they can be referred to as bank drafts. If they are issued by individuals, they can be referred to as trade drafts.
  • 63. As soon as the bill of exchange is accepted by the concerned party, the bill is discounted by Rolex Rings from the bank. The bank is then liable to pay the amount of export order to the firm based on the spot rate of the currency in exchange market. After this, at the time of the maturity of the bill, the bank will then collect the same amount of foreign currency from the importer. However, though the amount of the foreign currency will be the same, the rate of the same in INR at that point of time may be different i.e. high or low. Let us take an example to understand this in a better way. Suppose on Jan 1, 2013 Rolex Rings received the bill of exchange of an export order of amount 100000$ having a maturity period of 3 months. Now for Rolex, it can wait till 3 months or else it can get it discounted. So the firm goes with the discounting from the bank. On that particular day, the spot rate of the USD/INR = Rs.50. thus, the bank will now pay the firm with 100000*50= Rs.5000000. Now on Mar 31, 2013 i.e. the maturity date, the bank will collect the 100000$ from the importer. Turns out that the USD/INR rate on that day was Rs.52. As a result, the bank will be receiving 100000*52 = Rs.5200000 from the importer. There can be altogether a completely opposite situation too, whereby the bank might have to bear some loss because of the reduced USD/INR rate. Rolex Rings has its deals with two types of currencies in its export orders. They are: Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page63 1) US Dollar 2) Euro For Imports: Import of Raw Materials and Components  Forward Contracts:
  • 64. Forward exchange contract is a device which can afford adequate protection to an importer or an exporter against exchange risk. Forward currency contracts are most widely used tools for foreign exchange risk management. Rolex Rings uses the forward contracts in the import of its raw materials. In this case, during the time of purchase a specific payment rate is fixed which the firm will be liable to pay at time of final payment. This rate is known as the forward rate. Generally they will be having a time period of 1, 2 or 3 months. The rate fixed at present day will be the rate that the firm will be paying at time of maturity. If at the time of maturity, there arises a difference in the pre-determined value and the current value, then also the firm will be giving the pre-determined rate only. Thus, for an import order of 100000$ with a maturity date of 1 month and the forward rate of Rs.52, even though at the time of maturity the spot rate turns out to be Rs.53, Rolex Rings will be liable to pay 100000*52= Rs.5200000 only and not 100000*53 = Rs.5300000. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page64 Import of Services  Spot Rates: Now as far as the imports of services are concerned, the amount that Rolex Rings is liable to pay is based on the spot rate and not the forward rate. Herein, as soon as the bill is received by the firm, based on that taking into accounts the current market rates, the payment is carried out to the exporter. Rolex Rings has its deals with the following currencies in the import orders: 1) US Dollar 2) Japanese Yen 3) Canadian Dollar
  • 65. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page65 4) Swish Franc Here is the table showing the details of the import, export and consumption of Rolex Rings for years 2010-11, 2011-12 and 2012-13. (Rs. In Million) Year 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 Imports Purchase Raw Materials 929.19 1263.84 1258.61 Spare Parts 23.57 27.02 3.22 Capital Goods 429.04 265.48 37.77 Consumption Imported Raw Materials 730.75 1599.15 1465.73 Components 27.79 28.6 25.39 Indigenous Raw Materials 1233.92 980.13 1363.06 Components 199.56 411.41 301.06 Sales Export 1679.99 2230.63 2481.31 Domestic 1456.96 1918.489 1691.06 Scrap 176.394 366.22 324.635
  • 66. Findings - Conclusion: With reference to the study undertaken with help of the secondary data, some of the key findings and conclusion related to that of the Rolex Rings are as follows:  The firm is having an effective FOREX management system.  The firm is satisfied with the bill discounting it follows for the exports Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page66 and forward contracting for imports.  The firm being a medium scale industry, it faces transaction exposure.  There are no problems as such in the collection and payment of amounts.  The firm is not interested in adapting any other technique for the import-exports.  The firm is also flexible in different currency dealings in case of imports.  Also, the firm does not believe in speculation as it is the most risky technique and least favored by others too.
  • 67. Shri Sunshine Group of Education Page67 Bibliography:  Book: Foreign Exchange and Risk Management, C.Jeevanandam – Sultan Chand & Sons  Newspapers: The Economic Times Business Standard  Research Article: Hedging of Foreign Exchange Risk by Corporate in India, Dr. HirenManiar  Websites: www.rbi.org.in www.fedai.org.in www.x-rates.com www.nseindia.com www.rolexrings.com