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1
First steps towards an integrated offshore grid
.
1
Martin Ars, 12-10-2015
2
Introduction: Benefits studied by European Commission
Cost reduction in 20 year (nominal) :
*Assignment by European Union:
written by PWC, Ecofys, Tractabel
3
Introduction: Benefits studied by European Commission
30-97B€ ~15-45 wind farms
Cost reduction in 20 year (nominal) :
*Assignment by European Union:
written by PWC, Ecofys, Tractabel
CO2 reduction
22-45MT/y
~All coal plants NL
4
Introduction: Offshore Wind farms
5
Introduction: Interesting connection points
6
Design 2015
Design chosen
Introduction: Interesting connection points
EU Support 2015
Design ~2019
7
Cost reduction - Feasibility Studies
Studies
WP1: feasibility study UK-NL
UK-BE-NL
UK-NO
DE-DK-NL
Cost
reduction
8
Cost reduction: Feasibility Studies 1*3: European Commission
Studies
WP1: feasibility study UK-NL
UK-BE-NL
UK-NO
DE-NL
Cost
reduction
Cost reduction 20y (nominal):
~30 - 97B€
*Assignment by European union:
written by PWC, Ecofys, Tractabel
.
Annual:
4.900-1.500M€
Nominal 20y:
30-97B€
9
Cost reduction: Feasibility Studies 2*3: North Sea Grid
Studies
WP1: feasibility study UK-NL
UK-BE-NL
UK-NO
DE-NL
Cost
reduction
Annual:
4.900-1.500M€
Nominal 20y:
30-97B€
UK-BE-NL NO-UKDK-DE-NL
1213M€ NPV 650M€ NPV 350M€ NPV
1 connection:
350-1.213M€
*Imperial college of London, 3E, CEPS,
Windguard, ECN, DNV-GL.
NPV: 350 – 1.213M€
10
Cost reduction: Feasibility Studies 3*3: Synergies At Sea WP1
Studies
WP1: feasibility study UK-NL
UK-BE-NL
UK-NO
DE-NL
Cost
reduction
Case specific, for the profitable cases:
WP1: feasibility study UK-NL
UK NL
1 connection:
100-200M€
1 connection:
350-1.213M€
*Nuon/Vattenfall, Groningen Centre of
Energy law, ECN
Annual:
4.900-1.500M€
Nominal 20y:
30-97B€
NPV: 100 - 200M€
11
Cost reduction: How does that work?
Interconnection
=
cost reduction
Wind farms & interconnections
=
more cost reduction
1
2
12
Cost reduction: Interconnection leads to more efficient generation
0
20
40
60
80
100
Installed capacity [MW]
Merit order UK
0
20
40
60
80
100
Installed capacity [MW]
Merit order NL
UK NL
Demand Demand
60€/MwH
30€/MwH
No interconnection
Average
45€/MwH
13
Cost reduction: Interconnection leads to more efficient generation
0
20
40
60
80
100
Installed capacity [MW]
Merit order UK
0
20
40
60
80
100
Installed capacity [MW]
Merit order NL
UK NL
New demand New demand
- Lower av. Price: use of most efficient power plants
- Avoided investments new power plants
- Better implementation renewables
Interconnection
New Average
37€/MwH
14
Cost reduction: Interconnection via wind farms lead to faster and
higher returns
UK NL
Cheaper
Interconnection
Faster and more development of interconnection
Redundant connection wind farm
15
Possibilities and Challenges
Economic
benefits
Technology
- HV-AC
- HV-DC
Regulatory
Interests
Mandates
- Technology ready for first steps
- Further development delayed due to ‘lack of market’
- A transnational grid cannot be developed under the current framework
- Problems known and identified*
- Who is going to take action??
*Studies e.g.:
Synergies At Sea
North Sea Grid, 2015
Institution:
Groningen Centre of Energy Law
- Problems known and varies per project.
16
Possibilities and Challenges
Economic
benefits
Technology
- HV-AC
- HV-DC
Regulatory
Interests
Mandates
- Technology ready for first steps
- Further development delayed due to ‘lack of market’
- A transnational grid cannot be developed under the current framework
- Problems known and identified*
- Who is going to take action??
*Studies e.g.:
Synergies At Sea
North Sea Grid, 2015
Institution:
Groningen Centre of Energy Law
- Problems known and varies per project.
- Opportunities are lost
- Planning wind farm is leading
- Action needed: national governments
- Interconnection needs to be integral part of offshore wind policy
17
Problem: Opportunities leaking away
EU-level
European
Commission
ENTSO-E
National level
Grid Operator
Government
Developers Opportunities lost:
Preparing framework
• Studies
• Adjusting regulation
• Harmonisation
• Support Mechanism
Mandate to implement
option in offshore
substations
18
Problem: Opportunities leaking away
EU-level
European
Commission
ENTSO-E
National level
Grid Operator
Government
Developers Opportunities lost:
Preparing framework
• Studies
• Adjusting regulation
• Harmonisation
• Support Mechanism
Close the loop
Mandate to implement
option in offshore
substations
19
Close the loop: Study benefits for all offshore substations
20
Close the loop: Study benefits for all offshore substations
Agreement north-sea member states:
- Study all options
21
Summary
Offshore grid:
- Ready to take the first steps
- Significant benefits: leaking away
Solution
- Close the loop: Interconnection integral part of offshore wind
- Study benefits and build optionalities: No regret approach
And now?
Start acting: Key advantage of offshore wind
22
•
23
Thank you!

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First steps towards an integrated offshore grid / Martin Ars / 12-10-2015

  • 1. 1 First steps towards an integrated offshore grid . 1 Martin Ars, 12-10-2015
  • 2. 2 Introduction: Benefits studied by European Commission Cost reduction in 20 year (nominal) : *Assignment by European Union: written by PWC, Ecofys, Tractabel
  • 3. 3 Introduction: Benefits studied by European Commission 30-97B€ ~15-45 wind farms Cost reduction in 20 year (nominal) : *Assignment by European Union: written by PWC, Ecofys, Tractabel CO2 reduction 22-45MT/y ~All coal plants NL
  • 6. 6 Design 2015 Design chosen Introduction: Interesting connection points EU Support 2015 Design ~2019
  • 7. 7 Cost reduction - Feasibility Studies Studies WP1: feasibility study UK-NL UK-BE-NL UK-NO DE-DK-NL Cost reduction
  • 8. 8 Cost reduction: Feasibility Studies 1*3: European Commission Studies WP1: feasibility study UK-NL UK-BE-NL UK-NO DE-NL Cost reduction Cost reduction 20y (nominal): ~30 - 97B€ *Assignment by European union: written by PWC, Ecofys, Tractabel . Annual: 4.900-1.500M€ Nominal 20y: 30-97B€
  • 9. 9 Cost reduction: Feasibility Studies 2*3: North Sea Grid Studies WP1: feasibility study UK-NL UK-BE-NL UK-NO DE-NL Cost reduction Annual: 4.900-1.500M€ Nominal 20y: 30-97B€ UK-BE-NL NO-UKDK-DE-NL 1213M€ NPV 650M€ NPV 350M€ NPV 1 connection: 350-1.213M€ *Imperial college of London, 3E, CEPS, Windguard, ECN, DNV-GL. NPV: 350 – 1.213M€
  • 10. 10 Cost reduction: Feasibility Studies 3*3: Synergies At Sea WP1 Studies WP1: feasibility study UK-NL UK-BE-NL UK-NO DE-NL Cost reduction Case specific, for the profitable cases: WP1: feasibility study UK-NL UK NL 1 connection: 100-200M€ 1 connection: 350-1.213M€ *Nuon/Vattenfall, Groningen Centre of Energy law, ECN Annual: 4.900-1.500M€ Nominal 20y: 30-97B€ NPV: 100 - 200M€
  • 11. 11 Cost reduction: How does that work? Interconnection = cost reduction Wind farms & interconnections = more cost reduction 1 2
  • 12. 12 Cost reduction: Interconnection leads to more efficient generation 0 20 40 60 80 100 Installed capacity [MW] Merit order UK 0 20 40 60 80 100 Installed capacity [MW] Merit order NL UK NL Demand Demand 60€/MwH 30€/MwH No interconnection Average 45€/MwH
  • 13. 13 Cost reduction: Interconnection leads to more efficient generation 0 20 40 60 80 100 Installed capacity [MW] Merit order UK 0 20 40 60 80 100 Installed capacity [MW] Merit order NL UK NL New demand New demand - Lower av. Price: use of most efficient power plants - Avoided investments new power plants - Better implementation renewables Interconnection New Average 37€/MwH
  • 14. 14 Cost reduction: Interconnection via wind farms lead to faster and higher returns UK NL Cheaper Interconnection Faster and more development of interconnection Redundant connection wind farm
  • 15. 15 Possibilities and Challenges Economic benefits Technology - HV-AC - HV-DC Regulatory Interests Mandates - Technology ready for first steps - Further development delayed due to ‘lack of market’ - A transnational grid cannot be developed under the current framework - Problems known and identified* - Who is going to take action?? *Studies e.g.: Synergies At Sea North Sea Grid, 2015 Institution: Groningen Centre of Energy Law - Problems known and varies per project.
  • 16. 16 Possibilities and Challenges Economic benefits Technology - HV-AC - HV-DC Regulatory Interests Mandates - Technology ready for first steps - Further development delayed due to ‘lack of market’ - A transnational grid cannot be developed under the current framework - Problems known and identified* - Who is going to take action?? *Studies e.g.: Synergies At Sea North Sea Grid, 2015 Institution: Groningen Centre of Energy Law - Problems known and varies per project. - Opportunities are lost - Planning wind farm is leading - Action needed: national governments - Interconnection needs to be integral part of offshore wind policy
  • 17. 17 Problem: Opportunities leaking away EU-level European Commission ENTSO-E National level Grid Operator Government Developers Opportunities lost: Preparing framework • Studies • Adjusting regulation • Harmonisation • Support Mechanism Mandate to implement option in offshore substations
  • 18. 18 Problem: Opportunities leaking away EU-level European Commission ENTSO-E National level Grid Operator Government Developers Opportunities lost: Preparing framework • Studies • Adjusting regulation • Harmonisation • Support Mechanism Close the loop Mandate to implement option in offshore substations
  • 19. 19 Close the loop: Study benefits for all offshore substations
  • 20. 20 Close the loop: Study benefits for all offshore substations Agreement north-sea member states: - Study all options
  • 21. 21 Summary Offshore grid: - Ready to take the first steps - Significant benefits: leaking away Solution - Close the loop: Interconnection integral part of offshore wind - Study benefits and build optionalities: No regret approach And now? Start acting: Key advantage of offshore wind