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DISCUSSION ON CCUS TECHNOLOGY STATUS AND OUTLOOK
1. 1
CCUS
Status and Outlook
Dr. Zoe Kapetaki
European Commission
JRC Directorate C - Energy, Transport and Climate
Unit C.7 – Knowledge for the Energy Union
Amsterdam, 22nd June 2022
3. 3
Some of our work in CCUS
https://joint-research-centre.ec.europa.eu/energy-and-industry-geography-lab_en
4. 4
But why CCUS?
CO2 capture
CO2 storage
Source: Primes modelling for COM “Sustainable Carbon Cycles”, December 2021.
5. 5
The SET-Plan Action 9: CCUS
10 CCUS SET-Plan targets for 2030 to be reached by:
• Solving challenges/barriers by undertaking R&I in
parallel with large-scale activities
• R&I projects addressing specific challenges and
barriers, with the results then implemented in large-
scale projects
• Reducing the cost and energy requirements of CCS
and CCU
• Testing and deploying CCUS technologies at scale
during the 2020s to ensure achieving net zero by 2050
6. 6
CCUS status
Sources: IEA analysis and tracking; Global CCS Institute CCS Facilities Database
https://co2re.co/.
Number
of
projects
13. 13
CCUS technology cost: (potentially)
the future
Source: IEA, 2020 - Sustainable Development Scenario (SDS)
14. 14
Public and private R&I funding in the
world (2010-2018)
Source: JRC SETIS & JRC based on IEA
0 200 400 600 800 1 000 1 200 1 400
EU
CN
US
JP
KR
R&I Investments (EUR million)
Private Public
15. 15
Public and private R&I funding in MS
(2010-2018)
Source: JRC based on IEA
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350
DE
FR
NL
IT
ES
R&I Investments (EUR million)
Private Public
16. 16
Venture capital – early & late stages,
2016-21
Source: JRC based on Pitchbook
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
EUR
millions
Early stages Later stages
17. 17
Patenting trends
62%
48%
24%
3%
55%
70%
43%
35%
14%
1%
27%
29%
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700
ROW
JP
KR
CN
US
EU
Number of inventions and share of high-value and
international activity (2017-2019)
International
High-value
Total
CPC codes: Y02P 10/122, Y02P 40/18, Y02C 20/40
Source: JRC based on EPO PATSTAT 2021b
18. 18
Bibliometric trends – CO2 capture
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
No
of
articles
China EU South Korea United Kingdom United States of America
Source: JRC TIM
19. 19
Bibliometric trends – CO2 storage
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
No
of
artcles
China EU South Korea United Kingdom United States of America
Source: JRC TIM
20. 20
Value chain
Overall revenue by major
countries, 2021
Gross value added, (% of GDP), 2021
Country EUR Million
USA 1 945
Australia 158
Norway 152
Malaysia 126
Indonesia 123
Russia 95
EU-27 92
China 76
Saudi Arabia 47
UAE 47
Brazil 38
UK 27
Canada 23
Source: JRC with data from Polaris Market Research Analysis
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
%
of
GDP
India South Korea Canada
Brazil Taiwan Bahrain
Saudi Arabia United Arab Emirates China
Australia Mexico Norway
United Kingdom United States Malaysia
21. 21
- Few, scattered studies on overall sustainability
- LCA studies suggest a system-wide GHG intensity reduction by
applying CCS
- Water requirement can be an issue but may be mitigated as
technology advances
- The implications on demand for materials have not been studied
in detail → a potential field in need for study
- CO2 use as a source for carbon has been reported like a
promising option on circularity
- Perceived risk for CO2 leak has been a bottleneck for project
development - to date, no major incidents have been reported
- CCUS projects have suffered from severe criticism and lack of
public acceptance
Environmental and socio-economic
sustainability
22. 22
• CO2 capture, transport and storage technology components are
commercially available for most industries
• Pipeline of commercial facilities has increased but more is needed to
achieve ambitious targets
• CCUS costs are still considerable but expected to fall as/if/when capacity
increases
• France, Germany, the Netherlands are the front runners in public and
private R&I investments and top patenting companies
• These countries also on the top 5 of peer review publications following
Spain and Italy
• In summary, EU in good position when it comes to publications, patents,
private and public R&I funding
• EU lags behind on venture capital companies compared to other world
areas
• Need for (supply) value chain identification and mapping
• Demand for materials is a potential field in need for study
Summary
23. 23
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