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Future Cities Africa (FCA)
GAMA Technical Group (GTG) Meeting
12th May 2016
1. Welcome	and	introductions	- Ghana	&	London
2. Update	on	resilience.io	programme	and	forward	plans	
for	June	- Stephen	Passmore
3. Aims	and	next	steps	for	the	GAMA	Technical	Group	–
Catherine	Allinson,	Future	Earth	Ltd
4. Early	use-case	findings	and	prototype	development	–
Rembrandt	Koppelaar ICL	&	IIER
5. Financing	resilient	infrastructure	(WASH)	– Christoph
von	Waldersee
6. Guest	speakers	
7. AOB
8. Next	steps	and	Close
http://ecosequestrust.org/GAMA
Agenda
resilience.ioprogramme	à July
● DFID Annual Review process – the funders. Beginning to
discuss next steps which could include a graphical user
interface, another sector, more WASH use cases
● Engagement with ministries, assemblies, TV and Radio
• June 13th – 22nd Debut events - Objectives
• Evidence prototype is functional and benefits
• Municipal interest in using WASH findings to inform
decision making
• Interest to continue to develop resilience.io - WASH,
other sectors
• Positive news stories on resilient city innovation
resilience.ioprogramme	à July
● June 2016
• 13th – 22nd June interactive modelworkshops
• Ministries – MLGRD & MWRWH, NDPC & MESTI
• Academia – ILGS, UoG, KNUST
• MMDAs, Cities, Community
• Private sector
• Agendas – fordiscussion
• Welcome and introductions – host
• Introduction to resilience.io prototype
• Host presentation on value of resilience.io
• Introduction to the 3 Use Cases
• Findings and discussions
• Interactive model run sessions (alter scenarios,
parameters, assumptions)
• Summarise findings
• Discuss next steps and identify expert user(s)
resilience.io platform
GAMA Technical Group
WASH SECTOR
Multiple Collaboratories
Aims and next steps
1. Collaboratory grows to cover all sectors with user friendly access
points and nominated lead for each. It takes responsibility for M&E,
reporting and dissemination of results from the resilience.io model.
2. Links to and between academic institutions are strengthened to build
and share collaborative intelligence.
3. Professional networks are engaged especially with regard to project
financing, apps and sustainable technologies which can be brought
to GAMA
4. Use of data and information for vertical and horizontal engagement
with communities and decision-makers and for creating business
cases is achieved
Collaboratory is seen as forum for collaborative intelligence
for planning and investment decisions
SUPPORT THE DEBUT WITH
YOUR VOICE AND FEET
15TH – 24TH JUNE 2016
Resilience.IO Results for meeting
Water Demand in Ghana
Harry Triantafyllidis, Xiaonan Wang,
Rembrandt Koppelaar and Koen H. van Dam
Department of Chemical Engineering, Imperial College London, UK
IIER – Institute for Integrated Economic Research
12 May 2016
Resilience.IO platform
Results – Use Case 1 “On-going projects”
10
Simulated Values 2010 2025
Population 3,882,567 5,678,121
Water Demand (no leaks) 346,938 m3/day 518,000 m3/day
Water Losses (leaks)* 153,438 m3/day 260,983 m3/day
*Assumed 27% leakage in pipe transport in 2010 & 2025
2015 : Existing potable water pipe connections
11
2025 : New infrastructure to meet 100%
improved water demands
12
n On-going / completed projects 2010 - 2025:
¨ Kpong China Gezhouba (186,000 m3/day)
¨ Kpong Tahal (28,000 m3/day)
¨ Teshie Desalination plant (60,000 m3/day)
¨ GAMA additional boreholes (21,000 m3/day)
n Model outcome à suggested:
¨ Expansion source water treatment Lake Weija (175,000 m3/day)
n Potential alternative – already planned:
¨ Asutuare project at Volta River (200,000 m3/day)
2025 : New pipes suggested to meet 100%
improved water demands
13
2025 : Water flows simulated with new
infrastructure in m3 per day (excludes leaks)
14
Results – Use Case 1 “On-going projects”
15
Simulated Values 2010 2025
Investment cost (USD)* / 954 million
Operational cost (USD) 42.6 million 81.3 million
Of which simulated:
- Electricity cost (USD) 1.86 million 8.7 million
- Labour cost (USD) 12.8 million 17.0 million
*on top of current investments in on-going projects
To be continued…..
16
• Use Case Report in the works – detailed results
• June Demonstration Workshops in Accra
• Prototype executable
Urban	Resilience
And	The	Need	Of	Finance
Financing	Resilient	Infrastructure
And	Risk	Management
Webinar	for	Ghana,	May	12th,	2016
By:	Christoph Waldersee,
The	Ecological	Sequestration	Trust
christoph.waldersee@ecosequestrust.org
Please	follow	me	on	my	journey	to	a	better	way	of	strengthening	
climate	resilience	with	a	focus	on	how	to	finance	it:
1. Tackle	changing	disaster	risks	&	uncertainties	
2. Enhance	adaptive	capacity
3. Address	poverty	&	vulnerability	and	their	structural	causes
1.0.
1.1 Infrastructure as the growth engine of the near future?
Bloomberg,	27	February	2016:	“G-20	Seeks	Infrastructure	Push	to	Help	
Boost	Global	Economy”	http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-02-27/g-20-seeks-infrastructure-push-to-help-shore-up-global-economy
o “Global	finance	chiefs	are	stepping	up	their	call	for	development	lenders	
such	as	the	World	Bank	to	help	support	economic	growth	by	further	
opening	the	infrastructure	taps”
o “G-20	finance	ministers	and	central	bankers	also	said	in	the	draft	
obtained	by	Bloomberg	News	that	they’re	committed	to	advancing	
investment	by	focusing	"on	infrastructure	both	in	terms	of	quantity	and	
quality	aspects“.”
1.2 Infrastructure is a “Public Good”
Safe	water,	clean	air,	good	health,	basic	education,	green	space	etc.	cannot	be	replaced.	
Making	it	stable,	disaster	proof	&	resilient,	while	still	running	&	financing	it	follows	the	
pattern	of	any	other	human	activity:
Incentives will	reach	more!
Urban	infrastructure	must	be	
resilient &	sustainable
as	public	service	is	a	public	good.
But	how	to	finance	it?
The	political	level	
is	setting	the
rules The	service	level	
supplies,	 runs,	maintains
it,	and	has	to	finance it.
Supply	can	be	either	a	
public,	a	private&	or	a	
community task
Citizens	are	depending	on	the	supply	of	such	services	and	they	are	ready	to	pay
but	only	in	a	transparent	system	allowing	them	to	see	if	they	can	afford	it
We	are	talking	about	a	standard of	Sustainable	Public	&	Social	Well-Being
Citizens	need	to	&	want	to	be	supplied	according	to	agreed	standards	
The	finance	sector	need	to	be	involved	when	setting	RESILIENT standards	to	finance	this
Incentivizing the	finance	sector	through	bankable	projects	to	take	this	up	is	essential
It	needs	to	become	part	of	a	system	that	is	putting RESILIENT as its benchmark
Whoever	runs	the	utility	has	principallyagreed	to	this	public	&	social	well-being	standard
the	costs	&	potential	gains	balancing	overall social wellbeing &	economic profit (corporate	or	not)
regarding	the	inclusiveness, the	resilient quality &	affordable price of	the	public	service
This	is	the	practical	&	legal	base	for	any	cost	benefit	analysis as	well	as
an	integral	due	diligence	allowing	anyone	to	calculate	the	related	financial	cost
In	other	words:
This	is	the	way	to	mobilise	finance	&	investment	turning it	into bankable	projects
Those can	be	offered	to	the	financial	markets	
Whichever	ownership,	public	or
private	sector,	whichever	source	
of	finance,	the	utility	supplier	is	to	
be	judged	by:
KPIs made	evident	through	 data
read	&	interpreted	by	a	local	
“Collaboratory” e.g.	Data	Cloud
2.1 Infrastructure & Risk Management (2)
Infrastructure	is	unique and	has	to	follow	its	specific	set	of	rules.	To	do	the	
respective	risk	management	it	needs	to	include	other	factors	than	what	a	
corporate	risk	analysis	assesses:
Ø Infrastructure fundamentally	deals	with	social	wellbeing	and
inclusiveness	
Ø At	the	same	time	it	still	binds	like	any	other	investment	amounts of
monetary	means	turned	into	fixed or hard-to-move	assets
2.2 Infrastructure & Risk Management (3)
Identifying,	analyzing	and	either	accepting	or	mitigating	uncertainty	in	the	
investment	decision-making	process	always directlydeals	with	the	risk	of	
social	wellbeing,	of	inclusiveness and	its	consequences	for	human	beings
Ø All	this	needs	to	be	counted	in	when	quantifying	potential	loss	and	
weighing	it	with	the	intended	investment	objectives	and	its	overall	
cost,	then	assessing	the	resulting	inherent	risk	tolerance
Ø Inadequate	risk	management	will	cause	consequences	for	human	
beings,	for	society	in	general,	for	nature	or	even	for	the	planetary	
health
Give	the	citizen	a	word	in	it,
not	only	as	a	voter
3.2 Financing “Resilient” Infrastructure (3)
Moody’sstated	&	estimates:
o “Green	Bonds”	worth	US$50	billion	are	expected	to	be	
issued	in	2016
o In	2015 green	bonds	worth	US$42.4	billion	were	issued
o India &	China were expected	to	lead	green	bonds	issuances
o 105	issuers	raised	US$42.4	billion	in	197	transactions	in	
2015,	average funds	per	transaction	around	US$215	million,	
largest	issuer	raising	US$17	billion
4.0 Action Plan (1)
What	we	need	to	do	now:
o Start	an	integrated planning	process	between	city &	potential	investor
o Working	on	the	Development	Finance	Institutions	to	integrate	the	
agreed	KPIs	into	their	project	finance	and	make	them	compulsorywith	
the	addressees (municipalities,	regions,	nations)
o Turn	the	agreed KPIs into	“Green” and	“Resilient”	standards	for	the	
due	diligence	for	any private	sector	finance,	in	particular	infrastructure	
o Working	on	institutional	investors	and private	equity	providers	who	are	
constantly	seeking	new	investments as	they	all	over	the	world	start	
disinvesting	from	fossil	fuels	and	other	unsustainable	ventures
Municipality	
and/or	Urban	
Development	
Agency
Policies
Those	are	the	societal	needs	for	hard	
&	soft	infrastructure	in	each	district,	
municipality,	 city	e.g. Goal:
Integrated	strategic	
assessment,	planning	
&	evidence
Private	
investment	e.g.	
loans,	equity,	etc.
Those	are	the	investment	needs
Urban	
Development	
and	
Investment	
Fund	(UDIF)
Backed by	e.g.	
GCF,	AfDB,	
and/or	by	
institutional	
investors	&	
other	
investors
Project	pipeline	(could	
be	a	PPP,	or	a	public,	
or	a	private	project,	
plus	any	innovative	
finance)
Public	investment	
e.g.	fiscal,	land,	
bonds
Investment	in	
cash	and	kind
Green	spaces
Culture
Infrastructure
• One	prime	loan	type	to	keep	costs	low
• Covers	full	and	incremental	costs	of	projects
• Long	or	short	term	finance	possible
• Assessments,	 data,	modelling	and	M&E	are	
bundled	with	funds
Results:	
Governance	
&	technical	
capacity	will	
be	much	
increased!
Eligibility:
• “Transformational	change”	
(e.g.	according	to	GCF	
requirements)
• Carbon	cycle	management	
&	overall	GHG	reduction
• Overall	utility	reduction	
under	any	aspect	of	
resource	efficiency
• Innovation,	adaptation	&	
mitigation	according	to
resilience.io standards
The	tool:	
Urban	Development	&	Investment	
Fund	(UDIF)
4.2 Action Plan, Toolkit “Urban Development & Investment Fund”
1. Fund structure	[amounts	paid-in	&	management]	can	be	public,	private	or	mixed	[no	need	to	
prescribe	a	structure]
2. Fund	revolves for	an	unlimited	time	period
3. [2-3%]	Administration	fee,	from	which	management	cost,	royalties/fees,	etc.	are	paid
4. One	primary	loan	type	[advisable,	but	not	necessarily	so],	either	at	preferential	interest	rate	or	
market	conditions
5. Loan	covers	full	or	incremental	cost	[“Life	Cycle	Costing	Calculator”	acc.	to	“Harvard	model”]
6. Soft	cost/feasibility,	enhanced	data	mapping,	modeling	&	metering	results	bundled	with	loan	
7. Primary	categories	determining	eligibility	for	a	loan:
i. Transformational	change	in	regard	to	GCF	requirements
ii. Carbon	cycle	management/GHG	reduction
iii. Overall	utility	reduction	under	aspects	of	resource	efficiency
iv. Innovation,	adaptation	&	mitigation	according	to	TEST/resilience.io	standards
8. Loans	&	structured	finance	[possibly	including	equity]	up	to	[xx]	US$	Million	will	be	considered
9. Projects	require	full	feasibility	study,	preferably	including	a	case	study	and	a	web	story
10. Fund	Review	Committee	meets	regularly	[quarterly	or	similar]	
11. Fund	policy	&	governance	reviewed	regularly	[every	Xth year]
Thank you

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Financing resilience.io and WASH in GAMA - GTG Webinar - May 12th 2016

  • 1. Future Cities Africa (FCA) GAMA Technical Group (GTG) Meeting 12th May 2016
  • 2. 1. Welcome and introductions - Ghana & London 2. Update on resilience.io programme and forward plans for June - Stephen Passmore 3. Aims and next steps for the GAMA Technical Group – Catherine Allinson, Future Earth Ltd 4. Early use-case findings and prototype development – Rembrandt Koppelaar ICL & IIER 5. Financing resilient infrastructure (WASH) – Christoph von Waldersee 6. Guest speakers 7. AOB 8. Next steps and Close http://ecosequestrust.org/GAMA Agenda
  • 3. resilience.ioprogramme à July ● DFID Annual Review process – the funders. Beginning to discuss next steps which could include a graphical user interface, another sector, more WASH use cases ● Engagement with ministries, assemblies, TV and Radio • June 13th – 22nd Debut events - Objectives • Evidence prototype is functional and benefits • Municipal interest in using WASH findings to inform decision making • Interest to continue to develop resilience.io - WASH, other sectors • Positive news stories on resilient city innovation
  • 4. resilience.ioprogramme à July ● June 2016 • 13th – 22nd June interactive modelworkshops • Ministries – MLGRD & MWRWH, NDPC & MESTI • Academia – ILGS, UoG, KNUST • MMDAs, Cities, Community • Private sector • Agendas – fordiscussion • Welcome and introductions – host • Introduction to resilience.io prototype • Host presentation on value of resilience.io • Introduction to the 3 Use Cases • Findings and discussions • Interactive model run sessions (alter scenarios, parameters, assumptions) • Summarise findings • Discuss next steps and identify expert user(s)
  • 8. Aims and next steps 1. Collaboratory grows to cover all sectors with user friendly access points and nominated lead for each. It takes responsibility for M&E, reporting and dissemination of results from the resilience.io model. 2. Links to and between academic institutions are strengthened to build and share collaborative intelligence. 3. Professional networks are engaged especially with regard to project financing, apps and sustainable technologies which can be brought to GAMA 4. Use of data and information for vertical and horizontal engagement with communities and decision-makers and for creating business cases is achieved Collaboratory is seen as forum for collaborative intelligence for planning and investment decisions SUPPORT THE DEBUT WITH YOUR VOICE AND FEET 15TH – 24TH JUNE 2016
  • 9. Resilience.IO Results for meeting Water Demand in Ghana Harry Triantafyllidis, Xiaonan Wang, Rembrandt Koppelaar and Koen H. van Dam Department of Chemical Engineering, Imperial College London, UK IIER – Institute for Integrated Economic Research 12 May 2016 Resilience.IO platform
  • 10. Results – Use Case 1 “On-going projects” 10 Simulated Values 2010 2025 Population 3,882,567 5,678,121 Water Demand (no leaks) 346,938 m3/day 518,000 m3/day Water Losses (leaks)* 153,438 m3/day 260,983 m3/day *Assumed 27% leakage in pipe transport in 2010 & 2025
  • 11. 2015 : Existing potable water pipe connections 11
  • 12. 2025 : New infrastructure to meet 100% improved water demands 12 n On-going / completed projects 2010 - 2025: ¨ Kpong China Gezhouba (186,000 m3/day) ¨ Kpong Tahal (28,000 m3/day) ¨ Teshie Desalination plant (60,000 m3/day) ¨ GAMA additional boreholes (21,000 m3/day) n Model outcome à suggested: ¨ Expansion source water treatment Lake Weija (175,000 m3/day) n Potential alternative – already planned: ¨ Asutuare project at Volta River (200,000 m3/day)
  • 13. 2025 : New pipes suggested to meet 100% improved water demands 13
  • 14. 2025 : Water flows simulated with new infrastructure in m3 per day (excludes leaks) 14
  • 15. Results – Use Case 1 “On-going projects” 15 Simulated Values 2010 2025 Investment cost (USD)* / 954 million Operational cost (USD) 42.6 million 81.3 million Of which simulated: - Electricity cost (USD) 1.86 million 8.7 million - Labour cost (USD) 12.8 million 17.0 million *on top of current investments in on-going projects
  • 16. To be continued….. 16 • Use Case Report in the works – detailed results • June Demonstration Workshops in Accra • Prototype executable
  • 17.
  • 20. 1.1 Infrastructure as the growth engine of the near future? Bloomberg, 27 February 2016: “G-20 Seeks Infrastructure Push to Help Boost Global Economy” http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-02-27/g-20-seeks-infrastructure-push-to-help-shore-up-global-economy o “Global finance chiefs are stepping up their call for development lenders such as the World Bank to help support economic growth by further opening the infrastructure taps” o “G-20 finance ministers and central bankers also said in the draft obtained by Bloomberg News that they’re committed to advancing investment by focusing "on infrastructure both in terms of quantity and quality aspects“.”
  • 21. 1.2 Infrastructure is a “Public Good” Safe water, clean air, good health, basic education, green space etc. cannot be replaced. Making it stable, disaster proof & resilient, while still running & financing it follows the pattern of any other human activity: Incentives will reach more! Urban infrastructure must be resilient & sustainable as public service is a public good. But how to finance it? The political level is setting the rules The service level supplies, runs, maintains it, and has to finance it. Supply can be either a public, a private& or a community task Citizens are depending on the supply of such services and they are ready to pay but only in a transparent system allowing them to see if they can afford it We are talking about a standard of Sustainable Public & Social Well-Being Citizens need to & want to be supplied according to agreed standards The finance sector need to be involved when setting RESILIENT standards to finance this Incentivizing the finance sector through bankable projects to take this up is essential It needs to become part of a system that is putting RESILIENT as its benchmark Whoever runs the utility has principallyagreed to this public & social well-being standard the costs & potential gains balancing overall social wellbeing & economic profit (corporate or not) regarding the inclusiveness, the resilient quality & affordable price of the public service This is the practical & legal base for any cost benefit analysis as well as an integral due diligence allowing anyone to calculate the related financial cost In other words: This is the way to mobilise finance & investment turning it into bankable projects Those can be offered to the financial markets Whichever ownership, public or private sector, whichever source of finance, the utility supplier is to be judged by: KPIs made evident through data read & interpreted by a local “Collaboratory” e.g. Data Cloud
  • 22. 2.1 Infrastructure & Risk Management (2) Infrastructure is unique and has to follow its specific set of rules. To do the respective risk management it needs to include other factors than what a corporate risk analysis assesses: Ø Infrastructure fundamentally deals with social wellbeing and inclusiveness Ø At the same time it still binds like any other investment amounts of monetary means turned into fixed or hard-to-move assets
  • 23. 2.2 Infrastructure & Risk Management (3) Identifying, analyzing and either accepting or mitigating uncertainty in the investment decision-making process always directlydeals with the risk of social wellbeing, of inclusiveness and its consequences for human beings Ø All this needs to be counted in when quantifying potential loss and weighing it with the intended investment objectives and its overall cost, then assessing the resulting inherent risk tolerance Ø Inadequate risk management will cause consequences for human beings, for society in general, for nature or even for the planetary health
  • 24. Give the citizen a word in it, not only as a voter 3.2 Financing “Resilient” Infrastructure (3) Moody’sstated & estimates: o “Green Bonds” worth US$50 billion are expected to be issued in 2016 o In 2015 green bonds worth US$42.4 billion were issued o India & China were expected to lead green bonds issuances o 105 issuers raised US$42.4 billion in 197 transactions in 2015, average funds per transaction around US$215 million, largest issuer raising US$17 billion
  • 25. 4.0 Action Plan (1) What we need to do now: o Start an integrated planning process between city & potential investor o Working on the Development Finance Institutions to integrate the agreed KPIs into their project finance and make them compulsorywith the addressees (municipalities, regions, nations) o Turn the agreed KPIs into “Green” and “Resilient” standards for the due diligence for any private sector finance, in particular infrastructure o Working on institutional investors and private equity providers who are constantly seeking new investments as they all over the world start disinvesting from fossil fuels and other unsustainable ventures
  • 26. Municipality and/or Urban Development Agency Policies Those are the societal needs for hard & soft infrastructure in each district, municipality, city e.g. Goal: Integrated strategic assessment, planning & evidence Private investment e.g. loans, equity, etc. Those are the investment needs Urban Development and Investment Fund (UDIF) Backed by e.g. GCF, AfDB, and/or by institutional investors & other investors Project pipeline (could be a PPP, or a public, or a private project, plus any innovative finance) Public investment e.g. fiscal, land, bonds Investment in cash and kind Green spaces Culture Infrastructure • One prime loan type to keep costs low • Covers full and incremental costs of projects • Long or short term finance possible • Assessments, data, modelling and M&E are bundled with funds Results: Governance & technical capacity will be much increased! Eligibility: • “Transformational change” (e.g. according to GCF requirements) • Carbon cycle management & overall GHG reduction • Overall utility reduction under any aspect of resource efficiency • Innovation, adaptation & mitigation according to resilience.io standards The tool: Urban Development & Investment Fund (UDIF)
  • 27. 4.2 Action Plan, Toolkit “Urban Development & Investment Fund” 1. Fund structure [amounts paid-in & management] can be public, private or mixed [no need to prescribe a structure] 2. Fund revolves for an unlimited time period 3. [2-3%] Administration fee, from which management cost, royalties/fees, etc. are paid 4. One primary loan type [advisable, but not necessarily so], either at preferential interest rate or market conditions 5. Loan covers full or incremental cost [“Life Cycle Costing Calculator” acc. to “Harvard model”] 6. Soft cost/feasibility, enhanced data mapping, modeling & metering results bundled with loan 7. Primary categories determining eligibility for a loan: i. Transformational change in regard to GCF requirements ii. Carbon cycle management/GHG reduction iii. Overall utility reduction under aspects of resource efficiency iv. Innovation, adaptation & mitigation according to TEST/resilience.io standards 8. Loans & structured finance [possibly including equity] up to [xx] US$ Million will be considered 9. Projects require full feasibility study, preferably including a case study and a web story 10. Fund Review Committee meets regularly [quarterly or similar] 11. Fund policy & governance reviewed regularly [every Xth year]