The Trust
The future of the collaboratory
Discuss planning of June debut workshops and activities - identify expert users, identify needs and wishes for the interactive workshop sessions, identify particular WASH policy challenges that the Use Cases and prototype can help to inform
Update on FCA, Ghana, Cities Alliance partnership
Update on global activities
ICL IIER Team
Brief outline of early use case findings
Update on visualisations as part of the demonstration of the resilience.io prototype
2. 1. Welcome and introductions - Ghana & London
2. Update on resilience.io programme and forward plans
for June - Stephen Passmore
3. Aims and next steps for the GAMA Technical Group –
Catherine Allinson, Future Earth Ltd
4. Early use-case findings and prototype development –
Rembrandt Koppelaar ICL & IIER
5. Financing resilient infrastructure (WASH) – Christoph
von Waldersee
6. Guest speakers
7. AOB
8. Next steps and Close
http://ecosequestrust.org/GAMA
Agenda
3. resilience.ioprogramme à July
● DFID Annual Review process – the funders. Beginning to
discuss next steps which could include a graphical user
interface, another sector, more WASH use cases
● Engagement with ministries, assemblies, TV and Radio
• June 13th – 22nd Debut events - Objectives
• Evidence prototype is functional and benefits
• Municipal interest in using WASH findings to inform
decision making
• Interest to continue to develop resilience.io - WASH,
other sectors
• Positive news stories on resilient city innovation
4. resilience.ioprogramme à July
● June 2016
• 13th – 22nd June interactive modelworkshops
• Ministries – MLGRD & MWRWH, NDPC & MESTI
• Academia – ILGS, UoG, KNUST
• MMDAs, Cities, Community
• Private sector
• Agendas – fordiscussion
• Welcome and introductions – host
• Introduction to resilience.io prototype
• Host presentation on value of resilience.io
• Introduction to the 3 Use Cases
• Findings and discussions
• Interactive model run sessions (alter scenarios,
parameters, assumptions)
• Summarise findings
• Discuss next steps and identify expert user(s)
8. Aims and next steps
1. Collaboratory grows to cover all sectors with user friendly access
points and nominated lead for each. It takes responsibility for M&E,
reporting and dissemination of results from the resilience.io model.
2. Links to and between academic institutions are strengthened to build
and share collaborative intelligence.
3. Professional networks are engaged especially with regard to project
financing, apps and sustainable technologies which can be brought
to GAMA
4. Use of data and information for vertical and horizontal engagement
with communities and decision-makers and for creating business
cases is achieved
Collaboratory is seen as forum for collaborative intelligence
for planning and investment decisions
SUPPORT THE DEBUT WITH
YOUR VOICE AND FEET
15TH – 24TH JUNE 2016
9. Resilience.IO Results for meeting
Water Demand in Ghana
Harry Triantafyllidis, Xiaonan Wang,
Rembrandt Koppelaar and Koen H. van Dam
Department of Chemical Engineering, Imperial College London, UK
IIER – Institute for Integrated Economic Research
12 May 2016
Resilience.IO platform
10. Results – Use Case 1 “On-going projects”
10
Simulated Values 2010 2025
Population 3,882,567 5,678,121
Water Demand (no leaks) 346,938 m3/day 518,000 m3/day
Water Losses (leaks)* 153,438 m3/day 260,983 m3/day
*Assumed 27% leakage in pipe transport in 2010 & 2025
12. 2025 : New infrastructure to meet 100%
improved water demands
12
n On-going / completed projects 2010 - 2025:
¨ Kpong China Gezhouba (186,000 m3/day)
¨ Kpong Tahal (28,000 m3/day)
¨ Teshie Desalination plant (60,000 m3/day)
¨ GAMA additional boreholes (21,000 m3/day)
n Model outcome à suggested:
¨ Expansion source water treatment Lake Weija (175,000 m3/day)
n Potential alternative – already planned:
¨ Asutuare project at Volta River (200,000 m3/day)
13. 2025 : New pipes suggested to meet 100%
improved water demands
13
14. 2025 : Water flows simulated with new
infrastructure in m3 per day (excludes leaks)
14
15. Results – Use Case 1 “On-going projects”
15
Simulated Values 2010 2025
Investment cost (USD)* / 954 million
Operational cost (USD) 42.6 million 81.3 million
Of which simulated:
- Electricity cost (USD) 1.86 million 8.7 million
- Labour cost (USD) 12.8 million 17.0 million
*on top of current investments in on-going projects
16. To be continued…..
16
• Use Case Report in the works – detailed results
• June Demonstration Workshops in Accra
• Prototype executable
20. 1.1 Infrastructure as the growth engine of the near future?
Bloomberg, 27 February 2016: “G-20 Seeks Infrastructure Push to Help
Boost Global Economy” http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-02-27/g-20-seeks-infrastructure-push-to-help-shore-up-global-economy
o “Global finance chiefs are stepping up their call for development lenders
such as the World Bank to help support economic growth by further
opening the infrastructure taps”
o “G-20 finance ministers and central bankers also said in the draft
obtained by Bloomberg News that they’re committed to advancing
investment by focusing "on infrastructure both in terms of quantity and
quality aspects“.”
21. 1.2 Infrastructure is a “Public Good”
Safe water, clean air, good health, basic education, green space etc. cannot be replaced.
Making it stable, disaster proof & resilient, while still running & financing it follows the
pattern of any other human activity:
Incentives will reach more!
Urban infrastructure must be
resilient & sustainable
as public service is a public good.
But how to finance it?
The political level
is setting the
rules The service level
supplies, runs, maintains
it, and has to finance it.
Supply can be either a
public, a private& or a
community task
Citizens are depending on the supply of such services and they are ready to pay
but only in a transparent system allowing them to see if they can afford it
We are talking about a standard of Sustainable Public & Social Well-Being
Citizens need to & want to be supplied according to agreed standards
The finance sector need to be involved when setting RESILIENT standards to finance this
Incentivizing the finance sector through bankable projects to take this up is essential
It needs to become part of a system that is putting RESILIENT as its benchmark
Whoever runs the utility has principallyagreed to this public & social well-being standard
the costs & potential gains balancing overall social wellbeing & economic profit (corporate or not)
regarding the inclusiveness, the resilient quality & affordable price of the public service
This is the practical & legal base for any cost benefit analysis as well as
an integral due diligence allowing anyone to calculate the related financial cost
In other words:
This is the way to mobilise finance & investment turning it into bankable projects
Those can be offered to the financial markets
Whichever ownership, public or
private sector, whichever source
of finance, the utility supplier is to
be judged by:
KPIs made evident through data
read & interpreted by a local
“Collaboratory” e.g. Data Cloud
22. 2.1 Infrastructure & Risk Management (2)
Infrastructure is unique and has to follow its specific set of rules. To do the
respective risk management it needs to include other factors than what a
corporate risk analysis assesses:
Ø Infrastructure fundamentally deals with social wellbeing and
inclusiveness
Ø At the same time it still binds like any other investment amounts of
monetary means turned into fixed or hard-to-move assets
23. 2.2 Infrastructure & Risk Management (3)
Identifying, analyzing and either accepting or mitigating uncertainty in the
investment decision-making process always directlydeals with the risk of
social wellbeing, of inclusiveness and its consequences for human beings
Ø All this needs to be counted in when quantifying potential loss and
weighing it with the intended investment objectives and its overall
cost, then assessing the resulting inherent risk tolerance
Ø Inadequate risk management will cause consequences for human
beings, for society in general, for nature or even for the planetary
health
24. Give the citizen a word in it,
not only as a voter
3.2 Financing “Resilient” Infrastructure (3)
Moody’sstated & estimates:
o “Green Bonds” worth US$50 billion are expected to be
issued in 2016
o In 2015 green bonds worth US$42.4 billion were issued
o India & China were expected to lead green bonds issuances
o 105 issuers raised US$42.4 billion in 197 transactions in
2015, average funds per transaction around US$215 million,
largest issuer raising US$17 billion
25. 4.0 Action Plan (1)
What we need to do now:
o Start an integrated planning process between city & potential investor
o Working on the Development Finance Institutions to integrate the
agreed KPIs into their project finance and make them compulsorywith
the addressees (municipalities, regions, nations)
o Turn the agreed KPIs into “Green” and “Resilient” standards for the
due diligence for any private sector finance, in particular infrastructure
o Working on institutional investors and private equity providers who are
constantly seeking new investments as they all over the world start
disinvesting from fossil fuels and other unsustainable ventures
27. 4.2 Action Plan, Toolkit “Urban Development & Investment Fund”
1. Fund structure [amounts paid-in & management] can be public, private or mixed [no need to
prescribe a structure]
2. Fund revolves for an unlimited time period
3. [2-3%] Administration fee, from which management cost, royalties/fees, etc. are paid
4. One primary loan type [advisable, but not necessarily so], either at preferential interest rate or
market conditions
5. Loan covers full or incremental cost [“Life Cycle Costing Calculator” acc. to “Harvard model”]
6. Soft cost/feasibility, enhanced data mapping, modeling & metering results bundled with loan
7. Primary categories determining eligibility for a loan:
i. Transformational change in regard to GCF requirements
ii. Carbon cycle management/GHG reduction
iii. Overall utility reduction under aspects of resource efficiency
iv. Innovation, adaptation & mitigation according to TEST/resilience.io standards
8. Loans & structured finance [possibly including equity] up to [xx] US$ Million will be considered
9. Projects require full feasibility study, preferably including a case study and a web story
10. Fund Review Committee meets regularly [quarterly or similar]
11. Fund policy & governance reviewed regularly [every Xth year]