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resilience.io WASH Sector Protoype Debut Event

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In June 2016, with the culmination of 18 months work by the the team from IIER, Imperial College, Future Earth Ltd and the Trust, we visited Accra to debut the WASH sector prototype of our modelling app at the Accra International Conference Centre, 22nd June 2016.

resilience.io is an open-source, collaborative
human, ecological, economic, resource systems, modelling platform to enable “public good”

we also showed this video https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EGyCyxyatAQ

Published in: Government & Nonprofit
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resilience.io WASH Sector Protoype Debut Event

  1. 1. 1 Welcome to Accra International Conference Centre 22nd June 2016 The Debut..
  2. 2. 2 The Debut.. “Look to the past to help us move forward in the future”. National Development Planning and Cities Prof Peter Head CBE FREng FRSA Chief Executive Inaugural Cabot Institute Fellow University of Bristol
  3. 3. National,city-region scale integrated systems platform Risk informed Policy Investment Planning Procurement CHEER open-source Collaborative Human, Ecological, Economic Resource system platform model to enable “public good”
  4. 4. www.icesfoundation.org Open access free at source for decision making
  5. 5. March 2015 Bellagio March 2016 Bellagio Roadmap FOR ACTION Workshops supported by Rockefeller Foundation “If things are getting easier, maybe you're headed downhill”.
  6. 6. #roadmap2030 http://ecosequestrust.org/roadmap-for-habitat-iii/ • Enabling environment to create smart partnerships between national and municipal government, civil society, academia, faiths and the private sector • How to implement the urban agenda • Addresses 16 cross-cutting themes in an integrated approach
  7. 7. Collaboration for transformation “A successful sustainable development agenda requires partnerships between central and local governments, the private sector, academia and civil society which put people and planet at the centre” CHEER Collaborative Human, Ecological, Economic Resources Enabling system for public good Common service infrastructure
  8. 8. • Implementation of the decentralization policies and programmes • To strengthen leadership and capacity at all levels of the decentralised government machinery • Enhance civil society participation • Promote a sustainable, spatially integrated and orderly development of human settlements to support socio- economic development • Regularly improve demographic data base on population and development Ministry of Local Government and Rural Development Policy Objectives
  9. 9. Communities Water Industry Buildings Energy Ecology Transport Learning Enabling Platform collaborative intelligence Climate adaptation Municipal finance Trusted collaborative laboratory Education Civil society “The strength of the palm tree is in its branches”
  10. 10. Urban demonstrator in Greater Accra Metropolitan Area, (GAMA) Ghana
  11. 11. Human Capital Development Strategy National Infrastructure Plan Economic Growth Strategy Social, Economic, Environmental And Institutional Policies & Strategies Spatial Development Framework SDGs, Agenda 2063 and other global development frameworks
  12. 12. Plus Expenditure Gap 22% -needs PPP plus Revenue Increase Ghana GDP 2014 $39bn Infrastructure and Human Settlements Development 5.6% GDP 4 years 2014-2017
  13. 13. #roadmap2030 Population growth in Ghana cities 2014 14.6 million 2030 22.1million Investment in infrastructure and human settlements in cities Investment in cities to meet SDGs Infrastructure 3.8% GDP 43% Energy 29%Transport 21% Water, sanitation, flood 7% Communications Affordable housing 2.2% GDP Total 6.0% GDP With the right urban development policies it is estimated that 30% of this finance could come from Green Bonds and 20% from private sector including Pension Funds. Also use of GCF funding, share of which for Ghana at 0.2% GDP per year is $78m per year, which could be drawn in now.
  14. 14. Key: Proposed plan of urban investment Traditional investment Quality assurance / evidence / technical support Collaboratory • Independent • Cross sector • Quality assurance • Transparency • Procurement • Data in/output UDIF • Investors: private equity, pensions, impact investors, development banks • Public, private or mix • Unlimited revolving fund • One major full cost loan type to keep costs low • Local needs determine transformational change Implementing Entity Projects Sustained finance for equitable green growth Infrastructure investment Municipalities INVESTORS / FUNDERS e.g. GCF, Bonds, Private LOCAL COLLABOR- ATORY Portfolio of projects UDIF ROI Implementing Entity Reduced project design cost Speeding up delivery
  15. 15. Urban development policy 1. Use a participatory, enabling systems tool, like resilience.io that will build capacity to plan land use, manage revenues and bring forward bankable projects with risk assessments at all scales. 2. Improve municipal finance, including improved revenues, to improve local currency credit ratings 3. Negotiate guarantees from national and international sources like GCF to underpin green and municipal bonds and to build climate finance funds 4. Create pooled finance ‘revolving’ Urban Development Funds UDIF to reduce transaction costs by sharing 5. Create scaling funds RIIF to grant fund new cities to set up operating enabling systems, supported by urban knowledge networks like UCLG, ICLEI, C40, Cities Alliance, 100 Res Cities
  16. 16. National urban transformation Urban Development and Investment Fund (UDIF) Urban Development and Investment Fund (UDIF) Urban Development and Investment Fund (UDIF) Urban Development and Investment Fund (UDIF) Urban Development and Investment Fund (UDIF) Urban Development and Investment Fund (UDIF) National Resilience Investment Implementation Fund (RIIF) Testing 2018 Scale up 2019-2022 Funding Training Research CHEER Platform Data Land register Knowledge sharing Income 2% Income 2% Philanthropy Venture funding “No one tests the depth of the river with both feet”
  17. 17. Ghana-UK Research and Innovation Centre for Inclusive Growth • Carry out ambitious research agenda • Make significant economic and societal impact • Add value by increasing infrastructure, building capacity, encouraging interdisciplinary working in social science and beyond • Enable research collaboration in the UK and across Sub Saharan Africa Focus Areas: • Migration, mobility and development • Dynamics of inequalities • Innovation and inclusive economic growth • Shocks, security, risks and resilience April 2017-2022 UK Government GCRF contribution £5m “When you are sitting in your own house, you don’t learn anything. You must get out of your house to learn”.
  18. 18. Ghana Partnership Platform for Philanthropy • Strategic philanthropists “who seek greater impact by taking an approach that is guided by particular values and aims, clear goals and key performance indicators, direct oversight and governance, and sharing of skills, abilities, and experience, as opposed to monetary gift giving” A ‘strategic philanthropy fund’ SPF could build early stage investment in CHEER tools, demonstrator RIIF’s and UDIF’s. • Venture philanthropists, who seek social impact and financial return, are ideally suited to invest in national revolving RIIF funds, to provide support for a number of years, typically 10, to scale up of the CHEER approach across each country. Return 2% above Libor. • Social Impact Investment foundations can use the CHEER platform and be part of UDIF funds to support improved social conditions in urban areas like inclusion and poverty reduction, with evidence of impact coming from the regional CHEER model and monitored over time.
  19. 19. Thank you “If an opportunity is not taken when it comes, it passes away” @PeterHeadCBEpeter.head@ecosequestrust.org
  20. 20. Stephen Passmore Accra International Conference Centre 22nd June 2016 The Debut..
  21. 21. The Debut.. Celebration!!
  22. 22. resilience.io strong foundations Future Cities Africa Resilient, Inclusive Centres of economic growth  Global search  Best modellers, scientists and technology  Create open source, integrated city-region model  Demonstrate and scale up
  23. 23. WASH SECTOR GAMA Technical Group
  24. 24. WASH prototype ● Model development ● Set of specifications – http://resilience.io ● 50 Process blocks developed that describe input output, energy, material and labour ● Computer modules built and tested ● ABM & RTN ● Three Use cases developed with the GTG to demonstrate functionality and benefits ● Visualisations for decision support and basic user interface ● Package ● Data ● 200 plus data sets collected that describe WASH in GAMA as well as socio-economic, GIS, process and technology.
  25. 25. Debut activities MLGRD - Good tool in the development of the urban areas, we need such a model. UoG - resilience.io prototype gives a faster and more accurate solutions for development (urban) planning AMA - Is important to help in decision making and inform policy Training - The model is very good, and can help us to improve and prioritise quality decisions in my Assembly
  26. 26. Next steps
  27. 27. Thank you #GAMAresilience @ResilienceIO http://resilience.io “It’s a great thing for GAMA… a great thing for Ghana… and I believe that it will be a great thing for Africa.”
  28. 28. using resilience.io
  29. 29. 1.1 Question: How much treatment capacity do we need? Total GAMA: 6,651 m3/day Human excreta production (m3/day) Human excreta
  30. 30. 1.1 Question: What technologies and capacity can meet future needs? Additional treatment needs capacity needs by 2025 : 200,000 m3/day
  31. 31. 1.1 Question: How will the proposed system(s) affect other sectors? New desalination plant substantially increases electricity needs: 350,000 kWh /day
  32. 32. 1.1 Question: What will be the cost and is it affordable? Population and Demands 2015 2025 Population 4.39 million 5.68 million Faecal Sludge Generation 6,651 m3/day 8,708 m3/day Waste-Water Treatment Needs 243 thousand m3/day 423 thousand m3/day
  33. 33. 1.1 Question: What will be the cost and is it affordable? Population and Demands 2015 2025 Population 4.39 million 5.68 million Faecal Sludge Generation 6,651 m3/day 8,708 m3/day Waste-Water Treatment Needs 243 thousand m3/day 423 thousand m3/day
  34. 34. 1.1 Question: What will be the cost for GAMA? Population and Demands 2015 2025 Population 4.39 million 5.68 million Faecal Sludge Generation 6,651 m3/day 8,708 m3/day Waste-Water Treatment Needs 243 thousand m3/day 423 thousand m3/day Public Decentralised (million USD) 2010-2015 2015-2025 Expenditure for treatment capacity 90 260 Expenditure for public toilets 42 192 Total Capital Costs 132 352
  35. 35. 1.1 Question: Will it be affordable? GAMA – 15 MMDA values 2015 (million USD) 2025 (million USD) Total operational costs per year 55.6 80.5 Revenues from public toilet use 33.0 82.0 Costs per Citizen per year (USD) 12.7 11.6 GAMA – 15 MMDA values 2015 2025 Greenhouse emissions in tonnes per year 2011 7516 Total jobs for sewerage system 82 625
  36. 36. Thank you

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