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Global to Local Scale, Human, Economic, Ecological, Systems Modelling
Stephen Passmore - Bob Bishop - Peter Head
The Ecological Sequestration Trust
• UK NGO 2011 speed up and scale up transformative urban/rural development
• Operate in...
resilience.io - city-region systems
model
Risk Management in City Regions
Focus on Integrated approach to Planetary Health
CHEER
The natural world is massively complex
The Atmospheric System The Oceanic System
The Crustal Plate System The Space-Weather System
The Ecological Sequestration Trust (TEST)
and the
International Centre for Earth Simulation (ICES)
cooperate to ensure tha...
When things go wrong!
Planetary Health
Underpins Sustainable Development Goals and New Urban Agenda
Collaboration for transformation
“A successful sustainable development agenda requires partnerships
between central and lo...
CHEER system must be practical and create value
• Social and Physical
• Data driven
• Evidence for investment
• Performanc...
15
The role of accessible integrated earth-regional systems
modelling for risk-based decision making
16
Future Cities Africa
World’s first demonstration of the functionality of the
resilience.io prototype model through a se...
Investing 1% GDP per year ($40m) in
public transport rather than just building roads
including dedicated walking and cycli...
Samartex Apartments, AccraOOA
World Bank / IFC Head office Accra
World Bank Head office, AccraCo-Arc -OOA- Arup
Samartex A...
19
Global warming, floods and disease
WASH resilience.io prototype requested
● Model development
● Set of specifications – http://resilience.io
● 50 Process blo...
Urban demonstrator in Greater Accra
Metropolitan Area, (GAMA) Ghana
full supply
intermittent
no supply
sewage pipeline
GAMA Technical Group
Collaborative Laboratory
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
June Aug Sept Nov Jan Mar May
Count
Month 201...
using resilience.io
Very well received..
MLGRD - Good tool in the development of the urban areas,
we need such a model.
UoG - resilience.io pr...
Sustained finance for equitable green growth
Infrastructure investment
Reduced project design cost
Speeding up delivery
Pe...
Roadmap 2030 -16 cross cutting themes
• Enabling environment to create smart partnerships between national and
municipal g...
Global to Local Scale, Human, Economic, Ecological, Systems Modelling
Global to Local Scale, Human, Economic, Ecological, Systems Modelling
Global to Local Scale, Human, Economic, Ecological, Systems Modelling
Global to Local Scale, Human, Economic, Ecological, Systems Modelling
Global to Local Scale, Human, Economic, Ecological, Systems Modelling
Global to Local Scale, Human, Economic, Ecological, Systems Modelling
Global to Local Scale, Human, Economic, Ecological, Systems Modelling
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Global to Local Scale, Human, Economic, Ecological, Systems Modelling

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Stephen Passmore and Peter Head of The Ecological Sequestration Trust are joined by Bob Bishop of the International Centre for Earth Simulation to discuss there pioneering project creating Global to Local Scale, Human, Economic, Ecological, Systems Models

Published in: Government & Nonprofit
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Global to Local Scale, Human, Economic, Ecological, Systems Modelling

  1. 1. Global to Local Scale, Human, Economic, Ecological, Systems Modelling Stephen Passmore - Bob Bishop - Peter Head
  2. 2. The Ecological Sequestration Trust • UK NGO 2011 speed up and scale up transformative urban/rural development • Operate in space between private, public, knowledge and civil society sectors • Leading experts foster integrated systems thinking and collaborative approaches • Develop tools and demonstrators to support implementation of post 2030 agenda
  3. 3. resilience.io - city-region systems model
  4. 4. Risk Management in City Regions Focus on Integrated approach to Planetary Health CHEER
  5. 5. The natural world is massively complex
  6. 6. The Atmospheric System The Oceanic System The Crustal Plate System The Space-Weather System
  7. 7. The Ecological Sequestration Trust (TEST) and the International Centre for Earth Simulation (ICES) cooperate to ensure that City-Regional Models integrate all Earth-System Dynamics
  8. 8. When things go wrong!
  9. 9. Planetary Health Underpins Sustainable Development Goals and New Urban Agenda
  10. 10. Collaboration for transformation “A successful sustainable development agenda requires partnerships between central and local governments, the private sector, academia and faiths/civil society which put people and planet at the centre” CHEER Collaborative Human, Ecological, Economic Resources Enabling system for public good Common service infrastructure
  11. 11. CHEER system must be practical and create value • Social and Physical • Data driven • Evidence for investment • Performance based procurement • Metrics for SDG delivery
  12. 12. 15 The role of accessible integrated earth-regional systems modelling for risk-based decision making
  13. 13. 16 Future Cities Africa World’s first demonstration of the functionality of the resilience.io prototype model through a sector application in Accra. The outputs highlight relevant resilient solutions and inform policy and/or planning decision-making, investment and links to SDGs. Cities in Africa to become future proofed to climate, environment and natural resource challenges, so that they are inclusive and resilient, and have growing economies. Output 3 Sector investigation workshop-Thursday 26th March 2016 ILGS
  14. 14. Investing 1% GDP per year ($40m) in public transport rather than just building roads including dedicated walking and cycling routes
  15. 15. Samartex Apartments, AccraOOA World Bank / IFC Head office Accra World Bank Head office, AccraCo-Arc -OOA- Arup Samartex Apartments Accra Samartex Apartments, AccraOOA Standards for energy efficient higher quality buildings and training to design and build them Samartex Apartments Accra Samartex Apartments, AccraOOA
  16. 16. 19 Global warming, floods and disease
  17. 17. WASH resilience.io prototype requested ● Model development ● Set of specifications – http://resilience.io ● 50 Process blocks developed that describe input output, energy, material and labour ● Computer modules built and tested ● ABM & RTN ● Three Use cases developed with the GTG to demonstrate functionality and benefits ● Visualisations for decision support and basic user interface ● Data ● 200 plus data sets collected that describe WASH in GAMA as well as socio-economic, GIS, process and technology.
  18. 18. Urban demonstrator in Greater Accra Metropolitan Area, (GAMA) Ghana full supply intermittent no supply sewage pipeline
  19. 19. GAMA Technical Group Collaborative Laboratory 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 June Aug Sept Nov Jan Mar May Count Month 2015-16 TEST/CA Staff GAMA Stakeholders MLGRD “helps to consider the complexities and difficulties faced in planning and implementation of WASH sector” Private Sector “Can use resilience.io to better evaluate resilient initiatives and work in PPP to deliver new infrastructure around GAMA”
  20. 20. using resilience.io
  21. 21. Very well received.. MLGRD - Good tool in the development of the urban areas, we need such a model. UoG - resilience.io prototype gives a faster and more accurate solutions for development (urban) planning AMA - Is important to help in decision making and inform policy Training - The model is very good, and can help us to improve and prioritise quality decisions in my Assembly • 3 results workshops including live model runs – 97% think the resilience.io prototype is functional – 71% think resilience.io is suitable to inform policy/investment decision making (high degree) • Training and installation session – 90% like to be involved in further development & 100% like to use as part of their role/institution • High level debut event – It’s a great thing for GAMA, a great thing for Ghana, and I believe it will be a great thing for Africa Robert Ansah - AMA
  22. 22. Sustained finance for equitable green growth Infrastructure investment Reduced project design cost Speeding up delivery Permanent revolving fund
  23. 23. Roadmap 2030 -16 cross cutting themes • Enabling environment to create smart partnerships between national and municipal government, civil society, academia, faiths and the private sector • How to implement the New Urban Agenda • Addresses 16 cross-cutting themes in an integrated approach

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