2014-06-09 TCTP - Development Planning & Project Management for Cambodia & Laos (JICA, MOFA, INTAN). My input was as a seasoned lecturer/consultant in "Financial analysis for development project" ~ using real life first hand experiences during my 6-months stint as an IDB Project Expert in 'Project Financing' to Turkmenistan's State Bank for Foreign Economic Affairs (TFEB) at Ashgabat during the height of the 1998 Asian Financial Crisis -- using a case study: a new Ammonia/Urea Plant in Chardhow.
PE929 Marginal Offshore Field DevelopmentpetroEDGE
Marginal offshore oilfield development requires more careful risk management than more economically robust field developments. As such, project management of marginal field development also requires an additional degree of scrutiny, particularly in regard to project drivers. Any adverse effects to these drivers, such as cost blowouts and schedule overruns will likely result in commercial failure. However, the most important project driver is related to reserves or specifically the oil recoverable by individual wells. Failure of reservoir well performance, for whatever reasons tends to have a devastating effect.
The course commences with the principles of project management, including project drivers and economic considerations, and definitions of marginal fields. Secondly, the three project elements are addressed: reservoirs, facilities and wells, paying particular attention to uncertainties, options, design and risks. Thirdly, the course covers management processes, including tollgating and post-implementation reviews, as well as cost estimating and control, and schedules. Finally, the course covers economic evaluation aspects; project risks and analysis; and examples of project failure.
Project identification and Project selectionAmandaBvera
This presentation covers the topic of project identification and project selection. It sheds light on the meaning of the project, meaning of project identification, classification of projects, types of opportunities, dimensions of project identification, criteria for project selection and constraints involved in project selection. Enjoy learning!
PE929 Marginal Offshore Field DevelopmentpetroEDGE
Marginal offshore oilfield development requires more careful risk management than more economically robust field developments. As such, project management of marginal field development also requires an additional degree of scrutiny, particularly in regard to project drivers. Any adverse effects to these drivers, such as cost blowouts and schedule overruns will likely result in commercial failure. However, the most important project driver is related to reserves or specifically the oil recoverable by individual wells. Failure of reservoir well performance, for whatever reasons tends to have a devastating effect.
The course commences with the principles of project management, including project drivers and economic considerations, and definitions of marginal fields. Secondly, the three project elements are addressed: reservoirs, facilities and wells, paying particular attention to uncertainties, options, design and risks. Thirdly, the course covers management processes, including tollgating and post-implementation reviews, as well as cost estimating and control, and schedules. Finally, the course covers economic evaluation aspects; project risks and analysis; and examples of project failure.
Project identification and Project selectionAmandaBvera
This presentation covers the topic of project identification and project selection. It sheds light on the meaning of the project, meaning of project identification, classification of projects, types of opportunities, dimensions of project identification, criteria for project selection and constraints involved in project selection. Enjoy learning!
different sectors related to project and their classifications on basis of level of technology, scope and significance, size and scale, purpose, ownership and speed of implementation
How do you define a successful project? Primarily a project needs to deliver on few basic parameters that can be used to validate if the project really provided the value it intended!
different sectors related to project and their classifications on basis of level of technology, scope and significance, size and scale, purpose, ownership and speed of implementation
How do you define a successful project? Primarily a project needs to deliver on few basic parameters that can be used to validate if the project really provided the value it intended!
WHO WE ARE & WHAT WE DO?
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Halim Hani
Integrated Pan-African Energy Company, Ltd. (INPAC) is pleased to introduce its FDP Consultancy (INPAC Development) providing quality, high-end Field Development Plans in Nigeria. The FDPs will have 100% local content qualifying for full cost recovery. The synergy of INPAC expediting FDPs with its strategic project development and structured project finance advisory enbles Clients to accelerate the Approval Process in Nigeria. By arranging financing for viable reservoirs while the FDP is developed, INPAC brings its project finance advisory and development services to bear. This provides the very fastest monetization of viable discoveries in Nigeria and West Africa..
May 25 2013
Constitution Tunnel Sales Team, May 25, 2013. Constitution Tunnel is a mega transportation and island development project. As Norway discussed trade transportation infrastructure was approved to build Rogfast Tunnel, 25 miles of subsea tunnel and interchange.
Barring truly new ideas
Stimulation the flow of ideas
most people adopt somewhat casual and haphazard approach to the generation of project ideas. To stimulate the flow of ideas, the following are helpful: SWOT Analysis
Clear Articulation of Objectives
Forecasting a conductive climate
𝟏𝟎 𝐥𝐞𝐬𝐬𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐥𝐞𝐚𝐫𝐧𝐞𝐝 𝐟𝐫𝐨𝐦 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐛𝐨𝐨𝐤
"𝐁𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐞𝐯𝐞 𝐈𝐭 𝐭𝐨 𝐀𝐜𝐡𝐢𝐞𝐯𝐞 𝐈𝐭" by Brian Tracy and Christina Stein is a motivational book that focuses on the power of mindset and belief in achieving goals. Some key lessons from the book include:
1.The Power of Belief:
_______
The book emphasizes that your beliefs shape your actions and outcomes. Having a strong belief in your abilities and your goals can drive you towards success.
2.Positive Self-Talk:
_____
The authors stress the importance of using positive affirmations and self-talk to overcome self-doubt and build self-confidence.
3. Visualization:
____
The book encourages readers to visualize their goals and desired outcomes. Visualizing success can help in creating a clear mental image of what you want to achieve.
4. Setting Clear Goals:
___
Setting specific, measurable, achievable, relevant, and time-bound (SMART) goals is essential for focused progress and achievement.
5. Perseverance:
______
The book highlights the need to stay persistent in the face of challenges and setbacks. Believing in your goals and maintaining determination can help you push through difficulties.
6. Taking Action:
_____
Belief alone isn't enough; taking consistent action towards your goals is crucial. The book emphasizes the importance of continuous effort.
7. Surrounding Yourself with Positivity:
_____
Surrounding yourself with supportive and positive influences can help reinforce your beliefs and motivate you to achieve your goals.
8. Mindset Shift:
__
The book advocates for shifting from a fixed mindset to a growth mindset, where you believe that your abilities and intelligence can be developed through dedication and hard work.
9. Overcoming Fear:
______
The authors discuss strategies for overcoming fear and doubt, which often hinder progress. Cultivating courage and facing challenges head-on is essential.
10. Learning and Adaptation:
____
Embracing a mindset of learning from failures and adapting your approach can lead to continuous improvement and eventual success.
Thanks for reading.
@tongsa guy
Book:- https://amzn.to/3rbSM2F.M𝟏𝟎 𝐥𝐞𝐬𝐬𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐥𝐞𝐚𝐫𝐧𝐞𝐝 𝐟𝐫𝐨𝐦 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐛𝐨𝐨𝐤
"𝐁𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐞𝐯𝐞 𝐈𝐭 𝐭𝐨 𝐀𝐜𝐡𝐢𝐞𝐯𝐞 𝐈𝐭" by Brian Tracy and Christina Stein is a motivational book that focuses on the power of mindset and belief in achieving goals. Some key lessons from the book include:
1.The Power of Belief:
_______
The book emphasizes that your beliefs shape your actions and outcomes. Having a strong belief in your abilities and your goals can drive you towards success.
2.Positive Self-Talk:
_____
The authors stress the importance of using positive affirmations and self-talk to overcome self-doubt and build self-confidence.
3. Visualization:
____
The book encourages readers to visualize their goals and desired outcomes. Visualizing success can help in creating a clear mental image of what you want to achieve.
4. Setting Cle
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The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.DOT TECH
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Financial analysis for development project
1. Financial AnalFinancial Analysis forysis for
DevelopmentDevelopment ProjectProject
by ARIFIN ABDUL LATIFARIFIN ABDUL LATIF
Founder & Senior Consultant/Economist
ArifinLatif ConsultingArifinLatif Consulting
THIRD COUNTRY TRAININGTHIRD COUNTRY TRAINING
PROGRAMMES (TCTP) 2014PROGRAMMES (TCTP) 2014
[(TCTP) JICA/MOFA/INTAN][(TCTP) JICA/MOFA/INTAN]
COURSE ONCOURSE ON DEVELOPMENTDEVELOPMENT
PLANNINGPLANNING ANDAND PROJECTPROJECT
MANAGMANAGEMENT FOREMENT FOR
CAMBODCAMBODIAIA AND LAOSAND LAOS
9-20 June 20149-20 June 2014
INTAN Kiara, Kuala Lumpur, MalaysiaINTAN Kiara, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
2. Part 1:Part 1:
Development viaDevelopment via
Transformation?Transformation?An Intro…An Intro…
the case for Kampuchea (Cambodia) ~ some current projects and challenging issues in developmentthe case for Kampuchea (Cambodia) ~ some current projects and challenging issues in development
3. q CAMBODIA: A
country's
comeback -
actively seeking
investments from
SMEs - the next
big ASEAN growth
story?
Are there any
difference in
Laos?
4. The Star’s Cover Story:
‘Cambodia calling’ -
undergoing a quiet
transformation?
5. q From killing fields
to economic
transformation
Are there any
difference in
Laos?
6. Part 2:Part 2:
Transformation - Some definitions,Transformation - Some definitions,
directions...?directions...?
q Transformation towards
what end?
Ø Transforming Traditional/
Agrarian Societies
e.g. Cambodia - From
killing fields to economic
transformation.
Ø Transformation to Transition
Economies e.g.
Turkmenistan – From USSR
republic to CIS nation.
Ø Transformation to NICs ~
Tigers/Lions? e.g.
Malaysia/ Nigeria.
Ø Transformation to High
Income Nation ~
1Malaysia towards
Realising Vision 2020.
Ø
Ø
Ø
Capacity building training in Ashgabad (1998) & Lagos (2000).
q Transformation is
the
fashionable,
buzzword
today
in national
development
process…
7. q Transformation with
political
will/agenda
Ø Government Transformation
Program (GTP)
Najibnomics
Ø Economic Transformation
Program (ETP) NKEAs;
10th Malaysia Plan;
Economic Corridors
(NCER, ECER, Iskandar,
SCORE)
Ø Budget 2013 & 2014
“Najib: nobody is left
out!”
Ø
Ø
Ø
Ø
Ø
8. Part 3: Biz Talk Live! (Bernama TV) ~Part 3: Biz Talk Live! (Bernama TV) ~
“ETP – Is it on Track?”“ETP – Is it on Track?”
9. Live! interview invited at short notice,
off-the-cuff interactions with audiences
on-the-air/ online (on twitter), etc.
Live! interview on BERNAMA TV
(15 Dec 2012 @9.30pm – 1 hour)
10. Part 4:Part 4:
A Brief IntroA Brief Intro
on Projectson Projects……
ProjectsProjects are building blocks
for growth. They need to grow
consistently and if sustained
well enough then only we’ll
be able to reap the success
and achieve DEVELOPMENTDEVELOPMENT!
11. What are ProjectsWhat are Projects,, in the first place??
Timeline exist – a beginning & an ending
Collectively forms part of a bigger
subset in a program
Building blocks of development efforts
Development projects should benefit the
people
Should be feasible in the first place and
meet criteria in selection – in relation to
a host of developmental jargons…
12. Feasibility Analyses of ProjectsFeasibility Analyses of Projects
Technical Analysis
Market Analysis
Social/Sociological Analysis
Environmental Impact
Assessment (EIA)
Political Analysis
13. While ….....
VIABILITY ANALYSIS includes
FINANCIAL analysis focus
on the financial implication of the
project
ECONOMIC analysis also
impute its impact to the overall
economy, include ‘shadow pricing’
of factors of production
14. PROJECTS should be ......PROJECTS should be ......
Technically feasible;
Financially viable;
Economically viable;
Socially (or culturally) acceptable;
Environmentally sustainable (or
sound); and
Politically desireable
16. Financial & EconomicFinancial & Economic
Analysis ofAnalysis of
ProjectsProjects Capital InvestmentCapital Investment AnalysisAnalysis
Financial & Economic AnalysesFinancial & Economic Analyses
can be aided/speeded up by computer
softwares, e.g.
COMFAR Expert III (UNIDO),
WinDASI (FAO), and/or
Spreadsheet Applications (e.g. MS EXCEL)
Project PresentationProject Presentation & Reporting/
Documentation - for Project Financing
17. Capital Investment Analysis:Capital Investment Analysis:
involves these concepts
Time Value of MoneyTime Value of Money
Concept of Discounting &
Compounding
Financial & Economic AnalysesFinancial & Economic Analyses
Preparing Cash Flows
Decision Rule: Criteria for Viable
Projects/Enterprise
Sensitivity Analysis
18. Capital Investment Analysis: The ProcessCapital Investment Analysis: The Process
INFO/DATA
FINANCIALFINANCIAL
ANALYSISANALYSIS
ECONOMICECONOMIC
ANALYSISANALYSIS
Cost-BenefitCost-Benefit
ANALYSIS (CBA)ANALYSIS (CBA)
Break-even PointBreak-even Point
ANALYSIS (BEP)ANALYSIS (BEP)
SENSITIVITYSENSITIVITY
ANALYSISANALYSIS
+ ASSUMPTIONS?
+ TECHNICAL FEASIBILITY?
+ MARKET ANALYSIS/STUDY? Exports??
+ SOURCES ?
CASH OUTFLOWS
1 - Production; Capacity; Inventories;
2 - Sales Volume; Sales Revenues
A) Capital Investment
B) Production Costs
- Variable & Direct Fixed Costs
- Factory, Operating & Transportation Costs
C) Income Statement
- Operating Income; Sales; Profits (Losses);
- Taxes; Dividends; Retained Earnings
CASH INFLOWS
- Feasibility Reports, Company Reports
- Industry/World Markets, Internet, Reuters
19. PROJECTS arePROJECTS are viableviable iff.....iff.....
Net Present Value (NPV) is positive
(NPV > 0);
Internal Rate of Return (IRR) exceeds the
opportunity cost of capital (IRR > base
lending rate);
Cost-Benefit Ratio (BCR) is greater than 1
(BCR > 1);
and/or
“Quick” Payback Period
20. Graphically, a viable project is...
Net Present Value (NPV)
-200,000,000
-150,000,000
-100,000,000
-50,000,000
0
50,000,000
100,000,000
-4 -3 -2 -1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Years of operation
NPV(US$)
Ammonia-Urea Plant Project
in Chardzhou, Turkmenistan
NPV @12% = US$44.84 million
IRR= 15.77%; BCR= 1.26
Payback period 9.5 years
21. Part 5:Part 5:
How to select a FINANCIALLY viableHow to select a FINANCIALLY viable
project? A Case Studyproject? A Case Study
Relating SWOT/PEST Analysis,
project financing, scheduling,
market analyses/forecasting,
etc. to ensure successful
implementation of project
selections for development…
Ø Using an actual Case Study
performed during my IDB
Consulting Assignment way back
in 1998.
Ø “A New Ammonia & Urea Plant in
Charzew, Turkmenistan” – i.e.
related to oil & gas sector,
energy, fertilizer (urea) &
agriculture – in a CIS nation.
Ø From a former Soviet Union republic
has embraced free market
dogma - and is now a transition
economy.
22. …and was among the earliest
Facebook member too!
I was a pioneeringI was a pioneering FaceBook addictFaceBook addict
23. CASE STUDY
In a Developing/
Transition Economy
New Ammonia-Urea Plant
Project (Turkmenistan)
Location: Free Economic
Zone (FEZ), Chardzhou
Financing: Project Financing
37. NH3-Urea Project: MNH3-Urea Project: Market Analysis/Studarket Analysis/Studyy
Way back in 1959-61, YB Aziz Ishak* proposed the setting up aWay back in 1959-61, YB Aziz Ishak* proposed the setting up a
urea factory!urea factory!
[* Malaysia’s first Minister
of Agriculture!]
Ø M$25mil considered too high then!?
Ø Planned capacity 100 tons of urea/day
and 60 tons of liquid ammonia.
Ø Fertilizer Society Board to award contract
to Friedrich Uhde for M$26mil.
Ø It took Malaysia over 2-3 decades to
finally have our own urea fertilizerown urea fertilizer
plantplant at very much higher cost!.. and
we were a vital agriculture-basedvital agriculture-based
economyeconomy!!
48. Postcript:
Thanks for lending
your ears ~ hope you
have learned some
beneficial knowledge
along the way… use
them to assist your
nation’s efforts in the
development. All d
best! Keep in touch.
Thank you…Thank you…
Spasibo…Spasibo…
Terima kasih…Terima kasih…
49. I was among the earliest Malaysia’s
LinkedIn member…
I’m an active nerd on LinkedIn……..!!
50. My Professional & Online Referrrals
My Professional & Online Referrrals