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BRINGING DATA INTO THE
DEVELOPMENT CONVERSATION
MARY ZIEMBA, DUKE UNIVERSITY ‘18, B.S. COMPUTER
SCIENCE, CERTIFICATE INNOVATION AND ENTREPRENEURSHIP
“Increase the use of scientific research for
improved development outcomes.”
–Global Development Lab results framework, science DO
Why I’m here
Collect data about science’s role in development
to inform development decisions

Make this data available to CDR, the Lab,
missions, others in USAID who would find it useful
MY QUESTION:
WHAT DOES DATA SAY
ABOUT THE ROLE OF
SCIENCE AND RESEARCH IN
DEVELOPMENT?
SUMMARY STATISTICS
Expenditures for research and development are
current and capital expenditures (both public and
private) on creative work undertaken
systematically to increase knowledge, including
knowledge of humanity, culture, and society, and
the use of knowledge for new applications. R&D
covers basic research, applied research, and
experimental development.”
—World Bank GERD definition
current and capital expenditures (both public and 

private) .
basic research, applied research, and
experimental development.”
Gross expenditure of research and development
(GERD):
THE WORLD BANK - WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS
METRIC
DATE SOURCE
2013
AVERAGE GROSS EXPENDITURE ON R&D
BY REGION, ALL REPORTING COUNTRIES, % OF GDP
UNESCO
METRIC
DATE SOURCE
2013
GERD BREAKDOWN BY CATEGORY
SELECT COUNTRIES ACROSS INCOME GROUPS
El Salvador KazakhstanIceland
UNESCO (GERD); GDP/CAPITA (WORLD BANK)
METRIC
DATE SOURCE
2000-2012
GROSS EXPENDITURE ON R&D AND GERD
RELATIONSHIP OVER TIME, BRAZIL
Thicker line = R&D expenditure
Thinner line = GDP/capita

Latin America/Caribbean (excluding high-
income)

Europe and Central Asia (excluding high-
income)

East Asia and Pacific (excluding high-income)

Nepal (South Asia)

Ethiopia (South Africa)

Egypt (North Africa)
Global Competitiveness
World Economic Forum:
“The set of institutions,
policies, and factors that
determine the level of
productivity of an economy,
which in turn sets the level
of prosperity that the
country can earn.”

Survey- and data-driven
numbers

1—7 scale
WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM
METRIC
DATE SOURCE
2015-2016
GLOBAL COMPETITIVENESS SUMMARY
LAC
Latin America/Caribbean Avg.

Peru

Upper-Middle Income Avg.

United States
WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM
METRIC
DATE SOURCE
2015-2016
EAST ASIA/PACIFIC
Cambodia

Vietnam

Indonesia

United States
GLOBAL COMPETITIVENESS SUMMARY
WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM
METRIC
DATE SOURCE
2015-2016
GLOBAL COMPETITIVENESS SUMMARY
MIDDLE EAST & NORTH AFRICA
Israel

Morocco

Jordan

United States
WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM
METRIC
DATE SOURCE
2015-2016
GLOBAL COMPETITIVENESS SUMMARY
EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA
France

Armenia

Kazakhstan

United States
WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM
METRIC
DATE SOURCE
2015-2016
GLOBAL COMPETITIVENESS SUMMARY
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
South Africa

Cote d’Ivoire

Tanzania

United States
WHAT I LEARNED
UNESCO/WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM
METRIC
DATE SOURCE
2015-16
INSTITUTIONAL QUALITY
GERD AND UNIVERSITY-INDUSTRY COLLAB. IN R&D
R-squared: 0.99
R-squared: 0.72
WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM, GLOBAL COMPETITIVENESS
DATASET
METRIC
DATE SOURCE
2015-2016
CORRELATIONS, GLOBAL COMPETITIVENESS DATA
WHAT IS RELATED TO INSTITUTIONAL QUALITY?
Availabili
ty of
Scientist
s and
engineer
s
Capacity
for
innovatio
n
Compan
y R&D
Spendin
g
Capacity
to attract
talent
Capacity
to retain
talent
Extent of
market
dominan
ce
Govern-
ment
procure-
ment of
advance
d tech.
Primary
educa-
tion
enrolme
nt
Quality
of Math
and
science
educ.
Quality
of
primary
educa-
tion
Quality
of edu-
cation
system
Second-
ary edu-
cation
enrol-
ment
Tertiary
educa-
tion
enrol-
ment
Univ.-
Industry
Collab.
in R&D
High-
income
0.492 0.823 0.807 0.282 0.385 0.4 0.26 0.117 0.399 0.474 0.522 0.19 0.09 0.86
Upper-
middle
income
0.405 0.518 0.611 0.178 0.194 0.526 0.169
Not
signif-
icant
Not
signif-
icant
Not
signif-
icant
0.152
Not
signif-
icant
Not
signif-
icant
0.681
Lower-
middle
income
0.542 0.678 0.765 0.272 0.296 0.496 0.523
Not
signif-
icant
0.502 0.443 0.622
Not
signif-
icant
Not
signif-
icant
0.511
Low
income
0.642 0.479 0.607 0.275 0.41 0.407 0.363
Not
signif-
icant
Not
signif-
icant
Not
signif-
icant
Not
signif-
icant
Not
signif-
icant
Not
signif-
icant
0.651
Darker green = more
closely correlated
Questions?

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Final presentation - USAID Internship

  • 1. BRINGING DATA INTO THE DEVELOPMENT CONVERSATION MARY ZIEMBA, DUKE UNIVERSITY ‘18, B.S. COMPUTER SCIENCE, CERTIFICATE INNOVATION AND ENTREPRENEURSHIP
  • 2. “Increase the use of scientific research for improved development outcomes.” –Global Development Lab results framework, science DO
  • 3. Why I’m here Collect data about science’s role in development to inform development decisions Make this data available to CDR, the Lab, missions, others in USAID who would find it useful
  • 4. MY QUESTION: WHAT DOES DATA SAY ABOUT THE ROLE OF SCIENCE AND RESEARCH IN DEVELOPMENT?
  • 6. Expenditures for research and development are current and capital expenditures (both public and private) on creative work undertaken systematically to increase knowledge, including knowledge of humanity, culture, and society, and the use of knowledge for new applications. R&D covers basic research, applied research, and experimental development.” —World Bank GERD definition current and capital expenditures (both public and 
 private) . basic research, applied research, and experimental development.” Gross expenditure of research and development (GERD):
  • 7. THE WORLD BANK - WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS METRIC DATE SOURCE 2013 AVERAGE GROSS EXPENDITURE ON R&D BY REGION, ALL REPORTING COUNTRIES, % OF GDP
  • 8. UNESCO METRIC DATE SOURCE 2013 GERD BREAKDOWN BY CATEGORY SELECT COUNTRIES ACROSS INCOME GROUPS El Salvador KazakhstanIceland
  • 9. UNESCO (GERD); GDP/CAPITA (WORLD BANK) METRIC DATE SOURCE 2000-2012 GROSS EXPENDITURE ON R&D AND GERD RELATIONSHIP OVER TIME, BRAZIL Thicker line = R&D expenditure Thinner line = GDP/capita Latin America/Caribbean (excluding high- income) Europe and Central Asia (excluding high- income) East Asia and Pacific (excluding high-income) Nepal (South Asia) Ethiopia (South Africa) Egypt (North Africa)
  • 10. Global Competitiveness World Economic Forum: “The set of institutions, policies, and factors that determine the level of productivity of an economy, which in turn sets the level of prosperity that the country can earn.” Survey- and data-driven numbers 1—7 scale
  • 11. WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM METRIC DATE SOURCE 2015-2016 GLOBAL COMPETITIVENESS SUMMARY LAC Latin America/Caribbean Avg.
 Peru
 Upper-Middle Income Avg.
 United States
  • 12. WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM METRIC DATE SOURCE 2015-2016 EAST ASIA/PACIFIC Cambodia
 Vietnam
 Indonesia
 United States GLOBAL COMPETITIVENESS SUMMARY
  • 13. WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM METRIC DATE SOURCE 2015-2016 GLOBAL COMPETITIVENESS SUMMARY MIDDLE EAST & NORTH AFRICA Israel
 Morocco
 Jordan
 United States
  • 14. WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM METRIC DATE SOURCE 2015-2016 GLOBAL COMPETITIVENESS SUMMARY EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA France
 Armenia
 Kazakhstan
 United States
  • 15. WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM METRIC DATE SOURCE 2015-2016 GLOBAL COMPETITIVENESS SUMMARY SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA South Africa
 Cote d’Ivoire
 Tanzania
 United States
  • 17. UNESCO/WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM METRIC DATE SOURCE 2015-16 INSTITUTIONAL QUALITY GERD AND UNIVERSITY-INDUSTRY COLLAB. IN R&D R-squared: 0.99 R-squared: 0.72
  • 18. WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM, GLOBAL COMPETITIVENESS DATASET METRIC DATE SOURCE 2015-2016 CORRELATIONS, GLOBAL COMPETITIVENESS DATA WHAT IS RELATED TO INSTITUTIONAL QUALITY? Availabili ty of Scientist s and engineer s Capacity for innovatio n Compan y R&D Spendin g Capacity to attract talent Capacity to retain talent Extent of market dominan ce Govern- ment procure- ment of advance d tech. Primary educa- tion enrolme nt Quality of Math and science educ. Quality of primary educa- tion Quality of edu- cation system Second- ary edu- cation enrol- ment Tertiary educa- tion enrol- ment Univ.- Industry Collab. in R&D High- income 0.492 0.823 0.807 0.282 0.385 0.4 0.26 0.117 0.399 0.474 0.522 0.19 0.09 0.86 Upper- middle income 0.405 0.518 0.611 0.178 0.194 0.526 0.169 Not signif- icant Not signif- icant Not signif- icant 0.152 Not signif- icant Not signif- icant 0.681 Lower- middle income 0.542 0.678 0.765 0.272 0.296 0.496 0.523 Not signif- icant 0.502 0.443 0.622 Not signif- icant Not signif- icant 0.511 Low income 0.642 0.479 0.607 0.275 0.41 0.407 0.363 Not signif- icant Not signif- icant Not signif- icant Not signif- icant Not signif- icant Not signif- icant 0.651 Darker green = more closely correlated