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Some Thoughts on TCI Program Design
Dave Farnsworth
Regulatory Assistance Project
Montpelier
1. Vermonters spend a half billion dollars a year on fossil fuels
for transportation.
2. I’m not representing overburdened or underserved
communities. That is their job.
3. We invested our way into this climate problem, and we will
need to invest our way out of it.
3. “Poverty” means
• You don’t have money to do things you may want to do; and
• You don’t have the money to stop paying for things that you no
longer want, and for which you seek alternatives.
2
My Assumptions
• It’s a combination of pricing carbon and investing revenues
raised by the program.
• A little RGGI design history could be useful to TCI success
• When RGGI states realized that their carbon reduction approach
would raise wholesale electricity prices, producing price effects on all
ratepayers, they needed to find an investment solution that would
both get them carbon reductions but also mitigate effects on
consumers.
3
TCI to adopt RGGI’s cap-and-invest model
• RGGI states adopted many complementary policies, but
• For the last 10 years the RGGI states have spent around 60% of
their revenues on energy efficiency.
• It reduces carbon at low cost, but also hedges the exposure
of electricity consumers to price increases by:
• Lowering their bills and
• Reducing wholesale market prices due to reduced demand.
4
RGGI’s policy sweet spot: Investment in EE
• RGGI increases the wholesale price of electricity; and
TCI will raise the price of transportation fuels
• But how will those prices be felt?
• Some Vermonters can afford more efficient cars
• Some Vermonters live close to work, the hospital, and the store
• Others do not
5
Like RGGI, Like TCI
• Will TCI enabling legislation articulate criteria that answer and
address the following questions?
• Who will be more or less burdened by that increase;
• Who will be overburdened by that increase;
• Who has been historically underserved by the current transportation
system; and
• Who, due to age or infirmity, can expect no meaningful access to the
transportation system?
6
Enabling Legislation
• …Reflect this disproportionate effects of TCI, and
• Can serve as principles and guidelines for revenue allocation?
See VEIC’s Mapping Energy Burden (2016) – spending as a percentage of income for that census block).
7
Will legislation articulate metrics that…
• Which of these is best suited to conduct public outreach:
• Utilities, ANR, AOT, DPS, Agency of Commerce & Community Dev.?
• How about RPCs?
• They observe process goals: comprehensive planning process, encourage
citizen participation.
• They’re tasked with planning goals:
• energy efficient transportation systems,
• maintaining and improving air quality,
• encouraging efficient use of energy, and
• planning for, financing, and providing an efficient system of public facilities.
Title 24 V.S.A § 4302
8
Planning Today in Vermont
• Could the TCI program, for example, through block grants,
encourage RPCs:
• To update their transportation plans to reflect TCI goals; and
• Fund transportation projects that promote TCI goals?
9
Using Some of that TCI Revenue
Conclusions
• The starting point of any Vermont transportation discussion:
• Status quo – inconsistent with Vermont’s carbon goals.
• We buy over a half billion dollars a year of fossil-based transportation fuel.
• A Vermont TCI program could:
• Develop complementary policies that recognize the needs of all Vermonters, and
• Establish principles and metrics that will inform program design and revenue
allocation to:
• Reduce transportation sector carbon emissions,
• Target and remedy likely unintended program effects,
• Encourage planning (including appropriate land-use) and
• Fund local solutions.
10
Thanks For Listening!
11

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Farnsworth ean pitch__9__22__19

  • 1. Some Thoughts on TCI Program Design Dave Farnsworth Regulatory Assistance Project Montpelier
  • 2. 1. Vermonters spend a half billion dollars a year on fossil fuels for transportation. 2. I’m not representing overburdened or underserved communities. That is their job. 3. We invested our way into this climate problem, and we will need to invest our way out of it. 3. “Poverty” means • You don’t have money to do things you may want to do; and • You don’t have the money to stop paying for things that you no longer want, and for which you seek alternatives. 2 My Assumptions
  • 3. • It’s a combination of pricing carbon and investing revenues raised by the program. • A little RGGI design history could be useful to TCI success • When RGGI states realized that their carbon reduction approach would raise wholesale electricity prices, producing price effects on all ratepayers, they needed to find an investment solution that would both get them carbon reductions but also mitigate effects on consumers. 3 TCI to adopt RGGI’s cap-and-invest model
  • 4. • RGGI states adopted many complementary policies, but • For the last 10 years the RGGI states have spent around 60% of their revenues on energy efficiency. • It reduces carbon at low cost, but also hedges the exposure of electricity consumers to price increases by: • Lowering their bills and • Reducing wholesale market prices due to reduced demand. 4 RGGI’s policy sweet spot: Investment in EE
  • 5. • RGGI increases the wholesale price of electricity; and TCI will raise the price of transportation fuels • But how will those prices be felt? • Some Vermonters can afford more efficient cars • Some Vermonters live close to work, the hospital, and the store • Others do not 5 Like RGGI, Like TCI
  • 6. • Will TCI enabling legislation articulate criteria that answer and address the following questions? • Who will be more or less burdened by that increase; • Who will be overburdened by that increase; • Who has been historically underserved by the current transportation system; and • Who, due to age or infirmity, can expect no meaningful access to the transportation system? 6 Enabling Legislation
  • 7. • …Reflect this disproportionate effects of TCI, and • Can serve as principles and guidelines for revenue allocation? See VEIC’s Mapping Energy Burden (2016) – spending as a percentage of income for that census block). 7 Will legislation articulate metrics that…
  • 8. • Which of these is best suited to conduct public outreach: • Utilities, ANR, AOT, DPS, Agency of Commerce & Community Dev.? • How about RPCs? • They observe process goals: comprehensive planning process, encourage citizen participation. • They’re tasked with planning goals: • energy efficient transportation systems, • maintaining and improving air quality, • encouraging efficient use of energy, and • planning for, financing, and providing an efficient system of public facilities. Title 24 V.S.A § 4302 8 Planning Today in Vermont
  • 9. • Could the TCI program, for example, through block grants, encourage RPCs: • To update their transportation plans to reflect TCI goals; and • Fund transportation projects that promote TCI goals? 9 Using Some of that TCI Revenue
  • 10. Conclusions • The starting point of any Vermont transportation discussion: • Status quo – inconsistent with Vermont’s carbon goals. • We buy over a half billion dollars a year of fossil-based transportation fuel. • A Vermont TCI program could: • Develop complementary policies that recognize the needs of all Vermonters, and • Establish principles and metrics that will inform program design and revenue allocation to: • Reduce transportation sector carbon emissions, • Target and remedy likely unintended program effects, • Encourage planning (including appropriate land-use) and • Fund local solutions. 10

Editor's Notes

  1. My remarks are only intended to illuminate potential TCI policy pathways and solutions.
  2. We know the answers will include Low-income Vermonters; Rural Vermonters; and Senior Vermonters.