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Includes:
fallacies of missing evidence
Causal fallacy
sufficiency criterion f
1 – Category: sufficiency criterion
Example
A recent study of 20 young women found that cat-
calling was prevalent, this concludes my evidence.
Why is this a fallacy?
Using only one piece of evidence, or a piece of
evidence without sufficient scope is not sufficient or
relevant evidence.
2 – Sub category: fallacies of missing evidence
3 – Fallacy Name: insufficient sample
4 – Alternate Names: ‘fallacy of
insufficient statistics’, ‘hasty induction’.
1 – Category: sufficiency criterion
Example
A study of old men found that they dislike public
health care, so we as a society should pass this bill.
Why is this a fallacy?
The sampling of people is a very statistically robust
area and using data or evidence that does not meet
these criteria is not appropriate or relevant to a
debate.
2 – Sub category: fallacies of missing evidence
3 – Fallacy Name: unrepresentative data
4 – Alternate Names: ‘biased sample’.
1 – Category: sufficiency criterion
Example
The evidence you have presented is irrelevant and
failing any new evidence I cannot honestly support
this bill.
Why is this a fallacy?
As the person putting forward an argument the
burden of proof is on you, denying or ignoring other
evidence does little to support your own arguments.
2 – Sub category: fallacies of missing evidence
3 – Fallacy Name: arguing from ignorance
4 – Alternate Names: ‘argumentum ad ignoratiam’.
1 – Category: sufficiency criterion
Example
If we went back in time and I was prime minister of
Australia, my trade policies would have meant less
terrorism today.
Why is this a fallacy?
Speculation and hypothetical outcomes are not
logically sound as they are entirely made up.
2 – Sub category: fallacies of missing evidence
3 – Fallacy Name: contrary-to-fact hypothesis
4 – Alternate Names: ‘counterfactual fallacy’,
‘speculative fallacy’.
1 – Category: sufficiency criterion
Example
As my nonna used to always say don’t count your
chickens before they have hatched, so we shouldn’t
invest in speculative mining.
Why is this a fallacy?
Aphorisms, clichés and folk wisdom and common
sense cannot replace actual evidence and
arguments.
2 – Sub category: fallacies of missing evidence
3 – Fallacy Name: fallacy of popular wisdom
4 – Alternate Names: ‘argumentum ad
populum’.
1 – Category: sufficiency criterion
Example
You as a politician should not be spending the publics
tax dollars on your own transport, but me as prime
minister I must be allowed.
Why is this a fallacy?
Being consistent is important in all things but
especially in argument when you are trying to present
your most reasonable and consistent side.
2 – Sub category: fallacies of missing evidence
3 – Fallacy Name: special pleading
1 – Category: sufficiency criterion
Example
There has been a generational, wide-reaching meta
analysis of this issue, but I would like us to focus on
the personal stories of real people.
Why is this a fallacy?
If there is key evidence on an issue you should
include it as a key aspect of your argument.
2 – Sub category: fallacies of missing evidence
3 – Fallacy Name: omission of key evidence
4 – Alternate Names: ‘fallacy of origin’,
‘fallacy of virtue.
1 – Category: sufficiency criterion
Example
If we open our borders and offer jobs to new arrivals
then we will become an economic superpower and a
peaceful country.
Why is this a fallacy?
The things required may be present but this doesn’t
mean that the event will occur.
2 – Sub category: causal fallacies
3 – Fallacy Name: confusion of a necessary with a
sufficient conclusion
1 – Category: sufficiency criterion
Example
It was the heavy security and warm weather that
resulted in the mass shooting that occurred.
Why is this a fallacy?
No one thing or even multiple aspects can be blamed
for an event, causation is hard to prove and highly
complicated.
2 – Sub category: causal fallacies
3 – Fallacy Name: causal oversimplification
4 – Alternate Names: ‘causal reductionism’, ‘fallacy
of the single cause’.
1 – Category: sufficiency criterion
Example
I lost my wallet and then my job, I am convinced if I
had not lost my wallet then all would be fine.
Why is this a fallacy?
The sequence of events does not mean they are
linked.
2 – Sub category: causal fallacies
3 – Fallacy Name: post hoc fallacy
4 – Alternate Names: ‘post hoc ergo propter hoc’.
1 – Category: sufficiency criterion
Example
When you see me you always see tom, so I must
cause tom to appear.
Why is this a fallacy?
Just because you see something (the effect) it does
not necessarily mean you are aware of the cause.
2 – Sub category: causal fallacies
3 – Fallacy Name: confusion of cause and effect
1 – Category: sufficiency criterion
Example
Australia's economy has gone into a recession and
unemployment is up, one must have caused the
other.
Why is this a fallacy?
There may be a common cause for two events but
that does not mean they are related.
2 – Sub category: causal fallacies
3 – Fallacy Name: neglect of a common cause
4 – Alternate Names: ‘fallacy of origin’,
‘fallacy of virtue.
1 – Category: sufficiency criterion
Example
If we allow gay marriage to be legalised, what will
happen next, marrying animals, polygamy?
Why is this a fallacy?
One thing does not always lead to another, and
mostly the outcomes of things are very difficult to
model for or predict.
2 – Sub category: causal fallacies
3 – Fallacy Name: domino fallacy
4 – Alternate Names: ‘camel’s nose’, ‘thin edge of
the wedge’, ‘absurd extrapolation’.
1 – Category: sufficiency criterion
Example
I am on a roll today, so tomorrow I will also win big!
Why is this a fallacy?
Statistics show that chance does not follow patterns,
but that each chance occurrence has to be
considered by its own probability.
2 – Sub category: causal fallacies
3 – Fallacy Name: gambler’s fallacy
4 – Alternate Names: ‘monte carlo fallacy’.

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Fallacies of Sufficiency: Missing Evidence and Causal Fallacies

  • 1. Includes: fallacies of missing evidence Causal fallacy sufficiency criterion f
  • 2. 1 – Category: sufficiency criterion Example A recent study of 20 young women found that cat- calling was prevalent, this concludes my evidence. Why is this a fallacy? Using only one piece of evidence, or a piece of evidence without sufficient scope is not sufficient or relevant evidence. 2 – Sub category: fallacies of missing evidence 3 – Fallacy Name: insufficient sample 4 – Alternate Names: ‘fallacy of insufficient statistics’, ‘hasty induction’.
  • 3. 1 – Category: sufficiency criterion Example A study of old men found that they dislike public health care, so we as a society should pass this bill. Why is this a fallacy? The sampling of people is a very statistically robust area and using data or evidence that does not meet these criteria is not appropriate or relevant to a debate. 2 – Sub category: fallacies of missing evidence 3 – Fallacy Name: unrepresentative data 4 – Alternate Names: ‘biased sample’.
  • 4. 1 – Category: sufficiency criterion Example The evidence you have presented is irrelevant and failing any new evidence I cannot honestly support this bill. Why is this a fallacy? As the person putting forward an argument the burden of proof is on you, denying or ignoring other evidence does little to support your own arguments. 2 – Sub category: fallacies of missing evidence 3 – Fallacy Name: arguing from ignorance 4 – Alternate Names: ‘argumentum ad ignoratiam’.
  • 5. 1 – Category: sufficiency criterion Example If we went back in time and I was prime minister of Australia, my trade policies would have meant less terrorism today. Why is this a fallacy? Speculation and hypothetical outcomes are not logically sound as they are entirely made up. 2 – Sub category: fallacies of missing evidence 3 – Fallacy Name: contrary-to-fact hypothesis 4 – Alternate Names: ‘counterfactual fallacy’, ‘speculative fallacy’.
  • 6. 1 – Category: sufficiency criterion Example As my nonna used to always say don’t count your chickens before they have hatched, so we shouldn’t invest in speculative mining. Why is this a fallacy? Aphorisms, clichés and folk wisdom and common sense cannot replace actual evidence and arguments. 2 – Sub category: fallacies of missing evidence 3 – Fallacy Name: fallacy of popular wisdom 4 – Alternate Names: ‘argumentum ad populum’.
  • 7. 1 – Category: sufficiency criterion Example You as a politician should not be spending the publics tax dollars on your own transport, but me as prime minister I must be allowed. Why is this a fallacy? Being consistent is important in all things but especially in argument when you are trying to present your most reasonable and consistent side. 2 – Sub category: fallacies of missing evidence 3 – Fallacy Name: special pleading
  • 8. 1 – Category: sufficiency criterion Example There has been a generational, wide-reaching meta analysis of this issue, but I would like us to focus on the personal stories of real people. Why is this a fallacy? If there is key evidence on an issue you should include it as a key aspect of your argument. 2 – Sub category: fallacies of missing evidence 3 – Fallacy Name: omission of key evidence 4 – Alternate Names: ‘fallacy of origin’, ‘fallacy of virtue.
  • 9. 1 – Category: sufficiency criterion Example If we open our borders and offer jobs to new arrivals then we will become an economic superpower and a peaceful country. Why is this a fallacy? The things required may be present but this doesn’t mean that the event will occur. 2 – Sub category: causal fallacies 3 – Fallacy Name: confusion of a necessary with a sufficient conclusion
  • 10. 1 – Category: sufficiency criterion Example It was the heavy security and warm weather that resulted in the mass shooting that occurred. Why is this a fallacy? No one thing or even multiple aspects can be blamed for an event, causation is hard to prove and highly complicated. 2 – Sub category: causal fallacies 3 – Fallacy Name: causal oversimplification 4 – Alternate Names: ‘causal reductionism’, ‘fallacy of the single cause’.
  • 11. 1 – Category: sufficiency criterion Example I lost my wallet and then my job, I am convinced if I had not lost my wallet then all would be fine. Why is this a fallacy? The sequence of events does not mean they are linked. 2 – Sub category: causal fallacies 3 – Fallacy Name: post hoc fallacy 4 – Alternate Names: ‘post hoc ergo propter hoc’.
  • 12. 1 – Category: sufficiency criterion Example When you see me you always see tom, so I must cause tom to appear. Why is this a fallacy? Just because you see something (the effect) it does not necessarily mean you are aware of the cause. 2 – Sub category: causal fallacies 3 – Fallacy Name: confusion of cause and effect
  • 13. 1 – Category: sufficiency criterion Example Australia's economy has gone into a recession and unemployment is up, one must have caused the other. Why is this a fallacy? There may be a common cause for two events but that does not mean they are related. 2 – Sub category: causal fallacies 3 – Fallacy Name: neglect of a common cause 4 – Alternate Names: ‘fallacy of origin’, ‘fallacy of virtue.
  • 14. 1 – Category: sufficiency criterion Example If we allow gay marriage to be legalised, what will happen next, marrying animals, polygamy? Why is this a fallacy? One thing does not always lead to another, and mostly the outcomes of things are very difficult to model for or predict. 2 – Sub category: causal fallacies 3 – Fallacy Name: domino fallacy 4 – Alternate Names: ‘camel’s nose’, ‘thin edge of the wedge’, ‘absurd extrapolation’.
  • 15. 1 – Category: sufficiency criterion Example I am on a roll today, so tomorrow I will also win big! Why is this a fallacy? Statistics show that chance does not follow patterns, but that each chance occurrence has to be considered by its own probability. 2 – Sub category: causal fallacies 3 – Fallacy Name: gambler’s fallacy 4 – Alternate Names: ‘monte carlo fallacy’.