2. Market and Demand Analysis
Collection of Demand
data forecasting
Situational
Analysis &
Characterization
Specification
of the market
of objectives
Conduct Market
Market planning
survey
3. Situation analysis and objectives
specification
A process that studies customer
preferences and their purchasing capacity
and strategies of competing firms and
intermediaries
Adequate informations are generated
through informal talks and feels adequate
present and future demands can be
generated, then a formal study can be
done. Otherwise the idea can be dropped
Before going to formal study the project
manager needs to define the objectives of
the study.
4. Collection of data
Data are of two types
Primary data
Secondary data
Primary data is the data collected for a specific purpose and for the
first time
Primary data can be obtained from both internal and external
Internal primary data-past and current sales of the firm, observations
of employees etc
External primary data is obtained from the opinions of the dealers,
feedback of the sales personnel and sales trends etc
Secondary data is the data that is already available but might have
been collected for some other purpose or by some other institutions
Secondary data is considered to be more useful in market analysis as
it is easy to obtain and is also economical
Some of the secondary data sources are-Census of India, National
Sample Survey Reports, Plan reports, Statistical Abstract of the Indian
Union, India Year Book, Statistical Year Book etc
Evaluation of secondary data is an important task to know its
reliability, accuracy and relevance for the purpose under consideration
5. Conduct Market Survey
Secondary information, though useful,
often does not provide a comprehensive
basis for market and demand analysis
There is a need to be supplemented with
the primary information through market
survey
A market survey is useful in determining
the total market demand, demand growth
rate in different segments of the market,
understanding the inner motives of the
customer and measuring the unsatisfied
needs of the customers
6. Steps involved in market survey
Defining the target market
Selecting the sample
Developing the questionnaire
Recruit and train the field
investigators/surveyors
Recording the information
Scrutinize the information gathered
Analyze and interpret the information
7. Some problems-market survey in India
Heterogeneity of the country
Multiplicity of Languages
Design of questionnaire
8. Characterization of market
Based on the information obtained from
secondary data and market survey, the project
manager describes the marketability of the
project idea in terms of
Effective demand
Breakdown of demand
Price
Consumers interest
Methods of distribution and sales promotion
Supply and competition
Government policy
9. Demand Forecasting
Using information obtained from
secondary data, market survey and
market characterization/description
Forecasting methods can be divided
into 3 categories-Qualitative
methods, Time series projection
method, and Causal methods
10. Qualitative Methods
Rely essentially on the judgment of
experts to qualitative information
into quantitative estimates
Important qualitative methods are
Jury of executive opinion method,
Delphi method etc
11. Time series projection methods
Generates forecasts on the basis of
an analysis of the historical data
The important methods are-Trend
projection method, Exponential
smoothing method, moving average
method
12. Causal method
More analytical than the preceding
method
Seek to develop forecasts on the basis of
cause-effect relationships specified in an
explicit, quantitative manner
Important methods are-Chain ratio
method, Consumption level method, End
use method, Leading indication method,
Econometric method
13. Uncertainties in demand forecasting
Data about past and present market
Methods of forecasting
Environmental change
14. Market planning
Refers to planning and designing the four P’s of
marketing namely, Product, Price, Place, and
Promotion
Product-product variety, quality, design, features,
brand name, packaging, sizes, services,
warranties, returns
Price-list price, discounts, allowances, payment
period, credit terms
Place-channels, coverage, assortments, locations,
inventory, transport
Promotion-sales promotion, advertising, sales
force, public relations, direct marketing
16. Economic Analysis
Also referred to as social-cost-
benefit analysis
SCBA is a process which is
concerned with evaluation of
investment projects from the point
of view of the society (or economy)
as a whole
Recently economic analysis has
gained significance
17. Ecological Analysis
Environment has gained a lot of
significance-rightly it also deserves
Ecological analysis should be done
particularly for those projects which have
significant ecological implications like
power plants and irrigation schemes and
environmental-polluting industries
Major 2 questions arises-1. what is the
likely damage caused? 2. what is the cost
of restoration measures required?