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EU wide overview of
phosphorus flows & data quality
Kimo van Dijk
Wageningen University
kimo.vandijk@wur.nl
DONUTSS workshop, Ghent, Belgium
3 September 2015
Overview
 Phosphorus (P) flows and balances
in the EU-27 Member States
 Data & methods used
 Data quality & monitoring challenges
Phosphorus use in the EU-27 in 2005
Detergent,
wood, paper
& fibres
Crops, fish,
food products &
mineral additives
Animal feed,
mineral additives
& live animals
Mineral fertiliser,
seeds & pesticides
Solid & liquid
organic waste
Organic waste
Wood, paper &
fibres
Slaughter
residues, solid &
liquid waste
Crops &
food products
Manure losses
Live animals
Leaching & runoff
Seeding materials
Input
2392
Output
1468
Flows & stocks in Gg = Mkg = kton P per year
Van Dijk et al. (2015)
Per capita P supply per country in 2005
Van Dijk et al., 2015, "Phosphorus
flows and balances of the
European Union Member States“,
Science of the Total Environment.
EU-27 consumption sector P losses in 2005
Van Dijk et al. (2015)
Agricultural P balances per country for
2005 & period 1905 - 2005
Van Dijk et al. (submitted)Van Dijk et al. (2015)
128 Mtons P accumulated
in agricultural soils between 1905 -2005
Data & methods used
 For EU-27 and individual Member States
 As detailed as data allows: 93 sub flows
 Imports, exports, losses and internal flows
 Entire food system + non-food
(e.g. forestry, detergents, pet food, etc.)
 Main data sources: Miterra-Europe, CAPRI, FAOSTAT, Eurostat,
reports, articles and experts
 Time series if present in data (e.g. FAOSTAT, Eurostat)
 Data for 2005 complete and checked, other base years
possible with additional data input
 Raw data is balanced based on mass balance principle
 EU-27 corrections for intra/extra trade
Data quality & monitoring challenges
 Data quality: trade > production > consumption > recycling
 Unclear definitions & not enough detail in data
 Eurostat data is incomplete and inconsistent
 Data gaps for waste flows & (new) recycling flows
 Literature data mostly not recent and only specific base years
 Trade databases not available for all products/materials
 Data gaps requires data filling procedures & flow balancing
 Industry data not publically available, sometimes
commercially, but no peer reviewed
 Uncertainties for most data unknown
 Nutrient concentrations not monitored
 From quantity to quality, from theory to practise
Thank you for
your attention
Questions? Comments? Suggestions?
kimo.vandijk@wur.nl / kimovandijk@xs4all.nl
Twitter: @kimovandijk
Website: kimovandijk.weebly.com
Extra additional slides as background
EU-27 system & primairy P flows in 2005
Van Dijk et al. (2015)
Absolute quantity
[Gg P/year]
Relative fraction of total
system import, export &
losses [%]
Primary P import
Import Export Losses Import Export Losses Gg P/year % of
total
system
primary
import
% of
total
sector
import
CP 1399 4 84 58 1 7 1391 78 99
AP 440 21 62 18 9 5 250 14 57
FP 338 216 339 14 86 28 27 2 8
NF 215 11 77 9 4 6 110 6 51
HC - - 655 - - 54 - - -
Total 2392 251 1217 100 100 100 1777 100
EU-27 lost P destination per sector in 2005
Van Dijk et al. (2015)
Ashes Landfills MSW Hydrosphere Lithosphere Undefined Total
losses
CP 0 0 0 84 0 0 84
AP 0 0 0 62 0 0 62
FP 294 0 0 2 1 41 339
NF 10 0 0 1 0 66 77
HC 104 59 221 54 74 143 655
Total 408 59 221 204 76 250 1217
Relative
share
[%]
34 5 18 17 6 21
EU-27 P use efficiency per sector in 2005
Van Dijk et al. (2015)
CP AP FP NF HC
PUE-1 Output flows minus losses 70 97 80 76 21
PUE-2 Upward output flows plus
export
70 24 52 76 -
𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠 =
𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒
𝐼𝐼 𝐼𝐼𝐼𝐼𝐼𝐼𝐼𝐼𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡
∗ 100
Changes in EU-27 P inputs 1961-2009
Van Dijk et al. (2015)
Geological versus anthropogenic cycles
RESOURCE
RESERVES
SINKS
Society
Crops
Animals
Industry & retail
Consumers
Non-
food
LossesInputs
[90% fertilizer,
and other
mineral P use]
Geological cycle
Direct
IMPACTS
Anthropogenic cycle
Phoshorus challenge
 Non-renewable at human
time scale
 Spatially concentrated:
geopolitical dependency
and tension
 Relatively low price, but
price volatility (2008 case)
 Lower P-rock quality:
● decreasing P content
● impurities (e.g.
cadmium, uranium)
 Pollution and eutrophication
Cordell et al. 2009
Global fertilizer P consumption 1961-2010
FAOSTAT data 2010
Fertilizer P consumption in EU-27 in 2010
FAOSTAT data 2010
Animal feed P origin in EU-27 in 2005
Source: Miterra-Europe model, CAPRI & FAOSTAT data 2003-2005
Agronomic P balances in the EU
Annual regional agricultural P
balances [kg P/ha] for EU-15
in 2000
Estimated cumulative P balances [kg
P/ha] of EU countries during 1991–2005
Source: Csathó & Radimszky 2012
Source: Csathó &
Radimszky 2012
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
DomesticfoodPsupply[kg/ca/year]
Animal
Plant
Domestic food P supply in EU-27 in 2005
Domestic food P supply
necessary to fullfill human
dietary P intake requirements at
consumption level
Van Dijk et al. (in preparation)
Minimum P intake requirement
Mean EU P intake
Maximum P intake level
Reuse of organic waste in EU-27 in 2005
Based on Barth et al. 2008
Sludge destinations in EU-27 in 2010
Source: P-Rex, FP7 project, www.p-rex.eu; based on Eurostat
2010, Milieu Ltd 2010 & Destatis 2011
P concentrations in rivers and lakes in EU
regions, period 1990 - 2005
Source: European Environment Agency, 2007

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EU wide overview of phosphorus flows & data quality

  • 1. EU wide overview of phosphorus flows & data quality Kimo van Dijk Wageningen University kimo.vandijk@wur.nl DONUTSS workshop, Ghent, Belgium 3 September 2015
  • 2. Overview  Phosphorus (P) flows and balances in the EU-27 Member States  Data & methods used  Data quality & monitoring challenges
  • 3. Phosphorus use in the EU-27 in 2005 Detergent, wood, paper & fibres Crops, fish, food products & mineral additives Animal feed, mineral additives & live animals Mineral fertiliser, seeds & pesticides Solid & liquid organic waste Organic waste Wood, paper & fibres Slaughter residues, solid & liquid waste Crops & food products Manure losses Live animals Leaching & runoff Seeding materials Input 2392 Output 1468 Flows & stocks in Gg = Mkg = kton P per year Van Dijk et al. (2015)
  • 4. Per capita P supply per country in 2005 Van Dijk et al., 2015, "Phosphorus flows and balances of the European Union Member States“, Science of the Total Environment.
  • 5. EU-27 consumption sector P losses in 2005 Van Dijk et al. (2015)
  • 6. Agricultural P balances per country for 2005 & period 1905 - 2005 Van Dijk et al. (submitted)Van Dijk et al. (2015) 128 Mtons P accumulated in agricultural soils between 1905 -2005
  • 7. Data & methods used  For EU-27 and individual Member States  As detailed as data allows: 93 sub flows  Imports, exports, losses and internal flows  Entire food system + non-food (e.g. forestry, detergents, pet food, etc.)  Main data sources: Miterra-Europe, CAPRI, FAOSTAT, Eurostat, reports, articles and experts  Time series if present in data (e.g. FAOSTAT, Eurostat)  Data for 2005 complete and checked, other base years possible with additional data input  Raw data is balanced based on mass balance principle  EU-27 corrections for intra/extra trade
  • 8. Data quality & monitoring challenges  Data quality: trade > production > consumption > recycling  Unclear definitions & not enough detail in data  Eurostat data is incomplete and inconsistent  Data gaps for waste flows & (new) recycling flows  Literature data mostly not recent and only specific base years  Trade databases not available for all products/materials  Data gaps requires data filling procedures & flow balancing  Industry data not publically available, sometimes commercially, but no peer reviewed  Uncertainties for most data unknown  Nutrient concentrations not monitored  From quantity to quality, from theory to practise
  • 9. Thank you for your attention Questions? Comments? Suggestions? kimo.vandijk@wur.nl / kimovandijk@xs4all.nl Twitter: @kimovandijk Website: kimovandijk.weebly.com
  • 10. Extra additional slides as background
  • 11. EU-27 system & primairy P flows in 2005 Van Dijk et al. (2015) Absolute quantity [Gg P/year] Relative fraction of total system import, export & losses [%] Primary P import Import Export Losses Import Export Losses Gg P/year % of total system primary import % of total sector import CP 1399 4 84 58 1 7 1391 78 99 AP 440 21 62 18 9 5 250 14 57 FP 338 216 339 14 86 28 27 2 8 NF 215 11 77 9 4 6 110 6 51 HC - - 655 - - 54 - - - Total 2392 251 1217 100 100 100 1777 100
  • 12. EU-27 lost P destination per sector in 2005 Van Dijk et al. (2015) Ashes Landfills MSW Hydrosphere Lithosphere Undefined Total losses CP 0 0 0 84 0 0 84 AP 0 0 0 62 0 0 62 FP 294 0 0 2 1 41 339 NF 10 0 0 1 0 66 77 HC 104 59 221 54 74 143 655 Total 408 59 221 204 76 250 1217 Relative share [%] 34 5 18 17 6 21
  • 13. EU-27 P use efficiency per sector in 2005 Van Dijk et al. (2015) CP AP FP NF HC PUE-1 Output flows minus losses 70 97 80 76 21 PUE-2 Upward output flows plus export 70 24 52 76 - 𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠 = 𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒 𝐼𝐼 𝐼𝐼𝐼𝐼𝐼𝐼𝐼𝐼𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡 ∗ 100
  • 14. Changes in EU-27 P inputs 1961-2009 Van Dijk et al. (2015)
  • 15. Geological versus anthropogenic cycles RESOURCE RESERVES SINKS Society Crops Animals Industry & retail Consumers Non- food LossesInputs [90% fertilizer, and other mineral P use] Geological cycle Direct IMPACTS Anthropogenic cycle
  • 16. Phoshorus challenge  Non-renewable at human time scale  Spatially concentrated: geopolitical dependency and tension  Relatively low price, but price volatility (2008 case)  Lower P-rock quality: ● decreasing P content ● impurities (e.g. cadmium, uranium)  Pollution and eutrophication Cordell et al. 2009
  • 17. Global fertilizer P consumption 1961-2010 FAOSTAT data 2010
  • 18. Fertilizer P consumption in EU-27 in 2010 FAOSTAT data 2010
  • 19. Animal feed P origin in EU-27 in 2005 Source: Miterra-Europe model, CAPRI & FAOSTAT data 2003-2005
  • 20. Agronomic P balances in the EU Annual regional agricultural P balances [kg P/ha] for EU-15 in 2000 Estimated cumulative P balances [kg P/ha] of EU countries during 1991–2005 Source: Csathó & Radimszky 2012 Source: Csathó & Radimszky 2012
  • 21. 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 DomesticfoodPsupply[kg/ca/year] Animal Plant Domestic food P supply in EU-27 in 2005 Domestic food P supply necessary to fullfill human dietary P intake requirements at consumption level Van Dijk et al. (in preparation) Minimum P intake requirement Mean EU P intake Maximum P intake level
  • 22. Reuse of organic waste in EU-27 in 2005 Based on Barth et al. 2008
  • 23. Sludge destinations in EU-27 in 2010 Source: P-Rex, FP7 project, www.p-rex.eu; based on Eurostat 2010, Milieu Ltd 2010 & Destatis 2011
  • 24. P concentrations in rivers and lakes in EU regions, period 1990 - 2005 Source: European Environment Agency, 2007