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Paris: Can the 2015 
agreement send a signal to 
change the (energy) world? 
David Hone 
Chief Climate Change Adviser, Shell 
Chair, International Working Group, IETA
We need a price on carbon . . . 
. . . 
. . . 
We need a price on carbon . . .
Only the clarity of a carbon price 
will change the long term energy 
investment outlook
A carbon market is 
the key enabler for 
global change . . . 
New technology mechanisms evolve (e.g. for CCS) 
China adopts ETS approach 
Linkages develop 
between all 
systems and more 
systems appear 
CDM Forestry mechanism 
Japan technology mechanism 
Norwegian ETS 
Expanding EU-ETS 
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 
Danish-ETS 
UK-ETS 
Australian ERF 
US States “cap-and-trade” 
EU-ETS 
CDM evolves to includes sectors 
Pre-Kyoto Kyoto Post 2012 / LCA 
ADP / Linkage 
framework 
New Zealand ETS 
Global shipping mechanism
So far, only part of the way there
The Paris Agreement 
• May well be quite short; 
• Probably more outline than substance; 
• Big picture items only; 
(but what could be bigger than a global carbon market) 
• Plenty of COP decisions later; 
• Each idea or concept gets just a few lines. 
• Markets and carbon pricing are still struggling to gain global 
acceptance 
So how do we create the essence of a global market?
Just a few lines to create a global 
carbon market as proposed by IETA 
Cooperation between Parties in realizing their Contributions 
1. Parties may voluntarily cooperate in achieving their mitigation 
contributions, [which may improve cost effectiveness and bolster 
ambition]. 
2. A unified international transfer system is hereby established. 
a. A Party may transfer portions of its defined national 
contribution to one or more other Parties through carbon 
units of its choice. 
b. Transfers and receipts of units shall be recorded in 
equivalent carbon reduction terms [in the international 
transaction log and be included in national reports as 
contributions delivered by the receiving Party and as 
transfers from the transferring Party].
The “bare bones” version – 5 lines 
Cooperation between Parties in realizing their Contributions 
1. Parties may voluntarily cooperate in achieving their mitigation 
contributions. 
2. A unified international transfer system is hereby established. 
a. A Party may transfer portions of its defined national 
contribution to one or more other Parties through carbon 
units of its choice. 
b. Transfers and receipts of units shall be recorded in 
equivalent carbon reduction terms.
Energy hone(shell) ccxg gf sep2014

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Energy hone(shell) ccxg gf sep2014

  • 1. Paris: Can the 2015 agreement send a signal to change the (energy) world? David Hone Chief Climate Change Adviser, Shell Chair, International Working Group, IETA
  • 2. We need a price on carbon . . . . . . . . . We need a price on carbon . . .
  • 3. Only the clarity of a carbon price will change the long term energy investment outlook
  • 4. A carbon market is the key enabler for global change . . . New technology mechanisms evolve (e.g. for CCS) China adopts ETS approach Linkages develop between all systems and more systems appear CDM Forestry mechanism Japan technology mechanism Norwegian ETS Expanding EU-ETS 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 Danish-ETS UK-ETS Australian ERF US States “cap-and-trade” EU-ETS CDM evolves to includes sectors Pre-Kyoto Kyoto Post 2012 / LCA ADP / Linkage framework New Zealand ETS Global shipping mechanism
  • 5. So far, only part of the way there
  • 6. The Paris Agreement • May well be quite short; • Probably more outline than substance; • Big picture items only; (but what could be bigger than a global carbon market) • Plenty of COP decisions later; • Each idea or concept gets just a few lines. • Markets and carbon pricing are still struggling to gain global acceptance So how do we create the essence of a global market?
  • 7. Just a few lines to create a global carbon market as proposed by IETA Cooperation between Parties in realizing their Contributions 1. Parties may voluntarily cooperate in achieving their mitigation contributions, [which may improve cost effectiveness and bolster ambition]. 2. A unified international transfer system is hereby established. a. A Party may transfer portions of its defined national contribution to one or more other Parties through carbon units of its choice. b. Transfers and receipts of units shall be recorded in equivalent carbon reduction terms [in the international transaction log and be included in national reports as contributions delivered by the receiving Party and as transfers from the transferring Party].
  • 8. The “bare bones” version – 5 lines Cooperation between Parties in realizing their Contributions 1. Parties may voluntarily cooperate in achieving their mitigation contributions. 2. A unified international transfer system is hereby established. a. A Party may transfer portions of its defined national contribution to one or more other Parties through carbon units of its choice. b. Transfers and receipts of units shall be recorded in equivalent carbon reduction terms.