Contextual trends for the 2016 Horizon Report. Here I emphasize economics, demographics, and policy.

1. Bryan’s broodings
Some contextual slides
without any real mention of technology
at all
which is very strange for him

2. • Demographics
• Changing students, transformed campuses
• Economics

3. 3

4. 4

5. 5

7. Racial transformationRacial transformation

8. Education contexts: trendsEducation contexts: trends
Education systems
 Reform movements (K-12, higher
ed, assault)
 Rising student debt
 Alternative certification pilots
(competency, badges)

9. Education trendsEducation trends
Adjunctification rising

10. Global higher educationGlobal higher education
 More international students
heading to the US
 International higher ed
systems building up
 US campuses expanding
overseas presence

11. Enrollment changesEnrollment changes
 Spending less
 Swirling

13. Enrollment decline?Enrollment decline?
 Spending less per family

15. Education contextsEducation contexts
Economics: labor changes
› manufacturing->service
› 1 job/career->many gigs
› declining participation
› Automation

16. Top and bottom vs middleTop and bottom vs middle

17. Student and parent anxieties aboutStudent and parent anxieties about
employmentemployment

18. College premium persistsCollege premium persists

19. DelphiDelphi
 Assemble
experts
 Probe for
opinions
 Rank and
distill ideas
 Reiterate