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Which distribution of income feels more unequal to you?
1 | R4D.org
$400 $200
$600 $400
$400 $200
$800 $400
A B
Education, Economics, and Inequality
An absolutist approach to measuring
inequality in education attainment
Presentation to the Comparative and International
Education Society
March 6, 2016
Outline
3 | R4D.org
▪ Education and Economic Thought
▪ The Distribution of Education Attainment
▪ Measuring Inequality in Education
▪ Absolute Gini Coefficients (cross-country comparisons)
▪ Gains Incidence Curves (time series comparisons)
▪ Challenges
▪ Conclusion
History of Thought
4 | R4D.org
▪ The idea of universal basic education as an economic policy is
centuries old.
▪ Not accepted as an uncontroversial goal until much later.
▪ The economic role of education been formalized.
▪ Equitable expansion of education is a key to broad-based
growth.
▪ But what exactly does equitable expansion mean?
Why does the level of education matter for
individuals?
▪ Mincer (1958) models the private return to education.
▪ Present value of earnings:
▪ Equilibrium equates V(s):
▪ Bottom line: log(w(s)) = α + β*s+ Other factors.
β is the private rate of return to schooling.
▪ Implication: Proportionate differences in earnings
(relative) is linear in the difference in years of schooling
(absolute).
▪ This type of model is applied in hundreds of empirical
studies (e.g., Montenegro and Patrinos 2014).
5
Why does the distribution of education matter for
societies?
6 | R4D.org
Equity concerns
▪ Access to basic
education is a human
right.
▪ Basic education can be
a powerful anti-poverty
instrument.
Economic efficiency
concerns
▪ Economic disparity
could restrict
cooperation so that
public goods are
underprovided and block
efficient policies
(Bardhan et al. 2000).
▪ Inequality could
necessitate distortionary
redistribution (Alesina
and Rodrik 1994).
Why might the bottom of the distribution be especially
important?
▪ Equity concern: self-evident.
▪ Efficiency concern: non-linearities in the education-productivity
relationship
7 | R4D.org
Implications for measurement of inequality
8 | R4D.org
▪ Averages (mean years of schooling, enrolment rates) are not
enough.
▪ We should track absolute inequality to compare countries,
and pay attention to how the bottom of the distribution moves
over time.
▪ With this in mind, what measures can we use to make
international and intertemporal comparisons of education
attainment?
▪ For international comparisons: Absolute Gini Coefficients.
▪ For intertemporal comparisons: Gains Incidence Curves.
▪ They find that education inequality fell in nearly every country
over. But these are relative Gini coefficients.
Cross-country comparisons: Gini Coefficients
9 | R4D.org
▪ Thomas et al. (2000) construct Gini coefficients for education
attainment for 85 countries between 1960 and 1990:
▪ They find that
education inequality
fell in nearly every
country over the 30
year period.
▪ But they look at
relative Gini
coefficients.
Cumulative population share
(least to most educated
Cumulativeyearsofeducationshare
Complete equality
Unequal
distribution
Gini = A/(A+B)
Cross-country comparisons: Gini Coefficients
10 | R4D.org
Source: presenter’s calculations
based on Barro and Lee (2010)
Is this distinction of practical importance?
11 | R4D.org
Mean Grade 6 completion rate
Relative gap (top/bottom quintile) Absolute gap (top-bottom quintile)
Source: Ravallion (2016)
Time series comparisons: GICs for Income
12 | R4D.org
▪ Chen and Ravallion (2003): track changes in the distribution of
income using a Growth Incidence Curve (GIC).
▪ GIC shows the economic growth rate at every percentile of
income.
Source: World Bank
Source: World Bank (2009)
Time series comparisons: GICs for Education
13 | R4D.org
▪ For education, it doesn’t matter whether you are a relativist or
absolutist with respect to income.
▪ Even if you are a relativist for education, the Mincer model implies
you must be an absolutist with respect to education.
▪ Gains Incidence Curve for Education Attainment:
▪ Source of attainment data is Filmer (2015).
▪ We can directly observe gains along the distribution of education
attainment.
Often relative and absolute measures yield the
same conclusion: Uganda (2000-2011)
14 | R4D.org
Source: presenter’s calculations
based on Barro and Lee (2010)
But sometimes they present very different pictures:
Malawi (2000-2010)
15 | R4D.org
Source: presenter’s calculations
based on Barro and Lee (2010)
Challenges
16 | R4D.org
▪ Shadow education system.
▪ Need to account for quality of education (education inequality
likely understated by attainment-based measures).
▪ Missing inequality between demographic groups within a
country (topic of the next presentation by EPDC), which may
be most relevant for policy design.
Conclusions
This supports the use of Absolute Gini Coefficients for
comparing countries or sub-populations and Gains Incidence
Curves for tracking changes over time.
How we think about the economics of education in theory has
direct practical implications for education inequality.
17 | R4D.org
If we believe in a Mincer-like model, it is most important to
track absolute inequality (regardless of whether you are an
absolutist or relativist in income terms).
Thank you for your attention.
▪ Milan Thomas, Associate Fellow (mthomas@r4d.org)
Contact Information
18 | R4D.org

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Education, Economics & Inequality

  • 1. Which distribution of income feels more unequal to you? 1 | R4D.org $400 $200 $600 $400 $400 $200 $800 $400 A B
  • 2. Education, Economics, and Inequality An absolutist approach to measuring inequality in education attainment Presentation to the Comparative and International Education Society March 6, 2016
  • 3. Outline 3 | R4D.org ▪ Education and Economic Thought ▪ The Distribution of Education Attainment ▪ Measuring Inequality in Education ▪ Absolute Gini Coefficients (cross-country comparisons) ▪ Gains Incidence Curves (time series comparisons) ▪ Challenges ▪ Conclusion
  • 4. History of Thought 4 | R4D.org ▪ The idea of universal basic education as an economic policy is centuries old. ▪ Not accepted as an uncontroversial goal until much later. ▪ The economic role of education been formalized. ▪ Equitable expansion of education is a key to broad-based growth. ▪ But what exactly does equitable expansion mean?
  • 5. Why does the level of education matter for individuals? ▪ Mincer (1958) models the private return to education. ▪ Present value of earnings: ▪ Equilibrium equates V(s): ▪ Bottom line: log(w(s)) = α + β*s+ Other factors. β is the private rate of return to schooling. ▪ Implication: Proportionate differences in earnings (relative) is linear in the difference in years of schooling (absolute). ▪ This type of model is applied in hundreds of empirical studies (e.g., Montenegro and Patrinos 2014). 5
  • 6. Why does the distribution of education matter for societies? 6 | R4D.org Equity concerns ▪ Access to basic education is a human right. ▪ Basic education can be a powerful anti-poverty instrument. Economic efficiency concerns ▪ Economic disparity could restrict cooperation so that public goods are underprovided and block efficient policies (Bardhan et al. 2000). ▪ Inequality could necessitate distortionary redistribution (Alesina and Rodrik 1994).
  • 7. Why might the bottom of the distribution be especially important? ▪ Equity concern: self-evident. ▪ Efficiency concern: non-linearities in the education-productivity relationship 7 | R4D.org
  • 8. Implications for measurement of inequality 8 | R4D.org ▪ Averages (mean years of schooling, enrolment rates) are not enough. ▪ We should track absolute inequality to compare countries, and pay attention to how the bottom of the distribution moves over time. ▪ With this in mind, what measures can we use to make international and intertemporal comparisons of education attainment? ▪ For international comparisons: Absolute Gini Coefficients. ▪ For intertemporal comparisons: Gains Incidence Curves. ▪ They find that education inequality fell in nearly every country over. But these are relative Gini coefficients.
  • 9. Cross-country comparisons: Gini Coefficients 9 | R4D.org ▪ Thomas et al. (2000) construct Gini coefficients for education attainment for 85 countries between 1960 and 1990: ▪ They find that education inequality fell in nearly every country over the 30 year period. ▪ But they look at relative Gini coefficients. Cumulative population share (least to most educated Cumulativeyearsofeducationshare Complete equality Unequal distribution Gini = A/(A+B)
  • 10. Cross-country comparisons: Gini Coefficients 10 | R4D.org Source: presenter’s calculations based on Barro and Lee (2010)
  • 11. Is this distinction of practical importance? 11 | R4D.org Mean Grade 6 completion rate Relative gap (top/bottom quintile) Absolute gap (top-bottom quintile) Source: Ravallion (2016)
  • 12. Time series comparisons: GICs for Income 12 | R4D.org ▪ Chen and Ravallion (2003): track changes in the distribution of income using a Growth Incidence Curve (GIC). ▪ GIC shows the economic growth rate at every percentile of income. Source: World Bank Source: World Bank (2009)
  • 13. Time series comparisons: GICs for Education 13 | R4D.org ▪ For education, it doesn’t matter whether you are a relativist or absolutist with respect to income. ▪ Even if you are a relativist for education, the Mincer model implies you must be an absolutist with respect to education. ▪ Gains Incidence Curve for Education Attainment: ▪ Source of attainment data is Filmer (2015). ▪ We can directly observe gains along the distribution of education attainment.
  • 14. Often relative and absolute measures yield the same conclusion: Uganda (2000-2011) 14 | R4D.org Source: presenter’s calculations based on Barro and Lee (2010)
  • 15. But sometimes they present very different pictures: Malawi (2000-2010) 15 | R4D.org Source: presenter’s calculations based on Barro and Lee (2010)
  • 16. Challenges 16 | R4D.org ▪ Shadow education system. ▪ Need to account for quality of education (education inequality likely understated by attainment-based measures). ▪ Missing inequality between demographic groups within a country (topic of the next presentation by EPDC), which may be most relevant for policy design.
  • 17. Conclusions This supports the use of Absolute Gini Coefficients for comparing countries or sub-populations and Gains Incidence Curves for tracking changes over time. How we think about the economics of education in theory has direct practical implications for education inequality. 17 | R4D.org If we believe in a Mincer-like model, it is most important to track absolute inequality (regardless of whether you are an absolutist or relativist in income terms).
  • 18. Thank you for your attention. ▪ Milan Thomas, Associate Fellow (mthomas@r4d.org) Contact Information 18 | R4D.org