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Volker Friedrich
CEO of GBP INTERNATIONAL
www.gbp-international.com
September 2017
- Introduction
- The story of Asia in a nutshell
- China 2.0
- India, Japan, ASEAN, Korea
- Risks in Asia
The Economies of Asia
Name:
Volker Friedrich
From:
Germany
Why I am here:
Living & working in Asia
since 1997
What do we do:
Avoid pitfalls and make
better business in Asia
2
The nature and speed of Asia’s rise can still be debated, its further
economic expansion appears unstoppable for some time to come
4
CHINA
• Stealing Jobs
• Stealing Technology
• Trade Wars
5
True story -
Henry Kissinger was in China in 1972, laying the
groundwork for President Nixon's visit. At a meeting with
Chinese prime minister Chou En-Lai, Mr. Kissinger asked
the prime minister if he believed whether the 1789 French
Revolution benefited humanity. After mulling over the
question for a few minutes, Chou En-Lai replied, .....
It is too early to tell!
APAC is an extremely diverse region with huge difference in culture, history, political
and economic systems
6
1. Asia and the Pacific accounts
for 4 billion people
2. APAC has halved poverty
between 1990 and 2015
3. APAC generates around 40%
of global GDP today with
China, India, and Japan
accounting for nearly 70%
7
Asia is generally still seen as a developing region – but megatrends show that
APAC´s companies will be fierce competitors globally
“Pretend
inferiority and
encourage
arrogance”
General Sun Tzu
The competitiveness of Asian economies
depending on low-cost labor and exports will
likely erode as technology change
Aviation.
Green industries.
Wealth management.
Automotive and EV.
Health sectors.
Agriculture.
8
“China is a sleeping lion. Let her
sleep, for when she wakes she will
shake the world.’
Napoleon
----------------------------------------------------------
In 2014, President Xi Jinping declared that
the lion had awoken. Under his leadership,
China is pursuing a dream to restore its
historical position as the dominant power in
Asia and the world.
“Pretend inferiority and encourage arrogance”
General Sun Tzu
9
Asia
XIONGAN – a new mega city
near Beijing from scratch twice
the size of Manhattan
Artificial Inteligence
and International
Patent Registration
– China becoming
No 1
China is No 1 in renewable energy –
better late than never
One belt one road – massive
infrastructure project between China and
Europe serving the strategic global
interests of China
In 2016 China installed
the largest industrial
robot base globally
10
The One Belt one Road project is designed to drive bigger and faster trade/capital
flows between East and West
India is the latest darling of the western world with a nice growth story in a democratic
environment
11
Japan - has a severe demographic problem
12
Malaysia (ASEAN) – rising stars with plenty of
potential … but also challenges
13
South Korea – industrial powerhouse in the limelight of
the conflict with North Korea now
14
15
The end of
Globalisation/Protectionism
Territorial tensions
Environmental Issues
A hard landing of Chinas
economy
Cyber security
Megatrends are pushing the agenda – Urbanisation,
Digitalisation, Demography, Health, rising Middle Class
Outlook and recommendations
16
Become a local player
Invest in your team in Asia
Send your people to Asia and
expose them to the culture
Secure long term strategic
alliances and invest in them
Scout for Asian solutions
Asia is more of an opportunity
than a threat – deal with it as it
will not go away
17
GBP International
8-2, Jalan Telawi 2
Bangsar Baru
59100 Kuala Lumpur
Malaysia
vf@gbp-international.com
www.gbp-international.com
For further inquiries and information please contact
Managing Partner Volker Friedrich
DISCLAIMER:
The information contained in this offer is based on extensive primary and secondary research. Whilst we believe the information to be reliable and a reflection of the current status we are not in a position to guarantee the results.
GBP International disclaim all warranties with regard to the content, express or implied, including warranties of merchantability and fitness for a particular purpose, nor assume any legal liability for the accuracy, completeness, or usefulness of any
information contained herein. No one should act on such information without appropriate professional advice after a thorough examination of the particular situation. This report may contain certain forward-looking statements. By their nature, forward-
looking statements involve uncertainties because they relate to events that may or may not occur in the future. This particularly applies to statements in this report containing information on future developments, market projections and expectations
regarding the market expansion services business, and general economic and regulatory conditions and other factors that affect market expansion services.
Forward-looking statements in this report are based on current estimates and assumptions that are made to GBP International’s best knowledge. These forward-looking statements (including those derived from third-party studies) are subject to risks,
uncertainties, and other factors that could cause actual situations and developments not to occur, and/or to differ materially from and be worse than those GBP International has expressly or implicitly assumed or described in these forward-looking
statements. GBP International does not assume any obligation to update any forward-looking statements or to conform these forward-looking statements to actual events or developments
GBP International
Karl-Kunger-Str. 56
12435 Berlin,
Germany

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Economies of Asia

  • 1. Volker Friedrich CEO of GBP INTERNATIONAL www.gbp-international.com September 2017 - Introduction - The story of Asia in a nutshell - China 2.0 - India, Japan, ASEAN, Korea - Risks in Asia The Economies of Asia
  • 2. Name: Volker Friedrich From: Germany Why I am here: Living & working in Asia since 1997 What do we do: Avoid pitfalls and make better business in Asia 2
  • 3. The nature and speed of Asia’s rise can still be debated, its further economic expansion appears unstoppable for some time to come
  • 4. 4 CHINA • Stealing Jobs • Stealing Technology • Trade Wars
  • 5. 5 True story - Henry Kissinger was in China in 1972, laying the groundwork for President Nixon's visit. At a meeting with Chinese prime minister Chou En-Lai, Mr. Kissinger asked the prime minister if he believed whether the 1789 French Revolution benefited humanity. After mulling over the question for a few minutes, Chou En-Lai replied, ..... It is too early to tell!
  • 6. APAC is an extremely diverse region with huge difference in culture, history, political and economic systems 6 1. Asia and the Pacific accounts for 4 billion people 2. APAC has halved poverty between 1990 and 2015 3. APAC generates around 40% of global GDP today with China, India, and Japan accounting for nearly 70%
  • 7. 7 Asia is generally still seen as a developing region – but megatrends show that APAC´s companies will be fierce competitors globally “Pretend inferiority and encourage arrogance” General Sun Tzu The competitiveness of Asian economies depending on low-cost labor and exports will likely erode as technology change
  • 8. Aviation. Green industries. Wealth management. Automotive and EV. Health sectors. Agriculture. 8 “China is a sleeping lion. Let her sleep, for when she wakes she will shake the world.’ Napoleon ---------------------------------------------------------- In 2014, President Xi Jinping declared that the lion had awoken. Under his leadership, China is pursuing a dream to restore its historical position as the dominant power in Asia and the world.
  • 9. “Pretend inferiority and encourage arrogance” General Sun Tzu 9 Asia XIONGAN – a new mega city near Beijing from scratch twice the size of Manhattan Artificial Inteligence and International Patent Registration – China becoming No 1 China is No 1 in renewable energy – better late than never One belt one road – massive infrastructure project between China and Europe serving the strategic global interests of China In 2016 China installed the largest industrial robot base globally
  • 10. 10 The One Belt one Road project is designed to drive bigger and faster trade/capital flows between East and West
  • 11. India is the latest darling of the western world with a nice growth story in a democratic environment 11
  • 12. Japan - has a severe demographic problem 12
  • 13. Malaysia (ASEAN) – rising stars with plenty of potential … but also challenges 13
  • 14. South Korea – industrial powerhouse in the limelight of the conflict with North Korea now 14
  • 15. 15 The end of Globalisation/Protectionism Territorial tensions Environmental Issues A hard landing of Chinas economy Cyber security Megatrends are pushing the agenda – Urbanisation, Digitalisation, Demography, Health, rising Middle Class
  • 16. Outlook and recommendations 16 Become a local player Invest in your team in Asia Send your people to Asia and expose them to the culture Secure long term strategic alliances and invest in them Scout for Asian solutions Asia is more of an opportunity than a threat – deal with it as it will not go away
  • 17. 17 GBP International 8-2, Jalan Telawi 2 Bangsar Baru 59100 Kuala Lumpur Malaysia vf@gbp-international.com www.gbp-international.com For further inquiries and information please contact Managing Partner Volker Friedrich DISCLAIMER: The information contained in this offer is based on extensive primary and secondary research. Whilst we believe the information to be reliable and a reflection of the current status we are not in a position to guarantee the results. GBP International disclaim all warranties with regard to the content, express or implied, including warranties of merchantability and fitness for a particular purpose, nor assume any legal liability for the accuracy, completeness, or usefulness of any information contained herein. No one should act on such information without appropriate professional advice after a thorough examination of the particular situation. This report may contain certain forward-looking statements. By their nature, forward- looking statements involve uncertainties because they relate to events that may or may not occur in the future. This particularly applies to statements in this report containing information on future developments, market projections and expectations regarding the market expansion services business, and general economic and regulatory conditions and other factors that affect market expansion services. Forward-looking statements in this report are based on current estimates and assumptions that are made to GBP International’s best knowledge. These forward-looking statements (including those derived from third-party studies) are subject to risks, uncertainties, and other factors that could cause actual situations and developments not to occur, and/or to differ materially from and be worse than those GBP International has expressly or implicitly assumed or described in these forward-looking statements. GBP International does not assume any obligation to update any forward-looking statements or to conform these forward-looking statements to actual events or developments GBP International Karl-Kunger-Str. 56 12435 Berlin, Germany