Economic update by Kevin Lings
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The document provides an economic update and discusses several global and domestic economic indicators. It shows that global policy uncertainty has increased since the late 1990s. World exports as a percentage of GDP peaked in 2008 and have declined since. China's total debt as a percentage of GDP has sharply risen in recent years and now stands over 250% of GDP. In South Africa, consumer disposable income growth has slowed in recent years, while business confidence as measured by the BER index is down from previous years. South Africa's GDP growth rate was estimated to be 0.7% in 2019.
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GDPSummary Economic Data for PaperFrom Economic Report of the President March 2015Gross Domestic Product Billion $YearNominalPredict1999$9,514200010,285200110,622200210,978200311,511200412,275200513,094200613,856200714,478200814,719200914,419$15,312201014,964$15,910201115,518$16,509201216,163$17,107201316,768$17,706201417,421$18,304Quarterly DataGDPGDP Real Nominal2009 Chained2000.$10,285$12,5602001.10,62212,682.22002.10,97812,908.82003.11,51113,271.12004.12,27513,773.52005.13,09414,234.22006.13,85614,613.82007.14,47814,873.72008.14,71914,830.42009.14,41914,418.72010.14,96414,783.82011.15,51815,020.62012.16,16315,369.22013.16,76815,710.32014 p.17,42116,089.8
U.S. Gross Domestic Product
Gross Domestic Product 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 9514 10284.799999999999 10621.8 10977.5 11510.7 12274.9 13093.7 13855.9 14477.6 14718.6 14418.7 14964.4 15517.9 16163.2 16768.099999999999 17420.7 Prediction 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 15311.72 15910.24 16508.760000000002 17107.28 17705.8 18304.32
Year
Billion Dollars
U.S. Gross Domestic Product
GDP Nominal 2000. 2001. 2002. 2003. 2004. 2005. 2006. 2007. 2008. 2009. 2010. 2011. 2012. 2013. 2014 p. 10284.799999999999 10621.8 10977.5 11510.7 12274.9 13093.7 13855.9 14477.6 14718.6 14418.7 14964.4 15517.9 16163.2 16768.099999999999 17420.7 GDP 2009 Real 2000. 2001. 2002. 2003. 2004. 2005. 2006. 2007. 2008. 2009. 2010. 2011. 2012. 2013. 2014 p. 12559.7 12682.2 12908.8 13271.1 13773.5 14234.2 14613.8 14873.7 14830.4 14418.7 14783.8 15020.6 15369.2 15710.3 16089.8
Billion Dollars
Federal DeficitTABLE B–19. Federal receipts, outlays, surplus or deficit, and debt, fiscal years, 1999–2015[Billions of dollars; fiscal years]Fiscal year or periodTotalReceiptsOutlaysSurplus or deficit (-)1999.$1,828$1,702$125.62000.$2,025$1,789$236.22001.$1,991$1,863$128.22002.$1,853$2,011-$157.82003.$1,782$2,160-$377.62004.$1,880$2,293-$412.72005.$2,154$2,472-$318.32006.$2,407$2,655-$248.22007.$2,568$2,729-$160.72008.$2,524$2,983-$458.62009.$2,105$3,518-$1,412.72010.$2,163$3,457-$1,294.42011.$2,304$3,603-$1,299.62012.$2,450$3,537-$1,087.02013.$2,775$3,455-$679.52014 (estimates).$3,002$3,651-$648.82015 (estimates).$3,337$3,901-$563.6aba-bJan-13272,225269,340r-2,886ReceiptsOutlaysDeficitFeb-13122,815326,354203,539Jan - Apr 2013$987,781$1,182,076-$194,295Mar-13186,018292,548106,530Jan - Apr 2014$1,070,429$1,204,248-$133,819Apr-13406,723293,834-112,889May-13197,182335,914138,732Jun-13286,627170,126-116,501Jul-13200,030297,627r97,593Aug-13185,370333,293147,923Sep-13r301,469226,355r-75,114Oct-13198,927289,511r90,584Nov-13182,453317,679135,226Dec-13283,221230,001-53,220Jan-14295,997306,247r10,250Feb-14144,349337,880193,532Mar-14215,846252,73836,893Apr-14414,237307,383-106,853Source: Monthly Treasury Statementhttp://fms.treas.gov/mts/index.html
Federal Receipts and Outlays
Receipts 1999. 2000. 2001. 2002. 2003. 2004. 2005. 2006. 2007. 20.
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GDPSummary Economic Data for PaperFrom Economic Report of the President March 2015Gross Domestic Product Billion $YearNominalPredict1999$9,514200010,285200110,622200210,978200311,511200412,275200513,094200613,856200714,478200814,719200914,419$15,312201014,964$15,910201115,518$16,509201216,163$17,107201316,768$17,706201417,421$18,304Quarterly DataGDPGDP Real Nominal2009 Chained2000.$10,285$12,5602001.10,62212,682.22002.10,97812,908.82003.11,51113,271.12004.12,27513,773.52005.13,09414,234.22006.13,85614,613.82007.14,47814,873.72008.14,71914,830.42009.14,41914,418.72010.14,96414,783.82011.15,51815,020.62012.16,16315,369.22013.16,76815,710.32014 p.17,42116,089.8
U.S. Gross Domestic Product
Gross Domestic Product 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 9514 10284.799999999999 10621.8 10977.5 11510.7 12274.9 13093.7 13855.9 14477.6 14718.6 14418.7 14964.4 15517.9 16163.2 16768.099999999999 17420.7 Prediction 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 15311.72 15910.24 16508.760000000002 17107.28 17705.8 18304.32
Year
Billion Dollars
U.S. Gross Domestic Product
GDP Nominal 2000. 2001. 2002. 2003. 2004. 2005. 2006. 2007. 2008. 2009. 2010. 2011. 2012. 2013. 2014 p. 10284.799999999999 10621.8 10977.5 11510.7 12274.9 13093.7 13855.9 14477.6 14718.6 14418.7 14964.4 15517.9 16163.2 16768.099999999999 17420.7 GDP 2009 Real 2000. 2001. 2002. 2003. 2004. 2005. 2006. 2007. 2008. 2009. 2010. 2011. 2012. 2013. 2014 p. 12559.7 12682.2 12908.8 13271.1 13773.5 14234.2 14613.8 14873.7 14830.4 14418.7 14783.8 15020.6 15369.2 15710.3 16089.8
Billion Dollars
Federal DeficitTABLE B–19. Federal receipts, outlays, surplus or deficit, and debt, fiscal years, 1999–2015[Billions of dollars; fiscal years]Fiscal year or periodTotalReceiptsOutlaysSurplus or deficit (-)1999.$1,828$1,702$125.62000.$2,025$1,789$236.22001.$1,991$1,863$128.22002.$1,853$2,011-$157.82003.$1,782$2,160-$377.62004.$1,880$2,293-$412.72005.$2,154$2,472-$318.32006.$2,407$2,655-$248.22007.$2,568$2,729-$160.72008.$2,524$2,983-$458.62009.$2,105$3,518-$1,412.72010.$2,163$3,457-$1,294.42011.$2,304$3,603-$1,299.62012.$2,450$3,537-$1,087.02013.$2,775$3,455-$679.52014 (estimates).$3,002$3,651-$648.82015 (estimates).$3,337$3,901-$563.6aba-bJan-13272,225269,340r-2,886ReceiptsOutlaysDeficitFeb-13122,815326,354203,539Jan - Apr 2013$987,781$1,182,076-$194,295Mar-13186,018292,548106,530Jan - Apr 2014$1,070,429$1,204,248-$133,819Apr-13406,723293,834-112,889May-13197,182335,914138,732Jun-13286,627170,126-116,501Jul-13200,030297,627r97,593Aug-13185,370333,293147,923Sep-13r301,469226,355r-75,114Oct-13198,927289,511r90,584Nov-13182,453317,679135,226Dec-13283,221230,001-53,220Jan-14295,997306,247r10,250Feb-14144,349337,880193,532Mar-14215,846252,73836,893Apr-14414,237307,383-106,853Source: Monthly Treasury Statementhttp://fms.treas.gov/mts/index.html
Federal Receipts and Outlays
Receipts 1999. 2000. 2001. 2002. 2003. 2004. 2005. 2006. 2007. 20.
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一比一原版美国新罕布什尔大学(unh)毕业证学历认证真实可查
永久可查学历认证【微信：A575476】【美国新罕布什尔大学(unh)毕业证成绩单Offer】【微信：A575476】（留信学历认证永久存档查询）采用学校原版纸张、特殊工艺完全按照原版一比一制作（包括：隐形水印，阴影底纹，钢印LOGO烫金烫银，LOGO烫金烫银复合重叠，文字图案浮雕，激光镭射，紫外荧光，温感，复印防伪）行业标杆！精益求精，诚心合作，真诚制作！多年品质 ,按需精细制作，24小时接单,全套进口原装设备，十五年致力于帮助留学生解决难题，业务范围有加拿大、英国、澳洲、韩国、美国、新加坡，新西兰等学历材料，包您满意。
【业务选择办理准则】
一、工作未确定，回国需先给父母、亲戚朋友看下文凭的情况，办理一份就读学校的毕业证【微信：A575476】文凭即可
二、回国进私企、外企、自己做生意的情况，这些单位是不查询毕业证真伪的，而且国内没有渠道去查询国外文凭的真假，也不需要提供真实教育部认证。鉴于此，办理一份毕业证【微信：A575476】即可
三、进国企，银行，事业单位，考公务员等等，这些单位是必需要提供真实教育部认证的，办理教育部认证所需资料众多且烦琐，所有材料您都必须提供原件，我们凭借丰富的经验，快捷的绿色通道帮您快速整合材料，让您少走弯路。
留信网认证的作用:
1:该专业认证可证明留学生真实身份
2:同时对留学生所学专业登记给予评定
3:国家专业人才认证中心颁发入库证书
4:这个认证书并且可以归档倒地方
5:凡事获得留信网入网的信息将会逐步更新到个人身份内，将在公安局网内查询个人身份证信息后，同步读取人才网入库信息
6:个人职称评审加20分
7:个人信誉贷款加10分
8:在国家人才网主办的国家网络招聘大会中纳入资料，供国家高端企业选择人才
→ 【关于价格问题（保证一手价格）
我们所定的价格是非常合理的，而且我们现在做得单子大多数都是代理和回头客户介绍的所以一般现在有新的单子 我给客户的都是第一手的代理价格，因为我想坦诚对待大家 不想跟大家在价格方面浪费时间
对于老客户或者被老客户介绍过来的朋友，我们都会适当给一些优惠。
选择实体注册公司办理，更放心，更安全！我们的承诺：可来公司面谈，可签订合同，会陪同客户一起到教育部认证窗口递交认证材料，客户在教育部官方认证查询网站查询到认证通过结果后付款，不成功不收费！
Accounting Information Systems (AIS).pptx
An accounting information system (AIS) refers to tools and systems designed for the collection and display of accounting information so accountants and executives can make informed decisions.
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Economic update by Kevin Lings
- 7. 7 China'retail'sales 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 %'y/y
- 9. 9 Euro%area
- 11. !3.0 !2.5 !2.0 !1.5 !1.0 !0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 %q/q Euro(area+real+GDP+growth+(quarter(on(quarter)
- 12. %y/y Germany,+France+and+Italy+GDP+growth 88,0 87,0 86,0 85,0 84,0 83,0 82,0 81,0 0,0 1,0 2,0 3,0 4,0 5,0 6,0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Germany Italy France
- 13. 13 United'States
- 14. 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 100 102 104 106 108 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 Index US2small2business2confidence2index2(NFIB)
- 15. 15 US%consumer%confidence 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 Index
- 17. 17 US%monthly%payroll%changes 4900 4800 4700 4600 4500 4400 4300 4200 4100 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 000’s
- 20. 20 South&Africa
- 22. 22 SA$rate$of$growth$in$household$personal$loans 52 51 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 A M J J A S O N D 18 F M A M J J A S O N %y/y
- 25. SA#government#gross#loan#debt#as#%#of#GDP 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 %
- 26. 26 World(corruption(perception(index:(South(Africa 46 51 43 54 55 54 64 69 72 67 61 64 71 73 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 World(ranking
- 28. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Next/3 years Ranking'out'of'189'countries South'Africa'global'ranking:'ease'of'doing'business
- 29. 55 59 56 41 29 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Ranking'out'of'189'countries Rwanda'global'ranking:'ease'of'doing'business
- 30. 30 SA%GDP%annual%growth%rate 4,2 2,7 3,7 2,9 4,6 5,3 5,6 5,4 3,2 ;1,5 3,0 3,3 2,2 2,5 1,8 1,3 0,6 1,3 0,7 1,5 1,9 ;2 ;1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 %y/y
- 31. Thank&you