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“Golden Rule”
PRRS Control
         Dale Polson
Area/System-Level PRRS Management

    If PRRSv really costs us
  $560,000,000 to $700,000,000
 per year, maybe it’s well worth
   it to us all to actively work
 together using all the weapons
   we have available today to
   manage it in a coordinated
        collaborative effort.
The Questions…
• Why do PRRS-negative
  farms go positive?
• Why do PRRS-positive
  farms break again and
  again?
Why do negative farms go positive?




                        60% of PRRS-naïve
                      farms in this study got
                     infected within 3 years…
Why do positive farms break…
     …again & again?
The question in COMMON:
 Where do the other
  PRRS viruses that
already exist and that
 you don’t currently
  have (and don’t want)
     come from?
The question UN-common:

Where do the NEW
  (different) PRRS
virus variants (that
don’t yet exist) come
        from?
PRRSv
Area/System-Level PRRS Management



New PRRSv Variants:
      Growing
       Pigs?
Area/System-Level PRRS Management




                    WT3




WT1
                                     WT2




            WT99
Area/System-Level PRRS Management




New PRRSv Variants:
   Farrowing?
Farm X                                                     Farm Y
        WT(x) ORF5                                               WT(y) ORF5
         sequence                                                  sequence
      heterology over                                           heterology over
       9 months -vs-                                            12 months -vs-
        WT(x) INDEX                                              WT(y) INDEX
           virus                                                     virus




% ORF5 nucleotide heterology (vs WT-Index)
                                 WT-         % ORF5 nucleotide heterology (vs WT-Index)
                                                                              WT-
PRRS is
messy…
…and expensive.
So, we give up…right?
Golden Rule PRRS Control:

 Collaborating on the
support, implementation
  & execution of Area-
Regional PRRS Control
Area/System-Level PRRS Management



    Basis for the
    Area-Regional
    Control (ARC)
      of PRRSv
The Golden Rule
     “Do unto
  your neighbor
as you would have
  your neighbor
  do unto you.”
The Golden Rule (applied to PRRS)
  “Transmit unto your
        neighbor
     as you would
  have your neighbor
  transmit unto you.”
PRRS is something…
…no one wants to get
 from their neighbor.
…no one wants to give to
 their neighbor.
PRRS is also something…
…those currently without
 it are at risk of getting.
…those currently with it
 are at risk of spreading.
Area/System-Level PRRS Management




         ARC:
      Background
      & Overview
The
                       Stockdale
                       Paradox:
                       Confront the
                       brutal facts,
    Vice Admiral
James Bond Stockdale    but never
                         give up.
Area/System-Level PRRS Management

           Premise #1:
    Complementary and coordinated
   methods which, applied together,
   target reduction of wild-type virus
  circulation within and among sites,
pigflows and networks are essential for
 effective management of PRRS within
      and among areas/regions…
Area/System-Level PRRS Management


          Premise #2:
  The most effective utilization of
 these methods requires a higher
     degree of communication,
  cooperation, coordination, and
   collaboration than is the norm
       across our industry…
Area/System-Level PRRS Management

           Premise #3:
 The necessary broad acceptance and
 widely-supported level of PRRS ARC
   will not be achieved via traditional
 experimental research alone; but will
  require a body of evidence and track
record of success via multiple proof-of-
   concept field-based pilot projects.
Area/System-Level PRRS Management

                          Goals
• Growing Pigs
  – Improve pig performance (direct)
     • Mortality, culls, gain, conversion, treatment cost
  – Reduce wild-type virus load, genetic diversity & new
    variant emergence (indirect)
• Breeding Herds
  – Reduce clinical episode… (direct)
     • Frequency (break interval, breaks per ‘X’ years)
     • Duration & magnitude (time-to-negative-pigs)
  – Reduce wild-type virus load, genetic diversity & new
    variant emergence (indirect)
Area/System-Level PRRS Management

           Purpose
Understand how PRRS moves &
changes among herds within and
 among areas/regions, as well as
across flows/networks, in order to
   develop & execute optimally
      effective coordinated,
collaborative management plans.
Area/System-Level PRRS Management
                 Objectives
• To identify factors associated with the spread of
  PRRS virus in areas/regions as well as across
  flows/networks
• To determine the genetic variation of PRRS
  viruses within areas/regions and to compare these
  to neighboring areas / regions whose operational
  networks overlap / cross-over
• To recommend strategies that will reduce the
  spread of PRRS virus among farm
  sites/flows/networks and areas/regions and that may
  be used in a PRRS virus control (ultimately
  elimination) program
Area/System-Level PRRS Management
                 Objectives
• To improve communication within and between
  ARC Working Groups and allied supportive groups
  by sharing knowledge and resources
• To share knowledge and to avoid duplication of
  effort & resources through collaboration with
  industry partners and businesses
• To facilitate adoption of available technologies
• To develop a template for addressing other
  industry health issues
• To set up a feedback mechanism to evaluate and
  adjust the course of action
Area/System-Level PRRS Management

   ARC Projects should…
…have a standardized, readily executed plan (to achieve
 acceptance, support & compliance)
 – Activity outline & schedule
 – Metrics & measurement
 – Milestones & contingencies
…enable objective evaluation of potential new intervention
 methods, thus fostering agreement on optimal
 intervention methods (“best practices”)
…generate relatively consistent & sustainable results
…be financially beneficial (meets/exceeds required B:C &
 ROI)
Area/System-Level PRRS Management

  Effective area
control requires a
well designed plan
  & coordinated
    execution.
Area/System-Level PRRS Management
Area/System-Level PRRS Management
                        A Swine PRRS Management Model
   Start
Positive    (+ clinical)                                                     Negative   (naïve)
                  achieve stability...
                         achieve stability...         new disease introduction
                              undesired circulation


      Stabilize                            Eliminate                  Prevent
            PRRS                                                         PRRS
           Positive                                                      Naïve
Area/System-Level PRRS Management


 Effective area control
 requires a full arsenal
 of weapons & people
   who all commit to
   using them right.
Area/System-Level PRRS Management
Area/System-Level PRRS Management
• PRRS Management Best Practices
  – Protocols, Procedures & Compliance                     ARC
• Risk Assessment
  – External introduction risks (i.e., biosecurity)
                                                           Arsenal
  – Internal circulation risks (e.g., flow & sanitation)
• Exposure Management
  – At an operational level (Site – Flow – Network)
  – At a proximity level (Neighborhood – Area – Region)
• Immune Management
  – Target population, Timing & Tool(s)
  – Replacements & Breeding Herd –vs– Growing Pigs
• Measurement & Data Management
  – Case Definition, Terms & Site/Flow Categorization Standards
  – Sampling, Testing, Interpretation & Classification Standards
  – Data & Information Management Tools & Databases
Area/System-Level PRRS Management




          Weapon:
 Risk Assessment
Area/System-Level PRRS Management
    0.71          0.66       0.41          0.33

                         • 2008




           0.66                     0.33
Area/System-Level PRRS Management
A broader application…
•   Potential use in regional or national
    PRRSv elimination efforts…
    – Define geographical, and/or operational,
      boundaries for regional control (elimination)
      projects based on the risk profile of sites
      within and near the boundaries.
    – Define standard practices or management
      changes based on risk profiles following
      successful eradication of individual sites.
    – Identify specific risk factors that must be
      eliminated before single site or regional
      eradication efforts begin.
Area/System-Level PRRS Management




          Weapon:
    Immunization
Summary of qPCR data PRRS vaccination-
    heterologous challenge study in growing pigs.
Percent Challenge Wild-Type PCR Positive   qPCR Log Titer of Wild-Type PCR Positives
Area/System-Level PRRS Management




 Growing Pigs:
PRRSv Monitoring
Area/System-Level PRRS Management
Area/System-Level PRRS Management
Area/System-Level PRRS Management




    Growing Pigs:
    Performance
Area/System-Level PRRS Management
                                          Percent Marketed (ofPROCESS
                                             Xbar-R Chart of RATE by weaned)
                          1                                                                       2
               0.96
                          Each data point = 8 weeks of closeouts                                                     U C L=0.9470
                                                                                                                     _
                                                                                                                     _
                              1
               0.92   1           1                                                                                  X=0.9235
Sample M ean




                                                                                                                     LC L=0.9001
                                                                                                      1
               0.88


               0.84
                                                             1     1   1
                                                                                             1
               0.80
                      1               4     7      10       13           16     19           22       25   28   31
                                                                       Sample
                                                        1st mktg project impacted pigs
                          1                                                              1
                                                                                                  2
               0.16
                                                                                             1
                                                                                                      1
Sample Range




               0.12
                                                                                                                     U C L=0.0974
               0.08
                                                                                                                     _
                                                                                                                     R=0.0486
               0.04

               0.00                                                                                                  LC L=0
                      1               4     7      10       13           16     19           22       25   28   31
                                                                       Sample
Area/System-Level PRRS Management
                             Nursery Average-Daily-by NURchg hd/da)
                                     Xbar-R Chart of NUR Gain (lb/
                         1                                                               2
                                                                                         1
               1.0
                         Each data point = 8 weeks of closeouts
                                                                                                   Nursery bubble depop effect
Sample M ean




               0.9                                                                                                           _ C L=0.8912
                                                                                                                             U
                                                                                                                             _
                     1                                                           1                                           X=0.8559
                             1   1
                                                                                              1        1   1    1   1        LC L=0.8206
               0.8


               0.7
                                             1   1            1
                                                          1
                     1               4   7           10       13     16     19           22       25       28           31
                                                                     Sample
                                                     1st project impacted pigs
                         1                                                               2
                                                                                     1
               0.3
Sample Range




               0.2

                                                                                         1
               0.1
                                                                                                                             U C L=0.0613
                                                                                                                             _
                                                                                                                             R=0.0188
               0.0                                                                                     1                     LC L=0
                     1               4   7           10       13     16     19           22       25       28           31
                                                                     Sample
Area/System-Level PRRS Management
                                   Finisher Average-Daily-by FINchg hd/da)
                                            Xbar-R Chart of FIN
                                                                Gain (lb/
                               1                                                                    2
                    2.25
                               Each data point = 8 weeks of closeouts                                                      U C L=2.1939
                                                                                                                      1
                    2.10
Sample M ean




                                                                                                                           _
                                                                                                                           _
                                                                                                                           X=2.0008
                                                                                           1
                    1.95                                     1                         1
                                      1     1                                                  1                  1
                                                                                   1


                    1.80                                                                                                   LC L=1.8078
                                                                 1    1   1   1
                                                        1
                                                    1
                           1          4         7       10       13           16     19        22       25   28       31
                                                                              Sample
                                                        1st mktg project impacted pigs
                               1                                                                    2
                                                                                                                           U C L=0.3415
                                                                                   1
                     0.3
     Sample Range




                     0.2                                                                                                   _
                                                                                                                           R=0.1832

                     0.1

                                                                                                                           LC L=0.0249
                     0.0
                           1          4         7       10       13           16     19        22       25   28       31
                                                                              Sample
Area/System-Level PRRS Management




 Breeding Herds:
PRRSv Monitoring
Area/System-Level PRRS Management
   Area B: estimated time-
  to-negative weaned pigs
Area/System-Level PRRS Management




         ARC:
       Learnings
Area/System-Level PRRS Management
• An area-level PRRSv management
  plan can be successful, given:
 – Inclusion of all necessary elements
   targeting…
   • Exposure & circulation management
   • Immune management
 – Appropriate monitoring & measurement
   • Sampling-testing-characterization of
     system PRRSv’s
 – Commited, coordinated, consistent &
   persistent execution
The
                       Stockdale
                       Paradox:
                       Confront the
                       brutal facts,
    Vice Admiral
James Bond Stockdale    but never
                         give up.
Area/System-Level PRRS Management

    If PRRSv really costs us
  $560,000,000 to $700,000,000
 per year, maybe it’s well worth
   it to us all to actively work
 together using all the weapons
   we have available today to
   manage it in a coordinated
        collaborative effort.
Thank you…

Questions?

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Dr. Dale Polson - "Golden Rule" PRRS Control

  • 2. Area/System-Level PRRS Management If PRRSv really costs us $560,000,000 to $700,000,000 per year, maybe it’s well worth it to us all to actively work together using all the weapons we have available today to manage it in a coordinated collaborative effort.
  • 3. The Questions… • Why do PRRS-negative farms go positive? • Why do PRRS-positive farms break again and again?
  • 4. Why do negative farms go positive? 60% of PRRS-naïve farms in this study got infected within 3 years…
  • 5. Why do positive farms break… …again & again?
  • 6. The question in COMMON: Where do the other PRRS viruses that already exist and that you don’t currently have (and don’t want) come from?
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11. The question UN-common: Where do the NEW (different) PRRS virus variants (that don’t yet exist) come from?
  • 12. PRRSv
  • 13. Area/System-Level PRRS Management New PRRSv Variants: Growing Pigs?
  • 15. Area/System-Level PRRS Management New PRRSv Variants: Farrowing?
  • 16. Farm X Farm Y WT(x) ORF5 WT(y) ORF5 sequence sequence heterology over heterology over 9 months -vs- 12 months -vs- WT(x) INDEX WT(y) INDEX virus virus % ORF5 nucleotide heterology (vs WT-Index) WT- % ORF5 nucleotide heterology (vs WT-Index) WT-
  • 19. So, we give up…right?
  • 20. Golden Rule PRRS Control: Collaborating on the support, implementation & execution of Area- Regional PRRS Control
  • 21. Area/System-Level PRRS Management Basis for the Area-Regional Control (ARC) of PRRSv
  • 22. The Golden Rule “Do unto your neighbor as you would have your neighbor do unto you.”
  • 23. The Golden Rule (applied to PRRS) “Transmit unto your neighbor as you would have your neighbor transmit unto you.”
  • 24. PRRS is something… …no one wants to get from their neighbor. …no one wants to give to their neighbor.
  • 25. PRRS is also something… …those currently without it are at risk of getting. …those currently with it are at risk of spreading.
  • 26. Area/System-Level PRRS Management ARC: Background & Overview
  • 27. The Stockdale Paradox: Confront the brutal facts, Vice Admiral James Bond Stockdale but never give up.
  • 28. Area/System-Level PRRS Management Premise #1: Complementary and coordinated methods which, applied together, target reduction of wild-type virus circulation within and among sites, pigflows and networks are essential for effective management of PRRS within and among areas/regions…
  • 29. Area/System-Level PRRS Management Premise #2: The most effective utilization of these methods requires a higher degree of communication, cooperation, coordination, and collaboration than is the norm across our industry…
  • 30. Area/System-Level PRRS Management Premise #3: The necessary broad acceptance and widely-supported level of PRRS ARC will not be achieved via traditional experimental research alone; but will require a body of evidence and track record of success via multiple proof-of- concept field-based pilot projects.
  • 31. Area/System-Level PRRS Management Goals • Growing Pigs – Improve pig performance (direct) • Mortality, culls, gain, conversion, treatment cost – Reduce wild-type virus load, genetic diversity & new variant emergence (indirect) • Breeding Herds – Reduce clinical episode… (direct) • Frequency (break interval, breaks per ‘X’ years) • Duration & magnitude (time-to-negative-pigs) – Reduce wild-type virus load, genetic diversity & new variant emergence (indirect)
  • 32. Area/System-Level PRRS Management Purpose Understand how PRRS moves & changes among herds within and among areas/regions, as well as across flows/networks, in order to develop & execute optimally effective coordinated, collaborative management plans.
  • 33. Area/System-Level PRRS Management Objectives • To identify factors associated with the spread of PRRS virus in areas/regions as well as across flows/networks • To determine the genetic variation of PRRS viruses within areas/regions and to compare these to neighboring areas / regions whose operational networks overlap / cross-over • To recommend strategies that will reduce the spread of PRRS virus among farm sites/flows/networks and areas/regions and that may be used in a PRRS virus control (ultimately elimination) program
  • 34. Area/System-Level PRRS Management Objectives • To improve communication within and between ARC Working Groups and allied supportive groups by sharing knowledge and resources • To share knowledge and to avoid duplication of effort & resources through collaboration with industry partners and businesses • To facilitate adoption of available technologies • To develop a template for addressing other industry health issues • To set up a feedback mechanism to evaluate and adjust the course of action
  • 35. Area/System-Level PRRS Management ARC Projects should… …have a standardized, readily executed plan (to achieve acceptance, support & compliance) – Activity outline & schedule – Metrics & measurement – Milestones & contingencies …enable objective evaluation of potential new intervention methods, thus fostering agreement on optimal intervention methods (“best practices”) …generate relatively consistent & sustainable results …be financially beneficial (meets/exceeds required B:C & ROI)
  • 36. Area/System-Level PRRS Management Effective area control requires a well designed plan & coordinated execution.
  • 38. Area/System-Level PRRS Management A Swine PRRS Management Model Start Positive (+ clinical) Negative (naïve) achieve stability... achieve stability... new disease introduction undesired circulation Stabilize Eliminate Prevent PRRS PRRS Positive Naïve
  • 39. Area/System-Level PRRS Management Effective area control requires a full arsenal of weapons & people who all commit to using them right.
  • 41. Area/System-Level PRRS Management • PRRS Management Best Practices – Protocols, Procedures & Compliance ARC • Risk Assessment – External introduction risks (i.e., biosecurity) Arsenal – Internal circulation risks (e.g., flow & sanitation) • Exposure Management – At an operational level (Site – Flow – Network) – At a proximity level (Neighborhood – Area – Region) • Immune Management – Target population, Timing & Tool(s) – Replacements & Breeding Herd –vs– Growing Pigs • Measurement & Data Management – Case Definition, Terms & Site/Flow Categorization Standards – Sampling, Testing, Interpretation & Classification Standards – Data & Information Management Tools & Databases
  • 42. Area/System-Level PRRS Management Weapon: Risk Assessment
  • 43. Area/System-Level PRRS Management 0.71 0.66 0.41 0.33 • 2008 0.66 0.33
  • 44. Area/System-Level PRRS Management A broader application… • Potential use in regional or national PRRSv elimination efforts… – Define geographical, and/or operational, boundaries for regional control (elimination) projects based on the risk profile of sites within and near the boundaries. – Define standard practices or management changes based on risk profiles following successful eradication of individual sites. – Identify specific risk factors that must be eliminated before single site or regional eradication efforts begin.
  • 45. Area/System-Level PRRS Management Weapon: Immunization
  • 46. Summary of qPCR data PRRS vaccination- heterologous challenge study in growing pigs. Percent Challenge Wild-Type PCR Positive qPCR Log Titer of Wild-Type PCR Positives
  • 47. Area/System-Level PRRS Management Growing Pigs: PRRSv Monitoring
  • 50. Area/System-Level PRRS Management Growing Pigs: Performance
  • 51. Area/System-Level PRRS Management Percent Marketed (ofPROCESS Xbar-R Chart of RATE by weaned) 1 2 0.96 Each data point = 8 weeks of closeouts U C L=0.9470 _ _ 1 0.92 1 1 X=0.9235 Sample M ean LC L=0.9001 1 0.88 0.84 1 1 1 1 0.80 1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 Sample 1st mktg project impacted pigs 1 1 2 0.16 1 1 Sample Range 0.12 U C L=0.0974 0.08 _ R=0.0486 0.04 0.00 LC L=0 1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 Sample
  • 52. Area/System-Level PRRS Management Nursery Average-Daily-by NURchg hd/da) Xbar-R Chart of NUR Gain (lb/ 1 2 1 1.0 Each data point = 8 weeks of closeouts Nursery bubble depop effect Sample M ean 0.9 _ C L=0.8912 U _ 1 1 X=0.8559 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 LC L=0.8206 0.8 0.7 1 1 1 1 1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 Sample 1st project impacted pigs 1 2 1 0.3 Sample Range 0.2 1 0.1 U C L=0.0613 _ R=0.0188 0.0 1 LC L=0 1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 Sample
  • 53. Area/System-Level PRRS Management Finisher Average-Daily-by FINchg hd/da) Xbar-R Chart of FIN Gain (lb/ 1 2 2.25 Each data point = 8 weeks of closeouts U C L=2.1939 1 2.10 Sample M ean _ _ X=2.0008 1 1.95 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1.80 LC L=1.8078 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 Sample 1st mktg project impacted pigs 1 2 U C L=0.3415 1 0.3 Sample Range 0.2 _ R=0.1832 0.1 LC L=0.0249 0.0 1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 Sample
  • 54. Area/System-Level PRRS Management Breeding Herds: PRRSv Monitoring
  • 55. Area/System-Level PRRS Management Area B: estimated time- to-negative weaned pigs
  • 57. Area/System-Level PRRS Management • An area-level PRRSv management plan can be successful, given: – Inclusion of all necessary elements targeting… • Exposure & circulation management • Immune management – Appropriate monitoring & measurement • Sampling-testing-characterization of system PRRSv’s – Commited, coordinated, consistent & persistent execution
  • 58. The Stockdale Paradox: Confront the brutal facts, Vice Admiral James Bond Stockdale but never give up.
  • 59. Area/System-Level PRRS Management If PRRSv really costs us $560,000,000 to $700,000,000 per year, maybe it’s well worth it to us all to actively work together using all the weapons we have available today to manage it in a coordinated collaborative effort.