by Rachid Doukkali, Senior Fellow, OCP Policy Center and Professor, IAV Hassan II Institute, Rabat at IAI-OCP international seminar on "Food Security and Sustainable Agriculture in the Euro-Mediterranean Area", Rome – February 2, 2015

1. http://koeppen-geiger.vu-wien.ac.at/pdf/kottek_et_al_2006_A4.pdf

2. Source: FAO/Aquastat, 2014
Area equipped for irrigation in percentage of land area

3. 6.77
100.00
37.82
22.54
16.02
24.70
8.77
22.07
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Algeria Egypt Lebanon Libya Morocco Syria Tunisia Turkey
% of Crop Land Irrigated

4. 149
43
120
288
67
151
359
298
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
Algeria Egypt Lebanon Libya Morocco Syria Tunisia Turkey
% Increase of Irrigated Area Between 1961 and 2011
Area equiped for irrigation per country in ‘000 ha (year 2012)

5. -1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
Algeria Egypt Lebanon Libya Morocco Syria Tunisia Turkey
Growth Rate of Agricultural Net Production Between 2002 and 2011 (in %)
Data Source : FAOSTAT

6. 0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
Algeria Egypte Lebanon Libya Morocco Syria Tunisia Turkey
Production Growth Rate in % (1961-2011)
Céreals + Olives Other Agriculture
2.34
World
Agricult.
Growth
Rate (%)

7. 8.90
13.50
3.64
15.01
18.29
9.86 10.02
46.15
32.96
12.33
19.48
26.96
23.02 22.95
44.95
53.54
84.03
65.51
54.76
67.12 67.03
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Algeria Egypt Lebanon Morocco Syria Tunisia Turkey
Percentage Sectors' Shares in Total Value Added (2000 - 2013)
Agriculture Industries Services
Data sources: UNSTAT

8. -2.00
-1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
Algeria Egypt Lebanon Morocco Syria Tunisia Turkey
GDP and Sectors' Annual Growth Rates in % (2000 - 2013)
GDP Agriculture Industries Services
Data sources: UNSTAT

9. -1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
Algeria Egypt Lebanon Libya Morocco Syria Tunisia Turkey
Percentage of Annual Average Total Factors Productivity of Agriculture (2002-2011)
Source : ERS/USDA - K.Fuglie and & N. RADA Oct.2014

10. 0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
1961
1964
1967
1970
1973
1976
1979
1982
1985
1988
1991
1994
1997
2000
2003
2006
2009
Algeria
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
1961
1964
1967
1970
1973
1976
1979
1982
1985
1988
1991
1994
1997
2000
2003
2006
2009
Egypt
0
20
40
60
80
100
1961
1964
1967
1970
1973
1976
1979
1982
1985
1988
1991
1994
1997
2000
2003
2006
2009Lebanon
0
50
100
150
200
1961
1964
1967
1970
1973
1976
1979
1982
1985
1988
1991
1994
1997
2000
2003
2006
2009
Morocco
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
1961
1964
1967
1970
1973
1976
1979
1982
1985
1988
1991
1994
1997
2000
2003
2006
2009
Syria
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
1961
1964
1967
1970
1973
1976
1979
1982
1985
1988
1991
1994
1997
2000
2003
2006
2009
Tunisia
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
1,100
1,200
1,300
1,400
1,500
1961
1963
1965
1967
1969
1971
1973
1975
1977
1979
1981
1983
1985
1987
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
Turkey
% of Ag. Import Covered by Ag. Export (Taux de couverture = 100 x X/M) Between 1961 and 2011
0
20
40
60
80
100
1961
1964
1967
1970
1973
1976
1979
1982
1985
1988
1991
1994
1997
2000
2003
2006
2009
Libya

11. 0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Algeria Egypt Lebanon Libya Morocco Syria Tunisia Turkey
Average Yearly Import of Animal Feed in Kg/Pers.
(Between 2001-2011)
Maize Oil cake meal Fodder & feeding stuff Barley
-5.00
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
Algeria Egypt Lebanon Libya Morocco Syria Tunisia Turkey
Average Yearly Growth Rate of Animal Feed Imports
(Between 1991 and 2011)
Maize Oil cake meal Fodder & feeding stuff

12. -0.25
-0.20
-0.15
-0.10
-0.05
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
1961
1964
1967
1970
1973
1976
1979
1982
1985
1988
1991
1994
1997
2000
2003
2006
2009
2012
Algeria
-0.25
-0.20
-0.15
-0.10
-0.05
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
1961
1964
1967
1970
1973
1976
1979
1982
1985
1988
1991
1994
1997
2000
2003
2006
2009
2012
Libya
-0.25
-0.20
-0.15
-0.10
-0.05
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
1961
1964
1967
1970
1973
1976
1979
1982
1985
1988
1991
1994
1997
2000
2003
2006
2009
2012
Egypt
-0.25
-0.20
-0.15
-0.10
-0.05
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
1961
1964
1967
1970
1973
1976
1979
1982
1985
1988
1991
1994
1997
2000
2003
2006
2009
2012
Lebanon
-0.25
-0.20
-0.15
-0.10
-0.05
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
1961
1964
1967
1970
1973
1976
1979
1982
1985
1988
1991
1994
1997
2000
2003
2006
2009
2012
Tunisia
-0.25
-0.20
-0.15
-0.10
-0.05
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
1961
1964
1967
1970
1973
1976
1979
1982
1985
1988
1991
1994
1997
2000
2003
2006
2009
2012
Morocco
-0.25
-0.20
-0.15
-0.10
-0.05
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
1961
1964
1967
1970
1973
1976
1979
1982
1985
1988
1991
1994
1997
2000
2003
2006
2009
2012
Syria
-0.25
-0.20
-0.15
-0.10
-0.05
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
1961
1964
1967
1970
1973
1976
1979
1982
1985
1988
1991
1994
1997
2000
2003
2006
2009
2012
Turkey
Variations With Respect to the Mean of Agricultural Production (without the trend) 1961-2011)

13. Area (ha) % Area (ha) % Area (ha) %
Cereals 5 150 470 66.5 492 260 31.5 5 642 730 60.6
Olives 525 307 6.8 359 799 23.0 885 106 9.5
Sub Total 5 675 777 73.3 852 059 54.5 6 527 836 70.2
Other Fruit Trees 201 854 2.6 209 663 13.4 411 518 4.4
Vegetables 35 705 0.5 219 516 14.0 255 221 2.7
Fodder 207 884 2.7 219 350 14.0 427 234 4.6
Others 121 045 1.6 63 771 4.1 184 816 2.0
Fallow 1 497 814 19.4
Total 13 415 856 173.3 2 416 418 154.5 15 832 274 170.2
%
Rainfed Irrigated Total
84.7 15.3 100.0
Land distribution : Case of Morocco

14. Variations of Production with Respect to the Mean between 1961 and 2011 (without trend)
-0.80
-0.60
-0.40
-0.20
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
Algeria
-0.80
-0.60
-0.40
-0.20
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
Egypte
-0.80
-0.60
-0.40
-0.20
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
Lebanon
1. Cereals & Olives Productions
-0.80
-0.60
-0.40
-0.20
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
Algeria
2. Other Agricultural Productions
-0.80
-0.60
-0.40
-0.20
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
Egypte
-0.80
-0.60
-0.40
-0.20
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
Lebanon

15. -0.80
-0.60
-0.40
-0.20
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
Libya
-0.80
-0.60
-0.40
-0.20
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
Morocco
-0.80
-0.60
-0.40
-0.20
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
Syria
Variations of Production with respect to the mean between 1961 and 2011 (without trend)
1. Cereals & Olives Productions
2. Other Agricultural Productions
-0.80
-0.60
-0.40
-0.20
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
Libya
-0.80
-0.60
-0.40
-0.20
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
Morocco
-0.80
-0.60
-0.40
-0.20
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
Syria

16. -0.80
-0.60
-0.40
-0.20
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
Tunisia
-0.80
-0.60
-0.40
-0.20
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
Turkey
Variations of Production with Respect to the Mean between 1961 and 2011 (without trend)
1. Cereals + Olives
2. Other Agricultural Productions
-0.80
-0.60
-0.40
-0.20
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
Tunisia
-0.80
-0.60
-0.40
-0.20
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
Turkey

17. Vegetables
Other
Agriculture
Rainfed Irrigated Rainfed Irrigated Rainfed Irrigated Irrigated Rainfed Irrigated BothR&I
Commodities 1.27 1.33 1.26 1.30 1.27 1.29 1.28 1.27 1.32 1.29
Cereals&Pulses FodderCrops IndustrialCrops FruitTreesCrops
SAM’s Production Multipliers : Case of Morocco
EnergyFinalCons. 0.07 0.30 0.07 0.22 0.07 0.15 0.13 0.07 0.22 0.12
CommoditiesnetofEnergie 1.20 1.03 1.19 1.09 1.20 1.15 1.16 1.20 1.10 1.17
Labor&Capital 0.73 0.44 0.70 0.73 0.99 0.79 0.64 0.96 0.71 0.68
Households 0.96 0.60 0.92 0.95 1.28 1.04 0.85 1.24 0.94 0.91