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Professor Raju Indukoori
Dividend
Professor Raju Indukoori
It is the distribution of profits to the
share holders who are owners of the
company. The period or frequency of
distribution varies from company to
company based on its earnings,
financial health and policy.
Though earned profits, some
companies don’t pay dividends and
retain the earnings.
2
Dividend Types
Professor Raju Indukoori
Based on the Form
 Cash Dividend
 Stock Dividend
Base on the timing
 Annual Dividend
 Interim Dividend
Base on the size of pay out
(DPS/EPS)
 High dividend payout
 Low dividend payout
3
Dividend Policy
Professor Raju Indukoori
It gives the direction for the company towards
its profits distributions. It is need for the
following reasons.
1. Level of cash distributions to shareholders
2. Sock vs Cash
3. Stability of the distribution
4
Framing Dividend Distribution Policy
 Forecast capital needs.
 Set a target capital structure.
 Estimate annual equity needs.
 Set target payout based on the residual model.
 Generally, some dividend growth rate emerges.
 maintain target growth rate if possible.
 varying capital structure somewhat if necessary.
5
Professor Raju Indukoori
Do investors prefer
High payouts
or
low payouts?
6
Professor Raju Indukoori
Theories of Investor’s
Preference
Professor Raju Indukoori
Irrelevant Models
1. MM Theory
2. Rationale Expectation
Model
7
Relevant Models
1. Traditional Model
2. Walter Model
3. Gordon’s Model
4. Bird-in-hand
5. Tax preference
6. Residual
Distribution
Irrelevant Models
Propositions
1. Investors don’t care about payout.
2. Investors are indifferent between dividends and retention-generated
capital gains.
3. If they want cash, they can sell stock. If they don’t want cash, they
can use dividends to buy stock.
Professor Raju Indukoori 9
1 MM Model
Critics
1. Based on unrealistic assumptions
• no taxes
• brokerage costs
2. hence may not be true. Need empirical test.
Professor Raju Indukoori 10
1 MM Model
2. Rational Expectations Model
As long as the dividend rate is up to the expectations
there is no impact of dividend declaration on market
price.
1. If dividends are above the expectations, price goes up.
2. If dividends are below the expectations, price goes
down.
Professor Raju Indukoori 11
Relevant Models
1. Traditional Model
• P/E ratios are directly related to D/P ratios.
• High D/P increases P/E ratio.
Professor Raju Indukoori







3
E
DmP
13
Where
P = Market Price
m = multiplier
D = DPS
E = EPS
Problem 1a
• A firm has Rs 150 crores of EAT and is indifferent to
fix the Dividend rate as it may influence the MPS
according to traditional model. Assuming retention
ratio of thirty and fifty percent with a mulitple of 9
what would be the impact of dividend rate on MPS
with outstanding shares of 100 crores
Professor Raju Indukoori 14
Professor Raju Indukoori
Solution 1a
• Retention ratio 30% means D/P ratio 70%
• Retention ratio 50% means D/P ratio 50%
95.13
3
5.1
05.19 RsP 






25.11
3
5.1
75.09 RsP 






15
2. Walter Model : James E Walter
It gives the relationship between IRR (r) and Cost of capital
of the firm which gives a dividend policy to maximize
wealth.
Assumptions
o Retained earnings only source of finance.
o r and k constant.
o Infinite companies firms life.
o DPS and EPS remain constant.
Professor Raju Indukoori 16
Walter Model : James E Walter
Propositions
1. r > ke : Market value decreases as the DP ratio increases.
2. r < ke : Market value increases as the DP ratio increases.
3. r = ke : Market value remains same at any DP ratio.
Professor Raju Indukoori
e
e
e
O
k
kDEr
k
D
P
)( 

17
3. Gordon Model : Myron Gordon
Similar to Walter model but considers current
dividends.
Assumptions
1. 100% equity firm.
2. Retention ratio and growth rates are constant.
3. Investors are rational and risk averse.
4. Investors prefer certain to uncertain returns.
5. Ke > br (Cost of equity is greater than growth.
Professor Raju Indukoori 18
Gordon Model : Myron Gordon
Propositions
1. r > ke
Market value decreases as the DP ratio increases.
2. r < ke
Market value increases as the DP ratio increases.
3. r = ke
Market value remains same at any DP ratio.
brk
bE
P
e
O



)1(
Professor Raju Indukoori 19
Problem 2
A firm had an earnings after tax of Rs 10,12,25,374 with an
expansion plan of Rs 60 Crs. The expected return on the new
investment is 25% where as ROE is 32%. If the company has
a retention ratio of sixty two percent with 8,74, 68,259 shares
what would be the value of the firm.
Professor Raju Indukoori 20
Solution 2
• Walter Model Rs 2.47
Professor Raju Indukoori
e
e
e
O
k
kDEr
k
D
P
)( 

21
32.0
32.0)44.016.1(25.0
32.0
44.0 
OP
32.0
32.0)72.0(25.0
32.0
44.0
OP
47.2752.172.0 OP
Solution 2
• Walter Model Rs 8.38
• Gordon Model Rs 2.67
Professor Raju Indukoori
brk
bE
P
e
O



)1(
e
e
e
O
k
kDEr
k
D
P
)( 

22
67.2
165.0
4398.0

)25.0*62.0(0.32
0.68)(11.16



155.00.32
4398.0


4. Bird-in-the-Hand Theory
1. Investors prefer high dividends
2. Investors think dividends are less risky than potential
future capital gains, hence they like dividends.
3. Investors would value high payout firms result in a
high P0.
Professor Raju Indukoori 23
5. Tax Preference Theory
1. Investors prefer a low payout, hence growth.
2. Low payouts mean higher capital gains. Capital
gains taxes are deferred.
3. This could cause investors to prefer firms with low
payouts, i.e., a high payout results in a low P0.
Professor Raju Indukoori 24
6. Residual Distribution Model
1. Objective is to maintain the existing capital
structure ratio.
2. The earnings are adjusted to equity part as a ratio
to total capital.
3. What ever is left after adjustment is distributed as
dividend.
Professor Raju Indukoori 25
Professor Raju Indukoori
Problem 6a
The Adarsh Company expects next year’s net income to be Rs
1,50,00,000. The firm’s debt ratio is currently 40%. Adarsh has Rs
1,20,00,000 of profitable investment opportunities, and it wishes to
maintain its existing debt ratio. According to the residual distribution
model, how large should Adarsh’s dividend payout ratio be next
year?
26
Professor Raju Indukoori
Solution 6a
Equity financing = Rs1,20,00,000(0.60)
= Rs72,00,000.
Dividends = Net income - Equity financing
= Rs1,50,00,000 - Rs72,00,000
= Rs78,00,000.
Dividend payout ratio = Dividends/Net income
= Rs78,00,000/Rs1,50,00,000
= 52%.
27
Professor Raju Indukoori
Problem 6b
Axel Telecommunications has a target capital structure that consists
of 70 % debt and 30% equity. The company anticipates that its
capital budget for the upcoming year will be Rs 3 Cr. If Axel reports
net income of Rs 2 Cr and it follows a residual distribution model
with all distributions as dividends, what will be its dividend payout
ratio?
28
Professor Raju Indukoori
Solution 6b
Debt = 70%
Equity = 30%
Capital Budget = Rs3,00,00,000
NI = Rs2,00,00,000
DP = ?
Equity retained = 0.3(Rs3,00,00,000) = Rs90,00,000.
NI Rs2,00,00,000
-Additions 90,00,000
Earnings Remaining Rs1,10,00,000
Payout = (Rs 1,10,00,000 / Rs 2,00,00,000) = 55%.
29
Implications of Theories for Managers
Professor Raju Indukoori
Theory Implication
- Any payout OK
- Set high Payout
- Depends on r and k
- Depends on r and k
- Set high payout
- Set low payout
MMs Irrelevance
Traditional Model
Walter Model
Gordon Model
Bird-in-the-hand
Tax preference
30
* Empirical testing has not been able to
determine which theory, if any, is correct.
* Thus, managers use judgment when setting
policy.
* Analysis is used, but it must be applied with
judgment.
31Professor Raju Indukoori
Professor Raju Indukoori
Stock Repurchases
It is a process of a company buying its own stock
Reasons :
 Alternative to distributing cash as dividends.
 To dispose of one-time cash from an asset
sale.
 To make a large capital structure change.
32
Professor Raju Indukoori
Stock Repurchases
Advantages
 Optional to Stockholders
 Helps avoid setting a high dividend that cannot be
maintained.
 Repurchased stock can be used in takeovers or resold to raise
cash as needed.
 Income received is capital gains rather than higher-taxed
dividends.
 Stockholders may take as a positive signal-management
thinks stock is undervalued.
33
Professor Raju Indukoori
Stock Repurchases
Disadvantages
 May be viewed as a negative signal (firm has poor
investment opportunities).
 Selling stockholders may not be well informed, hence
be treated unfairly.
 Firm may have to bid up price to complete purchase,
thus paying too much for its own stock.
34
Professor Raju Indukoori
Stock Dividends vs. Stock Splits
Stock dividend
Firm issues new shares in lieu of paying a
cash dividend. If 10%, get 10 shares for
each 100 shares owned.
Stock split
Firm increases the number of shares
outstanding, say 2:1. Sends shareholders
more shares. 35
Professor Raju Indukoori
DRIP
 Dividend Re-Investment Plan (DRIP)
 Shareholders can automatically reinvest
their dividends in shares of the company’s
common stock. Get more stock than cash.
 There are two types of plans:
– Open market
– New stock
36
Professor Raju Indukoori
DRIP
 Dividend Re-Investment Plan (DRIP)
 Shareholders can automatically reinvest
their dividends in shares of the company’s
common stock. Get more stock than cash.
 There are two types of plans:
– Open market
– New stock
37
Professor Raju Indukoori
Stock Split
 It is dividing one unit of share into more
than 1.
 Due to this face value of share decreases.
 Number of shares holding increases.
 Market value per share decreases.
 Market capitalization remains same.
 Capital Structure is not disturbed.
38
Professor Raju Indukoori
Problem 3
Gamma Medical’s stock trades at Rs 90 a share.
The company is contemplating a 3 for 2 stock split.
Assuming that the stock split will have no effect on
the total market value of its equity, what will be the
company’s stock price following the stock split?
39
Professor Raju Indukoori
Solution 3
P0 = Rs 90
Split = 3 for 2
New P0 = ?
P0New = = Rs 60.
2/3
90Rs
40
Professor Raju Indukoori
Dividend Yields for Selected
Industries
Industry Div. Yield %
Airline 0.2
Software & Programming 0.3
Biotechnology & Drugs 0.3
Restaurants 1.0
Chemical Manufacturing 2.2
Paper & Paper Products 2.7
Electric Utilities 4.4
Tobacco 5.6
41
Professor Raju Indukoori
Thank You
Any Questions???
42

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Dividends

  • 2. Dividend Professor Raju Indukoori It is the distribution of profits to the share holders who are owners of the company. The period or frequency of distribution varies from company to company based on its earnings, financial health and policy. Though earned profits, some companies don’t pay dividends and retain the earnings. 2
  • 3. Dividend Types Professor Raju Indukoori Based on the Form  Cash Dividend  Stock Dividend Base on the timing  Annual Dividend  Interim Dividend Base on the size of pay out (DPS/EPS)  High dividend payout  Low dividend payout 3
  • 4. Dividend Policy Professor Raju Indukoori It gives the direction for the company towards its profits distributions. It is need for the following reasons. 1. Level of cash distributions to shareholders 2. Sock vs Cash 3. Stability of the distribution 4
  • 5. Framing Dividend Distribution Policy  Forecast capital needs.  Set a target capital structure.  Estimate annual equity needs.  Set target payout based on the residual model.  Generally, some dividend growth rate emerges.  maintain target growth rate if possible.  varying capital structure somewhat if necessary. 5 Professor Raju Indukoori
  • 6. Do investors prefer High payouts or low payouts? 6 Professor Raju Indukoori
  • 7. Theories of Investor’s Preference Professor Raju Indukoori Irrelevant Models 1. MM Theory 2. Rationale Expectation Model 7 Relevant Models 1. Traditional Model 2. Walter Model 3. Gordon’s Model 4. Bird-in-hand 5. Tax preference 6. Residual Distribution
  • 9. Propositions 1. Investors don’t care about payout. 2. Investors are indifferent between dividends and retention-generated capital gains. 3. If they want cash, they can sell stock. If they don’t want cash, they can use dividends to buy stock. Professor Raju Indukoori 9 1 MM Model
  • 10. Critics 1. Based on unrealistic assumptions • no taxes • brokerage costs 2. hence may not be true. Need empirical test. Professor Raju Indukoori 10 1 MM Model
  • 11. 2. Rational Expectations Model As long as the dividend rate is up to the expectations there is no impact of dividend declaration on market price. 1. If dividends are above the expectations, price goes up. 2. If dividends are below the expectations, price goes down. Professor Raju Indukoori 11
  • 13. 1. Traditional Model • P/E ratios are directly related to D/P ratios. • High D/P increases P/E ratio. Professor Raju Indukoori        3 E DmP 13 Where P = Market Price m = multiplier D = DPS E = EPS
  • 14. Problem 1a • A firm has Rs 150 crores of EAT and is indifferent to fix the Dividend rate as it may influence the MPS according to traditional model. Assuming retention ratio of thirty and fifty percent with a mulitple of 9 what would be the impact of dividend rate on MPS with outstanding shares of 100 crores Professor Raju Indukoori 14
  • 15. Professor Raju Indukoori Solution 1a • Retention ratio 30% means D/P ratio 70% • Retention ratio 50% means D/P ratio 50% 95.13 3 5.1 05.19 RsP        25.11 3 5.1 75.09 RsP        15
  • 16. 2. Walter Model : James E Walter It gives the relationship between IRR (r) and Cost of capital of the firm which gives a dividend policy to maximize wealth. Assumptions o Retained earnings only source of finance. o r and k constant. o Infinite companies firms life. o DPS and EPS remain constant. Professor Raju Indukoori 16
  • 17. Walter Model : James E Walter Propositions 1. r > ke : Market value decreases as the DP ratio increases. 2. r < ke : Market value increases as the DP ratio increases. 3. r = ke : Market value remains same at any DP ratio. Professor Raju Indukoori e e e O k kDEr k D P )(   17
  • 18. 3. Gordon Model : Myron Gordon Similar to Walter model but considers current dividends. Assumptions 1. 100% equity firm. 2. Retention ratio and growth rates are constant. 3. Investors are rational and risk averse. 4. Investors prefer certain to uncertain returns. 5. Ke > br (Cost of equity is greater than growth. Professor Raju Indukoori 18
  • 19. Gordon Model : Myron Gordon Propositions 1. r > ke Market value decreases as the DP ratio increases. 2. r < ke Market value increases as the DP ratio increases. 3. r = ke Market value remains same at any DP ratio. brk bE P e O    )1( Professor Raju Indukoori 19
  • 20. Problem 2 A firm had an earnings after tax of Rs 10,12,25,374 with an expansion plan of Rs 60 Crs. The expected return on the new investment is 25% where as ROE is 32%. If the company has a retention ratio of sixty two percent with 8,74, 68,259 shares what would be the value of the firm. Professor Raju Indukoori 20
  • 21. Solution 2 • Walter Model Rs 2.47 Professor Raju Indukoori e e e O k kDEr k D P )(   21 32.0 32.0)44.016.1(25.0 32.0 44.0  OP 32.0 32.0)72.0(25.0 32.0 44.0 OP 47.2752.172.0 OP
  • 22. Solution 2 • Walter Model Rs 8.38 • Gordon Model Rs 2.67 Professor Raju Indukoori brk bE P e O    )1( e e e O k kDEr k D P )(   22 67.2 165.0 4398.0  )25.0*62.0(0.32 0.68)(11.16    155.00.32 4398.0  
  • 23. 4. Bird-in-the-Hand Theory 1. Investors prefer high dividends 2. Investors think dividends are less risky than potential future capital gains, hence they like dividends. 3. Investors would value high payout firms result in a high P0. Professor Raju Indukoori 23
  • 24. 5. Tax Preference Theory 1. Investors prefer a low payout, hence growth. 2. Low payouts mean higher capital gains. Capital gains taxes are deferred. 3. This could cause investors to prefer firms with low payouts, i.e., a high payout results in a low P0. Professor Raju Indukoori 24
  • 25. 6. Residual Distribution Model 1. Objective is to maintain the existing capital structure ratio. 2. The earnings are adjusted to equity part as a ratio to total capital. 3. What ever is left after adjustment is distributed as dividend. Professor Raju Indukoori 25
  • 26. Professor Raju Indukoori Problem 6a The Adarsh Company expects next year’s net income to be Rs 1,50,00,000. The firm’s debt ratio is currently 40%. Adarsh has Rs 1,20,00,000 of profitable investment opportunities, and it wishes to maintain its existing debt ratio. According to the residual distribution model, how large should Adarsh’s dividend payout ratio be next year? 26
  • 27. Professor Raju Indukoori Solution 6a Equity financing = Rs1,20,00,000(0.60) = Rs72,00,000. Dividends = Net income - Equity financing = Rs1,50,00,000 - Rs72,00,000 = Rs78,00,000. Dividend payout ratio = Dividends/Net income = Rs78,00,000/Rs1,50,00,000 = 52%. 27
  • 28. Professor Raju Indukoori Problem 6b Axel Telecommunications has a target capital structure that consists of 70 % debt and 30% equity. The company anticipates that its capital budget for the upcoming year will be Rs 3 Cr. If Axel reports net income of Rs 2 Cr and it follows a residual distribution model with all distributions as dividends, what will be its dividend payout ratio? 28
  • 29. Professor Raju Indukoori Solution 6b Debt = 70% Equity = 30% Capital Budget = Rs3,00,00,000 NI = Rs2,00,00,000 DP = ? Equity retained = 0.3(Rs3,00,00,000) = Rs90,00,000. NI Rs2,00,00,000 -Additions 90,00,000 Earnings Remaining Rs1,10,00,000 Payout = (Rs 1,10,00,000 / Rs 2,00,00,000) = 55%. 29
  • 30. Implications of Theories for Managers Professor Raju Indukoori Theory Implication - Any payout OK - Set high Payout - Depends on r and k - Depends on r and k - Set high payout - Set low payout MMs Irrelevance Traditional Model Walter Model Gordon Model Bird-in-the-hand Tax preference 30
  • 31. * Empirical testing has not been able to determine which theory, if any, is correct. * Thus, managers use judgment when setting policy. * Analysis is used, but it must be applied with judgment. 31Professor Raju Indukoori
  • 32. Professor Raju Indukoori Stock Repurchases It is a process of a company buying its own stock Reasons :  Alternative to distributing cash as dividends.  To dispose of one-time cash from an asset sale.  To make a large capital structure change. 32
  • 33. Professor Raju Indukoori Stock Repurchases Advantages  Optional to Stockholders  Helps avoid setting a high dividend that cannot be maintained.  Repurchased stock can be used in takeovers or resold to raise cash as needed.  Income received is capital gains rather than higher-taxed dividends.  Stockholders may take as a positive signal-management thinks stock is undervalued. 33
  • 34. Professor Raju Indukoori Stock Repurchases Disadvantages  May be viewed as a negative signal (firm has poor investment opportunities).  Selling stockholders may not be well informed, hence be treated unfairly.  Firm may have to bid up price to complete purchase, thus paying too much for its own stock. 34
  • 35. Professor Raju Indukoori Stock Dividends vs. Stock Splits Stock dividend Firm issues new shares in lieu of paying a cash dividend. If 10%, get 10 shares for each 100 shares owned. Stock split Firm increases the number of shares outstanding, say 2:1. Sends shareholders more shares. 35
  • 36. Professor Raju Indukoori DRIP  Dividend Re-Investment Plan (DRIP)  Shareholders can automatically reinvest their dividends in shares of the company’s common stock. Get more stock than cash.  There are two types of plans: – Open market – New stock 36
  • 37. Professor Raju Indukoori DRIP  Dividend Re-Investment Plan (DRIP)  Shareholders can automatically reinvest their dividends in shares of the company’s common stock. Get more stock than cash.  There are two types of plans: – Open market – New stock 37
  • 38. Professor Raju Indukoori Stock Split  It is dividing one unit of share into more than 1.  Due to this face value of share decreases.  Number of shares holding increases.  Market value per share decreases.  Market capitalization remains same.  Capital Structure is not disturbed. 38
  • 39. Professor Raju Indukoori Problem 3 Gamma Medical’s stock trades at Rs 90 a share. The company is contemplating a 3 for 2 stock split. Assuming that the stock split will have no effect on the total market value of its equity, what will be the company’s stock price following the stock split? 39
  • 40. Professor Raju Indukoori Solution 3 P0 = Rs 90 Split = 3 for 2 New P0 = ? P0New = = Rs 60. 2/3 90Rs 40
  • 41. Professor Raju Indukoori Dividend Yields for Selected Industries Industry Div. Yield % Airline 0.2 Software & Programming 0.3 Biotechnology & Drugs 0.3 Restaurants 1.0 Chemical Manufacturing 2.2 Paper & Paper Products 2.7 Electric Utilities 4.4 Tobacco 5.6 41
  • 42. Professor Raju Indukoori Thank You Any Questions??? 42