Arbitrage
&
Effective Exchange Rate
DR RAJU INDUKOORI
1
Arbitrage
• The price differentials of an underlying
currency with different foreign
exchange opens an opportunity to
profit.
• It is the process of buying the same
asset in different markets
simultaneously.
2
Triangular Arbitrage
• Exchange rate discrepancy provides
an opportunity to buy currency pairs
simultaneously.
• It is a quick process as price
discrepancies will be identified by all
traders in forex market.
3
Triangular Arbitrage
Example
Exchange rates
• INR / USD @ 80
• INR / AED @ 20
• AED / USD @ 4
If there is any change in one of the
exchange rate, rest of the exchange rates
will change automatically.
4
Triangular Arbitrage
Example
• If INR / AED changes to 18, then
INR / USD also changes.
• Till the time it changes, there is
always an opportunity for
triangular arbitrage.
5
Triangular Arbitrage
Example 6
NEER
 Nominal Effective Exchange Rate
 It is weighted average rate at which one
country's currency exchanges for a basket of
multiple foreign currencies.
 It is an indicator of a country's international
competitiveness in terms of the foreign
exchange market.
 Forex traders sometimes refer to the NEER as
the trade-weighted currency index.
7
NEER Calculation
Where
E = Exchange Rate
t = Value of trade with first country
T = Total trade value of a country with all countries
N= Number of trading countries
T
t
E
T
t
E
T
t
E
T
t
E n
n
.......
NEER 1
1
1
1
1
1 


8
REER
 Real Effective Exchange rate
 NEER is adjusted to the exchange inflation in the
respective countries.
9
REER Calculation
Where
E = Exchange Rate
t = Value of trade with first country
T = Total trade value of a country with all countries
N= Number of trading countries
i = Inflation in the respective country
        T
t
i
E
T
t
i
E
T
t
i
E
T
t
i
E n
n
n







































1
.......
1
1
1
REER 3
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
10
NEER and REER
 When the exchange rate is pegged or
fixed, there is no difference between
NEER and REER as exchange rate is
not determined by interest, inflation,
country risk kind of factors.
 Ex : AED / USD is fixed at 3.67
11
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YOUTUBE CHANNEL : PROFESSOR RAJU
12

Effective exchange rate and arbitrage

  • 1.
  • 2.
    Arbitrage • The pricedifferentials of an underlying currency with different foreign exchange opens an opportunity to profit. • It is the process of buying the same asset in different markets simultaneously. 2
  • 3.
    Triangular Arbitrage • Exchangerate discrepancy provides an opportunity to buy currency pairs simultaneously. • It is a quick process as price discrepancies will be identified by all traders in forex market. 3
  • 4.
    Triangular Arbitrage Example Exchange rates •INR / USD @ 80 • INR / AED @ 20 • AED / USD @ 4 If there is any change in one of the exchange rate, rest of the exchange rates will change automatically. 4
  • 5.
    Triangular Arbitrage Example • IfINR / AED changes to 18, then INR / USD also changes. • Till the time it changes, there is always an opportunity for triangular arbitrage. 5
  • 6.
  • 7.
    NEER  Nominal EffectiveExchange Rate  It is weighted average rate at which one country's currency exchanges for a basket of multiple foreign currencies.  It is an indicator of a country's international competitiveness in terms of the foreign exchange market.  Forex traders sometimes refer to the NEER as the trade-weighted currency index. 7
  • 8.
    NEER Calculation Where E =Exchange Rate t = Value of trade with first country T = Total trade value of a country with all countries N= Number of trading countries T t E T t E T t E T t E n n ....... NEER 1 1 1 1 1 1    8
  • 9.
    REER  Real EffectiveExchange rate  NEER is adjusted to the exchange inflation in the respective countries. 9
  • 10.
    REER Calculation Where E =Exchange Rate t = Value of trade with first country T = Total trade value of a country with all countries N= Number of trading countries i = Inflation in the respective country         T t i E T t i E T t i E T t i E n n n                                        1 ....... 1 1 1 REER 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 10
  • 11.
    NEER and REER When the exchange rate is pegged or fixed, there is no difference between NEER and REER as exchange rate is not determined by interest, inflation, country risk kind of factors.  Ex : AED / USD is fixed at 3.67 11
  • 12.
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