SlideShare a Scribd company logo
R E S T O R A T I O N H A R D WA R E
D I G I TA L A N A LY S T A S S I G N M E N T
D I G I TA L R E TA I L 4 0 7 0
C H R I S T O P H E R G A R C I A , M A D I S O N T H A I N ,
M A D I S O N W O L F E , W E S L I E C E N T E N O , I R I S L E
O V E R V I E W
The Problem
• Reduce marketing spending
• Cut Inventory
Negative Sales
Growth
End Goal
• Increases sales back to positive growth rate
• Reach $662 million in item sales for 2016.
2 0 1 2 - 2 0 1 5 A T A G L A N C E
UNIQ UE V ISITO RS
0
37,500,000
75,000,000
112,500,000
150,000,000
2012
2013
2014
2015
Unique Vistors
Trending
UNIQ UE BUYE RS
0
1,500,000
3,000,000
4,500,000
6,000,000
2012
2013
2014
2015
Unique Buyers
Trending
S A L E S
$200,000,000
$400,000,000
$600,000,000
$800,000,000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Fiscal Year
Trending
SESSIONS VS.
DIRECT SESSIONS
0
60,000,000
120,000,000
180,000,000
240,000,000
2012
2013
2014
2015
Sessions
Direct Load Sessions
BOUNCE RATE
0%
6%
12%
18%
24%
2012
2013
2014
2015
Fiscal Year
18.9%
20.9%
23.8%
21.7%
Product Page View Increased
• Review Product Page
• Up Sell / Cross Sell
• Perform Usability Testing
Unique Visitors To Site Increased
• Identify traffic sources using tracking URL
Abandonment Rate
• Lengthy checkout process (Evaluate time spent on site)
• Cumbersome
• Lack of Promotions
- Nothing to excite customers to complete purchases.
Are customers coming back to complete purchases after a 24 hour period?
How are customers behaving during seasons?
Do we have seasonal promotions?
Are Newsletters Effected By Reduced Marketing Budget
• Customers who receive email newsletters spend 82% more when they buy from the
company. (iContact)
N E W M E T R I C S C A L C U L A T E D
AVERAGE UN IT RETAIL
$26.00
$27.50
$29.00
$30.50
$32.00
2012
2013
2014
2015
Fiscal Year
$31.88
$28.75
$27.53
$26.60
AVERAGE ORDER VALUE
$80.00
$87.50
$95.00
$102.50
$110.00
2012
2013
2014
2015
Fiscal Year
$103.10
$95.29
$91.60
$88.18
CONVERSION RATE %
0%
1%
3%
4%
5%
2012
2013
2014
2015
Fiscal Year
4.22% 4.20%
3.02%
2.21%
$ / VISIT
$0.00
$1.25
$2.50
$3.75
$5.00
2012
2013
2014
2015
Fiscal Year
$4.35
$4.00
$2.77
$1.95
Year Sessions Direct Load Sessions Bounce Rate Unique Visitors Unique Buyers Sales Items Ordered Orders AUR AOV Conversion Rate $/Visit Product Page Views Abandonment Rate
2012 155,959,661 78,620,284 18.9% 97,067,073 4,792,221 $ 678,649,665 21,288,222 6,582,402 $31.88 $103.10 4.22% 4.35 410,011,875 69.6%
2013 179,274,970 89,034,041 20.9% 112,219,244 5,420,176 $ 717,109,805 24,940,782 7,525,855 $28.75 $95.29 4.20% 4.00 419,178,780 70.2%
2014 239,445,842 117,204,128 23.8% 143,995,412 5,999,375 $ 662,606,666 24,071,754 7,233,364 $27.53 $91.60 3.02% 2.77 585,012,226 74.6%
2015 236,032,975 112,887,345 21.7% 140,004,898 4,332,728 $ 460,044,428 17,296,216 5,216,403 $26.60 $88.19 2.21% 1.95 706,678,073 77.8%
2016 339,651,451 162,444,889 20.5% 201,467,048 6,234,796 $ 662,000,000 24,889,255 7,506,520 $26.60 $88.19 2.21% 1.95 600,000 73.5%
1.439 or 143%
increase
1.2 orders per unique vistor on
average
*Product page views has increased by 121,665,847 YOY
$201,955,572
Needed to make goal of $662 million
With average order at $88.19 we need approximately 2,290,005 more orders. Bounce rate has decreased YOY, meaning other metrics will have to be focused on to increase orders.
S I G N A L I N G T H E R O O T F O R D E C L I N E
PRODUCT PAGE VIEWS
0
200,000,000
400,000,000
600,000,000
800,000,000
2012
2013
2014
2015
Fiscal Year
410,011,857 419,178,780
585,012,226
706,678,073
ABANDONMENT RATE
68%
71%
74%
76%
79%
2012
2013
2014
2015
Fiscal Year
69.6%
70.2%
74.6%
77.8%
• Increased Product Page
Views by approx. 121
million.
• Possibly looking for
other items to purchase
on site due to items
being out of stock.
• Abandonment rate is
increasing YOY.
• However, Bounce Rate is
falling meaning
consumer has (intent to
purchase.)
Possible Causation:
Low Inventory Turnover Rate / Buying Levels Are Too Low
Declining Customer Service Score
BOUNCE RATE
2014
2015
23.8%
21.7%
Assuming there is increased traffic, our customer is still coming back meaning customer loyalty is strong.
This is our 2nd chance to increase retention amongst new consumers.
We should:
‣ Leverage this traffic to convert unique visitors into unique buyers.
There is promise here seeing as unique buyers from 2012-14’ has seen an increase by ~1.2 million or 125%
We do this by:
• Increasing inventory levels by using 2013 as our POR.
* 2013 accounted for the highest orders placed and sales revenue.
This will result in:
• Consumer confidence
• Ability to purchase desired items / Less Browse Time
• Opportunity to capitalize on consumer buying intent.
S T R A T E G Y 1
“Decrease in inventory level for a retailer may result in lower
service level in some cases. In such cases, the impact on
future profitability would depend on the trade-off between
the benefit of having lower inventory levels and the cost of
decline in service levels.” (ChicagoBooth)
Year Sessions Direct Load
Bounce
Rate
Unique Visitors Unique Buyers Sales Items Ordered Orders AUR AOV
Conversion
Rate
$/Visit Product Page Views
Abandonment
Rate
2 0 1 3 1 7 9 , 2 7 4 , 9 7 0 8 9 , 0 3 4 , 0 4 1 2 0 . 9 % 1 1 2 , 2 1 9 , 2 4 4 5 , 4 2 0 , 1 7 6 $ 7 1 7 , 1 0 9 , 8 0 5 2 4 , 9 4 0 , 7 8 2 7 , 5 2 5 , 8 5 5 2 8 . 7 5 9 5 . 2 9 4 . 2 0 % 4 . 0 0 4 1 9 , 1 7 8 , 7 8 0 7 0 . 2 %
2 0 1 4 2 3 9 , 4 4 5 , 8 4 2 1 1 7 , 2 0 4 , 1 2 8 2 3 . 8 % 1 4 3 , 9 9 5 , 4 1 2 5 , 9 9 9 , 3 7 5 $ 6 6 2 , 6 0 6 , 6 6 6 2 4 , 0 7 1 , 7 5 4 7 , 2 3 3 , 3 6 4 2 7 . 5 3 9 1 . 6 0 3 . 0 2 % 2 . 7 7 5 8 5 , 0 1 2 , 2 2 6 7 4 . 6 %
2 0 1 5 2 3 6 , 0 3 2 , 9 7 5 1 1 2 , 8 8 7 , 3 4 5 2 1 . 7 % 1 4 0 , 0 0 4 , 8 9 8 4 , 3 3 2 , 7 2 8 $ 4 6 0 , 0 4 4 , 4 2 8 1 7 , 2 9 6 , 2 1 6 5 , 2 1 6 , 4 0 3 2 6 . 6 0 8 8 . 1 9 2 . 2 1 % 1 . 9 5 7 0 6 , 6 7 8 , 0 7 3 7 7 . 8 %
Restoring Marketing Practices
We aim to:
‣ Rebuild ROI
‣ Understand the consumer’s decision journey for purchasing product as well expected service quality
‣ Shed light on what marketing program are profitable (Tracking URLS)
This discussion should be had with every aspect of the organization during marketing planning meetings and not
limited to the marketing team exclusively. This is especially true for CPG to ensure that the value of these
established relationships with our customer is sustained as we continue to scale.
Review:
• Customer Comments/FAQ
• Data Review
• Industry Buzz
Effects: Purchasing, Allocation,
S T R A T E G Y 2
“Marketing and sales leaders need to develop
complete pictures of their customers so they can
create messages and products that are relevant to
them. Our research shows that personalization
can deliver five to eight times the ROI on
marketing spend and lift sales 10 percent or
more” (Forbes)
SAVE UP TO 30% ON HUNDREDS
OF HOLIDAY GIFTS
HOLIDAY DECOR
K E Y D R I V E R S /
M E T R I C S T O C O N S I D E R
Bounce Rate
• Rate decreases: Marketing strategy is successful which we can use to support our
findings.
• Rate increases: We will need to reevaluate which metrics to consider moving forward
seeing as this is reason to believe there is oversight on our part.
Unique Buyers
• If this metric increases it is indicative of our conversion rate increasing, this can be
attributed to a successful promotional strategy or adequate buying levels that drives
consumers to checkout.
Abandonment Rate
• We hope to see a noticeable decrease in percentage (~5%) of cart abandonment once
we roll out our A|B testing for offers at checkout as well as popups on homepage.
Conversion Rate
• We hope that conversion rate will increase with the added traffic however we will have to monitor this portion with each quarter to
see how our customers are behaving.
F O R C O N S I D E R A T I O N …
•Time On Site
•Visitor Recency
•Traffic/Traffic Sources
•Customer Demographics
•Value Per Visit (VPV)
•Cost Per Visit (CPV)
UNIQ UE V ISITO RS
0
55,000,000
110,000,000
165,000,000
220,000,000
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Unique Vistors
Trending
UNIQ UE BUYE RS
0
1,750,000
3,500,000
5,250,000
7,000,000
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Unique Buyers
Trending
S A L E S
$0
$200,000,000
$400,000,000
$600,000,000
$800,000,000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Fiscal Year
Trending
SESSIONS VS.
DIRECT SESSIONS
0
100,000,000
200,000,000
300,000,000
400,000,000
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Sessions
Direct Load Sessions
BOUNCE RATE
0%
6%
12%
18%
24%
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Fiscal Year
18.9%
20.9%
23.8%
21.7%
23.8%
P R O J E C T E D I N C R E A S E F O R 2 0 1 6
Year Sessions Direct Load
Bounce
Rate
Unique Visitors Unique Buyers Sales Items Ordered Orders AUR AOV
Conversion
Rate
$/Visit Product Page Views
Abandonment
Rate
2 0 1 6 1 7 9 , 2 7 4 , 9 7 0 8 9 , 0 3 4 , 0 4 1 2 0 . 9 % 1 1 2 , 2 1 9 , 2 4 4 5 , 4 2 0 , 1 7 6 $ 7 1 7 , 1 0 9 , 8 0 5 2 4 , 9 4 0 , 7 8 2 7 , 5 2 5 , 8 5 5 2 8 . 7 5 9 5 . 2 9 4 . 2 0 % 4 . 0 0 4 1 9 , 1 7 8 , 7 8 0 7 0 . 2 %
Projected Data
for 2016
QUESTIONS?

More Related Content

What's hot

Budgeting And Forecasting In Accounting PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Budgeting And Forecasting In Accounting PowerPoint Presentation SlidesBudgeting And Forecasting In Accounting PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Budgeting And Forecasting In Accounting PowerPoint Presentation Slides
SlideTeam
 
Investor deck q3 2017
Investor deck q3 2017Investor deck q3 2017
Investor deck q3 2017
shopifyInvestors
 
Company Marketing Analysis Report PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Company Marketing Analysis Report PowerPoint Presentation SlidesCompany Marketing Analysis Report PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Company Marketing Analysis Report PowerPoint Presentation Slides
SlideTeam
 
Sales Performance Review PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Sales Performance Review PowerPoint Presentation Slides Sales Performance Review PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Sales Performance Review PowerPoint Presentation Slides
SlideTeam
 
Tapping into the benefits of next generation store analytics
Tapping into the benefits of next generation store analyticsTapping into the benefits of next generation store analytics
Tapping into the benefits of next generation store analyticsG3 Communications
 
Due Diligence For Mergers And Acquisition PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Due Diligence For Mergers And Acquisition PowerPoint Presentation SlidesDue Diligence For Mergers And Acquisition PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Due Diligence For Mergers And Acquisition PowerPoint Presentation Slides
SlideTeam
 
300297-2-print_ready_revised
300297-2-print_ready_revised300297-2-print_ready_revised
300297-2-print_ready_revisedJessica Phillips
 
Las Nuevas Prácticas de un CFO Moderno - Rafael Requena, Nestlé Nutrition Amé...
Las Nuevas Prácticas de un CFO Moderno - Rafael Requena, Nestlé Nutrition Amé...Las Nuevas Prácticas de un CFO Moderno - Rafael Requena, Nestlé Nutrition Amé...
Las Nuevas Prácticas de un CFO Moderno - Rafael Requena, Nestlé Nutrition Amé...
Finance Network marcus evans
 
What's Hot in Restaurant Design
What's Hot in Restaurant DesignWhat's Hot in Restaurant Design
What's Hot in Restaurant Design
ScotB
 
Investor deck q2 2017
Investor deck q2 2017Investor deck q2 2017
Investor deck q2 2017
shopifyInvestors
 
Chatham 2014
Chatham 2014Chatham 2014
Chatham 2014
Sue Adler
 
Duff & Phelps Restaurant Monthly Update - October 2016
Duff & Phelps Restaurant Monthly Update - October 2016Duff & Phelps Restaurant Monthly Update - October 2016
Duff & Phelps Restaurant Monthly Update - October 2016
Duff & Phelps
 

What's hot (12)

Budgeting And Forecasting In Accounting PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Budgeting And Forecasting In Accounting PowerPoint Presentation SlidesBudgeting And Forecasting In Accounting PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Budgeting And Forecasting In Accounting PowerPoint Presentation Slides
 
Investor deck q3 2017
Investor deck q3 2017Investor deck q3 2017
Investor deck q3 2017
 
Company Marketing Analysis Report PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Company Marketing Analysis Report PowerPoint Presentation SlidesCompany Marketing Analysis Report PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Company Marketing Analysis Report PowerPoint Presentation Slides
 
Sales Performance Review PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Sales Performance Review PowerPoint Presentation Slides Sales Performance Review PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Sales Performance Review PowerPoint Presentation Slides
 
Tapping into the benefits of next generation store analytics
Tapping into the benefits of next generation store analyticsTapping into the benefits of next generation store analytics
Tapping into the benefits of next generation store analytics
 
Due Diligence For Mergers And Acquisition PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Due Diligence For Mergers And Acquisition PowerPoint Presentation SlidesDue Diligence For Mergers And Acquisition PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Due Diligence For Mergers And Acquisition PowerPoint Presentation Slides
 
300297-2-print_ready_revised
300297-2-print_ready_revised300297-2-print_ready_revised
300297-2-print_ready_revised
 
Las Nuevas Prácticas de un CFO Moderno - Rafael Requena, Nestlé Nutrition Amé...
Las Nuevas Prácticas de un CFO Moderno - Rafael Requena, Nestlé Nutrition Amé...Las Nuevas Prácticas de un CFO Moderno - Rafael Requena, Nestlé Nutrition Amé...
Las Nuevas Prácticas de un CFO Moderno - Rafael Requena, Nestlé Nutrition Amé...
 
What's Hot in Restaurant Design
What's Hot in Restaurant DesignWhat's Hot in Restaurant Design
What's Hot in Restaurant Design
 
Investor deck q2 2017
Investor deck q2 2017Investor deck q2 2017
Investor deck q2 2017
 
Chatham 2014
Chatham 2014Chatham 2014
Chatham 2014
 
Duff & Phelps Restaurant Monthly Update - October 2016
Duff & Phelps Restaurant Monthly Update - October 2016Duff & Phelps Restaurant Monthly Update - October 2016
Duff & Phelps Restaurant Monthly Update - October 2016
 

Viewers also liked

BIOLOGI Pertumbuhan TUMOR
BIOLOGI Pertumbuhan TUMORBIOLOGI Pertumbuhan TUMOR
BIOLOGI Pertumbuhan TUMOR
AULIA SHARA
 
Presentazione alla Riunione Finaki di Mogliano V.to
Presentazione alla Riunione Finaki di Mogliano V.toPresentazione alla Riunione Finaki di Mogliano V.to
Presentazione alla Riunione Finaki di Mogliano V.to
febo leondini
 
Leaflet diabetes melitus akper pemkab muna
Leaflet diabetes melitus akper pemkab munaLeaflet diabetes melitus akper pemkab muna
Leaflet diabetes melitus akper pemkab munaSeptian Muna Barakati
 
YASUNI-ITT: ¿Selva en vez de petróleo?: Dirk Niebel
YASUNI-ITT: ¿Selva en vez de petróleo?: Dirk NiebelYASUNI-ITT: ¿Selva en vez de petróleo?: Dirk Niebel
YASUNI-ITT: ¿Selva en vez de petróleo?: Dirk Niebel
ECUADOR DEMOCRATICO
 
Chude04 k37103102 k38103155
Chude04 k37103102 k38103155Chude04 k37103102 k38103155
Chude04 k37103102 k38103155
Trần Nhân
 
CURRICULUM VITALE (Anglais)
CURRICULUM VITALE (Anglais)CURRICULUM VITALE (Anglais)
CURRICULUM VITALE (Anglais)
Thomas_Cook_13
 
La educación
La educaciónLa educación
La educación
rotcivsaiasi
 
Tindakan keperawatan
Tindakan keperawatanTindakan keperawatan
Tindakan keperawatan
pjj_kemenkes
 
Tindakan keperawatan
Tindakan keperawatanTindakan keperawatan
Tindakan keperawatan
pjj_kemenkes
 
Этапы подготовки инновационного проекта
Этапы подготовки инновационного проектаЭтапы подготовки инновационного проекта
Этапы подготовки инновационного проектаFilipp Simanovsky
 
Правила создания успешных инноваций
Правила создания успешных инновацийПравила создания успешных инноваций
Правила создания успешных инновацийFilipp Simanovsky
 
Syncope 1
Syncope 1Syncope 1
Syncope 1
meghanalaalya
 
Syncope: Etiology & Pathophysiology
Syncope: Etiology & PathophysiologySyncope: Etiology & Pathophysiology
Syncope: Etiology & Pathophysiology
Joey Cheng
 
Cerebral Hemorrhage By Arlyn M. Valencia, M.D. Associate Professor Of Neurol...
Cerebral Hemorrhage By Arlyn M. Valencia, M.D. Associate Professor Of  Neurol...Cerebral Hemorrhage By Arlyn M. Valencia, M.D. Associate Professor Of  Neurol...
Cerebral Hemorrhage By Arlyn M. Valencia, M.D. Associate Professor Of Neurol...Arlyn Valencia, M.D.
 
Pizza Birra 2014
Pizza Birra 2014Pizza Birra 2014
Pizza Birra 2014
Doxa
 
Энергосбереджение - умное потребление!
Энергосбереджение - умное потребление!Энергосбереджение - умное потребление!
Энергосбереджение - умное потребление!
cposo
 
Coluna gamer #1
Coluna gamer #1Coluna gamer #1
Coluna gamer #1
João Júnior
 

Viewers also liked (20)

BIOLOGI Pertumbuhan TUMOR
BIOLOGI Pertumbuhan TUMORBIOLOGI Pertumbuhan TUMOR
BIOLOGI Pertumbuhan TUMOR
 
Terra
TerraTerra
Terra
 
Presentazione alla Riunione Finaki di Mogliano V.to
Presentazione alla Riunione Finaki di Mogliano V.toPresentazione alla Riunione Finaki di Mogliano V.to
Presentazione alla Riunione Finaki di Mogliano V.to
 
Leaflet diabetes melitus akper pemkab muna
Leaflet diabetes melitus akper pemkab munaLeaflet diabetes melitus akper pemkab muna
Leaflet diabetes melitus akper pemkab muna
 
Oranssi
OranssiOranssi
Oranssi
 
X men
X menX men
X men
 
YASUNI-ITT: ¿Selva en vez de petróleo?: Dirk Niebel
YASUNI-ITT: ¿Selva en vez de petróleo?: Dirk NiebelYASUNI-ITT: ¿Selva en vez de petróleo?: Dirk Niebel
YASUNI-ITT: ¿Selva en vez de petróleo?: Dirk Niebel
 
Chude04 k37103102 k38103155
Chude04 k37103102 k38103155Chude04 k37103102 k38103155
Chude04 k37103102 k38103155
 
CURRICULUM VITALE (Anglais)
CURRICULUM VITALE (Anglais)CURRICULUM VITALE (Anglais)
CURRICULUM VITALE (Anglais)
 
La educación
La educaciónLa educación
La educación
 
Tindakan keperawatan
Tindakan keperawatanTindakan keperawatan
Tindakan keperawatan
 
Tindakan keperawatan
Tindakan keperawatanTindakan keperawatan
Tindakan keperawatan
 
Этапы подготовки инновационного проекта
Этапы подготовки инновационного проектаЭтапы подготовки инновационного проекта
Этапы подготовки инновационного проекта
 
Правила создания успешных инноваций
Правила создания успешных инновацийПравила создания успешных инноваций
Правила создания успешных инноваций
 
Syncope 1
Syncope 1Syncope 1
Syncope 1
 
Syncope: Etiology & Pathophysiology
Syncope: Etiology & PathophysiologySyncope: Etiology & Pathophysiology
Syncope: Etiology & Pathophysiology
 
Cerebral Hemorrhage By Arlyn M. Valencia, M.D. Associate Professor Of Neurol...
Cerebral Hemorrhage By Arlyn M. Valencia, M.D. Associate Professor Of  Neurol...Cerebral Hemorrhage By Arlyn M. Valencia, M.D. Associate Professor Of  Neurol...
Cerebral Hemorrhage By Arlyn M. Valencia, M.D. Associate Professor Of Neurol...
 
Pizza Birra 2014
Pizza Birra 2014Pizza Birra 2014
Pizza Birra 2014
 
Энергосбереджение - умное потребление!
Энергосбереджение - умное потребление!Энергосбереджение - умное потребление!
Энергосбереджение - умное потребление!
 
Coluna gamer #1
Coluna gamer #1Coluna gamer #1
Coluna gamer #1
 

Similar to Digital Analyst Forecasting

Writing the Killer Business Case for Database and Analytics Investment
 Writing the Killer Business Case for Database and Analytics Investment Writing the Killer Business Case for Database and Analytics Investment
Writing the Killer Business Case for Database and Analytics Investment
89Degrees
 
Pricing Analytics Case Study
Pricing Analytics Case StudyPricing Analytics Case Study
Pricing Analytics Case Study
Michael Wolfe
 
Zero to 100 - Part 5: SaaS Business Model & Metrics
Zero to 100 - Part 5: SaaS Business Model & MetricsZero to 100 - Part 5: SaaS Business Model & Metrics
Zero to 100 - Part 5: SaaS Business Model & Metrics
David Skok
 
CO2 2019 | Dan Gordon | Budgeting for Growth
CO2 2019 | Dan Gordon | Budgeting for GrowthCO2 2019 | Dan Gordon | Budgeting for Growth
CO2 2019 | Dan Gordon | Budgeting for Growth
Coalmarch
 
eCommerce Benchmark Report - Q4 2015
eCommerce Benchmark Report - Q4 2015eCommerce Benchmark Report - Q4 2015
eCommerce Benchmark Report - Q4 2015
Demac Media
 
Customer aquisitionandretentionstrategy v3
Customer aquisitionandretentionstrategy v3Customer aquisitionandretentionstrategy v3
Customer aquisitionandretentionstrategy v3
Andy Lammers
 
Why Knowing Profitability Is the Key to Success at Your Institution
Why Knowing Profitability Is the Key to Success at Your InstitutionWhy Knowing Profitability Is the Key to Success at Your Institution
Why Knowing Profitability Is the Key to Success at Your Institution
Baker Hill
 
6-Critical-Stats-for-Customer-Loyalty-Thanx
6-Critical-Stats-for-Customer-Loyalty-Thanx6-Critical-Stats-for-Customer-Loyalty-Thanx
6-Critical-Stats-for-Customer-Loyalty-ThanxOliver Kopitz
 
Etail East - Growth in Retail Opening Remarks - 2015
Etail East - Growth in Retail Opening Remarks - 2015Etail East - Growth in Retail Opening Remarks - 2015
Etail East - Growth in Retail Opening Remarks - 2015
Jetlore
 
Yess pitch startup
Yess pitch   startupYess pitch   startup
A High Growth SaaS Playbook - 12 Metrics to Drive Success
A High Growth SaaS Playbook - 12 Metrics to Drive SuccessA High Growth SaaS Playbook - 12 Metrics to Drive Success
A High Growth SaaS Playbook - 12 Metrics to Drive Success
SaaStock
 
SaaStock NYC 2018
SaaStock NYC 2018SaaStock NYC 2018
SaaStock NYC 2018
David Skok
 
The Insider’s Guide to Increasing Ecommerce Customer Lifetime Value
The Insider’s Guide to Increasing Ecommerce Customer Lifetime ValueThe Insider’s Guide to Increasing Ecommerce Customer Lifetime Value
The Insider’s Guide to Increasing Ecommerce Customer Lifetime Value
Janessa Lantz
 
US Retailers - Benchmarking Analysis.pdf
US Retailers - Benchmarking Analysis.pdfUS Retailers - Benchmarking Analysis.pdf
US Retailers - Benchmarking Analysis.pdf
Kapil Yadav
 
Team 1 presentation acg cup v1
Team 1 presentation acg cup v1Team 1 presentation acg cup v1
Team 1 presentation acg cup v1
Lin Zhangde
 
360 Degree View Of Customer Powerpoint Presentation Slides
360 Degree View Of Customer Powerpoint Presentation Slides360 Degree View Of Customer Powerpoint Presentation Slides
360 Degree View Of Customer Powerpoint Presentation Slides
SlideTeam
 
Synergy Assessment Powerpoint Presentation Slides
Synergy Assessment Powerpoint Presentation SlidesSynergy Assessment Powerpoint Presentation Slides
Synergy Assessment Powerpoint Presentation Slides
SlideTeam
 
SaaS Metrics - Bulletproof your SaaS Growth
SaaS Metrics - Bulletproof your SaaS GrowthSaaS Metrics - Bulletproof your SaaS Growth
SaaS Metrics - Bulletproof your SaaS Growth
Anadi Raj Tiwari
 
Increase Revenue By Measuring Customer Behavior Complete Deck
Increase Revenue By Measuring Customer Behavior Complete DeckIncrease Revenue By Measuring Customer Behavior Complete Deck
Increase Revenue By Measuring Customer Behavior Complete Deck
SlideTeam
 
Price Elasticity in B2B
Price Elasticity in B2BPrice Elasticity in B2B
Price Elasticity in B2B
Dick Sobel
 

Similar to Digital Analyst Forecasting (20)

Writing the Killer Business Case for Database and Analytics Investment
 Writing the Killer Business Case for Database and Analytics Investment Writing the Killer Business Case for Database and Analytics Investment
Writing the Killer Business Case for Database and Analytics Investment
 
Pricing Analytics Case Study
Pricing Analytics Case StudyPricing Analytics Case Study
Pricing Analytics Case Study
 
Zero to 100 - Part 5: SaaS Business Model & Metrics
Zero to 100 - Part 5: SaaS Business Model & MetricsZero to 100 - Part 5: SaaS Business Model & Metrics
Zero to 100 - Part 5: SaaS Business Model & Metrics
 
CO2 2019 | Dan Gordon | Budgeting for Growth
CO2 2019 | Dan Gordon | Budgeting for GrowthCO2 2019 | Dan Gordon | Budgeting for Growth
CO2 2019 | Dan Gordon | Budgeting for Growth
 
eCommerce Benchmark Report - Q4 2015
eCommerce Benchmark Report - Q4 2015eCommerce Benchmark Report - Q4 2015
eCommerce Benchmark Report - Q4 2015
 
Customer aquisitionandretentionstrategy v3
Customer aquisitionandretentionstrategy v3Customer aquisitionandretentionstrategy v3
Customer aquisitionandretentionstrategy v3
 
Why Knowing Profitability Is the Key to Success at Your Institution
Why Knowing Profitability Is the Key to Success at Your InstitutionWhy Knowing Profitability Is the Key to Success at Your Institution
Why Knowing Profitability Is the Key to Success at Your Institution
 
6-Critical-Stats-for-Customer-Loyalty-Thanx
6-Critical-Stats-for-Customer-Loyalty-Thanx6-Critical-Stats-for-Customer-Loyalty-Thanx
6-Critical-Stats-for-Customer-Loyalty-Thanx
 
Etail East - Growth in Retail Opening Remarks - 2015
Etail East - Growth in Retail Opening Remarks - 2015Etail East - Growth in Retail Opening Remarks - 2015
Etail East - Growth in Retail Opening Remarks - 2015
 
Yess pitch startup
Yess pitch   startupYess pitch   startup
Yess pitch startup
 
A High Growth SaaS Playbook - 12 Metrics to Drive Success
A High Growth SaaS Playbook - 12 Metrics to Drive SuccessA High Growth SaaS Playbook - 12 Metrics to Drive Success
A High Growth SaaS Playbook - 12 Metrics to Drive Success
 
SaaStock NYC 2018
SaaStock NYC 2018SaaStock NYC 2018
SaaStock NYC 2018
 
The Insider’s Guide to Increasing Ecommerce Customer Lifetime Value
The Insider’s Guide to Increasing Ecommerce Customer Lifetime ValueThe Insider’s Guide to Increasing Ecommerce Customer Lifetime Value
The Insider’s Guide to Increasing Ecommerce Customer Lifetime Value
 
US Retailers - Benchmarking Analysis.pdf
US Retailers - Benchmarking Analysis.pdfUS Retailers - Benchmarking Analysis.pdf
US Retailers - Benchmarking Analysis.pdf
 
Team 1 presentation acg cup v1
Team 1 presentation acg cup v1Team 1 presentation acg cup v1
Team 1 presentation acg cup v1
 
360 Degree View Of Customer Powerpoint Presentation Slides
360 Degree View Of Customer Powerpoint Presentation Slides360 Degree View Of Customer Powerpoint Presentation Slides
360 Degree View Of Customer Powerpoint Presentation Slides
 
Synergy Assessment Powerpoint Presentation Slides
Synergy Assessment Powerpoint Presentation SlidesSynergy Assessment Powerpoint Presentation Slides
Synergy Assessment Powerpoint Presentation Slides
 
SaaS Metrics - Bulletproof your SaaS Growth
SaaS Metrics - Bulletproof your SaaS GrowthSaaS Metrics - Bulletproof your SaaS Growth
SaaS Metrics - Bulletproof your SaaS Growth
 
Increase Revenue By Measuring Customer Behavior Complete Deck
Increase Revenue By Measuring Customer Behavior Complete DeckIncrease Revenue By Measuring Customer Behavior Complete Deck
Increase Revenue By Measuring Customer Behavior Complete Deck
 
Price Elasticity in B2B
Price Elasticity in B2BPrice Elasticity in B2B
Price Elasticity in B2B
 

More from Christopher Garcia

Consumption to Satisfaction (Reduced File Size)
Consumption to Satisfaction (Reduced File Size)Consumption to Satisfaction (Reduced File Size)
Consumption to Satisfaction (Reduced File Size)Christopher Garcia
 
Digital Analyst Forecasting
Digital Analyst ForecastingDigital Analyst Forecasting
Digital Analyst Forecasting
Christopher Garcia
 

More from Christopher Garcia (6)

Website Evaluation (Final)
Website Evaluation (Final)Website Evaluation (Final)
Website Evaluation (Final)
 
Consumption to Satisfaction (Reduced File Size)
Consumption to Satisfaction (Reduced File Size)Consumption to Satisfaction (Reduced File Size)
Consumption to Satisfaction (Reduced File Size)
 
Annual_report_FINAL_WEB_LR
Annual_report_FINAL_WEB_LRAnnual_report_FINAL_WEB_LR
Annual_report_FINAL_WEB_LR
 
University of Phoenix
University of PhoenixUniversity of Phoenix
University of Phoenix
 
Digital Analyst Forecasting
Digital Analyst ForecastingDigital Analyst Forecasting
Digital Analyst Forecasting
 
Bonobos
BonobosBonobos
Bonobos
 

Digital Analyst Forecasting

  • 1. R E S T O R A T I O N H A R D WA R E D I G I TA L A N A LY S T A S S I G N M E N T D I G I TA L R E TA I L 4 0 7 0 C H R I S T O P H E R G A R C I A , M A D I S O N T H A I N , M A D I S O N W O L F E , W E S L I E C E N T E N O , I R I S L E
  • 2. O V E R V I E W The Problem • Reduce marketing spending • Cut Inventory Negative Sales Growth End Goal • Increases sales back to positive growth rate • Reach $662 million in item sales for 2016.
  • 3. 2 0 1 2 - 2 0 1 5 A T A G L A N C E UNIQ UE V ISITO RS 0 37,500,000 75,000,000 112,500,000 150,000,000 2012 2013 2014 2015 Unique Vistors Trending UNIQ UE BUYE RS 0 1,500,000 3,000,000 4,500,000 6,000,000 2012 2013 2014 2015 Unique Buyers Trending S A L E S $200,000,000 $400,000,000 $600,000,000 $800,000,000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Fiscal Year Trending SESSIONS VS. DIRECT SESSIONS 0 60,000,000 120,000,000 180,000,000 240,000,000 2012 2013 2014 2015 Sessions Direct Load Sessions BOUNCE RATE 0% 6% 12% 18% 24% 2012 2013 2014 2015 Fiscal Year 18.9% 20.9% 23.8% 21.7% Product Page View Increased • Review Product Page • Up Sell / Cross Sell • Perform Usability Testing Unique Visitors To Site Increased • Identify traffic sources using tracking URL Abandonment Rate • Lengthy checkout process (Evaluate time spent on site) • Cumbersome • Lack of Promotions - Nothing to excite customers to complete purchases. Are customers coming back to complete purchases after a 24 hour period? How are customers behaving during seasons? Do we have seasonal promotions? Are Newsletters Effected By Reduced Marketing Budget • Customers who receive email newsletters spend 82% more when they buy from the company. (iContact)
  • 4. N E W M E T R I C S C A L C U L A T E D AVERAGE UN IT RETAIL $26.00 $27.50 $29.00 $30.50 $32.00 2012 2013 2014 2015 Fiscal Year $31.88 $28.75 $27.53 $26.60 AVERAGE ORDER VALUE $80.00 $87.50 $95.00 $102.50 $110.00 2012 2013 2014 2015 Fiscal Year $103.10 $95.29 $91.60 $88.18 CONVERSION RATE % 0% 1% 3% 4% 5% 2012 2013 2014 2015 Fiscal Year 4.22% 4.20% 3.02% 2.21% $ / VISIT $0.00 $1.25 $2.50 $3.75 $5.00 2012 2013 2014 2015 Fiscal Year $4.35 $4.00 $2.77 $1.95 Year Sessions Direct Load Sessions Bounce Rate Unique Visitors Unique Buyers Sales Items Ordered Orders AUR AOV Conversion Rate $/Visit Product Page Views Abandonment Rate 2012 155,959,661 78,620,284 18.9% 97,067,073 4,792,221 $ 678,649,665 21,288,222 6,582,402 $31.88 $103.10 4.22% 4.35 410,011,875 69.6% 2013 179,274,970 89,034,041 20.9% 112,219,244 5,420,176 $ 717,109,805 24,940,782 7,525,855 $28.75 $95.29 4.20% 4.00 419,178,780 70.2% 2014 239,445,842 117,204,128 23.8% 143,995,412 5,999,375 $ 662,606,666 24,071,754 7,233,364 $27.53 $91.60 3.02% 2.77 585,012,226 74.6% 2015 236,032,975 112,887,345 21.7% 140,004,898 4,332,728 $ 460,044,428 17,296,216 5,216,403 $26.60 $88.19 2.21% 1.95 706,678,073 77.8% 2016 339,651,451 162,444,889 20.5% 201,467,048 6,234,796 $ 662,000,000 24,889,255 7,506,520 $26.60 $88.19 2.21% 1.95 600,000 73.5% 1.439 or 143% increase 1.2 orders per unique vistor on average *Product page views has increased by 121,665,847 YOY $201,955,572 Needed to make goal of $662 million With average order at $88.19 we need approximately 2,290,005 more orders. Bounce rate has decreased YOY, meaning other metrics will have to be focused on to increase orders.
  • 5. S I G N A L I N G T H E R O O T F O R D E C L I N E PRODUCT PAGE VIEWS 0 200,000,000 400,000,000 600,000,000 800,000,000 2012 2013 2014 2015 Fiscal Year 410,011,857 419,178,780 585,012,226 706,678,073 ABANDONMENT RATE 68% 71% 74% 76% 79% 2012 2013 2014 2015 Fiscal Year 69.6% 70.2% 74.6% 77.8% • Increased Product Page Views by approx. 121 million. • Possibly looking for other items to purchase on site due to items being out of stock. • Abandonment rate is increasing YOY. • However, Bounce Rate is falling meaning consumer has (intent to purchase.) Possible Causation: Low Inventory Turnover Rate / Buying Levels Are Too Low Declining Customer Service Score BOUNCE RATE 2014 2015 23.8% 21.7%
  • 6. Assuming there is increased traffic, our customer is still coming back meaning customer loyalty is strong. This is our 2nd chance to increase retention amongst new consumers. We should: ‣ Leverage this traffic to convert unique visitors into unique buyers. There is promise here seeing as unique buyers from 2012-14’ has seen an increase by ~1.2 million or 125% We do this by: • Increasing inventory levels by using 2013 as our POR. * 2013 accounted for the highest orders placed and sales revenue. This will result in: • Consumer confidence • Ability to purchase desired items / Less Browse Time • Opportunity to capitalize on consumer buying intent. S T R A T E G Y 1 “Decrease in inventory level for a retailer may result in lower service level in some cases. In such cases, the impact on future profitability would depend on the trade-off between the benefit of having lower inventory levels and the cost of decline in service levels.” (ChicagoBooth) Year Sessions Direct Load Bounce Rate Unique Visitors Unique Buyers Sales Items Ordered Orders AUR AOV Conversion Rate $/Visit Product Page Views Abandonment Rate 2 0 1 3 1 7 9 , 2 7 4 , 9 7 0 8 9 , 0 3 4 , 0 4 1 2 0 . 9 % 1 1 2 , 2 1 9 , 2 4 4 5 , 4 2 0 , 1 7 6 $ 7 1 7 , 1 0 9 , 8 0 5 2 4 , 9 4 0 , 7 8 2 7 , 5 2 5 , 8 5 5 2 8 . 7 5 9 5 . 2 9 4 . 2 0 % 4 . 0 0 4 1 9 , 1 7 8 , 7 8 0 7 0 . 2 % 2 0 1 4 2 3 9 , 4 4 5 , 8 4 2 1 1 7 , 2 0 4 , 1 2 8 2 3 . 8 % 1 4 3 , 9 9 5 , 4 1 2 5 , 9 9 9 , 3 7 5 $ 6 6 2 , 6 0 6 , 6 6 6 2 4 , 0 7 1 , 7 5 4 7 , 2 3 3 , 3 6 4 2 7 . 5 3 9 1 . 6 0 3 . 0 2 % 2 . 7 7 5 8 5 , 0 1 2 , 2 2 6 7 4 . 6 % 2 0 1 5 2 3 6 , 0 3 2 , 9 7 5 1 1 2 , 8 8 7 , 3 4 5 2 1 . 7 % 1 4 0 , 0 0 4 , 8 9 8 4 , 3 3 2 , 7 2 8 $ 4 6 0 , 0 4 4 , 4 2 8 1 7 , 2 9 6 , 2 1 6 5 , 2 1 6 , 4 0 3 2 6 . 6 0 8 8 . 1 9 2 . 2 1 % 1 . 9 5 7 0 6 , 6 7 8 , 0 7 3 7 7 . 8 %
  • 7. Restoring Marketing Practices We aim to: ‣ Rebuild ROI ‣ Understand the consumer’s decision journey for purchasing product as well expected service quality ‣ Shed light on what marketing program are profitable (Tracking URLS) This discussion should be had with every aspect of the organization during marketing planning meetings and not limited to the marketing team exclusively. This is especially true for CPG to ensure that the value of these established relationships with our customer is sustained as we continue to scale. Review: • Customer Comments/FAQ • Data Review • Industry Buzz Effects: Purchasing, Allocation, S T R A T E G Y 2 “Marketing and sales leaders need to develop complete pictures of their customers so they can create messages and products that are relevant to them. Our research shows that personalization can deliver five to eight times the ROI on marketing spend and lift sales 10 percent or more” (Forbes)
  • 8. SAVE UP TO 30% ON HUNDREDS OF HOLIDAY GIFTS HOLIDAY DECOR
  • 9.
  • 10. K E Y D R I V E R S / M E T R I C S T O C O N S I D E R Bounce Rate • Rate decreases: Marketing strategy is successful which we can use to support our findings. • Rate increases: We will need to reevaluate which metrics to consider moving forward seeing as this is reason to believe there is oversight on our part. Unique Buyers • If this metric increases it is indicative of our conversion rate increasing, this can be attributed to a successful promotional strategy or adequate buying levels that drives consumers to checkout. Abandonment Rate • We hope to see a noticeable decrease in percentage (~5%) of cart abandonment once we roll out our A|B testing for offers at checkout as well as popups on homepage. Conversion Rate • We hope that conversion rate will increase with the added traffic however we will have to monitor this portion with each quarter to see how our customers are behaving. F O R C O N S I D E R A T I O N … •Time On Site •Visitor Recency •Traffic/Traffic Sources •Customer Demographics •Value Per Visit (VPV) •Cost Per Visit (CPV)
  • 11. UNIQ UE V ISITO RS 0 55,000,000 110,000,000 165,000,000 220,000,000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Unique Vistors Trending UNIQ UE BUYE RS 0 1,750,000 3,500,000 5,250,000 7,000,000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Unique Buyers Trending S A L E S $0 $200,000,000 $400,000,000 $600,000,000 $800,000,000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Fiscal Year Trending SESSIONS VS. DIRECT SESSIONS 0 100,000,000 200,000,000 300,000,000 400,000,000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Sessions Direct Load Sessions BOUNCE RATE 0% 6% 12% 18% 24% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Fiscal Year 18.9% 20.9% 23.8% 21.7% 23.8% P R O J E C T E D I N C R E A S E F O R 2 0 1 6 Year Sessions Direct Load Bounce Rate Unique Visitors Unique Buyers Sales Items Ordered Orders AUR AOV Conversion Rate $/Visit Product Page Views Abandonment Rate 2 0 1 6 1 7 9 , 2 7 4 , 9 7 0 8 9 , 0 3 4 , 0 4 1 2 0 . 9 % 1 1 2 , 2 1 9 , 2 4 4 5 , 4 2 0 , 1 7 6 $ 7 1 7 , 1 0 9 , 8 0 5 2 4 , 9 4 0 , 7 8 2 7 , 5 2 5 , 8 5 5 2 8 . 7 5 9 5 . 2 9 4 . 2 0 % 4 . 0 0 4 1 9 , 1 7 8 , 7 8 0 7 0 . 2 % Projected Data for 2016 QUESTIONS?