This document provides an introduction to using data science for physicists. It discusses what data science is, why physicists should care about it, and how to do it. The key aspects of data science covered are getting data, data visualization, model selection, validation and exploitation. Machine learning models like regression, classification and neural networks are explained. The document concludes with resources for learning data science and a case study applying it to study magnetic properties of materials.
This document discusses the need for transparency in data science and decision making. It notes that decisions made by algorithms are currently like "black boxes" where the reasoning is not understandable. The document suggests that transparency could be achieved by visualizing the data and assumptions used, the reasoning process, and criteria for decisions. However, it also notes that achieving full transparency may not be feasible due to the complexity of data processing pipelines and models like deep learning that are not fully understandable. It concludes by suggesting that better technology, legislation, accountability, market forces, or consumer advocacy could help increase transparency even if full transparency is not possible.
Discussion on Accuracy in data science: “Data science without guesswork – How to answer questions with a guaranteed level of accuracy?” (session leader prof.dr. Mykola Pechenizkiy).
To future-proof responsible data science methods, foundational research is needed, and, given the complementarity of TU/e and TiU in JADS, there are great opportunities to collaborate on this theme. This was reflected by the JADS Workshop on Responsible Data Science
The document discusses bandit problems, which involve repeatedly choosing between alternatives that have unknown reward rates. It describes different types of bandit problems and applications. It then summarizes an experiment that used particle filters to model human performance on a restless bandit task, where reward rates can change over time. Participants' behavior was compared to two particle filter methods and showed exploration-exploitation tradeoffs.
This is a presentation that aims to help PhD students (in management research or related fields) to connect their research questions with the research method that could fit better.
The material is a combination of presentations from other colleagues, credit is explicitly stated in the slides. The presentation also contains material from research papers that are strongly suggested as follow-on readings.
META-SPACE: Psycho-physiologically Adaptive and Personalized Virtual Reality ...Advanced-Concepts-Team
This document proposes developing an adaptive virtual reality system called "meta-space" to promote well-being for astronauts and others in isolated environments. It would collect physiological and behavioral data to detect psychological states and adapt VR content accordingly, such as virtual escapes of Earth or interactive games. A proposed development plan includes exploring signals, combining them into an adaptive layer, generating the virtual world, and optimizing the headset through testing.
CombaStarke Etmaal2024 Fear Appeals by Scientists in Climate CommunicationAlain Starke
Our talk on "Climate Change or Climate Catastophe: the use of emotive language (fear appeals) by climate scientist." This talk was delivered at the Netherlands-Flanders Communication Science conference in the session on science communication. Etmaal2024
Synthesizing abstract findings gathered from user research about a current technology design problem is tough. However, even more difficult is gathering insights from a design problem that revolves around technology that has not yet been built or its form and function not fully understood. Nonetheless, designers must evolve to be able to tackle these problems as our world grows increasingly interconnected and complex, but what are some of the ways to do so?
In this talk, we will discover and discuss a research method that is used to understand the very nature of these abstract future design problems in order to gain insights into emerging trends of human behavior. The outcome of this research methodology is not only a glimpse into how people might behave as they adopt new technology, but can also be used as a tool to gain trust and approval from stakeholders. This method is not only an important tool for researchers, but should be known by anyone looking to help build our future world.
This document provides an introduction to using data science for physicists. It discusses what data science is, why physicists should care about it, and how to do it. The key aspects of data science covered are getting data, data visualization, model selection, validation and exploitation. Machine learning models like regression, classification and neural networks are explained. The document concludes with resources for learning data science and a case study applying it to study magnetic properties of materials.
This document discusses the need for transparency in data science and decision making. It notes that decisions made by algorithms are currently like "black boxes" where the reasoning is not understandable. The document suggests that transparency could be achieved by visualizing the data and assumptions used, the reasoning process, and criteria for decisions. However, it also notes that achieving full transparency may not be feasible due to the complexity of data processing pipelines and models like deep learning that are not fully understandable. It concludes by suggesting that better technology, legislation, accountability, market forces, or consumer advocacy could help increase transparency even if full transparency is not possible.
Discussion on Accuracy in data science: “Data science without guesswork – How to answer questions with a guaranteed level of accuracy?” (session leader prof.dr. Mykola Pechenizkiy).
To future-proof responsible data science methods, foundational research is needed, and, given the complementarity of TU/e and TiU in JADS, there are great opportunities to collaborate on this theme. This was reflected by the JADS Workshop on Responsible Data Science
The document discusses bandit problems, which involve repeatedly choosing between alternatives that have unknown reward rates. It describes different types of bandit problems and applications. It then summarizes an experiment that used particle filters to model human performance on a restless bandit task, where reward rates can change over time. Participants' behavior was compared to two particle filter methods and showed exploration-exploitation tradeoffs.
This is a presentation that aims to help PhD students (in management research or related fields) to connect their research questions with the research method that could fit better.
The material is a combination of presentations from other colleagues, credit is explicitly stated in the slides. The presentation also contains material from research papers that are strongly suggested as follow-on readings.
META-SPACE: Psycho-physiologically Adaptive and Personalized Virtual Reality ...Advanced-Concepts-Team
This document proposes developing an adaptive virtual reality system called "meta-space" to promote well-being for astronauts and others in isolated environments. It would collect physiological and behavioral data to detect psychological states and adapt VR content accordingly, such as virtual escapes of Earth or interactive games. A proposed development plan includes exploring signals, combining them into an adaptive layer, generating the virtual world, and optimizing the headset through testing.
CombaStarke Etmaal2024 Fear Appeals by Scientists in Climate CommunicationAlain Starke
Our talk on "Climate Change or Climate Catastophe: the use of emotive language (fear appeals) by climate scientist." This talk was delivered at the Netherlands-Flanders Communication Science conference in the session on science communication. Etmaal2024
Synthesizing abstract findings gathered from user research about a current technology design problem is tough. However, even more difficult is gathering insights from a design problem that revolves around technology that has not yet been built or its form and function not fully understood. Nonetheless, designers must evolve to be able to tackle these problems as our world grows increasingly interconnected and complex, but what are some of the ways to do so?
In this talk, we will discover and discuss a research method that is used to understand the very nature of these abstract future design problems in order to gain insights into emerging trends of human behavior. The outcome of this research methodology is not only a glimpse into how people might behave as they adopt new technology, but can also be used as a tool to gain trust and approval from stakeholders. This method is not only an important tool for researchers, but should be known by anyone looking to help build our future world.
Broad concepts - Methods in User-Technology StudiesAntti Salovaara
Research question, Research methods as a toolbox, Reliability and validity, Open vs. closed research designs, Grounded theory, Interventionist vs. observational research, Having multiple research questions and methods, Triangulation and methodological overlap
Presentation to CRC Mental Health Early Career Researcher Workshop, Melbourne 29.11.17 for @andsdata.
Workshop title: A by-product of scientific training: We're all a little bit biased.
PO 397 Introduction to Social Science Research atrantham
This document outlines the key principles and methods of the scientific method. It discusses that science is based on investigating natural processes through logical and systematic methods (1). Key aspects covered include that nature can be understood through order, patterns, and natural causes (2); knowledge is built on empirical evidence and experience rather than assumptions (3); and the goal is to continually improve knowledge rather than remain ignorant (4). It also contrasts deductive and inductive reasoning approaches and covers quantitative and qualitative analysis methods.
This document provides an overview of research methodology and the scientific method. It discusses the key steps in the scientific method including making observations, developing questions and hypotheses, conducting experiments to collect data, analyzing the data, and drawing conclusions. The document also provides examples to illustrate concepts like the difference between accuracy and reliability in measurement. The overall goal is to help students develop an understanding of fundamental research methodology principles.
This document discusses questionable measurement practices (QMPs) in psychological research. It defines a QMP as a measurement-related decision by researchers that lacks justification and transparency, leaving open questions about the validity and reproducibility of a study's measures. The document notes that while QMPs do not necessarily indicate intentional wrongdoing, they compromise transparency and make it difficult to properly evaluate measurement validity. It emphasizes that measurement selection, use, and modification require justification and transparency to ensure the quality of psychological research.
This document provides an overview and teaching notes for a book titled "Scientific Research in Information Systems: A Beginner's Guide" by Professor Jan Recker. The book covers basic principles of research, conducting research, and publishing research. It discusses topics like general principles of science, constructing research questions, research design including induction, deduction and abduction, and planning a research project. The teaching notes provide an outline of the book's content and chapters, and cover key concepts from the book in more detail like research design considerations and choosing a research methodology.
The document discusses issues with computational scientific software and proposes a solution called Digital Scientific Notations. Current scientific software is difficult to test and validate due to a lack of specifications and documentation. This makes the software results unverifiable and prevents comparison of different models. The proposed Digital Scientific Notations would embed computational models and methods into scholarly documents using a formal programming language. This would allow models to be precisely defined, validated, and compared, addressing current verification and reproducibility problems in computational science.
This presentation begins with a survey of the principles of predictive computational science: the discipline concerned with assessing the predictability of mathematical and computational models of events that occur in the physical universe in the presence of uncertainties. We then focus on key aspects of predictability: modeling error and how to estimate it, and model selection. The idea of optimal control of modeling error in which a sequence of models is generated so as control error relative to a high-fidelity ground truth model is discussed, as well as the related problem in which, given noisy data , we wish to select, calibrate, and validate a model’s ability to predict quantities of interest with a preset level of accuracy. As applications, we consider the analysis of random heterogeneous media and the construction and selection of mathematical models of tumor growth. We discuss OPAL, the Occam Plausibility Algorithm, as a framework for systematic model selection and validation. Examples of applications of these methodologies are given.
Engineering design of an environmental management system: A trans-disciplinar...Henk (Jan) Roodt
The big issues we face today contain society, nature and man-made components. It is difficult to consider these systems within the traditional systems contexts, where we can set well-defined boundaries during the design (analytical decomposition) process. Still, the analysis/synthesis process must be thorough enough to ensure that the functional, physical and allocated architectures that are discovered and defined during the analytical phase, can deliver a reasonable, traceable outcome.
This document discusses the lack of emphasis on research design in quantitative psychology methods education. It summarizes two surveys of PhD programs from 1990 and 2008 that found gains in statistics training but no improvement in research design instruction. While competence in laboratory experiments was high, it was weak for other designs like field experiments and longitudinal studies. The document also reviews Donald Campbell's influential work developing concepts of internal and external validity threats and remedies. It notes the slow diffusion of newer approaches to causal inference from statistics, like propensity scores, into psychology. Overall it argues for revitalizing research design education with more application examples and engaging younger faculty across fields.
This document provides an overview of research paradigms. It discusses key paradigms including positivism, post-positivism, constructivism, and pragmatism. For each paradigm, it describes the underlying ontology, epistemology, methodology, and methods. It also discusses the components of a research paradigm including ontology, epistemology, methodology, and methods. Quantitative and qualitative research designs are introduced. Experimental designs such as true experiments and quasi-experiments are covered as well as non-experimental designs like descriptive and correlational designs.
This document summarizes a presentation given at the EMEA Systems Engineering Conference in 2014 on developing an environmental management system to address rhino poaching in South Africa. It discusses how rhino poaching is a "wicked problem" with many interdependent factors. It advocates using a transdisciplinary approach to shift from traditional disciplinary methods that fail to address complex problems. This approach engages stakeholders to develop a shared understanding of the problem and monitors the system recursively to identify leverage points to guide actions that preserve rhinos while managing influences that could worsen poaching.
This document provides an overview and schedule for ISWC 2015 held from October 11-15, 2015. It summarizes attendance statistics, the research and applied paper submission and review process, award nominees, and highlights of the program including keynotes, paper sessions, and social events. The general chair is Steffen Staab from the University of Koblenz-Landau and University of Southampton. ISWC 2015 aims to bring together researchers and practitioners in the fields of semantic web and linked data.
Peer review filters and the incentives for high-risk research.
Seminar presented at the Santa Fe Institute "New Synthesis for the Science of Science" workshop, May 4-6 2022.
Modelling Innovation – some options from probabilistic to radicalBruce Edmonds
A talk on the various kinds of innovation based on Margret Boden's types of creativity . Given at the European Academy, Ahrweiler, Germany 31st May 2017.
This summary provides an overview of three major educational research paradigms:
1. The scientific paradigm is based on positivism and post-positivism. It assumes an objective reality exists independently of the researcher. The goal is to discover absolute knowledge through empirical observation and experimentation to form general laws.
2. The interpretive paradigm assumes reality is socially constructed and there are multiple subjective realities. Knowledge is gained through understanding the subjective meanings and interpretations of participants.
3. The critical paradigm views reality as historically constituted and shaped by political, cultural, and power relationships. It aims to critique and challenge the status quo by addressing issues such as power and justice.
1) High energy physics deals with studying elementary particles and their interactions by colliding particles at high energies using large particle accelerators.
2) Nuclear fusion is a process where atomic nuclei collide at very high temperatures and fuse together, releasing energy. It powers the sun and stars. Researchers are trying to achieve controlled nuclear fusion on Earth for clean energy production.
3) Plasma state allows nuclear fusion reactions by ionizing matter and allowing atomic nuclei to overcome their electrostatic repulsion at very high temperatures similar to the sun's core, enabling fusion. Understanding fusion and quark-gluon plasma is important for explaining the evolution and composition of the universe.
This document provides an overview of research, including definitions, purposes, types, and trends. It defines research as a systematic investigation of a theory or hypothesis to build knowledge. The main purposes of research are to find relationships, define causes and effects, provide evidence for or against hypotheses, and build new things. Research methodologies can include qualitative, quantitative, and mixed methods. Modern scientific research emphasizes systematic, logical, empirical, reductive, and replicable approaches. Recent fruits of medical research include advances in treating HIV/AIDS, cancer, heart disease, and injuries due to improved drugs, devices, and understanding of human genetics. Research has led to many technological innovations across various fields. Sustainable funding is important to continue meaningful research
Prof. William MacAskill (Associate Professor in Philosophy, University of Oxford; CEO, Centre for Effective Altruism), EA Global X Berlin 2017, Oct 14/15 2017
Broad concepts - Methods in User-Technology StudiesAntti Salovaara
Research question, Research methods as a toolbox, Reliability and validity, Open vs. closed research designs, Grounded theory, Interventionist vs. observational research, Having multiple research questions and methods, Triangulation and methodological overlap
Presentation to CRC Mental Health Early Career Researcher Workshop, Melbourne 29.11.17 for @andsdata.
Workshop title: A by-product of scientific training: We're all a little bit biased.
PO 397 Introduction to Social Science Research atrantham
This document outlines the key principles and methods of the scientific method. It discusses that science is based on investigating natural processes through logical and systematic methods (1). Key aspects covered include that nature can be understood through order, patterns, and natural causes (2); knowledge is built on empirical evidence and experience rather than assumptions (3); and the goal is to continually improve knowledge rather than remain ignorant (4). It also contrasts deductive and inductive reasoning approaches and covers quantitative and qualitative analysis methods.
This document provides an overview of research methodology and the scientific method. It discusses the key steps in the scientific method including making observations, developing questions and hypotheses, conducting experiments to collect data, analyzing the data, and drawing conclusions. The document also provides examples to illustrate concepts like the difference between accuracy and reliability in measurement. The overall goal is to help students develop an understanding of fundamental research methodology principles.
This document discusses questionable measurement practices (QMPs) in psychological research. It defines a QMP as a measurement-related decision by researchers that lacks justification and transparency, leaving open questions about the validity and reproducibility of a study's measures. The document notes that while QMPs do not necessarily indicate intentional wrongdoing, they compromise transparency and make it difficult to properly evaluate measurement validity. It emphasizes that measurement selection, use, and modification require justification and transparency to ensure the quality of psychological research.
This document provides an overview and teaching notes for a book titled "Scientific Research in Information Systems: A Beginner's Guide" by Professor Jan Recker. The book covers basic principles of research, conducting research, and publishing research. It discusses topics like general principles of science, constructing research questions, research design including induction, deduction and abduction, and planning a research project. The teaching notes provide an outline of the book's content and chapters, and cover key concepts from the book in more detail like research design considerations and choosing a research methodology.
The document discusses issues with computational scientific software and proposes a solution called Digital Scientific Notations. Current scientific software is difficult to test and validate due to a lack of specifications and documentation. This makes the software results unverifiable and prevents comparison of different models. The proposed Digital Scientific Notations would embed computational models and methods into scholarly documents using a formal programming language. This would allow models to be precisely defined, validated, and compared, addressing current verification and reproducibility problems in computational science.
This presentation begins with a survey of the principles of predictive computational science: the discipline concerned with assessing the predictability of mathematical and computational models of events that occur in the physical universe in the presence of uncertainties. We then focus on key aspects of predictability: modeling error and how to estimate it, and model selection. The idea of optimal control of modeling error in which a sequence of models is generated so as control error relative to a high-fidelity ground truth model is discussed, as well as the related problem in which, given noisy data , we wish to select, calibrate, and validate a model’s ability to predict quantities of interest with a preset level of accuracy. As applications, we consider the analysis of random heterogeneous media and the construction and selection of mathematical models of tumor growth. We discuss OPAL, the Occam Plausibility Algorithm, as a framework for systematic model selection and validation. Examples of applications of these methodologies are given.
Engineering design of an environmental management system: A trans-disciplinar...Henk (Jan) Roodt
The big issues we face today contain society, nature and man-made components. It is difficult to consider these systems within the traditional systems contexts, where we can set well-defined boundaries during the design (analytical decomposition) process. Still, the analysis/synthesis process must be thorough enough to ensure that the functional, physical and allocated architectures that are discovered and defined during the analytical phase, can deliver a reasonable, traceable outcome.
This document discusses the lack of emphasis on research design in quantitative psychology methods education. It summarizes two surveys of PhD programs from 1990 and 2008 that found gains in statistics training but no improvement in research design instruction. While competence in laboratory experiments was high, it was weak for other designs like field experiments and longitudinal studies. The document also reviews Donald Campbell's influential work developing concepts of internal and external validity threats and remedies. It notes the slow diffusion of newer approaches to causal inference from statistics, like propensity scores, into psychology. Overall it argues for revitalizing research design education with more application examples and engaging younger faculty across fields.
This document provides an overview of research paradigms. It discusses key paradigms including positivism, post-positivism, constructivism, and pragmatism. For each paradigm, it describes the underlying ontology, epistemology, methodology, and methods. It also discusses the components of a research paradigm including ontology, epistemology, methodology, and methods. Quantitative and qualitative research designs are introduced. Experimental designs such as true experiments and quasi-experiments are covered as well as non-experimental designs like descriptive and correlational designs.
This document summarizes a presentation given at the EMEA Systems Engineering Conference in 2014 on developing an environmental management system to address rhino poaching in South Africa. It discusses how rhino poaching is a "wicked problem" with many interdependent factors. It advocates using a transdisciplinary approach to shift from traditional disciplinary methods that fail to address complex problems. This approach engages stakeholders to develop a shared understanding of the problem and monitors the system recursively to identify leverage points to guide actions that preserve rhinos while managing influences that could worsen poaching.
This document provides an overview and schedule for ISWC 2015 held from October 11-15, 2015. It summarizes attendance statistics, the research and applied paper submission and review process, award nominees, and highlights of the program including keynotes, paper sessions, and social events. The general chair is Steffen Staab from the University of Koblenz-Landau and University of Southampton. ISWC 2015 aims to bring together researchers and practitioners in the fields of semantic web and linked data.
Peer review filters and the incentives for high-risk research.
Seminar presented at the Santa Fe Institute "New Synthesis for the Science of Science" workshop, May 4-6 2022.
Modelling Innovation – some options from probabilistic to radicalBruce Edmonds
A talk on the various kinds of innovation based on Margret Boden's types of creativity . Given at the European Academy, Ahrweiler, Germany 31st May 2017.
This summary provides an overview of three major educational research paradigms:
1. The scientific paradigm is based on positivism and post-positivism. It assumes an objective reality exists independently of the researcher. The goal is to discover absolute knowledge through empirical observation and experimentation to form general laws.
2. The interpretive paradigm assumes reality is socially constructed and there are multiple subjective realities. Knowledge is gained through understanding the subjective meanings and interpretations of participants.
3. The critical paradigm views reality as historically constituted and shaped by political, cultural, and power relationships. It aims to critique and challenge the status quo by addressing issues such as power and justice.
1) High energy physics deals with studying elementary particles and their interactions by colliding particles at high energies using large particle accelerators.
2) Nuclear fusion is a process where atomic nuclei collide at very high temperatures and fuse together, releasing energy. It powers the sun and stars. Researchers are trying to achieve controlled nuclear fusion on Earth for clean energy production.
3) Plasma state allows nuclear fusion reactions by ionizing matter and allowing atomic nuclei to overcome their electrostatic repulsion at very high temperatures similar to the sun's core, enabling fusion. Understanding fusion and quark-gluon plasma is important for explaining the evolution and composition of the universe.
This document provides an overview of research, including definitions, purposes, types, and trends. It defines research as a systematic investigation of a theory or hypothesis to build knowledge. The main purposes of research are to find relationships, define causes and effects, provide evidence for or against hypotheses, and build new things. Research methodologies can include qualitative, quantitative, and mixed methods. Modern scientific research emphasizes systematic, logical, empirical, reductive, and replicable approaches. Recent fruits of medical research include advances in treating HIV/AIDS, cancer, heart disease, and injuries due to improved drugs, devices, and understanding of human genetics. Research has led to many technological innovations across various fields. Sustainable funding is important to continue meaningful research
Prof. William MacAskill (Associate Professor in Philosophy, University of Oxford; CEO, Centre for Effective Altruism), EA Global X Berlin 2017, Oct 14/15 2017
This document discusses three potential approaches to making meat production more sustainable: replacing meat with plant-based alternatives, rebuilding meat through synthetic biology, and rerouting meat production through tissue-engineered or cultured meat. It provides details on recent developments in plant-based meat alternatives and cultured meat, including the environmental benefits and remaining challenges like consumer acceptance and regulatory issues. The overall message is that transformative solutions are needed to drive change in behavior and technology for a more sustainable meat system.
1) Poker players can raise money for effective altruism causes through poker tournaments and donations, having already raised over $3 million with a multiplier ratio of 1:10.
2) The document discusses strategies for poker players to improve their skills in internal quantification and reasoning, which are important for effective altruism, such as reducing scope insensitivity, making formal predictions, and avoiding cognitive biases.
3) It also presents the idea of building an effective altruism community within the poker industry through respected figures, regular follow-ups, and wearable memes to spread ideas.
The document discusses some potential mistakes of effective altruism, including disregarding interpersonal values, making bad life choices, and adopting unbalanced views. It argues that while the goal of doing the most good is simple, human cognitive limitations make it easy to systematically err when attempting to implement it. Various biases, short-sightedness, overconfidence in reasoning methods, and disregard of human psychology and common sense can lead effective altruists astray. Careful consideration of alternative perspectives, convergence of views, outside opinions, and moderation are recommended to avoid mistakes in effectively doing good.
The document discusses the difference between intelligence (IQ) and rationality (RQ) and argues that rationality is an important skill that can be improved through learning, despite only having a weak correlation with IQ. It notes that rational thinking is important for personal, moral, and societal reasons and outlines some common cognitive biases and debiasing techniques. The document concludes by calling for more research on rationality improvement and for efforts to incorporate rational thinking training into education.
Natalie Cargill argues that political and legal activism can be an effective strategy for advancing animal advocacy and promoting antispeciesism. While individual dietary change is intuitively appealing, it has shown limited success and risks sidetracking the discussion. Political interventions like ballot initiatives can reach many people with relatively few resources and allow them to express support for animal rights through low-cost actions like voting. Examples of effective political campaigns include initiatives to require vegan options in public cafeterias and recognize fundamental rights for primates. Political work establishes advocacy groups as serious players, spreads their messages and complements other strategies. Sentience Politics is pursuing various ballot initiatives and legal cases to reduce speciesism through non-violent political processes.
Working with data is a challenge for many organizations. Nonprofits in particular may need to collect and analyze sensitive, incomplete, and/or biased historical data about people. In this talk, Dr. Cori Faklaris of UNC Charlotte provides an overview of current AI capabilities and weaknesses to consider when integrating current AI technologies into the data workflow. The talk is organized around three takeaways: (1) For better or sometimes worse, AI provides you with “infinite interns.” (2) Give people permission & guardrails to learn what works with these “interns” and what doesn’t. (3) Create a roadmap for adding in more AI to assist nonprofit work, along with strategies for bias mitigation.
RFP for Reno's Community Assistance CenterThis Is Reno
Property appraisals completed in May for downtown Reno’s Community Assistance and Triage Centers (CAC) reveal that repairing the buildings to bring them back into service would cost an estimated $10.1 million—nearly four times the amount previously reported by city staff.
Jennifer Schaus and Associates hosts a complimentary webinar series on The FAR in 2024. Join the webinars on Wednesdays and Fridays at noon, eastern.
Recordings are on YouTube and the company website.
https://www.youtube.com/@jenniferschaus/videos
Contributi dei parlamentari del PD - Contributi L. 3/2019Partito democratico
DI SEGUITO SONO PUBBLICATI, AI SENSI DELL'ART. 11 DELLA LEGGE N. 3/2019, GLI IMPORTI RICEVUTI DALL'ENTRATA IN VIGORE DELLA SUDDETTA NORMA (31/01/2019) E FINO AL MESE SOLARE ANTECEDENTE QUELLO DELLA PUBBLICAZIONE SUL PRESENTE SITO
About Potato, The scientific name of the plant is Solanum tuberosum (L).Christina Parmionova
The potato is a starchy root vegetable native to the Americas that is consumed as a staple food in many parts of the world. Potatoes are tubers of the plant Solanum tuberosum, a perennial in the nightshade family Solanaceae. Wild potato species can be found from the southern United States to southern Chile
Synopsis (short abstract) In December 2023, the UN General Assembly proclaimed 30 May as the International Day of Potato.
10. EDT Wager
10
● Large universe
● Caring about the gains of our copies
● Non-zero credence in EDT
● Meta decision theory
Wager for evidential decision theory (and all other theories that
take impact of copies into account)
13. Implementing decision theories in AIs
13
• Two problems of decision theory in AI safety:
• What is the right decision theory for an AI?
• How do we implement decision theories in AI?
• Decision theory not explicit in AI architecture
• Example: Doing what has worked well in the past (Oesterheld
2017b)
• Exception: Gödel machine (Schmidhuber 2006)
20. 20
In the paper…
If overseer only looks at the world, the agent’s DT is
decisive.
If overseer only looks at the agent’s action, the
overseer’s DT is decisive.
21. Presentation title
John Smith | Head of Department 28.06.2016
Subtitle or caption
Thank you.
{johannes,caspar}@foundational-research.org
22. References
22
• Ahmed, A. (2014): Evidence, Decision and Causality. Cambridge University Press.
• Almond, P. (2010): On Causation and Correlation. Part 2: Implications of Evidential
Decision Theory. https://casparoesterheld.files.wordpress.com/2017/03/
correlation2.pdf
• Bostrom, N. (2014b): Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies. Oxford
University Press.
• Christiano, P. (2014): Model-free decisions. https://ai-alignment.com/model-free-
decisions-6e6609f5d99e
• MacAskill, W. (2016): Smokers, Psychos, and Decision-Theoretic Uncertainty. The
Journal of Philosophy
• Nozick, R. (1993): The Nature of Rationality. Princeton: Princeton University Press
23. References
23
• Oesterheld, C. (2017b): Doing what has worked well in the past leads to evidential
decision theory. https://casparoesterheld.files.wordpress.com/2017/09/learningdt.pdf
• Oesterheld, C. (2017a): Multiverse-wide Cooperation via Correlated Decision
Making. https://foundational-research.org/files/Multiverse-wide-Cooperation-via-
Correlated-Decision-Making.pdf
• Schmidhuber, J. (2006): Gödel Machines: Self-Referential Universal Problem Solvers
Making Provably Optimal Self-Improvements. ftp://ftp.idsia.ch/pub/juergen/gm6.pdf
• Soares, N. and Fallenstein, B. (2014a): Aligning Superintelligence with Human
Interests: A Technical Research Agenda. MIRI Tech. rep. 2014-8. https://
intelligence.org/files/TechnicalAgenda.pdf
• Soares, N. and Fallenstein, B. (2014b): Toward Idealized Decision Theory. MIRI
Tech. rep. 2014-7. https://arxiv.org/abs/1507.01986
• Soares and Levinstein (2017): Cheating Death in Damascus. https://intelligence.org/
files/DeathInDamascus.pdf