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RETAIL SECTOR – CRISIL ANALYSIS

Under the mentorship of:
Prof. iftiquar Mistry

Submitted by:
Shweta kittur
Sneha Shrivastava
Nikhil Revdekar
Shrund kalse
Pranay Ragabhagt
• Retailing:
The activities involved in the selling of goods to ultimate consumers for
personal or household consumption.

• Unorganized Retailing:
Unorganized retailing refers to small retailers selling goods under
the traditional formats like counter stores, kirana shops, street
markets, kiosks and vendors, where the ownership and
management rest with one person only.

• Organized Retailing:
Organized retail is typically chain stores, all owned or franchised by
a central entity.
• Retail Distribution Channel:
• Levels of retailing:
• Statistics on overall retail market share:
Sales
1%

3%

Food and grocery
Apparel

4%
4%

Consumer Durables
Mobile and I.T
Home Décor and
furnishing
Beauty, personal and
health care
Pharmacy

5%

6%

12%

70%

jewellery, watches,
eyecare and others
footwear
Books and Music
• Value retailing and types of value Retailing:
Value retailing is a concept targeted mainly towards the masses comprising
largely of middle-income households.

• Types of value Retailing:
- Convince Stores
- Supermarket stores
- Hypermarkets

• Life style retailing:
- Department Stores
- Specialty Stores
• Other Formats:
- Cash and carry
- Luxury Retailing
- airport retailing
- Online retailing
- Television home shopping
- vending machine retailing
- Kiosks
• Rising Income – Reason for retail growth:
- Rising income levels to drive consumption
-Desire for better standard of living to drive non-food consumption growth
• Demographic changes:
-Increasing role of working women in consumer spends
- Employed youth to influence consumer spending
-Nuclearisation of families to drive consumption
-Growing urban population - Key to future spending
-Shift in the preference for branded products
Players profile:
• Footwear Retailing:
-Bata
- Liberty
- Khadim
- Cotton County

• Home Decor and furniture retailing:
- Bombay Dyeing
- Style Spa
- Welspun Welhome

• Pharmacies:
- apollo
- Medplus
- Religare wellness
• Consumer Durables:
- Croma
- e-Zone
- NEXT

• Retail Stores:
- Pantaloon retails
- Shopper Stop
- Reliance retail
• FDI in multi brand retail: Positive only in the long
term:
CRISIL Research believes that these amendments to the FDI policy are
positive for the organized retail sector in the long term. However,
uncertainty in both, the global and domestic economies, will delay the
entry of foreign players into the Indian retail sector in the short term.

• Amendments to the policy are:
-Mandatory investment in back-end infrastructure only for first tranche of
investment
-Definition of MSMEs amended to include companies with investment up to
$2 million
-Foreign retailers can now operate in cities with population of less than 1
million
• Bulletins:
 Clothing and textiles, consumer durables constitute large share of
organized retail market
 Private labels in FCTVs can help improve net margins

 Private labels to help boost margins in bed sheets and shirts
• Hypermarkets - A better opportunity as compared to
department stores
- Significant growth in organized retail sector in last few years
- Hypermarkets and department stores constitute significant share of total
organized retail market in India
- Hypermarket format v/s department store format
- Department stores popular until entry of hypermarkets
- ‘Value for money' proposition works well for growth of
hypermarkets
- Department stores score over hypermarkets in terms of profitability
- Higher share of apparels in department stores ensures higher gross
margins
- Hypermarket format more lucrative, despite low returns
- Offering lifestyle proposition can prove to be costly for department stores
Hypermarket retailer format generate high returns
than C&C format
• A hypermarket caters to retail buyers while a C&C
caters to wholesale mode
• C & C- High-volume, low-margin business
• Higher pressure on C & C store to generate higher
revenue
• Hypermarket retailers generate higher ROCE
Gross margins across
business models

Capital cost in base year:
Rs per sq ft
Jewellery Retailing
• Dominated by family jewellers
• Tanishq, Gitanjali and Reliance ventured into
the organised jewellery retail space
• As of 2009-10, market size is estimated at Rs
973 billion
• Organised retailing penetration (ORP) in
jewellery is estimated at 10 per cent
• Gold jewellery constitutes the largest
component of retailer revenues
• Product mix and lease rentals key determinants
of returns
Footwear
• Overall market is valued at Rs 500 billion,
with organized retail penetration (ORP)
estimated at 15 per cent
• Entry of footwear exporters in the domestic
market has supported the organized footwear
retail growth
• Suppliers to the leather footwear industry are
highly fragmented
• Most organized footwear retailers are
backward integrated till the manufacturing
stage
Key success factors in footwear
retailing
&
Value chain - Leather footwear
Food & Beverage Joint
• Returns generated by Quick Service
Restaurants (QSRs) are higher than that
generated by coffee chains
• Higher transactions by QSRs help them earn
better returns vis-a-vis coffee chains
• Comparison of QSRs and coffee chains below
Beauty & Wellness (B&W) Services
• Growing awareness about health
and beauty, supported by rising
income levels, has propelled the
growth of gym, salon and spa chains
over the last few years in India
Share of chains to corresponding industry revenues &
Growth in gym, salon and spa chains
Online Retail
• The online retail market in India will triple in
size by 2014-15, from Rs 32 billion at present.
• Online retail in India will be dominated by
product categories that are brand driven, have
a low-ticket size and are easily transportable
such as electronics, followed by lifestyle and
books
Non store retailing formats
Food &Grocery
• While food and grocery (F&G) accounts for twothirds of overall retail, the share of organised
retail is the lowest among all retail verticals,
signifying underlying opportunity.
• The food and grocery (F&G) vertical, a Rs 16
trillion industry, comprises more than twothirds of the overall Indian retail sector.
• the organised retail market in F&G is only Rs
390 billion, and the organised retail penetration
(ORP) of this vertical is the lowest among all
retail sector verticals at 2.4 per cent
RETAIL SECTOR –  ANALYSIS

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RETAIL SECTOR – ANALYSIS

  • 1. Presenting on: RETAIL SECTOR – CRISIL ANALYSIS Under the mentorship of: Prof. iftiquar Mistry Submitted by: Shweta kittur Sneha Shrivastava Nikhil Revdekar Shrund kalse Pranay Ragabhagt
  • 2. • Retailing: The activities involved in the selling of goods to ultimate consumers for personal or household consumption. • Unorganized Retailing: Unorganized retailing refers to small retailers selling goods under the traditional formats like counter stores, kirana shops, street markets, kiosks and vendors, where the ownership and management rest with one person only. • Organized Retailing: Organized retail is typically chain stores, all owned or franchised by a central entity.
  • 4. • Levels of retailing:
  • 5. • Statistics on overall retail market share: Sales 1% 3% Food and grocery Apparel 4% 4% Consumer Durables Mobile and I.T Home Décor and furnishing Beauty, personal and health care Pharmacy 5% 6% 12% 70% jewellery, watches, eyecare and others footwear Books and Music
  • 6. • Value retailing and types of value Retailing: Value retailing is a concept targeted mainly towards the masses comprising largely of middle-income households. • Types of value Retailing: - Convince Stores - Supermarket stores - Hypermarkets • Life style retailing: - Department Stores - Specialty Stores
  • 7. • Other Formats: - Cash and carry - Luxury Retailing - airport retailing - Online retailing - Television home shopping - vending machine retailing - Kiosks
  • 8. • Rising Income – Reason for retail growth: - Rising income levels to drive consumption -Desire for better standard of living to drive non-food consumption growth • Demographic changes: -Increasing role of working women in consumer spends - Employed youth to influence consumer spending -Nuclearisation of families to drive consumption -Growing urban population - Key to future spending -Shift in the preference for branded products
  • 9. Players profile: • Footwear Retailing: -Bata - Liberty - Khadim - Cotton County • Home Decor and furniture retailing: - Bombay Dyeing - Style Spa - Welspun Welhome • Pharmacies: - apollo - Medplus - Religare wellness
  • 10. • Consumer Durables: - Croma - e-Zone - NEXT • Retail Stores: - Pantaloon retails - Shopper Stop - Reliance retail
  • 11. • FDI in multi brand retail: Positive only in the long term: CRISIL Research believes that these amendments to the FDI policy are positive for the organized retail sector in the long term. However, uncertainty in both, the global and domestic economies, will delay the entry of foreign players into the Indian retail sector in the short term. • Amendments to the policy are: -Mandatory investment in back-end infrastructure only for first tranche of investment -Definition of MSMEs amended to include companies with investment up to $2 million -Foreign retailers can now operate in cities with population of less than 1 million
  • 12. • Bulletins:  Clothing and textiles, consumer durables constitute large share of organized retail market  Private labels in FCTVs can help improve net margins  Private labels to help boost margins in bed sheets and shirts • Hypermarkets - A better opportunity as compared to department stores - Significant growth in organized retail sector in last few years - Hypermarkets and department stores constitute significant share of total organized retail market in India - Hypermarket format v/s department store format - Department stores popular until entry of hypermarkets
  • 13. - ‘Value for money' proposition works well for growth of hypermarkets - Department stores score over hypermarkets in terms of profitability - Higher share of apparels in department stores ensures higher gross margins - Hypermarket format more lucrative, despite low returns - Offering lifestyle proposition can prove to be costly for department stores
  • 14. Hypermarket retailer format generate high returns than C&C format • A hypermarket caters to retail buyers while a C&C caters to wholesale mode • C & C- High-volume, low-margin business • Higher pressure on C & C store to generate higher revenue • Hypermarket retailers generate higher ROCE
  • 15. Gross margins across business models Capital cost in base year: Rs per sq ft
  • 16. Jewellery Retailing • Dominated by family jewellers • Tanishq, Gitanjali and Reliance ventured into the organised jewellery retail space • As of 2009-10, market size is estimated at Rs 973 billion • Organised retailing penetration (ORP) in jewellery is estimated at 10 per cent • Gold jewellery constitutes the largest component of retailer revenues • Product mix and lease rentals key determinants of returns
  • 17.
  • 18. Footwear • Overall market is valued at Rs 500 billion, with organized retail penetration (ORP) estimated at 15 per cent • Entry of footwear exporters in the domestic market has supported the organized footwear retail growth • Suppliers to the leather footwear industry are highly fragmented • Most organized footwear retailers are backward integrated till the manufacturing stage
  • 19. Key success factors in footwear retailing & Value chain - Leather footwear
  • 20. Food & Beverage Joint • Returns generated by Quick Service Restaurants (QSRs) are higher than that generated by coffee chains • Higher transactions by QSRs help them earn better returns vis-a-vis coffee chains • Comparison of QSRs and coffee chains below
  • 21. Beauty & Wellness (B&W) Services • Growing awareness about health and beauty, supported by rising income levels, has propelled the growth of gym, salon and spa chains over the last few years in India
  • 22. Share of chains to corresponding industry revenues & Growth in gym, salon and spa chains
  • 23. Online Retail • The online retail market in India will triple in size by 2014-15, from Rs 32 billion at present. • Online retail in India will be dominated by product categories that are brand driven, have a low-ticket size and are easily transportable such as electronics, followed by lifestyle and books
  • 25. Food &Grocery • While food and grocery (F&G) accounts for twothirds of overall retail, the share of organised retail is the lowest among all retail verticals, signifying underlying opportunity. • The food and grocery (F&G) vertical, a Rs 16 trillion industry, comprises more than twothirds of the overall Indian retail sector. • the organised retail market in F&G is only Rs 390 billion, and the organised retail penetration (ORP) of this vertical is the lowest among all retail sector verticals at 2.4 per cent